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M.E.StavskyVice President
OJSC NK Rosneft
Moscow Carbon Market Forum 2008April 28-29
Rosneft Experience in Preparing Joint Implementation Projects: Constraints and Prospects
2
Associated Petroleum Gas (APG) Production and Utilization in Russia
APG Resource Distribution1 in Russia: 2007Oil and Condensate Production Growth in Russia
1 APG resources: amount of associated gas extracted together with oil
APG flaring is largely underestimated due to the absence of reliable production and recovery measurements
Рост в 1,6 раза
Рост в 2,4 раза
APG Production Growth in Russia
Source: Fuel and Energy Sector Central Dispatch Department
314 323380
421 459 469 481 491
0
100
200
300
400
500
1995 2000 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007
MMT
Oil Production
25.0 29.4 32.538.9
56.3 56.6 61.054.9
010203040506070
1995 2000 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007
bcm
APG Production (Recovery and Flaring)
16.8
bcm(28%)
44.2
bcm(72%) Recovered
Flared
3
APG Utilization Issues in Russia
Key APG utilization issues:
Absence of additional gas processing capacities in some oil producing regions;
Restricted access to Gazprom’s Unified Gas Transmission System;
Large distances between certain fields and regional gas processing and transport centers;
A relatively narrow range of available technologies and technical solutions;
Low APG prices in oil producing regions.
Projects to develop gas collection, transport and processing infrastructure are not cost effective for non-Gazprom gas producers
Maintaining status quo means:
Atmosphere pollution by growing GHG emissions;
Suboptimal use of natural resources.
4
Rosneft APG Utilization Program
APG Utilization Rate in Rosneft APG Utilization Options and Methods
Rosneft activities to enhance APG utilization:
Increasing APG utilization rate in existing fields; Maximizing APG utilization rate in new fields (Vankorskoye, Yurubcheno-Tokhomskoye); Looking for new technical solutions and APG utilization technologies.
0
5
10
15
20
2008 2012
bcm
Supply to GPP
Supply to Gazprom
Supply to other users
Own consumptionand power generation
Flaring
959593
686160.3
0
20
40
60
80
100
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
%
5
APG Recovery Project in Komsomolskoye Oilfield
Project scope: Construction of a 2 bcm booster compressor station (BCS); Construction of an external gas pipeline.
Utilization of Komsomolskoye APG Resources
BCS put into operation
Project objectives: Utilization (treatment and supply to Gazprom trunk gas pipeline) over 2 bcm of APG by 2010; Addressing the APG utilization issue; Reduction of GHG emissions into the atmosphere.
Urengoi-Chelyabinsk trunk gas pipeline
BCS with a gas conditioning
unit
Komsomolskoye oilfield
Gubkinsky GPP
External gas pipeline
Current supply arrangementsNew supply arrangements
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020
bcm
APG production APG flaring
6
Improving Project Economy Based on the Kyoto Protocol Mechanisms
Comparative Economic Indicators of the JI Project in Komsomolskoye Oilfield: 2010-2030
A Joint Implementation (JI) project under the Kyoto Protocol: A set of activities to reduce GHG emissions, with emission reduction unit (ERU) sale options to generate additional income;
The ERU sale facility allows increasing the project’s Internal Rate of Return;
The Kyoto Protocol offers a mechanism to reduce economic barriers to GHG emission reduction projects
Internal Rate of Return (IRR), %
10.519.6
Discounted Payback Period (DPP, 10%), years
17.37.3
Without ERU sale option With ERU sale option
7
Key JI Project Design and Preparation Stages
Analysis of possible technical solutions for gas utilization, and selection of the most cost effective option;
Analysis of applicability of the Kyoto Protocol mechanisms with a view to improving project performance;
Analysis of project compliance with JI criteria, and selection of a methodology for estimating the GHG emission reduction level;
Preparation of technical design documents (TDD);
TDD: a preliminary independent review, publication for comments, and the final review.
Parallel stages: State Environmental Review of the project; ERU sale negotiations; Document preparation for project review at the national level.
8
Methodology for Estimating the GHG Emission Reduction Level
Selecting of the project baseline scenario: estimating CO2 emissions from APG flaring;
Estimating emission level under the JI project;
Calculating Emission Reduction Units for further sales.
0
1 000
2 000
3 000
4 000
5 000
6 000
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
СО
2 em
issi
on
s, t
ho
usa
nd
to
ns
Emission Reduction Units
Project implementation year
Baseline scenario emission level
9
Scope of Technical Design Documents
Mandatory elements of technical design documents:
A. General description of project scope/activities;
B. Use of the baseline scenario selection methodology and additionality assessment;
C. Project lifetime / ERU generation period;
D. Use of the monitoring methodology and plan;
E. GHG emission assessment by source, and emission reduction estimates;
F. Project environmental impact assessment;
G. Stakeholder comments.
Specific elements of the ‘national’ package:
H. Description of project risks.
10
NK Rosneft –World Bank Partnership
The Bank’s experts made 3 visits to the oilfield: in July and October 2007, and in March 2008.
The oilfield was also visited by experts from EcoSecurities (an international consulting firm responsible for the TDD Environmental Monitoring Section) and DNV Certification (a company that evaluated GNL project compliance at the final review stage).
World Bank and DNV Certification experts visit LLC RN-Purneftegaz, the Komsomolskoye oilfield operator
The World Bank is a partner to Rosneft as regards implementation of the Kyoto Protocol mechanisms in Russia’s oil industry.
11
JI Project Constraints
Key methodological constraints:
There is no methodology to assess GHG emission reduction for a number of technical solutions providing for APG utilization (injection into the oil reservoir, underground gas storage facilities)
– Potential APG recovery by NK Rosneft under such projects is estimated at not less than 1 bcm per year;
TDD preparation involves much labor input and relatively high costs, and therefore JI projects are not cost effective for small oilfields
– Potential APG recovery by NK Rosneft under such projects is estimated, in the aggregate, at not less than 0.5 bcm per year;
There is no practical experience in using available methodologies in the Russian context.
National-level constraints:
There is no practical experience in JI project review and approval by authorized public bodies;
The regulatory legal framework governing relations arising from JI project preparation and implementation needs further elaboration and improvement;
It is necessary to specify JI mechanisms in terms of hydrocarbon field licensing and operation.
12
Prospects for JI Use in Russia
Additional investment in the Russian economy to address the GHG emission reduction issue: up to 3 billion Euros in 2008-2012;
Encouraging transition to more stringent environmental protection standards;
Creation of new jobs and tax revenue growth;
Encouraging new technology development;
Releasing oil companies’ investment resources for enhanced raw material base reproduction;
Rational use of available natural gas resources.
13
Additional slides
14
JI Project Preparation in Komsomolskoye Oilfield: Actual Work Schedule
2006 2007 2008
3rd Q. 4th Q. 1st Q. 2nd Q. 3rd Q. 4th Q. 1st Q. 2nd Q. 3rd Q.
Analysis of possible technical solutions for gas utilization, and selection of the most cost effective option;
Search for and selection of the Partner to consider the use of the Kyoto Protocol mechanisms
Analysis of project compliance with JI criteria, and methodology selection
Project assessment using the JI mechanism
Signature of the Letter of Intent with the Partner
Selection of the company to prepare technical design documents (TDD). TDD preparation
TDD predetermination and publication for comments
TDD final determination
Preparation of design documents and cost estimates for the technical project; state review; and approvals
Bidding for equipment supply
Negotiations on Emission Reduction Unit Sales
Document package preparation and application submission for project review at the national level