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1 PREPARATORY COMMISSION Vienna International Centre PROVISIONAL PROGRAMME (Last update 24 December 2015)

PROVISIONAL PROGRAMME · 2015-12-24 · Dr Raymond Jeanloz, Professor of Astronomy, University of California Berkeley Dr Gerald Kirchner, Carl Friedrich von Weizsäcker Professor,

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Page 1: PROVISIONAL PROGRAMME · 2015-12-24 · Dr Raymond Jeanloz, Professor of Astronomy, University of California Berkeley Dr Gerald Kirchner, Carl Friedrich von Weizsäcker Professor,

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P R E PA R ATO RY CO M M I S S I O N

Vienna International Centre

PROVISIONAL PROGRAMME(Last update 24 December 2015)

Page 2: PROVISIONAL PROGRAMME · 2015-12-24 · Dr Raymond Jeanloz, Professor of Astronomy, University of California Berkeley Dr Gerald Kirchner, Carl Friedrich von Weizsäcker Professor,

25 JanuaryMonday

Opening SeSSiOn

09:30 OpeningkeynoteaddressbyCTBTOExecutiveSecretaryDrLassinaZerbo

09:50 WelcomingremarksbyAmbBenteAngell-Hansen,Permanent Representative of Norway (TBC)

10:00 RemarksbyAmbCristianIstrate,Permanent Representative of Romania and Chair of the Preparatory Commission

10:10 KeynoteAddressbyMrJosephCirincione,President, Ploughshares Fund

10:50 KeynoteAddressbyDrDavidStrangway, President Emeritus, University of British Columbia and Canada Foundation for Innovation

11:30 CoffeeBreak

The CTBT: Where did iT COme frOm, Where iS iT gOing?

12:00 20YearsOn:ReflectionsontheNegotiationsoftheCTBT

A panel discussion on the negotiations of the Treaty featuring former lead negotiators in the Conference on Disarmament who played key roles in the Treaty’s negotiation. The panel will explore the dynamics that led to the final Treaty text, including Article XIV, and offer the opportunity to reflect on the current impasse with regard to the Treaty’s entry into force.

Panellists:

AmbWolfgangHoffmann,CTBTO Executive Secretary Emeritus and former German Ambassador to the Conference on Disarmament DrItshakLederman, former Director of External Relations, Israeli Atomic Energy Commission AmbJaapRamaker,Chairman of the CTBT negotiations in 1996 (moderator) AmbShaZukang,former United Nations Under-Secretary-General (TBC) MrVictorSlipchenko,former CTBT deputy chief negotiator for Russia SirMichaelWeston,former UK Ambassador to the Conference on Disarmament AmbMohamedMounir-Zahran, former Egyptian Ambassador to the Conference on Disarmament13:30 Lunch

15:00 AchievingEntryintoForce:ConfrontingtheChallenge20YearsLater A panel discussion on the geopolitical climate shaping conditions for ratifications in the remaining Annex 2 States, and potential high-level multilateral initiatives that could be undertaken to create conditions conducive to ratification.

Panellists:

AmbWolfgangHoffmann,CTBTO Executive Secretary Emeritus and former German Ambassador to the Conference on Disarmament MsAngelaKane,former High Representative for Disarmament Affairs (TBC) MrDarylKimball,Executive Director, Arms Control Association (moderator) AmbSusanleJeuned’Allegeershecque,Permanent Representative of the United Kingdom AmbMitsuruKitano,Permanent Representative of Japan and Co-coordinator of the Art XIV Process AmbKairatSarybay,Permanent Representative of Kazakhstan and Co-coordinator of the Art XIV Process AmbTebogoSeokolo, Permanent Representative of South Africa AmbShaZukang,former United Nations Under-Secretary-General (TBC)

17:00 BriefingontheSymposiumprogrammeandrequirements,theExecutiveCouncilSimulation,andthe PracticalExercise

Page 3: PROVISIONAL PROGRAMME · 2015-12-24 · Dr Raymond Jeanloz, Professor of Astronomy, University of California Berkeley Dr Gerald Kirchner, Carl Friedrich von Weizsäcker Professor,

26 JanuaryTuesday

SCienCe fOr peaCe and SeCuriTy: frOm nuClear TeSTing TO mulTilaTeral armS COnTrOl VerifiCaTiOn

09:30 KeynoteaddressbyBrigadierGeneralMrStephenLDavis,Acting Deputy Administrator for Defense Programs, National Nuclear Security Administration (TBC)

10:00 NuclearTestingandtheArmsRace A panel discussion on: Why States test nuclear weapons; Nuclear weapons technology; The decision- making process in nuclear testing; Linkages between nuclear testing and the arms race.

Panellists:

DrJamesActon,Senior Associate, Nuclear Policy Program, Carnegie Endowment DrZiaMian,Director, Project on Peace and Security in South Asia at the Program on Science and Global Security, Princeton MrVictorSlipchenko,former CTBT deputy chief negotiator for Russia

11:15 Coffeebreak

11:30 PracticalExerciseonNuclearTesting(DrMatthewYedlin,University of British Columbia)

12:30 Lunchbreak

Paneldiscussion:Where’sthenews?(Under-)reportingontheCTBT The CTBT and its verification system are arguably one of the great under-reported news stories. A panel of journalists and media professionals, following the format of an “Oxford Union debate”, will consider the following motion: ‚If nuclear weapons and nuclear testing are a great risk to life on earth, are news media failing the public by not paying them more attention?‘14:00 KeynoteAddressbyDrPaulRichards,Special Research Scientist, Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory, Seismology Geology and Tectonophysics

14:30 TheFoundationoftheCTBTVerificationRegime A panel discussion to reflect on how the CTBT verification regime as it stands today, including the on-site inspection capability, measures up against expectations and technical capabilities in the 80s and 90s, and how the verification technologies are implemented 20 years later.

Panellists:

DrJoachimSchulze,Chairperson of the CTBTO PrepCom Working Group B DrElisabethBlanc,Research Director, Commissariat à l‘Energie Atomique DrPierceCorden, Visiting Scholar, AAAS (moderator) DrItshakLederman,former Director of External Relations, Israeli Atomic Energy Commission DrSveinMykkeltveit, NORSAR ProfessorGerardoSuarez,National Autonomous University of Mexico (TBC) DrJohnJ(Jay)Zucca,Principal Deputy Global Security Directorate, Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory (TBC) 16:00 Break

16:30 TheFutureofMultilateralArmsControlVerification:LessonsfromtheCTBT A panel discussion on how the CTBT and its verification regime contributed to arms control and non- proliferation arrangements and what lessons should be drawn from the CTBT for future arrangements.

Panellists:

DrJamesActon,Senior Associate, Nuclear Policy Program, Carnegie Endowment DrRebeccaJohnson, Executive Director, Acronym Institute for Disarmament Diplomacy DrZiaMian,Director, Project on Peace and Security in South Asia at the Program on Science and Global Security, Princeton MsLauraRockwood,Executive Director, VCDNP (moderator) MrVictorSlipchenko, former CTBT deputy chief negotiator for Russia AmbTiborTóth, CTBTO Executive Secretary Emeritus

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27 JanuaryWednesday

The CTBT and inTernaTiOnal peaCe and SeCuriTy

09:30 KeynoteAddress(TBC)10:30 RebootingNuclearSecurity:CTBTEntryintoForceandtheEliminationofNuclearThreats A panel discussion examining how entry into force of the CTBT connects with other interlinked issues in arms control, disarmament and non-proliferation, and nuclear security.

Panellists: MsAngelaKane, former United Nations High Representative for Disarmament Affairs (TBC) MrTateNurkin, Senior Director IHS Aerospace, Defense and Security Thought Leadership (TBC) DrElenaSokova,Deputy Director, James Martin Center for Nonproliferation Studies

11:30 CoffeeBreak

12:00 TheCTBTasaRegionalConfidenceBuildingMeasure A panel discussion on the role of the CTBT as a confidence building tool, in particular in North and South East Asia and the Middle East.

Panellists:

AmbDinaKawar,Permanent Representative of the Hashemite Kingdom of Jordan to the United Nations (TBC) MrAntonKhlopkov,Director, Center for Energy and Security Studies DrPatriciaLewis,Research Director, International Security, Chatham House (moderator) (TBC) DrDanielPinkston,Visiting fellow, Conflict Studies Center, Babes-Bolyai University DrWaheguruPalSinghSidhu,Senior Fellow, Brookings India in New Delhi (TBC) AmbAliAsgharSoltanieh,former Permanent Representative of Iran (TBC)

13:30 Lunch

The legal and inSTiTuTiOnal frameWOrk Of The CTBT

14:30 UnderstandingtheCTBT:Scope,ObligationsandCompliance A presentation on the key articles of the Treaty and national implementation of the Treaty’s obligations, highlighting concrete advantages of an enforceable CTBT.

MsSonyaBrander, Chief, Legal Services Section, CTBTO

15:15 ThePreparatoryCommissionandtheFutureOrganization Discussion with the Chair of the Preparatory Commission, moderated by the Secretary of the Preparatory Commission

AmbCristianIstrate,Permanent Representative of Romania and Chair of the Preparatory Commission MrBozorgmehrZiaran,Secretary to the Preparatory Commission (discussant)

16:00 Coffeebreak

16:30 EnforceabilityoftheCTBT:InternationalPoliticsandInternationalLaw A panel discussion on the enforceability of the CTBT as an international norm, the role of nuclear test moratoria and ways to advance entry into force in accordance with international law. Panellists:

MrDarylKimball,Executive Director, Arms Control Association ProfessorGabriellaVenturini, University of Milan

Page 5: PROVISIONAL PROGRAMME · 2015-12-24 · Dr Raymond Jeanloz, Professor of Astronomy, University of California Berkeley Dr Gerald Kirchner, Carl Friedrich von Weizsäcker Professor,

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28 JanuaryThursday

The rOle Of CiVil SOCieTy and aCademia in Shaping nuClear pOliCy

09:30 CivilSocietyinSupportoftheCTBT A panel discussion on the role of civil society organizations and public advocacy groups in raising awareness of the CTBT and affecting public policy on broader nuclear disarmament and non- proliferation issues.

Panellists:

DrRebeccaJohnson,Executive Director, Acronym Institute for Disarmament Diplomacy MrDarylKimball,Executive Director, Arms Control Association MrAntonKhlopkov,Director, Center for Energy and Security Studies DrEmilyLandau,Senior Research Fellow, Head of the Arms Control and Regional Security Program, Institute for National Security Studies

10:30 AcademiaasaForceMultiplier A panel discussion on the value of encouraging CTBT-related research, both in the technical and political fields, in order to stimulate critical thinking on the Treaty.

Panellists:

DrMatthewYedlin,Associate Professor, University of British Columbia MsElenaSokova,Deputy Director, James Martin Center for Nonproliferation Studies DrRaymondJeanloz,Professor of Astronomy, University of California Berkeley DrGeraldKirchner,Carl Friedrich von Weizsäcker Professor, University of Hamburg DrSurvatRaju,International Centre for Theoretical Sciences in Bangalore (TBC)

12:00 Lunch

12:30 LunchBriefing,EvaluationofaVerySmallSeismicEvent,12May2010,inNorthKorea DrPaulRichards, Special Research Scientist, Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory, Seismology Geology and Tectonophysics.

CTBT VerifiCaTiOn: SCienCe fOr peaCe and SeCuriTy 14:00 EnhancingNationalSecuritythroughScience-basedVerification:ExploringPerspectivesoftheImpact oftheCTBTonNationalSecurity.A moderated discussion with Dr Raymond Jeanloz, Professor of Astronomy, University of California Berkeley, Mr Gideon Frank, former Director General of the Israel Atomic Energy Commission. (TBC)

15:30 VisittotheInstituteofAtomicandSubatomicPhysicsattheViennaUniversityofTechnology:

- Introduction to the work of the Institute of Atomic and Subatomic Physics - CTBT Verification Science 101 for Diplomats: -DrMatthewYedlin, Associate Professor, University of British Columbia - Tour of the TRIGA Mark II research reactor

Page 6: PROVISIONAL PROGRAMME · 2015-12-24 · Dr Raymond Jeanloz, Professor of Astronomy, University of California Berkeley Dr Gerald Kirchner, Carl Friedrich von Weizsäcker Professor,

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29 JanuaryFriday

CTBT VerifiCaTiOn: mOniTOring, COlleCTing and analySing daTa

(SpeakerS TO Be COnfirmed)

09:30 IntroductionandOverview

09:40 InternationalMonitoringSystemTechnologies: Purpose, status and challenges

10:15 InternationalMonitoringSystemData and International Data Centre Products

11:00 CoffeeBreak

11:30 Paneldiscussion:RolesandResponsibilitiesandChallengesMaintainingtheIMSVerificationSystem13:00 Lunch

PracticalObservationofDataAnalysts Participants will observe practical analysis of:

- Waveform data - Radionuclide/noble gas data - Atmospheric Transport Modelling

14:30 TheIMSVerificationSysteminAction:DPRK Announced Nuclear Tests 2006, 2009 and 2013

15:15 CivilandScientificusesofIMSdata

15:45 CivilUsesofIMSData:CaseStudybasedontheFukushimaAccident

16:15 CoffeeBreak

16:30 PanelDiscussion:The Way Forward for CTBT Technical Verification

18:00 BriefingonSimulationExerciseandRoleDesignation

Page 7: PROVISIONAL PROGRAMME · 2015-12-24 · Dr Raymond Jeanloz, Professor of Astronomy, University of California Berkeley Dr Gerald Kirchner, Carl Friedrich von Weizsäcker Professor,

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1 feBruaryMonday

CTBT VerifiCaTiOn: On-SiTe inSpeCTiOnS

(SpeakerS TO Be COnfirmed)

09:30 IntroductionandOverviewofOSIActivitiesandTechniques

10:00 OSIRegimeImplementationChallenges–TreatyandProtocolIssues

10:45 CoffeeBreak

11:15 HowtoBecomea“Surrogate”Inspector

11:45 IntroductiontoPointofEntry(POE),TableTopExercise(TTE)

- Introduction - Table Top Exercise Overview Presentation - Video: An On-Site Inspection – How It All Starts - Preparation/Room Allocation

13:00 Lunch

14:00 TableTopExercise

- Point of Entry Procedures - Reporting/debriefing on TTE

15:00 CoffeeBreak

15:30 ContinuousDevelopmentoftheOSIRegime-OutcomeoftheIFE14 A briefing and video presentation

16:30 OSIQuiz

17:00 MeetOSIExpertsQ&A:How to get involved, support and join OSI activities: A Panel Discussion

Page 8: PROVISIONAL PROGRAMME · 2015-12-24 · Dr Raymond Jeanloz, Professor of Astronomy, University of California Berkeley Dr Gerald Kirchner, Carl Friedrich von Weizsäcker Professor,

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2 feBruaryTuesday

praCTiCal OpTiOnS and SOluTiOnS afTer 20 yearS

09:30 EntryintoForceandtheFutureoftheCTBT:IdentifyingChallengesandObstaclesafter20Years

-Introduction - Identification and discussion about challenges and obstacles to achieving entry into force of the Treaty - Focus groups (the number of groups will depends on the number of participants) will meet to discuss and give feedback

11:00 CoffeeBreak

11:30 EntryintoForceandtheFutureoftheCTBT:Identifying practical options and solutions after 20 Years (Part 1)

-Focus groups identify options for ensuring sustainability of the Treaty and its verification regime, and make recommendations on practical options to advance entry into force of the Treaty

13:00 Lunch

14:30 EntryintoForceandtheFutureoftheCTBT:Identifying practical options and solutions after 20 Years (Part2)

-Focus groups identify options for ensuring sustainability of the Treaty and its verification regime, and make recommendations on practical options to advance entry into force of the Treaty

16:00 IntroductiontoExecutiveCouncilSimulation

- Overview of the simulation scenario - Brief introduction to the context and the rules

3 feBruaryWednesday

exeCuTiVe COunCil SimulaTiOn

10:00 PlenarySession1

-Technical Briefing on Suspicious Event - National Statements

13:00 Lunch

14:30 PlenarySession2

18:00 EndofSession

Page 9: PROVISIONAL PROGRAMME · 2015-12-24 · Dr Raymond Jeanloz, Professor of Astronomy, University of California Berkeley Dr Gerald Kirchner, Carl Friedrich von Weizsäcker Professor,

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4 feBruaryThursday

exeCuTiVe COunCil SimulaTiOn

09:30 PlenarySession3

12:30 Lunch

14:00 PlenarySession4andConclusionofSimulation

17:00 ClosureofSymposiumbyCTBTOExecutiveSecretaryDrLassinaZerbo

- Remarks by CTBTO Executive Secretary Dr Lassina Zerbo - Closing Keynote Address by Lord Desmond Browne, Vice-Chairman of the Nuclear Threat Initiative

Page 10: PROVISIONAL PROGRAMME · 2015-12-24 · Dr Raymond Jeanloz, Professor of Astronomy, University of California Berkeley Dr Gerald Kirchner, Carl Friedrich von Weizsäcker Professor,

P R E PA R ATO RY CO M M I S S I O N

Page 11: PROVISIONAL PROGRAMME · 2015-12-24 · Dr Raymond Jeanloz, Professor of Astronomy, University of California Berkeley Dr Gerald Kirchner, Carl Friedrich von Weizsäcker Professor,

P R E PA R ATO RY CO M M I S S I O N

Page 12: PROVISIONAL PROGRAMME · 2015-12-24 · Dr Raymond Jeanloz, Professor of Astronomy, University of California Berkeley Dr Gerald Kirchner, Carl Friedrich von Weizsäcker Professor,

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