United States Department of Agriculture Foreign Agricultural … · 2018-10-17 · United States Department of Agriculture Foreign Agricultural Service ... Month Ending Argentina

United States Department of Agriculture Foreign Agricultural Service

Grain: World Markets and Trade

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October 2018

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U.S. Corn Outstanding Sales (end of September)

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U.S. Corn Exports (October-September)

U.S. Corn Exports Forecast to Tie Record

Strong foreign demand, a continued lack of competition, and abundant supplies are expected to brighten export prospects well into 2018/19 (Oct-Sep). U.S. exports are currently forecast at 62.5 million tons, tying the record from 2017/18.

Early season sales of new-crop corn have been robust. As of the end of September, sales were up sharply from a year ago, and now represent nearly a quarter of the current forecast. Strong sales in the early season do not necessarily lead to strong exports throughout the year, e.g. 2017/18. However, they do shed light on trade dynamics responding to the global feed grain market situation. Combined global wheat and barley production is forecast to decline 3 percent from a year ago due to damage from hot and dry weather, tightening exportable supplies available to the world market. This may have triggered the rush for corn purchases to ensure adequate alternatives in feed rations. U.S. exports are raised this month reflecting higher expected demand for Mexico, and exports for Russia are lowered due to a smaller crop. Moreover, developments surrounding the minimum freight rate in Brazil and the new tax scheme on agricultural exports including corn in Argentina add uncertainties to their export outlook. Much of Ukraine’s corn is expected to find a home in Europe where alternative feedstuffs are needed to mitigate the impact of smaller wheat and barley supplies. U.S. corn prices have remained competitive for much of 2018. With larger-than-anticipated stocks of old crop reported in USDA-NASS’s Grain Stocks and the forecast near-record new crop on the way, the United States has abundant supplies to meet rising global feed demand. For this year, at least, large early season sales bode well for another year of near-record exports.



Table of Contents

World Markets and Trade: Commodities and Data

WHEAT ....................................................................................................... 3

RICE ........................................................................................................... 9

COARSE GRAINS .................................................................................... 13

ENDNOTES .............................................................................................. 16

DATA TABLES ......................................................................................... 19

The Foreign Agricultural Service (FAS) updates its production, supply and distribution (PSD) database for cotton, oilseeds, and grains at 12:00 p.m. on the day the World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates (WASDE) report is released. This circular is released by 12:15 p.m. To download the tables in the publication, go to Production, Supply and Distribution Database (PSD Online): scroll down to Reports, and Click the plus sign [+] next to Grains.

FAS Reports and Databases:

Current World Markets and Trade and World Agricultural Production Reports Archives World Markets and Trade and World Agricultural Production Reports Production, Supply and Distribution Database (PSD Online) Global Agricultural Trade System (U.S. Exports and Imports) Export Sales Report Global Agricultural Information Network (Agricultural Attaché Reports) Other USDA Reports: World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates (WASDE) Economic Research Service National Agricultural Statistics Service

Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA 2 October 2018Office of Global Analysis

http://apps.fas.usda.gov/psdonline/psdHome.aspx

http://apps.fas.usda.gov/psdonline/psdDataPublications.aspx



http://usda.mannlib.cornell.edu/MannUsda/viewTaxonomy.do?taxonomyID=7

http://apps.fas.usda.gov/psdonline/psdHome.aspx

http://apps.fas.usda.gov/gats/default.aspx

http://apps.fas.usda.gov/esrquery/

http://gain.fas.usda.gov/Pages/Default.aspx

http://www.usda.gov/oce/commodity/wasde/

http://www.ers.usda.gov/topics/crops

http://www.nass.usda.gov/Publications/

WHEAT

WHEAT PRICES

Domestic: In contrast to the global situation, U.S. wheat prices were down in September on a slow pace of exports, plentiful supplies, and favorable weather conditions ahead of winter plantings. Hard Red Winter (HRW) declined $10/ton to $237, Soft Red Winter (SRW) was down $11/ton to $213, and Soft White Winter (SWW) weakened $4/ton to $231. Hard Red Spring (HRS) was down $15/ton to $249.

Source: IGC

OVERVIEW FOR 2018/19 Global wheat production and trade are down this month mainly from reduced crops in Australia and Russia. Imports are lowered for Azerbaijan, Bangladesh, and Nigeria. Exports are forecast down for Australia, while Russia is unchanged this month. The U.S. season-average farm price is unchanged at $5.10 per bushel.

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U.S. Daily FOB Export Bids

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U.S. Daily FOB Export Bids

HRW SRW SWW HRS


Global: Exporter prices were mixed in September. Argentine, Canadian, EU, and U.S. prices were down, while Australian and Black Sea quotes rose. Australia’s drought has resulted in a smaller crop, leaving Australian wheat increasingly uncompetitive for exports, and therefore keeping supplies for domestic use. The price spread between U.S. and Black Sea narrowed as the United States has plentiful supplies, making it more competitive on the international wheat market.

Month Ending Argentina Australia Black Sea Canada EU US

September $230 $320 $227 $263 $237 $237

August $240 $315 $225 $265 $243 $247

July $240 $280 $223 $265 $246 $254 Month Ending Prices for Major Wheat Exporters Source: IGC Note on FOB prices: Argentina- 12.0%, up river; Australia- average of APW; Fremantle, Newcastle, and Port Adelaide; Black Sea- milling; Canada- CWRS 13.5% St. Lawrence; EU- France grade 1, Rouen; US- HRW 11.5% Gulf

International Daily FOB Export Bids

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Argentina Australia Black Sea milling Canada EU United States

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MARKET FEATURES

Robust Russian Wheat Exports, in Spite of Smaller Crop Russia is off to a fast start in 2018/19 with exports to date already 30 percent more in the first 3 months than last year. Russian wheat exports are forecast at 35.0 million tons based on adequate supplies and strong global demand. Despite having lower production compared to last year’s record-setting crop, Russia’s wheat crop is still the third largest on record. Additionally, Russia has sufficient carryover supplies, resulting in the most competitively priced wheat for export. Due to poor weather conditions, many of the global wheat exporters have smaller crops and are expected to export less this year. Currently Australia is experiencing a drought which has led to more wheat being kept for domestic consumption instead of the export market. The European Union has a small crop due to dry conditions in northern growing regions during the key growing season. This has allowed Russia to gain more market share in Asia and Africa, which are traditionally supplied by these two exporters. With the supplies and prices to attract international buyers, Russia is poised to fill this international demand vacated by other wheat exporters. In addition to Russia’s ample supplies and ability to export large quantities of grain (similar to last year), it also renewed an export transportation subsidy for the new crop year. This would signal that Russia is prepared to continue supplying the global wheat market in the near future. As the year progresses, Russian exports are likely to slow based on winter weather conditions, which often make grain transportation challenging. This is expected to boost exports for other competitors (notably the United States and the European Union).

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Russia Wheat Exports Forecast Second Highest On Record

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Strong Start to Russian Wheat Exports

2016/17 2017/18 2018/19 (Est.)


U.S. Wheat Exports Forecast to Rebound in 2018/19

Export Sales Down, but Rebound Expected: U.S. exports are expected to recover from a slow start at the beginning of the year as competitor supplies become tighter. Total commitments (accumulated exports plus outstanding sales) as of September 27 are down 19 percent from last year. This is primarily lower shipments of Hard Red Winter wheat, although Hard Red Spring and White are also down. Nevertheless, total U.S. exports are still forecast up with the expectation that a larger share of global demand will shift to U.S. wheat later in the year. Exports Slow to Several Key Markets: The country representing the largest drop in U.S. commitments from last year is China due to the 25 percent duty that has been levied against U.S. wheat. The next largest drop is exports to Mexico in light of stiff competition from Canada and Russia in recent months, leaving less demand for U.S. wheat. Russia’s torrid pace of exports in the first few months of the new marketing year has also taken a bite out of U.S. exports to several Asian countries, particularly Indonesia. Exports to Mexico and Indonesia are likely to improve later in the year as U.S. wheat becomes more competitively priced. Shipments to China are unlikely to pick up unless the duty against U.S. wheat is removed. On the other hand, wheat shipments to Iraq are off to a fast start this year and could provide a further boost to U.S. exports throughout the year.

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Accumulated Exports Outstanding Sales

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Year-to-Year Changes in Total Commitments to Top Ten U.S. Markets

Total U.S. Wheat Export Commitments Down,

but Expected to Bounce Back


Factors Influencing U.S. Competitiveness Later in the Marketing Year: Despite the weak early pace of U.S. exports, the continued rise in global consumption is a key factor supporting the U.S. export forecast. Food consumption of wheat continues to rise, more than offsetting reduced use for feeding. Consequently, global trade is down only slightly from last year’s record. Exports for most of the major U.S. wheat competitors are forecast lower, leaving an opportunity for U.S. wheat to play a key role in backfilling demand. The unrelenting pace of Russia’s exports has made U.S. wheat less competitive in recent months, but those exports are likely to slow in the next few months. Russian exports are normally front-loaded in the first half of the marketing year, which is likely to be the case in 2018/19. Russia is likely to keep a grip on nearby markets such as Egypt and Turkey, but its export competitiveness to Latin America and Africa could diminish later in the year. Similar to the U.S. wheat situation, exports for the European Union are also off to a slow start. The EU wheat crop is down significantly from last year and its prices have not been competitive with Black Sea wheat. Later in the year, however, the slowing Russian shipments should put the European Union in a better position to regain market share in Africa and the Middle East. Canada is the only major U.S. competitor expected to export more wheat this year. With protein in high supply in North America, Canadian wheat has been competitively priced and has won a larger share in some Latin American markets, particularly Brazil and Mexico. Going forward, this competition is likely to continue. In light of China’s retaliatory tariffs on U.S. wheat, Canada’s share of exports to China will likely continue to be strong. However, this could create opportunities for U.S. wheat elsewhere as more Canadian wheat is diverted to this destination. Australia is expected to have the lowest exports in about a decade as a result of widespread drought. Australia is largely priced out of international markets as some wheat is being diverted from export channels for domestic use. This could be a major opportunity for U.S. wheat to fill demand in Asian markets. For more information on Australia’s wheat production, see World Agricultural Production. Argentina is expecting another bumper crop and is expected to have very competitively priced wheat as a depreciated currency largely offsets the impact of the recently imposed export tax. Once its harvest arrives later this year, Argentina is likely to continue as the dominant supplier of wheat to Brazil. However, recent U.S. sales to Brazil could indicate a window to supply that market for a month or two before the Argentine crop reaches the market. Depending on the quality of Argentine wheat, U.S. and Canadian suppliers may also have an opportunity to supply higher protein wheat for blending. During peak export months (December through March), Argentina will likely seek out additional markets in Africa and Asia, partially filling in for reduced Australian exports.


https://apps.fas.usda.gov/psdonline/circulars/production.pdf

https://apps.fas.usda.gov/psdonline/circulars/production.pdf

TRADE CHANGES IN 2018/19 (1,000 MT)

Country Attribute Previous Current Change Reason

Australia Exports 14,000 13,000 -1,000 Reduced crop due to drought; higher prices have left Australia uncompetitive

Azerbaijan Imports 1,700 1,300 -400 Lower than expected domestic consumption

Bangladesh Imports 7,000 6,500 -500 Reduced human consumption as wheat prices increase

Nigeria Imports 5,400 5,200 -200 Lower food use in light of higher prices and reduced 17/18 consumption

TRADE CHANGES IN 2017/18 (1,000 MT) Changes based on trade data

Country Attribute Previous Current Change

Turkey Imports 6,400 6,200 -200


RICE

RICE PRICES

Asian: Over the past month, Thai quotes continued to climb to $409/ton, supported by the

currency and improved prospects to export large volumes to the Philippines. Demand from

Southeast Asia was also a key factor in supporting Vietnamese quotes, now at $398/ton.

Pakistani quotes are relatively steady at $385/ton, whereas Indian quotes have become even

more competitive at $375/ton on slow buying interest. This is the lowest Indian quote in more

than a year and a half.

*Note on FOB prices: Thailand - 100B, India - 5%, Vietnam - 5%, Pakistan 5%

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Weekly Asian FOB Export Quotes: Last 2 Years

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OVERVIEW FOR 2018/19 Global rice production is raised this month on a larger crop in India, partially offset by a reduction in the crop in Egypt. Nonetheless, production is still forecast lower than the prior year’s record. Global consumption is forecast marginally higher. Ending stocks are raised from last month. Trade is largely unchanged as higher imports for the Philippines are mostly offset by lower imports for China.

OVERVIEW FOR 2017/18

Global rice production and consumption are both adjusted marginally lower this month. Global ending stocks are raised. Global trade is nearly unchanged with offsetting changes.


Western Hemisphere: U.S. FOB export quotes for long-grain milled rice (bagged) have

continued to decline to $545/ton as the larger new crop has become available, with over 70

percent of the crop harvested. However, quotes remain above South American suppliers such

as Uruguay ($520/ton) and Brazil ($480/ton). Western Hemisphere prices remain above Asian

prices.

*Note on FOB prices: United States - #2/4 (long grain), Uruguay - 5%, Brazil 5%

MARKET FEATURES

Brazil Reasserts Role as Top South American Exporter

Brazil is the top Western Hemisphere rice producer and consumer. It is also a significant import

market, and in fact a net importer as recently as 2016 and 2017. However, this year with more

ample supplies, Brazil is reverting to its position as not only a net exporter but also as the top

South American supplier to the global market. Brazil is forecast to export 1 million tons (milled

basis) in 2018, declining to 850,000 tons in 2019 on rising competition from Paraguay, Guyana,

and Argentina. In the first 9 months of the year, nearly half of exports have been as paddy rice,

challenging U.S. export opportunities in Venezuela, Costa Rica, and Nicaragua. Brazilian milled

rice is mostly shipped to Latin America, whereas broken rice is destined for West Africa.

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Brazil Rice Exports by Type Product Weight Basis

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Paddy (HS 100610) Milled (HS 100630)

Broken (HS 100640) Brown (HS 100620)

Source: IHS Markit


Record Egyptian Rice Imports amid Smallest Crop in 20 Years

Egypt is facing the prospect of record rice imports as a consequence of strictly enforced

limitations on area permitted for rice cultivation. Historically, Egypt has cultivated rice along the

Nile Delta region, and until recently was a net exporter. However, as a result of concerns about

water usage, the government set and enforced area restrictions. Rice production in 2018/19 is

down by more than a third from the prior year, the lowest since 1998/99. Tight supplies have

curtailed domestic consumption.

These policies to restrict domestic rice production have a global impact. The medium-grain

market is very thinly traded, and Egypt has largely abdicated its role as an exporter over the

past few years. Moreover, Australia’s production is forecast to decline for a second consecutive

year. Egypt became a net importer in 2017/18 with the government indicating further

willingness to import rice, even in its paddy form. Following the last severe reduction in area in

2010/11, the 2011/12 imports were around 300,000 tons and largely supplied by India as milled

rice. Ongoing efforts to address phytosanitary issues may provide an opportunity for U.S. rice

to be supplied to the market. This potential to export to a former competitor is a significant

reversal in the medium grain market. For further details, please see the September 2018 Egypt

Grain and Feed Update and the October 2018 World Agricultural Production reports.

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https://gain.fas.usda.gov/Recent%20GAIN%20Publications/Grain%20and%20Feed%20Update_Cairo_Egypt_9-9-2018.pdf

https://gain.fas.usda.gov/Recent%20GAIN%20Publications/Grain%20and%20Feed%20Update_Cairo_Egypt_9-9-2018.pdf

http://usda.mannlib.cornell.edu/usda/fas/worldag-production/2010s/2018/worldag-production-10-11-2018.pdf

TRADE CHANGES IN 2019 (1,000 MT)


China Imports 5,500

5,000 -500 Lower imports from Southeast Asian suppliers amid higher tariffs

Philippines Imports 1,200

1,800 600 Augmented purchases to boost stocks

Brazil Exports 750

850 100 Larger crop

Burma Exports 3,200

3,000 -200 Reduced competitiveness with high domestic prices

China Exports 1,800

1,900 100 More exportable supplies

TRADE CHANGES IN 2018 (1,000 MT)


China Imports 5,500

5,000 -500 Slowing pace of trade

European Union Imports 1,900

2,000 100 Strong pace to date

Philippines Imports 1,400

1,900 500 Recent tenders

Burma Exports 3,100

3,000 -100 Slower pace of sales, especially within the region

China Exports 1,600

1,700 100 Steadily rising shipments, particularly to Africa


COARSE GRAINS

CORN PRICES

Global: Corn prices have changed slightly since the previous WASDE. Both Argentine and Brazilian bids were down $1/ton and $3/ton to $163 and $172, respectively, on slow foreign demand. Black Sea bids were down $10/ton to $169 reflecting ample supplies and slow exports by Ukraine. U.S. bids were bounced back to $165, the same as a month ago, reflecting concerns over harvest delays in the Midwest and continued strong sales and shipments.

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Corn Daily DOB Export Bids

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OVERVIEW FOR 2018/19 Global corn production is down this month with smaller crops for the United States and Russia more than offsetting gains for Egypt, Mali, and Kenya. Global trade, currently forecast at a record, is up marginally as greater exports by Serbia and the United States more than offset smaller Russian exports. The U.S. season-average farm price is unchanged at $3.50 per bushel, supported by projected record use.


MARKET FEATURE

U.S. DDGS, At A Glance

1 2

Corn use for fuel ethanol in the United States (Sep-Aug) has steadily inched up, resulting in greater volumes of Distiller's Dried Grains with Solubles (DDGS). Distillers grains are the primary co-products from corn dry milling ethanol plants. DDGS are created after the starch portion of corn is fermented; alcohol is removed through a distillation process; and then dried, giving its name. This creates unique characteristics in which DDGS can be used as both a protein and energy ingredient in animal feed rations. While much of production is used in the U.S. domestic market, roughly a quarter of production is consumed overseas, supported by growing feed demand in the global market. In recent years, DDGS use has increased exponentially in Mexico and Turkey, as well as the European Union, Vietnam, and South Korea. The right chart above shows the top DDGS importers and their total feed use growth. While total feed growth fluctuates by country, the share of DDGS in their feed mix remains robust. More importantly, the U.S. share of each DDGS import market, indicated by the red pie, accentuates the dominant position that the United States enjoys. This is due to the size of the dry milling ethanol industry, which results in an over 90 percent global market share. Despite heightened competition from other feed ingredients, 2017/18 U.S. DDGS exports were still up slightly compared to 2016/17. For 2018/19, with another record crop projected, corn use for fuel ethanol production is forecast slightly up, at 2 percent. This will increase DDGS supplies, and potentially support DDGS exports as well.

1 Import data from Global Trade Atlas, using reported data. Vietnam imports are derived from global exporter data. Size of bubble

indicates YTD (Oct-Jul) imports. Red portion of each bubble indicates U.S. share of imported DDGS. Total feed includes Feed and Residual estimates for all available grains, and SME estimates for all available oilmeals, all from the PSD database. Annual Growth represents 2017/18 over 2016/17 estimates. DDGS Portion based on 2016/17 (Oct-Sep) DDGS imports to 2016/17 total feeding (grains and oilmeal) PSD estimates. * DDGS production estimates are available at NASS from October 2014, which is outside the scope of the current study. Hence, we use the derived production estimates using Ethanol Fuel estimates from the latest Feed Outlook, by the Economic Research Service. Conversion rate of DDGS from ethanol production is roughly 30%, based on U.S. Grains Council DDGS User Handbook.

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Annual Total Feed Use Growth, Percentage

2017/18 Feed Growth and DDGS Imports


https://www.ers.usda.gov/publications/pub-details/?pubid=90124


Country Commodity Attribute Previous Current Change Reason

European Union

Barley Exports 5,500 5,300 -200 Smaller crop

Iran Barley Imports 3,300 3,000 -300 Tighter supplies in the EU and Russia, top suppliers

Israel Corn Imports 1,400 1,700 300 Competitive prices relative to other feedstuffs

Libya Barley Imports 500 300 -200 Tighter supplies in the EU and Russia, top suppliers

Mexico

Corn Imports 16,200 16,700 500 Reflects strong sales of U.S. yellow corn

Sorghum Imports 2,000 1,500 -500 Slow U.S. sales and inspections

Russia

Barley Exports 5,300 4,500 -800 Smaller crop

Corn Exports 4,000 3,000 -1,000 Smaller crop

Serbia Corn Exports 2,500 2,700 200 Larger crop

Tunisia Barley Imports 600 400 -200 Tighter supplies in the EU and Russia, top suppliers

United States

Corn Exports 61,000 62,500 1,500 Strong early-season sales and shipments

Sorghum Exports 4,500 4,000 -500 Slow sales and inspections


Country Commodity Attribute Previous Current Change

Brazil Corn Exports 24,500 25,182 682

Canada Corn Exports 1,750 1,950 200

India Corn Exports 800 1,000 200

Iran Corn Imports 8,000 8,300 300

Israel Corn Imports 1,600 1,800 200

Korea, South Corn Imports 9,800 10,000 200

Libya Corn Imports 800 600 -200

Nigeria Corn Imports 400 200 -200

Russia Corn Exports 5,300 5,500 200

Turkey Corn Imports 2,500 2,900 400


ENDNOTES

REGIONAL TABLES North America: Canada, Mexico, the United States Central America: Belize, Costa Rica, El Salvador, Guatemala, Honduras, Nicaragua, Panama Caribbean: Anguilla, Antigua and Barbuda, Aruba, Bahamas, Barbados, Bermuda, British Virgin Islands, Cayman Islands, Cuba, Dominica, Dominican Republic, French West Indies, Grenada, Guadeloupe, Haiti, Jamaica and Dep, Leeward-Windward Islands, Martinique, Montserrat, Netherlands Antilles, Puerto Rico, Kitts and Nevis, St. Lucia, St. Vincent and the Grenadines, Trinidad and Tobago, Turks and Caicos Islands, U.S. Virgin Islands South America: Argentina, Bolivia, Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Ecuador, Falkland Islands (Islas Malvinas), French Guiana, Guyana, Paraguay, Peru, Suriname, Uruguay, Venezuela EU: Austria, Belgium/Luxembourg, Bulgaria, Croatia, Cyprus, Czech Republic, Denmark, Estonia, Finland, France, Germany, Greece, Hungary, Ireland, Italy, Latvia, Lithuania, Malta, Netherlands, Poland, Portugal, Romania, Slovakia, Slovenia, Spain, Sweden, United Kingdom Other Europe: Albania, Azores, Bosnia and Herzegovina, Former Yugoslavia, Gibraltar, Iceland, Macedonia, Montenegro, Norway, Serbia, Switzerland Former Soviet Union: Armenia, Azerbaijan, Belarus, Georgia, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Moldova, Russia, Tajikistan, Turkmenistan, Ukraine, Uzbekistan Middle East: Bahrain, Iran, Iraq, Israel, Jordan, Kuwait, Lebanon, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, Syria, Turkey, United Arab Emirates, Yemen North Africa: Algeria, Egypt, Libya, Morocco, Tunisia Sub-Saharan Africa: all African countries except North Africa East Asia: China, Hong Kong, Japan, South Korea, North Korea, Macau, Mongolia, Taiwan South Asia: Afghanistan, Bangladesh, Bhutan, India, Nepal, Pakistan, Sri Lanka, Maldives Southeast Asia: Brunei, Burma, Cambodia, Indonesia, Laos, Malaysia, Philippines, Singapore, Thailand, Vietnam Oceania: Australia, Fiji, New Zealand, Papua New Guinea


OTHER NOTES Local Marketing Years (LMY): LMY refers to the 12-month period at the onset of the main harvest, when the crop is marketed (i.e., consumed, traded, or stored). The year first listed begins a country's LMY for that commodity (2016/17 starts in 2016); except for summer grains in certain Southern Hemisphere countries and for rice in selected countries, where the second year begins the LMY (2016/17 starts in 2017). Key exporter LMY’s are:

Wheat Corn Barley Sorghum

Argentina (Dec/Nov) Argentina (Mar/Feb) Australia (Nov/Oct) Argentina (Mar/Feb)

Australia (Oct/Sep) Brazil (Mar/Feb) Canada (Aug/Jul) Australia (Mar/Feb)

Canada (Aug/Jul) China (Oct/Sep) European Union (Jul/Jun) United States (Sep/Aug)

China (Jul/Jun) South Africa (May/Apr) Russia (Jul/Jun)

European Union (Jul/Jun) United States (Sep/Aug) Ukraine (Jul/Jun)

India (Apr/Mar) United States (Jun/May)

Kazakhstan (Jul/Jun)

Russia(Jul/Jun)

Turkey (Jun/May)

Ukraine (Jul/Jun)

United States (Jun/May)

For a complete list of local marketing years, please see the FAS website http://www.fas.usda.gov/psdonline/psdAvailability.aspx Stocks: Unless otherwise stated, stock data are based on an aggregate of differing local marketing years and should not be construed as representing world stock levels at a fixed point in time. Consumption: World totals for consumption reflect total utilization, including food, seed, industrial, feed, and waste; as well as differences in local marketing year imports and local marketing year exports. Consumption statistics for regions and individual countries, however, reflect food, seed, industrial, feed, and waste only. Trade: All PSD tables are balanced on the different local marketing years. All trade tables contain Trade Year (TY) data which puts all countries on a uniform, 12-month period for analytical comparisons: wheat is July/June; coarse grains, corn, barley, sorghum, oats, and rye are Oct/Sept; and rice is calendar year. EU Consolidation: The trade figures starting from 1999/00 represent the European Union (Croatia plus the former EU-27) and exclude all intra-trade. For the years 1960/61 through 1998/99, figures are the EU-15 and also exclude all intra-trade. EU-15 member states' data for grains are no longer maintained in the official USDA database. Data for the individual NMS-10, plus Bulgaria, Romania, and Croatia, exists only prior to 1999/00. Statistics: (1) Wheat trade statistics include wheat, flour, and selected pasta products on a grain equivalent basis. (2) Rice trade statistics include rough, brown, milled, and broken on a milled equivalent basis. (3) Coarse grains statistics include corn, barley, sorghum, oats, rye, millet, and mixed grains but exclude trade in barley malt, millet, and mixed grains. Unaccounted: This term includes grain in transit, reporting discrepancies in some countries, and trade to countries outside the USDA database.


http://www.fas.usda.gov/psdonline/psdAvailability.aspx

The Global Commodity Analysis Division, Office of Global Analysis, Foreign Agricultural Service, USDA, Washington, DC 20250, prepared this circular. Information is gathered from official statistics of foreign governments and other foreign source materials, reports of U.S. agricultural attachés and Foreign Service officers, office research, and related information. Further information may be obtained by writing the Division or telephoning (202) 720-3448. Note: The previous report in this series was Grain: World Markets and Trade September 2018. For further details on world grain production, please see World Agricultural Production October 2018. This circular is available in its entirety on the Internet via the Foreign Agricultural Service Home Page. The address is: http://www.fas.usda.gov

Andrew Sowell (202) 720-0262 [email protected] Wheat Shelbi Knisley (202) 690-2361 [email protected] Wheat Rachel Trego (202) 720-1073 [email protected] Rice/Wheat Yoonhee Macke (202) 690-4199 [email protected] Coarse Grains Justin Choe (202) 690-4062 [email protected] Coarse Grains


https://www.fas.usda.gov/data/grain-world-markets-and-trade

https://www.fas.usda.gov/data/world-agricultural-production

http://www.fas.usda.gov/

mailto:[email protected]





DATA TABLES

Page Intentionally Left Blank


All Grain Summary Comparison

Million Metric Tons

Marketing Year

Wheat Rice, Milled Corn

2018/192017/182016/172018/192017/182016/172018/192017/182016/17

Production

United States (Jun-May) 62.8 47.3 51.3 7.1 5.7 6.9 384.8 371.0 375.4

Other 689.3 711.4 679.6 480.3 485.8 480.9 693.5 663.2 692.9

World Total 752.1 758.7 730.9 487.4 491.5 487.8 1,078.3 1,034.2 1,068.3

Domestic Consumption


Other 703.1 709.9 711.9 473.2 477.9 481.5 722.2 751.5 776.9

World Total 735.0 739.2 743.0 477.4 482.2 485.7 1,036.0 1,065.3 1,099.0

Ending Stocks


Other 225.2 245.0 234.2 135.4 145.0 143.8 169.5 143.8 113.2

World Total 257.3 274.9 260.2 136.9 145.9 145.2 227.8 198.2 159.3

TY Imports


Other 175.8 174.0 173.9 44.4 45.2 45.9 137.8 148.3 153.6

World Total 179.1 178.4 177.7 45.2 46.1 46.8 139.3 149.2 154.9

TY Exports


Other 153.0 159.4 151.8 44.8 46.0 46.5 86.1 88.5 96.1

World Total 182.3 182.5 180.8 48.1 49.0 49.7 141.7 151.0 158.6

Note: Consumption in this table has not been adjusted for differences in marketing year imports and

exports and therefore differs from global totals shown elsewhere.Marketing years for U.S. grains are:

Wheat (Jun-May), Rice (Aug-Jul), Corn (Sep-Aug).'Marketing Year' column is germane for U.S. wheat

only.


World Wheat, Flour, and Products Trade

July/June Year, Thousand Metric Tons

2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19

Sep

2018/19

Oct

none

TY Exports

13,50013,50013,57512,2758,7504,200 Argentina

13,00014,00015,51222,06115,78016,575 Australia

24,00024,00021,98920,23522,11824,883 Canada

1,2001,2001,000748729803 China

23,00023,00023,29027,42634,76335,455 European Union

8,5008,5008,5007,2507,6005,507 Kazakhstan

35,00035,00041,41927,80925,54322,800 Russia

1,5001,5008401,077907593 Serbia

6,0006,0006,2186,1775,6054,135 Turkey

16,50016,50017,77518,10717,43111,269 Ukraine

9,6039,5989,2759,76810,91812,716 Others

151,803152,798159,393152,933150,144138,936 Subtotal

29,00029,00023,06729,31921,81723,023 United States

180,803181,798182,460182,252171,961161,959 World Total

none

TY Imports

3,5003,5002,6002,7002,7002,000 Afghanistan

7,2007,2008,1728,4148,1537,257 Algeria

6,5007,0006,1505,5564,7203,929 Bangladesh

7,5007,5006,7027,7885,9225,869 Brazil

4,5004,5004,0004,4103,4761,926 China

2,0002,0001,9572,1102,0321,627 Colombia

12,50012,50012,40711,17511,92511,300 Egypt

6,0006,0005,8245,2996,9285,979 European Union

10,50010,50010,51610,17610,0457,477 Indonesia

3,5003,5004,1082,4462,2182,253 Iraq

5,8005,8005,8765,9115,7155,878 Japan

2,0002,0002,1571,7741,6341,507 Kenya

4,1004,1004,2694,6674,4203,942 Korea, South

5,6005,6005,2455,3704,8054,471 Mexico

3,0003,0003,6405,1914,5034,086 Morocco

5,2005,4005,0854,9724,4104,244 Nigeria

2,0502,0502,0301,9611,8791,922 Peru

5,8005,8005,9875,7044,9185,054 Philippines

3,4003,4003,4403,7162,9313,499 Saudi Arabia

2,5002,6002,5782,4582,0212,632 Sudan

3,3003,3003,0983,6894,8723,492 Thailand

4,5004,5006,2004,5424,4055,960 Turkey

3,2003,2003,1002,7002,6622,230 Uzbekistan

4,8004,8004,6555,5353,0702,292 Vietnam

3,0003,0003,0093,2783,3323,245 Yemen

52,01652,69151,19254,28751,92750,756 Others

173,966175,441173,997175,829165,623154,827 Subtotal

3,0872,6574,1053,1293,2813,143 Unaccounted

3,7503,7004,3583,2943,0573,989 United States

180,803181,798182,460182,252171,961161,959 World Total

TY=Trade Year, see Endnotes.


World Wheat Production, Consumption, and Stocks

Local Marketing Years, Thousand Metric Tons

2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19

Sep

2018/19

Oct

none

Production

19,50019,50018,50018,40011,30013,930 Argentina

18,50020,00021,30031,81922,27523,743 Australia

31,50031,50029,98432,14027,64729,442 Canada

128,000128,000129,770128,845130,190126,208 China

8,4508,4508,4508,1008,1008,300 Egypt

137,500137,500151,681145,369160,480156,912 European Union

99,70099,70098,51087,00086,53095,850 India

14,50014,50014,00014,50014,50013,000 Iran

15,00015,00014,80214,98513,74812,996 Kazakhstan

8,2008,2007,0922,7318,0645,116 Morocco

26,30026,30026,67425,63325,08625,979 Pakistan

70,00071,00084,99272,52961,04459,080 Russia

19,00019,00021,00017,25019,50015,250 Turkey

25,50025,50026,98126,79127,27424,750 Ukraine

6,0006,0006,9006,9407,2007,150 Uzbekistan

51,98551,77050,75756,21856,91155,409 Others

679,635681,920711,393689,250679,849673,115 Subtotal

51,28751,07847,34562,83356,11755,147 United States

730,922732,998758,738752,083735,966728,262 World Total

none

Total Consumption

10,60010,60010,45010,35010,25010,050 Algeria

12,10012,10012,00012,20011,10010,700 Brazil

9,0009,0009,15610,8037,9699,118 Canada

122,000122,000117,000118,500112,000116,500 China

20,10020,10019,80019,40019,20019,100 Egypt

125,000125,000130,400128,000129,850124,677 European Union

98,00098,00095,83497,12088,55193,102 India

10,60010,60010,60010,0009,1007,365 Indonesia

17,10017,10016,90016,75016,60016,400 Iran

10,60010,60010,40010,2009,8009,000 Morocco

25,30025,30025,00024,50024,40024,500 Pakistan

40,50040,50044,00040,00037,00035,500 Russia

18,00018,00018,00017,40018,00017,500 Turkey

9,2009,2009,80010,30012,20011,500 Ukraine

9,7009,7009,7009,3009,3508,900 Uzbekistan

174,098174,628170,826168,279160,872154,127 Others

714,521714,707711,818707,353678,863672,798 Subtotal

31,08031,35329,32931,86431,94431,328 United States

745,601746,060741,147739,217710,807704,126 World Total

none

Ending Stocks

5,1305,1306,1806,8565,1787,101 Canada

136,119136,119126,819111,04997,04276,105 China

10,04910,06214,54910,73415,49212,697 European Union

14,60314,60313,2039,80014,54017,220 India

5,4035,4034,8534,5446,8564,281 Morocco

4,6334,6404,8284,3513,8153,710 Pakistan

5,8686,87210,86810,8305,6076,287 Russia

52,34253,01763,64766,96869,31571,360 Others

234,147235,846244,947225,132217,845198,761 Subtotal

26,02825,44829,90732,13126,55220,477 United States

260,175261,294274,854257,263244,397219,238 World Total


Regional Wheat Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks

Thousand Metric Tons

2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18

Sep

2018/19

Oct

2018/19

TY Imports none

9,004 North America 8,373 9,167 10,048 9,750 9,800

1,834 Central America 1,834 1,993 1,909 1,985 1,985

13,217 South America 13,437 16,277 15,320 16,335 16,335

5,979 European Union - 28 6,928 5,299 5,824 6,000 6,000

1,760 Other Europe 1,838 1,986 1,888 1,925 1,925

7,678 Former Soviet Union - 12 7,402 7,338 8,159 8,710 8,260

26,928 Middle East 24,499 22,773 25,247 23,440 23,440

25,430 North Africa 27,873 28,273 27,409 25,900 25,900

20,907 Sub-Saharan Africa 22,817 22,186 25,043 25,820 25,495

14,114 East Asia 16,226 17,355 16,602 16,800 16,800

8,164 South Asia 8,823 15,469 10,708 11,891 11,326

20,576 Southeast Asia 25,483 27,750 26,744 27,150 27,000

3,225 Others 3,147 3,257 3,454 3,435 3,450

158,816 Total 168,680 179,123 178,355 179,141 177,716

Production none

88,259 North America 87,475 98,838 80,823 85,378 85,687

24,587 South America 21,601 28,819 25,697 27,454 27,434

156,912 European Union - 28 160,480 145,369 151,681 137,500 137,500

4,088 Other Europe 4,359 4,749 4,039 5,030 5,030


35,414 Middle East 42,405 38,791 41,525 39,860 39,860

17,029 North Africa 19,976 14,081 19,246 21,100 21,100


127,724 East Asia 131,523 130,308 131,076 129,355 129,325

130,150 South Asia 119,663 120,837 133,099 132,991 132,991

24,157 Oceania 22,689 32,278 21,709 20,460 18,960

187 Others 199 181 136 131 131

728,262 Total 735,966 752,083 758,738 732,998 730,922

Domestic Consumption none

47,296 North America 46,913 50,567 46,185 48,053 47,780

27,065 South America 27,715 28,645 29,013 29,445 29,545

124,677 European Union - 28 129,850 128,000 130,400 125,000 125,000

4,875 Other Europe 4,940 5,045 5,030 5,190 5,190


57,240 Middle East 58,887 59,061 60,493 60,730 60,730

42,726 North Africa 43,666 44,550 45,125 45,900 45,900


129,597 East Asia 125,282 132,415 130,514 135,227 135,217

132,399 South Asia 128,915 139,220 138,794 141,967 141,707

19,295 Southeast Asia 23,131 26,375 26,335 27,065 27,015

8,565 Oceania 8,500 8,835 8,705 9,055 9,155

3,574 Others 3,582 3,834 3,837 3,885 3,900

699,367 Total 708,186 734,966 739,195 743,781 742,978

Ending Stocks none

28,290 North America 32,390 39,863 36,855 31,054 31,726

8,375 South America 3,989 4,723 4,363 3,514 3,686

12,697 European Union - 28 15,492 10,734 14,549 10,062 10,049

1,321 Other Europe 1,576 1,909 1,826 1,902 1,911


20,038 Middle East 22,154 18,617 17,961 13,503 13,496

13,216 North Africa 16,628 13,890 14,631 15,045 15,046


79,217 East Asia 100,404 114,270 129,742 138,807 138,753

23,109 South Asia 21,026 16,656 20,254 21,231 21,074

3,921 Southeast Asia 5,414 5,846 5,233 4,435 4,178

4,974 Oceania 4,134 5,989 5,736 4,332 3,731

445 Others 418 438 381 366 367

219,238 Total 244,397 257,263 274,854 261,294 260,175

NOTES: Regional definitions appear on last page of this circular. Imports are reported on a trade year basis. All other data are

reported using local marketing years.


World Rice Trade

January/December Year, Thousand Metric Tons

2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19

Sep

2018/19

Oct

none

TY Exports

400400350392527310 Argentina

260275275187165323 Australia

8507501,000594641895 Brazil

3,0003,2003,0003,3501,3001,735 Burma

1,3001,3001,2501,1501,0501,150 Cambodia

1,9001,8001,7001,173368262 China

350350350369270251 European Union

500500480455431486 Guyana

13,00013,00013,00012,56010,04011,046 India

4,2504,3004,3003,6424,1004,000 Pakistan

650650600500557371 Paraguay

160160160175198163 Russia

11,00011,00010,50011,6159,8679,779 Thailand

8008009001,051996718 Uruguay

7,0007,0007,0006,4885,0886,606 Vietnam

1,1141,0341,2101,0621,2541,268 Others

46,53446,51946,07544,76336,85239,363 Subtotal

3,2003,2002,9503,3493,3553,381 United States

49,73449,71949,02548,11240,20742,744 World Total

none

TY Imports

1,1001,1001,4002,34835598 Bangladesh

650650550525450400 Benin

650650650754786363 Brazil

600600550500420350 Burkina

700700650600500500 Cameroon

5,0005,5005,0005,9004,6005,150 China

1,4501,4501,4001,3501,3001,150 Cote d'Ivoire

2,0002,0002,0001,9851,8161,786 European Union

680680700650700580 Ghana

800800775700650420 Guinea

1,2001,2002,0003501,0501,350 Indonesia

1,4001,4001,3001,5001,1001,300 Iran

1,3001,2501,1501,0609301,000 Iraq

685685685679685688 Japan

750750700675500450 Kenya

1,0001,0009009008231,051 Malaysia

880880850910731719 Mexico

750750725710625575 Mozambique

600600600534530530 Nepal

3,0003,0002,6002,5002,1002,100 Nigeria

1,8001,2001,9001,2008002,000 Philippines

1,3001,3001,2501,1951,2601,601 Saudi Arabia

1,2501,2501,1501,100980990 Senegal

1,0001,0001,0001,054954912 South Africa

900900825750670580 United Arab Emirates

14,47514,52513,92413,97211,89412,240 Others

45,92045,82045,23444,40136,88939,383 Subtotal

2,9593,0442,9362,9242,5512,604 Unaccounted

855855855787767757 United States

49,73449,71949,02548,11240,20742,744 World Total

TY=Trade Year, see Endnotes. Note about dates: 2017/18 is calendar year 2018, 2016/17 is calendar year 2017, and so on.


World Rice Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19

Sep

2018/19

Oct

none

Milled Production

34,40034,40032,65034,57834,50034,500 Bangladesh

8,1608,0248,2088,3837,2108,465 Brazil

13,12013,40013,20012,65012,16012,600 Burma

5,5005,5005,3995,2564,9314,925 Cambodia

140,800140,800145,989144,953145,770144,560 China

111,000110,000112,910109,698104,408105,482 India

37,30037,30037,00036,85836,20035,560 Indonesia

7,7007,7907,7877,9297,8768,079 Japan

3,7303,7303,9724,1974,3274,241 Korea, South

3,3303,3303,3103,4802,8633,190 Nepal

3,7803,7803,7803,7803,9413,782 Nigeria

7,4007,4007,5006,8496,8027,003 Pakistan

12,15012,30012,23511,68611,00811,914 Philippines

21,20021,20020,37019,20015,80018,750 Thailand

29,06929,06928,47127,40027,58428,166 Vietnam

42,17342,16843,07743,35441,97741,553 Others

480,812480,191485,858480,251467,357472,770 Subtotal

6,9476,9695,6597,1176,1337,106 United States

487,759487,160491,517487,368473,490479,876 World Total

none

Consumption and Residual

35,50035,50035,20035,00035,10035,100 Bangladesh

8,0258,0508,0258,0007,9007,925 Brazil

10,10010,10010,10010,00010,40010,500 Burma

4,2004,2004,1004,0003,9003,900 Cambodia

142,500143,500142,103141,448140,799140,334 China

4,1004,4004,2004,3003,9004,000 Egypt

100,00099,00098,66095,77693,56898,244 India

38,20038,20038,00037,80037,85038,300 Indonesia

8,6008,5908,6558,7308,8068,830 Japan

4,4754,4754,8754,6514,2124,197 Korea, South

3,9303,9303,9104,0103,3533,770 Nepal

6,9006,9006,7006,5506,4006,100 Nigeria

13,50013,35013,25012,90012,90013,000 Philippines

10,20010,20011,17012,0009,10010,000 Thailand

22,10022,40021,80022,00022,50022,000 Vietnam

69,14568,60667,20065,97462,28361,407 Others

484,249484,170478,225479,103465,001469,713 Subtotal

4,2224,2234,2794,2303,5804,284 United States

488,471488,393482,504483,333468,581473,997 World Total

none

Ending Stocks

1,6001,6001,5008541,2051,592 Bangladesh

96,00095,08994,50086,50078,50069,000 China

20,00020,00022,00020,55018,40017,800 India

4,2114,2113,9132,9153,5094,111 Indonesia

1,8822,0972,1672,4102,5522,821 Japan

2,7382,5382,2882,0032,1172,409 Philippines

3,4383,4383,1884,2388,40311,270 Thailand

13,93614,00215,43115,97516,71117,408 Others

143,805142,975144,987135,445131,397126,411 Subtotal

1,4031,4249331,4621,4751,552 United States

145,208144,399145,920136,907132,872127,963 World Total

Note: All data are reported on a milled basis.


Regional Rice Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18

Sep

2018/19

Oct

2018/19

TY Imports none

1,838 North America 1,854 2,061 2,075 2,115 2,115

1,154 Caribbean 1,109 1,153 1,180 1,265 1,265

1,686 South America 2,015 1,888 1,909 1,830 1,830

128 Other Europe 138 124 130 130 130

572 Former Soviet Union - 12 452 539 580 615 615

6,464 Middle East 5,683 6,390 6,505 6,885 6,935

396 North Africa 483 459 515 850 850


6,686 East Asia 6,097 7,518 6,640 7,140 6,640

1,693 South Asia 945 4,006 2,800 2,475 2,475

5,677 Southeast Asia 3,933 3,676 5,955 4,560 5,160

1,786 European Union 1,816 1,985 2,000 2,000 2,000

40,140 Total 37,656 45,188 46,089 46,675 46,775

Production none

7,285 North America 6,289 7,292 5,842 7,147 7,125

979 Caribbean 865 974 1,028 1,019 1,019

16,664 South America 15,633 16,673 16,918 16,340 16,476

1,954 European Union - 28 2,050 2,078 2,037 2,004 2,004


2,245 Middle East 2,392 2,284 2,446 2,283 2,283

4,553 North Africa 4,044 4,837 4,340 3,342 2,842


159,716 East Asia 160,369 159,897 160,459 155,058 154,968

153,259 South Asia 152,213 156,964 158,943 158,086 159,086

115,591 Southeast Asia 111,409 116,821 120,496 122,640 122,210

479,876 Total 473,490 487,368 491,517 487,160 487,759


5,517 North America 4,807 5,499 5,561 5,535 5,534

1,196 Central America 1,275 1,326 1,326 1,340 1,370

2,029 Caribbean 1,975 2,064 2,058 2,218 2,218

14,809 South America 14,937 14,961 15,235 15,259 15,244

3,400 European Union - 28 3,550 3,600 3,700 3,680 3,750


9,000 Middle East 8,449 8,788 8,995 9,135 9,135

4,407 North Africa 4,279 4,724 4,680 4,892 4,592


156,630 East Asia 156,623 158,057 158,781 159,790 158,800

143,183 South Asia 138,767 141,637 144,595 145,430 146,430

102,642 Southeast Asia 101,770 103,895 103,646 103,731 103,581

471,891 Total 466,551 477,369 482,227 485,624 485,697

Ending Stocks none

1,717 North America 1,602 1,634 1,123 1,642 1,621

219 Central America 313 316 305 277 315

223 Caribbean 231 284 337 378 378

2,211 South America 1,640 1,760 1,866 1,629 1,593

1,151 European Union - 28 1,183 1,183 1,160 1,084 1,064

1,742 Middle East 1,214 1,133 1,034 1,007 1,057

924 North Africa 924 1,426 1,551 606 631


73,483 East Asia 83,126 91,034 98,293 98,432 99,128

21,531 South Asia 21,576 23,202 25,241 23,172 23,222

21,035 Southeast Asia 17,980 11,826 12,154 13,293 13,541

223 Oceania 77 208 177 112 97

127,963 Total 132,872 136,907 145,920 144,399 145,208




World Coarse Grain Trade

October/September Year, Thousand Metric Tons

2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19

Sep

2018/19

Oct

none

TY Exports

30,30530,30526,55526,10525,29121,003 Argentina

7,7757,7757,42510,2586,3897,286 Australia

25,01525,01525,19219,79735,41521,954 Brazil

5,5705,4205,8205,0364,6933,604 Canada

7,2527,4557,8728,19210,97915,068 European Union

2,0602,0601,360859851508 Kazakhstan

2,2152,2152,0051,7672,6633,031 Paraguay

7,5409,34011,4009,2588,4659,155 Russia

2,7802,5808502,4471,5933,001 Serbia

29,46029,46023,00326,86821,45724,208 Ukraine

8,8258,82510,0109,2517,9398,633 Others

128,797130,450121,492119,838125,735117,451 Subtotal

66,63565,63567,83561,78859,23056,419 United States

195,432196,085189,327181,626184,965173,870 World Total

none

TY Imports

4,8254,9254,7574,4595,2244,863 Algeria

2,0002,0001,5001,1811,036485 Bangladesh

1,6501,6501,5283,1772,1231,023 Brazil

2,1302,1301,9951,5801,7211,707 Chile

16,90016,90017,10016,05517,49925,699 China

5,5355,5355,3355,0074,8244,747 Colombia

1,4001,4001,4001,2941,3511,202 Dominican Republic

9,7209,7209,4218,7958,7957,938 Egypt

20,85520,95518,93915,68114,2749,408 European Union

1,2001,2001,1009511,027881 Guatemala

11,50011,80011,50010,0008,3008,000 Iran

1,9851,6852,0451,9161,5051,601 Israel

16,77016,77017,07016,99917,07016,726 Japan

1,4001,4001,5731,5881,7131,448 Jordan

10,39010,39010,1959,31910,21310,274 Korea, South

4,0004,0003,5003,5314,1223,243 Malaysia

18,31018,31016,46015,23814,88111,640 Mexico

2,8022,9023,0722,5753,1822,217 Morocco

3,5603,5603,4103,4383,0832,863 Peru

12,61012,61011,80011,82513,99211,115 Saudi Arabia

4,1004,1004,2104,2674,7813,938 Taiwan

1,5001,7001,7101,7451,7131,525 Tunisia

2,3052,3053,6051,7127132,719 Turkey

1,6001,6001,6001,2401,7382,433 Venezuela

9,6259,6259,3508,6618,6796,752 Vietnam

18,89819,04819,67222,20722,77021,673 Others

187,570188,220183,847174,441176,329166,120 Subtotal

4,3624,3652,4993,7714,6554,455 Unaccounted

3,5003,5002,9813,4143,9813,295 United States

195,432196,085189,327181,626184,965173,870 World Total



World Coarse Grains Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19

Sep

2018/19

Oct

none

Production

48,85348,85339,32048,56938,43936,782 Argentina

11,29611,50611,90817,26612,54412,605 Australia

97,48597,48584,792101,57568,64987,671 Brazil

27,22527,02526,23826,62325,76922,107 Canada

232,805232,805223,391226,867231,487222,405 China

14,18014,18013,96015,09415,14914,442 Ethiopia

148,428148,628152,971152,950152,665170,670 European Union

42,25043,87046,97043,47038,70143,076 India

11,90011,90011,40010,90010,5009,000 Indonesia

31,69031,69033,07133,26332,37832,689 Mexico

19,30019,30018,80018,82319,05218,341 Nigeria

34,47536,47541,71240,76537,42740,386 Russia

13,59813,59814,00018,1178,65811,079 South Africa

13,45113,45112,97110,77614,1819,311 Turkey

39,69539,69534,07139,21733,38739,389 Ukraine

167,300165,938165,573162,839156,463164,677 Others

953,931956,399931,148967,114895,449934,630 Subtotal

389,437390,793384,255402,612367,009377,234 United States

1,343,3681,347,1921,315,4031,369,7261,262,4581,311,864 World Total

none

Domestic Consumption

16,95316,95316,41316,04414,22114,232 Argentina

70,04270,04268,01164,03259,82360,009 Brazil

22,73522,73523,25521,97720,90021,293 Canada

270,530270,430262,080252,948238,790228,709 China

17,07816,97816,77916,02715,80314,832 Egypt

14,08514,08514,13515,14215,21513,680 Ethiopia

165,320165,620162,670160,840157,125162,592 European Union

44,22545,92544,92542,62540,20140,474 India

15,92016,12015,32013,82014,02012,020 Iran

17,21417,21417,30517,25117,25816,876 Japan

50,84050,84048,21046,84544,71542,175 Mexico

19,50019,50018,85019,21918,99018,132 Nigeria

27,62527,82531,01532,07529,71531,139 Russia

13,47513,47513,19513,61514,07511,905 Saudi Arabia

15,96115,86115,63112,89114,02112,951 Turkey

259,989259,467259,107257,043248,353248,430 Others

1,050,1371,051,4481,026,1051,028,195945,865965,575 Subtotal

334,539334,551324,145327,523312,599311,339 United States

1,384,6761,385,9991,350,2501,355,7181,258,4641,276,914 World Total

none

Ending Stocks

5,1055,1053,5056,6983,2684,274 Argentina

10,84210,84210,86414,4927,0108,235 Brazil

4,0373,9984,5075,5624,9713,513 Canada

59,37559,38580,270101,949112,086101,917 China

13,23613,08216,52515,15515,52318,885 European Union

3,6843,0246,0246,0095,8894,832 Mexico

2,3042,3042,7192,9973,1713,291 Ukraine

37,91538,09144,90747,05748,04952,190 Others

136,498135,831169,321199,919199,967197,137 Subtotal

49,43448,91757,91962,16848,11246,948 United States

185,932184,748227,240262,087248,079244,085 World Total


Regional Coarse Grains Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18

Sep

2018/19

Oct

2018/19

TY Imports none

16,648 North America 19,962 19,430 21,162 22,420 22,420

3,456 Central America 3,938 3,799 4,030 4,200 4,200

2,444 Caribbean 2,597 2,659 2,720 2,840 2,840

13,355 South America 13,855 15,053 14,793 15,240 15,240

9,408 European Union - 28 14,274 15,681 18,939 20,955 20,855


27,608 Middle East 29,730 30,517 33,760 32,626 32,626

18,228 North Africa 20,819 19,337 20,060 20,547 19,947


56,684 East Asia 49,597 46,733 48,625 48,210 48,210

14,786 Southeast Asia 15,895 14,167 15,085 15,755 15,755

1,970 Others 3,035 2,964 3,243 4,076 4,076

169,415 Total 180,310 177,855 186,828 191,720 191,070

Production none

432,030 North America 425,156 462,498 443,564 449,508 448,352

139,744 South America 122,016 163,180 137,795 161,248 161,248

170,670 European Union - 28 152,665 152,950 152,971 148,628 148,428

10,927 Other Europe 9,271 11,415 7,188 10,311 10,511


17,036 Middle East 21,605 18,083 20,582 20,225 20,225

10,927 North Africa 12,289 9,263 11,177 12,032 12,432


225,085 East Asia 234,219 229,507 226,056 235,524 235,519

54,649 South Asia 50,656 56,563 60,858 58,159 56,539

30,949 Southeast Asia 31,988 34,006 34,158 34,243 34,143

13,283 Oceania 13,236 17,883 12,388 12,138 11,928

4,760 Others 4,392 4,927 4,938 4,776 4,776

1,311,864 Total 1,262,458 1,369,726 1,315,403 1,347,192 1,343,368


374,807 North America 378,214 396,345 395,610 408,126 408,114

98,737 South America 98,462 103,175 109,564 112,726 112,726

162,592 European Union - 28 157,125 160,840 162,670 165,620 165,320

8,347 Other Europe 8,552 9,025 7,851 8,277 8,277


45,556 Middle East 51,650 50,391 54,007 53,791 53,991

30,168 North Africa 32,142 30,943 31,486 32,213 31,863


262,489 East Asia 273,166 286,376 296,358 304,912 305,012

52,617 South Asia 53,841 56,909 60,966 62,745 61,045

41,253 Southeast Asia 44,041 45,978 46,815 47,485 47,385

5,846 Oceania 6,429 6,759 5,806 5,081 4,981

10,340 Others 10,897 11,328 11,591 11,936 11,916

1,260,788 Total 1,275,824 1,329,917 1,351,046 1,377,621 1,376,031

Ending Stocks none

55,293 North America 58,972 73,739 68,450 55,939 57,155

15,928 South America 13,618 24,407 17,156 18,974 18,993

18,885 European Union - 28 15,523 15,155 16,525 13,082 13,236

1,102 Other Europe 963 1,631 823 1,026 1,057


8,999 Middle East 9,200 5,912 6,476 5,097 5,141

5,412 North Africa 5,853 3,783 3,408 3,813 3,914


105,819 East Asia 116,445 106,160 84,423 63,085 63,070

5,328 South Asia 3,129 4,112 5,433 3,687 3,513

4,171 Southeast Asia 5,057 3,890 3,019 2,716 2,917

1,665 Oceania 1,618 2,777 1,736 1,198 1,088

1,123 Others 1,141 1,198 1,192 1,066 1,077

244,085 Total 248,079 262,087 227,240 184,748 185,932




World Corn Trade


2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19

Sep

2018/19

Oct

none

TY Exports

27,00027,00023,50022,95121,67918,448 Argentina

25,00025,00025,18219,79435,38221,909 Brazil

1,6001,4501,9501,5381,767395 Canada

1,5001,5001,7002,1891,9534,027 European Union

1,5001,5001,3001,5391,559784 Mexico

2,2002,2002,0001,7572,6623,012 Paraguay

3,0004,0005,5005,5894,6913,213 Russia

2,7002,5008002,4141,5602,964 Serbia

1,9001,9002,1001,816759746 South Africa

25,00025,00018,50021,33416,59519,661 Ukraine

4,7004,7005,9215,1865,2256,400 Others

96,10096,75088,45386,10793,83281,559 Subtotal

62,50061,00062,50055,59351,09846,831 United States

158,600157,750150,953141,700144,930128,390 World Total

none

TY Imports

4,4004,4004,2003,9154,3294,116 Algeria

2,0002,0001,5001,1811,036485 Bangladesh

1,0001,0009432,4391,566534 Brazil

2,0002,0001,9001,4841,5391,516 Chile

5,0005,0004,0002,4643,1745,516 China

5,2005,2005,0004,7484,4584,496 Colombia

1,0001,000900964853886 Cuba

1,4001,4001,4001,2941,3511,202 Dominican Republic

9,7009,7009,4008,7738,7227,839 Egypt

19,50019,50018,00015,02113,7928,908 European Union

1,2001,2001,1009511,027881 Guatemala

8,5008,5008,3007,8006,6006,100 Iran

1,7001,4001,8001,5151,1521,294 Israel

15,00015,00015,20015,16915,20114,657 Japan

10,20010,20010,0009,23110,12110,168 Korea, South

4,0004,0003,5003,5314,1223,243 Malaysia

16,70016,20016,20014,56914,01111,341 Mexico

2,6002,6002,6002,1642,2241,941 Morocco

3,4003,4003,3003,2692,9852,741 Peru

5,0005,0004,0003,4213,5832,904 Saudi Arabia

4,0004,0004,1004,1634,6563,810 Taiwan

1,1001,1001,1001,2441,0171,042 Tunisia

2,2002,2002,9001,4215672,377 Turkey

1,6001,6001,6001,2381,7382,433 Venezuela

9,5009,5009,2008,5008,6006,700 Vietnam

15,69815,64816,17317,41318,32217,761 Others

153,598152,748148,316137,882136,746124,891 Subtotal

3,7023,7021,7172,3676,4022,690 Unaccounted

1,3001,3009201,4511,782809 United States

158,600157,750150,953141,700144,930128,390 World Total



World Corn Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19

Sep

2018/19

Oct

none

Production

41,00041,00032,00041,00029,50029,750 Argentina

94,50094,50082,00098,50067,00085,000 Brazil

14,50014,30014,10013,88913,68011,606 Canada

225,000225,000215,891219,552224,632215,646 China

7,1007,1007,0007,3007,3007,235 Ethiopia

61,00060,80062,27761,88858,74875,734 European Union

26,00026,00028,72025,90022,57024,170 India

11,90011,90011,40010,90010,5009,000 Indonesia

26,00026,00027,45027,57525,97125,480 Mexico

11,00011,00011,00010,41510,56210,059 Nigeria

8,2008,3007,9808,0876,9667,671 Philippines

11,00012,00013,22915,30513,16811,325 Russia

7,0006,8004,0007,6006,0007,700 Serbia

13,00013,00013,52517,5518,21410,629 South Africa

31,00031,00024,11527,96923,33328,450 Ukraine

104,731103,684108,579100,10099,241102,115 Others

692,931692,384663,266693,531627,385661,570 Subtotal

375,374376,615370,960384,778345,506361,091 United States

1,068,3051,068,9991,034,2261,078,309972,8911,022,661 World Total

none

Total Consumption

12,40012,40011,90011,2009,3009,300 Argentina

66,50066,50064,50060,50057,50057,000 Brazil

13,70013,70014,03812,95512,02912,823 Canada

251,000251,000241,000232,000217,500202,000 China

16,20016,10015,90015,10014,85013,900 Egypt

82,50082,50076,50074,00073,50077,880 European Union

27,50027,70026,70024,90023,55022,350 India

12,50012,50012,10012,30012,10012,200 Indonesia

9,8009,8009,3009,3008,8007,400 Iran

15,20015,20015,20015,20015,20014,600 Japan

10,30010,30010,0009,41010,12310,250 Korea, South

43,70043,20042,30040,40037,30034,550 Mexico

11,30011,30011,10010,90010,6009,900 Nigeria

12,60012,60012,30012,66310,97011,650 South Africa

13,10013,10013,40012,90012,2009,400 Vietnam

178,643177,766175,245168,455164,548163,581 Others

785,078783,396749,977746,676670,874686,057 Subtotal

322,087322,722313,834313,828298,844301,792 United States

1,107,1651,106,1181,063,8111,060,504969,718987,849 World Total

none

Ending Stocks

3,9833,9832,3785,2731,4482,898 Argentina

10,51910,51910,51914,0196,7697,842 Brazil

2,0692,0242,3692,5742,4501,518 Canada

58,50458,50479,554100,713110,774100,472 China

2,0671,7671,7771,8872,2242,358 Egypt

6,0105,8129,5107,4336,7139,626 European Union

2,9682,3185,4685,4185,2134,090 Mexico

27,17027,03932,26432,22130,27234,035 Others

113,290111,966143,839169,538165,863162,839 Subtotal

46,05645,06354,36758,25344,12343,974 United States

159,346157,029198,206227,791209,986206,813 World Total


Regional Corn Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18

Sep

2018/19

Oct

2018/19

TY Imports none

13,686 North America 16,751 16,706 18,770 18,000 18,500

3,456 Central America 3,938 3,799 4,030 4,200 4,200

12,042 South America 12,462 13,713 13,523 13,865 13,865

8,908 European Union - 28 13,792 15,021 18,000 19,500 19,500


15,157 Middle East 14,886 16,920 20,130 20,000 20,300

15,622 North Africa 16,873 16,775 17,900 18,600 18,600


34,198 East Asia 33,186 31,120 33,350 34,250 34,250

14,702 Southeast Asia 15,781 13,968 14,750 15,595 15,595

2,444 Caribbean 2,597 2,657 2,720 2,840 2,840

1,662 Others 2,493 2,378 2,800 3,660 3,660

125,700 Total 138,528 139,333 149,236 154,048 154,898

Production none

398,177 North America 385,157 426,242 412,510 416,915 415,874

127,570 South America 108,837 149,824 125,232 147,535 147,535

75,734 European Union - 28 58,748 61,888 62,277 60,800 61,000

9,132 Other Europe 7,427 9,432 5,335 8,395 8,595


6,904 Middle East 7,791 6,995 7,786 7,066 7,066

6,058 North Africa 6,096 6,130 6,601 6,551 6,951


217,995 East Asia 227,071 221,888 218,240 227,406 227,406

34,398 South Asia 33,250 37,730 41,385 39,086 39,086

3,588 Central America 3,278 3,780 3,840 3,630 3,630

30,655 Southeast Asia 31,693 33,716 33,868 33,953 33,853

1,453 Others 1,280 1,349 1,215 1,313 1,313

1,022,661 Total 972,891 1,078,309 1,034,226 1,068,999 1,068,305


349,165 North America 348,173 367,183 370,172 379,622 379,487

87,601 South America 87,971 91,723 98,350 101,310 101,310

77,880 European Union - 28 73,500 74,000 76,500 82,500 82,500

6,297 Other Europe 6,522 6,932 5,835 6,250 6,250


21,738 Middle East 23,502 24,533 26,990 27,360 27,760

22,100 North Africa 22,990 23,290 24,500 25,100 25,150


233,127 East Asia 249,467 263,062 272,730 283,050 283,050

33,123 South Asia 35,630 37,885 41,389 43,281 43,081

40,849 Southeast Asia 43,634 45,497 46,195 47,040 46,940

6,760 Central America 7,180 7,520 7,780 7,910 7,890

3,984 Others 3,909 3,942 4,000 4,175 4,175

970,576 Total 988,914 1,036,011 1,065,317 1,098,388 1,099,030

Ending Stocks none

49,582 North America 51,786 66,245 62,204 49,405 51,093

13,743 South America 11,209 22,182 15,380 17,161 17,180

9,626 European Union - 28 6,713 7,433 9,510 5,812 6,010

896 Other Europe 849 1,471 698 889 918


3,727 Middle East 2,747 2,011 2,788 2,155 2,299

3,259 North Africa 2,988 2,555 2,488 2,579 2,879


103,922 East Asia 114,710 104,543 83,383 61,939 61,939

3,940 South Asia 2,417 3,137 4,229 2,788 2,734

4,165 Southeast Asia 5,051 3,879 3,008 2,706 2,906

759 Central America 794 850 847 761 772

459 Others 432 443 420 378 378

206,813 Total 209,986 227,791 198,206 157,029 159,346




World Barley Trade


2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19

Sep

2018/19

Oct

none

TY Exports

2,8002,8002,5002,6962,8361,599 Argentina

5,8005,8006,5009,1925,4015,266 Australia

2,2002,2002,0001,8091,1471,386 Canada

5,3005,5005,9005,6838,64410,642 European Union

2,0002,0001,300821776475 Kazakhstan

1501501501435981 Moldova

4,5005,3005,8003,6263,7355,807 Russia

100100201404 Turkey

4,3004,3004,3005,3374,6734,332 Ukraine

15015051114243 Uruguay

130130714782164 Others

27,43028,43028,54629,47927,39529,799 Subtotal

100100100125161291 United States

27,53028,53028,64629,60427,55630,090 World Total

none

TY Imports

400500550533864723 Algeria

1001006011271 Belarus

650650584737551489 Brazil

1001006074131165 Canada

9,5009,5008,2008,1045,8699,859 China

280280280258301249 Colombia

500600450447315269 European Union

100100100324672 India

3,0003,3003,2002,2001,7001,900 Iran

250250200376319278 Israel

1,1001,1001,2001,1971,1541,097 Japan

600600773759902759 Jordan

200200450569511412 Kuwait

3005005001,0841,3241,001 Libya

200300470407958276 Morocco

15015010016998122 Peru

7,6007,6007,7008,40010,4008,200 Saudi Arabia

400600610501696483 Tunisia

400400250501668393 United Arab Emirates

1251251501617952 Vietnam

9369361,8011,5961,1661,742 Others

26,89127,89127,68828,50928,08028,472 Subtotal

239239758878-8761,188 Unaccounted

400400200217352430 United States

27,53028,53028,64629,60427,55630,090 World Total



World Barley Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19

Sep

2018/19

Oct

none

Production

1,4001,4009681,0001,3001,300 Algeria

4,0004,0003,7403,3004,9402,900 Argentina

7,8007,8008,90013,5068,9938,646 Australia

1,7001,7001,4201,2531,8491,988 Belarus

8,8008,8007,9008,8398,2577,117 Canada

1,8501,8501,8001,7521,8701,810 China

2,1702,1702,1002,0252,0471,953 Ethiopia

57,25057,65059,06459,97862,09560,609 European Union

1,7701,7701,7501,4401,6131,831 India

3,1003,1003,1003,0003,2003,200 Iran

4,2004,2003,3053,2312,6752,412 Kazakhstan

2,5002,5002,0006203,4001,638 Morocco

16,50017,50020,18317,54717,08320,026 Russia

7,4007,4006,4004,7507,4004,000 Turkey

7,6007,6008,6959,8748,7519,450 Ukraine

9,8819,8869,85610,6999,5529,151 Others

137,921139,326141,181142,814145,025138,031 Subtotal

3,3333,4003,0904,3534,7503,953 United States

141,254142,726144,271147,167149,775141,984 World Total

none

Total Consumption

1,9001,9001,7502,0502,1502,050 Algeria

2,5002,5003,1003,5003,3003,000 Australia

1,7501,7501,4501,4001,8502,000 Belarus

6,8006,8006,8086,7606,9606,471 Canada

11,10011,10010,3009,8007,90011,600 China

2,1252,1252,0752,0251,9901,975 Ethiopia

52,40052,70054,20055,10051,37550,937 European Union

1,9001,9002,0001,9001,5201,400 India

6,1006,3006,0004,5005,2004,600 Iran

2,2002,2002,1502,2002,0002,000 Kazakhstan

2,4502,4502,4502,2003,3502,638 Morocco

12,40012,60014,50014,70013,70014,100 Russia

8,2258,2258,8259,82510,2258,525 Saudi Arabia

7,3007,3006,7005,5006,9005,350 Turkey

3,5003,5004,5004,9004,3005,500 Ukraine

16,20516,60517,57518,85718,48717,045 Others

139,276140,376144,783146,033143,264138,270 Subtotal

3,7023,5933,4364,3754,4084,235 United States

142,978143,969148,219150,408147,672142,505 World Total

none

Ending Stocks

6846841,1841,8841,0681,120 Australia

1,1501,1561,2502,1201,5231,260 Canada

5,0865,1365,0365,6216,0125,834 European Union

7588587584587581,058 Iran

9149141,5292,3444,0593,074 Saudi Arabia

871871771338961332 Turkey

9479471,1371,2371,6091,565 Ukraine

5,1115,3135,4296,7818,1278,283 Others

15,52115,87917,09420,78324,11722,526 Subtotal

1,9062,0882,0572,3162,2231,711 United States

17,42717,96719,15123,09926,34024,237 World Total


Regional Barley Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18

Sep

2018/19

Oct

2018/19

TY Imports none

779 North America 615 293 270 510 510

1,169 South America 1,133 1,249 1,094 1,150 1,150

269 European Union - 28 315 447 450 600 500

124 Other Europe 81 121 100 125 125


12,399 Middle East 14,798 13,563 13,478 12,575 12,275

2,581 North Africa 3,914 2,542 2,150 1,920 1,320

138 Sub-Saharan Africa 40 112 55 55 55

11,080 East Asia 7,136 9,413 9,530 10,740 10,740

22 South Asia 133 340 131 136 136

32 Oceania 7 25 30 25 25

28,902 Total 28,432 28,726 27,888 28,291 27,291

Production none

11,916 North America 13,742 14,170 11,994 13,200 13,133

3,795 South America 5,925 4,714 4,831 5,395 5,395

60,609 European Union - 28 62,095 59,978 59,064 57,650 57,250

1,241 Other Europe 1,258 1,388 1,284 1,337 1,337


8,896 Middle East 12,674 10,118 11,690 12,088 12,088

3,913 North Africa 5,275 2,203 3,646 4,553 4,553


2,136 East Asia 2,159 2,052 2,112 2,159 2,154

2,461 South Asia 2,121 1,943 2,247 2,227 2,227

9,052 Oceania 9,430 13,870 9,196 8,180 8,180

141,984 Total 149,775 147,167 144,271 142,726 141,254


11,556 North America 12,293 12,085 11,254 11,443 11,552

3,398 South America 3,533 3,449 3,515 3,476 3,476

50,937 European Union - 28 51,375 55,100 54,200 52,700 52,400

1,414 Other Europe 1,373 1,449 1,357 1,377 1,377


22,369 Middle East 26,961 24,834 25,769 25,314 25,114

7,120 North Africa 8,203 6,697 6,049 6,158 5,758


13,164 East Asia 9,482 11,446 11,999 12,705 12,705

2,023 South Asia 2,093 2,423 2,563 2,368 2,368

3,450 Oceania 3,750 3,900 3,450 2,900 2,900

143,426 Total 145,615 149,592 147,819 143,548 142,557

Ending Stocks none

3,369 North America 4,132 4,851 3,721 3,618 3,430

773 South America 1,141 838 748 767 767

5,834 European Union - 28 6,012 5,621 5,036 5,136 5,086

160 Other Europe 79 107 79 82 84


5,208 Middle East 6,385 3,856 3,633 2,882 2,782

2,105 North Africa 2,816 1,174 863 1,178 978


1,090 East Asia 904 923 566 760 755

294 South Asia 274 230 239 184 184

1,199 Oceania 1,140 1,942 1,218 723 723

24,237 Total 26,340 23,099 19,151 17,967 17,427




World Sorghum Trade


2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19

Sep

2018/19

Oct

none

TY Exports

500500550457772954 Argentina

1,5001,5003005427171,701 Australia

757575757575 Ethiopia

5050502474122 India

5050160734173 Kenya

10010010010050100 Nigeria

8080150164120156 Ukraine

102105210229115138 Others

2,4572,4601,5951,6641,9643,319 Subtotal

4,0004,5005,2006,0227,9289,269 United States

6,4576,9606,7957,6869,89212,588 World Total

none

TY Imports

100100605413498 Chile

2,0002,0004,4005,2098,28410,162 China

800800420194119131 European Union

600600600561649903 Japan

15015015014654117 Kenya

707070546 Korea, South

1,5002,00012054866129 Mexico

10010070607020 Somalia

150150150361987 South Sudan

200200150120200120 Sudan

504504596396669390 Others

6,1746,6746,7867,32910,86312,063 Subtotal

283286-42313-1,069498 Unaccounted

0051449827 United States

6,4576,9606,7957,6869,89212,588 World Total



World Sorghum Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19

Sep

2018/19

Oct

none

Production

3,1503,1503,0003,4003,3753,500 Argentina

1,9502,1601,4399941,7912,209 Australia

1,8631,8631,8701,8651,0322,055 Brazil

1,8001,8001,3661,6631,4361,708 Burkina

1,4001,4001,4001,3391,2171,150 Cameroon

950950946991835922 Chad

3,4503,4503,2002,9852,7502,885 China

4,1004,1004,0504,7524,7664,339 Ethiopia

4,6004,6004,9504,5704,2385,445 India

1,3001,3001,7051,3941,5271,272 Mali

4,6004,6004,5454,6385,5876,270 Mexico

1,7001,7001,9441,8081,9181,426 Niger

6,8006,8006,3006,9397,0056,883 Nigeria

4,0004,0003,7436,4662,7446,281 Sudan

800800800756677883 Tanzania

7,0477,0277,0526,6147,3097,948 Others

49,51049,70048,31051,17448,20755,176 Subtotal

9,7019,5629,24212,19915,15810,988 United States

59,21159,26257,55263,37363,36566,164 World Total

none

Total Consumption

2,7002,7002,7002,9002,9002,800 Argentina

1,9001,9001,9001,7001,1502,000 Brazil

1,7001,7001,4001,6401,4651,700 Burkina

1,4251,4251,4101,3691,2321,175 Cameroon

9809501,000950850930 Chad

5,5005,4007,8008,30011,00012,900 China

4,1004,1004,2004,7004,7004,100 Ethiopia

1,4701,470970790800995 European Union

4,6004,6004,7004,5004,6005,100 India

1,4001,4001,6501,4001,5001,200 Mali

5,9006,4004,7005,3006,3006,600 Mexico

1,8001,8001,8502,0002,0001,450 Niger

6,7006,7006,2506,8506,9056,833 Nigeria

8508508007608301,050 South Sudan

4,2504,2504,1006,4503,1006,000 Sudan

8,3468,4318,4527,6058,6988,800 Others

53,61454,20754,14557,51857,69263,453 Subtotal

5,8425,2084,0476,2826,1302,459 United States

59,45659,41558,19263,80063,82265,912 World Total

none

Ending Stocks

639639689889952971 Argentina

153153589779113 Burkina

267277337577717706 China

309309364569576561 Ethiopia

318318368198151587 India

337327137172286338 Mexico

206206261568582743 Sudan

1,3091,4881,6181,4371,5111,754 Others

3,5383,7173,8324,5074,8545,773 Subtotal

9341,161885850930468 United States

4,4724,8784,7175,3575,7846,241 World Total


Regional Sorghum Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18

Sep

2018/19

Oct

2018/19

TY Imports none

56 North America 759 592 171 2,000 1,500

114 South America 212 60 130 185 185

131 European Union - 28 119 194 420 800 800

0 Other Europe 0 0 0 0 0

24 Middle East 34 30 132 31 31

1 North Africa 1 5 1 0 0


11,142 East Asia 9,011 5,823 5,130 2,720 2,720

14 Southeast Asia 16 17 15 10 10

32 Others 231 6 75 25 25

12,090 Total 10,961 7,373 6,837 6,674 6,174

Production none

17,258 North America 20,745 16,837 13,787 14,162 14,301

326 Central America 337 326 325 327 327

125 Caribbean 123 118 91 106 106

6,967 South America 5,682 6,159 5,878 6,100 6,100

887 European Union - 28 674 632 671 678 678

646 Middle East 505 394 485 470 470

809 North Africa 752 755 755 755 755


2,887 East Asia 2,752 2,987 3,202 3,452 3,452

5,560 South Asia 4,399 4,719 5,080 4,740 4,740


2,209 Oceania 1,791 994 1,439 2,160 1,950

224 Others 191 275 183 130 130

66,164 Total 63,365 63,373 57,552 59,262 59,211


9,059 North America 12,430 11,582 8,747 11,608 11,742

321 Central America 345 326 325 330 330

125 Caribbean 123 120 91 106 106

6,362 South America 5,409 5,623 5,716 5,797 5,797

995 European Union - 28 800 790 970 1,470 1,470

801 Middle East 550 429 622 491 491

785 North Africa 752 755 755 755 755


13,882 East Asia 11,733 8,917 8,532 6,122 6,222

5,247 South Asia 4,981 4,665 4,893 4,765 4,765


505 Oceania 905 675 800 800 700

75 Others 75 100 55 55 55

66,092 Total 64,160 63,496 57,929 59,284 59,463

Ending Stocks none

806 North America 1,216 1,022 1,022 1,488 1,271

26 Central America 17 17 12 9 9

1,310 South America 1,128 1,147 905 848 848

27 European Union - 28 16 24 143 143 149

39 Middle East 33 25 20 30 30

47 North Africa 48 53 54 53 54


765 East Asia 772 629 389 329 319

587 South Asia 151 198 368 318 318

252 Oceania 233 272 261 221 111

69 Others 65 59 37 32 32

6,241 Total 5,784 5,357 4,717 4,878 4,472




World Oats Trade


2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19

Sep

2018/19

Oct

none

TY Exports

400400550455214264 Australia

1,6001,6001,6501,5571,6671,734 Canada

303035272684 Chile

350350180179220231 European Union

1010101250 Kazakhstan

101030141614 Russia

505015194846 Ukraine

1010103810 Others

2,4602,4602,4802,2662,2042,383 Subtotal


2,4902,4902,5102,3102,2412,408 World Total

none

TY Imports

25257113124 Algeria

555644 Bosnia and Herzegovina

101010181112 Canada

400400500278172162 China

555112 Colombia

303035213821 Ecuador

554394 European Union

252525253124 India

505050485047 Japan

252540232129 Korea, South

1001001301197786 Mexico

5515374 Norway

555012 Serbia

202025243146 South Africa

505050544149 Switzerland

171718241315 Others

777777924658538531 Subtotal

11311336122171110 Unaccounted

1,6001,6001,5501,5301,5321,767 United States

2,4902,4902,5102,3102,2412,408 World Total



World Oats Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19

Sep

2018/19

Oct

none

Production

110110110110110110 Algeria

600600492785553525 Argentina

1,1001,1001,1202,2661,3001,198 Australia

460460500390492522 Belarus

770770634828351307 Brazil

3,4503,4503,7333,2313,4252,977 Canada

675675571713533421 Chile

305305300290265255 China

8,3008,3008,1078,0497,5247,821 European Union

340340285335244226 Kazakhstan

909072728593 Mexico

300300300330286283 Norway

4,8004,8005,4414,7504,5275,267 Russia

230230250225250210 Turkey

475475481510498610 Ukraine

335335328355303260 Others

22,34022,34022,72423,23920,74621,085 Subtotal

8159537179401,3001,019 United States

23,15523,29323,44124,17922,04622,104 World Total

none

Total Consumption

135135117132141126 Algeria

550550525760550525 Argentina

7007008501,5001,025950 Australia

450450500400500500 Belarus

725725675775345305 Brazil

1,9001,9002,0351,8541,6111,676 Canada

655655575655495355 Chile

730730780560420400 China

7,9507,9507,9007,9507,4007,730 European Union

330330275274245225 Kazakhstan

190190200195190175 Mexico

300300320315295295 Norway

4,8004,8005,4004,8004,6005,200 Russia

240240240240240225 Turkey

450450480450450600 Ukraine

554554582554519488 Others

20,73420,73421,46921,57619,12519,724 Subtotal

2,4932,5652,3582,5392,7022,447 United States

23,22723,29923,82724,11521,82722,171 World Total

none

Ending Stocks

969651896565 Argentina

16816816844814393 Australia

636323681610 Brazil

744744784703947693 Canada

674674669642690770 European Union


158158163147199289 Russia

278278325336264223 Others

2,2562,2562,2582,5082,3512,176 Subtotal

525591595731824780 United States

2,7812,8472,8533,2393,1752,956 World Total


Regional Oats Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18

Sep

2018/19

Oct

2018/19

TY Imports none

1,865 North America 1,620 1,667 1,690 1,710 1,710

30 South America 48 31 46 40 40

4 European Union - 28 9 3 4 5 5

62 Other Europe 53 63 75 65 65


4 Middle East 0 0 5 5 5

24 North Africa 31 15 9 27 27


238 East Asia 243 349 590 475 475

24 South Asia 31 25 25 25 25

0 Oceania 0 0 0 0 0

2,298 Total 2,070 2,188 2,474 2,377 2,377

Production none

4,089 North America 4,810 4,243 4,522 4,493 4,355

1,281 South America 1,478 2,372 1,740 2,088 2,088

7,821 European Union - 28 7,524 8,049 8,107 8,300 8,300

411 Other Europe 418 468 424 435 435


210 Middle East 250 225 250 230 230

147 North Africa 166 175 175 173 173


257 East Asia 266 291 301 306 306

0 South Asia 0 0 0 0 0

1,233 Oceania 1,329 2,309 1,154 1,132 1,132

22,104 Total 22,046 24,179 23,441 23,293 23,155


4,298 North America 4,503 4,588 4,593 4,655 4,583

1,245 South America 1,455 2,269 1,869 2,013 2,013

7,730 European Union - 28 7,400 7,950 7,900 7,950 7,950

479 Other Europe 484 510 507 491 491


225 Middle East 240 240 240 240 240

163 North Africa 197 201 182 200 200


479 East Asia 491 633 870 809 809

24 South Asia 31 25 25 25 25

985 Oceania 1,054 1,540 885 730 730

22,222 Total 21,728 23,953 23,812 23,224 23,152

Ending Stocks none

1,479 North America 1,775 1,438 1,384 1,340 1,274

102 South America 140 240 123 198 198

770 European Union - 28 690 642 669 674 674

46 Other Europe 35 53 46 55 55


11 Middle East 21 6 21 16 16

1 North Africa 1 1 3 3 3


39 East Asia 57 64 85 57 57

0 South Asia 0 0 0 0 0

93 Oceania 143 451 170 172 172

2,956 Total 3,175 3,239 2,853 2,847 2,781




World Rye Trade


2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19

Sep

2018/19

Oct

none

TY Exports

202008240 Belarus

17017022013211289 Canada


3030702923121 Russia

303038142113 Ukraine

000001 Others

350350418322340391 Subtotal


355355423326346394 World Total

none

TY Imports


15151541218 Israel

202020241622 Japan

555454 Korea, South

10105426 Norway

25255485 Russia

552346 Switzerland

00164166 Others

13013013363102163 Subtotal

2525309127-31 Unaccounted

200200260172217262 United States

355355423326346394 World Total



World Rye Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19

Sep

2018/19

Oct

none

Production


650650670651753867 Belarus

300300320436226218 Canada

6,5006,5007,4237,4407,8338,864 European Union

1,8501,8502,5442,5382,0843,279 Russia

320320320300330300 Turkey

400400510394394475 Ukraine

150150164148178176 Others

10,26510,26512,03711,98611,85914,276 Subtotal

214263246342295183 United States

10,47910,52812,28312,32812,15414,459 World Total

none

Total Consumption


262626252219 Australia

650650665700800850 Belarus

160160189180119134 Canada

6,5006,5007,7007,6007,9008,600 European Union


525246236746 Norway

2,0002,0002,5002,4002,1503,250 Russia

320320320300330325 Turkey

390390480380420475 Ukraine

1021021019991108 Others

10,35110,35112,18011,84512,01513,974 Subtotal

415463470499515406 United States

10,76610,81412,65012,34412,53014,380 World Total

none

Ending Stocks

4141614199166 Belarus

74741041655142 Canada

6426426929891,2091,386 European Union

66161244 Kazakhstan

115115270291158264 Russia

141414141414 Turkey

4949697775106 Ukraine

000123 Others

9419411,2261,5901,6121,985 Subtotal


9549551,2411,6081,6242,000 World Total


Regional Rye Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18

Sep

2018/19

Oct

2018/19

TY Imports none

262 North America 217 172 261 200 200

0 South America 0 0 0 0 0

96 European Union - 28 39 16 65 50 50



24 Middle East 12 4 15 15 15


26 East Asia 21 28 25 25 25

0 Oceania 0 0 0 0 0

425 Total 319 235 393 330 330

Production none

401 North America 521 778 566 563 514

106 South America 69 91 97 107 107

8,864 European Union - 28 7,833 7,440 7,423 6,500 6,500

83 Other Europe 108 67 85 84 84


300 Middle East 330 300 320 320 320


0 East Asia 0 0 0 0 0

20 Oceania 22 25 26 26 26

14,459 Total 12,154 12,328 12,283 10,528 10,479


540 North America 634 679 659 623 575

106 South America 69 91 97 107 107

8,600 European Union - 28 7,900 7,600 7,700 6,500 6,500

97 Other Europe 113 74 92 99 99


343 Middle East 342 304 335 335 335


27 East Asia 22 29 26 25 25

19 Oceania 22 25 26 26 26

14,375 Total 12,512 12,318 12,618 10,793 10,745

Ending Stocks none

57 North America 63 183 119 88 87

0 South America 0 0 0 0 0

1,386 European Union - 28 1,209 989 692 642 642



14 Middle East 14 14 14 14 14


3 East Asia 2 1 0 0 0

0 Oceania 0 0 0 0 0

2,000 Total 1,624 1,608 1,241 955 954




Documents

United States Department of Agriculture Foreign Agricultural … · 2018-10-17 · United States Department of Agriculture Foreign Agricultural Service ... Month Ending Argentina