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Trade Less – Profit More
May 11, 2019
Active Trend TradingDennis W. Wilborn
Clarify, Simplify…Multiply
Disclaimer
• U.S. Government Required Disclaimer – Commodity Futures Trading Commission Futures
and Options trading has large potential rewards, but also large potential risk. You must be aware of the risks and be willing to accept them in order to
invest in the futures and options markets.
Don’t trade with money you can’t afford to lose. This is neither a solicitation nor an offer to Buy/Sell futures or options. No representation is being made
that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those discussed in this training. The past performance of any trading system or
methodology is not necessarily indicative of future results.
• CFTC RULE 4.41 – HYPOTHETICAL OR SIMULATED PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE CERTAIN LIMITATIONS. UNLIKE AN ACTUAL
PERFORMANCE RECORD, SIMULATED RESULTS DO NOT REPRESENT ACTUAL TRADING. ALSO, SINCE THE TRADES HAVE NOT
BEEN EXECUTED, THE RESULTS MAY HAVE UNDER-OR-OVER COMPENSATED FOR THE IMPACT, IF ANY, OF CERTAIN MARKET
FACTORS, SUCH AS LACK OF LIQUIDITY. SIMULATED TRADING PROGRAMS IN GENERAL ARE ALSO SUBJECT TO THE FACT
THAT THEY ARE DESIGNED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT.
• NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE PROFIT OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO
THOSE SHOWN.
• All Materials presented are for training purposes only. Traders should paper trade any new method prior to risk of personal capital. Past
Performance is not a promise or guarantee of future performance.
Copyright ATTS 2007-2019
Copyright ATTS 2007-2019
Quality of Belief Determines Quality of Action —Faulty Beliefs Lead to Faulty Actions!
~ Active Trend Trading
If Only We Really Understood….
There are 4 Outcomes from every trade
1. Small Loss
2. Small Gain
3. Large Gain
4. Large Loss
A Solid “Rules Based” Mechanical System will eliminate most of the risk from #4
Clarify, Simplify…Multiply
If Only We Really Understood….
Eliminate Variables helps to Boost Consistency
What can we do to eliminate variables?
1. Make trading decisions that will Clarify & Simplify
2. A few Tested Rules (4 Entry & 6 Exit Rules)
3. Apply Process over-and-over again – The Routine
4. Limit Candidates to Stocks & ETFs that are Proven Performers
Clarify, Simplify…Multiply
Trade Less, Control More….
Magnificent 7 ETFs
3-5 Growth Stocks
Don’t Trade them All! How many? Choose 2-5 per Week
Clarify, Simplify…Multiply
Trade Less, Control More….
Don’t Trade them All! How many?
3 - Leveraged Index ETFs: Choose 1-2 (SPY, QQQ, IWM)
4 – Industry/Commodity Leveraged ETFs: Choose 2-3 (BioTech, Financial, Gold, Oil, Oil Exploration)
4-5 Core Stocks: Choose 2-3 (TSLA, NVDA, AMZN, PANW, NFLX, TEAM)
Which Ones?
The One’s you have time for! Not a lot of time: 1-4
Clarify, Simplify…Multiply
Copyright ATTS 2007-2019
JNUG 2017 Daily 3x Junior Gold Miners
57% - 9 days
56% - 13 days
62% - 30 days
61% - 27 days
$1000 Trading Capital would have grown to $2811 by capturing ½ of these 4 moves181% Gain
Copyright ATTS 2007-2019
JNUG
JNUG 2018 Daily 3x Junior Gold Miners
42.28% - 5 days
26.3% - 14 days
34.84% - 9 days 49.04% - 18 days$1000 Trading Capital would have grown to $2003 by capturing ½ of these 4 moves100% Gain
Copyright ATTS 2007-2019
JDST 2017 Daily 3x Inverse Junior Gold Miners
102% - 26 days
$1000 Trading Capital would have grown to $3225 by capturing ½ of these 4 moves222.5% Gain
107% - 22 days
42% - 25 days
30% - 9 days
Copyright ATTS 2007-2019
JDST 2018 Daily 3x Inverse Junior Gold Miners
69.27% - 17 days
$1000 Trading Capital would have grown to $1966 by capturing ½ of these 4 moves96.6% Gain
19.86% - 13 days22.94% - 14 days
38% - 8 days
Copyright ATTS 2007-2019
PANW 2018 Daily
29.05% - 30 Days$43
$1000 Trading Capital would have grown to $1535 by capturing ½ of these 5 moves53% Gain
12.35% - 8 Days$21.68
13.81% - 15 Days$28.20
-17.94% - 17 Days-$38.35
-16.74% - 12 Days-$32.19
$2000 Trading Capital would have grown to about $10,319.88 by capturing ½ of these 5 moves 415.99% Gain With 65 Delta Option Trades
Questions
Copyright ATTS 2007-2019
Gold Seasonality
Copyright ATTS 2007-2019