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RedistrictingStatus Report:Nuts & BoltsBy Kimball Brace
September 9, 2011 Election Data Services, Inc.
Who is Election Data Services, Inc.?Since 1986, we’ve been on your wall.
In 2010/11 you’ll need a larger wall
Who is Election Data Services, Inc.?
Since 1979, more than half the nation
has been helped by Election Data Services in
redistricting
Who is Election Data Services, Inc.?
Since 1980, kept track of what voting equipment is used in every county of the nation
2010
Who is Election Data Services, Inc.?
If it concerns elections,
And it deals with data …
We’re probably involved
Cameras do not make the pictures,
Photographers do
What does Photography have to do with Redistricting?
“Computers are just a tool.”
George Meier
Staff Director,
Florida House Redistricting Cmte.
“Software can’t create a plan,
Humans do”
A wise man once said:
State Legislatures Pre-Election 2010
Democrat-27
Split-8
Nonpartisan
Republican-14
2010 Results
State Legislatures Post-Election 2010
Democrat-16
Split-6
Undecided/Nonpartisan - 3
Republican- 25
Reapportionment vs RedistrictingWhat’s the difference
• Reapportionment− Allocation of districts to an area
• US Congressional Districts to states• Some states use to allocate legislative
districts to counties
• Redistricting− Crafting of district configurations within an
area• Congressional, state legislative, county
council, city wards, etc.• Usually happens once a decade
−Unless you’re Tom Delay
Historical Apportionment of U.S. House Seats
Net Gain or Loss Since 1930
Redistricting Factors
• One Person, One Vote – Equal size Districts− Congressional− State Legislative− Local
• Voting Rights Act − “Fairly reflect minority strength”
• Kitchen sink− Jurisdiction geography – how to divide− “Community of interest”− Political factors & incumbancy− Compactness− Others
Census Political
TIGER/Line® Files
Other Boundaries
Precinct and
Electoral District
Boundaries
Redistricting Summary
(PL 94-171). ACS Files, Citizenship
Data
Election Returns
and Voting Statistics
Tabular
Spatial
Redistricting Data Cube
© Election Data Services, Inc.
Source of data
Typ
e o
f D
ata
20102000
1990 ?
20102008
20062004
2002
EARLIER?
All Numeric Data to Block Level
Voter RegistrationSystem
Population Data(PL94-171)
Election Returns
Block VAP/Precinct VAP
PrecinctAssignment
Block VAP/Precinct VAP
Geographic Level
County
Precinct
Block
Address
Block Group ACS DataCensus Survey
Block VAP/BG VAP
The Election Process – From a data prospective
Total Population
Voting Age Population
Citizen Voting Age Population
Registration
TurnoutVotes for President
Other Statewide OfficesCongressional
StateLegislature
Race Data -- Decision on use
Practical impact
TIGER Migration Impact
Olympic Command for Redistricting Season:
Let the Games Begin.
This will be ________’s fifth political Olympiad since the Warren Court forced America into the ideological straightjacket of one-person, one-vote 44 years ago.
Like the first four, it will feature outstanding legislative warfare, after which the combatants will go to court and ask a judge who won.
Thank you
Kimball Brace
President
Election Data Services, Inc.
6171 Emerywood Court
Manassas, VA 20112
(703-580-7267 or 202-789-2004)
[email protected] or [email protected]
www.electiondataservices.com
