Mainstreet surveyed a random sample of 1,567 Saskatchewan residents by Smart IVR™ on June 13, 2016. A mixture of landlines and cell phones were surveyed. Margin of error: +/- 2.48%, 19 times out of 20. Results were weighed by age and gender based on the 2011 Canadian Census.

EMBARGOED UNTIL: 6 AM CST - JUNE 21, 2016PRINT EXCLUSIVE: POSTMEDIA NETOWRK

SK BUDGET

WALL APPROVAL , SK PARTY SUPPORT HOLD STEADY POST-BUDGET

June 21, (Ottawa, ON) – A new Mainstreet/Postmedia poll finds support for the SK Party flat post-budget with Brad Wall’s approval rating a solid 65%. The Mainstreet/Postmedia Poll has a margin of error of +/- 2.48%, 19 times out of 20.

“Despite some negative news in the budget there doesn’t appear to be much of an effect on the Sask Party,” said Quito Maggi, President of Mainstreet Research. “Brad Wall has spent most of his time talking about the proposed energy east pipeline lately - not the budget. It’s a clever strategy that has kept the focus on Brad Wall as a statesman.”

“Overall, Saskatchewan residents are optimistic about their own personal finances (51%) but pessimistic about the province’s economic outlook (50%). Nevertheless, 54% say the province is moving in the right direction. 51% say they believe the provincial government will be able to keep its promise to balance the books.”

“When it comes to potential savings, a cut to government and MLA salaries is the most popular idea, 63% say it should be considered though not surprisingly only 32% approve of the idea in Regina where a majority (54%) don’t believe salary cuts should be on the table.”

“What ‘transformative government’ means for the province has yet to be spelled out, but there are clearly some ideas that could prove to be confrontational, particularly with the Sask Party’s base outside of Regina and Saskatoon. For example, while majorities in Saskatoon and Regina support fewer rural municipalities there is no similar appetite in the Rest of Saskatchewan (RoS). Getting the budget back to balance will be a challenge and it may not be possible without tax increases Saskatchewan residents are adamant they are against. 71% say the government should not consider raising taxes, while 54 are opposed to a PST increase even if it meant no significant service cuts,” finished Maggi.

About Mainstreet ResearchMainstreet is a national public research firm. With 20 years of political experience at all three levels of government, President and CEO Quito Maggi is a respected commentator on Canadian public affairs.

Differentiated by its large sample sizes, Mainstreet Research has provided accurate snapshots of public opinion, having predicted a majority NDP government in Alberta, a majority Liberal government in British Columbia and a majority Liberal government in Ontario. Mainstreet has been the most accurate polling firm in several by elections and the most recent Toronto mayoral election. Most recently, Mainstreet was the only polling firm to correctly predict a Liberal majority government in the 2015 federal election.

-30-

Available for Interview from Ottawa: Quito Maggi, quito@mainstreetresearch.caFor more information: David Valentin, (514) 913-5524 - david@mainstreetresearch.ca

"Exclusive Mainstreet/Postmedia polls are protected by copyright. The information and/or data may only be rebroadcast or republished with full and proper credit and attribution to “Mainstreet/Postmedia”.

A2

If the provincial election were held today which party would you support?[DECIDED AND LEANING]

A11

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

45

50

55

60

65

Oct 6 Jan 4 Feb 11 Feb 23 Mar 1 Mar 8 Mar 16 Mar 31 June 13

NDPSK Party Liberal Green

DECIDED AND LEANING

A8

Oct 6

Jan 4

Feb 11

Feb 23

Mar 1

Mar 8

Mar 16

Mar 31

June 13

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100

57% 32% 7%

59% 28% 7%

56% 32% 8%

52% 34% 10%

55% 33% 9%

51% 37% 8%

53% 35% 8%

60% 31% 5%

59% 32% 5%

DECIDED AND LEANING

A8

PC

18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Male Female

46%

39%

7%

8%

225

47%

45%

3%

6%

291

55%

40%

2%

3%

366

51%

42%

3%

4%

511

51%

36%

8%

6%

666

46%

45%

4%

5%

727

SK Party

NDP

Liberal

Green

Sample

59%

32%

4%

5%

1,393

47%

45%

3%

5%

449

65%

26%

5%

4%

477

SK Party

NDP

Liberal

Green

Sample

Saskatchewan Regina Rest of SK

53%

37%

5%

5%

467

Saskatoon

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

45

50

55

Oct 6 Jan 4 Feb 11 Feb 23 Mar 1 Mar 8 Mar 15 Mar 31 June 13

If a provincial election were held today which party would you support?

A6

NDPSK Party Liberal Green UD

If a provincial election were held today which party would you support?

A6

Oct 6

Jan 4

Feb 11

Feb 23

Mar 1

Mar 8

Mar 15

Mar 31

June 13

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100

46% 26% 6% 19%

51% 24% 6% 14%

49% 28% 6% 14%

46% 30% 8% 13%

49% 28% 7% 14%

47% 33% 6% 12%

49% 31% 5% 12%

54% 28% 12%

52% 27% 14%

If a provincial election were held today which party would you support?

A6

PC

18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Male Female

39%

32%

3%

6%

21%

259

41%

38%

2%

5%

14%

322

47%

33%

1%

3%

16%

405

42%

34%

3%

3%

19%

581

43%

30%

6%

4%

17%

752

40%

37%

2%

4%

18%

815

SK Party

NDP

Liberal

Green

Undecided

Sample

52%

27%

3%

3%

14%

1,567

40%

37%

2%

4%

17%

519

59%

23%

3%

3%

12%

527

SK Party

NDP

Liberal

Green

Undecided

Sample

Saskatchewan Regina Rest of SK

46%

31%

4%

4%

16%

521

Saskatoon

40%

25%

21%

7%

7%

Do you approve or disapprove of the way Brad Wall is handling his job as Premier?

A9

Strongly Approve Somewhat Approve Somewhat Disapprove

Strongly Disapprove Not Sure

Do you approve or disapprove of the way Brad Wall is handling his job as Premier?

A10

SK

Saskatoon

Regina

RoS

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100

40% 25% 21% 7% 7%

26% 31% 24% 11% 8%

41% 17% 19% 14% 10%

45% 25% 20% 6%

45% 19% 20% 8% 8%

35% 31% 22% 6% 6%

40% 30% 18% 8%

39% 25% 25% 5% 6%

40% 23% 24% 8% 6%

41% 21% 17% 13% 8%

51%

35%

14%

Thinking about the next 12 months, would you say you feel optimistic or pessimistic about

your own family’s financial situation?

A11

Optimistic Pessimistic Not Sure

SK

Saskatoon

Regina

RoS

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100

51% 35% 14%

43% 44% 13%

54% 26% 19%

53% 34% 13%

51% 36% 13%

51% 34% 15%

51% 35% 14%

45% 39% 16%

58% 30% 12%

49% 36% 15%

Thinking about the next 12 months, would you say you feel optimistic or pessimistic about

your own family’s financial situation?

A12

39%

50%

11%

Thinking about the next 12 months, would you say you feel optimistic or pessimistic about the

state of SK economy?

A13

Optimistic Pessimistic Not Sure

SK

Saskatoon

Regina

RoS

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100

39% 50% 11%

33% 56% 11%

46% 43% 11%

39% 50% 11%

38% 53% 9%

40% 47% 13%

35% 52% 12%

43% 47% 10%

37% 53% 10%

41% 46% 12%

Thinking about the next 12 months, would you say you feel optimistic or pessimistic about the

state of SK economy?

A14

54%

32%

14%

In your opinion, is SK headed in the right direction or the wrong direction?

A15

Right Direction Wrong Direction Not Sure

SK

Saskatoon

Regina

RoS

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100

54% 32% 14%

44% 38% 18%

41% 46% 14%

62% 25% 13%

57% 30% 13%

51% 34% 15%

59% 27% 14%

50% 35% 16%

49% 35% 16%

59% 32% 9%

In your opinion, is SK headed in the right direction or the wrong direction?

A16

12%

8%

7%

21%

12%

8%

32%

Of the following items in the budget, which will affect your family the most?

A17

Drugs Parks Cancer Wait Credit Nothing

Not Sure

SK

Saskatoon

Regina

RoS

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100

12% 8% 7% 21% 12% 8% 32%

15% 17% 11% 19% 9% 7% 22%

17% 12% 8% 22% 8% 5% 27%

9% 5% 22% 14% 9% 37%

10% 9% 6% 21% 9% 11% 34%

14% 7% 8% 21% 15% 5% 30%

13% 9% 12% 12% 9% 43%

10% 7% 15% 26% 10% 29%

6% 10% 9% 16% 23% 7% 30%

22% 6% 17% 25% 6% 22%

Of the following items in the budget, which will affect your family the most?

A18

8%

35%

32%

25%

We have 13 Local Health Regions, do we need more, fewer, or the same amount?

A19

More Less Not SureThe Same

SK

Saskatoon

Regina

RoS

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100

8% 35% 32% 25%

12% 28% 31% 29%

11% 29% 33% 27%

5% 40% 32% 23%

8% 32% 36% 24%

8% 38% 28% 26%

10% 38% 26% 26%

6% 39% 29% 26%

6% 36% 34% 24%

11% 24% 41% 24%

We have 13 Local Health Regions, do we need more, fewer, or the same amount?

A20

6%

46%

31%

17%

More Less Not SureThe Same

We have 28 Local School Boards, do we need more, fewer, or the same amount?

A21

SK

Saskatoon

Regina

RoS

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100

6% 46% 31% 17%

7% 45% 33% 15%

8% 34% 47% 11%

5% 50% 25% 20%

6% 46% 32% 16%

6% 46% 30% 18%

6% 37% 35% 21%

8% 35% 39% 18%

58% 20% 18%

6% 57% 29% 8%

We have 28 Local School Boards, do we need more, fewer, or the same amount?

A22

4%

38%

48%

10%

More Less Not SureThe Same

We have 296 rural municipalities, do we need more, fewer, or the same amount?

A23

SK

Saskatoon

Regina

RoS

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100

38% 48% 10%

58% 28% 12%

62% 24% 11%

5% 22% 64% 9%

34% 53% 10%

5% 42% 43% 10%

40% 46% 11%

38% 51% 8%

36% 51% 9%

7% 38% 42% 12%

We have 296 rural municipalities, do we need more, fewer, or the same amount?

A24

63%

25%

12%

Should the Government consider: cutting wages for government employees and MLAs?

A25

Yes No Not Sure

SK

Saskatoon

Regina

RoS

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100

63% 25% 12%

51% 33% 15%

32% 54% 14%

78% 12% 10%

63% 26% 11%

63% 24% 13%

75% 18% 7%

62% 27% 12%

56% 30% 15%

56% 28% 17%

Should the Government consider: cutting wages for government employees and MLAs?

A26

34%

46%

20%

Yes No Not Sure

Should the Government consider: eliminating programs?

A27

SK

Saskatoon

Regina

RoS

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100

34% 46% 20%

29% 45% 26%

27% 51% 22%

38% 45% 17%

38% 47% 15%

30% 45% 25%

35% 51% 14%

33% 43% 23%

36% 37% 28%

30% 56% 14%

Should the Government consider: eliminating programs?

A28

21%

71%

8%

Yes No Not Sure

Should the Government consider: raising taxes?

A29

SK

Saskatoon

Regina

RoS

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100

21% 71% 8%

29% 61% 10%

27% 65% 8%

16% 77% 7%

21% 73% 6%

21% 70% 10%

15% 78% 6%

24% 69% 8%

24% 66% 10%

22% 70% 8%

Should the Government consider: raising taxes?

A30

39%

31%

30%

Yes No Not Sure

Should the Government consider: increasing resource royalties?

A31

SK

Saskatoon

Regina

RoS

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100

39% 31% 30%

34% 33% 33%

35% 32% 33%

42% 30% 28%

36% 32% 32%

42% 30% 28%

37% 31% 32%

41% 29% 29%

41% 30% 30%

37% 36% 28%

Should the Government consider: increasing resource royalties?

A32

33%

42%

17%

8%

Do you agree or disagree with the practice of borrowing money to pay for infrastructure

projects and create economic activity even if it means increasing the provincial debt?

A33

SK

Saskatoon

Regina

RoS

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100

33% 42% 17% 8%

44% 24% 20% 12%

41% 26% 25% 8%

27% 54% 13% 6%

33% 43% 16% 8%

34% 40% 18% 8%

35% 44% 16% 5%

27% 42% 22% 10%

34% 40% 18% 9%

39% 41% 11% 8%

Do you agree or disagree with the practice of borrowing money to pay for infrastructure

projects and create economic activity even if it means increasing the provincial debt?

A34

39%

42%

19%

Should the provincial government consider selling off SaskTel in order to balance the budget

and pay down the provincial debt without resorting to significant cuts to services?

A35

Yes No Not Sure

SK

Saskatoon

Regina

RoS

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100

39% 42% 19%

33% 38% 29%

37% 41% 22%

42% 44% 14%

38% 43% 19%

39% 42% 19%

41% 40% 18%

39% 41% 20%

40% 45% 15%

34% 41% 25%

Should the provincial government consider selling off SaskTel in order to balance the budget

and pay down the provincial debt without resorting to significant cuts to services?

A36

21%

54%

25%

Yes No Not Sure

Would you support an increase in the provincial sales tax in order to balance the budget and pay

down the provincial debt without resorting to significant cuts to services?

A37

SK

Saskatoon

Regina

RoS

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100

21% 54% 25%

25% 44% 31%

29% 41% 30%

17% 62% 21%

21% 55% 24%

21% 53% 26%

14% 60% 26%

17% 58% 26%

27% 46% 26%

30% 50% 20%

Would you support an increase in the provincial sales tax in order to balance the budget and pay

down the provincial debt without resorting to significant cuts to services?

A38

51%

28%

21%

Yes No Not Sure

Do you believe the provincial government will make good on its promise to balance the books

by the next budget?

A39

SK

Saskatoon

Regina

RoS

Male

Female

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100

51% 28% 21%

53% 25% 22%

41% 40% 19%

53% 25% 21%

53% 28% 19%

49% 28% 23%

56% 26% 18%

45% 29% 26%

45% 30% 25%

60% 26% 14%

Do you believe the provincial government will make good on its promise to balance the books

by the next budget?

A40

If a provincial election were held today which party would you support?

Saskatchewan Party led by Brad WallNDP led by Cam Broten

Liberal Party led by Darrin LamoureuxGreen Party led by Victor Lau

Undecided

And which Party are you leaning towards voting for?

Saskatchewan Party led by Brad WallNDP led by Cam Broten

Liberal Party led by Darrin LamoureuxGreen Party led by Victor Lau

Undecided

Do you approve or disapprove of the way Brad Wall is handling his job as Premier?

Strongly ApproveSomewhat Approve

Somewhat DisapproveStrongly Disapprove

Not Sure

Thinking about the next 12 months, would you say you feel optimistic or pessimistic about the state of SK economy?

Thinking about the next 12 months, would you say you feel optimistic or pessimistic about your own family’s financial situation?

OptimisticPessimisticNot Sure

In your opinion, is SK headed in the right direction or the wrong direction?

Right DirectionWrong Direction

Not Sure

Of the following items in the budget, which will affect your family the most?

Paying an extra $5 per prescription on the children’s and seniors drug plansCuts to urban parks

New funding for 15 cancer dugsAn extra $20 million to address surgical wait lists

Elimination of the active family tax creditWill not be affected by budget

Not Sure

SCRIPT

A41

The government has suggested amalgamating things like school boards and health regions could be on the table. When you think about the following bodies, do we need more, fewer or the same:

We have 13 Local Health Regions, do we need more, fewer, or the same amount?We have 28 Local School Boards, do we need more, fewer, or the same amount?We have 296 rural municipalities, do we need more, fewer, or the same amount?

MoreFewer

The SameNot Sure

The government is talking about “transformational change”. What should be considered?

Should the Government consider: cutting wages for government employees and MLAs?Should the Government consider: eliminating programs?

Should the Government consider: raising taxes?Should the Government consider: increasing resource royalties?

Yes, Should be ConsideredNo, Should not be Considered

Not Sure

Do you agree or disagree with the practice of borrowing money to pay for infrastructure projects and create economic activity even if it means increasing the provincial debt?

AgreeDisagree

Neither Agree nor DisagreeNot Sure

Should the provincial government consider selling off SaskTel in order to balance the budget and pay down the provincial debt without resorting to significant cuts to services?

Would you support an increase in the provincial sales tax in order to balance the budget and pay down the provincial debt without resorting to significant cuts to services?

Do you believe the provincial government will make good on its promise to balance the books by the next budget?

YesNo

Not Sure

SCRIPT

A42

WHITBY

Most Accurate Pollster of the Whitby by election.

SASKATCHEWAN

Most Active Pollster of Saskatchewan’s general election, top results within MoE.

MANITOBA

Most Active Pollster of Manitoba’s general election, top results within MoE.

CALGARY GREENWAY

Most Accurate Pollster of the Calgary Greenway by election.

Mainstreet is a national public research firm. With 20 years of political experience at all three levels of government, President and CEO Quito Maggi is a respected commentator on Canadian public affairs.

Differentiated by its large sample sizes, Mainstreet Research has provided accurate snapshots of public opinion, having predicted a majority NDP government in Alberta, a majority Liberal government in British Columbia and a majority Liberal government in Ontario. Mainstreet has been the most accurate polling firm in several by elections and the most recent Toronto mayoral election. Most recently, Mainstreet was the only polling firm to correctly predict a Liberal majority government in the 2015 federal election.

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