The Television Will Be Revolutionized The iPad, Internet TV, and Web 3.0 (The Metaverse) TED x Del Mar, CA Jun 2010 John Smart, President, Acceleration

The Television Will Be RevolutionizedThe iPad, Internet TV, and Web 3.0 (The Metaverse)

TEDx Del Mar, CAJun 2010

John Smart, President, Acceleration Studies [email protected]: accelerating.org/slides.html

Los AngelesNew YorkPalo Alto

AccelerationStudiesFoundationA 501(c)(3) Nonprofit

© 2010 Accelerating.org

Acceleration Studies Foundation: What We Do

▪ We practice evolutionary developmental (“evo devo”) foresight, a model of change that proposes the universe contains both: 1. Contingent and unpredictable evolutionary choices that

we use to create unique, informationally valuable, and creative paths (most of which will fail) and a small set of

2. Convergent and predictable developmental constraints (initial conditions, constancies) which direct certain aspects of our long-range future.

▪ Some developmental trends that may be intrinsic to the future of complex systems on Earth include:– Accelerating intelligence, interdependence and immunity

in our global sociotechnological systems– Increasing technological autonomy, and – Increasing intimacy of the human-machine and physical-

digital interface.




Great Intro Book on “The Post-Network Era” (250 pp)

The Television Will Be Revolutionized,

Amanda Lotz, 2007Prof. of Comm. Studies, U. Michigan




My White Paper on The Future of Internet TV (47 pp)

How the Television Will Be Revolutionized, J. Smart, 2010 Prof. of Emerging Tech, U. Advancing Tech

http://accelerating.org/downloads/SmartJ-2010-HowTVwillbeRevolutionized.pdf

http://accelerating.org/downloads/SmartJ-2010-HowTVwillbeRevolutionized.pdf



Web 3.0 (The 3D/Video Web) is On the Horizon




Five Generic Steps in Web Development

Web 1.0 Read Mainly - Graphical UI

Web 2.0 Read/Write/Participatory - Social UI

Web 3.0 3D/Video (iTV, VW, MW, AR,) - Metaverse UI

Web 4.0 Semantic (Valuecosm) - Conversational UI

Web 5.0 Intelligent (Planetization, Global Brain,Tech and Social ‘Singularity’) - Cognitive UI

We are climbing the hierarchies of the web, via design, use, feedback.

Edge platforms include search (Google, Bing, Wolfram Alpha), telephony (iPhone, Android, Google Voice), static and mobile social networking (Facebook, Foursquare), microblogging (Twitter), conferencing and collaboration environments (Skype, Wave, WebEx, Wikis), video (YouTube, Boxee, P2PTV), games and virtual worlds (XBox Live, Second Life), mirror worlds (Google Earth), avatars (Miis, MyCyberTwin), lifelogging (MyLifeBits), augmented reality (QR codes, Wikitude, Layar).

Collectively, these are today more a story of intelligence amplification (IA, ‘Sociotech’) than of artificial intelligence (AI, ‘Infotech’). This is, by far, the largest and most meaningful complexity construction process society has ever engaged in.

Smart, John et. al. 2007. Metaverse Roadmap (to 2025). Metaverseroadmap.org

Web

Metaverse

Metahumanity

Metaverseroadmap.org


http://www.metaverseroadmap.org/



Fifty Years of Vast Wasteland

FCC chairman Newton N. Minow , 1961:

"When television is good, nothing — not the theater, not the magazines or newspapers — nothing is better. But when television is bad, nothing is worse. I invite each of you to sit down in front of your own television set when your station goes on the air and stay there, for a day, without a book, without a magazine, without a newspaper, without a profit and loss sheet or a rating book to distract you. Keep your eyes glued to that set until the station signs off. I can assure you that what you will observe is a vast wasteland.

You will see a procession of game shows, formula comedies about totally unbelievable families, blood and thunder, mayhem, violence, sadism, murder, western bad men, western good men, private eyes, gangsters, more violence, and cartoons. And endless commercials — many screaming, cajoling, and offending. And most of all, boredom. True, you'll see a few things you will enjoy. But they will be very, very few. And if you think I exaggerate, I only ask you to try it."




The Tablet Remote – Web 3.0’s Killer App


What are the most exciting developmental uses for a tablet? #1 iTV & Video, #2 Social, #3 eReading, #4 Games, #5 Clipboard, #6 Apps

There are about 2.3 billion TVs in the world. 20,000+ streamable TV channels. Thousands more sit on the web, waiting for bandwidth. May be hundreds of thousands by 2015.

25% of US TVs sold in Jan 2010 were connected by consumers to the internet (internally or via a set top box, game console, DVD player), 40% of these were internally-enabled.

Tablet TV Remote: Voice enabled, collaborative filtering of thousands of channels, 2ndary screen, social viewing (chat, teamspeak), P2PTV, true internet television.

Lenovo Ideapad U1: Bestmultiuse design. June 2010

Will Google get this done?

A perfect YouTube front end.

Apple iPad: No Apple TV.Too little, too closed.



Web 3.0 Needs Open Video Standards and Technology




Web 3.0 (Internet) TV and OVML – The Vision

Media center and touch tablet navigation. Control 20,000+ channels from your lap. Quickly.

Voice searches on our tablet, laptop, and smartphone remotes

Collaborative rating and filtering systems, like Netflix’s recommendation engine.

Social viewing, social networks, and realtime chat. What are my friends watching?

Realtime captions. Secondary info streams. Micropayments, Controllable Commercials, and

Per-Click Ads. New ways to monetize our video. An open video markup language (OVML). Bringing

video into the hypertext world. User annotation. Simple DRM. Sharing, editing, remixing fees. © 2009 Accelerating.org

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Netflix



Web 3.0 TV Ads – Personalized and Unobtrusive


Automuting (full or half mute, with our without captions) of all commercial breaks.

Can “like” and “dislike” both video and ads with a tap on the tablet or a voice command.

Can block or unblock video and ads for a preset period (month, a year) a user set period, or forever.

Can email the video or ad maker (via contact tag in OVML) your opinion on video or ad. Anonymously published to the cloud unless you opt out.



Web 3.0 – A More Democratized Media, A Stronger Democracy



A Democratic Challenge: America’s Income Inequality


In the U.S. the top 0.1% (300,000 people) made as much in 2008 as the bottom 50% (150 million people)

Income and wealth differentials of 50-100X are healthy, fair, and incentivize innnovation. (Germany)

Differentials of 300X or more cause corruption, anticompetitiveness, and middle class decay. (US)



Inequality Dynamics:Kuznets Curves and Great U-Turns




We’re Not Going to Take It Anymore


Howard Beale, Network, 1976

The Gadsden Flag, 1775.Symbol of American Patriotism and Disagreement with the Govt.



A Few Things You Can Do

1. Use Netflix Watch Instantly and RedBox (reserve online) instead of DVD rental places.

2. Buy a TV (HD or standard) with an HDMI video input. Perhaps a Sony Internet TV.

3. Watch the 2 minute Google TV video. Buy a Google TV box or a D-Link Boxee Box this Fall.

4. Cancel your cable and satellite TV. Use the web.Hulu, Blip.tv, TED, YouTube, DocuWiki… Explore!

5. Install BitTorrent, and download and seed rare or interesting creative commons licensed video.

6. Install the free Kaltura Open Source Video Platform on your website, if you use video.


http://www.netflix.com/BrowseGenres/Watch_Instantly/gev

http://www.redbox.com/

http://www.redbox.com/

http://discover.sonystyle.com/internettv/?XID=O:google%20tv:corp_internetTV_gglrsch

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The Television Will Be Revolutionized The iPad, Internet TV, and Web 3.0 (The Metaverse) TED x Del Mar, CA Jun 2010 John Smart, President, Acceleration