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8/6/2019 Session 9- "How the Pilot Programs Research Design will meet the Congressional reporting requirements of Section 1807" by William Lyons
1/13
Policy Session:
NTPP Overview TRB NTPPWorkshop
William M. LyonsJanuary 11, [email protected]
8/6/2019 Session 9- "How the Pilot Programs Research Design will meet the Congressional reporting requirements of Section 1807" by William Lyons
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Presentations: NTPP Overviews
Planning (Session B)1. Goals of Program
2. Challenges
3. Collaborative Approach4. Program Evaluation
5. Community-level vs. Project Evaluation
Policy (Session C)
1. Congressional reporting requirements2. NTPP focus and approach
3. Challenges: NTPP and Nonmotorized in general
8/6/2019 Session 9- "How the Pilot Programs Research Design will meet the Congressional reporting requirements of Section 1807" by William Lyons
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Nonmotorized Pilot Program
Established under Section 1807, SAFETEA-LU
to demonstrate the extentbicycling andwalking can carry a significant portion of the
transportation load and represent a majorportion of the transportation solution.
8/6/2019 Session 9- "How the Pilot Programs Research Design will meet the Congressional reporting requirements of Section 1807" by William Lyons
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Nonmotorized Transportation Pilot Program
5/13/2011 4
Section 1807 Calls for Data on Changes Motor vehicle usage
Nonmotorized transportationusage
Public transportation usage Congestion
Energy usage
Frequency: bicycling & walking
Connectivity to community
activity centers Health, and
Environment
8/6/2019 Session 9- "How the Pilot Programs Research Design will meet the Congressional reporting requirements of Section 1807" by William Lyons
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Nonmotorized Transportation Pilot Program
5/13/2011 5
PHASE 1: BASELINE ASSESSMENT (UMN)
NTPP
Results
to Report
in Final
Report
PHASE 2: PROJECT EVALUATIONS (PILOTS, Volpe
Center, & CDC)
PHASE 3: BOOKEND ASSESSMENT (UMN)
PHASE 4: SYNTHESIS & ANALYSIS OF PHASES 1/3 (UMN)
COMPREHENSIVE ANALYSIS AND SYNTHESIS
PHASE 5: COMMUNITY COUNTS/SURVEYS (Pilots,
ALTA, Volpe)
OTHER (TBD)
Components of Evaluation
8/6/2019 Session 9- "How the Pilot Programs Research Design will meet the Congressional reporting requirements of Section 1807" by William Lyons
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Nonmotorized Transportation Pilot Program
5/13/2011 6
Community Level Indicators: the Ideal
Data Element Use / Description
Mode split Percent and trips per day/year
Walking and biking trip length Average and derived totals
Walking and biking trip time Average and derived totals forphysical activity
Walking and biking trip purpose Utilitarian and non-utilitarian
Avoided VMT To derive energy and CO2 savings
Nonmotorized transfers to transit Numbers and linked trip length(NM within multimodal system)
8/6/2019 Session 9- "How the Pilot Programs Research Design will meet the Congressional reporting requirements of Section 1807" by William Lyons
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A VMT is not a VMT is not a VMTFrom: Transport for London, D. Hawkett
8/6/2019 Session 9- "How the Pilot Programs Research Design will meet the Congressional reporting requirements of Section 1807" by William Lyons
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A VMT is not a VMT is not a VMT
(emissions factors) (from Transport for London,D.
Hawkett)
C
2 (
km )
! "
# $
%
&
'
( )
0
# $
%
&
1
0 2
)
0
# $
%
&
3
4
0 4
5
! ! $
7
% 1
0 2
)
0
Dri 8 e c 9 c @ e & conditions
C 2 Comparison of ord ocus o er different dri e c c es & conditions
A 3
0
%
A 3
0
6 6%
4 3
0
6 6%
A 3
0
%
4 3
0
6 %
8/6/2019 Session 9- "How the Pilot Programs Research Design will meet the Congressional reporting requirements of Section 1807" by William Lyons
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Nonmotorized Transportation Pilot Program
5/13/2011 9
British Framework: Another approach Gold standard evaluation framework
Comparing multimodal alternatives
Monitoring/assessing results
Cost-Benefit Analysis (broad benefits)
Monetize benefits Segregated track = $0.09/minute
On-road non-segregated lane = $0.04/minute
Secure parking = $1.35/user
Pedestrian signage = $0.10/kilometer
8/6/2019 Session 9- "How the Pilot Programs Research Design will meet the Congressional reporting requirements of Section 1807" by William Lyons
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Nonmotorized Transportation Pilot Program
5/13/2011 10
UK Guidance on Appraisal
Indicators in economic appraisal of walking cycling
Indicator Used to Appraise
Cycling and walking users Ambience (perception, stress)
New individuals cycling or walking Health (physical fitness)
Car kilometers saved Accidents
CO2 emissionsFuel tax revenue
Travel time (decongestion)
Commuter trips generated Health (absenteeism)
8/6/2019 Session 9- "How the Pilot Programs Research Design will meet the Congressional reporting requirements of Section 1807" by William Lyons
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Policy challenges: NTPP and NM in general
From positive .to howpositive?1. Quantify to compete
Essential to quantify results,
but:1. Limits of avoided VMT
2. And what about cap/op costs?
Program structure and
available methods limit policyconclusions
8/6/2019 Session 9- "How the Pilot Programs Research Design will meet the Congressional reporting requirements of Section 1807" by William Lyons
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OtherInsights: Project foc s
Health: CDC studies
Equity: access forunderserved communities(Minneapolis)
Reduced VMT from:
1. Travel marketing2. Bike sharing
3. Bike Boulevards
4. NM links to transit
NTPP will measure resultsagainst policy goalsbut
may be least useful offindings
8/6/2019 Session 9- "How the Pilot Programs Research Design will meet the Congressional reporting requirements of Section 1807" by William Lyons
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OtherInsights
Design of future pilot programs
Priorities for improving evaluation methods
Planning and policy profiles
1. Mainstreaming NM in planning process Importance of evaluating NM:
o As part of multimodal system (linked trips)
o As part of larger built environment
o Over a long time horizon