Upload
others
View
4
Download
0
Embed Size (px)
Citation preview
1
Mantas Bartuška, General ManagerAB Klaipedos Nafta
October 18th, 2016
LNG contribution to regional gas market
Photo A. Kubaitis
2
Traditional business
50+ years of oil product terminal
operations
State fuel reserves
Klaipeda LNG terminal based on
FSRU Independence
LNG reloading and bunkering station
under construction in Klaipeda
LNG transport and bunkering vessel
project for the Baltic Sea
LNG terminal development
and Advisory services
Focus for global expansion
AB Klaipedos nafta – an oil product and LNG terminal operator
3
0
1
2
3
4
OECD32 India Rest of theWorld
Billio
n p
eo
ple
Demographics
2010 2025 2040
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
2000 2020 2040
Tri
llio
n2
01
0$
GDP
0
200
400
600
800
1.000
1.200
2000 2020 2040
Qu
ad
rillio
mn
BT
Us
Energy demand
Projections of global fundamentals indicate growth in energy demand
• World population grows 25%,
from 7.2 to 9 billion over 2014-
2040
• India has nearly 1.6 billion
people by 2040, passes China
as most populous
• Economic growth drives
increased need for energy
• Global GDP more than doubles
over 2014-2040; developing
countries lead growth
• Global demand for energy rises by
25% over 2014-2040, with all of the
growth coming from the non-OECD.
• Demand could have more than
doubled without efficiency gains
Source: The Outlook for Energy: A View to 2040. Exxon Mobile.
OECD32
China
India
Key growth
Rest of the World
Energy savings
OECD32
China
India
Key growth
Rest of the World
4
1/3of the world’s energy is
expected to be provided
by oil in 2040
40%of the growth in global
energy demand from
2014-2040 is projected to
be met by natural gas
Oil to remain primary, natural gas – to grow most
0,7% 1,6%
-0,2%0,3%
2,9%
4,8%
1,3%
-10,0%
-8,0%
-6,0%
-4,0%
-2,0%
0,0%
2,0%
4,0%
6,0%
8,0%
10,0%
0
50
100
150
200
250
Oil Gas Coal Biomass Nuclear Solar/wind/biofuels Hydro/geo
Qu
ad
rillio
ns
BT
Us
Global fuel demand in 2040 - projections
2014 2040 CAGR 2014 - 2040
Source: The Outlook for Energy: A View to 2040. Exxon Mobile.
5
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030
LNG demand and supply forecast until 2030 (BCMA)
LNG oversupply could be an advantage for a new market
Supply from existing facilitiesNew supply from post-FID
projects
Potential supply from
non FID projectsLNG demand
Downside potential for LNG price
Source: McKinsey & Company
6
Flexible energy source for a wide range of applications
Air
N2
O2
Ar
Heat/Power Cold energyTransport
Industrial companies
District heating supply companies
Vessels
Buses/ trucks
Cars
Air separators
Food processing establishments
7
AB Klaipedos Nafta plans to capture part of the energy demand growth
New LNG terminal development and advisory services:
• Operating under third party access infrastructure principles
• Single user LNG terminals feeding natural gas transmission systems
• Single user LNG to Power projects and other
• Small-scale LNG terminals/bunkering/reloading stations
Key areas where new LNG terminals are developed
New projects
Initial development
Design and procurement
Construction
Commissioning
Operations
8
LNG to power Multi-user regas terminal
Full scale LNG break-bulking hub… …can result in a regional value chain
1. 2.
3. 4.
FSRU LNG terminal Gas power plant TPA FSRU LNG terminalTPA gas transmission
system
TPA gas transmission
system
FSRU LNG terminal
LNG bunkering/distribution
vessel
FSRU LNG terminal TPA gas transmission
system
LNG bunkering/distribution
vessel
LNG
LNG
LNG
LNG
L
N
G
LNG
LNG
LNG
LNG
LNGLNG
LNG small scale value chain
New LNG terminals have significant impact on regional markets
9
Energy security for the Baltics states and for Finland/Poland1.
Break-bulking possibilities for new small-scale LNG markets4.
Opportunity for market players to import gas from the global
market2.
Diversified supplies and entrance to new regas markets3.
Klaipeda LNG terminal – a regional game changer in the Baltics
10
Klaipeda LNG terminal in some periods reach around 90% capacity utilisation
Regasified volumes
-
1.000.000
2.000.000
3.000.000
4.000.000
5.000.000
6.000.000
7.000.000
January March May July September November
Ave
rage
Nm
3/
day
2015
2016 Confirmed
LNGT Annual
Schedule
2016
2016 KN preliminary
forecast
2015 regasified
volume
Unused
capacity
Third Party Access infrastructure
> 330% YOY increase in regasified volume
Spot cargos
11
Gate
Risavika
Ora
LysekilNyneshamn
Swinoujscie
PoriGavle
Ust-Luga
Tornio
Gothenburg
Baltic Sea Region – full of LNG developments
Hamina
Raahe
Seagas has made its 1.000
LNG-bunker operation
• Started operations
• First ship bunkered
Ship-to-ship bunkering
Tender announced
for the construction
• Bomin Linde LNG has
signed a TCP for a LNG
bunker supply vessel
• New supplier: Koch
The world´s first LNG-
powered icebreaker
Polaris delivered
The world’s first LNG-
fueled Pure Car and
Truck Carrier was
delivered to Norway
Carnival Corporation
Signed Agreement with
Shell to Fuel World's
First LNG-Powered
Cruise Ships
First LNG bunkering trials
in Poland
LNG bunkering facilities
planned for Germany’s
Port of Lubeck
12
LNG supply route
(approx. 7 km)
Klaipėda LNG terminal
LNG reloading/bunkering
station
LNG transportation
vessel FSRU Independence
LNG reloading/bunkering
station
Existing oil
product terminal
Undergoing development of small-scale LNG value chain in Klaipeda
Planned commercial operations start in H2 2017
13
500 km
Current LNG consumption
Potential LNG consumption
Ferry to Karlsham
Reload station – solution for off-grid locations
Work-In-Progress:
EU funding support (around 9mln. EUR)
LNG transportation vessel
• Open season
Potential clients:
14
Our strategy on LNG
Develop LNG
Terminal related
services
3
Develop small
scale infrastructure
4
Develop regional
market
5
K.Fedirka (FotoSkrydis)
Ensure alternative
source of supply
1
Effective and
efficient operation
of LNG Terminal
2
Mantas Bartuška, General ManagerAB Klaipedos Nafta
October 18th, 2016