RIVERSIDE COUNTYA-G COMPLETION REPORT

Mike HortonAVID Administrator, RCOE2011

Help Wanted: Projections of Jobs and Education Requirements Through 2018 — shows that fully 60 percent of jobs in the U.S will require postsecondary education by 2018.

2018 is the year that present juniors in high school will graduate college at the average of 5 years for bachelor’s degree attainment.

Presently, what is the A-G completion rate for Riverside County?Presently, what is the A-G completion rate for California?Presently, what is the A-G completion rate for Riverside Co. AVID?

Statewide County Ranking2010 High School GraduatesMeeting CTE/ROP Certification Requirements

County

2008-2009 Enrollment Grades

9-12

2008-2009 Number of

Capstone CTE Course Students with

Sufficient Technical Skills

(LEAs)

2008-2009 Number of

Capstone CTE Course Students with

Sufficient Technical Skills

(ROCPs)

2008-2009 Number of

Capstone CTE Course Students with

Sufficient Technical Skills (LEAs+ROCPs)

2008-2009 Technical Skills Attainment Rate

Tulare 28,118 2,195 4,151 6,346 22.6%

Contra Costa 52,848 2,209 8,698 10,907 20.6%

Los Angeles 532,158 15,080 86,560 101,640 19.1%

Riverside 133,842 6,987 17,635 24,622 18.4%

Orange 168,201 5,082 22,041 27,123 16.1%

Fresno 60,692 2,714 6,702 9,416 15.5%

San Bernardino 136,024 7,270 12,467 19,737 14.5%

San Joaquin 41,654 860 5,092 5,952 14.3%

State 2,013,686 77,928 202,374 280,302 13.9%

Kern 55,019 4,611 989 5,600 10.2%

Ventura 46,143 2,988 1,520 4,508 9.8%

San Diego 163,257 1,673 10,549 12,222 7.5%

Alameda 67,864 1,818 2,719 4,537 6.7%

Santa Clara 79,596 2,051 1,394 3,445 4.3%

San Mateo 27,595 643 491 1,134 4.1%

Sacramento 75,550 2,156 0 2,156 2.9%

Stanislaus 32,650 571 139 710 2.2%

Statewide County Ranking2011 High School Graduation Rate

State Rank NameCohort

StudentsCohort

Graduates

Cohort Graduation

Rate

Cohort Dropouts

Cohort Dropout

Rate

Cohort Special Ed Completers

Cohort Special Ed Completers

Rate

Cohort Still Enrolled

Cohort Still Enrolled

Rate

Cohort GED Completer

Cohort GED Completer

Rate

1 Orange 43,430 35,469 81.7 6,057 14.0 239 0.6 1,617 3.7 48 0.1

2 Contra Costa 13,204 10,753 81.4 1,811 13.7 71 0.5 506 3.8 63 0.0

3 San Mateo 6,668 5,409 81.1 896 13.4 22 0.3 292 4.4 49 0.7

4 Ventura 11,813 9,268 78.5 1,636 13.9 43 0.4 819 6.9 47 0.4

5 Santa Clara 20,697 16,214 78.3 3,476 16.8 39 0.2 941 4.6 27 0.1

6 Riverside 33,814 25,812 76.3 5,662 16.7 180 0.5 2,067 6.1 93 0.3

7 Tulare 6,946 5,208 75.0 1,377 19.8 * 0.0 357 5.1 * 0.0

8 Alameda 18,098 13,527 74.7 3,463 19.1 64 0.4 1,019 5.6 25 0.1

8 Stanislaus 8,753 6,541 74.7 1,793 20.5 88 1.0 297 3.4 34 0.4

Statewide 519,247 386,222 74.4 94,312 18.2 2,676 0.5 34,086 6.6 1,951 0.4

10 Kern 13,824 10,272 74.3 2,488 18.0 70 0.5 988 7.2 * 0.0

11 San Diego 43,510 32,089 73.8 6,921 15.9 359 0.8 3,571 8.2 570 1.3

12 Sacramento 20,696 14,764 71.3 4,081 19.7 96 0.5 1,690 8.2 65 0.3

13 Los Angeles 133,824 95,254 71.2 27,199 20.3 616 0.5 10,357 7.7 398 0.3

14 San Joaquin 10,671 7,553 70.8 2,449 23.0 100 0.9 536 5.0 33 0.3

15 San Bernardino 35,105 24,300 69.2 7,451 21.2 77 0.2 3,184 9.1 93 0.3

16 Fresno 16,007 10,708 66.9 3,755 23.5 130 0.8 1,385 8.7 29 0.2

Statewide County Ranking2011 High School GraduatesMeeting UC/CSU Required Courses

State Rank County 2009 2010 2011

1 Santa Clara 7,586 ( 47.6 %) 8,003 ( 49.3 %) 8,229 ( 48.9 %)

2 Alameda 6,366 ( 46.7 %) 6,310 ( 46.5 %) 6,613 ( 47.5 %)

3 Contra Costa 3,905 ( 36.5 %) 4,085 ( 37.5 %) 5,221 ( 46.9 %)

4 San Diego 13,652 ( 43.6 %) 13,177 ( 41.6 %) 14,036 ( 41.7 %)

5 Los Angeles 30,090 ( 32.6 %) 37,452 ( 40.1 %) 41,597 ( 41.3 %)

6 San Mateo 2,911 ( 51.7 %) 2,478 ( 46.2 %) 2,147 ( 38.4 %)

7 Orange 13,575 ( 40.7 %) 13,920 ( 40.3 %) 13,142 ( 36.2 %)

Statewide 127,594 ( 33.9 %) 135,370 ( 35.3 %) 144,296 ( 35.6 %)

8 Ventura 3,583 ( 37.9 %) 3,255 ( 34.6 %) 3,264 ( 34.2 %)

9 Sacramento 4,512 ( 31.5 %) 4,378 ( 29.4 %) 5,053 ( 32.4 %)

10 Fresno 3,531 ( 33.3 %) 3,082 ( 28.5 %) 3,567 ( 32.0 %)

11 San Joaquin 1,843 ( 25.8 %) 1,840 ( 24.5 %) 2,168 ( 27.9 %)

12 Riverside 6,915 ( 29.3 %) 7,482 ( 29.4 %) 7,347 ( 27.2 %)

13 Kern 2,475 ( 25.1 %) 2,718 ( 27.2 %) 2,828 ( 26.1 %)

14 Stanislaus 1,479 ( 23.0 %) 1,446 ( 22.3 %) 1,692 ( 25.2 %)

15 San Bernardino 4,747 ( 19.9 %) 5,813 ( 23.7 %) 6,192 ( 23.1 %)

16 Tulare 1,258 ( 25.7 %) 1,194 ( 23.6 %) 997 ( 18.5 %)

Education-Trust West studied K-12 districts in California and gave them a letter grade across several categories.

Key Data Systems pulled out the Riverside County districts and compared them to the rest of the state.

Riverside County fared very well in 3 out of the 4 categories.

-In the category of Overall Performance of under-represented students, Riverside County districts occupied 3 out of the top 5 places in the state (including first place and the only grade of “B”). -In the category of Achievement Gains for under-represented students, Riverside County districts also occupied 3 of the top 5 places including first place and four districts earning grades of “A”. -For closing the achievement gap, a Riverside County

district (Lake Elsinore) took the first place spot in closing the African-American achievement gap. (Lake Elsinore also took the top spot overall in the state.)

But in A-G Completion for “Students of Color,” Riverside County’s top spot was 9th place

If we calculate a GPA for the 4 categories:

Category 1: 2.33 Category 2: 2.67 Category 3: 2.00 Category 4 (A-G Comp.): 1.27

Key Data Systems suggested that the issue is likely a reporting issue, the numbers are not actually that low. There is a lot of evidence supporting this claim.

In one district, only 86 A-G completers were reported to the state. AVID students alone in this district comprised more than 200 A-G completers.

From another district, I analyzed senior transcripts and found actual completion rates to be different than reported completion rates. The district followed up and found similar disparities.

By the 2014-2015 school year, API will be replaced by EQI and will include, “a State Assessment Index, a Graduation Rate Index, a College Preparedness Index, and a Career Readiness Index.”

The CPI may include “. . . local and state assessments (EAP?), course enrollment and completion (A-G?), academic and extracurricular programs (AVID?), and advanced or additional learning opportunities (Dual Enrollment/AP Courses?) . . .”

“. . . additional weight for schools that can demonstrate that English learners are making progress toward English language acquisition, graduation, and preparedness for college and career.”

It’s clear that we need to clean up the A-G data to accurately determine what the next steps should be.

The elephant in the room

But . . . will that be enough?

A transcript analysis revealed that data cleaning is not enough. In one Riverside County district, there were 1,736 seniors. More than 230 missed completing A-G by one category, many by one course or one semester of one course.Which of the A-G requirements do you think was missed most?

a) HSS b) ELA c) Math d) Science

e) Foreign Languag

e

f) VAPA g) Elective

10 33 49 14 98 18 15

Long and Kurlaender found that, “Community college students were 36 percent less likely to obtain a bachelor's degree than similar students who started at four-year colleges. Moreover, among community college students who expressed an intention to obtain a four-year bachelor's degree, only 26 percent have such a degree nine years later. On the other hand, 50 percent and 73 percent of those who start at nonselective and selective four-year institutions, respectively, obtain a bachelor's degree within nine years. The negative effect of starting post-secondary education at a community college remains even after the authors adjust for selection bias by controlling for students' race, gender, age, ability (measured by ACT scores) and family income.”

Long, Bridget Terry; and Kurlaender, Michal. "Do Community Colleges Provide a Viable Pathway to a Baccalaureate Degree?" Educational Evaluation and Policy Analysis (forthcoming).

What to do??

1) Clean up the data2) Analyze the data to determine areas of

need3) Every student creates an 8- to 11-year plan

and progress is monitored at least annually4) Have a credit-recovery plan5) Grow your AVID program6) Spread your AVID program school-wide

7) Other? Report out things that are already being done in your district.