Singapore Property Weekly Issue 38

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    Issue 38Copyright 2011-2012 www.Propwise.sg. All Rights Reserved.

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    ContributeDo you have articles and insights and articles that youd like to share

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    CONTENTS

    p2 Singapore Property News This Week

    p7 Foreign Buyers and the Impact of the ABSD

    p11Resale Property Transactions

    (January 25 January 31)

    Welcome to the 38th edition

    of the Singapore Property

    Weekly.

    Hope you like it!

    Mr. Propwise

    FROM THE

    EDITOR

    mailto:[email protected]://www.propwise.sg/advertise/http://www.propwise.sg/advertise/mailto:[email protected]
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    SINGAPORE PROPERTY WEEKLY Issue 38

    Singapore Property This Week

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    Residential

    Effect of ABSD is only temporary, rental

    market benefits in the short term

    Consultants say that the effect of the ABSD is

    temporary, as foreign buyers are still on the

    lookout for attractively-priced properties.

    However, since some of these buyers are

    expatriates who brought their families along

    when they came to work in Singapore, they

    need a temporary accommodation and this is

    where the rental market comes in. This

    includes private homes for rent, servicedresidences and long stay accommodations,

    whose demand have increased after the

    ABSD though the increase in demand for

    such accommodations may be due to other

    factors. With the developers absorbing part of

    if not all of the ABSD and offering furniture

    vouchers to attract buyers and Singapores

    strong property market and reputation for safe

    investments, foreign buyers may continue to

    invest in the property market.

    Number of HDB upgraders increase

    The number of HDB flat owners purchasing

    non-HDB residential homes has increased to

    13,910 in 2011, breaking the previous record

    of 13,769 in 2010. This figure is equivalent to

    42% of the total sale transactions in the non-

    HDB market segment. ECs were the most

    popular, having seen 2,407 purchases from

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    upgraders, an increase of 123% from 2010.

    The large supply launched in 2011, and the

    new projects developed to attract these

    buyers, the location of these projects aredriving the demand for ECs. Furthermore, the

    increase in HDB resale prices also leaves the

    upgraders with more cash to purchase the

    ECs. This trend is likely to continue, albeit

    dependent on the attractiveness of the non-

    HDB property, in terms of design, conceptand location.

    Tampines Trilliant and Parc Rosewood see

    strong sales

    670-unit Tampines Trilliant sold 149 units over

    the weekend including 32 two-storeypenthouses, 24 of which were sold to first-

    time home buyers. The 48 penthouse units

    ranging from 1,841 to 2,465 sq ft, has four-

    bedrooms and a personal open terrace that

    can be accessed via the master bedroom.

    The prices for the penthouses start from $1.1

    million. The project also includes 127 872 to1,141 sq ft three-bedroom units, 397 1,001 to

    1,378 sq ft three-bedroom-plus-utility units

    and 98 1,302 to 1,593 sq ft four-bedroom

    units. 42% of the 1,000 applications received

    were from first-timers and the rest were from

    second-time buyers, many of whom are HDBupgraders.

    Meanwhile, 689-unit 99-year leasehold Parc

    Rosewood has sold more than 280 units with

    the addition of 110 more units it sold over the

    past week. The project which consists of one-bedroom, two- bedroom, three-bedroom, and

    penthouse units, are offering its units at

    prices decreased by 8-10% to woo buyers

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    who might have been deterred by the ABSD.

    Prices of residential properties set to fall

    Historical data compiled by Credo Real Estate

    showed that in the past years (2008, 2000,

    and 1983) where there had been consecutive

    quarter-on-quarter near-zero adjustments of

    prices, there will be a fall in prices of

    residential properties. Given the most recent

    quarter-on quarter increase of only 0.2%, the

    fall in prices is very likely. There is also a

    tendency for the price fall to go hand-in-hand

    with economic downturns and falls in GDP. If

    there is a recession, or the situation is likely to

    lead to recession, the residential property

    prices will definitely fall. While some predict aweakening market, citing the economic

    outlook, increased supply and the ABSD,

    others foresee a slight slowdown in the

    market if the economic situation is not as bad

    as predicted, with the mass-market segment

    performing better and the prime residential

    segment less so with the ABSD.

    The effects of ABSD on foreign buying

    As the effects of the ABSD sets in, we may

    see fewer investments in property from

    Indonesians, a slowdown in the small format

    homes segment of the market, and mainland

    Chinese who buys these properties turning to

    investing in the office, retail or industrial

    properties instead. However, a large scale

    switch to other segments of the property

    market is unlikely since a slowdown in the

    residential market is likely to be felt in these

    other markets eventually. Furthermore, theforeign buyers may not choose to do so

    because of their lack of experience in these

    markets. Nevertheless, foreign-buyers with

    very deep-pockets who can invest long-term

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    may continue to purchase properties, in

    particular mainland Chinese and Indonesian

    nationals who can afford over $5 million

    purchases.

    Commercial

    Potential sale price of Twenty Anson is

    over $400m

    20-storey Twenty Anson, a Grade A office

    tower located near Tanjong Pagar MRTStation, may be sold to CapitaCommercial

    Trust (CCT) for more than $400 million. The

    Platinum LEED certified tower, which sits on a

    site with a remaining lease of about 95 years,

    has a total net lettable area of about 202,700

    sq ft and floor plates of about 13,000 sq ft.Ongoing discussion about the price is around

    $2,200 psf of net lettable area with income

    support and $2,120 psf without, with the net

    yield at 4% with income support and 3%

    without. It will also offer income potential from

    lease renewals, with many leases up for

    renewals in 2013/2014. The current average

    monthly rental is $6.50 psf per month, below

    the $8 psf per month market rate for a Grade

    A building in this location.

    StanChart sells space at Peace Centre

    Standard Chartered Bank has sold its 5,600

    sq ft two level corner space at Peace Centre,

    a building located near Selegie and Sophia

    Roads for around $11 million or $1,970 psf.

    Seven-storey Peace Centre sits on a site with

    57 years of remaining lease with the Peace

    Mansion apartments behind it.

    Tat Hong sells One Howard to MalaysianDairy Industries

    Freehold five-storey One Howard, an

    industrial building located near MacPherson

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    and Howard Roads has been sold to

    Malaysian Dairy Industries for $30.3 million or

    $402 psf ppr. Malaysian Dairy Industries

    owns the adjacent properties, and may

    eventually amalgamate the lands it now owns

    to redevelop the site in the long term,

    especially since the new site does not require

    any development charge for redevelopment.

    Furthermore the sites, zoned Business 1, are

    located near the Tai Seng MRT Station andhave a 2.5 plot ratio. The 30,157 sq ft One

    Howard site in itself can be potentially

    redeveloped further, since its estimated GFA

    of around 54,000 sq ft is a far cry from its

    75,393 sq ft potential. However, Malaysian

    Dairy is likely to renovate the building when

    existing tenancies in the building expire and

    move into the building itself in the short term.

    SINGAPORE PROPERTY WEEKLY I 38

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    Foreign Buyers and the Impact of the ABSD

    By Mr. Propwise

    Savills recently published an interesting report

    titled Profiles of foreign buyers in Singapore.

    Thanks to Singapores growing attraction as a

    safe haven for investors, foreigners purchased

    31% of all private home purchases in 2011, an

    all-time high and twice the number versus 10years ago.

    Profiles of the Four Main Groups of Foreign

    Buyers

    The top four main groups of foreign buyers are

    the Mainland Chinese (28% of all purchasesby foreigners), Malaysians (20%), Indonesians

    (18%) and Indians (12%). Together these four

    groups made up 78% of all foreign buying.

    SINGAPORE PROPERTY WEEKLY I 38

    http://www.savills.com.sg/research/residential-sales-research.aspxhttp://www.savills.com.sg/research/residential-sales-research.aspxhttp://www.savills.com.sg/research/residential-sales-research.aspxhttp://www.savills.com.sg/research/residential-sales-research.aspxhttp://www.savills.com.sg/research/residential-sales-research.aspxhttp://www.savills.com.sg/research/residential-sales-research.aspxhttp://www.savills.com.sg/research/residential-sales-research.aspxhttp://www.savills.com.sg/research/residential-sales-research.aspxhttp://www.savills.com.sg/research/residential-sales-research.aspxhttp://www.savills.com.sg/research/residential-sales-research.aspxhttp://www.savills.com.sg/research/residential-sales-research.aspxhttp://www.savills.com.sg/research/residential-sales-research.aspx
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    1. Mainland Chinese

    Bought over 2,550 private homes in 2011,

    triple that in 2007, mostly in the Outside

    Central Region. Mainly buying smaller homesas 44% of purchases in 2011 were below $1

    million. But demand is also growing in the

    high end segment (more than $2 million) as

    well. Districts 14, 15 and 16 were the most

    popular among this group.

    2. Malaysians

    Proportion of purchases grew by 4% from

    2007, as have their budgets. Most popular

    district are 19 (Serangoon Garden, Hougang,

    Punggol), 15 and 14 in that order.

    3. Indonesians

    Have the largest budgets, with 79% of total

    purchases above $1 million, and home

    purchases in the Core Central Region mainly

    in the $2 to $3 million range. However versus

    2007, proportion of home in the Outside

    Central Region and Rest of Central Region

    rose by 19% and 5% respectively, indicating a

    shift of demand outside the central areas,

    most likely due to reduced affordability as

    home prices rise. The most popular districts

    are 9, 15, 10 and 11 in that order.

    4. Indians

    Profile fairly similar to Malaysian buyers, with

    66% of purchases coming from the Outside

    Central Region. Most popular districts are 18

    (Tampines, Pasir Ris), 15 and 16.

    To sum up I noticed two distinct phenomena:

    Firstly, the Mainland Chinese and

    Indonesians form the largest bulk of buyers in

    the high end market. Second, demand from

    all groups have started to shift from the Core

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    Central Region to the Rest of Central Region

    and Outside Central Region as rising

    property prices have made homes in

    Singapore less affordable to them. Singapore

    home prices are already fairly high, even

    relative to the top cities in the world.

    Impact of the ABSD on Foreigners

    The Additional Buyers Stamp Duty slaps an

    additional 10% stamp duty on non-

    permanent residents and companies, while

    permanent residents are required to pay an

    additional 3% on their second and

    subsequent home purchases. If foreigners

    continue to buy despite this new tax, it either

    means that they expect significantly higherproperty prices or that they are purchasing

    for more than just investment reasons (e.g. to

    get permanent residence, for their childrens

    educations etc).

    As foreigners made up 43% of the luxury

    market in 2011, this segment could be the

    hardest hit. Singapore is not the only marketof interest foreigners are also looking at the

    U.S., London, Australia, Canada, Hong Kong,

    Malaysia etc.

    Only the foreigners who are determined to

    make Singapore their home would buy a

    home here, and will now be incentivized to

    take up permanent residence to escape the

    ABSD.

    Segments of the market that are more prone

    to speculation (e.g. shoebox units) could also

    be hard hit, and foreign buyers may then

    switch their attention to strata-titled office,

    retail or industrial units (which to be fair have

    already run up in prices).

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    If foreign buyers who are living in Singapore

    put off their buying decision due to the ABSD,

    housing demand could then switch to the

    rental market, pushing up rents and thusyields.

    The ABSD will curb some foreign demand,

    leading to a more domestic-centric property

    market. From what we can see from the

    recently property launches post the

    announcement of the ABSD, mass market

    projects targeted at local Singaporeans are

    still doing very well, potentially leading to

    another round of Government measures in

    the not-too-distant future to cool any

    remaining speculative fever/fervor.

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    Non-Landed Residential Resale PropertyTransactions for the Week of Jan 25 Jan 31

    NOTE: This data only covers non-landed residential resale propertytransactions with caveats lodged with the Singapore LandAuthority. Typically, caveats are lodged at least 2-3 weeks after apurchaser signs an OTP, hence the lagged nature of the data.

    Postal

    DistrictProject Name

    Area

    (sqft)

    Transacted

    Price ($)

    Price

    ($ psf)Tenure

    3 TANGLIN VIEW 1,195 1,360,000 1,138 99

    3 QUEENS 1,184 1,300,000 1,098 995 ONE-NORTH RESIDENCES 1,335 1,732,500 1,298 99

    8 KENTISH GREEN 1,098 900,000 820 99

    9 CITYVISTA RESIDENCES 2,120 3,550,000 1,674 FH

    10 VALLEY PARK 1,109 1,600,000 1,443 999

    14 CRYSTAL MANSIONS 1,259 745,000 592 FH

    15 COSTA RHU 646 918,000 1,421 99

    15 NATURE MANSIONS 1,216 1,300,000 1,069 FH

    16 COSTA DEL SOL 1,313 1,650,000 1,256 99

    16 BAYSHORE PARK 936 865,000 924 9916 AQUARIUS BY THE PARK 1,324 1,140,000 861 99

    18 TAMPINES COURT 1,711 990,000 578 101

    19 CHILTERN PARK 1,098 890,000 811 99

    20 GOLDENHILL PARK CONDOMINIUM 1,335 1,600,000 1,199 FH

    20 CLOVER BY THE PARK 1,744 1,750,000 1,004 99

    20 BRADDELL VIEW 1,701 1,200,000 706 99

    21 GARDENVISTA 1,163 1,320,000 1,135 99

    21 ASTOR GREEN 1,528 1,500,000 981 99

    21 PINE GROVE 1,755 1,290,000 735 9922 LAKESIDE TOWER 1,981 1,028,000 519 99

    23 CASHEW PARK CONDOMINIUM 1,819 1,600,000 880 999

    http://www.moneymatters.sg/