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July 27, 2017 North Houston District Market Update

North Houston District Market Update · PDF fileSource: Greater Houston Partnership Gliding along the bottom of the bathtub? The Macro Environment ... Source: CoStar. North Houston

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Page 1: North Houston District Market Update · PDF fileSource: Greater Houston Partnership Gliding along the bottom of the bathtub? The Macro Environment ... Source: CoStar. North Houston

July 27, 2017

North Houston District Market Update

Page 2: North Houston District Market Update · PDF fileSource: Greater Houston Partnership Gliding along the bottom of the bathtub? The Macro Environment ... Source: CoStar. North Houston

The North Houston District Submarket: 1H 2017

Page 3: North Houston District Market Update · PDF fileSource: Greater Houston Partnership Gliding along the bottom of the bathtub? The Macro Environment ... Source: CoStar. North Houston

North Houston District

Page 4: North Houston District Market Update · PDF fileSource: Greater Houston Partnership Gliding along the bottom of the bathtub? The Macro Environment ... Source: CoStar. North Houston

The Macro Environment

2017 Mid-Year Update

2017A Transition Year

Source: Greater Houston Partnership

Gliding along the

bottom of the bathtub?

Page 5: North Houston District Market Update · PDF fileSource: Greater Houston Partnership Gliding along the bottom of the bathtub? The Macro Environment ... Source: CoStar. North Houston

The Macro Environment

Oil & Gas

Page 6: North Houston District Market Update · PDF fileSource: Greater Houston Partnership Gliding along the bottom of the bathtub? The Macro Environment ... Source: CoStar. North Houston

The Macro Environment

Oil & Gas

Source: Dallas Federal Reserve Bank

Page 7: North Houston District Market Update · PDF fileSource: Greater Houston Partnership Gliding along the bottom of the bathtub? The Macro Environment ... Source: CoStar. North Houston

The Macro Environment

Oil & Gas

Page 8: North Houston District Market Update · PDF fileSource: Greater Houston Partnership Gliding along the bottom of the bathtub? The Macro Environment ... Source: CoStar. North Houston

The Macro Environment

Oil & Gas

Source: Dallas Federal Reserve Bank

Page 9: North Houston District Market Update · PDF fileSource: Greater Houston Partnership Gliding along the bottom of the bathtub? The Macro Environment ... Source: CoStar. North Houston

The Macro Environment

Oil & Gas

Page 10: North Houston District Market Update · PDF fileSource: Greater Houston Partnership Gliding along the bottom of the bathtub? The Macro Environment ... Source: CoStar. North Houston

The Macro Environment

Source: Greater Houston Partnership

Page 11: North Houston District Market Update · PDF fileSource: Greater Houston Partnership Gliding along the bottom of the bathtub? The Macro Environment ... Source: CoStar. North Houston

The Macro Environment

Source: Greater Houston Partnership

Page 12: North Houston District Market Update · PDF fileSource: Greater Houston Partnership Gliding along the bottom of the bathtub? The Macro Environment ... Source: CoStar. North Houston

The Macro Environment

2017 Mid-Year Update

2017A Transition Year

Source: Greater Houston Partnership

Gliding along the

bottom of the bathtub?

Page 13: North Houston District Market Update · PDF fileSource: Greater Houston Partnership Gliding along the bottom of the bathtub? The Macro Environment ... Source: CoStar. North Houston

The Capital Markets

Lending

Page 14: North Houston District Market Update · PDF fileSource: Greater Houston Partnership Gliding along the bottom of the bathtub? The Macro Environment ... Source: CoStar. North Houston

The Capital Markets

Lending

Page 15: North Houston District Market Update · PDF fileSource: Greater Houston Partnership Gliding along the bottom of the bathtub? The Macro Environment ... Source: CoStar. North Houston

The Capital Markets

Lending

Page 16: North Houston District Market Update · PDF fileSource: Greater Houston Partnership Gliding along the bottom of the bathtub? The Macro Environment ... Source: CoStar. North Houston

The Capital Markets

Lending

Page 17: North Houston District Market Update · PDF fileSource: Greater Houston Partnership Gliding along the bottom of the bathtub? The Macro Environment ... Source: CoStar. North Houston

The Capital Markets

Lending

Source: ULI

Page 18: North Houston District Market Update · PDF fileSource: Greater Houston Partnership Gliding along the bottom of the bathtub? The Macro Environment ... Source: CoStar. North Houston

The Capital Markets

Lending

Page 19: North Houston District Market Update · PDF fileSource: Greater Houston Partnership Gliding along the bottom of the bathtub? The Macro Environment ... Source: CoStar. North Houston

The Capital Markets

Lending

Page 20: North Houston District Market Update · PDF fileSource: Greater Houston Partnership Gliding along the bottom of the bathtub? The Macro Environment ... Source: CoStar. North Houston

North Houston District

Market Snapshot

Office Class A

Office Class B & C

Industrial/Flex Class A

Industrial/Flex Class B & C

Retail

Page 21: North Houston District Market Update · PDF fileSource: Greater Houston Partnership Gliding along the bottom of the bathtub? The Macro Environment ... Source: CoStar. North Houston

2017 Development Highlights

101,111 SF 41,000 SF

vinmar

37,617 SF 18,073 SF13,900 SF

NORTH HOUSTON

64,000 SF

OFFICE

855,000 SF

OTHERINDUSTRIAL

Page 22: North Houston District Market Update · PDF fileSource: Greater Houston Partnership Gliding along the bottom of the bathtub? The Macro Environment ... Source: CoStar. North Houston

Houston Office MarketOverview

Page 23: North Houston District Market Update · PDF fileSource: Greater Houston Partnership Gliding along the bottom of the bathtub? The Macro Environment ... Source: CoStar. North Houston

Houston Office MarketOverview

Highlights from CBRE 2Q

Press Briefing on July 18

Leasing Activity

3.2 M sf

In 2Q, nearly double 1Q

3 M sf sublease space

To burn off in next 2.5 years

(availability won’t go up; vacancy will)

“Flight to Quality”

Vacancy =

A

B

Page 24: North Houston District Market Update · PDF fileSource: Greater Houston Partnership Gliding along the bottom of the bathtub? The Macro Environment ... Source: CoStar. North Houston

North Houston District Submarket

Office

Source: CoStar

Page 25: North Houston District Market Update · PDF fileSource: Greater Houston Partnership Gliding along the bottom of the bathtub? The Macro Environment ... Source: CoStar. North Houston

North Houston District Submarket

Class A Office

Source: CoStar

Page 26: North Houston District Market Update · PDF fileSource: Greater Houston Partnership Gliding along the bottom of the bathtub? The Macro Environment ... Source: CoStar. North Houston

North Houston District Submarket

Class A Office

Source: CoStar

Page 27: North Houston District Market Update · PDF fileSource: Greater Houston Partnership Gliding along the bottom of the bathtub? The Macro Environment ... Source: CoStar. North Houston

North Houston District Submarket

Class A Office

Source: CoStar

Page 28: North Houston District Market Update · PDF fileSource: Greater Houston Partnership Gliding along the bottom of the bathtub? The Macro Environment ... Source: CoStar. North Houston

North Houston District Submarket

Class A Office

Class A Office Pricing

$23.50per square

foot

Five-year

average:

$27.08 per square

foot

Source: CoStar

Page 29: North Houston District Market Update · PDF fileSource: Greater Houston Partnership Gliding along the bottom of the bathtub? The Macro Environment ... Source: CoStar. North Houston

North Houston District Submarket

Class A Office

So What Does it Mean?

• Large Blocks

• Nice Buildings

• Value Pricing

• Headquarters Opportunities

Page 30: North Houston District Market Update · PDF fileSource: Greater Houston Partnership Gliding along the bottom of the bathtub? The Macro Environment ... Source: CoStar. North Houston

North Houston District

Headquarters Opportunities

Headquartered In Houston

Headquartered In

North Houston District

Page 31: North Houston District Market Update · PDF fileSource: Greater Houston Partnership Gliding along the bottom of the bathtub? The Macro Environment ... Source: CoStar. North Houston

Tax & Regulatory Environment

No State, Personal or Corporate Income Tax

Business-friendly Regulatory Environment

North Houston District

Headquarters Opportunities

Page 32: North Houston District Market Update · PDF fileSource: Greater Houston Partnership Gliding along the bottom of the bathtub? The Macro Environment ... Source: CoStar. North Houston

Workforce Training/Higher Education

One of Texas’s largest community colleges with

workforce training in numerous fields

Two Tier 1 Universities in the Houston Region

North Houston District

Headquarters Opportunities

Page 33: North Houston District Market Update · PDF fileSource: Greater Houston Partnership Gliding along the bottom of the bathtub? The Macro Environment ... Source: CoStar. North Houston

Destination Miles Min

Downtown 13 19

Bush Intercontinental

Airport (IAH) 6 10

Port of Houston 22 30

Texas Medical Center 20 29

The Galleria 19 25

The Woodlands 17 20

Energy Corridor 22 25

Generation Park 14 18

Source: Yahoo! Maps, Driving Directions

North Houston District

Headquarters Opportunities

Page 34: North Houston District Market Update · PDF fileSource: Greater Houston Partnership Gliding along the bottom of the bathtub? The Macro Environment ... Source: CoStar. North Houston

North Houston District

Headquarters Opportunities

Available Class A Office Space

Affordable Rates Large Contiguous Blocks Available

Strong Value Proposition

Why North Houston District?

Page 35: North Houston District Market Update · PDF fileSource: Greater Houston Partnership Gliding along the bottom of the bathtub? The Macro Environment ... Source: CoStar. North Houston

North Houston District

Headquarters Opportunities

Buildings with Sizeable Space Available (sample listing)

Greenspoint Place

(multiple buildings)

8 GreenspointNorthborough

Tower

13401 North Freeway

TowerparkNorth

(10700 North Fwy)

16676 Northchase

Page 36: North Houston District Market Update · PDF fileSource: Greater Houston Partnership Gliding along the bottom of the bathtub? The Macro Environment ... Source: CoStar. North Houston

North Houston District Submarket

Class B&C Office

Source: CoStar

Page 37: North Houston District Market Update · PDF fileSource: Greater Houston Partnership Gliding along the bottom of the bathtub? The Macro Environment ... Source: CoStar. North Houston

North Houston District Submarket

Class B&C Office

Source: CoStar

Page 38: North Houston District Market Update · PDF fileSource: Greater Houston Partnership Gliding along the bottom of the bathtub? The Macro Environment ... Source: CoStar. North Houston

North Houston District Submarket

Class B&C Office

Source: CoStar

Page 39: North Houston District Market Update · PDF fileSource: Greater Houston Partnership Gliding along the bottom of the bathtub? The Macro Environment ... Source: CoStar. North Houston

North Houston District Submarket

Class B&C Office

Class B & C Office Pricing

$16.09per square

foot

Five-year

average:

$15.41per square

foot

Source: CoStar

Page 40: North Houston District Market Update · PDF fileSource: Greater Houston Partnership Gliding along the bottom of the bathtub? The Macro Environment ... Source: CoStar. North Houston

Houston Industrial Market

Houston Industrial Market Overview

• Strong in warehouse/distribution

• Soft in manufacturing (crane-served)

• Positive net absorption and disciplined development

• E-commerce driving trends

Page 41: North Houston District Market Update · PDF fileSource: Greater Houston Partnership Gliding along the bottom of the bathtub? The Macro Environment ... Source: CoStar. North Houston

North Houston District Submarket

Industrial/Flex

Source: CoStar

Page 42: North Houston District Market Update · PDF fileSource: Greater Houston Partnership Gliding along the bottom of the bathtub? The Macro Environment ... Source: CoStar. North Houston

North Houston District Submarket

Class A Industrial/Flex

0.00

1.10

1.10

2.75

0.00 0.50 1.00 1.50 2.00 2.50 3.00

SUBLET (MSF)

VACANT (MSF)

AVAILABLE (MSF)

TOTAL (MSF)

Class A Ind./Flex

Source: CoStar

Page 43: North Houston District Market Update · PDF fileSource: Greater Houston Partnership Gliding along the bottom of the bathtub? The Macro Environment ... Source: CoStar. North Houston

North Houston District Submarket

Class A Industrial/Flex

Source: CoStar

Page 44: North Houston District Market Update · PDF fileSource: Greater Houston Partnership Gliding along the bottom of the bathtub? The Macro Environment ... Source: CoStar. North Houston

North Houston District Submarket

Industrial/FlexWhy North Houston?

Freeway Network Proximity to Airport

Construction

Start

3Q 2016

Finish

3Q 2017

582 jobs,

$110.6 million

Facts/Figures

855,000 sf 2,500 jobs$173 million annual economic impact

Page 45: North Houston District Market Update · PDF fileSource: Greater Houston Partnership Gliding along the bottom of the bathtub? The Macro Environment ... Source: CoStar. North Houston

North Houston District Submarket

Industrial/Flex

Opened July 16

Page 46: North Houston District Market Update · PDF fileSource: Greater Houston Partnership Gliding along the bottom of the bathtub? The Macro Environment ... Source: CoStar. North Houston

North Houston District Submarket

Industrial/Flex

Page 47: North Houston District Market Update · PDF fileSource: Greater Houston Partnership Gliding along the bottom of the bathtub? The Macro Environment ... Source: CoStar. North Houston

North Houston District Submarket

Class B&C Industrial/Flex

Source: CoStar

Page 48: North Houston District Market Update · PDF fileSource: Greater Houston Partnership Gliding along the bottom of the bathtub? The Macro Environment ... Source: CoStar. North Houston

North Houston District Submarket

Class B&C Industrial/Flex

Source: CoStar

Page 49: North Houston District Market Update · PDF fileSource: Greater Houston Partnership Gliding along the bottom of the bathtub? The Macro Environment ... Source: CoStar. North Houston

North Houston District Submarket

Retail

RetailBig component of North Houston

District’s commercial real estate market

Approximately

195 buildings

5.3 million sf

>$600 million in value

Page 50: North Houston District Market Update · PDF fileSource: Greater Houston Partnership Gliding along the bottom of the bathtub? The Macro Environment ... Source: CoStar. North Houston

North Houston District Submarket

Retail

The

New

Retail Paradigm

HIGH-END

MIDDLE

LOW-END

Page 51: North Houston District Market Update · PDF fileSource: Greater Houston Partnership Gliding along the bottom of the bathtub? The Macro Environment ... Source: CoStar. North Houston

North Houston District Submarket

Retail

NOTHERE

HIGH-END

Page 52: North Houston District Market Update · PDF fileSource: Greater Houston Partnership Gliding along the bottom of the bathtub? The Macro Environment ... Source: CoStar. North Houston

North Houston District Submarket

Retail

MIDDLE

Old Middle…

…New Middle

Page 53: North Houston District Market Update · PDF fileSource: Greater Houston Partnership Gliding along the bottom of the bathtub? The Macro Environment ... Source: CoStar. North Houston

North Houston District Submarket

Retail

LOW-END

Page 54: North Houston District Market Update · PDF fileSource: Greater Houston Partnership Gliding along the bottom of the bathtub? The Macro Environment ... Source: CoStar. North Houston

North Houston District Submarket

Retail

Page 55: North Houston District Market Update · PDF fileSource: Greater Houston Partnership Gliding along the bottom of the bathtub? The Macro Environment ... Source: CoStar. North Houston

North Houston District Submarket

Retail

Hispanic-Focused Retail - Another Strong Retail Segment

Page 56: North Houston District Market Update · PDF fileSource: Greater Houston Partnership Gliding along the bottom of the bathtub? The Macro Environment ... Source: CoStar. North Houston

North Houston District Submarket

Retail

And there is retail under construction and land for more…

Page 57: North Houston District Market Update · PDF fileSource: Greater Houston Partnership Gliding along the bottom of the bathtub? The Macro Environment ... Source: CoStar. North Houston

North Houston District Submarket

Retail

Source: CoStarSource: CoStar

Page 58: North Houston District Market Update · PDF fileSource: Greater Houston Partnership Gliding along the bottom of the bathtub? The Macro Environment ... Source: CoStar. North Houston

North Houston District Submarket

Retail

Source: CoStarSource: CoStar

Page 59: North Houston District Market Update · PDF fileSource: Greater Houston Partnership Gliding along the bottom of the bathtub? The Macro Environment ... Source: CoStar. North Houston

North Houston District Submarket

Retail

Retail Pricing

$12.56per square

foot NNN

Five-year

average:

$12.40per square

foot NNN

Source: CoStar

Page 60: North Houston District Market Update · PDF fileSource: Greater Houston Partnership Gliding along the bottom of the bathtub? The Macro Environment ... Source: CoStar. North Houston

Questions?

Page 61: North Houston District Market Update · PDF fileSource: Greater Houston Partnership Gliding along the bottom of the bathtub? The Macro Environment ... Source: CoStar. North Houston

Tell Us What You Think

Page 62: North Houston District Market Update · PDF fileSource: Greater Houston Partnership Gliding along the bottom of the bathtub? The Macro Environment ... Source: CoStar. North Houston

Connect With Us! northhouston.org

NHDistrict

Page 63: North Houston District Market Update · PDF fileSource: Greater Houston Partnership Gliding along the bottom of the bathtub? The Macro Environment ... Source: CoStar. North Houston

North Houston DistrictMarket Update

July 27, 2017