Upload
others
View
6
Download
0
Embed Size (px)
Citation preview
1
The English Indices of Deprivation 2010
Summary of findings for Torbay
This paper presents a brief overview of modelled deprivation in Torbay. The data is taken from the
government’s 2010 English Indices of Deprivation (http://www.communities.gov.uk). The paper presents
some of the findings and illustrates the changing picture of relative deprivation over time.
Overview:
Torbay’s relative position within the national model of deprivation shows a negative direction. This could
be considered as a worrying trend for Torbay. Whilst there is no single local authority level measure
favoured over another, if we consider the rank of local concentration (population weighted based on most
deprived LSOAs containing 10% of population); Torbay’s relative position has moved from 119 in 2004, to
75 in 2007 to 61 in 2010. Torbay’s relative position has continued to be a worsening one, even after
adjusting for the reduction in the number of local authority areas, from 354 to 326.
The number of geographies across England has remained constant over time at 32,482, with 89 areas in
Torbay. These areas are called LSOAs, or Lower Super Output Areas. LSOAs are comparable geographies
with a mean population of approximately 1,500.
Whilst the relative levels of deprivation have increased for Torbay, deprivation within Torbay shows
noticeable variation. At town level both Torquay and Paignton could be perceived to show a worsening in
relative deprivation between 2007 and 2010. However, levels in Brixham could be perceived as improving.
Key findings:
• Torbay is within the top 20% most deprived local authority areas in England for the rank of average
score and the rank of local concentration.
• The number of LSOAs in Torbay in the top 10% most deprived has increased over time from 4 in
2004, to 10 in 2007 and 12 in 2010.
• Numbers of areas in the top 10% most deprived in England has increased in Torbay, whilst
conversely Torbay now has an area considered within the least 10% deprived in England. This could
suggest a widening of the inequality gap across Torbay.
• Overall levels of relative deprivation have worsened in Torbay, with an estimated 21,000 (15%)
residents living in areas considered in the top 10% most deprived in England, compared to an
estimated 15,500 (11%) in 2007.
• Some areas within Torbay have shown noticeable increases in levels of relative deprivation,
Watcombe for example has seen a 10% increase in relative deprivation between 2007 and 2010.
• Croft Hall remains the practice drawing its registered patients from the most deprived
communities.
• It appears that the populations in Torbay mostly living in areas in the top 10% most deprived in
England are young families.
• 1 in 5 of Torbay’s 20 to 29 population live in areas in the top 10% most deprived in England.
2
Summary of district level findings:
The summary measures at district level focus on different aspects of multiple deprivation in the area. No
single summary measure is favoured over another, as there is no single best way of describing or comparing
districts.
In all rankings throughout this paper, a rank of 1 indicates the most deprived in England.
Table 1: Ranking for Torbay with all authorities in …
Area & Year
Rank of
Average
Score
Rank of
Average
Rank
Rank of
Extent
Rank of
Local
Concentra
-tion
Rank of
Income
Scale
Rank of
Employme
-nt Scale
Total
number of
authoritie
s
England
2010 61 49 82 61 97 99 326
2007 71 57 89 75 93 94 354
2004 94 89 113 119 95 94
South West
Authorities
2010 1 2 3 2 6 7 37
2007 3 4 4 3 4 4 45
2004 7 8 6 8 4 4
Torbay’s overall position as 61st most deprived local authority for the rank of average score and rank of
local concentration places Torbay within the top 20% most deprived local authorities in England, between
the 18th
and 19th
percentile. This position is, relatively, worse than that for 2007, even when considering the
reduction in the denominator from 354 to 326 local authority areas. In 2007 Torbay was on the cusp of the
top quartile most deprived between the 20th
and 21st percentile.
Overview of the six summary measures:
Average score is the population weighted average of the combined scores for the SOAs in a district.
Average rank is the population weighted average of the combined ranks for the SOAs in a district.
Extent is the proportion of a district’s population living in the most deprived SOAs in the country.
Local concentration is the population-weighted average of the ranks of a district’s most deprived SOAs that
contain exactly 10% of the district’s population.
Income scale is the number of people who are income deprived.
Employment scale is the number of people who are employment deprived.
3
Small area deprivation
The Index of Multiple Deprivation is constructed from a weighted quantitative model. The model is
weighted in favour of income and employment. Where the rationale is that without an income or
employment, levels of deprivation will be higher. The weighted model is illustrated in figure 1 below,
including the weightings per domain.
Figure 1: Construct of Index of Multiple Deprivation
Details of the indicators within each of these respective domains can be viewed in appendix B.
Each domain consists of a score which is then ranked. The scores for the Income Deprivation Domain and
the Employment Deprivation Domain are rates. So, for example, if an LSOA scores 0.38 in the Income
Deprivation Domain, this means that 38% of the LSOA’s total population is income deprived. The same
applies to the Employment Deprivation Domain where the rate refers to the percentage of the working age
population that is employment deprived.
The scores for the remaining five domains are not rates. Within a domain, the higher the score, the more
deprived a LSOA is, although because the distribution of the data has been modified, it is not possible to
say how much more deprived one area is than another The IMD 2010 score is the combined sum of the
weighted, exponentially transformed domain rank of the domain score. Again, the bigger the IMD 2010
score, the more deprived the LSOA. However, because of the transformations undertaken, it is not possible
to say, for example, that an LSOA with a score of 40 is twice as deprived as an LSOA with a score of 20.
Over recent years the relative levels of deprivation within Torbay’s population have shown a slight
worsening, as can be seen in the Index of Multiple Deprivation columns below (table 2). The worsening
levels of deprivation are most noticeable for the employment domain, where the number of LSOAs in the
most deprived end of the spectrum has shown continued increase.
4
Table 2 (4 tables) presents the counts of LSOAs by deprivation decile. The tables also graphically present
the numbers with a coloured bar (there is no meaning associated to the colour used), the larger the
number the larger the bar. If the respective domain was evenly distributed across the population, we would
expect to see ‘9’ in each decile.
The least equal distribution compared to the national is the health domain, where on the distribution is
centred on the 30+% to 40% most deprived.
The most evenly distributed domain is the crime domain, this shows a pattern of crime deprivation in line
with the national perspective.
The picture of income deprivation affecting children shows pockets of acute deprivation, whilst the overall
picture could be perceived as an improving picture. As the numbers in the most deprived increased, more
noticeably the numbers in the least deprived increased in larger volume.
LSOAs are statistical building blocks, and not natural communities. It should also be noted that discrete
pockets of severe deprivation may potentially be hidden at the population level.
Table 2: Distribution of LSOAs by decile of deprivation per domain – ‘change over time’
2004 2007 2010 2004 2007 2010 2004 2007 2010
Top 10% 4 10 12 6 6 6 7 12 13
10+% to 20% 8 4 4 8 10 13 17 15 20
20+% to 30% 16 24 23 25 22 24 20 23 19
30+% to 40% 22 18 12 16 21 11 22 11 13
40+% to 50% 12 8 12 14 12 15 11 18 11
50+% to 60% 11 15 14 11 9 11 6 3 9
60+% to 70% 9 5 6 6 6 6 4 6 4
70+% to 80% 4 4 4 1 2 2 2 1 0
80+% to 90% 3 1 1 2 1 1 0 0 0
90+% to 100% 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
Count of SOAs
by decile
Index of Multiple Deprivation Income deprivation Employment deprivation
Table 2 cont.
2004 2007 2010 2004 2007 2010 2004 2007 2010
Top 10% 0 7 8 3 4 4 1 1 1
10+% to 20% 4 8 6 7 7 7 4 7 6
20+% to 30% 10 20 14 15 16 20 7 6 7
30+% to 40% 23 22 25 15 17 18 8 19 14
40+% to 50% 18 17 15 16 12 11 18 20 18
50+% to 60% 20 12 14 11 16 14 22 16 20
60+% to 70% 12 3 5 12 8 7 15 13 13
70+% to 80% 2 0 1 6 4 3 11 6 8
80+% to 90% 0 0 1 2 4 5 3 1 2
90+% to 100% 0 0 0 2 1 0 0 0 0
Count of SOAs
by decile
Health deprivation Education deprivation Barriers to housing
Table 2 cont.
5
2004 2007 2010 2004 2007 2010
Top 10% 4 7 9 19 17 16
10+% to 20% 4 10 8 12 18 16
20+% to 30% 3 6 8 13 12 14
30+% to 40% 7 12 9 12 11 9
40+% to 50% 9 12 10 4 7 9
50+% to 60% 10 11 7 5 7 6
60+% to 70% 17 5 6 8 7 7
70+% to 80% 9 13 12 5 2 3
80+% to 90% 13 10 10 6 7 4
90+% to 100% 13 3 10 5 1 5
Count of SOAs
by decile
Crime deprivation Living environment
Table 2 cont.
2004 2007 2010 2004 2007 2010
Top 10% 5 2 7 4 5 3
10+% to 20% 9 10 8 16 12 13
20+% to 30% 15 19 18 13 16 16
30+% to 40% 20 17 12 15 11 13
40+% to 50% 19 23 19 11 17 19
50+% to 60% 11 9 8 10 12 9
60+% to 70% 6 5 10 11 10 11
70+% to 80% 4 3 4 3 2 1
80+% to 90% 0 1 3 4 2 3
90+% to 100% 0 0 0 2 2 1
Count of SOAs
by decile
IDAC IDAOP
6
Map 1 illustrates the geographical distribution of relative deprivation in Torbay for the Index of Multiple
Deprivation. The small coloured areas are the LSOAs, where areas in red are areas considered within the
top 10% most deprived in England.
Maps for the domains are presented in appendix A.
Map 1: 2010 Index of Multiple Deprivation
7
Modelling deprivation at ward level was undertaken by attributing the average score to the each of the
estimated population. The aggregated score then being divided by the total population provides the
average score per ward. No confidence intervals are presented in this paper.
Table 3 shows the average score per ward for 2007 and 2010 (consistent methodology used to calculate),
where the higher the score the higher the relative deprivation. The proportionate change is also presented.
Watcombe shows a net (relative) position of being 10% worse in 2010 compared to 2007.
Table 3: Ward level findings
Ward 2007 Score 2010 Score Change
Berry Head-with-Furzeham 22.6 22.1 -2.1%
Blatchcombe 29.2 30.5 4.7%
Churston-with-Galmpton 12.4 12.0 -3.1%
Clifton-with-Maidenway 22.1 21.3 -3.9%
Cockington-with-Chelston 19.1 18.7 -1.9%
Ellacombe 35.1 38.0 8.3%
Goodrington-with-Roselands 19.2 18.3 -4.7%
Preston 20.0 18.6 -7.0%
Roundham-with-Hyde 42.8 44.0 2.7%
Shiphay-with-the-Willows 16.4 17.6 7.5%
St Marychurch 25.6 25.9 1.0%
St Mary's-with-Summercombe 25.8 24.8 -4.0%
Tormohun 43.5 44.7 2.7%
Watcombe 32.8 36.2 10.1%
Wellswood 27.7 27.3 -1.6%
Torbay Resident 26.4 26.8 1.5%
There are areas in Torbay within the top 2% most deprived in England. For example, one LSOA in
Roundham with Hyde is ranked as the 340th
most deprived in England, just outside the top 1% most
deprived in England. Table 4 summarises the most deprived LSOA per domain in Torbay and identifies the
electoral ward and the relative position.
Table 4: Summary of most deprived LSOAs in Torbay
Deprivation domain Most deprived rank
Rank Top % Ward
Index of Multiple Deprivation 446 1.4% Ellacombe
Income deprivation domain 1,192 3.7% Ellacombe
Employment deprivation domain 340 1.1% Roundham with Hyde
Health deprivation and disability domain 1,149 3.5% Roundham with Hyde
Education, skills and training deprivation domain 1,054 3.2% Blatchcombe
Barriers to housing and services domain 1,742 5.4% Blatchcombe
Crime domain 428 1.3% Roundham with Hyde
Living environment deprivation domain 472 1.5% Roundham with Hyde
Income deprivation affecting children 1,258 3.9% Ellacombe
Income deprivation affecting older people 1,131 3.5% Watcombe
8
GP practice deprivation scores have been calculated by attributing all registered persons within each
practice, the IMD score for the area they live. This is based on postcode of residence and assumes a normal
distribution of deprivation and patients per area. The cumulative score is then divided by the population of
the practice to give an overall practice score. This is consistent with previous methodologies and allows
comparisons of relative deprivation scores per practice in Torbay.
Table 5: Practice level findings
Name 2007 IMD
Score
2010 IMD
Score
2010 IMD
Practice Rank
Change on
2007
Barton Surgery 29.4 31.0 5 5.4%
Bishops Place Surgery 30.6 31.3 4 2.3%
Brunel Medical Practice 25.3 25.8 11 2.2%
Chelston Hall 22.8 23.3 15 2.2%
Cherrybrook Medical Centre 15.4 15.0 20 -2.6%
Chilcote Surgery 27.8 28.9 7 4.1%
Compass House Medical Centre 21.0 20.3 19 -3.5%
Corner Place Surgery 26.4 26.3 10 -0.4%
Croft Hall Medical Practice 34.5 35.4 1 2.7%
Grosvenor Road Surgery 25.4 25.1 14 -1.1%
Mayfield Medical Centre 25.6 25.7 12 0.5%
Old Farm Surgery 26.7 27.5 8 3.0%
Old Mill Surgery 26.7 26.5 9 -0.9%
Parkhill Medical Practice 28.8 29.1 6 1.0%
Pembroke House 21.9 21.3 18 -2.5%
Shiphay Manor Surgery 30.4 32.1 2 5.5%
Southover Surgery 30.3 31.8 3 5.1%
St Luke’s Medical Centre 22.8 22.6 17 -0.8%
The Greenswood Surgery 24.0 23.1 16 -3.7%
Withycombe Lodge Surgery 24.8 25.3 13 2.2%
Torbay Registered 26.2 26.6 - 1.5%
Approximate England Average 21.7 21.5 - -
Levels of relative deprivation are highest for Croft Hall; this suggests that Croft draws their registered
patients from the more deprived communities. Levels of relative deprivation for Croft have worsened
between 2007 and 2010.
Relative levels for the practices in Brixham have all decreased. This does not mean they are more affluent,
more that the relative levels of deprivation are worse in other areas.
Barton, Shiphay Manor and Southover have all seen an increase in terms of their patient’s relative levels of
deprivation between 2007 and 2010.
9
Understanding the population.
Figure 2: Population pyramid
The population living in the areas of
Torbay in the top 10% most deprived in
England is illustrated in figure 2, and
detailed further in table 6.
Figure 2 shows a clear younger structure
living in the more deprived areas, when
compared to the rest of Torbay’s
population structure.
Table 6 presents a breakdown of the
population, and includes the proportion
of that age group residing in the most
deprived communities. For example, we
can see that 20% (or 1 in 5) of the 20 to
24 population living area of Torbay in the
top 10% most deprived in England.
Table 6: Population structure
Population by
quinary age
banding and
gender
Persons living in Top
10% most deprived in
England
Rest of Torbay’s
population
Proportion of
Torbay’s residents
living in Top 10%
most deprived in
England F M Total F M Total
0 to 4 500 550 1,050 2,500 2,650 5,150 16.9%
5 to 9 500 500 1,000 2,700 2,950 5,650 15.0%
10 to 14 500 500 1,000 3,150 3,250 6,400 13.5%
15 to 19 650 600 1,250 3,450 3,600 7,050 15.1%
20 to 24 800 800 1,600 3,050 3,350 6,400 20.0%
25 to 29 850 850 1,700 3,050 3,100 6,150 21.7%
30 to 34 650 750 1,400 2,950 2,900 5,850 19.3%
35 to 39 600 750 1,350 3,350 3,500 6,850 16.5%
40 to 44 650 900 1,550 4,050 4,200 8,250 15.8%
45 to 49 700 900 1,600 4,300 4,400 8,700 15.5%
50 to 54 700 800 1,500 3,950 3,900 7,850 16.0%
55 to 59 550 700 1,250 3,900 3,750 7,650 14.0%
60 to 64 550 700 1,250 4,750 4,400 9,150 12.0%
65 to 69 450 450 900 3,900 3,800 7,700 10.5%
70 to 74 400 450 850 3,350 3,050 6,400 11.7%
75 to 79 350 300 650 2,800 2,400 5,200 11.1%
80 to 84 300 200 500 2,450 1,700 4,150 10.8%
85+ 500 200 700 3,300 1,550 4,850 12.6%
Total 10,200 10,900 21,100 60,950 58,450 119,400 15.0%
Source: 2010 Registered Patients list
10
Map 2: Distribution of GP practices in Torbay by town and ward
11
Appendix A - Map 3: 2010 Income deprivation
Map 4: 2010 Employment deprivation
12
Map 5: 2010 Health and disability deprivation
Map 6: 2010 Education, skills and training deprivation
13
Map 7: 2010 Barriers to housing and services deprivation
Map 8: 2010 Crime deprivation
14
Map 9: 2010 Living environment deprivation
Map 10: 2010 Income deprivation affecting children
15
Map 11: 2010 Income deprivation affecting older people
16
Appendix B
Income Deprivation Domain
This domain measures the proportion of the population in an area that live in income deprived
families. The definition of income deprivation adopted here includes both families that are out-of-
work and families that are in work but who have low earnings (and who satisfy the respective means
tests).
The indicators
A combined count of income deprived individuals per Lower layer Super Output Area (LSOA) is
calculated by summing the following five indicators:
• Adults and children in Income Support families. August 2008
• Adults and children in income-based Jobseeker’s Allowance families. August 2008
• Adults and children in Pension Credit (Guarantee) families
• Adults and children in Child Tax Credit families (who are not claiming Income Support, income-
based Jobseeker’s Allowance or Pension Credit) whose equivalised income (excluding housing
benefits) is below 60% of the median before housing costs
• Asylum seekers in England in receipt of subsistence support, accommodation support, or both.
The combined count of income deprived individuals per LSOA forms the numerator of an income
deprivation rate which is expressed as a proportion of the total LSOA population.
Employment Deprivation Domain
This domain measures employment deprivation conceptualised as involuntary exclusion of the
working age population from the world of work. The employment deprived are defined as those who
would like to work but are unable to do so through unemployment, sickness or disability.
The indicators
A combined count of employment deprived individuals per LSOA is calculated by summing the
following seven indicators:
• Claimants of Jobseeker’s Allowance (both contribution-based and income based), women aged 18-
59 and men aged 18-64. Quarterly average for 2008
• Claimants of Incapacity Benefit aged 18-59/64. Quarterly average for 2008
• Claimants of Severe Disablement Allowance aged 18-59/64. Quarterly average for 2008
• Claimants of Employment and Support Allowance aged 18-59/64 (those with a contribution-based
element). Quarterly average for 2008
17
• Participants in New Deal for 18-24s who are not claiming Jobseeker’s Allowance. Quarterly average
for 2008
• Participants in New Deal for 25+ who are not claiming Jobseeker’s Allowance. Quarterly average
for 2008
• Participants in New Deal for Lone Parents aged 18 and over (after initial interview). Quarterly
average for 2008
The combined count of employment deprived individuals per LSOA forms the numerator of an
employment deprivation rate which is expressed as a proportion of the working age population
(women aged 18-59 and men aged 18-64) in the LSOA.
Health Deprivation and Disability Domain
This domain measures premature death and the impairment of quality of life by poor health. It
considers both physical and mental health. The domain measures morbidity, disability and
premature mortality but not aspects of behaviour or environment that may be predictive of future
health deprivation.
The indicators
• Years of Potential Life Lost: An age and sex standardised measure of premature death. 2004/08
• Comparative Illness and Disability Ratio: An age and sex standardised morbidity/ disability ratio.
2008
• Acute morbidity: An age and sex standardised rate of emergency admission to hospital. 2006/08
• Mood and anxiety disorders: The rate of adults suffering from mood and anxiety disorders.
2005/08
The indicators within the domain were standardised by ranking and transforming to a normal
distribution.
Education, Skills and Training deprivation Domain
This domain captures the extent of deprivation in education, skills and training in an area. The
indicators fall into two sub-domains: one relating to children and young people and one relating to
adult skills. These two sub-domains are designed to reflect the ‘flow’ and ‘stock’ of educational
disadvantage within an area respectively. That is, the ‘children and young people’ sub-domain
measures the attainment of qualifications and associated measures (‘flow’), while the ‘skills’ sub-
domain measures the lack of qualifications in the resident working age adult population (‘stock’).
The indicators
Sub-domain: Children and Young People
18
• Key Stage 2 attainment: The average points score of pupils taking English, maths and science Key
Stage 2 exams.
• Key Stage 3 attainment: The average points score of pupils taking English, maths and science Key
Stage 3 exams.
• Key Stage 4 attainment: The average capped points score of pupils taking Key Stage 4 (GCSE or
equivalent) exams.
• Secondary school absence: The proportion of authorised and unauthorised absences from
secondary school.
• Staying on in education post 16: The proportion of young people not staying on in school or non-
advanced education above age 16.
• Entry to higher education: The proportion of young people aged under 21 not entering higher
education.
Sub-domain: Skills
• Adult skills: The proportion of working age adults aged 25-54 with no or low qualifications.
Barriers to Housing and Services Domain
This domain measures the physical and financial accessibility of housing and key local services. The
indicators fall into two sub-domains: ‘geographical barriers’, which relate to the physical proximity of
local services, and ‘wider barriers’ which includes issues relating to access to housing such as
affordability.
The indicators
Sub-domain: Wider Barriers
• Household overcrowding: The proportion of all households in an LSOA which are judged to have
insufficient space to meet the household’s needs.
• Homelessness: The rate of acceptances for housing assistance under the homelessness provisions
of housing legislation.
• Housing affordability: The difficulty of access to owner-occupation, expressed as a proportion of
households aged under 35 whose income means that they are unable to afford to enter owner
occupation.
Sub-domain: Geographical Barriers
• Road distance to a GP surgery: A measure of the mean distance to the closest GP surgery for
people living in the LSOA.
• Road distance to a food shop: A measure of the mean distance to the closest supermarket or
general store for people living in the LSOA.
19
• Road distance to a primary school: A measure of the mean distance to the closest primary school
for people living in the LSOA.
• Road distance to a Post Office: A measure of the mean distance to the closest post office or sub
post office for people living in the LSOA.
Crime Domain
Crime is an important feature of deprivation that has major effects on individuals and communities.
The purpose of this domain is to measure the rate of recorded crime for four major crime types –
violence, burglary, theft and criminal damage – representing the risk of personal and material
victimisation at a small area level.
The indicators
• Violence: The rate of violence (19 recorded crime types) per 1000 at-risk population.
• Burglary: The rate of burglary (4 recorded crime types) per 1000 at-risk properties.
• Theft: The rate of theft (5 recorded crime types) per 1000 at-risk population.
• Criminal damage: The rate of criminal damage (11 recorded crime types) per 1000 at-risk
population.
Living Environment Deprivation Domain
This domain measures the quality of individuals’ immediate surroundings both within and outside
the home. The indicators fall into two sub-domains: the ‘indoors’ living environment, which
measures the quality of housing, and the ‘outdoors’ living environment which contains two
measures relating to air quality and road traffic accidents.
The indicators
Sub-domain: The ‘indoors’ living environment
• Housing in poor condition: The proportion of social and private homes that fail to meet the decent
homes standard.
• Houses without central heating: The proportion of houses that do not have central heating.
Sub-domain: The ‘outdoors’ living environment
• Air quality: A measure of air quality based on emissions rates for four pollutants.
• Road traffic accidents: A measure of road traffic accidents involving injury to pedestrians and
cyclists among the resident and workplace population.
HAINES/07/11