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THINKING beyond the canopy Investment across sectors and at the landscape level - the case of coal mining in Kalimantan, Indonesia Ahmad Dermawan, David Gaveau, Erik Meijaard, Krystof Obidzinski Bogor, 13 March 2013

Seminar 13 Mar 2013 - Session 4 - Investment accross sector_ by ADermawan

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Indonesia has grown to become the world’s largest exporter of steam coal. Its production has increased from 77 million tons in 2000 to 353 million tons in 2011. The Indonesian part of Borneo Island (Kalimantan) has become the main coal producing center in the country. Between 2000 and 2011, coal mining concessions in Kalimantan expanded from 1.5 million ha to about 13 million hectares. So far, the extent of forest loss because of coal mining has been limited and is much lower than that caused by oil palm. However, this is largely because small scale mining concessions, which form the majority of the mining concession area allocated, are yet to be activated. Because the legal framework encourages expansion and growth in coal production, the pressure on forest may increase if small mining concessions become fully operational. This may happen if the demand for coal in China and India, currently the main driving force behind the growth of coal mining in Indonesia, expands as predicted. Domestically, the privileged treatment of the coal mining sector as a strategic part of Indonesia’s long term development plan is a potential threat to forests as well. New policies limiting the intensity of coal mining, seeking to add value, and limit environmental damage are needed to guard against long term environmental and social damage.

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Page 1: Seminar 13 Mar 2013 - Session 4 - Investment accross sector_ by ADermawan

THINKING beyond the canopy

Investment across sectors and at the

landscape level - the case of coal mining in

Kalimantan, Indonesia Ahmad Dermawan, David Gaveau, Erik Meijaard, Krystof Obidzinski

Bogor, 13 March 2013

Page 2: Seminar 13 Mar 2013 - Session 4 - Investment accross sector_ by ADermawan

THINKING beyond the canopy

Production is predicted to increase

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2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012f 2013f 2014f 2015f 2016f 2017f

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• Coal production has increased by triple in 2004-2011

• Predicted to double in 2018

Sources: MEMR and BMI

Page 3: Seminar 13 Mar 2013 - Session 4 - Investment accross sector_ by ADermawan

THINKING beyond the canopy

Most of the coal is exported

Source: Ministry of Energy and Mineral Resources

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Production Export

Approximately 60% of Indonesia’s exports go to China and India

Page 4: Seminar 13 Mar 2013 - Session 4 - Investment accross sector_ by ADermawan

THINKING beyond the canopy

But domestic use is driving

Government national energy policy: increasing coal in the

national energy mix

Increased demand from power sector, esp. for outer

islands

Oil, 52%

Coal, 15%

Gas, 29%

Hydro, 3% Geothermal, 1%

Energy mix 2006

Oil, 20%

Coal, 33%

Gas, 32%

Hydro, 5%

Geothermal, 5%

Biofuel, 5%

Energy mix 2025

Page 5: Seminar 13 Mar 2013 - Session 4 - Investment accross sector_ by ADermawan

THINKING beyond the canopy

Coal reserves in Indonesia

Sumatera and Kalimantan have the highest reserves

52.5 BT 52.3 BT

14.2 MT

233.1 MT 128.6 MT

2.1 MT

Source: Ministry of Energy and Mineral Resources 2012

Page 6: Seminar 13 Mar 2013 - Session 4 - Investment accross sector_ by ADermawan

THINKING beyond the canopy

Economic importance of coal mining

85% of national mining revenues comes from coal

Approximately 35% of East Kalimantan’s GRDP comes

from coal

6%

50% 23%

0%

3% 8%

4% 2%

4%

Agriculture Mining and quarrying Manufacturing industries

Electricity, gas and water supply Construction Trade, hotels and restaurant

Transportation and communication Financial, leasing and business services Services

Page 7: Seminar 13 Mar 2013 - Session 4 - Investment accross sector_ by ADermawan

THINKING beyond the canopy

Coal mining in Kalimantan

• Multiplication of large scale operations since 2000

• Mostly in East and South Kalimantan

Page 8: Seminar 13 Mar 2013 - Session 4 - Investment accross sector_ by ADermawan

THINKING beyond the canopy

Coal expansion

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1,000

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Cumulative area (ha) Permits (cumulative)

Page 9: Seminar 13 Mar 2013 - Session 4 - Investment accross sector_ by ADermawan

THINKING beyond the canopy

Mining scars

Page 10: Seminar 13 Mar 2013 - Session 4 - Investment accross sector_ by ADermawan

THINKING beyond the canopy

Small scale mining

Small scale coal

mining permits

issued by Regents

are understudied

Source: LITBANG Kompas, JATAM, Greenpeace

District Mining rights Area (ha)

Malinau 7 11,114

Nunukan 22 70,112

Tanatidung 2 5,000

Tarakan

Bulungan 33 136,153

Berau 68 224,060

Bontang

Samarinda 76 27,556

Balikpapan

Kutai Kartanegara 687 1,237,374

Kutai Timur 38 670,549

Kutai Barat 138 395,486

Penajam Paser Utara 36 86,307

Pasir 73 248,978

Total 1,180 3,112,690

Page 11: Seminar 13 Mar 2013 - Session 4 - Investment accross sector_ by ADermawan

THINKING beyond the canopy

Potential challenges

Significant potential for future deforestation:

3.2 million ha of land allocate for large scale exploration and exploitation in East & South Kalimantan

40% of this is forested (1.3 million ha)

Large portion of small scale permits in forested areas as well (since 2010 no new small scale permits issued)

Mining get priority over other land uses:

Permenhut No.P.18/Menhut-II/2011 on Guidelines for the use of forest estate for mining

Permenhut No.P.14/Menhut-II/2011 on timber utilization permits (IPK) for mining companies

Large new coal concessions (hundreds of 000s of ha) as 15-20% can be clear-cut (timber) for mine development

Page 12: Seminar 13 Mar 2013 - Session 4 - Investment accross sector_ by ADermawan

THINKING beyond the canopy

Concluding remarks

Coal mining is a growing sector in Indonesia, but have

the potential to be a major driver of deforestation

Demand for coal is rising, driven by growing demand for

energy in the Asia-Pacific as well as from domestic

consumers

Indonesia is stepping up production and export; it’s

getting jobs but it’s loosing revenues and forests

Major large scale expansion plans is underway, but small

scale expansion is often understudied.

Page 13: Seminar 13 Mar 2013 - Session 4 - Investment accross sector_ by ADermawan

THINKING beyond the canopy

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