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MATERIALS & MANUFACTURING OPPORTUNITIES IN JAPAN BUSINESS SWEDEN Tokyo January, 2016

MATERIALS & MANUFACTURING OPPORTUNITIES IN JAPAN · materials & manufacturing opportunities in japan business sweden tokyo ... source: nippon steel & sumitomo metal, metil, issb,

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Page 1: MATERIALS & MANUFACTURING OPPORTUNITIES IN JAPAN · materials & manufacturing opportunities in japan business sweden tokyo ... source: nippon steel & sumitomo metal, metil, issb,

CONFIDENTIAL

FOR INTERNAL USE WITHIN CLIENT COMPANY ONLY

MATERIALS &

MANUFACTURING

OPPORTUNITIES IN JAPAN

BUSINESS SWEDEN

Tokyo

January, 2016

Page 2: MATERIALS & MANUFACTURING OPPORTUNITIES IN JAPAN · materials & manufacturing opportunities in japan business sweden tokyo ... source: nippon steel & sumitomo metal, metil, issb,

OVERVIEW OF DIFFERENT SEGMENTS

CONSISTS OF FOUR DIFFERENT AREAS:

Machinery

Japan is a world leader within the automobile industry as

well as electrical machinery and other types of

manufacturing related machinery.

Oil and gas

The oil and gas market has been experiencing extensive

consolidation during the last couple of years, yet remain

a very sizeable industry.

Forest products

Like Sweden, Japan is covered by dense forests, but the

mountainous terrain require specific solutions to utilize

this abundant natural resource

Metals and mining

Japan is a major market for metal working, with two

companies in the worldwide top 10 list, but with very

limited mining activities.

27 JANUARY, 2016 BUSINESS SWEDEN 2

MATERIALS AND MANUFACTURING

Page 3: MATERIALS & MANUFACTURING OPPORTUNITIES IN JAPAN · materials & manufacturing opportunities in japan business sweden tokyo ... source: nippon steel & sumitomo metal, metil, issb,

INDUSTRY OVERVIEW

Japan's major export industries include machinery,

automobiles, consumer electronics, computers,

semiconductors, copper, iron and steel.

Additional key industries in Japan's economy are

petrochemicals, pharmaceuticals, bioindustry,

shipbuilding, aerospace, textiles, and processed foods.

Manufacturing and industry accounts for 19 percent of

Japan’s economy, as share of GDP.

MANUFACTURING INDUSTRY SHARE OF GDP (2015)

27 JANUARY, 2016 BUSINESS SWEDEN 3

MANUFACTURING IS A LARGE SHARE OF JAPAN’S GDP

SOURCE: WORLD BANK

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

35%

40%

45%

50%

Sweden Japan Germany

Page 4: MATERIALS & MANUFACTURING OPPORTUNITIES IN JAPAN · materials & manufacturing opportunities in japan business sweden tokyo ... source: nippon steel & sumitomo metal, metil, issb,

OVERVIEW

Japan has a long tradition of heavy industry and

machinery. Main industries include electronics,

shipbuilding/offshore, chemicals and steel making.

With many industry giants, Japan is highly competitive

within these industries also on a global level.

Japan is world famous for its manufacturing prowess and

the industrial framework is innovation and quality driven

focus on cutting edge technology.

CONSOLIDATED VALUE PER INDUSTRY 2013 (BN JPY)

0 20000 40000 60000

Forestry products

Metal products

Oil, gas &chemicals

Machinery

27 JANUARY, 2016 BUSINESS SWEDEN 4

MACHINERY IS THE BIGGEST INDUSTRY SEGMENT

SOURCE: NIPPON STEEL & SUMITOMO METAL, METIL, ISSB, JAPAN GAS, JAPAN MINISTRY OF ECONOMY,

TRADE AND INDUSTRY

Page 5: MATERIALS & MANUFACTURING OPPORTUNITIES IN JAPAN · materials & manufacturing opportunities in japan business sweden tokyo ... source: nippon steel & sumitomo metal, metil, issb,

STRONG GROWTH FOR INDUSTRIAL AND METAL CUTTING MACHINERY

OVERVIEW

Industrial machinery, metal cutting machinery, rolling

machinery and boilers & power units are the categories

showing the strongest growth 2012-2014.

In the industrial machinery category, industrial robots,

chemical machinery, construction machinery and other

industrial machinery are the sub-segments indicating the

strongest growth.

By industry classification, non-ferrous metals, general

machinery, electrical machinery and other manufacturing

are the machinery with the strongest growth 2012-2014,

with machines for non-ferrous metals growing 27 %

since 2012.

CORE MACHINERY PRODUCTION 2012-2014 (BN JPY)

27 JANUARY, 2016 BUSINESS SWEDEN 5

CORE MACHINERY SEGMENTS INDICATING GROWTH

0

2 000

4 000

6 000

8 000

10 000

Boilers andpower units

Industrialmachinery

Metal cuttingmachines

Rollingmachines

0

500

1 000

1 500

2 000

Industrial robots Chemicalmachinery

Constructionmachinery

Other industrialmachinery

0

2 000

4 000

6 000

8 000

10 000

Boilers andpower units

Industrialmachinery

Metal cuttingmachines

Rollingmachines

+15%

+20%

+36%

+26%

+43% +6%

+17%

+19%

Page 6: MATERIALS & MANUFACTURING OPPORTUNITIES IN JAPAN · materials & manufacturing opportunities in japan business sweden tokyo ... source: nippon steel & sumitomo metal, metil, issb,

GAS HEATING AND COOLING EXPECTED TO FURTHER PENETRATE THE MARKET

SPREAD OF GAS AIR CONDITIONING

With their wide ranging application, gas heating and

cooling systems are spreading from office buildings,

schools and hospitals to shopping centres and other

general use buildings.

Gas heating and cooling systems are expected to

spread even further as a result of the development of

absorption chillers and gas heat pumps.

BUSINESS SWEDEN 27 JANUARY, 2016 6

THE GAS MARKET IS GOING THROUGH BIG CHANGES

SOURCE: JAPAN GAS ASSOCIATION

39 46

49,1

136,4 152,4 154

0

50

100

150

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

2004 2009 2013

Th

ou

sa

nd

insta

lled

un

its M

illio

n r

efr

ige

ratio

n to

n

Cooling capacity Number of units

Stores, supermarkets

15%

Offices 23%

Schools 16%

Industrial 13%

Medical facilities

10%

Others 23%

1,7

3,6

4,5 4,9

1 26

112

191

0

50

100

150

200

250

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

2000 2005 2010 2013

Th

ou

sa

nd

un

its

Gig

aw

att

s

Installedcapacity

Installedunits

EXPANSION OF GAS COGENERATION

GAS COOLING CAPACITY BY APPLICATION (%)

Page 7: MATERIALS & MANUFACTURING OPPORTUNITIES IN JAPAN · materials & manufacturing opportunities in japan business sweden tokyo ... source: nippon steel & sumitomo metal, metil, issb,

MARKET OVERVIEW

Excess refining capacity remains an industry wide issue

and oil companies are expanding into other energy

businesses, such as electric power, LNG, and the

distributed energy sector, where new energies like fuel

cells and solar photovoltaic power generation are

expected to grow and oil demand will continue to

decrease. For further information please also refer to

Business Sweden Japan’s energy fact pack.

Companies are also accelerating their movement toward

becoming a total energy industry through realizing

integrated operations, utilizing existing facilities in

refineries. This movement can be seen across many

types om companies in the industry.

EMPLOYEES AND PRODUCTION 1995 AND 2014

27 JANUARY, 2016 BUSINESS SWEDEN 7

THE OIL INDUSTRY IN JAPAN HAS EXPERIENCED

EXTENSIVE CONSOLIDATION SINCE 1995

SOURCE: JAPAN GAS ASSOCIATION

36 000

19 000

5,41

4

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

9

10

0

5000

10000

15000

20000

25000

30000

35000

40000

1995 2014

Mill

ion

ba

rre

ls p

er

day

Oil

ind

ustr

y e

mp

loye

es

Employees Million BPD

Page 8: MATERIALS & MANUFACTURING OPPORTUNITIES IN JAPAN · materials & manufacturing opportunities in japan business sweden tokyo ... source: nippon steel & sumitomo metal, metil, issb,

OVERVIEW

After the Lehman Shock, with the decrease in demand

for paper and paperboard, pulpwood consumption

decreased dramatically, but it is now moving sideways.

Import ratio of pulpwood has remained almost

unchanged.

Exports and imports in 2014 are 1,200 thousand tons

and 1,737 thousand tons respectively.

Major import markets are China, Indonesia, USA,

South Korea and Finland.

Paper and paperboard production in 2014 was 26,478

thousand tons, 0.9% increase over the previous year.

Japan is the third largest paper and paperboard

producer after the China and US.

27 JANUARY, 2016 BUSINESS SWEDEN 8

PAPER AND PULP SECTOR SHOWS STAGNANT GROWTH

SOURCE: JAPAN MINISTRY OF ECONOMY, TRADE AND INDUSTRY

2005

2013

2014

Hardwood Softwood Total Import rate

12 800 6 500 19 300 71.9%

10 700 5 000 15 700 67.7%

11 100 5 200 16 300 69.9%

31.5% 26.3%

China Indonesia USA Finland

9.1%

Germany

8.0% 7.9%

Sweden

10%

58.9% 24.8%

Taiwan

6.9%

South Korea USA

Imp

orts

Pa

pe

r P

aper

bo

ard

Pu

lpw

oo

d

consum

ptio

n

Co

nsu

mp

tion

Page 9: MATERIALS & MANUFACTURING OPPORTUNITIES IN JAPAN · materials & manufacturing opportunities in japan business sweden tokyo ... source: nippon steel & sumitomo metal, metil, issb,

IMPORTS OF FOREST PRODUCTS TO JAPAN 2002-2012

BUSINESS SWEDEN 27 JANUARY, 2016 9

IMPORTS OF FOREST PRODUCTS HAS STABLISED

SOURCE: JAPAN MINISTRY OF ECONOMY, TRADE AND INDUSTRY

0

2 000 000

4 000 000

6 000 000

8 000 000

10 000 000

12 000 000

14 000 000

2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

Cu

bic

metr

es

LOGS LUMBER WOODEN PANEL LAMINATED LUMBER

SECTOR IS MOVING SIDEWAYS SINCE 2009

Page 10: MATERIALS & MANUFACTURING OPPORTUNITIES IN JAPAN · materials & manufacturing opportunities in japan business sweden tokyo ... source: nippon steel & sumitomo metal, metil, issb,

OVERALL TREND FOR METAL IMPORTS IS STAGNANT

OVERVIEW

27 JANUARY, 2016 BUSINESS SWEDEN 10

SPECIALTY STEEL PRODUCTS SHOW STRONG GROWTH

SOURCE: NIPPON STEEL & SUMITOMO METAL, METIL, ISSB

Japan produces most of the steel required within the

country so imports are fairly negligible.

Steel exports tend to be steady over time and Japan was

the largest exporter in the world 2009 and 2010 before it

was overtaken by China in 2011.

Japanese exports were fairly steady in 2014 compared

to the previous year.

Imports of “other specialty steel products” is showing

solid growth since 2010 and has increased 238% this

includes specialty metals, such as high corrosion- and

heat-resistant alloys, acid-resistant alloys and alkali-

resistant alloys.

0

2000000

4000000

6000000

8000000

10000000

12000000

14000000

16000000

18000000

20000000

2010 2011 2012 2013

Millio

n J

PY

Iron and Steel Non-ferrous metal and products Fabricated metal products

0

50 000

100 000

150 000

200 000

250 000

300 000

350 000

400 000

450 000

2010 2011 2012 2013

Metr

ic t

on

nes

IMPORTS OF METAL AND PRODUCTS

OTHER SPECIALTY STEEL PRODUCTS

Page 11: MATERIALS & MANUFACTURING OPPORTUNITIES IN JAPAN · materials & manufacturing opportunities in japan business sweden tokyo ... source: nippon steel & sumitomo metal, metil, issb,

Japan is the world’s third largest market in terms of GDP (nominal) and home to some of the most famous car and

consumer electronics companies in the world.

Re-shoring efforts due to the weakening of the Japanese yen as well as rising costs in e.g. China is driving demand for

machine tools. In 2013 were 40% of all machine tools older than 20 years, spurring an increase in replacement orders.

Japan’s manufacturing industry needs the following in order to continue to drive the economy:

Demand from emerging nations, which indicate strong growth.

A strengthened industrial base for Japan’s manufacturing industry, in order to ensure that the country’s position can

be strengthened and maintained as a supply base for sophisticated products and components.

The Japanese Ministry of Economy, Trade and Industry (METI) has identified 5 focus areas for manufacturing in Japan:

Japan has also launched an industry initiative called IVI to counter the German Industrie 4.0 manufacturing initiative. IVI

is backed by major players such as Mitsubishi Electric, Nissan Motors, Fujitsu, Panasonic, etc. In total 30 companies.

BUSINESS SWEDEN 27 JANUARY, 2016 11

HIGH-LEVEL PRODUCTS AND COMPONENTS HAVE BEEN

IDENTIFIED AS FUTURE FOCUS AREAS FOR JAPAN

SOURCE: WORLD BANK, NIKKEI ASIAN REVIEW

High-level Products High-level Components

Vehicles Aircrafts Robots Fine Chemicals Carbon Fibre

Page 12: MATERIALS & MANUFACTURING OPPORTUNITIES IN JAPAN · materials & manufacturing opportunities in japan business sweden tokyo ... source: nippon steel & sumitomo metal, metil, issb,

Business Sweden

1-10-3-200 Roppongi, Minato-ku,

Tokyo, 106-0032, Japan

T +81 3 5562 5000

[email protected]

http://www.business-sweden.se/japan/

CONTACT US

BUSINESS SWEDEN IN TOKYO