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    Effect of Carvedilol on Survival in

    Severe Chronic Heart Failure

    The New England

    Journal of Medicine

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    PRESENTED BY: B8

    CRP 2

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    Artikel: Effect of Carvedilol on Survival

    in Severe Chronic Heart Failure

    Background :

    There was no evidence that beta-blocker

    agents may reduce the morbidity and

    mortality of patients with severe heart failure.

    There is a large scale study shows that beta-

    blocker may have adverse effect and worsen

    the heart failure.

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    Objective :

    To prove whether carvedilol (beta-blockeragent) could improve symptoms and reduce

    the risk of severe chronic heart failureprogression.

    To prove whether carvedilol ( beta-blocker

    agent ) can interfere with the adverse effect ofsympathetic activation through severalnonadrenergic mechanisms.

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    Method:

    From the 2289 patients who had chronic heart

    failure by the symptoms of clinically

    euvolemic, 1133 patients assigned as a

    placebo group and the rest (1156 patients) as

    a treatment group with carvedilol for a mean

    period of 10.4 months in which standardtherapy for heart failure was continued.

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    Therapy Worksheet

    Validity : Are the results of this singlepreventive or therapeutic trial valid?

    Was the assignment of patients to treatments

    randomized? Answer:

    Yes, based on page 1652 Study Design section

    par 1: Patients who fulfilled all the entrycriteria were randomly signed in a 1:1ratio,.

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    Was the randomization list concealed?

    Answer:

    Yes, based on page 1652 Statistical Analysissection par. 3 : An independent data and

    safety monitoring board was prospectively

    constituted at the start of the study;.

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    Was follow-up of patients sufficiently long and

    complete?

    Answer:

    Yes, the patients were evaluated every 2

    months for a period of 10.4 months, based on

    page 1653, RESULTS section.

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    Were all patients analyzed in the groups towhich they were randomized?

    Answer :

    Yes, based on Statistical analysis section page1652 : The analyses included all randomizedpatients and all events were attributed to the

    patients original randomly assignedtreatment group (according to the intention-to-treat principle.

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    Were patients, clinicians and study personnel

    kept blind to treatment?

    Answer: Yes

    Reff : page 1653, results, paragraph 3, line 13-16

    Less than 5% knew they were gave beta blocker

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    Were the groups treated equally, apart from the

    experimantal treatment?

    Answer: Yes

    Reff: page 1652, Methods : study design,paragraph 1

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    They be given the same dose and the

    same evaluation

    Were the groups similar at the start of the

    trial apart from the experimental

    therapy?

    Answer: Yes

    Reff: page 1652, Methods: study patient,

    paragraph 2-3

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    Group/

    death

    no yes

    P 943 190 1133

    C 1026 130 1156

    2289

    IMPORTANT

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    Relative risk

    reduction (RRR)

    Absolute

    risk

    reduction(AAR)

    Number

    needed to

    treat (NNT)

    CER EER CER EER/CER CER - EER 1/ARR

    190/1133

    = 16,77%

    130/1156

    = 11,25%

    16,77%-

    11,25%/16,77%

    = 32,90%

    16,77%-

    11,25% =

    5,52%

    1/5,52% =

    18

    95 % 19% - 48% 2 to 5

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    Group/

    Hospital

    no yes

    P 626 507 1133

    C 731 425 1156

    2289

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    Relative risk

    reduction (RRR)

    Absolute

    risk

    reduction(AAR)

    Number

    needed to

    treat (NNT)

    CER EER CER EER/CER CER - EER 1/ARR

    507/1133

    = 44,75%

    425/1156

    = 36,76%

    44,75%-

    36,76%/44,75%

    = 17,85%

    44,75%-

    36,76% =

    7,99%

    1/7,99% =

    13

    95 % 13% - 33% 3 to 8

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    INTERPRETATIONS:

    RRR? Pasien yang diberi terapi -blocker

    33% decrease in the risk of death

    17,85% decrease in the risk of

    hospitalization and death.

    ARR? Perbedaan resiko kematian antara

    kelompok kontrol dengan kelompok

    eksperimen adalah 5,52% : 7,99%.

    NNT? 18 orang (death)

    13 orang (hospitalization and death).

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    Can you apply this valid, important evidence

    about therapy in caring for your patient?

    Do these results apply to our patient?

    Is our patient so differentfrom those in the study that

    its results cannot apply?

    Is the treatment feasible in our setting?

    APPLICABILITY

    YES

    NO

    YES

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    What are our patients potential benefits

    and harms from the therapy?

    Risk of the outcome in our patient,relative to patients in the trial.

    Expressed as a decimal:______

    NNT/ f =______/______=______

    (NNT for patients like ours)

    Our patients expected event rate

    if they received

    the control treatment (PEER) =______

    1/(PEER RRR) = 1/________=______

    (NNT for patients like ours)

    Method I: f

    Method II:1/(PEER RRR)

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    Are our patients values and preferences

    satisfied by the regimen and its consequences?

    Do we and our patient have

    a clear assessment

    of their values and preferences?

    Are they met by this regimen and

    its consequences?

    YES

    YES

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    THANK YOU

    FOR YOUR

    ATTENTION.