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Trade Less Profit More May 11, 2019 Active Trend Trading Dennis W. Wilborn Clarify, Simplify…Multiply

Trade Less Profit More€¦ · 1. Make trading decisions that will Clarify & Simplify 2. A few Tested Rules (4 Entry & 6 Exit Rules) 3. Apply Process over-and-over again –The Routine

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Page 1: Trade Less Profit More€¦ · 1. Make trading decisions that will Clarify & Simplify 2. A few Tested Rules (4 Entry & 6 Exit Rules) 3. Apply Process over-and-over again –The Routine

Trade Less – Profit More

May 11, 2019

Active Trend TradingDennis W. Wilborn

Clarify, Simplify…Multiply

Page 2: Trade Less Profit More€¦ · 1. Make trading decisions that will Clarify & Simplify 2. A few Tested Rules (4 Entry & 6 Exit Rules) 3. Apply Process over-and-over again –The Routine

Disclaimer

• U.S. Government Required Disclaimer – Commodity Futures Trading Commission Futures

and Options trading has large potential rewards, but also large potential risk. You must be aware of the risks and be willing to accept them in order to

invest in the futures and options markets.

Don’t trade with money you can’t afford to lose. This is neither a solicitation nor an offer to Buy/Sell futures or options. No representation is being made

that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those discussed in this training. The past performance of any trading system or

methodology is not necessarily indicative of future results.

• CFTC RULE 4.41 – HYPOTHETICAL OR SIMULATED PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE CERTAIN LIMITATIONS. UNLIKE AN ACTUAL

PERFORMANCE RECORD, SIMULATED RESULTS DO NOT REPRESENT ACTUAL TRADING. ALSO, SINCE THE TRADES HAVE NOT

BEEN EXECUTED, THE RESULTS MAY HAVE UNDER-OR-OVER COMPENSATED FOR THE IMPACT, IF ANY, OF CERTAIN MARKET

FACTORS, SUCH AS LACK OF LIQUIDITY. SIMULATED TRADING PROGRAMS IN GENERAL ARE ALSO SUBJECT TO THE FACT

THAT THEY ARE DESIGNED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT.

• NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE PROFIT OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO

THOSE SHOWN.

• All Materials presented are for training purposes only. Traders should paper trade any new method prior to risk of personal capital. Past

Performance is not a promise or guarantee of future performance.

Copyright ATTS 2007-2019

Page 3: Trade Less Profit More€¦ · 1. Make trading decisions that will Clarify & Simplify 2. A few Tested Rules (4 Entry & 6 Exit Rules) 3. Apply Process over-and-over again –The Routine

Copyright ATTS 2007-2019

Quality of Belief Determines Quality of Action —Faulty Beliefs Lead to Faulty Actions!

~ Active Trend Trading

Page 4: Trade Less Profit More€¦ · 1. Make trading decisions that will Clarify & Simplify 2. A few Tested Rules (4 Entry & 6 Exit Rules) 3. Apply Process over-and-over again –The Routine

If Only We Really Understood….

There are 4 Outcomes from every trade

1. Small Loss

2. Small Gain

3. Large Gain

4. Large Loss

A Solid “Rules Based” Mechanical System will eliminate most of the risk from #4

Clarify, Simplify…Multiply

Page 5: Trade Less Profit More€¦ · 1. Make trading decisions that will Clarify & Simplify 2. A few Tested Rules (4 Entry & 6 Exit Rules) 3. Apply Process over-and-over again –The Routine

If Only We Really Understood….

Eliminate Variables helps to Boost Consistency

What can we do to eliminate variables?

1. Make trading decisions that will Clarify & Simplify

2. A few Tested Rules (4 Entry & 6 Exit Rules)

3. Apply Process over-and-over again – The Routine

4. Limit Candidates to Stocks & ETFs that are Proven Performers

Clarify, Simplify…Multiply

Page 6: Trade Less Profit More€¦ · 1. Make trading decisions that will Clarify & Simplify 2. A few Tested Rules (4 Entry & 6 Exit Rules) 3. Apply Process over-and-over again –The Routine

Trade Less, Control More….

Magnificent 7 ETFs

3-5 Growth Stocks

Don’t Trade them All! How many? Choose 2-5 per Week

Clarify, Simplify…Multiply

Page 7: Trade Less Profit More€¦ · 1. Make trading decisions that will Clarify & Simplify 2. A few Tested Rules (4 Entry & 6 Exit Rules) 3. Apply Process over-and-over again –The Routine

Trade Less, Control More….

Don’t Trade them All! How many?

3 - Leveraged Index ETFs: Choose 1-2 (SPY, QQQ, IWM)

4 – Industry/Commodity Leveraged ETFs: Choose 2-3 (BioTech, Financial, Gold, Oil, Oil Exploration)

4-5 Core Stocks: Choose 2-3 (TSLA, NVDA, AMZN, PANW, NFLX, TEAM)

Which Ones?

The One’s you have time for! Not a lot of time: 1-4

Clarify, Simplify…Multiply

Page 8: Trade Less Profit More€¦ · 1. Make trading decisions that will Clarify & Simplify 2. A few Tested Rules (4 Entry & 6 Exit Rules) 3. Apply Process over-and-over again –The Routine

Copyright ATTS 2007-2019

JNUG 2017 Daily 3x Junior Gold Miners

57% - 9 days

56% - 13 days

62% - 30 days

61% - 27 days

$1000 Trading Capital would have grown to $2811 by capturing ½ of these 4 moves181% Gain

Page 9: Trade Less Profit More€¦ · 1. Make trading decisions that will Clarify & Simplify 2. A few Tested Rules (4 Entry & 6 Exit Rules) 3. Apply Process over-and-over again –The Routine

Copyright ATTS 2007-2019

JNUG

JNUG 2018 Daily 3x Junior Gold Miners

42.28% - 5 days

26.3% - 14 days

34.84% - 9 days 49.04% - 18 days$1000 Trading Capital would have grown to $2003 by capturing ½ of these 4 moves100% Gain

Page 10: Trade Less Profit More€¦ · 1. Make trading decisions that will Clarify & Simplify 2. A few Tested Rules (4 Entry & 6 Exit Rules) 3. Apply Process over-and-over again –The Routine

Copyright ATTS 2007-2019

JDST 2017 Daily 3x Inverse Junior Gold Miners

102% - 26 days

$1000 Trading Capital would have grown to $3225 by capturing ½ of these 4 moves222.5% Gain

107% - 22 days

42% - 25 days

30% - 9 days

Page 11: Trade Less Profit More€¦ · 1. Make trading decisions that will Clarify & Simplify 2. A few Tested Rules (4 Entry & 6 Exit Rules) 3. Apply Process over-and-over again –The Routine

Copyright ATTS 2007-2019

JDST 2018 Daily 3x Inverse Junior Gold Miners

69.27% - 17 days

$1000 Trading Capital would have grown to $1966 by capturing ½ of these 4 moves96.6% Gain

19.86% - 13 days22.94% - 14 days

38% - 8 days

Page 12: Trade Less Profit More€¦ · 1. Make trading decisions that will Clarify & Simplify 2. A few Tested Rules (4 Entry & 6 Exit Rules) 3. Apply Process over-and-over again –The Routine

Copyright ATTS 2007-2019

PANW 2018 Daily

29.05% - 30 Days$43

$1000 Trading Capital would have grown to $1535 by capturing ½ of these 5 moves53% Gain

12.35% - 8 Days$21.68

13.81% - 15 Days$28.20

-17.94% - 17 Days-$38.35

-16.74% - 12 Days-$32.19

$2000 Trading Capital would have grown to about $10,319.88 by capturing ½ of these 5 moves 415.99% Gain With 65 Delta Option Trades

Page 13: Trade Less Profit More€¦ · 1. Make trading decisions that will Clarify & Simplify 2. A few Tested Rules (4 Entry & 6 Exit Rules) 3. Apply Process over-and-over again –The Routine

Questions

Copyright ATTS 2007-2019

Page 14: Trade Less Profit More€¦ · 1. Make trading decisions that will Clarify & Simplify 2. A few Tested Rules (4 Entry & 6 Exit Rules) 3. Apply Process over-and-over again –The Routine

Gold Seasonality

Copyright ATTS 2007-2019