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The European Eggs & Poultry sector"Single CMO" Management Committee
22 July 2010
DG AGRI C4 Management Committee – 22 July 2010 2
Weekly evolution of the Community price for Broiler
135
145
155
165
175
185
1 4 7 10 13 16 19 22 25 28 31 34 37 4 43 46 49 52
€uro
/ 10
0kg
Avg 05 - 09 2007 2008 2009 2010
DG AGRI C4 Management Committee – 22 July 2010 3
Percentual change of Broiler prices May 2010
-15.0%
-10.0%
-5.0%
0.0%
5.0%
10.0%
BE BG CZ DK DE EE EL ES FR IE IT CY LV LT HU MT NL ÖS PL PT RO SI SK SF SV UK EU
- 1 year
- 1 month
DG AGRI C4 Management Committee – 22 July 2010 4
Prix Matières Premières 2007 - 2010
50
100
150
200
250
300
Juil Oct Jan 08 April Juil Oct Jan 09 April Juil Oct Jan 10 April Juil
Euro
/ to
nne
Blé tendre (EU)Orge (EU)Maïs (EU)Soja (CAF)Sons (EU)Manioc (CAF)C.G.F. (CAF)
DG AGRI C4 Management Committee – 22 July 2010 5
Placings of Broiler chicks (1 000 pieces)compared to the monthly trend
(basis 2006 - 2008)
0
100 000
200 000
300 000
400 000
500 000
| 2006 | 2007 | 2008 | 2009 | 2010 |
DG AGRI C4 Management Committee – 22 July 2010 6
Production forecast of Broilers.In Tonn
400 000
550 000
700 000
| 2006 | 2007 | 2008 | 2009 | 2010 |
DG AGRI C4 Management Committee – 22 July 2010 7
Price development of Compound feed for Broilers, a Broiler Cereal-Feedmix and Broiler price
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
| 04 | 05 | 06 | 07 | 08 | 09 | 10 |
Eu
ro/ T
(fe
ed
)
Eu
ro/ 1
00
kg
(B
roile
r)
margin broiler/ comp feed (2.7)Cereal-mixCompound feedBroilerAvg. Margin '95 - 07
forecast
estimate
DG AGRI C4 Management Committee – 22 July 2010 8
EU Imports of Poultry Meat:Trade figures (COMEXT – tonnes cwe)
tonnes % tonnes % tonnes % tonnes % tonnes %
Brazil 451 716 73.4% 671 819 78.3% 679 412 76.3% 648 558 75.2% 224 789 72.3%
Thailand 110 766 18.0% 129 149 15.1% 146 467 16.4% 139 134 16.1% 57 676 18.6%
Chile 18 272 3.0% 16 923 2.0% 34 718 3.9% 39 022 4.5% 14 562 4.7%
Argentina 15 023 2.4% 25 852 3.0% 20 416 2.3% 20 278 2.4% 6 036 1.9%
Israel 4 469 0.7% 9 076 1.1% 6 248 0.7% 5 361 0.6% 2 423 0.8%
Croatia 1 749 0.3% 1 772 0.2% 1 884 0.2% 2 295 0.3% 1 032 0.3%
USA 59 0.0% 240 0.0% 393 0.0% 385 0.0% 274 0.1%
Uruguay 162 0.0% 230 0.0% 109 0.0% 98 0.0% 0 0.0%
EXTRA EU 25/27615 788 857 669 890 601 862 131 310 745
% change + 39% + 4% - 3% - 13.8%
2006 2007 2008 Jan-May 102009OriginsOrigins
DG AGRI C4 Management Committee – 22 July 2010 9
EU Poultry Meat ImportsDealing with increased
imports from
South America
I MPORTS of Poul t r y Meat i nt o EU ( Tonnes cwe)
291 488 274 734224 789
61 60756 302
57 676
2 825
380 398360 562
310 745
0
50 000
100 000
150 000
200 000
250 000
300 000
350 000
400 000
J an- May 08 J an- May 09 J an- May 10
Tonn
es c
w
Br azi l Thai l and I sr ael
Chi l e Ar gent i na Ot her dest i nat i ons
I MPORTS of Poul t r y Meat i nt o EU ( 1000 EUR)
520 522 466 729 447 016
227 337239 816
215 684
822 890773 593
737 245
0
100 000
200 000
300 000
400 000
500 000
600 000
700 000
800 000
900 000
J an- May 08 J an- May 09 J an- May 10
1000EUR
Br azi l Thai l and I sr ael
Chi l e Ar gent i na Ot her dest i nat i ons
UK not available for March 2010
DG AGRI C4 Management Committee – 22 July 2010 10
I mports of sel ected Poul t ry products
0
10 000
20 000
30 000
40 000
50 000
60 000
70 000
80 000
90 000
100 000
|J an06
2006 |J an07
2007 |J an08
2008 |J an09
2009 |J an10
in Tonnes cwe
FROZEN PREPARED SALTED OTHERS
UK not available for March 2010
DG AGRI C4 Management Committee – 22 July 2010 11
tonnes % tonnes % tonnes % tonnes % tonnes %
Russia 257 572 25.4% 244 376 24.1% 230 111 22.7% 227 369 22.4% 66 649 15.2%
Hong Kong 62 605 6.2% 64 691 6.4% 58 663 5.8% 88 428 8.7% 50 833 11.6%
Saudi Arabia 76 894 7.6% 79 369 7.8% 95 132 9.4% 97 479 9.6% 43 476 9.9%
Benin 47 427 4.7% 64 408 6.4% 83 391 8.2% 84 813 8.4% 40 305 9.2%
Ukraine 80 963 8.0% 28 178 2.8% 112 430 11.1% 89 127 8.8% 31 966 7.3%
Vietnam 2 398 0.2% 16 144 1.6% 39 488 3.9% 39 987 3.9% 23 555 5.4%
Yemen 16 490 1.6% 26 795 2.6% 26 673 2.6% 36 331 3.6% 16 818 3.8%
Ghana 30 337 3.0% 29 324 2.9% 31 520 3.1% 28 661 2.8% 15 908 3.6%
Switzerland 23 646 2.3% 27 442 2.7% 28 127 2.8% 27 988 2.8% 12 085 2.8%
U.A.Emirates 20 130 2.0% 17 455 1.7% 25 855 2.6% 24 211 2.4% 10 003 2.3%
Congo (Dem. Rep.) 25 952 2.6% 23 872 2.4% 21 371 2.1% 20 876 2.1% 9 743 2.2%
Malaysia 20 395 2.0% 26 300 2.6% 17 888 1.8% 22 675 2.2% 9 428 2.2%
EXTRA EU 25/27 997 174 866 340 981 786 1 013 753 438 011
% change - 13% + 13% + 3% + 18.5%
2006 2007 2008 Jan-May 102009
EU Exports of Poultry Meat:Trade figures (COMEXT – tonnes cwe)
DestinationsDestinations
DG AGRI C4 Management Committee – 22 July 2010 12
EU Poultry Meat Exports
EU EXPORTS of Poul t r y Meat ( Tonnes cwe)
82 958 65 388 66 649
37 67038 236 43 476
31 966
30 265 30 850 40 30526 373 22 184
50 833
155 721 177 301
204 783
35 577
364 817 369 538
438 011
0
50 000
100 000
150 000
200 000
250 000
300 000
350 000
400 000
450 000
500 000
J an- May 08 J an- May 09 J an- May 10
Tonn
es c
w
Russi a Saudi Ar abi a Ukr ai ne
Beni n Hong Kong Ot her dest i nat i ons
EU EXPORTS of Poul t r y Meat ( 1000 EUR)
69 872 56 561 66 522
46 11634 389 52 433
28 12033 136 36 149
43 67823 70848 767
256 869 265 114
305 018
32 469
455 109 448 389
544 538
0
100 000
200 000
300 000
400 000
500 000
600 000
J an- May 08 J an- May 09 J an- May 10
1000EUR
Russi a Saudi Ar abi a Ukr ai ne
Beni n Hong Kong Ot her dest i nat i ons
UK not available for March 2010
DG AGRI C4 Management Committee – 22 July 2010 13
Expor t s of sel ect ed Poul t r y pr oduct s
0
20 000
40 000
60 000
80 000
100 000
120 000
140 000
|J an06
2006 |J an07
2007 |J an08
2008 |J an09
2009 |J an10
i nTonnes
cwe
FROZEN PREPARED FRESH OTHERS
UK not available for March 2010
DG AGRI C4 Management Committee – 22 July 2010 14
EU Trade of Poultry Meat
256302
277 292 310
371
676
794
480
614 616
858891
862
311
872
1 017
1 101 1 1161 153
1 114
1 275
1 063 1 046997 997
866
9821 014
438
0
200
400
600
800
1 000
1 200
1 400
1 600
1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 J an-May10
in 1
000
Tonn
es c
we
I MPORTS EXPORTS
UK not available for March 2010
DG AGRI C4 Management Committee – 22 July 2010 15
Cumulated quantity of weekly requests
for Export licenses in the Poultrymeat sectorfor Gatt year 2010 - 2011.
0
50 000
100 000
150 000
200 000
250 000
300 000
350 000
400 000
1 3 5 7 9 11 13 15 17 19 21 23 25 27 29 31 33 35 37 39 41 43 45 47 49 51w eek
ton
nes
Cumulated attributions
Average available
DG AGRI C4 Management Committee – 22 July 2010 16
Weekly exchange rate US dollar 2006 - 2010
1
1.1
1.2
1.3
1.4
1.5
1.6
1.7
| 06 | 07 | 08 | 09 | 10 |
1 €uro = .......US$
DG AGRI C4 Management Committee – 22 July 2010 17
Index of exchange rates US$ and BRL compared to the €uro
January 2001 = 100
90.0
130.0
170.0
210.0
I 2001 I 2002 I 2003 I 2004 I 2005 I 2006 I 2007 I 2008 I 2009 I 2010 |
Real US$
DG AGRI C4 Management Committee – 22 July 2010 18
Weekly Poultry prices in Brazil (IEA Sao Paolo), USA and EU
50
75
100
125
150
175
year 2007 | Year 2008 | Year 2009 | Year 2010 |
€uro
/ 100
kg
EU Vol Frango US Vol
DG AGRI C4 Management Committee – 22 July 2010 19
IntroductionWeekly evolution of the Community
price for Eggs
70
80
90
100
110
120
130
140
150
1 4 7 10 13 16 19 22 25 28 31 34 37 40 43 46 49 52
€uro
/ 10
0kg
Avg 05 - 09 2005 2006 20072008 2009 2010
DG AGRI C4 Management Committee – 22 July 2010 20
Percentual change of Egg prices May 2010
-30.0%
-22.5%
-15.0%
-7.5%
0.0%
7.5%
15.0%
BE BG CZ DK DE EE EL ES FR IE IT CY LV LT HU MT NL ÖS PL PT RO SI SK SF SV UK EU
- 1 year- 1 month
Germany: New series. Red bar is comparisson of barn eggs (2010) with cage eggs (2009). Until Easter high German prices. After Easter German prices dropped.
DG AGRI C4 Management Committee – 22 July 2010 21
Placings of Laying chicks (1 000 pieces)compared to the monthly trend
(basis 2006 - 2008)
0
7 500
15 000
22 500
30 000
37 500
| 2006 | 2007 | 2008 | 2009 | 2010 |
DG AGRI C4 Management Committee – 22 July 2010 22
Prévisions de production d'oeufs en coquilles (Mio p)
4 000
5 500
7 000
8 500
| 2006 | 2007 | 2008 | 2009 | 2010 |
DG AGRI C4 Management Committee – 22 July 2010 23
EU Imports of Eggs :Trade figures (COMEXT – tonnes egg equiv.)
OriginsOriginstonnes % tonnes % tonnes % tonnes % tonnes %
USA 8 505 21.8% 17 040 38.1% 4 245 18.6% 11 165 36.7% 8 416 49.0%
Argentina 8 008 20.6% 8 318 18.6% 6 164 27.0% 7 899 26.0% 4 050 23.6%
Albania 95 0.2% 2 077 4.6% 2 209 9.7% 1 659 5.5% 1 617 9.4%
Mexico 1 378 3.5% 1 762 3.9% 2 002 8.8% 1 893 6.2% 1 125 6.6%
India 12 730 32.7% 12 012 26.9% 6 593 28.9% 5 776 19.0% 1 119 6.5%
Israel 898 2.3% 911 2.0% 646 2.8% 711 2.3% 362 2.1%
Brazil 770 2.0% 30 0.1% 64 0.3% 67 0.2% 0 0.0%
Canada 1 540 4.0% 786 1.8% 1 0.0% 33 0.1% 1 0.0%
EXTRA EU 25/27 38 950 44 732 22 850 30 409 17 160
% change + 15% - 49% + 33% + 41.3%
2006 2007 2008 Jan-May 102009
Nov 2008 figures not available for Latvia
DG AGRI C4 Management Committee – 22 July 2010 24
EU Eggs ImportsDealing with increased
imports from
South America
EU IMPORTS of EGGS (Tonnes eggs equiv)
1 678 2 524
8 4162 713
4 665
4 050
3 281
3 267
1 119
1 140
1 207
1 958
9 642
12 144
17 160
0
2 000
4 000
6 000
8 000
10 000
12 000
14 000
16 000
18 000
20 000
J an- May 08 J an- May 09 J an- May 10
USA Ar gent i naI ndi a CanadaAl bani a Ot her dest i nat i ons
EU IMPORTS of EGGS (1000 EUR)
2 497 3 221
8 0632 321
4 222
3 205
3 621
3 399
1 268
798
1 437
9 977
12 207
15 164
0
2 000
4 000
6 000
8 000
10 000
12 000
14 000
16 000
J an- May 08 J an- May 09 J an- May 10
USA Ar gent i naI ndi a CanadaAl bani a Ot her dest i nat i ons
Nov 2008 figures not available for Latvia
DG AGRI C4 Management Committee – 22 July 2010 25
EU- 27 I mpor t s of sel ect ed EGGS pr oduct s
0
1 000
2 000
3 000
4 000
5 000
6 000
7 000
8 000
|J an06
2006 |J an07
2007 |J an08
2008 |J an09
2009 |J an10
i n Tonnes egg equi v.
FRESH Al bumi n Not I n Shel l Yol k Hachi ng
Nov 2008 figures not available for Latvia
DG AGRI C4 Management Committee – 22 July 2010 26
EU Exports of Eggs :Trade figures (COMEXT – tonnes egg equiv.)
DestinationsDestinationstonnes % tonnes % tonnes % tonnes % tonnes %
Switzerland 39 790 20% 41 578 25% 44 229 24% 43 456 29% 19 860 34%
Japan 49 263 24% 51 045 31% 62 254 33% 46 582 31% 19 004 33%
Russia 14 973 7% 7 076 4% 7 113 4% 4 360 3% 2 098 4%
Thailand 6 353 3% 8 274 5% 6 190 3% 4 068 3% 1 642 3%
Ukraine 10 875 5% 8 562 5% 7 250 4% 4 287 3% 1 556 3%
Angola 4 401 2% 3 185 2% 4 049 2% 4 019 3% 1 205 2%
Taiwan 3 183 2% 4 607 3% 4 624 2% 2 868 2% 1 125 2%
South Korea 2 567 1% 2 828 2% 1 859 1% 1 923 1% 752 1%
U.A.Emirates 5 502 3% 4 812 3% 9 436 5% 2 664 2% 542 1%
Norway 2 557 1% 2 958 2% 1 805 1% 963 1% 210 0%
Israel 5 380 3% 4 639 3% 6 002 3% 3 398 2% 192 0%
Libya 5 535 3% 25 0% 0 0% 43 0% 18 0%
EXTRA EU 25/27 202 122 166 841 187 193 149 170 58 168
% change - 17% + 12% - 20% - 4.0%
2006 2007 2008 Jan-May 102009
Nov 2008 figures not available for Latvia
DG AGRI C4 Management Committee – 22 July 2010 27
EU Eggs Exports
EU EXPORTS of EGGS (Tonnes eggs equiv)
25 67820 700 19 004
18 644
17 686 19 860
20 463
17 458 15 109
73 650
60 575 58 168
0
10 000
20 000
30 000
40 000
50 000
60 000
70 000
80 000
J an- May 08 J an- May 09 J an- May 10
J apan Swi t zer l and Russi a
Ukr ai ne U. A. Emi r at es Ot her dest i nat i ons
EU EXPORTS of EGGS (1000 EUR)
19 063 15 683 13 429
24 20026 130 28 912
22 964
19 035 16 378
75 547
65 38962 745
0
10 000
20 000
30 000
40 000
50 000
60 000
70 000
80 000
J an- May 08 J an- May 09 J an- May 10
J apan Swi t zer l and Russi a
Ukr ai ne U. A. Emi r at es Ot her dest i nat i ons
Nov 2008 figures not available for Latvia
DG AGRI C4 Management Committee – 22 July 2010 28
EU- 27 Expor t s of sel ect ed EGGS pr oduct s
0
5 000
10 000
15 000
20 000
25 000
|J an06
2006 |J an07
2007 |J an08
2008 |J an09
2009 |J an10
i n Tonnes egg equi v.
FRESH Al bumi n Not I n Shel l Yol k Hachi ng
Nov 2008 figures not available for Latvia
DG AGRI C4 Management Committee – 22 July 2010 29
EU Trade of Eggs
1018
23 18 1727
16
30
69
25 3039
45
2330
17
144
164
186
209
231
201 205
191
142
198 198202
167
187
149
58
0
25
50
75
100
125
150
175
200
225
250
275
1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 J an-May10
i n 1000 TonnesI MPORTS EXPORTS
Nov 2008 figures not available for Latvia
DG AGRI C4 Management Committee – 22 July 2010 30
Cumulated quantity of weekly requests
for Export licenses in the Egg sector
for Gatt year 2010 - 2011.
0
20000
40000
60000
80000
100000
1 3 5 7 9 11 13 15 17 19 21 23 25 27 29 31 33 35 37 39 41 43 45 47 49 51 53w eek
ton
nes
Average available
Cumulated attributions
DG AGRI C4 Management Committee – 22 July 2010 31
Weekly Egg prices in Brazil (IEA Sao Paolo), USA and EU
40
65
90
115
140
year 2007 | Year 2008 | Year 2009 | Year 2010 |
€uro
/ 100
kg
EU Egg Ovo tipo grande branco US Egg