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Slide 1 IEAus September 2009 The Robots are Coming ! Hugh Durrant-Whyte ARC Federation Fellow, Research Director ARC Centre of Excellence for Autonomous Systems (CAS) The University of Sydney, Australia [email protected]

The Robots are Coming - Engineers Australia...IEAus September 2009 Slide 1 The Robots are Coming ! Hugh Durrant-Whyte ARC Federation Fellow, Research Director ARC Centre of Excellence

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Page 1: The Robots are Coming - Engineers Australia...IEAus September 2009 Slide 1 The Robots are Coming ! Hugh Durrant-Whyte ARC Federation Fellow, Research Director ARC Centre of Excellence

Slide 1IEAus September 2009

The Robots are Coming !

Hugh Durrant-WhyteARC Federation Fellow, Research Director

ARC Centre of Excellence for Autonomous Systems (CAS)The University of Sydney, Australia

[email protected]

Page 2: The Robots are Coming - Engineers Australia...IEAus September 2009 Slide 1 The Robots are Coming ! Hugh Durrant-Whyte ARC Federation Fellow, Research Director ARC Centre of Excellence

Slide 2IEAus September 2009

Robots in Australia

Page 3: The Robots are Coming - Engineers Australia...IEAus September 2009 Slide 1 The Robots are Coming ! Hugh Durrant-Whyte ARC Federation Fellow, Research Director ARC Centre of Excellence

Slide 3IEAus September 2009

CAS/ACFR

• Research capabilities• Over 200 researchers, $15m/year of support• World-leading research in sensing, data fusion,

navigation, machine learning, cooperative control and human-robot interaction

• World’s best equipped laboratories and field test facilities for robotics research

• Fundamental and applied research, through to commercial outcomes

• Strong Government and Industry Support• ARC Centre of Excellence• Rio Tinto Centre for Mine Automation• BAE Systems Centre for Intelligent Mobile Systems• DSTO Centre for Autonomous Systems• US Army, Navy and Air Force projects

• Strong international engagement

Page 4: The Robots are Coming - Engineers Australia...IEAus September 2009 Slide 1 The Robots are Coming ! Hugh Durrant-Whyte ARC Federation Fellow, Research Director ARC Centre of Excellence

Slide 4IEAus September 2009

Perception:SensorsRepresentationsData Fusion

Systems:ModellingDesignHRI

Control:ModellingPlanningCooperation

Learning:RecognitionDecision MakingMulti-Agent

ACFR SupportedUAV, UGV, AUV Demonstrators

Fire Fighting

Construction Defence

Mining

Cargo Handling

Health Care

Intelligent Buildings

Ecology Management

Entertainment

Agriculture

Search and Rescue Education

CAS Research and Development R

esea

rch

Dev

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men

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Page 5: The Robots are Coming - Engineers Australia...IEAus September 2009 Slide 1 The Robots are Coming ! Hugh Durrant-Whyte ARC Federation Fellow, Research Director ARC Centre of Excellence

Slide 5IEAus September 2009

Research: Perception

• Focus on unstructured outdoor environments

• Research in:• Mixed sensors, mm-radar• Rich Representations• Probabilistic Models• SLAM, DDF

Page 6: The Robots are Coming - Engineers Australia...IEAus September 2009 Slide 1 The Robots are Coming ! Hugh Durrant-Whyte ARC Federation Fellow, Research Director ARC Centre of Excellence

Slide 6IEAus September 2009

Research: Control

• Focus on understanding platforms and cooperation

• Research in:• Platform models• Uncertainty management• Planning methods• Cooperative Control

Page 7: The Robots are Coming - Engineers Australia...IEAus September 2009 Slide 1 The Robots are Coming ! Hugh Durrant-Whyte ARC Federation Fellow, Research Director ARC Centre of Excellence

Slide 7IEAus September 2009

Research: Learning

• Focus on perception and decision making

• Research in:• Scene understanding• Multi-agent systems• Human-robot interaction

Page 8: The Robots are Coming - Engineers Australia...IEAus September 2009 Slide 1 The Robots are Coming ! Hugh Durrant-Whyte ARC Federation Fellow, Research Director ARC Centre of Excellence

Slide 8IEAus September 2009

Research: Systems

• Focus on modelling and design of robust systems

• Research in:• Formal methods• Middleware (ORCA)• Large-scale systems

Page 9: The Robots are Coming - Engineers Australia...IEAus September 2009 Slide 1 The Robots are Coming ! Hugh Durrant-Whyte ARC Federation Fellow, Research Director ARC Centre of Excellence

Slide 9IEAus September 2009

Working with Industry

• Three Case studies• Cargo Handling: First success in field robotics• Defence: Pushing the boundaries• Mining: The current grand challenge

• Key Lessons• From research to industry/exploitation• How to achieve national benefits• Driving future research

• A future robotics industry in Australia

Page 10: The Robots are Coming - Engineers Australia...IEAus September 2009 Slide 1 The Robots are Coming ! Hugh Durrant-Whyte ARC Federation Fellow, Research Director ARC Centre of Excellence

Slide 10IEAus September 2009

• The simplest possible field robotics problem:• A structured environment• Well defined task• Well defined pay-off

• Some key research challenges:• Control a large, fast platform• Guarantee performance• Ensure safety

Automated Container Handling

Page 11: The Robots are Coming - Engineers Australia...IEAus September 2009 Slide 1 The Robots are Coming ! Hugh Durrant-Whyte ARC Federation Fellow, Research Director ARC Centre of Excellence

Slide 11IEAus September 2009

The FRAIT Project

• My first attempt at field robotics, 1990-1993.

• Technically advanced vehicle system:• Radar navigation• High-speed control• Safety systems

• Weak exploitation plan:• Small start-up company• Technically focussed• Shoe-string budget

Page 12: The Robots are Coming - Engineers Australia...IEAus September 2009 Slide 1 The Robots are Coming ! Hugh Durrant-Whyte ARC Federation Fellow, Research Director ARC Centre of Excellence

Slide 12IEAus September 2009

Not thinking things through…

Page 13: The Robots are Coming - Engineers Australia...IEAus September 2009 Slide 1 The Robots are Coming ! Hugh Durrant-Whyte ARC Federation Fellow, Research Director ARC Centre of Excellence

Slide 13IEAus September 2009

The Australian Waterfront

• Lang Corp. 1995 purchase of Australian National Terminals

• University involved in quay-crane and operation R&D

• Investment in new straddle operations in 1997

• A decision to look at the automation option

End-user understands drive to automate

Page 14: The Robots are Coming - Engineers Australia...IEAus September 2009 Slide 1 The Robots are Coming ! Hugh Durrant-Whyte ARC Federation Fellow, Research Director ARC Centre of Excellence

Slide 14IEAus September 2009

Enhanced Straddle Carrier (ESC)

• Technical Development:• Lessons and new research

integrated into design• Work on navigation and

systems engineering• Development of team at

Sydney Uni. and at Patrick • Commercial Development:

• Total support from Directors• Long-term and consistent

investment by end-user• Flexible plan for development

and exploitation

Page 15: The Robots are Coming - Engineers Australia...IEAus September 2009 Slide 1 The Robots are Coming ! Hugh Durrant-Whyte ARC Federation Fellow, Research Director ARC Centre of Excellence

Slide 15IEAus September 2009

Operational System

• In operation since 2004• Four automated berths

including 30 AutoStrad systems

• Operation located in Brisbane but run from Sydney

• A new start-up company producing and supporting automation systems

• Significant value for end-user: • 50% personnel reduction• 40% fuel reductions• 70% maintenance reduction• Improved planning and

availability

IEEE International Robotics Award 2007

Page 16: The Robots are Coming - Engineers Australia...IEAus September 2009 Slide 1 The Robots are Coming ! Hugh Durrant-Whyte ARC Federation Fellow, Research Director ARC Centre of Excellence

Slide 16IEAus September 2009

How to Exploit ?

• Sell automation: $100k per AutoStrad• Sell AutoStrads: $1.2m each• Sell Automated terminals: $300m each• Operate terminals per box move:

$2bn/year

• Vertical integration in a large end-user can make good sense

Page 17: The Robots are Coming - Engineers Australia...IEAus September 2009 Slide 1 The Robots are Coming ! Hugh Durrant-Whyte ARC Federation Fellow, Research Director ARC Centre of Excellence

Slide 17IEAus September 2009

Lessons Learnt (Part I)

Field robotics requires close cooperationbetween users, suppliers and researchers

Having a small part of something big is better than having a large part of nothing

Page 18: The Robots are Coming - Engineers Australia...IEAus September 2009 Slide 1 The Robots are Coming ! Hugh Durrant-Whyte ARC Federation Fellow, Research Director ARC Centre of Excellence

Slide 18IEAus September 2009

Autonomous Systems in Defence:Pushing the Boundaries

Page 19: The Robots are Coming - Engineers Australia...IEAus September 2009 Slide 1 The Robots are Coming ! Hugh Durrant-Whyte ARC Federation Fellow, Research Director ARC Centre of Excellence

Slide 19IEAus September 2009

Defence Robotics in Australia

• Australia has a small, professional defence force

• Minimal indigenous support for autonomy R&D

• A focus on algorithms• Network data fusion• GPS-denied navigation• Autonomy

• Primary research support• BAE Systems (UK, US)• AFOSR, ONR, ARL (US)• DSTO, ADF (Australia)

A vast country with few defence resources: Autonomy is key

Page 20: The Robots are Coming - Engineers Australia...IEAus September 2009 Slide 1 The Robots are Coming ! Hugh Durrant-Whyte ARC Federation Fellow, Research Director ARC Centre of Excellence

Slide 20IEAus September 2009

BAE Systems Partnership

• A 20-year partnership with BAE• Decentralised Data Fusion (DDF)• Early work on SLAM• Example: OxNav-1991-94

Page 21: The Robots are Coming - Engineers Australia...IEAus September 2009 Slide 1 The Robots are Coming ! Hugh Durrant-Whyte ARC Federation Fellow, Research Director ARC Centre of Excellence

Slide 21IEAus September 2009

BAE Systems: ANSER Program

• Rapid increase in interest in network-centric systems for land/air/sea

• Multi-million dollar R&D programme fully funded by BAE Systems from 1998-2002, 2003-2006, 2007-

• To develop and deploy a fully decentralised data fusion system on a network of UAVs

• To demonstrate, key network-centric algorithms: Modularity, Scalability, Flexibility and Survivability

Page 22: The Robots are Coming - Engineers Australia...IEAus September 2009 Slide 1 The Robots are Coming ! Hugh Durrant-Whyte ARC Federation Fellow, Research Director ARC Centre of Excellence

Slide 22IEAus September 2009

ANSER Trials Campaign

Page 23: The Robots are Coming - Engineers Australia...IEAus September 2009 Slide 1 The Robots are Coming ! Hugh Durrant-Whyte ARC Federation Fellow, Research Director ARC Centre of Excellence

Slide 23IEAus September 2009

Every UAV Project has One…

Page 24: The Robots are Coming - Engineers Australia...IEAus September 2009 Slide 1 The Robots are Coming ! Hugh Durrant-Whyte ARC Federation Fellow, Research Director ARC Centre of Excellence

Slide 24IEAus September 2009

ANSER Outcomes

• Outputs:• World-first cooperative UAV demonstrations• Demonstration of fully autonomous network-

centric operations• BAE Systems Chairman Gold Award

• Outcomes:• BAE program wins in UK, US and Australia

(Type-45, JSF, MAST, etc)• Establishment of BAE Systems Autonomy

Research Centre at CAS and Global Capability at BAE Systems Australia

• Engagement in international programs: [UK]MOD, [US] ARL, AFRL, ONR

• Future autonomy for Australian civilian and defence applications

Page 25: The Robots are Coming - Engineers Australia...IEAus September 2009 Slide 1 The Robots are Coming ! Hugh Durrant-Whyte ARC Federation Fellow, Research Director ARC Centre of Excellence

Slide 25IEAus September 2009

Outcomes in Australian Defence I

• Armoured Autonomous SAS Target-Training System

• Multi-platform autonomous localisation, mapping, control

• Indoor and outdoor long-term robust operation

• Group reactive responses• Script-like scenario generation

Page 26: The Robots are Coming - Engineers Australia...IEAus September 2009 Slide 1 The Robots are Coming ! Hugh Durrant-Whyte ARC Federation Fellow, Research Director ARC Centre of Excellence

Slide 26IEAus September 2009

Sniper Training System

Page 27: The Robots are Coming - Engineers Australia...IEAus September 2009 Slide 1 The Robots are Coming ! Hugh Durrant-Whyte ARC Federation Fellow, Research Director ARC Centre of Excellence

Slide 27IEAus September 2009

Outcomes in Agriculture and Marine

Page 28: The Robots are Coming - Engineers Australia...IEAus September 2009 Slide 1 The Robots are Coming ! Hugh Durrant-Whyte ARC Federation Fellow, Research Director ARC Centre of Excellence

Slide 28IEAus September 2009

The Defence/Autonomy Dilemma

• True autonomy is a long way off (for ADF)• Limited to “platforms” and “remote control”• Not yet in current needs and doctrine• R-NIH: Buy existing US or UK equipment

• Defence autonomy does not push the boundaries as far as civilian applications• Not easy to field true autonomy outcomes• Not easy to compute NPV and make case• Information rather than platforms are the need

• The future of autonomy is in civilian applications

Page 29: The Robots are Coming - Engineers Australia...IEAus September 2009 Slide 1 The Robots are Coming ! Hugh Durrant-Whyte ARC Federation Fellow, Research Director ARC Centre of Excellence

Slide 29IEAus September 2009

Lessons Learnt (Part II)

Industry will support long-range strategic research at world centres of excellence

In robotics, research needs time tosucceed for both technical and cultural reasons

Page 30: The Robots are Coming - Engineers Australia...IEAus September 2009 Slide 1 The Robots are Coming ! Hugh Durrant-Whyte ARC Federation Fellow, Research Director ARC Centre of Excellence

Slide 30IEAus September 2009

Mining Automation:The Grand Challenge

Page 31: The Robots are Coming - Engineers Australia...IEAus September 2009 Slide 1 The Robots are Coming ! Hugh Durrant-Whyte ARC Federation Fellow, Research Director ARC Centre of Excellence

Slide 31IEAus September 2009

Mining Automation

• Total mine automation:• A grand challenge for Field Robotics• Brings together all elements of systems,

integrity, perception and more

• Driven by safety, predictability, precision and efficiency

• Dirty, Dull and Dangerous…

Page 32: The Robots are Coming - Engineers Australia...IEAus September 2009 Slide 1 The Robots are Coming ! Hugh Durrant-Whyte ARC Federation Fellow, Research Director ARC Centre of Excellence

Slide 32IEAus September 2009

The Initial Strategy (1995-00)

• Early work focused on equipment automation

• Benefits to the bottom line were hard to identify

• Lack of automation culture and how to exploit benefits of automation

Page 33: The Robots are Coming - Engineers Australia...IEAus September 2009 Slide 1 The Robots are Coming ! Hugh Durrant-Whyte ARC Federation Fellow, Research Director ARC Centre of Excellence

Slide 33IEAus September 2009

The Revised Strategy

• Problems:• Mining companies make money,

not technology• Many large players create a

credibility gap• Steps toward automation:

• Develop increments toward the automated mine

• A portfolio of sensing and automation R&D projects

• Build confidence and understanding• Focus: Safety and predictability

Page 34: The Robots are Coming - Engineers Australia...IEAus September 2009 Slide 1 The Robots are Coming ! Hugh Durrant-Whyte ARC Federation Fellow, Research Director ARC Centre of Excellence

Slide 34IEAus September 2009

Safety is a priority in mining !

Page 35: The Robots are Coming - Engineers Australia...IEAus September 2009 Slide 1 The Robots are Coming ! Hugh Durrant-Whyte ARC Federation Fellow, Research Director ARC Centre of Excellence

Slide 35IEAus September 2009

Localisation and Mapping

Page 36: The Robots are Coming - Engineers Australia...IEAus September 2009 Slide 1 The Robots are Coming ! Hugh Durrant-Whyte ARC Federation Fellow, Research Director ARC Centre of Excellence

Slide 36IEAus September 2009

Proximity Tracking

• Network-centric tracking, and collision data fusion:• Mining equipment• Light vehicles• People

• Integrated safety system• Beyond line-of-sight proximity

warning• Local operations control

• Operation in• Bracalba, Grasberg, Brockman

Page 37: The Robots are Coming - Engineers Australia...IEAus September 2009 Slide 1 The Robots are Coming ! Hugh Durrant-Whyte ARC Federation Fellow, Research Director ARC Centre of Excellence

Slide 37IEAus September 2009

Mining Automation

• Total mine automation:• A grand challenge for Field Robotics• Integrates all elements of systems, integrity,

perception and more

• Key projects• Mine Automation System (MAS)-Architecture• Mine Picture Compilation (MPC)-Data Fusion• Equipment Automation–Trucks, drills, excavators, etc

Page 38: The Robots are Coming - Engineers Australia...IEAus September 2009 Slide 1 The Robots are Coming ! Hugh Durrant-Whyte ARC Federation Fellow, Research Director ARC Centre of Excellence

Slide 38IEAus September 2009

Mine Automation System (MAS)

• MAS Provides• Standards for Information• Standards for Equipment• Machine-human integrity

monitoring• Client-server structure

• Mine-wide data fusion (MPC)

• Mine equipment coordination and control

• Integrates to Remote Operations Centre (ROC)

Page 39: The Robots are Coming - Engineers Australia...IEAus September 2009 Slide 1 The Robots are Coming ! Hugh Durrant-Whyte ARC Federation Fellow, Research Director ARC Centre of Excellence

Slide 39IEAus September 2009

Mine-wide Data Fusion

• Build and maintain an integrated mine view• Geometric data • Geophysical data• Equipment disposition

• Real time fusion• All data types• All time scales• All spatial scales

• Both manned and unmanned Systems

• Remote Operations Centre (ROC)

Page 40: The Robots are Coming - Engineers Australia...IEAus September 2009 Slide 1 The Robots are Coming ! Hugh Durrant-Whyte ARC Federation Fellow, Research Director ARC Centre of Excellence

Slide 40IEAus September 2009

Equipment Automation

• First automated pit• Trucks• Drills• Tracking systems

• In operation 7/2010

Page 41: The Robots are Coming - Engineers Australia...IEAus September 2009 Slide 1 The Robots are Coming ! Hugh Durrant-Whyte ARC Federation Fellow, Research Director ARC Centre of Excellence

Slide 41IEAus September 2009

Rock Modelling and Recognition

• Characterise geometry/geology of active mining area• Drilling sensors

• Pull down/rotational pressures• Natural gamma, LIBS

• Face sensors• Laser/Radar and Camera• Hyperspectral

Page 42: The Robots are Coming - Engineers Australia...IEAus September 2009 Slide 1 The Robots are Coming ! Hugh Durrant-Whyte ARC Federation Fellow, Research Director ARC Centre of Excellence

Slide 42IEAus September 2009

MPC-Block Model Gaussian Process

Page 43: The Robots are Coming - Engineers Australia...IEAus September 2009 Slide 1 The Robots are Coming ! Hugh Durrant-Whyte ARC Federation Fellow, Research Director ARC Centre of Excellence

Slide 43IEAus September 2009

Learning Geology and Hardness

Non-stationary, Multi-task GPs

Drill data

Fusion into MPC/Block Model

Page 44: The Robots are Coming - Engineers Australia...IEAus September 2009 Slide 1 The Robots are Coming ! Hugh Durrant-Whyte ARC Federation Fellow, Research Director ARC Centre of Excellence

Slide 44IEAus September 2009

Associating Geometry and Geology

Page 45: The Robots are Coming - Engineers Australia...IEAus September 2009 Slide 1 The Robots are Coming ! Hugh Durrant-Whyte ARC Federation Fellow, Research Director ARC Centre of Excellence

Slide 45IEAus September 2009

Drill Rig in Operation

Page 46: The Robots are Coming - Engineers Australia...IEAus September 2009 Slide 1 The Robots are Coming ! Hugh Durrant-Whyte ARC Federation Fellow, Research Director ARC Centre of Excellence

Slide 46IEAus September 2009

Lessons Learnt (Part III)

Researchers need to build deep and long-termcommitments to industry and industry outcomes

Industry will support large-scale fundamentalresearch if they can see the business bottom-line

Page 47: The Robots are Coming - Engineers Australia...IEAus September 2009 Slide 1 The Robots are Coming ! Hugh Durrant-Whyte ARC Federation Fellow, Research Director ARC Centre of Excellence

Slide 47IEAus September 2009

The Future of Field Robotics in Australia

• What have we done in 10 years?• Over $40m in industry research funding• Estimated > $1bn in industry outcomes • including four new companies• Key research underpinning Field Robotics• A great deal of excitement and fun !

• Where are we going in the next 10 years?• 30 current and new industry projects in 2009 • Mining will remain the main challenge• Developing new applications: Precision agriculture,

marine resources, bush fire fighting, …, in Australia• Building an exciting science for field robotics • Continue going to far away exotic places…and

automating them ☺

Page 48: The Robots are Coming - Engineers Australia...IEAus September 2009 Slide 1 The Robots are Coming ! Hugh Durrant-Whyte ARC Federation Fellow, Research Director ARC Centre of Excellence

Slide 48IEAus September 2009

The Next Ten Years

Page 49: The Robots are Coming - Engineers Australia...IEAus September 2009 Slide 1 The Robots are Coming ! Hugh Durrant-Whyte ARC Federation Fellow, Research Director ARC Centre of Excellence

Slide 49IEAus September 2009