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Tennessee Higher Education Commission
Fall 2012 Enrollment &
Completion Update
Tennessee Higher Education Commission
Fall Quarterly Meeting
November 15, 2012
Tennessee Higher Education Commission
Fall 2012 Headcount by Sector
Estimated Total TN Enrollment:
397,016
-2.6% Decrease from Fall 2011
Fall 2012 decrease was driven by slight declines across the board. Only TICUA experienced growth.
• Fall 2012 Preliminary data • Proprietary school enrollment is estimated based on last year’s FY numbers. Fall enrollment is calculated by averaging three years of the percent of
public school fall enrollment to year round enrollment (77.86%)• TBR TTC’s Final 2011 Fall Enrollment data were used for Preliminary 2012 Fall Enrollment to allow for rolling admissions
UT49,23612%
TICUA78,47619%
TBR CC92,25922%
TBR Univ92,48922%
TBR TTC
16,8184%
Pro-pri-
etary67,73821%
Tennessee Higher Education Commission
Fall Headcounts for Public Institutions Since 2002
• Fall 2012 Preliminary data • TBR TTC’s Final 2011 Fall Enrollment data were used for Preliminary 2012 Fall Enrollment to allow for rolling admissions
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
211,987 212,820 216,963 216,288223,037
227,386234,380
253,369260,984 260,760
250,802
University of Tennessee
TBR TTCs
TBR Universities
TBR Community Colleges
Num
ber
of S
tude
nts
Tennessee Higher Education Commission
Fall 2007-2012 Enrollment Headcount Changes by Sector
• Fall 2012 Preliminary data • TBR TTC’s Final 2011 Fall Enrollment data were used for Preliminary 2012 Fall Enrollment to allow for rolling admissions
UT Universities TICUA TBR Community Colleges TBR Universities TBR Technical Centers
-0.3%3.2%
-4.7% -4.3%
-6.1%
4.8%
20.6%19.8%
7.9%
-5.2%
1 Year Change
5 Year Change
Tennessee Higher Education Commission
Remedial & Developmental EnrollmentFall 2011 Share of First-time Freshman Enrollment
TBR Community Col-leges
TBR Universities UT Universities State Total
68.8%
19.6%
23.3%
49.3%
Tennessee Higher Education Commission
Remedial & Developmental SuccessRemedial & Developmental Students Successfully
Passing a Standard Level Class within 3 Academic Years TBR Community Colleges
Based on the final year of the three year metric
The Average of
these 3 Cohorts is
67.8%
2009-2010 2010-2011 2011-2012
67.1% 68.4% 67.9%
Tennessee Higher Education Commission
Shares of Instructional HoursConventional vs. Non-Conventional
Includes TBR CC’s, TBR Universities, & UT Universities
78%
22%
2011-2012
85%
15%
2007-2008
Conventional Methodology Non- Conventional Methodology
Tennessee Higher Education Commission
Shares of Non-Conventional Hours
Excludes Conventional MethodologyIncludes TBR CC’s, TBR Universities, & UT Universities
Clinical4%
Dissertation1%
Independent Study
5%Instructional
Media3%
Internet/Web-based/On-line
31%
New College On-line De-
gree Program1%
Other Computer Instruction18%
Other Non-Conventional
Method10%
Regents On-line Degree
Program14%
Student Teaching and Field Super-
vision7%
Thesis1%
Video Broadcast6%
2007-2008
Clinical4%
Dissertation2%
Independent Study
3%Instructional
Media0%
Internet/Web-
based/On-line41%
New College On-line Degree Program
1%
Other Computer Instruction2%
Other Non-Conven-tional Method
19%
Regents On-line Degree
Program15%
Student Teaching and Field
Supervision7%
Thesis1%
Video Broadcast4%
2011-2012
Tennessee Higher Education Commission
Public Undergraduate Awards
Includes TBR TTC’s, TBR CC’s, TBR Universities, & UT UniversitiesIncludes non-formula awards and awards granted by non-formula units
2007-2008 2008-2009 2009-2010 2010-2011 2011-2012
6,974 7,030 7,784
8,652 9,467
17,278
18,375 18,250 19,121
19,956
1,050 1,073 1,583
2,185
6,000
468 518 631 622
2,703
25,770 26,996
28,248 30,580
38,126
Associate
Bachelors
Certificate <1 Year
Certificate 1-2 Years
Grand Total
Tennessee Higher Education Commission
Public Undergraduate Awards2007-08 through 2011-12
2007-2008 2010-2011 2011-20121 Year
Change5 Year
Change5 Year CAGR
Undergraduate Awards
Public Institution Total 25,770 30,580 38,126 24.7% 47.9% 10.3%
Certificate <1 Year 1,050 2,185 6,000 174.6% 471.4% 54.6%
*Funding Formula Certificate <1 Year 892 1,274 1,468 15.2% 64.6% 13.3%
Certificate 1-2 Years 468 622 2,703 334.6% 477.6% 55.0%
*Funding Formula Certificate 1-2 Year 468 619 777 25.5% 66.0% 13.5%
Associate 6,974 8,652 9,467 9.4% 35.7% 7.9%
Bachelors 17,278 19,121 19,956 4.4% 15.5% 3.7%
Technology Centers 5,982 8,140
Includes TBR CC’s, TBR Universities, & UT Universities2011-2012 TTC Completers are not available until January. Prior years include Certificates and Diplomas awarded, but exclude Supplemental Certificates and Sufficient CredentialsIncludes non-formula awards and awards granted by non-formula units
Tennessee Higher Education Commission
Public Graduate Awards
Includes TBR Universities & UT UniversitiesIncludes non-formula awards and awards granted by non-formula units
2007-2008 2008-2009 2009-2010 2010-2011 2011-2012
56 118 139 253 234
413 456 394 317 279 711 768 749 746 844
748 767 890 891 919
5,196
5,544 5,482
5,847 5,863 7,124
7,653 7,654
8,054 8,139
Certificate: Post-Bache-lor
Educational Specialist
Doctoral
Professional
Masters
Grand Total
Tennessee Higher Education Commission
Public Graduate Awards2007-08 through 2011-12
2007-08 2010-11 2011-121 Year
Change5 Year
Change5 Year CAGR
Graduate Awards
Public Institution Total 7,124 8,054 8,139 1.1% 14.2% 3.4%
Certificate Post Bachelor 56 253 234 -7.5% 317.9% 43.0%
Masters 5,196 5,847 5,863 .3% 12.8% 3.1%
Educational Specialist 413 317 279 -12.0% -32.4% -9.3%
Doctoral 711 746 844 13.1% 18.7% 4.4%
First Professional 748 891 919 3.1% 22.9% 5.3%
Includes TBR Universities,& UT UniversitiesIncludes non-formula awards and awards granted by non-formula units
Tennessee Higher Education Commission
2011-2012 Six Year Graduation RatesBy System
Cohort: Fall 2005 First Time Full Time Freshman (and summer school Freshman who returned in Fall tracked through Spring 2011)
TBR Community Colleges TBR Universities UT Universities TN Public Total
27%
48%
64%
43%
Tennessee Higher Education Commission
5 Year Trend in Six Year Graduation Rates By System
2007-08 2008-09 2009-10 2010-11 2011-12
27% 27% 26% 27% 27%
47% 48% 47% 49% 48%
59% 61% 61%64% 64%
42% 42% 42% 44% 43%
TBR Community Colleges TBR Universities UT Universities TN Public Total
Tennessee Higher Education Commission
Public Graduation Rates & Ratios5 Year Trend
2007-2008 2008-2009 2009-2010 2010-2011 2011-2012
Six Year Graduation Rate
TBR Community Colleges 27% 27% 26% 27% 27%
TBR Universities 47% 48% 47% 49% 48%
UT Universities 59% 61% 61% 64% 64%
TN Total 42% 42% 42% 44% 43%
Undergraduate Degrees & Certificates per 100 FTE
TBR Community Colleges 13.7 13.1 12.7 13.2 15.0
TBR Universities 18.3 19.1 18.0 18.2 18.5
UT Universities 17.4 18.3 18.0 18.9 20.3
TN Total 16.5 16.7 15.9 16.4 17.5
Graduate Degrees & Certificates per 100 FTE
TBR Universities 38.5 39.1 35.4 39.5 36.5
UT Universities 22.6 25.5 24.0 23.6 27.7
TN Total 30.1 32.3 29.8 31.7 32.4
Undergraduate Certificates excludes <1 yr certificates per the Funding Formula Awards per FTE calculationIncludes TBR TTC’s, TBR CC’s, TBR Universities, & UT UniversitiesDenominator includes non-degree seeking students
Tennessee Higher Education Commission
Time to DegreeBy System
2007-2008 2008-2009 2009-2010 2010-2011 2011-2012
4.033.97
4.09 4.07
3.89
5.00 4.99 4.99 4.94 4.94
4.60 4.57 4.58 4.57 4.56
TBR Community Colleges TBR Universities UT Universities
Tennessee Higher Education Commission
Time to DegreeTransfer vs. Non-Transfer Students
5.77 5.69 5.94 6.035.55
3.92 3.87 3.97 3.96 3.80
AssociateTransfer Non-Transfer
2007-2008 2008-2009 2009-2010 2010-2011 2011-2012
5.95 5.92 6.07 6.01 5.92
4.74 4.73 4.72 4.70 4.70
BachelorsTransfer Non-Transfer
Tennessee Higher Education Commission
Adult Undergraduate Completers5 Year Trend
Includes TBR CC’s, TBR Universities, & UT UniversitiesIncludes non-formula awards and awards granted by non-formula units
2007-2008 2008-2009 2009-2010 2010-2011 2011-2012
42.9%42.0%
42.4%
43.1%
44.3%
11,029 11,340 11,985
13,190
16,889
UT Universities
TBR Universities
TBR Community Colleges
Grand Total
% is the Share of
Total Completers
Tennessee Higher Education Commission
Low-Income Undergraduate Completers5 Year Trend
2007-2008 2008-2009 2009-2010 2010-2011 2011-2012
44.0%45.3%
48.0%
50.8%
54.7%
11,315 12,224
13,571
15,548
20,871
UT Universities
TBR Universities
TBR Community Col-leges
Grand Total
Includes TBR CC’s, TBR Universities, & UT UniversitiesIncludes non-formula awards and awards granted by non-formula units
% is the Share of
Total Completers
Tennessee Higher Education Commission
Minority Undergraduate CompletersAfrican American: 5 Year Trend
2007-2008 2008-2009 2009-2010 2010-2011 2011-2012
15.5% 14.6%14.7%
14.2%
13.6%
4,005 3,934 4,160
4,357
5,169
UT Universities
TBR Universi-ties
TBR Com-munity Col-legesTotal African American
Includes TBR CC’s, TBR Universities, & UT UniversitiesIncludes non-formula awards and awards granted by non-formula units
% is the Share of
Total Completers
Tennessee Higher Education Commission
Minority Undergraduate CompletersHispanic: 5 Year Trend
2007-2008 2008-2009 2009-2010 2010-2011 2011-2012
1.6% 1.6%1.8%
1.9%
2.2%400
427
498
572
826
UT Universities
TBR Universities
TBR Community Col-leges
Total Hispanic
Includes TBR CC’s, TBR Universities, & UT UniversitiesIncludes non-formula awards and awards granted by non-formula units
% is the Share of
Total Completers
Tennessee Higher Education Commission
STEM Fields
STEM Disciplines defined by the Oklahoma Consortium for Student Retention Data ExchangeNumbers in parentheses indicate IPEDS two-digit Classification of Instructional Programs (CIP) code
Agriculture (01)
Natural Resources (03)
Computer & Information Sciences (11)
Engineering (14)
Engineering Technology (15)
Biological & Biomedical Sciences (26)
Math & Statistics (27)
Physical Sciences (40)
Tennessee Higher Education Commission
Undergraduate STEM Awards
Includes TBR CC’s, TBR Universities, & UT UniversitiesSTEM Disciplines defined by the Oklahoma Consortium for Student Retention Data Exchange
% is the Share of
Total Completers
2007-2008 2008-2009 2009-2010 2010-2011 2011-2012
12.2%12.6%
12.1%
13.3%
12.5%
3,147 3,403 3,430
4,073
4,775
Share of Total
STEM Awards
Tennessee Higher Education Commission
Graduate STEM Awards
Includes TBR Universities & UT UniversitiesSTEM Disciplines defined by the Oklahoma Consortium for Student Retention Data Exchange
2007-2008 2008-2009 2009-2010 2010-2011 2011-2012
12.1% 12.1%
11.4%11.7%
13.1%
860
929
873
939
1065
Share of To-tal
STEM Awards
% is the Share of
Total Completers
Tennessee Higher Education Commission
2011-12 STEM AwardsLargest
UndergraduateBachelors Engineering & Biological Sciences (936, 845)Associate Engineering Technologies (494)Certificate Engineering Technologies & Computer Sciences (272, 241)
GraduateMasters Engineering (271)Doctoral Engineering (85)Certificate Engineering Technologies (15)
Smallest Undergraduate
Bachelors Natural Resources (126)Associate Biological SciencesCertificate Agriculture (17)
GraduateMasters Natural Resources (16)Doctoral Agriculture & Natural Resources (9, 10)Certificate Computer Sciences, Biological Sciences, & Math
Includes TBR CC’s, TBR Universities, & UT UniversitiesSTEM Disciplines defined by the Oklahoma Consortium for Student Retention Data Exchange
Tennessee Higher Education Commission
5 Year Changes in Number of Public Undergraduate Awards by Discipline
Includes TBR CC’s, TBR Universities, & UT Universities
Mul
tidisc
. Stu
dies
Tech.
Ed./ In
dtrl
Arts
Home E
cono
mics
Trade
s and
Indu
stria
l
Libra
ry Sc
ience
Archi
tectu
re
Englis
h & L
itera
ture
Philo
soph
y
Law &
Leg
al St
udies
Mat
hem
atics
Perso
nal &
Misc
. Ser
vice
s
Area,
Ethni
c & C
ultu
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tudi
es
Foreig
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guag
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Lit.
Visual
& P
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Agricu
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Physic
al Sc
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s
Biolo
gica
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Scien
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Perso
nal I
mpr
ovem
ent &
Leis
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Psych
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y
Comm
unica
tions
Socia
l Scie
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Parks
, Rec
., Leis
ure &
Fitn
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Busin
ess M
anag
emen
t & A
dmin
.
Protec
tive S
rvs.
& P
ublic
Affa
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Compu
ter &
Info
rmat
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cienc
es
Engin
eerin
g
Educa
tion
Health
Pro
fessio
ns
Liber
al A
rts &
Scien
ces
Tennessee Higher Education Commission
5 Year Changes in Number of Public Graduate Awards by Discipline
Includes TBR CC’s, TBR Universities, & UT Universities
Educa
tion
Philo
soph
y
Home E
cono
mics
Englis
h & L
itera
ture
Trade
s and
Indu
stria
l
Visual
& P
erfo
rmin
g Arts
Area,
Ethni
c & C
ultu
ral S
tudi
es
Libra
ry Sc
ience
Foreig
n Lan
guag
es &
Lit.
Comm
unica
tions
Law &
Leg
al St
udies
Mat
hem
atics
Mul
tidisc
. Stu
dies
Protec
tive S
rvs &
Pub
lic A
ffairs
Compu
ter &
Info
rmat
ion S
cienc
es
Agricu
lture
Archi
tectu
re
Engin
eerin
g
Psych
olog
y
Biolo
gica
l/Life
Scien
ces
Physic
al Sc
ience
s
Socia
l Scie
nces
Liber
al A
rts &
Scien
ces
Parks
, Rec
., Leis
ure &
Fitn
ess
Busin
ess M
anag
emen
t & A
dmin
.
Health
Pro
fessio
ns
Tennessee Higher Education Commission
www.tn.gov/thec/Legislative/Reports.html
Please contact Penny Shelton with any [email protected]
(615) 532-6613