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1 Welcome to Presentation of Twelfth Five Year Plan and Annual Plan Proposal Madhya Pradesh May 11, 2012

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Welcome to Presentation of

Twelfth Five Year Plan and Annual Plan Proposal Madhya Pradesh

May 11, 2012

2

2

ACHIEVEMENTS OF ELEVENTH PLAN (ECONOMY)

Targets and Achievement

Sector Target for Growth(1999-00 prices)

Expected Growth(1999-00 prices)*

Expected Growth

(2004-05 prices)(2004-05 base)

Agriculture (Primary) 5.0 % 4.0% 7.17

Industry (Secondary) 10.0 % 11.6% 9.66

Service (Tertiary) 8.0 % 9.6% 11.70

Over all Economy 7.9 % 8.8% 10.02

2*Mid Term Appraisal of Eleventh Plan, PMPSU, SPC, Govt. of MP

3

3

GROWTH IN GSDP (AT CONSTANT PRICES OF 2004-05)

9.59.6

9.3

6.8

8

8.5

6.88

5.31

9.23

4.69

12.37

10.5

8.17

9.76

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

2005-06 2007-08 2009-10 (P) 2011-12(A)

India MP3

4

4

GROWTH RATE IN AGRICULTURE (AGRICULTURE, FORESTRY AND FISHING)

(AT 2004-05 PRICE AND 2004-05 BASE)

6.2 5.8

0.11

7

2.52.91

2.35

-1.49

10.2 10.02

2.99

6.47.17

-4

-2

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

2006-07 2007-08 2008-09 2009-10(P) 2010-11(Q) 2011-12(A) XI Plan

India MP

4Source: Press Information Bureau, Govt. of India 31st January 2012 and Directorate of Economic & Statistics, Govt. of MP

5

5

GROWTH RATE IN SECONDARY SECTOR (AT 2004-05 PRICE AND 2004-05 BASE)

12.17

9.67

4.44

8.4

7.16

3.95

6.33

16.71

5.93

17.31

7.7 7.68.38

9.66

0

5

10

15

20

2006-07 2007-08 2008-09 2009-10(P) 2010-11(Q) 2011-12 (A) XI Plan

India MP

5Source: Press Information Bureau, Govt. of India 31st January 2012 and Directorate of Economic & Statistics, Govt. of MP

6

6

GROWTH RATE IN TERTIARY(SERVICE) SECTOR

(AT 2004-05 PRICE AND 2004-05 BASE)

10.06 10.27 9.9810.45

9.35 9.389.81

9.04

7.52

10.4

12.66

11.2612.24

11.7

02468

101214

2006-07 2007-08 2008-09 2009-10(P) 2010-11(Q) 2011-12(A) XI Plan

India MP

6Source: Press Information Bureau, Govt. of India 31st January 2012 and Directorate of Economic & Statistics, Govt. of MP

7

PER CAPITA INCOME M.P AND ALL INDIA (AT 2004-05 PRICES)

7

8

8

TOTAL REVENUE RECEIPT AS % OF GSDP

17.7719

17.0818.24

19.95 20.6

0

5

10

15

20

25

2006-07 2007-08 2008-09 2009-10 2010-11 2011-12

MP

MP8Source: Finance Dept. Govt. of MP

9

9

FISCAL DEFICIT AS % OF GSDP

3.32

2.55

6.046.48

1.951.72

2.262.73

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

2006-07 2007-08 2008-09 2009-10

India MP9

Source: Data Book for DCH April 09, 2012 & Finance Dept. Govt. of MP

10

10

OWN TAX REVENUE AS % OF GSDP

8.188.81

7.94

7.077.24 7.446.93

7.61

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

9

10

2006-07 2007-08 2008-09 2009-10

India MP

10

Source: Data Book for DCH April 09, 2012 & Finance Dept. Govt. of MPFor India Own tax revenue is net of states share

11

11

FISCAL PARAMETERS OF THE STATE

Year Actual 2010-11

Revised Budget

2011-12

Budget Estimates

2012-13

Revenue Surplus as % of GSDP

2.52 2.58 1.89

Fiscal Deficit as % of GSDP

1.94 2.63 2.98

Total Outstanding Debt as % of GSDP

27.79 27.73 28.09

11

Source: DoF, MP

12

SELECTED SECTORAL PERFORMANCES

12

13

13

POVERTY ESTIMATES (M.P AND ALL INDIA)

44.6 45.348.6

37.236.7

29.8

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

Total-MP Total-India

1993-94 2004-05 2009-10

Source: Planning Commission Revised Poverty estimates press release, Planning Commission, Government of India, November 2009 Based on MRP (Mixed Reference Period) and Recent Press Release of Planning Commission.

14

14

LITERACY RATE

14

Data of 1991 pertains to combined Madhya Pradesh and Chhattisgarh

15

15

LITERACY RATE BY GENDER

29.4

58.5

50.3

76.1

60

80.5

0102030405060708090

Female Male

1991 2001 2011

Data of 1991 pertains to combined Madhya Pradesh and Chhattisgarh

16

16

NET ENROLMENT RATIO IN ELEMENTARY CLASSES: MP

16

Source: Department of Education, Govt. of MP

17

17

UPPER PRIMARY LEVEL IN MP AND INDIA

(AS PER FLASH STATISTICS, AS ON 30TH SEPTEMBER 2009,NUEPA)

17

18

TRANSITION RATE FROM UPPER PRIMARY TO SECONDARY LEVEL

19

19

INFANT MORTALITY RATE: MP VERSUS INDIA (DEATHS PER 1000 LIVE BIRTHS)

19

20

20

MATERNAL MORTALITY RATIO (DEATHS PER 100000 LIVE BIRTHS)

MP, 441MP, 407

MP, 379

MP, 335MP, 313

India, 398

India, 327India, 301

India, 254

India, 212

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

400

450

500

1997-98 1999-2001 2001-03 2004-06 2007-09

Source: Various SRS reports, office of Registrar General and Census Commissioner, GoI.

21

21

GENERATION CAPACITY (IN MW)

2990.45

842.95

2147.51712.5 1715.85

6418

3724.7

917.2

2807.52371.5 2430.5

216 255

8998

0

1000

2000

3000

4000

5000

6000

7000

8000

9000

10000

MPPGCL Hydel Thermal Hydel (Joint Sector) Central Sector Private Sector Other Sector Total Installed Capacity

As on March2006 As on March 201121

Source: Energy Department, Government of MP

22

22

AGGREGATE TECHNICAL & COMMERCIAL LOSSES

40.75 40.71

39.75

39.21

38.5

37

37.5

38

38.5

39

39.5

40

40.5

41

Aggregate Technical and Commercial Losses

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011

22Source: Energy Department, GoMP

23

AREA & PRODUCTION: AGRICULTURAL CROPS

23

24

24

WHEAT PROCURED UNDER MSP

1968

3538

4965

8000

0100020003000400050006000700080009000

2009-10 2010-11 2011-12 2012-13(Expected)

Procurement (000 MT)

24

25

25

STORAGE CAPACITY (GOVERNMENT AND PRIVATE) USED FOR RABI

PROCUREMENT:

25Food &Civil Supply Dept., GoMP.

26

AREA & PRODUCTION OF HORTICULTURE: ALL CROPS

26

27

27

RABI IRRIGATION FROM IRRIGATION PROJECTS

823 821 801958

1722

0

500

1000

1500

2000

2007-08 2008-09 2009-10 2010-11 2011-12

Thousand Hectare

27

Source: Water Resource Department, Government of MP

28

28

PHYSICAL PROGRESS UNDER PMGSY

708110043

13832

19063

26957

37355

49445

0

10000

20000

30000

40000

50000

60000

2005 2006 2007 2008 '2009 2010 2011

Length in Km

28

Source: National Rural Road Development Agency, Ministry of Rural Development

29

29

ANNUAL PLAN 2012-13

29

30

30

ANNUAL PLAN OUTLAYS: YEAR-WISE (RS. CRORE)

9101

1201114061.19

16174.17

19000

23000

27061

0

5000

10000

15000

20000

25000

30000

Outlay2006-07 2007-08 2008-09 2009-10 2010-11 2011-12 2012-13 (proposed) 30

31

31

PLAN OUTLAYS AND EXPENDITURE : YEAR- WISE (RS.

CRORE)

12011

14182.61

16174.17

19000

23000

27061

12047.4413081.02

14610

20156.84

22781.5

0

5000

10000

15000

20000

25000

30000

2007-08 2008-09 2009-11 2010-11 2011-12 (anticipated)

2012-13

Outlay Expenditure 31

32

32

RESOURCE MOBILIZATION FOR ANNUAL PLAN 2012- 13

(IN RS. CRORE)

32Total Resources: 28074.05 Crore Total Plan Size: 27061 Crore

33

33

S. No.

Major Sector Annual Plan(2011-12)

Annual Plan (2012-13)

Outlay(Rs. Crore)

Percentage Share

Outlay(Rs.

Crore)

Percentage Share

1 Agriculture and Allied Activities 2219.79 9.65 2040.67 7.54

2 Rural Development 1954.93 8.50 1915.86 7.08

3 Special Areas Programme 1033.98 4.50 1101.04 4.07

4 Irrigation and Flood Control 3046.65 13.25 3299.19 12.19

5 Energy 1987.91 8.64 2769.87 10.24

6 Industry & Mining 371.17 1.61 688.26 2.54

7 Transport 2541.96 11.05 3626.21 13.40

8 Science Technology & Environment 66.09 0.29 72.41 0.27

9 General Economic Services 702.03 3.05 676.16 2.50

10 Social Services 8873.70 38.58 10670.49 39.43

11 General Services 201.79 0.88 200.84 0.74

12 Total 23000.00 100.00 27061.00 100.00

34

34

Sub Plan Outlay Share to Total Outlay

Normal Plan 16813.40 62.13

Tribal Sub Plan

(TSP) 6107.27 22.57

Scheduled Caste

Sub Plan (SCSP) 4140.33 15.30

Total Plan 27061.00 100.00

35

35

12TH FIVE YEAR PLAN

35

36

36

TARGETS OF XII FIVE YEAR PLAN (2004-05 PRICES)

Sector Target (Annual Growth of )

Agriculture (Primary) 9 % (7.17)

Industry (Secondary) 12.0 % (9.66)

Service (Tertiary) 13.75 % (11.70)

Overall Economy 12.00% (10.02)

36Figures in brackets indicate growth in the 11th

Plan

37

37

PLAN OUTLAYS AND EXPENDITURE (RS. CRORE)

34790.5184367.78

201862

34002.69

82676.8

0

50000

100000

150000

200000

250000

X Plan XI Plan XII Plan

Approved Plan Outlay Expenditure 37

38

38

RESOURCE MOBILIZATION FOR TWELFTH PLAN 2012- 17

(IN RS. CRORE)

Public Sector Enterprises, 8291, 4%

State’s own funds, 102815.86, 49%

Central Assistance, 35496.09, 17%

State’s Government Budgetary

Borrowings, 63466.95, 30%

State’s own funds State’s Government Budgetary BorrowingsCentral Assistance Public Sector Enterprises

38Total Resources: 210069 Crore

Total Plan Size: 201862 Crore

39

39

S. No. Major Sector Eleventh Plan(2007-12)

Twelfth Plan* (2012-17)

Outlay(Rs. Crore)

% Outlay(Rs. Crore)

%

1 Agriculture and Allied Activities 3408.19 4.85 17076.50 8.46

2 Rural Development 7940.08 11.29 12946.70 6.41

3 Special Areas Programme 3132.04 4.45 8356.90 4.14

4 Irrigation and Flood Control 15102.61 21.47 27313.50 13.53

5 Energy 9491.78 13.50 20941.90 10.38

6 Industry & Mining 597.06 0.85 5839.70 2.89

7 Transport 8574.84 12.19 24641.00 12.21

8 Science Technology & Environment

189.88 0.27 569.00 0.28

9 General Economic Services 1529.90 2.18 3501.49 1.74

10 Social Services 20207.35 28.73 79820.22 39.54

11 General Services 155.27 0.22 855.09 0.42

12 Total 70329.00 100.00 201862.00 100.00

40

40

Sub Plan Outlay Percentage Share

Normal Plan 123831.23 61.35

Tribal Sub Plan

(TSP) 46635.41 23.10

Scheduled Caste

Sub Plan (SCSP) 31395.36 15.55

Total Plan 201862 100.00

41

PRIORITIES FOR THE TWELFTH PLAN

41

42

42

AGRICULTURE AND ALLIED ACTIVITIES

9% growth in agricultural sector

Diversify and value add to make agriculture a remunerative

profession for the small and marginal farmers

Bring total area under horticulture to 1.2 million ha.

Encourage PPP in extension services, and agro- processing

Promote micro irrigation

Increase in per hectare use of fertilizer

Promote farm mechanisation and custom hiring services

42

43

AGRICULTURE AND ALLIED ACTIVITIES (CONTD..)

Enhancement of Storage Capacity

Strengthen seed production infrastructure

Promote production of pulses

Achieve animal health coverage of over 70%

Use technology for breed improvement

Achieve annual growth rate of 5% in milk

production

43

44

PANCHAYAT & RURAL DEVELOPMENT

To reduce poverty levels from 36.7% to 25%

Covering all Village with BT roads

Empowering women through socio-economic

development.

44

45

45

ENERGY-

CONVENTIONAL AND RENEWABLE

Turning from power deficit to power surplus state.

Completion of Feeder Separation in rural areas

Ensure 8 hrs of continuous power for Agriculture

To convert all utilities into commercially viable entities

Provide access to electricity to all willing households

Provide 10% of state’s energy needs from Renewable

sources45

46

46

HEALTH

Reduce MMR to 200

Reduce IMR to 35

Improve the CSR to 930 from 912

Reduce TFR to 2.2

Ensure 100% Immunization

Total Health care for all at the village level46

47

47

EDUCATION

Enhancing achievement levels of children of govt

schools

Improve quality of education at the primary and secondary level

Reduce dropout rate in elementary education to

below 3%

Ensure transition rate to secondary to above 90%

Enhance capacity of teachers through training 47

48

IRRIGATION

Expand present irrigation facilities by 12 lakh

hectares from all govt. schemes

Bridging the gap between potential created and utilized

Focus on efficiency on water usage

Command Area Development

Capacity restoration and enhancement of projects

Completion of all on-going projects 48

49

DRINKING WATER

Provide safe drinking water to Rural population

Ensure piped water supply to 20% of rural households

Reduce dependence on ground water and increase utilisation of surface water

49

50

PUBLIC WORKS DEPARTMENT

Complete development of 54000 KM of SH,MDR

and ODR.

Capacity enhancement for building construction wings by forming Project implementation units

Ensure safer highways

50

51

51

SOCIAL SECTORS

Reduce Total underweight children to below 40%. Bring

SAM to below 5%

Bridge the infrastructure gap for WCD (Anganwadis)

Strengthen infrastructure for Child Protection

Institutionalize convergence between Health, WCD and

Safe Drinking Water

Producing Quality Skilled Manpower especially in rural

areas

Strengthen social, economic and political empowerment

especially of SCs/STs, OBCs, minorities and poor.

51

52

RECENT AND PLANNED INITIATIVES

52

53

53

RECENT AND PLANNED INITIATIVES

CM Urban Drinking Water Mission

CM Urban Sanitation Programme

CM Urban Infrastructure Programme

Urban Governance Restructuring Initiative

53

54

54

RECENT AND PLANNED INITIATIVES

Strengthening of T& D and feeder separation with

ADB and JICA Assistance

Creation of 25 PIUs for improving construction quality in PWD.

Development of SH,MDR and ODR on PPP mode.

Construction of ROBs in partnership between PWD

and Railways 54

55

RECENT AND PLANNED INITIATIVES

Establishment of Horticulture Hubs and clusters

Establishment of fertilizer and Seed Quality Control Labs

State support for advance storage of fertilizer

Establishment of State Micro irrigation Mission

Universal provision of soil health cards

Promotion of Farm Mechanization & Custom hiring55

56

56

RECENT AND PLANNED INITIATIVES

Creation of new company for Rural and urban piped

water supply scheme and sewerage disposal

Development of New Industrial Area and up gradation of existing Industrial Areas

56

57

RECENT AND PLANNED INITIATIVES

Decentralized Planning and Social Audit

Public service guarantee for all critical Services

E- governance for implementing and

monitoring of programmes and projects

57

58

THANK YOU58

59

59

ISSUES FOR

DISCUSSION

59