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The European Eggs & Poultry sector "Single CMO" Management Committee 22 July 2010

The European Eggs & Poultry sector "Single CMO" Management Committee 22 July 2010

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Page 1: The European Eggs & Poultry sector "Single CMO" Management Committee 22 July 2010

The European Eggs & Poultry sector"Single CMO" Management Committee

22 July 2010

Page 2: The European Eggs & Poultry sector "Single CMO" Management Committee 22 July 2010

DG AGRI C4 Management Committee – 22 July 2010 2

Weekly evolution of the Community price for Broiler

135

145

155

165

175

185

1 4 7 10 13 16 19 22 25 28 31 34 37 4 43 46 49 52

€uro

/ 10

0kg

Avg 05 - 09 2007 2008 2009 2010

Page 3: The European Eggs & Poultry sector "Single CMO" Management Committee 22 July 2010

DG AGRI C4 Management Committee – 22 July 2010 3

Percentual change of Broiler prices May 2010

-15.0%

-10.0%

-5.0%

0.0%

5.0%

10.0%

BE BG CZ DK DE EE EL ES FR IE IT CY LV LT HU MT NL ÖS PL PT RO SI SK SF SV UK EU

- 1 year

- 1 month

Page 4: The European Eggs & Poultry sector "Single CMO" Management Committee 22 July 2010

DG AGRI C4 Management Committee – 22 July 2010 4

Prix Matières Premières 2007 - 2010

50

100

150

200

250

300

Juil Oct Jan 08 April Juil Oct Jan 09 April Juil Oct Jan 10 April Juil

Euro

/ to

nne

Blé tendre (EU)Orge (EU)Maïs (EU)Soja (CAF)Sons (EU)Manioc (CAF)C.G.F. (CAF)

Page 5: The European Eggs & Poultry sector "Single CMO" Management Committee 22 July 2010

DG AGRI C4 Management Committee – 22 July 2010 5

Placings of Broiler chicks (1 000 pieces)compared to the monthly trend

(basis 2006 - 2008)

0

100 000

200 000

300 000

400 000

500 000

| 2006 | 2007 | 2008 | 2009 | 2010 |

Page 6: The European Eggs & Poultry sector "Single CMO" Management Committee 22 July 2010

DG AGRI C4 Management Committee – 22 July 2010 6

Production forecast of Broilers.In Tonn

400 000

550 000

700 000

| 2006 | 2007 | 2008 | 2009 | 2010 |

Page 7: The European Eggs & Poultry sector "Single CMO" Management Committee 22 July 2010

DG AGRI C4 Management Committee – 22 July 2010 7

Price development of Compound feed for Broilers, a Broiler Cereal-Feedmix and Broiler price

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

| 04 | 05 | 06 | 07 | 08 | 09 | 10 |

Eu

ro/ T

(fe

ed

)

Eu

ro/ 1

00

kg

(B

roile

r)

margin broiler/ comp feed (2.7)Cereal-mixCompound feedBroilerAvg. Margin '95 - 07

forecast

estimate

Page 8: The European Eggs & Poultry sector "Single CMO" Management Committee 22 July 2010

DG AGRI C4 Management Committee – 22 July 2010 8

EU Imports of Poultry Meat:Trade figures (COMEXT – tonnes cwe)

tonnes % tonnes % tonnes % tonnes % tonnes %

Brazil 451 716 73.4% 671 819 78.3% 679 412 76.3% 648 558 75.2% 224 789 72.3%

Thailand 110 766 18.0% 129 149 15.1% 146 467 16.4% 139 134 16.1% 57 676 18.6%

Chile 18 272 3.0% 16 923 2.0% 34 718 3.9% 39 022 4.5% 14 562 4.7%

Argentina 15 023 2.4% 25 852 3.0% 20 416 2.3% 20 278 2.4% 6 036 1.9%

Israel 4 469 0.7% 9 076 1.1% 6 248 0.7% 5 361 0.6% 2 423 0.8%

Croatia 1 749 0.3% 1 772 0.2% 1 884 0.2% 2 295 0.3% 1 032 0.3%

USA 59 0.0% 240 0.0% 393 0.0% 385 0.0% 274 0.1%

Uruguay 162 0.0% 230 0.0% 109 0.0% 98 0.0% 0 0.0%

EXTRA EU 25/27615 788 857 669 890 601 862 131 310 745

% change + 39% + 4% - 3% - 13.8%

2006 2007 2008 Jan-May 102009OriginsOrigins

Page 9: The European Eggs & Poultry sector "Single CMO" Management Committee 22 July 2010

DG AGRI C4 Management Committee – 22 July 2010 9

EU Poultry Meat ImportsDealing with increased

imports from

South America

I MPORTS of Poul t r y Meat i nt o EU ( Tonnes cwe)

291 488 274 734224 789

61 60756 302

57 676

2 825

380 398360 562

310 745

0

50 000

100 000

150 000

200 000

250 000

300 000

350 000

400 000

J an- May 08 J an- May 09 J an- May 10

Tonn

es c

w

Br azi l Thai l and I sr ael

Chi l e Ar gent i na Ot her dest i nat i ons

I MPORTS of Poul t r y Meat i nt o EU ( 1000 EUR)

520 522 466 729 447 016

227 337239 816

215 684

822 890773 593

737 245

0

100 000

200 000

300 000

400 000

500 000

600 000

700 000

800 000

900 000

J an- May 08 J an- May 09 J an- May 10

1000EUR

Br azi l Thai l and I sr ael

Chi l e Ar gent i na Ot her dest i nat i ons

UK not available for March 2010

Page 10: The European Eggs & Poultry sector "Single CMO" Management Committee 22 July 2010

DG AGRI C4 Management Committee – 22 July 2010 10

I mports of sel ected Poul t ry products

0

10 000

20 000

30 000

40 000

50 000

60 000

70 000

80 000

90 000

100 000

|J an06

2006 |J an07

2007 |J an08

2008 |J an09

2009 |J an10

in Tonnes cwe

FROZEN PREPARED SALTED OTHERS

UK not available for March 2010

Page 11: The European Eggs & Poultry sector "Single CMO" Management Committee 22 July 2010

DG AGRI C4 Management Committee – 22 July 2010 11

tonnes % tonnes % tonnes % tonnes % tonnes %

Russia 257 572 25.4% 244 376 24.1% 230 111 22.7% 227 369 22.4% 66 649 15.2%

Hong Kong 62 605 6.2% 64 691 6.4% 58 663 5.8% 88 428 8.7% 50 833 11.6%

Saudi Arabia 76 894 7.6% 79 369 7.8% 95 132 9.4% 97 479 9.6% 43 476 9.9%

Benin 47 427 4.7% 64 408 6.4% 83 391 8.2% 84 813 8.4% 40 305 9.2%

Ukraine 80 963 8.0% 28 178 2.8% 112 430 11.1% 89 127 8.8% 31 966 7.3%

Vietnam 2 398 0.2% 16 144 1.6% 39 488 3.9% 39 987 3.9% 23 555 5.4%

Yemen 16 490 1.6% 26 795 2.6% 26 673 2.6% 36 331 3.6% 16 818 3.8%

Ghana 30 337 3.0% 29 324 2.9% 31 520 3.1% 28 661 2.8% 15 908 3.6%

Switzerland 23 646 2.3% 27 442 2.7% 28 127 2.8% 27 988 2.8% 12 085 2.8%

U.A.Emirates 20 130 2.0% 17 455 1.7% 25 855 2.6% 24 211 2.4% 10 003 2.3%

Congo (Dem. Rep.) 25 952 2.6% 23 872 2.4% 21 371 2.1% 20 876 2.1% 9 743 2.2%

Malaysia 20 395 2.0% 26 300 2.6% 17 888 1.8% 22 675 2.2% 9 428 2.2%

EXTRA EU 25/27 997 174 866 340 981 786 1 013 753 438 011

% change - 13% + 13% + 3% + 18.5%

2006 2007 2008 Jan-May 102009

EU Exports of Poultry Meat:Trade figures (COMEXT – tonnes cwe)

DestinationsDestinations

Page 12: The European Eggs & Poultry sector "Single CMO" Management Committee 22 July 2010

DG AGRI C4 Management Committee – 22 July 2010 12

EU Poultry Meat Exports

EU EXPORTS of Poul t r y Meat ( Tonnes cwe)

82 958 65 388 66 649

37 67038 236 43 476

31 966

30 265 30 850 40 30526 373 22 184

50 833

155 721 177 301

204 783

35 577

364 817 369 538

438 011

0

50 000

100 000

150 000

200 000

250 000

300 000

350 000

400 000

450 000

500 000

J an- May 08 J an- May 09 J an- May 10

Tonn

es c

w

Russi a Saudi Ar abi a Ukr ai ne

Beni n Hong Kong Ot her dest i nat i ons

EU EXPORTS of Poul t r y Meat ( 1000 EUR)

69 872 56 561 66 522

46 11634 389 52 433

28 12033 136 36 149

43 67823 70848 767

256 869 265 114

305 018

32 469

455 109 448 389

544 538

0

100 000

200 000

300 000

400 000

500 000

600 000

J an- May 08 J an- May 09 J an- May 10

1000EUR

Russi a Saudi Ar abi a Ukr ai ne

Beni n Hong Kong Ot her dest i nat i ons

UK not available for March 2010

Page 13: The European Eggs & Poultry sector "Single CMO" Management Committee 22 July 2010

DG AGRI C4 Management Committee – 22 July 2010 13

Expor t s of sel ect ed Poul t r y pr oduct s

0

20 000

40 000

60 000

80 000

100 000

120 000

140 000

|J an06

2006 |J an07

2007 |J an08

2008 |J an09

2009 |J an10

i nTonnes

cwe

FROZEN PREPARED FRESH OTHERS

UK not available for March 2010

Page 14: The European Eggs & Poultry sector "Single CMO" Management Committee 22 July 2010

DG AGRI C4 Management Committee – 22 July 2010 14

EU Trade of Poultry Meat

256302

277 292 310

371

676

794

480

614 616

858891

862

311

872

1 017

1 101 1 1161 153

1 114

1 275

1 063 1 046997 997

866

9821 014

438

0

200

400

600

800

1 000

1 200

1 400

1 600

1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 J an-May10

in 1

000

Tonn

es c

we

I MPORTS EXPORTS

UK not available for March 2010

Page 15: The European Eggs & Poultry sector "Single CMO" Management Committee 22 July 2010

DG AGRI C4 Management Committee – 22 July 2010 15

Cumulated quantity of weekly requests

for Export licenses in the Poultrymeat sectorfor Gatt year 2010 - 2011.

0

50 000

100 000

150 000

200 000

250 000

300 000

350 000

400 000

1 3 5 7 9 11 13 15 17 19 21 23 25 27 29 31 33 35 37 39 41 43 45 47 49 51w eek

ton

nes

Cumulated attributions

Average available

Page 16: The European Eggs & Poultry sector "Single CMO" Management Committee 22 July 2010

DG AGRI C4 Management Committee – 22 July 2010 16

Weekly exchange rate US dollar 2006 - 2010

1

1.1

1.2

1.3

1.4

1.5

1.6

1.7

| 06 | 07 | 08 | 09 | 10 |

1 €uro = .......US$

Page 17: The European Eggs & Poultry sector "Single CMO" Management Committee 22 July 2010

DG AGRI C4 Management Committee – 22 July 2010 17

Index of exchange rates US$ and BRL compared to the €uro

January 2001 = 100

90.0

130.0

170.0

210.0

I 2001 I 2002 I 2003 I 2004 I 2005 I 2006 I 2007 I 2008 I 2009 I 2010 |

Real US$

Page 18: The European Eggs & Poultry sector "Single CMO" Management Committee 22 July 2010

DG AGRI C4 Management Committee – 22 July 2010 18

Weekly Poultry prices in Brazil (IEA Sao Paolo), USA and EU

50

75

100

125

150

175

year 2007 | Year 2008 | Year 2009 | Year 2010 |

€uro

/ 100

kg

EU Vol Frango US Vol

Page 19: The European Eggs & Poultry sector "Single CMO" Management Committee 22 July 2010

DG AGRI C4 Management Committee – 22 July 2010 19

IntroductionWeekly evolution of the Community

price for Eggs

70

80

90

100

110

120

130

140

150

1 4 7 10 13 16 19 22 25 28 31 34 37 40 43 46 49 52

€uro

/ 10

0kg

Avg 05 - 09 2005 2006 20072008 2009 2010

Page 20: The European Eggs & Poultry sector "Single CMO" Management Committee 22 July 2010

DG AGRI C4 Management Committee – 22 July 2010 20

Percentual change of Egg prices May 2010

-30.0%

-22.5%

-15.0%

-7.5%

0.0%

7.5%

15.0%

BE BG CZ DK DE EE EL ES FR IE IT CY LV LT HU MT NL ÖS PL PT RO SI SK SF SV UK EU

- 1 year- 1 month

Germany: New series. Red bar is comparisson of barn eggs (2010) with cage eggs (2009). Until Easter high German prices. After Easter German prices dropped.

Page 21: The European Eggs & Poultry sector "Single CMO" Management Committee 22 July 2010

DG AGRI C4 Management Committee – 22 July 2010 21

Placings of Laying chicks (1 000 pieces)compared to the monthly trend

(basis 2006 - 2008)

0

7 500

15 000

22 500

30 000

37 500

| 2006 | 2007 | 2008 | 2009 | 2010 |

Page 22: The European Eggs & Poultry sector "Single CMO" Management Committee 22 July 2010

DG AGRI C4 Management Committee – 22 July 2010 22

Prévisions de production d'oeufs en coquilles (Mio p)

4 000

5 500

7 000

8 500

| 2006 | 2007 | 2008 | 2009 | 2010 |

Page 23: The European Eggs & Poultry sector "Single CMO" Management Committee 22 July 2010

DG AGRI C4 Management Committee – 22 July 2010 23

EU Imports of Eggs :Trade figures (COMEXT – tonnes egg equiv.)

OriginsOriginstonnes % tonnes % tonnes % tonnes % tonnes %

USA 8 505 21.8% 17 040 38.1% 4 245 18.6% 11 165 36.7% 8 416 49.0%

Argentina 8 008 20.6% 8 318 18.6% 6 164 27.0% 7 899 26.0% 4 050 23.6%

Albania 95 0.2% 2 077 4.6% 2 209 9.7% 1 659 5.5% 1 617 9.4%

Mexico 1 378 3.5% 1 762 3.9% 2 002 8.8% 1 893 6.2% 1 125 6.6%

India 12 730 32.7% 12 012 26.9% 6 593 28.9% 5 776 19.0% 1 119 6.5%

Israel 898 2.3% 911 2.0% 646 2.8% 711 2.3% 362 2.1%

Brazil 770 2.0% 30 0.1% 64 0.3% 67 0.2% 0 0.0%

Canada 1 540 4.0% 786 1.8% 1 0.0% 33 0.1% 1 0.0%

EXTRA EU 25/27 38 950 44 732 22 850 30 409 17 160

% change + 15% - 49% + 33% + 41.3%

2006 2007 2008 Jan-May 102009

Nov 2008 figures not available for Latvia

Page 24: The European Eggs & Poultry sector "Single CMO" Management Committee 22 July 2010

DG AGRI C4 Management Committee – 22 July 2010 24

EU Eggs ImportsDealing with increased

imports from

South America

EU IMPORTS of EGGS (Tonnes eggs equiv)

1 678 2 524

8 4162 713

4 665

4 050

3 281

3 267

1 119

1 140

1 207

1 958

9 642

12 144

17 160

0

2 000

4 000

6 000

8 000

10 000

12 000

14 000

16 000

18 000

20 000

J an- May 08 J an- May 09 J an- May 10

USA Ar gent i naI ndi a CanadaAl bani a Ot her dest i nat i ons

EU IMPORTS of EGGS (1000 EUR)

2 497 3 221

8 0632 321

4 222

3 205

3 621

3 399

1 268

798

1 437

9 977

12 207

15 164

0

2 000

4 000

6 000

8 000

10 000

12 000

14 000

16 000

J an- May 08 J an- May 09 J an- May 10

USA Ar gent i naI ndi a CanadaAl bani a Ot her dest i nat i ons

Nov 2008 figures not available for Latvia

Page 25: The European Eggs & Poultry sector "Single CMO" Management Committee 22 July 2010

DG AGRI C4 Management Committee – 22 July 2010 25

EU- 27 I mpor t s of sel ect ed EGGS pr oduct s

0

1 000

2 000

3 000

4 000

5 000

6 000

7 000

8 000

|J an06

2006 |J an07

2007 |J an08

2008 |J an09

2009 |J an10

i n Tonnes egg equi v.

FRESH Al bumi n Not I n Shel l Yol k Hachi ng

Nov 2008 figures not available for Latvia

Page 26: The European Eggs & Poultry sector "Single CMO" Management Committee 22 July 2010

DG AGRI C4 Management Committee – 22 July 2010 26

EU Exports of Eggs :Trade figures (COMEXT – tonnes egg equiv.)

DestinationsDestinationstonnes % tonnes % tonnes % tonnes % tonnes %

Switzerland 39 790 20% 41 578 25% 44 229 24% 43 456 29% 19 860 34%

Japan 49 263 24% 51 045 31% 62 254 33% 46 582 31% 19 004 33%

Russia 14 973 7% 7 076 4% 7 113 4% 4 360 3% 2 098 4%

Thailand 6 353 3% 8 274 5% 6 190 3% 4 068 3% 1 642 3%

Ukraine 10 875 5% 8 562 5% 7 250 4% 4 287 3% 1 556 3%

Angola 4 401 2% 3 185 2% 4 049 2% 4 019 3% 1 205 2%

Taiwan 3 183 2% 4 607 3% 4 624 2% 2 868 2% 1 125 2%

South Korea 2 567 1% 2 828 2% 1 859 1% 1 923 1% 752 1%

U.A.Emirates 5 502 3% 4 812 3% 9 436 5% 2 664 2% 542 1%

Norway 2 557 1% 2 958 2% 1 805 1% 963 1% 210 0%

Israel 5 380 3% 4 639 3% 6 002 3% 3 398 2% 192 0%

Libya 5 535 3% 25 0% 0 0% 43 0% 18 0%

EXTRA EU 25/27 202 122 166 841 187 193 149 170 58 168

% change - 17% + 12% - 20% - 4.0%

2006 2007 2008 Jan-May 102009

Nov 2008 figures not available for Latvia

Page 27: The European Eggs & Poultry sector "Single CMO" Management Committee 22 July 2010

DG AGRI C4 Management Committee – 22 July 2010 27

EU Eggs Exports

EU EXPORTS of EGGS (Tonnes eggs equiv)

25 67820 700 19 004

18 644

17 686 19 860

20 463

17 458 15 109

73 650

60 575 58 168

0

10 000

20 000

30 000

40 000

50 000

60 000

70 000

80 000

J an- May 08 J an- May 09 J an- May 10

J apan Swi t zer l and Russi a

Ukr ai ne U. A. Emi r at es Ot her dest i nat i ons

EU EXPORTS of EGGS (1000 EUR)

19 063 15 683 13 429

24 20026 130 28 912

22 964

19 035 16 378

75 547

65 38962 745

0

10 000

20 000

30 000

40 000

50 000

60 000

70 000

80 000

J an- May 08 J an- May 09 J an- May 10

J apan Swi t zer l and Russi a

Ukr ai ne U. A. Emi r at es Ot her dest i nat i ons

Nov 2008 figures not available for Latvia

Page 28: The European Eggs & Poultry sector "Single CMO" Management Committee 22 July 2010

DG AGRI C4 Management Committee – 22 July 2010 28

EU- 27 Expor t s of sel ect ed EGGS pr oduct s

0

5 000

10 000

15 000

20 000

25 000

|J an06

2006 |J an07

2007 |J an08

2008 |J an09

2009 |J an10

i n Tonnes egg equi v.

FRESH Al bumi n Not I n Shel l Yol k Hachi ng

Nov 2008 figures not available for Latvia

Page 29: The European Eggs & Poultry sector "Single CMO" Management Committee 22 July 2010

DG AGRI C4 Management Committee – 22 July 2010 29

EU Trade of Eggs

1018

23 18 1727

16

30

69

25 3039

45

2330

17

144

164

186

209

231

201 205

191

142

198 198202

167

187

149

58

0

25

50

75

100

125

150

175

200

225

250

275

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 J an-May10

i n 1000 TonnesI MPORTS EXPORTS

Nov 2008 figures not available for Latvia

Page 30: The European Eggs & Poultry sector "Single CMO" Management Committee 22 July 2010

DG AGRI C4 Management Committee – 22 July 2010 30

Cumulated quantity of weekly requests

for Export licenses in the Egg sector

for Gatt year 2010 - 2011.

0

20000

40000

60000

80000

100000

1 3 5 7 9 11 13 15 17 19 21 23 25 27 29 31 33 35 37 39 41 43 45 47 49 51 53w eek

ton

nes

Average available

Cumulated attributions

Page 31: The European Eggs & Poultry sector "Single CMO" Management Committee 22 July 2010

DG AGRI C4 Management Committee – 22 July 2010 31

Weekly Egg prices in Brazil (IEA Sao Paolo), USA and EU

40

65

90

115

140

year 2007 | Year 2008 | Year 2009 | Year 2010 |

€uro

/ 100

kg

EU Egg Ovo tipo grande branco US Egg