February 07, 2012 National Institute of Statistics of Rwanda 1
NATIONAL INSTITUTE OF STATISTICS OF RWANDA
EDPRS2, EICV3 & DHS4
Joint Launch
Key Statistics Highlights
February 2012
BY Yusuf MURANGWANISR Director General
Background Coverage (EICV3 and DHS4) Economic performance
Statistics EICV3 & DHS4 Other countries experience Reasons for improvement Challenges Way forward
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Scope
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EICV3 (2010/11) The 3rd in series following EICV1 & EICV2 in 2000/1 and 2005/6
respectively.
Covers household living conditions including: income, expenditure, poverty, housing conditions, education, employment….
DHS4 (2010) The 4th in a series following DHS1, DHS2, DHS3 in 1992, 2000 & 2005.
An interim one was conducted in 2007/8.
Covers household health conditions especially women and children including: fertility, access to health facilities, anemia, malaria, nutrition, HIV….
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Background
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Background
Average GDP growth 2006 – 2010: 8.4%
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Background
GDP per capita: Vision 2020 target USD 900
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Statistics
% Net primary school attendance, EICV3: Overall 91.7%.
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Statistics
% Net secondary school attendance, EICV3: Overall 20.9%.
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Statistics
% with safe drinking water, EICV3: Overall 74.2%.
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Statistics
% with electricity for lighting, EICV3: Overall 10.8%.
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Statistics
% ownership of mobile phones, EICV3: Overall 45.2%.
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Statistics
Poverty: Target EDPRS1 in 2012 is 46%
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Statistics
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2000/01 2005/6 2010/11 % Reduction
RWANDA 58.9% 56.7% 44.9% 11.8%
Kigali City 22.7% 20.8% 16.8% 4.0%
Eastern Province 59.3% 52.1% 42.6% 9.5%
Northern Province 64.2% 60.5% 42.8% 17.7%
Western Province 62.3% 60.4% 48.4% 12.0%
Southern Province 65.5% 66.7% 56.5% 10.2%
Poverty status by Province
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Statistics
Poverty distribution by district%.
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Statistics
Evolution of Inequality
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Growth incidence curves
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13
57
911
1315
1719
2123
2527
2931
3335
3739
4143
4547
4951
5355
5759
6163
6567
6971
7375
7779
8183
8587
8991
9395
9799
00.010.010.020.020.030.030.040.04
Growth incidence curve 1999/2001 to 2005/06
13
57
911
1315
1719
2123
2527
2931
3335
3739
4143
4547
4951
5355
5759
6163
6567
6971
7375
7779
8183
8587
8991
9395
9799
0
0.02
0.04
0.06
0.08
0.1
0.12
Growth incidence curve 2005/06 to 2010/11
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Trends in Maternal Health
Maternal Mortality
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Contraceptive Use
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Percentage of currently married women using any modern method
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Trend in Fertility
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At current fertility levels, a
woman in Rwanda will
have an average of 4.64.6 children in her
entire reproductive life
TFR for women age 15-49 for the 3-year period preceding the survey
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Trends in Children Health
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Undernourished Children
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More than 2 SD below the median of WHO Child Growth Standards adopted in 2006.
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HIV Prevalence
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Total
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Other countries poverty reduction experience
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Country
ReductionYears
Average annual reduction achieved Year range
China 61.4 24 2.56 1981 -2005 Ghana 25.4 18 1.41 1987-2005 Kenya 19.3 13 1.48 1992-2005 Malaysia 4.5 20 0.23 1984-2004 Senegal 21.1 14 1.51 1991-2005Thailand 32.5 13 2.50 1981-2004 Tunisia 12.3 15 0.82 1985-2000Vietnam 33 12 2.75 1992-2004Rwanda 32.9 17 1.9 1994-2011Rwanda 11.8 5 2.4 2006-2011
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Reasons for improvement in poverty reduction
Improved agriculture production Agro business Farm wage employment Increase in nonfarm wages Income transfers (from family and friends) Slowing population growth Improvements in infrastructure (roads,
electricity, markets…)
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Challenges in poverty reduction
Population growth Price increases (both food and non food items) Agriculture (more can be achieved especially in
some districts with poor performance) Creating more nonfarm and self employment Trade especially in agro products can be
improved Development infrastructure (roads, electricity,
markets...)
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Way forward
Launch EICV3 and DHS4 results – Beginning February 2012
Prepare EDPRS sector analysis reports – By end May 2012
Prepare comprehensive district profiles – By end May 2012
Conduct interim studies – 2013/2014
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End
Thank You
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