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M.E.Stavsky Vice President OJSC NK Rosneft Moscow Carbon Market Forum 2008 April 28-29 Rosneft Experience in Preparing Joint Implementation Projects: Constraints and Prospects

M.E.Stavsky Vice President OJSC NK Rosneft Moscow Carbon Market Forum 2008 April 28-29 Rosneft Experience in Preparing Joint Implementation Projects: Constraints

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Page 1: M.E.Stavsky Vice President OJSC NK Rosneft Moscow Carbon Market Forum 2008 April 28-29 Rosneft Experience in Preparing Joint Implementation Projects: Constraints

M.E.StavskyVice President

OJSC NK Rosneft

Moscow Carbon Market Forum 2008April 28-29

Rosneft Experience in Preparing Joint Implementation Projects: Constraints and Prospects

Page 2: M.E.Stavsky Vice President OJSC NK Rosneft Moscow Carbon Market Forum 2008 April 28-29 Rosneft Experience in Preparing Joint Implementation Projects: Constraints

2

Associated Petroleum Gas (APG) Production and Utilization in Russia

APG Resource Distribution1 in Russia: 2007Oil and Condensate Production Growth in Russia

1 APG resources: amount of associated gas extracted together with oil

APG flaring is largely underestimated due to the absence of reliable production and recovery measurements

Рост в 1,6 раза

Рост в 2,4 раза

APG Production Growth in Russia

Source: Fuel and Energy Sector Central Dispatch Department

314 323380

421 459 469 481 491

0

100

200

300

400

500

1995 2000 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007

MMT

Oil Production

25.0 29.4 32.538.9

56.3 56.6 61.054.9

010203040506070

1995 2000 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007

bcm

APG Production (Recovery and Flaring)

16.8

bcm(28%)

44.2

bcm(72%) Recovered

Flared

Page 3: M.E.Stavsky Vice President OJSC NK Rosneft Moscow Carbon Market Forum 2008 April 28-29 Rosneft Experience in Preparing Joint Implementation Projects: Constraints

3

APG Utilization Issues in Russia

Key APG utilization issues:

Absence of additional gas processing capacities in some oil producing regions;

Restricted access to Gazprom’s Unified Gas Transmission System;

Large distances between certain fields and regional gas processing and transport centers;

A relatively narrow range of available technologies and technical solutions;

Low APG prices in oil producing regions.

Projects to develop gas collection, transport and processing infrastructure are not cost effective for non-Gazprom gas producers

Maintaining status quo means:

Atmosphere pollution by growing GHG emissions;

Suboptimal use of natural resources.

Page 4: M.E.Stavsky Vice President OJSC NK Rosneft Moscow Carbon Market Forum 2008 April 28-29 Rosneft Experience in Preparing Joint Implementation Projects: Constraints

4

Rosneft APG Utilization Program

APG Utilization Rate in Rosneft APG Utilization Options and Methods

Rosneft activities to enhance APG utilization:

Increasing APG utilization rate in existing fields; Maximizing APG utilization rate in new fields (Vankorskoye, Yurubcheno-Tokhomskoye); Looking for new technical solutions and APG utilization technologies.

0

5

10

15

20

2008 2012

bcm

Supply to GPP

Supply to Gazprom

Supply to other users

Own consumptionand power generation

Flaring

959593

686160.3

0

20

40

60

80

100

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

%

Page 5: M.E.Stavsky Vice President OJSC NK Rosneft Moscow Carbon Market Forum 2008 April 28-29 Rosneft Experience in Preparing Joint Implementation Projects: Constraints

5

APG Recovery Project in Komsomolskoye Oilfield

Project scope: Construction of a 2 bcm booster compressor station (BCS); Construction of an external gas pipeline.

Utilization of Komsomolskoye APG Resources

BCS put into operation

Project objectives: Utilization (treatment and supply to Gazprom trunk gas pipeline) over 2 bcm of APG by 2010; Addressing the APG utilization issue; Reduction of GHG emissions into the atmosphere.

Urengoi-Chelyabinsk trunk gas pipeline

BCS with a gas conditioning

unit

Komsomolskoye oilfield

Gubkinsky GPP

External gas pipeline

Current supply arrangementsNew supply arrangements

0

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020

bcm

APG production APG flaring

Page 6: M.E.Stavsky Vice President OJSC NK Rosneft Moscow Carbon Market Forum 2008 April 28-29 Rosneft Experience in Preparing Joint Implementation Projects: Constraints

6

Improving Project Economy Based on the Kyoto Protocol Mechanisms

Comparative Economic Indicators of the JI Project in Komsomolskoye Oilfield: 2010-2030

A Joint Implementation (JI) project under the Kyoto Protocol: A set of activities to reduce GHG emissions, with emission reduction unit (ERU) sale options to generate additional income;

The ERU sale facility allows increasing the project’s Internal Rate of Return;

The Kyoto Protocol offers a mechanism to reduce economic barriers to GHG emission reduction projects

Internal Rate of Return (IRR), %

10.519.6

Discounted Payback Period (DPP, 10%), years

17.37.3

Without ERU sale option With ERU sale option

Page 7: M.E.Stavsky Vice President OJSC NK Rosneft Moscow Carbon Market Forum 2008 April 28-29 Rosneft Experience in Preparing Joint Implementation Projects: Constraints

7

Key JI Project Design and Preparation Stages

Analysis of possible technical solutions for gas utilization, and selection of the most cost effective option;

Analysis of applicability of the Kyoto Protocol mechanisms with a view to improving project performance;

Analysis of project compliance with JI criteria, and selection of a methodology for estimating the GHG emission reduction level;

Preparation of technical design documents (TDD);

TDD: a preliminary independent review, publication for comments, and the final review.

Parallel stages: State Environmental Review of the project; ERU sale negotiations; Document preparation for project review at the national level.

Page 8: M.E.Stavsky Vice President OJSC NK Rosneft Moscow Carbon Market Forum 2008 April 28-29 Rosneft Experience in Preparing Joint Implementation Projects: Constraints

8

Methodology for Estimating the GHG Emission Reduction Level

Selecting of the project baseline scenario: estimating CO2 emissions from APG flaring;

Estimating emission level under the JI project;

Calculating Emission Reduction Units for further sales.

0

1 000

2 000

3 000

4 000

5 000

6 000

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10

СО

2 em

issi

on

s, t

ho

usa

nd

to

ns

Emission Reduction Units

Project implementation year

Baseline scenario emission level

Page 9: M.E.Stavsky Vice President OJSC NK Rosneft Moscow Carbon Market Forum 2008 April 28-29 Rosneft Experience in Preparing Joint Implementation Projects: Constraints

9

Scope of Technical Design Documents

Mandatory elements of technical design documents:

A. General description of project scope/activities;

B. Use of the baseline scenario selection methodology and additionality assessment;

C. Project lifetime / ERU generation period;

D. Use of the monitoring methodology and plan;

E. GHG emission assessment by source, and emission reduction estimates;

F. Project environmental impact assessment;

G. Stakeholder comments.

Specific elements of the ‘national’ package:

H. Description of project risks.

Page 10: M.E.Stavsky Vice President OJSC NK Rosneft Moscow Carbon Market Forum 2008 April 28-29 Rosneft Experience in Preparing Joint Implementation Projects: Constraints

10

NK Rosneft –World Bank Partnership

The Bank’s experts made 3 visits to the oilfield: in July and October 2007, and in March 2008.

The oilfield was also visited by experts from EcoSecurities (an international consulting firm responsible for the TDD Environmental Monitoring Section) and DNV Certification (a company that evaluated GNL project compliance at the final review stage).

World Bank and DNV Certification experts visit LLC RN-Purneftegaz, the Komsomolskoye oilfield operator

The World Bank is a partner to Rosneft as regards implementation of the Kyoto Protocol mechanisms in Russia’s oil industry.

Page 11: M.E.Stavsky Vice President OJSC NK Rosneft Moscow Carbon Market Forum 2008 April 28-29 Rosneft Experience in Preparing Joint Implementation Projects: Constraints

11

JI Project Constraints

Key methodological constraints:

There is no methodology to assess GHG emission reduction for a number of technical solutions providing for APG utilization (injection into the oil reservoir, underground gas storage facilities)

– Potential APG recovery by NK Rosneft under such projects is estimated at not less than 1 bcm per year;

TDD preparation involves much labor input and relatively high costs, and therefore JI projects are not cost effective for small oilfields

– Potential APG recovery by NK Rosneft under such projects is estimated, in the aggregate, at not less than 0.5 bcm per year;

There is no practical experience in using available methodologies in the Russian context.

National-level constraints:

There is no practical experience in JI project review and approval by authorized public bodies;

The regulatory legal framework governing relations arising from JI project preparation and implementation needs further elaboration and improvement;

It is necessary to specify JI mechanisms in terms of hydrocarbon field licensing and operation.

Page 12: M.E.Stavsky Vice President OJSC NK Rosneft Moscow Carbon Market Forum 2008 April 28-29 Rosneft Experience in Preparing Joint Implementation Projects: Constraints

12

Prospects for JI Use in Russia

Additional investment in the Russian economy to address the GHG emission reduction issue: up to 3 billion Euros in 2008-2012;

Encouraging transition to more stringent environmental protection standards;

Creation of new jobs and tax revenue growth;

Encouraging new technology development;

Releasing oil companies’ investment resources for enhanced raw material base reproduction;

Rational use of available natural gas resources.

Page 13: M.E.Stavsky Vice President OJSC NK Rosneft Moscow Carbon Market Forum 2008 April 28-29 Rosneft Experience in Preparing Joint Implementation Projects: Constraints

13

Additional slides

Page 14: M.E.Stavsky Vice President OJSC NK Rosneft Moscow Carbon Market Forum 2008 April 28-29 Rosneft Experience in Preparing Joint Implementation Projects: Constraints

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JI Project Preparation in Komsomolskoye Oilfield: Actual Work Schedule

2006 2007 2008

3rd Q. 4th Q. 1st Q. 2nd Q. 3rd Q. 4th Q. 1st Q. 2nd Q. 3rd Q.

Analysis of possible technical solutions for gas utilization, and selection of the most cost effective option;

Search for and selection of the Partner to consider the use of the Kyoto Protocol mechanisms

Analysis of project compliance with JI criteria, and methodology selection

Project assessment using the JI mechanism

Signature of the Letter of Intent with the Partner

Selection of the company to prepare technical design documents (TDD). TDD preparation

TDD predetermination and publication for comments

TDD final determination

  

          Preparation of design documents and cost estimates for the technical project; state review; and approvals

            Bidding for equipment supply

  

        Negotiations on Emission Reduction Unit Sales   

            Document package preparation and application submission for project review at the national level