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Directorate General of HydrocarbonsNoida, India
R.K.SinhaAdvisor (Production)
NELP Policy – Global E&P
Practices
Presentation Outline
Petroleum Regulatory Framework
Types of Agreements
Contracts in India – PSC Regime
New Exploration Licensing Policy - NELP
India’s Perception
Conclusions
2
Petroleum Regulatory Framework
3
Petroleum Regime Framework
CONSTITUTION
E & P BUSINESS REGIMES
PETROLEUM LAWS/ REGULATIONS
Legislative/Regulatory
4
CONCESSION
JOINT VENTURE SERVICE
CONTRACT HYBRID PSC
Global Energy Resources Management Structure
More countries adopting the "separation of roles“ for ResourceManagement
MinistryMinistry RegulatorRegulator
NOC/IOC/ JVNOC/IOC/ JV
PolicyPolicy RegulationsRegulations
BusinessBusiness
5
Pillars of Oil & Gas Regulatory Regimes
A good oil & gas regulatory regime addresses certain major regulatory issues in a satisfactory way:
• The right to monetize resources
• Fiscal and contract stability
• Enforceability of contract
A regulatory regime that fails on any one of these points puts its “investment favourability” at risk
6
Types of Agreements
7
Types of Agreements
Concessions
Joint Ventures
Service Contracts
Production Sharing Contracts/Risk Sharing
Contracts
Hybrids
8
Concession
• Contractor has exclusive rights to explore, develop,
sell, and export oil/gas from a specified area for a
fixed period of time
• “Equity” or “Royalty & Tax” structure
• Maximum control to Contractor
• Oldest & most widely used
9
Joint Venture
• Private/Foreign Companies and NOC form a Joint
Venture
• Each JV partner pays/receives its share in
proportion to its Participating Interest.
• JV pays royalty, income tax and usually some form
of Petroleum Revenue Tax (PRT)
• Low success rate, less commonly used
10
Service Contract
• Contractor pays all exploration and development
costs
• Contractor works under government’s mandate and is
paid for its work
• Government maintains ownership and title of minerals
• Most suitable for Contractor for risk-free operations
and for States having Producing Assets
11
Production Sharing Contract
• State enters into a PSC with Contractor for a
specified period
• Contractor finances exploration and development.
• If successful, Contractor will recover its costs and
earn a profit by receiving a share of production.
• Royalty & Income Tax are paid as applicable
• Significant control to Contractors, but State has
contractual controls
12
Hybrids
• Combinations of Concession /JV / PSC, royalty,
tax, cost oil / profit oil shares and fees etc.
• Efforts to develop a world model Hybrid agreement
have been unsuccessful because structures are
becoming more diverse
• Host governments seeking structures that suit
their particular needs
13
Comparative Analysis of Agreements
14
Type of agreements Contractor Government
Concession
All riskAll reward
Reward is a function of production & price
Joint venture Share in risk & reward
Share in risk & reward
Service contract No risk All riskAll reward
Hybrid Mixed Mixed
PSC Exploration riskShare in reward
Share in reward
Usage of Contract Types
15
Type of agreements Number of countries utilizing this type
Concession 59
Joint venture 31
Service contract 2
Hybrid 16
PSC 40
Source: Macleod Dixon Workshop, 2007
Countries and Agreement Types
16
TYPE OF AGREEMENTS COUNTRIES UTILIZING
CONCESSIONS (59)
UK, US , Norway, Australia, Canada, Peru, Namibia, Thailand, Sudan, Ecuador, Kuwait, Bahamas
JOINT VENTURES (31) Colombia, Cameroon, Netherlands, Pakistan
PSC (40) Egypt, Yemen, Angola, Indonesia, India, Guatemala, Sri Lanka
SERVICE CONTRACTS (2) Iran , Qatar
HYBRID (16) Libya, China, Malaysia, Kenya, Tanzania, Gabon, Myanmar
Right Agreements – Main Elements
• Right contract is vital to a government’s effort to
reap the benefits of its natural resources
• Balance needed between country’s and investor’s
interests
• Takes into consideration the communities or entities
not party to the deal but who will be interested or
affected by it
17
Approaches to Resource Exploitation
• Many developed countries use unilateral licensing /
leasing approach
• Many developing countries use consensual
approach and prefer mining agreements
• Political will of host country to develop resources is
key and expressed through regulatory instruments,
Contractual obligations, National Policies and
guidelines
PSC in India
19
Historical Background
• First concept for PSC was introduced in Bolivia in 1950
• PSCs were successfully implemented in Indonesia in 1966
• PSCs are being widely used in more than 40 countries
• In India, first PSC was signed in 1993 for a Pre-NELP Block
• 231 Exploration PSCs have been signed so far
• PSC terms continuously improved in consecutive NELP
rounds
20
Constitution of India, 1950
The Oilfields (Regulation and Development) Act, 1948
The Petroleum and Natural Gas Rules, 1959 & Amendments
Territorial Waters, Continental Shelf, Exclusive Economic Zone
and other Maritime Zones Act, 1976
Income Tax Act, 1961
Customs Act, 1962
Foreign Exchange Management Act, 1999
Environment Protection Act, 1986
Arbitration and Conciliation Act, 1996
Legal Framework
21
Production Sharing Contract Attributes
– Contract term– Relinquishment– Management Committee– Discovery, Development & Production– Unit Development– Cost Recovery & Production Sharing– Taxes, Royalties & Rentals– Domestic sourcing & supply obligations– Employment & training– Title to assets
22
NATIONAL OIL COMPANIES
1950s-93
1993+
POLICYMinistry of Petroleum & Natural Gas
Prime Minister’s
Office
REGULATOR
Upstream: DGH
Downstream: Gas Regulator
OPERATOR
Public (Central):
ONGCOIL
GAIL
Public (State):GSPC
Private:RelianceJubilant
VideoconEssar
Foreign:BGENI
Cairn Niko
Planning Com
• Hydrocarbon sector vision
• Role for different sectors in energy fuel mix
• Managing resource base
• Bringing accountability
• Managing licensing
• Mandate for data repository
• Investing capital and technology
Effective Regulatory Mechanism
23
Petroleum Expenditure & Revenue Profile
$
5 10 20 30 40
Exploration
& Appraisal
Development
ProductionAbandonment & Reclamation
CostsRevenues
24
25
Cash Flows Under PSC Regime
Production value
Cost Petroleum
Profit Petroleum
Contractor’s share Government’s share
Development
Exploration
Production
Royalty
Income tax Government’s take
Contractor’s take25
26
Pre Tax Investment Multiple (PTIM)
Gross RevenueGross Revenue
Profit Petroleum (both of contractor & Government)
Profit Petroleum (both of contractor & Government)
Cost Petroleum(includes Royalty, OPEX
and allowed cost recovery of CAPEX)
Cost Petroleum(includes Royalty, OPEX
and allowed cost recovery of CAPEX)
Contractor’s take = Cost petroleum + Contractor’s share of Profit petroleum
Contractor’s net cash flow = Contractor’s take – ( Production cost (OPEX) +Royalty )
Contractor’s Cumulative net cash flow
Cumulative exploration & development cost PTIM =
27
Sharing of Profit Petroleum
• Profit share bidding (example) :
PTIM Tranches Profit Share to Government
Upto 1.5 30%
3.5 and above 80%
Upto 1.5
3.5 & above
Pro
fit
Sh
are
PTIM
Methodology of Bid Evaluation
1.Technical Capability
2. Work Programme
3.Fiscal Package
1. Operatorship Experience2. Annual Accretion of proved reserves3. Acreage Holding4. Annual Production
1 3D seismic surveys
2 Exploratory wells
3 Other Surveys
1. Cost recovery2. Profit share to Government
Income Tax Regime in Oil Industry
29
33.66%
Cost Oil Limits
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
120%
Cost Recovery Limit
100%
Royalties
0.00%
5.00%
10.00%
15.00%
20.00%
25.00%
30.00%
35.00%
Fixed Percentage Royalties
(10%-12.5%)
NELP – A Progressive Policy
32
POLICY REFORMS
New Exploration Licensing Policy (NELP)New Exploration Licensing Policy (NELP)
• New Exploration Licensing Policy (NELP)New Exploration Licensing Policy (NELP) announced in 1997, Effective since 1999announced in 1997, Effective since 1999
• Administrative Price Mechanism (APM) abolishedAdministrative Price Mechanism (APM) abolished
• 100% FDI in E&P sector approved 100% FDI in E&P sector approved
• Seven rounds of international bidding completed Seven rounds of international bidding completed
• 203 blocks awarded up to NELP-VII203 blocks awarded up to NELP-VII
• Vision to offer 80% by 2012Vision to offer 80% by 2012
Award of licenses through international competitive bidding
Fast track approval mechanism, DGH as single window clearance
No State participation or any carried interest
International pricing for Crude oil
Approval of price formula/ basis of Natural gas by Govt , Allocation governed by Gas utilization policy
Cost recovery biddable - Up to 100%
No custom duty on imports for Petroleum Operation
Path Breaking Exploration Policy
• No Signature, Discovery or Production bonus
• Sharing of Profit Petroleum with Govt. on biddable pre-tax investment multiple
• Low to moderate royalty rates between 5% to 12.5%
• Special concessions for deepwater blocks
• Full repatriation of profits
• Liberal set off of losses and carry forward provisions for income tax purposes
• Tax Incentives for Site Restoration Fund Scheme (SRFS)
Path Breaking Exploration Policy
• Opened up more acreage
• Voluminous E&P data generated
• Impetus to E&P Activities
• Growing Competition
• Remarkable Hydrocarbon Discoveries established
• Proven Potential
• Increasing oil and gas production
• Remarkable Investment in E&P and Infrastructure
NELP- Positive Results
19902 Companies3 Producing Basins
200012 Companies7 Producing Basins
200971 Companies10 Producing Basins
19471 Company1 Producing Basin
E&P Activities Growth
AREA awarded : 2.15 Million Sq Km (68%)
AREA AWARDEDAREA AWARDED
Total area : 3.14 Million Sq Km
Area Opened upArea Opened up
NELP – GLOBAL INTEREST
Growth of Discoveries
107
180
Discoveries in all Basins
KG, 43%
Cambay, 24%
Rajasthan, 15%NE Coast, 7%Cauvery, 3%
Mahanadi, 3%
A-Arakan, 2%
GS, 1%, MUMBAI, 1% SAURASTRA, 1%
Discovery by all Operators
44
EMERGING GAS POTENTIAL - EAST COAST EMERGING GAS POTENTIAL - EAST COAST
Basin Area (Sq.km) : 299,000
Resources (O+OEG) : 48 (Billion bbl)
Resources Gas : 153 TCF (Approx)
GIIP Reserves (TCF) : 16.38
Current Gas Production : 60 (MMSCMD)
Anticipated Production: 100 (MMSCMD)
Drilling Density : 0.15 wells/ 1000 Sq. Km
India’s Perception
45
ProspectivityMateriality and scale of opportunities are world class - as proved by Barmer Basin oil and KG Basin gas discoveries
India’s Perception
MarketGas market policies and regulatory framework are in place now – gas pricing and marketing rules are simple and clear
CompetitionIt’s a level playing field – bid evaluation system is more transparent, fair and competitive. Technical and commercial merits weights have been optimized
USGOM
Optimizing Bid Evaluation
Fiscal Weight
Technical Weight
Competitive Landscape
ConcentratedDiversi
-fied
Norms & Benchmarking
Weak Strong
PricingAdministered
Market-based
Data availability
UndevelopedRich-
Accessible Data
Bidding
Negotiated Access
Open & Transparent Bid rounds
INDIA
INDIA
INDIA
INDIA
INDIA
INDIA
Nigeria 2006
Nigeria 2006
Nigeria 2006
Nigeria 2006
Nigeria 2006
Nigeria 2006
USGOM
USGOM
USGOM
USGOM
USGOM
Indonesia 2007
Indonesia 2007
Indonesia 2007
Indonesia 2007
Indonesia 2007
Indonesia 2007
Brazil Round 9
Brazil Round 9
Brazil Round 9
Brazil Round 9
Brazil Round 9
Brazil Round 9
Operator Friendly Policies
Source :PFC Energy
47
*
HOW ARE WE DIFFERENT FROM OTHERS ?HOW ARE WE DIFFERENT FROM OTHERS ?HOW ARE WE DIFFERENT FROM OTHERS ?
YesYesYesNoYesYesYes Ring fence
0%0%0%0%0%0%15%Govt. carry
100%100%95%100%87%91%87%Access to gross revenue
100%100%100%100%70%80%75%Cost rec. limit
5 & 10%**
10%5%0%-7.5%***3%10.5%Royalty
Biddable56%46%46%30%32%Contractor take
PSCPSCR/T*R/T*SA*PSCPSCType of system
Deep Water
Shallow water
INDIANEW ZEALAND
AUSTRALIAPHILIPPINESINDONESIAMALAYSIA
PARTNERING OPPORTUNITIES
NATIONAL OIL COMPANIES
FOREIGN PLAYERSINDIAN PRIVATE SECTOR
OIL
ONGC
HPCL
BPCLIOC
NTPC
Reliance
Tata
Jubilant
VideoconEssar
HOEC Adani
AbanWelspun
BG
Geoglobal
BP
Deep
Eni StatoilCairn
SantosTullow Hardy
NIKO Petrobras Naftogaz
Gazprom
Canoro M3energy
BUSINESS RISK EVALUATION
PFC ENERGY ANALYSIS
PETROLEUM RISK MANAGER (PRM)
FOR 59 COUNTRIES
AGGREGATING 5 RISK CATEGORIES
27 INDIVIDUAL RISK FACTOR
1990 – 2014 TIME HORIZONS
COMPARED ENTRY RISK, EXPLORATION RISK AND DEVELOPMENT RISK
India: Operations Risk
“A”“B” “C” “D” “F”
In terms of Oil Sector Operations Risk, India scores in the low risk range (B).
Source: PFC EnergySource: PFC Energy
Best
worst
India: Oil Sector Entry Risk
“A”“B”
“C” “D” “F”
In terms of Entry Risk, India scores in the medium risk
range (B), while many major resource holders are in the D
to F range
Source: PFC EnergySource: PFC Energy
Best
worst
India and Other Asian Countries
5 = best
4.173.91
3.33 3.33 3.323.66
3.172.96
3.63 3.49
Source: PFC EnergySource: PFC Energy
India’s Politics and Economics scores are among the highest in Asia, Oil Sector Entry scores are average for the region.
India and Other Deepwater Players
4.17
3.743.43 3.33
3.14 3.07
3.63 3.63
Source: PFC EnergySource: PFC Energy
Compared to other Deepwater Players, Oil Sector Entry scores are
higher than major resource holders such as Mexico and Brazil.5 = best
• Indian PSC is considered to be Progressive & investor
friendly
• India has large unexplored area with uncertain
prospectivity
• Needs extensive exploration and risk capital
• PSC enables exploration at no cost to Government
• “Cost Recovery” acts as incentive to continue
exploration till success is achieved
Conclusions
55