The Recession & Changing Institutional Sector

The Recession & Changing Institutional Sector

Representation and Characteristics of PA Adult Learners

Prepared by

Mark Lafer, Senior Policy Research Analyst

Pennsylvania Higher Education Assistance Agency

for the 2013 Hendrick Best Practices for Adult Learners Conference

The United States

Fall 1987 through Fall 2011

Sector Age FA1987 FA1997 FA2007 FA2011

Private for-Profit, 4-year or above GE 25 12,229 61,673 481,159 911,917

Private for-Profit, 2-year GE 25 48,258 60,581 139,989 248,376

Private for-Profit, less-than 2-year GE 25 604 415 100,327 158,139

Private not-for-Profit, 4-year or above GE 25 410,174 507,692 537,172 607,494

Private not-for-Profit, 2-year GE 25 24,022 18,858 18,253 22,999

Private not-for-Profit, less-than 2-year GE 25 164 - 6,719 11,169

Public, 4-year or above GE 25 1,011,498 1,112,280 1,147,296 1,382,892

Public, 2-year GE 25 2,257,361 2,481,238 2,537,205 2,873,749

Public, less-than 2-year GE 25 41,159 67 28,234 32,027

Private for-Profit, 4-year or above LT 25 23,702 49,515 239,705 339,007

Private for-Profit, 2-year LT 25 73,589 76,290 164,332 233,472

Private for-Profit, less-than 2-year LT 25 553 477 113,625 151,174

Private not-for-Profit, 4-year or above LT 25 1,337,818 1,483,740 1,905,161 2,051,421

Private not-for-Profit, 2-year LT 25 58,067 39,306 24,226 26,564

Private not-for-Profit, less-than 2-year LT 25 77 - 4,941 4,662

Public, 4-year or above LT 25 3,286,080 3,502,799 4,622,909 5,223,221

Public, 2-year LT 25 2,101,276 2,687,402 3,757,208 4,237,365

Public, less-than 2-year LT 25 54,910 91 21,878 25,365

Subtotal GE 25 3,805,469 4,242,804 4,996,354 6,248,762

Subtotal LT 25 6,936,072 7,839,620 10,853,985 12,292,251

Total All 10,741,541 12,082,424 15,850,339 18,541,013

Source: IPEDS Data Center

Table 1. US Undergraduates Age LT 25 & Age GE 25 Enrolled by Institutional Control and Type

Fall 1987, 1997, 2007, and 2011

3,805,469 4,242,804

4,996,354

6,248,762 6,936,072

7,839,620

10,853,985

12,292,251

10,741,541

12,082,424

15,850,339

18,541,013

-

2,000,000

4,000,000

6,000,000

8,000,000

10,000,000

12,000,000

14,000,000

16,000,000

18,000,000

20,000,000

FA1987 FA1997 FA2007 FA2011

Chart 1. US Undergraduates Less than 25 Years and 25 and Older


25 Years and Older Less than 25 Years All Reporting Age

11.5%

31.3%

64.2%

13.0%

56.5%

77.2%

12.5%

47.6%

72.6%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

FA1987 to FA1997 FA0997 to FA2007 FA2007 to FA2011

Chart 2. Growth in US Undergraduates Less than 25 Years versus 25 and Older Since Fall 1987 through Fall 2011



Private for-Profit, 4-year or above GE 25 0.1% 0.5% 3.0% 4.9%

Private for-Profit, 2-year GE 25 0.4% 0.5% 0.9% 1.3%

Private for-Profit, less-than 2-year GE 25 0.0% 0.0% 0.6% 0.9%

Private not-for-Profit, 4-year or above GE 25 3.8% 4.2% 3.4% 3.3%

Private not-for-Profit, 2-year GE 25 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1%

Private not-for-Profit, less-than 2-year GE 25 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1%

Public, 4-year or above GE 25 9.4% 9.2% 7.2% 7.5%

Public, 2-year GE 25 21.0% 20.5% 16.0% 15.5%

Public, less-than 2-year GE 25 0.4% 0.0% 0.2% 0.2%

Private for-Profit, 4-year or above LT 25 0.2% 0.4% 1.5% 1.8%

Private for-Profit, 2-year LT 25 0.7% 0.6% 1.0% 1.3%

Private for-Profit, less-than 2-year LT 25 0.0% 0.0% 0.7% 0.8%

Private not-for-Profit, 4-year or above LT 25 12.5% 12.3% 12.0% 11.1%

Private not-for-Profit, 2-year LT 25 0.5% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1%

Private not-for-Profit, less-than 2-year LT 25 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Public, 2-year LT 25 19.6% 22.2% 23.7% 22.9%

Public, 4-year or above LT 25 30.6% 29.0% 29.2% 28.2%

Public, less-than 2-year LT 25 0.5% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1%

Subtotal GE 25 35.4% 35.1% 31.5% 33.7%

Subtotal LT 25 64.6% 64.9% 68.5% 66.3%

Total All 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%


Table 2. Distribution of US Undergraduates Age LT 25 & Age GE 25 Enrolled by Institutional Control and Type

Fall 1987, 1997, 2007, and 2011

Institutional Control Age FA1987 FA1997 FA2007 FA2011

Private for-Profit GE 25 61,091 122,669 721,475 1,318,432

Private not-for-Profit GE 25 434,360 526,550 562,144 641,662

Public GE 25 3,310,018 3,593,585 3,712,735 4,288,668

Private for-Profit LT 25 97,844 126,282 517,662 723,653

Private not-for-Profit LT 25 1,395,962 1,523,046 1,934,328 2,082,647

Public LT 25 5,442,266 6,190,292 8,401,995 9,485,951

Subtotal GE 25 3,805,469 4,242,804 4,996,354 6,248,762

Subtotal LT 25 6,936,072 7,839,620 10,853,985 12,292,251

Total All 10,741,541 12,082,424 15,850,339 18,541,013


Institutional Type Age FA1987 FA1997 FA2007 FA2011

Less-than 2-year GE 25 41,927 482 135,280 201,335

2-year GE 25 2,329,641 2,560,677 2,695,447 3,145,124

4-year or above GE 25 1,433,901 1,681,645 2,165,627 2,902,303

Less-than 2-year LT 25 55,540 568 140,444 181,201

2-year LT 25 2,232,932 2,802,998 3,945,766 4,497,401

4-year or above LT 25 4,647,600 5,036,054 6,767,775 7,613,649

Subtotal GE 25 3,805,469 4,242,804 4,996,354 6,248,762

Subtotal LT 25 6,936,072 7,839,620 10,853,985 12,292,251

Total All 10,741,541 12,082,424 15,850,339 18,541,013


Table 3a. US Undergraduates Age LT 25 & Age GE 25 Enrolled by Institutional Control

Fall 1987, 1997, 2007, and 2011

Table 3b. US Undergraduates Age LT 25 & Age GE 25 Enrolled by Institutional Type

Fall 1987, 1997, 2007, and 2011

-

1,000,000

2,000,000

3,000,000

4,000,000

5,000,000

6,000,000

7,000,000

8,000,000

9,000,000

10,000,000

FA1987 FA1997 FA2007 FA2011

Chart 3a. US Undergraduates Age LT 25 & Age GE 25 Enrolled by Institutional Control Fall 1987, 1997, 2007, and 2011

Private for-Profit - 25 and Older Private not-for-Profit - 25 and Older Public - 25 and Older

Private for-Profit - under 25 Private not-for-Profit - under 25 Public - under 25

-

1,000,000

2,000,000

3,000,000

4,000,000

5,000,000

6,000,000

7,000,000

8,000,000

FA1987 FA1997 FA2007 FA2011

Chart 3b. US Undergraduates Age LT 25 & Age GE 25 Enrolled by Institutional Type Fall 1987, 1997, 2007, and 2011

Less-than 2-year - 25 and Older 2-year - 25 and Older 4-year or above - 25 and Older

Less-than 2-year - under 25 2-year - under 25 4-year or above - under 25

Institutional Control Age FA1987 FA1997 FA2007 FA2011

Private for-Profit GE 25 1.6% 2.9% 14.4% 21.1%

Private not-for-Profit GE 25 11.4% 12.4% 11.3% 10.3%

Public GE 25 87.0% 84.7% 74.3% 68.6%

Private for-Profit LT 25 1.4% 1.6% 4.8% 5.9%

Private not-for-Profit LT 25 20.1% 19.4% 17.8% 16.9%

Public LT 25 78.5% 79.0% 77.4% 77.2%

Total GE 25 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%

Total LT 25 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%


Institutional Type Age FA1987 FA1997 FA2007 FA2011

Less-than 2-year GE 25 1.1% 0.0% 2.7% 3.2%

2-year GE 25 61.2% 60.4% 53.9% 50.3%

4-year or above GE 25 37.7% 39.6% 43.3% 46.4%

Less-than 2-year LT 25 0.8% 0.0% 1.3% 1.5%

2-year LT 25 32.2% 35.8% 36.4% 36.6%

4-year or above LT 25 67.0% 64.2% 62.4% 61.9%

Total GE 25 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%

Total LT 25 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%


Table 4a. Distributions of US Undergraduates for Age LT 25 & for Age GE 25 Enrolled by Institutional Control

Fall 1987, 1997, 2007, and 2011

Table 4b. Distributions of US Undergraduates for Age LT 25 & for Age GE 25 Enrolled by Institutional Type

Fall 1987, 1997, 2007, and 2011

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

FA1987 FA1997 FA2007 FA2011

Chart 4a. Distribution of US Undergraduates Age LT 25 & Age GE 25 Enrolled by Institutional Control Fall 1987, 1997, 2007, and 2011



0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

FA1987 FA1997 FA2007 FA2011

Chart 4b. Distribution of US Undergraduates Age LT 25 & Age GE 25 Enrolled by Institutional Type Fall 1987, 1997, 2007, and 2011



Pennsylvania



Private for-Profit, 4-year or above GE 25 1,231 565 8,916 13,709

Private for-Profit, 2-year GE 25 3,299 5,719 11,707 17,935

Private for-Profit, less-than 2-year GE 25 106 71 2,504 4,611

Private not-for-Profit, 4-year or above GE 25 35,042 35,469 28,600 29,340

Private not-for-Profit, 2-year GE 25 2,127 1,658 4,028 4,634

Private not-for-Profit, less-than 2-year GE 25 89 140 104

Public, 4-year or above GE 25 29,492 32,036 23,598 23,828

Public, 2-year GE 25 33,940 49,336 46,126 57,841

Public, less-than 2-year GE 25 43 1,514 2,137

Private for-Profit, 4-year or above LT 25 2,856 2,276 8,925 9,183

Private for-Profit, 2-year LT 25 6,738 9,644 20,123 22,496

Private for-Profit, less-than 2-year LT 25 175 71 3,786 3,980

Private not-for-Profit, 4-year or above LT 25 126,806 129,399 166,266 172,858

Private not-for-Profit, 2-year LT 25 4,017 2,872 5,160 5,496

Private not-for-Profit, less-than 2-year LT 25 119 35 41

Public, 4-year or above LT 25 149,315 160,449 197,572 209,959

Public, 2-year LT 25 33,206 48,345 69,576 87,826

Public, less-than 2-year LT 25 26 836 1,340

Total GE 25 105,369 124,854 127,133 154,139

Total LT 25 323,258 353,056 472,279 513,179

Total All 428,627 477,910 599,412 667,318


Table 5. PA Undergraduates Age GE 25 & Age LT 25 Enrolled by Institutional Sector Fall 1987, 1997, 2007, and 2011

105,369 124,854 127,133

154,139

323,258 353,056

472,279

513,179

428,627

477,910

599,412

667,318

-

100,000

200,000

300,000

400,000

500,000

600,000

700,000

800,000

FA1987 FA1997 FA2007 FA2011

Chart 5. PA Undergraduates Less than 25 Years and 25 and Older



18.5%

20.7%

46.3%

9.2%

46.1%

58.8%

11.5%

39.8%

55.7%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

FA1987 to FA 1997 FA1997 to FA2007 FA2007 to FA2011

Chart 6. Growth in PA Undergraduates Less than 25 Years versus 25 and Older Since Fall 1987 through Fall 2011


11.5%

31.3%

64.2%

13.0%

56.5%

77.2%

12.5%

47.6%

72.6%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

FA1987 to FA1997 FA0997 to FA2007 FA2007 to FA2011

Chart 2. Growth in US Undergraduates Less than 25 Years versus 25 and Older Since Fall 1987 through Fall 2011



Private for-Profit, 4-year or above GE 25 0.3% 0.1% 1.5% 2.1%

Private for-Profit, 2-year GE 25 0.8% 1.2% 2.0% 2.7%

Private for-Profit, less-than 2-year GE 25 0.0% 0.0% 0.4% 0.7%

Private not-for-Profit, 4-year or above GE 25 8.2% 7.4% 4.8% 4.5%

Private not-for-Profit, 2-year GE 25 0.5% 0.3% 0.7% 0.7%

Private not-for-Profit, less-than 2-year GE 25 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Public, 4-year or above GE 25 6.9% 6.7% 4.0% 3.6%

Public, 2-year GE 25 7.9% 10.3% 7.8% 8.8%

Public, less-than 2-year GE 25 0.0% 0.0% 0.3% 0.3%

Private for-Profit, 4-year or above LT 25 0.7% 0.5% 1.5% 1.4%

Private for-Profit, 2-year LT 25 1.6% 2.0% 3.4% 3.4%

Private for-Profit, less-than 2-year LT 25 0.0% 0.0% 0.3% 0.3%

Private not-for-Profit, 4-year or above LT 25 29.6% 27.1% 28.0% 26.2%

Private not-for-Profit, 2-year LT 25 0.9% 0.6% 0.9% 0.8%

Private not-for-Profit, less-than 2-year LT 25 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Public, 4-year or above LT 25 34.8% 33.6% 33.3% 31.9%

Public, 2-year LT 25 7.7% 10.1% 11.7% 13.3%

Public, less-than 2-year LT 25 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.2%

Total GE 25 24.6% 26.1% 21.2% 23.1%

Total LT 25 75.4% 73.9% 78.8% 76.9%

Total All 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%


Table 6. Distribution of PA Undergraduates Age GE 25 & Age LT 25 Enrolled by Institutional Sector

Fall 1987, 1997, 2007, and 2011


Private for-Profit GE 25 4,636 6,355 23,127 36,255

Private not-for-profit GE 25 37,258 37,127 32,768 34,078

Public GE 25 63,475 81,372 71,238 83,806

Private for-Profit LT 25 9,769 11,991 32,834 35,659

Private not-for-profit LT 25 130,942 132,271 171,461 178,395

Public LT 25 182,547 208,794 267,984 299,125

Total GE 25 105,369 124,854 127,133 154,139

Total LT 25 323,258 353,056 472,279 513,179

Total All 428,627 477,910 599,412 667,318



Less-than 2-year GE 25 238 71 4,158 6,852

2-year GE 25 39,366 56,713 61,861 80,410

4-year or above GE 25 65,765 68,070 61,114 66,877

Less-than 2-year LT 25 320 71 4,657 5,361

2-year LT 25 43,961 60,861 94,859 115,818

4-year or above LT 25 278,977 292,124 372,763 392,000

Total GE 25 105,369 124,854 127,133 154,139

Total LT 25 323,258 353,056 472,279 513,179

Total All 428,627 477,910 599,412 667,318


Table 7a. PA Undergraduates Age GE 25 & Age LT 25 Enrolled by Institutional Control

Fall 1987, 1997, 2007, and 2011

Table 7b. PA Undergraduates Age GE 25 & Age LT 25 Enrolled by Institutional Type

Fall 1987, 1997, 2007, and 2011

-

50,000

100,000

150,000

200,000

250,000

300,000

350,000

FA1987 FA1997 FA2007 FA2011

Chart 7a. PA Undergraduates Age LT 25 & Age GE 25 Enrolled by Institutional Control Fall 1987, 1997, 2007, and 2011



-

50,000

100,000

150,000

200,000

250,000

300,000

350,000

400,000

450,000

FA1987 FA1997 FA2007 FA2011

Chart 7b. PA Undergraduates Age LT 25 & Age GE 25 Enrolled by Institutional Type Fall 1987, 1997, 2007, and 2011




Private for-Profit GE 25 1.1% 1.3% 3.9% 5.4%

Private not-for-profit GE 25 8.7% 7.8% 5.5% 5.1%

Public GE 25 14.8% 17.0% 11.9% 12.6%

Private for-Profit LT 25 2.3% 2.5% 5.5% 5.3%

Private not-for-profit LT 25 30.5% 27.7% 28.6% 26.7%

Public LT 25 42.6% 43.7% 44.7% 44.8%

Total GE 25 24.6% 26.1% 21.2% 23.1%

Total LT 25 75.4% 73.9% 78.8% 76.9%

Total All 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%



Less-than 2-year GE 25 0.1% 0.0% 0.7% 1.0%

2-year GE 25 9.2% 11.9% 10.3% 12.0%

4-year or above GE 25 15.3% 14.2% 10.2% 10.0%

Less-than 2-year LT 25 0.1% 0.0% 0.8% 0.8%

2-year LT 25 10.3% 12.7% 15.8% 17.4%

4-year or above LT 25 65.1% 61.1% 62.2% 58.7%

Total GE 25 24.6% 26.1% 21.2% 23.1%

Total LT 25 75.4% 73.9% 78.8% 76.9%

Total All 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%


Table 8a. Distribution of PA Undergraduates Age GE 25 & Age LT 25 Enrolled by Institutional Control

Fall 1987, 1997, 2007, and 2011

Table 8b. Distribution of PA Undergraduates Age GE 25 & Age LT 25 Enrolled by Institutional Type

Fall 1987, 1997, 2007, and 2011

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

FA1987 FA1997 FA2007 FA2011

Chart 4a. Distribution of US Undergraduates Age LT 25 & Age GE 25 Enrolled by Institutional Control Fall 1987, 1997, 2007, and 2011



0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

FA1987 FA1997 FA2007 FA2011

Chart 8b. Distribution of PA Undergraduates Age LT 25 & Age GE 25 Enrolled by Institutional Type Fall 1987, 1997, 2007, and 2011



0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

FA1987 FA1997 FA2007 FA2011

Chart 4b. Distribution of US Undergraduates Age LT 25 & Age GE 25 Enrolled by Institutional Type Fall 1987, 1997, 2007, and 2011



Pennsylvania State Grant

Applicants

Fall 2007 and Fall 2011

25 and Older133,110

26%

Under 25388,749

74%

Chart 9a. Adult Learners in the State Grant Program Applicant Pool Academic Year 2007-08

25 and Older194,444

30%

Under 25457,231

70%

Chart 9b. Adult Learners in the State Grant Program Applicant Pool Academic Year 2011-12

25 and Older 28,364

18%

Under 25130,151

82%

Chart 10a. Adult Learners among the State Grant Program Award Recipients Academic Year 2007-08

25 and Older38,515

20%

Under 25150,314

80%

Chart 10b. Adult Learners among the State Grant Program Award Recipients Academic Year 2011-12

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

25 and Older Under 25

34.2 19.6 34.7 19.7

Age

-Y

ear

s

Chart 11. Average Age of Adult and Traditional-Age Pennsylvania State Grant Applicants Fall 2007 and Fall 2011

Fall 2007 Fall 2011

$-

$10,000

$20,000

$30,000

$40,000

$50,000

$60,000


$24,993

$56,052

$20,391

$47,205

Chart 12a. Median Income for Pennsylvania State Grant Applicants Age LT 25 and Age GE 25 Fall 2007 and Fall 2011*

Fall 2007 Fall 2011 *2010 Incomes expressed in 2006 dollars

$-

$5,000

$10,000

$15,000

$20,000

$25,000

$30,000

$35,000

$40,000

$45,000


$22,555

$42,801

$18,975

$37,321

Chart 12b. Median Income for Pennsylvania State Grant Award Recipients Age LT 25 and Age GE 25Fall 2007 and Fall 2011*

Fall 2007 Fall 2011 *2010 Incomes expressed in 2006 dollars

0

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

3,000

3,500


482

3,332

0

2,283

Chart 13. Median EFC for Pennsylvania State Grant Award Recipients Age LT 25 and Age GE 25Fall 2007 and Fall 2011

Fall 2007 Fall 2011

0

10,000

20,000

30,000

40,000

50,000

60,000

70,000

80,000

90,000

IndependentColleges andUniversities

PASSHE Universities State-RelatedUniversities

Community Colleges Business, Trade andTechnical Schools

Out-of-State

86,778

68,903

77,165

54,215

33,301

54,894

23,803 7,511 11,162 36,595 25,045 15,471

Ap

plic

ants

Chart 14a. Sector Distribution of Pennsylvania State Grant Applicants Age LT 25 and Age GE 25

Fall 2007

Under 25 25 and Above

0

10,000

20,000

30,000

40,000

50,000

60,000

70,000

80,000

90,000

100,000



CommunityColleges

Business, Trade andTechnical Schools

Out-of-State

92,113

80,03483,259 85,488

33,092

64,319

30,128 8,532 13,679 61,349 28,704 29,914

Ap

plic

ants

Chart 14b. Sector Distribution of Pennsylvania State Grant Applicants Age LT 25 and Age GE 25

Fall 2011


0

0

0

0

0

0

0




Out-of-State

22%

18%

20%

14%

9%

14%

18%

6%

8%

27%

19%

12%

Ap

plic

ants

Chart 15a. Sector Share of Pennsylvania State Grant Applicants Age LT 25 and Age GE 25

Fall 2007


0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

35%




Out-of-State

20%

18%18% 19%

7%

14%15%

4%

7%

32%

15% 15%

Ap

plic

ants

Chart 15b. Sector Share of Pennsylvania State Grant Applicants Age LT 25 and Age GE 25

Fall 2011


-

10,000

20,000

30,000

40,000

50,000

60,000

70,000

Under 25 2007-08 Under 25 2011-12 25 and Above 2007-08 25 and Above 2011-12

Ap

plic

ants

Chart 16. Pennsylvania State Grant Applicants Age LT 25 and Age GE 25 Indicating an Out-of-State Institution and Recipients Who Enrolled Out-of-State


Applicants Recipients

20%

20%

3%

2%

Pennsylvania State Grant

Veteran Applicants


Sector

Academic

Year Applicants Recipients

Independent Colleges and Universities 2007-08 1,653 653

2011-12 1,402 634

PASSHE Universities 2007-08 1,282 757

2011-12 734 446

State-Related Universities 2007-08 1,568 894

2011-12 1,242 785

Community Colleges 2007-08 1,903 630

2011-12 1,453 622

Business, Trade and Technical Schools 2007-08 1,280 404

2011-12 950 410

Out-of-State 2007-08 1,646 65

2011-12 1,155 56

Total 2007-08 10,086 3,528

2011-12 7,567 3,060

Table 9. Distribution of Military Veteran Pennsylvania State Grant

Applicants and Award Recipients Among Selected Institutional Sectors

Academic Years 2007-08 and 2011-12

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%




Out-of-State

19%

21%

25%

18%

11%

2%

21%

15%

26%

20%

13%

2%

Ap

plic

ants

Chart 17. Sector Share of Pennsylvania State Grant Awards Recipients Who are Military Veterans


2007-08 2011-12

For Additional Information

• Mark Lafer

Senior Policy Research Analyst

Research and Policy Analysis

State Grant and Special Programs

Pennsylvania Higher Education Assistance Agency

1200 North 7th Street, 4C

Harrisburg, PA 17102

717-720-3734

• [email protected]

Documents

The Recession & Changing Institutional Sector