xx7167_031912_USC_LA_Times_bbk

7/31/2019 xx7167_031912_USC_LA_Times_bbk

1/475

March 14-19, 2012 USC Dornsife College of Letters, Arts and Sciences/Los Angeles Times Greenberg Quinlan Ro

PARTY REG PARTY ID RACE KIDS

Lat MinorTotal Dem Rep DTS Other Dem Ind Rep White Black ino Asian ity Yes No

Vote Summary ...Total answering (1500) (660) (465) (295) (80) (676) (368) (431) (1005) (90) (300) (65) (499) (416) (1059

Total Answering UNWT (1500) (711) (486) (243) (60) (702) (338) (430) (859) (77) (471) (53) (648) (381) (1088PTYREG Dem 44 100 - - - 79 23 5 39 77 54 35 54 47 43Rep 31 - 100 - - 4 23 81 38 9 16 28 18 28 32DTS 20 - - 100 - 14 38 12 18 11 26 20 22 20 19Other 5 - - - 100 2 15 2 5 3 4 17 6 5 6

2-3-2 Dem 45 81 5 33 20 100 - - 40 79 58 34 57 44 46Ind 25 13 18 48 71 - 100 - 25 16 23 38 24 24 25Rep 29 4 75 17 9 - - 100 35 3 15 28 16 30 28

3-1-3 Dem 54 89 9 52 36 100 36 - 48 85 68 46 67 52 55Ind 8 4 4 16 31 - 31 - 8 9 7 15 8 7 8Rep 37 6 86 30 33 - 33 100 44 4 21 39 22 39 36

OBAMA JOB Approve 57 83 20 61 51 88 48 17 53 92 66 53 68 56 58Disapprove 38 14 76 30 45 9 46 78 44 5 27 38 26 38 38

(Dont know) 4 2 3 9 4 3 6 4 3 1 6 8 5 5 4(Refused) 1 1 1 0 - 1 0 1 1 2 1 1 1 1 1

BROWN JOB Approve 49 67 25 44 53 69 42 23 49 57 47 39 47 47 49Disapprove 35 19 64 27 36 15 40 64 38 32 29 36 31 36 35(Dont know) 15 14 10 29 11 15 18 13 13 11 24 26 21 17 15(Refused) 1 0 1 - - 1 - 1 0 - 0 - 1 0 1

REP PRES PRIMARY Romney 42 - 42 - - 28 35 45 44 9 28 51 31 46 40Gingrich 12 - 12 - - 13 8 13 12 - 9 9 13 11 12Paul 10 - 10 - - 12 20 7 9 - 16 13 13 9 10Santorum 23 - 23 - - 10 22 24 25 - 19 14 15 20 24(Other) 2 - 2 - - 3 5 1 2 - 4 - 2 3 1(Undecided) 9 - 9 - - 10 9 8 7 20 19 12 17 9 9(Refused) 0 - 0 - - - - 0 0 - - - - - 0(Will not vote) 3 - 3 - - 24 2 1 2 72 5 - 9 3 3

ROMNEY VOTE Obama 57 84 17 62 54 91 47 14 51 95 68 61 70 56 58Romney 36 11 76 30 31 6 41 80 43 3 21 32 21 37 36(Other) 1 1 1 0 2 0 2 1 1 - 1 - 1 1 1(Undecided) 4 3 3 6 6 3 5 4 4 2 6 - 5 5 3(Refused) 1 1 1 1 - 0 1 1 1 - 1 - 1 0 1(Will not vote) 1 1 2 1 7 0 4 1 1 - 2 6 2 1 1

GINGRICH VOTE Obama 62 88 21 68 63 94 54 18 56 97 72 63 73 61 62Gingrich 30 7 69 22 24 3 32 73 37 3 17 23 17 33 30(Other) 1 1 1 1 2 0 3 0 1 - 1 2 1 1 1(Undecided) 4 3 3 7 4 2 5 4 3 1 6 4 5 3 4(Refused) 0 1 1 0 - 0 1 0 0 - 1 1 1 0 0(Will not vote) 3 1 5 2 7 0 5 4 3 - 3 7 3 2 3

SANTORUM VOTE Obama 61 86 21 67 63 93 54 17 55 95 71 68 73 58 62Santorum 32 8 72 23 28 3 34 76 39 2 18 21 17 33 32(Other) 1 0 1 2 - 0 2 0 1 - 1 1 1 1 1

(Undecided) 4 4 3 6 3 2 5 4 3 2 6 3 4 5 3(Refused) 0 0 - 1 - 0 0 0 - - 2 - 1 0 0(Will not vote) 2 1 4 2 6 1 5 3 2 1 3 6 3 2 2

PAUL VOTE Obama 59 85 22 59 56 92 47 18 54 95 69 57 70 56 60Paul 31 8 66 30 32 4 39 69 37 1 20 30 19 36 30(Other) 1 1 2 1 - 0 1 1 1 - 1 1 1 0 1(Undecided) 5 4 4 8 3 3 7 5 4 2 6 - 5 4 4(Refused) 1 1 1 0 - 1 1 0 0 - 1 4 1 1 1(Will not vote) 4 2 6 2 9 1 5 7 4 2 2 8 3 3 4

P


2/475


3/475


LIKELY 2008 VOTE IDEOLOGY PTYID/IDEO GENDER

Lkly Mod LibLkly Rep Mc Lib Mod Consr Lib Cons Mod Cons

Total voter prim ObamaCain eral erate vativ Dem Dem Rep Rep Men WomenVote Summary ...Total answering (1500) (1331) (389) (713) (401) (410) (540) (485) (358) (423) (199) (337) (705) (795)

Total Answering UNWT (1500) (1325) (406) (719) (421) (389) (514) (525) (335) (452) (187) (346) (706) (794)PTYREG Dem 44 44 - 68 7 68 46 22 75 71 11 4 39 49Rep 31 32 100 9 77 6 28 57 2 7 67 76 32 30DTS 20 19 - 18 11 21 22 15 18 19 18 15 22 18Other 5 5 - 4 4 6 4 6 5 3 5 5 7 4

2-3-2 Dem 45 45 3 72 3 74 48 20 84 84 - - 39 50Ind 25 23 18 21 24 21 27 24 16 16 24 21 29 21Rep 29 30 79 7 72 5 24 55 - - 76 79 31 27

3-1-3 Dem 54 54 5 84 4 87 57 24 100 100 - - 47 60Ind 8 7 4 7 5 5 10 6 - - - - 11 5Rep 37 38 90 9 90 7 32 70 - - 100 100 41 33

OBAMA JOB Approve 57 58 17 86 10 85 63 28 90 83 25 10 54 61Disapprove 38 38 81 11 88 11 32 69 6 13 70 87 42 35

(Dont know) 4 3 1 3 1 4 4 2 4 3 4 1 4 4(Refused) 1 1 1 0 1 0 0 1 0 1 0 2 1 0

BROWN JOB Approve 49 50 23 70 17 70 52 26 75 63 30 15 51 47Disapprove 35 36 68 16 72 14 30 60 10 20 56 74 38 33(Dont know) 15 14 8 15 10 16 17 13 15 17 14 10 11 19(Refused) 1 0 1 - 0 - 1 1 - 1 - 1 0 1

REP PRES PRIMARY Romney 42 41 42 45 44 24 53 38 17 31 55 40 40 43Gingrich 12 12 12 4 13 6 7 16 - 13 8 16 13 11Paul 10 10 10 12 7 2 17 6 - 22 16 4 11 9Santorum 23 24 24 18 25 23 12 29 22 17 11 30 24 21(Other) 2 2 2 4 2 5 3 1 3 1 3 1 1 2(Undecided) 9 8 8 7 7 18 5 8 - 8 8 8 8 9(Refused) 0 0 0 - 0 - - 0 - - - 0 - 0(Will not vote) 3 3 2 10 1 22 2 2 58 7 - 2 2 4

ROMNEY VOTE Obama 57 57 12 87 6 89 63 23 95 84 24 5 55 60Romney 36 36 81 9 88 8 30 68 4 10 70 88 39 33(Other) 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 1 1 1 1 1(Undecided) 4 4 3 2 3 1 5 5 1 4 3 4 3 4(Refused) 1 1 1 - 0 0 1 1 - 1 1 0 1 1(Will not vote) 1 1 2 1 1 1 0 2 0 0 1 2 2 1

GINGRICH VOTE Obama 62 61 17 91 10 91 69 29 97 89 31 9 60 63Gingrich 30 31 73 5 81 6 23 61 1 4 60 82 33 27(Other) 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 0 0 1 1 - 1 1(Undecided) 4 3 3 2 3 2 4 4 1 3 3 3 2 5(Refused) 0 0 1 - 1 0 0 1 - 1 1 0 0 1(Will not vote) 3 2 5 1 4 1 2 5 0 1 5 5 3 3

SANTORUM VOTE Obama 61 60 16 90 8 92 67 26 97 87 31 8 58 64Santorum 32 34 79 6 86 5 24 65 1 6 61 86 34 30(Other) 1 1 1 0 0 0 1 1 0 1 0 0 1 1

(Undecided) 4 3 2 3 2 1 5 4 1 4 3 2 3 4(Refused) 0 0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 1 - 0 0(Will not vote) 2 2 3 1 3 1 2 4 1 1 4 3 3 2

PAUL VOTE Obama 59 59 18 87 10 85 65 28 92 86 25 12 55 62Paul 31 33 70 8 76 10 25 58 5 7 62 75 36 27(Other) 1 1 2 1 1 1 1 1 0 0 1 1 1 1(Undecided) 5 4 4 3 5 2 5 6 2 4 5 5 4 5(Refused) 1 1 1 0 1 1 0 1 1 1 1 1 0 1(Will not vote) 4 3 5 1 7 1 4 6 1 2 7 7 4 4

P


4/475

Greenberg Quinlan Rosner USC Dornsife College of Letters, Arts and Sciences/Los Angeles Times March 14-19, 2012

WHT GEND AGE

5018 - 30 - 40 - 50 - Over 18 - and

Total Men Women 29 39 49 64 64 49 over

ote Summary ...

Total answering (1500) (475) (530) (236) (190) (239) (375) (401) (665) (776)

Total Answering UNWT (1500) (403) (456) (174) (121) (178) (475) (470) (473) (945)

PTYREG Dem 44 33 44 41 43 46 48 43 43 45Rep 31 40 36 21 18 31 30 44 24 37DTS 20 21 16 30 34 17 18 10 26 14Other 5 6 4 8 6 6 5 3 7 4

2-3-2 Dem 45 33 46 48 47 44 48 43 46 45nd 25 29 21 31 26 24 24 19 27 21

Rep 29 38 33 20 25 30 26 38 25 32

3-1-3 Dem 54 41 54 66 54 52 56 48 58 52nd 8 11 5 9 8 9 6 5 9 6

Rep 37 48 41 24 36 37 37 46 32 41

OBAMA JOB Approve 57 48 57 65 63 59 56 51 62 54Disapprove 38 48 40 25 32 38 41 46 31 43

Dont know) 4 3 3 9 5 2 3 3 5 3Refused) 1 1 0 2 - 1 1 0 1 1

BROWN JOB Approve 49 51 48 43 46 55 51 50 48 51Disapprove 35 40 35 26 28 36 38 39 30 39Dont know) 15 8 16 29 26 8 11 10 21 10Refused) 1 1 0 2 - 0 0 0 1 0

REP PRES PRIMARY Romney 42 40 47 20 55 39 43 46 36 45Gingrich 12 13 11 10 13 12 9 15 12 13Paul 10 10 8 30 5 10 10 5 15 7Santorum 23 27 23 21 4 25 29 22 19 25Other) 2 1 2 1 4 2 0 2 2 2Undecided) 9 8 6 13 10 8 7 7 10 7Refused) 0 - 1 - - - - - - -Will not vote) 3 2 2 5 9 5 1 2 5 2

ROMNEY VOTE Obama 57 48 54 71 65 56 56 49 64 53Romney 36 46 40 21 31 34 37 46 29 42Other) 1 1 1 1 - 0 2 1 1 1Undecided) 4 3 4 4 3 7 3 2 5 3Refused) 1 1 0 2 0 0 1 0 1 0Will not vote) 1 1 1 1 1 2 1 1 1 1

GINGRICH VOTE Obama 62 53 59 78 65 61 62 53 68 57Gingrich 30 41 33 12 27 32 31 40 23 36Other) 1 1 1 2 2 - 1 1 1 1Undecided) 4 2 5 7 3 4 3 2 5 2Refused) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0Will not vote) 3 2 3 1 3 3 3 3 2 3

SANTORUM VOTE Obama 61 51 58 80 66 61 59 51 69 55Santorum 32 42 36 13 27 29 35 44 23 40Other) 1 1 0 1 2 - 1 0 1 1

Undecided) 4 3 3 5 4 6 3 2 5 2Refused) 0 - - 0 0 1 0 - 0 0Will not vote) 2 3 2 1 2 3 2 3 2 2

PAUL VOTE Obama 59 49 57 69 62 59 59 54 63 56Paul 31 43 32 24 32 31 30 36 29 33Other) 1 1 1 1 - - 1 2 0 1Undecided) 5 3 5 5 3 5 5 3 4 4Refused) 1 0 0 1 0 1 1 0 1 0Will not vote) 4 4 4 1 3 4 4 5 3 4

age 4


5/475


WHITE AGE GENDER/AGE

5018 - 30 - 40 - 50 - Over 18 - and Young Young Older Older

Total 29 39 49 64 64 49 over Women Men Women Men

Vote Summary ...Total answering (1500) (111) (118) (146) (264) (339) (375) (603) (335) (329) (429) (347)

Total Answering UNWT (1500) (49) (54) (86) (283) (358) (189) (641) (245) (228) (507) (438)PTYREG Dem 44 38 35 42 43 38 39 40 46 41 52 37Rep 31 26 22 37 36 48 29 43 23 24 34 41DTS 20 29 41 14 16 11 27 13 26 27 11 17Other 5 7 3 7 5 4 5 5 5 9 3 5

2-3-2 Dem 45 46 45 36 40 39 42 39 50 42 52 37Ind 25 24 23 28 29 19 25 23 25 29 17 27Rep 29 30 32 36 30 42 33 37 22 28 30 35

3-1-3 Dem 54 59 53 47 49 44 52 46 64 52 58 45Ind 8 10 6 9 7 6 8 6 6 11 3 8Rep 37 31 41 44 43 50 39 47 27 37 38 46

OBAMA JOB Approve 57 62 64 57 50 47 61 49 66 58 57 49Disapprove 38 26 32 43 47 50 34 48 28 35 39 48

(Dont know) 4 9 4 - 3 2 4 3 6 5 3 2(Refused) 1 3 - - 0 0 1 0 0 2 0 1

BROWN JOB Approve 49 46 47 58 50 50 51 50 47 50 50 52Disapprove 35 24 25 36 42 42 29 42 26 34 38 40(Dont know) 15 27 28 6 9 8 19 9 26 15 13 8(Refused) 1 3 - - 0 0 1 0 1 1 0 0

REP PRES PRIMARY Romney 42 20 60 44 42 47 41 45 37 36 45 45Gingrich 12 4 15 12 9 16 10 13 9 15 13 13Paul 10 31 - 12 10 4 14 6 11 19 7 7Santorum 23 30 - 26 32 24 21 27 16 21 25 25(Other) 2 - 5 3 - 2 3 1 4 - 2 2(Undecided) 9 10 11 3 6 5 7 6 12 9 8 6(Refused) 0 - - - - - - - - - - -(Will not vote) 3 5 9 - 2 2 4 2 10 1 1 3

ROMNEY VOTE Obama 57 64 63 51 50 45 59 47 66 62 56 48Romney 36 27 32 41 45 50 34 48 26 32 39 46(Other) 1 1 - - 1 1 0 1 0 1 1 1(Undecided) 4 5 3 7 2 2 5 2 6 4 2 3(Refused) 1 2 - - 0 0 1 0 0 1 1 0(Will not vote) 1 - 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2

GINGRICH VOTE Obama 62 74 63 55 58 49 63 53 69 68 60 53Gingrich 30 15 29 40 36 44 29 41 22 25 32 41(Other) 1 1 3 - 1 1 1 1 0 2 1 1(Undecided) 4 10 3 4 2 2 5 2 7 2 3 2(Refused) 0 - - - 0 0 - 0 0 0 1 0(Will not vote) 3 - 2 1 3 4 1 3 2 3 3 3

SANTORUM VOTE Obama 61 77 65 56 53 47 65 50 71 67 59 50Santorum 32 16 27 38 41 48 28 45 21 25 37 43(Other) 1 - 3 - 0 0 1 0 1 1 0 1

(Undecided) 4 7 5 3 3 2 5 2 5 4 3 2(Refused) 0 - - - - - - - 1 0 0 -(Will not vote) 2 - 1 3 2 2 1 2 2 2 1 4

PAUL VOTE Obama 59 65 60 53 54 50 59 52 67 59 60 52Paul 31 27 33 40 36 40 34 38 24 34 30 38(Other) 1 - - - 1 2 - 1 0 - 1 2(Undecided) 5 8 2 3 5 3 4 4 6 3 4 4(Refused) 1 - - 1 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 0(Will not vote) 4 - 5 3 4 5 3 5 3 3 4 5

P


6/475


EDUCATION WHITE EDUCATION

4 Non 4 NonHS or Post year Post Coll Coll HS or Post year Post Coll Coll

Total less HS grad grad ege ege less HS grad grad ege ege

ote Summary ...

Total answering (1500) (313) (442) (422) (311) (755) (733) (137) (302) (314) (249) (439) (564)

Total Answering UNWT (1500) (374) (442) (371) (293) (816) (664) (118) (268) (252) (219) (386) (471)

PTYREG Dem 44 50 39 45 44 44 44 38 34 42 42 35 42Rep 31 25 38 28 32 33 30 41 46 31 35 44 33DTS 20 19 18 21 21 18 21 16 16 21 20 16 20Other 5 6 6 7 3 6 5 5 5 6 3 5 4

2-3-2 Dem 45 54 40 43 47 46 45 42 32 42 43 35 43nd 25 19 24 31 24 22 28 20 24 28 25 23 26

Rep 29 23 36 25 28 31 27 37 44 30 31 42 30

3-1-3 Dem 54 60 49 54 55 54 54 46 41 52 52 42 52nd 8 8 7 9 7 7 8 10 7 7 8 8 7

Rep 37 28 44 37 36 37 36 43 53 41 39 50 40

OBAMA JOB Approve 57 59 53 60 58 55 59 44 48 57 57 47 57Disapprove 38 33 43 36 39 39 37 46 49 40 40 48 40

Dont know) 4 7 3 4 2 4 3 10 2 2 2 4 2Refused) 1 1 1 - 1 1 0 0 2 - 0 1 0

BROWN JOB Approve 49 45 42 51 58 43 54 47 40 53 59 42 55Disapprove 35 32 40 34 34 37 34 33 45 34 34 42 34Dont know) 15 23 17 14 7 19 11 20 14 13 7 15 10Refused) 1 0 1 - 0 1 0 0 1 - - 1 -

REP PRES PRIMARY Romney 42 30 42 43 48 38 45 32 44 45 51 41 48Gingrich 12 5 18 10 9 14 10 4 18 9 9 14 9Paul 10 10 9 10 11 9 11 13 7 9 10 9 9Santorum 23 30 19 22 24 23 23 40 19 25 24 25 24Other) 2 1 1 4 2 1 3 - 1 4 2 0 3Undecided) 9 19 7 10 2 11 7 12 6 8 2 8 5Refused) 0 - 1 - - 0 - - 1 - - 1 -Will not vote) 3 4 3 1 4 4 2 - 4 1 3 3 2

ROMNEY VOTE Obama 57 61 50 61 59 55 60 49 42 57 56 44 56Romney 36 30 44 33 35 38 34 43 53 37 38 50 37Other) 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 - 1 1 1 1 1Undecided) 4 6 3 3 4 4 3 5 3 3 4 3 4Refused) 1 2 0 0 1 1 1 2 - 1 1 1 1Will not vote) 1 1 1 2 1 1 2 1 1 1 1 1 1

GINGRICH VOTE Obama 62 66 56 64 63 60 63 56 49 59 61 51 60Gingrich 30 25 35 30 30 31 30 38 41 34 33 40 34Other) 1 0 1 1 2 1 1 0 1 1 2 1 1Undecided) 4 5 5 3 2 5 2 3 5 3 2 4 3Refused) 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 - - 0 0 - 0Will not vote) 3 3 4 2 2 3 2 3 4 2 2 4 2

SANTORUM VOTE Obama 61 64 53 64 65 58 64 50 45 61 63 47 62Santorum 32 27 39 31 29 34 30 43 47 35 31 46 33Other) 1 1 0 0 2 0 1 1 0 0 2 0 1

Undecided) 4 6 4 2 3 5 3 6 4 2 3 5 2Refused) 0 1 1 - 0 1 0 - - - - - -Will not vote) 2 2 3 2 2 3 2 1 3 2 2 3 2

PAUL VOTE Obama 59 62 52 63 61 56 62 49 46 59 59 47 59Paul 31 26 37 29 32 33 30 41 43 32 35 42 33Other) 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 1 1 1Undecided) 5 7 5 3 3 6 3 6 6 3 3 6 3Refused) 1 1 1 1 0 1 1 - - 1 0 - 1Will not vote) 4 3 4 5 3 4 4 4 5 5 2 4 4

age 6


7/475


GENDER/EDUC AGE/EDUC MARITAL STATUS

Non Non Young Older Live SepColl Coll Coll Coll Non Young Non Older Marr Sep Wid with Div

Total Men Men WomenWomenColl Coll Coll Coll ied Singl Div owed prtnr Wid

Vote Summary ...Total answering (1500) (350) (346) (404) (387) (354) (310) (373) (400) (811) (369) (123) (104) (71) (227)

Total Answering UNWT (1500) (369) (325) (447) (339) (280) (193) (498) (443) (862) (304) (129) (119) (57) (248)PTYREG Dem 44 41 37 46 51 44 42 43 47 41 43 51 47 60 49 Rep 31 32 32 33 27 24 23 40 34 37 22 30 35 14 32 DTS 20 19 25 18 17 25 28 12 16 18 26 15 14 22 14 Other 5 8 6 3 5 7 7 4 4 4 9 5 4 4 4

2-3-2 Dem 45 41 37 49 52 48 44 44 47 40 49 55 45 68 51 Ind 25 25 33 19 23 24 31 18 24 24 30 20 20 19 20 Rep 29 33 29 29 24 26 24 37 28 34 20 24 35 12 29

3-1-3 Dem 54 49 45 57 63 59 56 49 55 48 64 61 53 72 57 Ind 8 9 13 6 4 8 10 5 6 7 10 6 8 8 7 Rep 37 41 41 34 32 31 33 44 38 45 25 31 39 18 35

OBAMA JOB Approve 57 54 53 57 65 62 63 50 57 50 67 64 59 77 61 Disapprove 38 40 43 37 32 31 32 45 41 47 26 31 38 19 34

(Dont know) 4 4 4 5 3 6 5 4 2 3 6 4 3 4 3 (Refused) 1 2 0 1 0 2 0 1 0 1 1 1 1 - 1

BROWN JOB Approve 49 48 52 39 56 43 54 45 56 46 49 57 53 60 55 Disapprove 35 37 38 36 31 30 30 41 36 42 26 30 35 21 32 (Dont know) 15 13 10 25 13 25 16 14 8 12 23 13 12 20 12 (Refused) 1 1 - 1 0 2 0 0 - 0 1 - - - -

REP PRES PRIMARY Romney 42 33 47 43 43 32 41 42 48 43 30 54 53 21 53 Gingrich 12 17 9 11 11 14 10 15 10 11 15 20 10 - 15 Paul 10 9 12 9 9 15 15 6 8 10 15 - 6 25 3 Santorum 23 27 22 19 24 18 20 25 25 24 17 18 23 46 21 (Other) 2 1 2 1 4 1 4 1 2 2 - - - 7 - (Undecided) 9 10 6 11 7 14 6 9 5 7 16 8 6 - 7 (Refused) 0 - - 1 - - - - - 0 - - - - - (Will not vote) 3 3 1 5 3 6 5 2 1 3 7 1 2 - 1

ROMNEY VOTE Obama 57 53 56 56 64 61 67 49 56 50 68 64 55 79 60 Romney 36 38 40 38 29 30 27 46 38 45 23 27 36 16 32 (Other) 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 3 - - 1 (Undecided) 4 5 1 4 5 6 3 2 3 3 4 4 5 6 4 (Refused) 1 1 0 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 2 0 1 - 1 (Will not vote) 1 1 2 1 1 1 2 1 1 1 1 2 2 - 2

GINGRICH VOTE Obama 62 61 59 60 67 69 68 54 61 55 73 65 60 83 63 Gingrich 30 32 35 29 26 22 25 38 34 39 17 26 29 14 27 (Other) 1 1 2 1 1 0 2 1 1 1 1 2 - - 1 (Undecided) 4 4 0 6 4 6 3 3 2 2 6 4 5 2 4 (Refused) 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 1 - 1 (Will not vote) 3 3 3 4 2 3 2 4 2 3 2 2 5 1 3

SANTORUM VOTE Obama 61 56 60 59 68 67 71 50 60 53 75 68 57 80 63 Santorum 32 35 34 33 26 24 22 44 35 41 18 24 38 13 30 (Other) 1 - 2 1 0 0 1 0 1 1 0 1 - - 0

(Undecided) 4 5 1 4 4 6 3 3 2 3 4 3 3 6 3 (Refused) 0 0 0 1 - 1 0 0 - 0 0 0 - - 0 (Will not vote) 2 3 3 2 1 2 2 3 2 2 2 4 2 1 3

PAUL VOTE Obama 59 55 56 57 67 61 66 52 60 52 68 65 58 74 62 Paul 31 34 37 31 24 30 27 35 32 38 22 25 29 21 27 (Other) 1 1 1 1 0 - 1 2 1 1 1 1 - - 1 (Undecided) 5 6 1 6 5 6 3 5 3 4 5 4 5 3 4 (Refused) 1 0 1 1 0 1 1 0 1 0 1 2 1 - 2 (Will not vote) 4 4 4 4 3 2 3 5 4 4 3 4 7 2 5

P


8/475


MARITAL GENDER MARITAL/KIDS

SpDiv Marr Unmar Marr UnmarMarr Singl Wid Unmar Marr Unmar Par Par no no

Total WomenWomenWomenWomen Men Men ents ents kids kids

ote Summary ...

Total answering (1500) (416) (172) (160) (368) (394) (300) (316) (99) (494) (569)

Total Answering UNWT (1500) (426) (152) (176) (353) (436) (256) (290) (90) (572) (519)

PTYREG Dem 44 47 46 52 50 36 43 45 54 39 46Rep 31 35 23 30 25 39 24 30 22 41 25DTS 20 15 27 13 21 22 22 22 15 15 23Other 5 4 3 4 4 4 11 3 9 5 6

2-3-2 Dem 45 46 55 52 56 35 46 41 54 40 51nd 25 21 25 19 21 28 30 25 23 24 26

Rep 29 32 17 28 21 37 24 33 20 35 23

3-1-3 Dem 54 54 71 59 67 41 57 49 60 46 63nd 8 5 6 6 6 9 12 6 11 8 8

Rep 37 40 21 34 26 49 31 44 26 45 28

OBAMA JOB Approve 57 54 71 63 69 46 63 53 66 48 66Disapprove 38 42 23 34 27 51 29 42 25 49 28

Dont know) 4 4 7 2 4 2 6 4 6 2 5Refused) 1 1 - 1 0 0 2 1 2 1 1

BROWN JOB Approve 49 47 41 52 47 44 59 47 49 45 53Disapprove 35 37 28 33 29 47 26 38 30 44 27Dont know) 15 15 30 15 23 10 14 15 22 11 19Refused) 1 0 1 - 1 0 1 0 - 0 1

REP PRES PRIMARY Romney 42 44 30 52 41 42 37 44 52 42 38Gingrich 12 10 12 14 13 12 16 10 13 11 14Paul 10 9 13 5 9 10 13 11 - 9 12Santorum 23 21 18 22 20 26 21 22 12 25 22Other) 2 4 - - 1 1 - 3 - 2 0Undecided) 9 8 16 7 11 6 12 7 19 8 10Refused) 0 1 - - - - - - - 1 -Will not vote) 3 3 12 1 6 2 2 2 3 3 4

ROMNEY VOTE Obama 57 54 70 60 67 45 67 53 66 47 67Romney 36 41 21 32 25 50 26 41 23 48 26Other) 1 1 2 1 1 1 1 0 2 1 1Undecided) 4 3 5 6 5 3 3 4 9 2 4Refused) 1 1 1 1 1 0 2 0 - 0 1Will not vote) 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 1 - 1 1

GINGRICH VOTE Obama 62 58 72 63 70 51 72 58 71 53 71Gingrich 30 35 16 26 20 43 22 36 22 40 20Other) 1 1 1 1 1 2 1 1 1 1 1Undecided) 4 4 8 5 7 1 3 2 7 3 5Refused) 0 0 1 1 1 0 0 0 - 0 1Will not vote) 3 2 3 3 3 4 2 2 - 3 3

SANTORUM VOTE Obama 61 57 76 62 72 48 71 54 72 51 71Santorum 32 37 17 32 22 45 21 37 20 43 22Other) 1 1 1 - 0 1 0 1 - 1 0

Undecided) 4 4 4 4 4 2 4 4 7 2 4Refused) 0 1 0 - 0 - 0 0 - 0 0Will not vote) 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 2 2 2 2

PAUL VOTE Obama 59 57 71 61 68 47 65 53 66 52 67Paul 31 32 19 27 22 44 26 39 27 38 23Other) 1 0 2 - 1 2 0 0 1 2 1Undecided) 5 6 5 4 4 3 5 4 4 4 5Refused) 1 1 1 1 1 0 1 0 1 0 1Will not vote) 4 3 2 7 4 5 3 3 1 4 4

age 8


9/475


PARENTS/RACE GENDER/KIDS

White Black Latno Mnrty Women MenWhite Non Non Latno Non Mnrty Non no no

Total Parnt Parnt Parnt Parnt Parnt Parnt Parnt Moms Dads kids kids


Total Answering UNWT (1500) (174) (685) (51) (157) (314) (212) (436) (187) (194) (607) (512)PTYREG Dem 44 41 38 77 57 52 57 53 51 43 48 37Rep 31 35 39 9 17 15 18 18 27 29 31 34DTS 20 21 18 12 23 28 18 24 18 23 17 22Other 5 3 5 2 3 5 7 5 4 6 4 7

2-3-2 Dem 45 37 40 80 56 59 56 58 50 39 50 40Ind 25 27 24 16 18 25 22 25 21 28 21 29Rep 29 37 35 1 19 13 19 15 27 32 27 30

3-1-3 Dem 54 46 49 87 59 73 61 70 58 45 60 48Ind 8 5 8 7 8 7 9 7 6 8 5 12Rep 37 49 43 3 27 18 26 20 34 45 33 39


(Dont know) 4 4 3 1 7 6 5 5 6 3 3 4(Refused) 1 0 1 - 2 1 2 1 0 1 1 1

BROWN JOB Approve 49 50 49 61 43 49 43 49 51 43 46 53Disapprove 35 36 38 28 31 29 36 28 30 43 35 36(Dont know) 15 14 12 11 26 23 20 21 20 14 19 10(Refused) 1 0 0 - 1 - 1 1 0 0 1 1

REP PRES PRIMARY Romney 42 53 41 14 32 25 30 31 48 43 41 39Gingrich 12 10 12 - 6 11 9 15 6 15 12 12Paul 10 9 9 - 11 19 10 15 7 10 9 11Santorum 23 21 26 - 22 18 17 13 15 26 23 24(Other) 2 3 1 - 3 6 1 3 6 - 1 2(Undecided) 9 4 7 - 19 19 23 14 13 5 8 9(Refused) 0 - 0 - - - - - - - 1 -(Will not vote) 3 - 3 86 7 3 9 9 4 1 4 2

ROMNEY VOTE Obama 57 48 52 93 62 71 69 71 59 53 60 55Romney 36 45 42 4 26 19 24 20 33 41 33 38(Other) 1 1 1 - 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1(Undecided) 4 6 3 3 6 6 4 5 6 5 4 3(Refused) 1 - 1 - 1 2 1 1 1 - 1 1(Will not vote) 1 1 1 - 1 2 1 2 1 0 1 2

GINGRICH VOTE Obama 62 53 57 95 67 75 72 74 62 59 64 61Gingrich 30 41 35 4 21 14 21 15 29 37 27 32(Other) 1 2 1 - - 2 - 1 1 2 1 1(Undecided) 4 3 3 1 6 6 4 5 5 1 5 3(Refused) 0 - 0 - 1 1 1 1 1 - 1 0(Will not vote) 3 2 3 - 5 2 3 3 2 1 3 4

SANTORUM VOTE Obama 61 51 56 93 64 75 70 75 61 55 65 59Santorum 32 40 38 3 24 14 21 15 30 36 30 34(Other) 1 1 0 - 1 1 1 1 0 1 1 1

(Undecided) 4 5 3 3 7 5 5 4 6 4 3 3(Refused) 0 - - - 1 2 1 1 1 - 0 0(Will not vote) 2 3 2 2 3 3 2 3 2 3 1 3

PAUL VOTE Obama 59 48 55 93 62 72 68 71 59 53 63 56Paul 31 44 35 1 26 17 22 17 30 41 26 34(Other) 1 - 1 - 1 1 0 1 - 0 1 1(Undecided) 5 4 4 3 8 5 5 5 6 3 5 4(Refused) 1 0 0 - 1 1 1 2 1 1 1 0(Will not vote) 4 3 4 3 1 3 3 4 4 2 4 5

P


10/475


RACE/GENDER/KIDS MARITAL/GENDER/AGE

Young Older Young Older Young Older Young OlderWhite White Latno Latno Mnrty Mnrty Marr Marr Unmar Unmar Marr Marr Unmar Unmar

Total Moms Dads Moms Dads Moms Dads WomenWomenWomenWomen Men Men Men Men

ote Summary ...

Total answering (1500) (129) (117) (56) (48) (89) (83) (168) (231) (166) (194) (133) (246) (195) (99)

Total Answering UNWT (1500) (86) (88) (78) (79) (103) (109) (122) (282) (122) (221) (99) (317) (128) (119)

PTYREG Dem 44 47 34 58 56 55 58 43 51 47 53 37 35 43 42Rep 31 33 37 16 18 19 17 28 36 19 31 28 45 21 31DTS 20 15 28 25 22 22 14 23 9 29 14 31 17 25 17Other 5 5 1 1 5 3 11 5 3 5 3 5 4 11 10

2-3-2 Dem 45 45 27 52 61 55 57 43 49 57 56 39 33 44 49nd 25 20 34 23 13 24 19 25 19 26 15 24 28 33 24

Rep 29 34 39 16 24 15 22 30 32 14 28 36 39 23 26

3-1-3 Dem 54 54 36 56 63 61 61 55 55 73 62 44 39 56 58nd 8 3 9 10 5 10 8 7 3 6 4 8 8 14 8

Rep 37 43 55 25 30 22 30 36 42 18 32 47 52 30 33


Dont know) 4 4 5 13 - 10 - 6 2 5 3 1 3 7 2Refused) 1 - 0 1 3 1 4 1 0 - 0 - 1 3 -

BROWN JOB Approve 49 58 42 36 50 40 47 49 48 43 52 43 45 55 68Disapprove 35 27 45 30 32 34 38 31 40 22 35 46 46 26 26Dont know) 15 15 13 34 17 26 15 19 11 33 14 12 8 17 7Refused) 1 - 0 1 1 1 1 1 0 1 - - 0 2 -

REP PRES PRIMARY Romney 42 60 46 20 44 22 40 43 43 27 48 40 45 32 46Gingrich 12 6 14 4 9 8 11 10 12 8 15 15 12 15 17Paul 10 7 10 10 12 8 13 9 8 15 6 18 8 19 2Santorum 23 16 25 20 25 11 24 17 26 16 23 23 26 20 22Other) 2 7 - 5 - 3 - 6 3 2 - - 2 - -Undecided) 9 4 4 33 4 35 8 8 9 17 6 4 6 14 8Refused) 0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - -Will not vote) 3 - - 8 6 14 4 7 1 15 1 1 2 - 4

ROMNEY VOTE Obama 57 54 41 60 65 66 71 58 53 74 61 52 41 68 65Romney 36 37 54 28 24 25 23 35 44 17 32 43 53 24 29Other) 1 1 - 1 4 1 2 - 1 1 1 1 1 1 1Undecided) 4 6 6 6 6 5 4 5 1 7 4 3 3 4 2Refused) 1 - - 3 - 2 - 1 1 - 1 - 0 2 -Will not vote) 1 2 - 2 1 1 0 2 0 1 1 1 2 1 2

GINGRICH VOTE Obama 62 58 47 64 70 69 76 61 58 76 64 57 48 75 65Gingrich 30 34 48 19 24 20 21 31 37 13 25 36 46 19 28Other) 1 1 3 - - - - - 1 1 1 2 1 1 1Undecided) 4 5 1 9 2 6 1 5 2 9 4 1 1 3 3Refused) 0 - - 3 - 2 - 1 0 - 1 - 0 1 -Will not vote) 3 2 1 5 4 3 2 3 2 1 4 4 3 2 3

SANTORUM VOTE Obama 61 57 44 62 66 67 73 60 56 82 63 58 43 73 65Santorum 32 34 47 23 24 22 21 30 41 12 31 36 50 18 29Other) 1 - 3 2 - 1 - 1 1 1 - 2 1 - 1

Undecided) 4 5 4 9 5 7 3 6 2 5 3 2 3 6 1Refused) 0 - - 3 - 2 - 1 0 - - - - 1 -Will not vote) 2 3 3 2 5 1 3 2 0 1 2 3 4 2 5

PAUL VOTE Obama 59 55 41 61 64 67 70 60 58 74 63 49 47 66 63Paul 31 35 55 27 26 23 22 30 33 17 26 45 43 27 25Other) 1 - - - 2 - 1 - 1 1 1 - 2 - 1Undecided) 5 6 2 8 9 6 5 6 5 5 3 2 3 4 6Refused) 1 - 1 3 - 2 - 1 1 1 1 - 0 1 -Will not vote) 4 5 2 2 - 3 2 4 3 1 6 4 5 2 4

age 10


11/475


WHITE MAR/GEN/AGE LATINO MAR/GEN/AGE

Young Older Older Older Young Older Young Older Young Older YoungMarr Marr Unmar Marr Unmar Unmar Marr Marr Unmar Marr Unmar

Total WomenWomenWomen Men Men Men WomenWomenWomen Men Men


Total Answering UNWT (1500) (56) (200) (147) (213) (54) (79) (53) (65) (74) (74) (55)PTYREG Dem 44 38 45 49 28 40 38 55 71 46 63 38Rep 31 35 41 36 52 28 36 12 16 16 15 16DTS 20 22 10 12 16 20 15 33 11 30 20 40Other 5 5 4 3 4 11 11 - 2 8 2 7

2-3-2 Dem 45 37 42 52 25 41 43 54 65 56 71 47Ind 25 23 22 16 30 27 26 30 13 30 7 38Rep 29 40 35 31 46 32 30 13 20 8 16 15

3-1-3 Dem 54 50 49 58 32 49 51 67 71 72 72 64Ind 8 2 3 5 9 13 11 10 3 6 3 14Rep 37 48 47 36 59 37 37 21 25 16 18 22


(Dont know) 4 3 2 4 2 8 1 14 6 6 3 8(Refused) 1 - 0 1 1 3 - - 2 - 4 1

BROWN JOB Approve 49 51 48 51 43 57 67 38 51 44 53 45Disapprove 35 34 43 36 51 27 28 32 27 26 29 27(Dont know) 15 15 9 13 6 13 5 30 21 30 16 28(Refused) 1 - 0 - 0 3 - - 2 - 1 -

REP PRES PRIMARY Romney 42 49 43 52 43 30 45 12 24 34 42 25Gingrich 12 8 13 15 12 14 17 19 18 - 12 21Paul 10 10 8 4 8 14 2 17 - 22 10 36Santorum 23 19 27 24 28 25 24 39 28 6 14 18(Other) 2 8 2 - 2 - - - 9 7 6 -(Undecided) 9 5 7 4 5 17 8 13 11 24 16 -(Refused) 0 - - - - - - - - - - -(Will not vote) 3 - - 1 3 - 4 - 10 7 - -

ROMNEY VOTE Obama 57 52 48 57 35 63 60 69 63 73 72 63Romney 36 39 50 36 60 29 33 26 26 14 17 28(Other) 1 - 2 2 1 1 1 - - 2 1 -(Undecided) 4 6 1 4 2 5 3 - 4 9 8 3(Refused) 1 - - 1 0 2 - 2 5 - - 4(Will not vote) 1 3 - 1 1 - 3 2 2 2 2 2

GINGRICH VOTE Obama 62 55 53 62 43 70 61 73 69 74 73 73Gingrich 30 35 43 28 53 24 31 16 19 12 20 17(Other) 1 - 1 1 0 1 1 - - 2 1 2(Undecided) 4 7 1 4 0 4 3 2 8 10 5 2(Refused) 0 - - 1 0 - - 2 2 - - 3(Will not vote) 3 3 2 5 3 - 4 7 2 2 1 3

SANTORUM VOTE Obama 61 54 51 60 38 71 58 69 71 76 69 67Santorum 32 35 47 35 55 22 34 20 18 10 23 21(Other) 1 - 1 - - - 1 2 - 2 - -

(Undecided) 4 7 1 3 3 7 2 2 6 9 4 5(Refused) 0 - - - - - - 4 2 - - 3(Will not vote) 2 4 - 2 4 1 5 2 3 2 4 4

PAUL VOTE Obama 59 53 53 60 42 64 59 70 70 73 74 57Paul 31 34 38 28 50 30 30 26 13 13 15 33(Other) 1 - 1 1 2 - 1 - - 2 2 -(Undecided) 5 8 5 3 2 3 7 - 7 9 8 5(Refused) 1 - - 1 0 1 - 2 5 - - 3(Will not vote) 4 5 3 7 5 3 4 2 6 2 1 2

Pa


12/475


MINORITY MAR/GEN/AGE UNION

Young Older Young Older Young Older Young Resp Total No TotalMarr Marr Unmar Unmar Marr Marr Unmar Pri Resp Resp membr Union

Total WomenWomenWomenWomen Men Men Men vate Publc membr belng hhold

ote Summary ...

Total answering (1500) (71) (49) (92) (47) (52) (55) (78) (86) (133) (219) (1187) (273)

Total Answering UNWT (1500) (69) (90) (87) (76) (55) (104) (75) (84) (144) (228) (1180) (278)

PTYREG Dem 44 46 71 46 69 50 61 46 60 59 59 41 56Rep 31 20 17 21 16 20 20 13 12 21 17 34 19DTS 20 28 11 27 15 17 16 31 18 18 18 19 19Other 5 6 1 6 - 13 2 11 10 3 6 5 5

2-3-2 Dem 45 49 72 54 72 49 63 49 51 58 55 43 54nd 25 31 9 30 10 20 14 39 36 21 27 25 25

Rep 29 16 18 12 15 31 19 12 13 20 18 31 19

3-1-3 Dem 54 59 76 72 78 52 66 66 70 66 68 51 67nd 8 14 2 4 3 8 4 15 10 5 7 8 6

Rep 37 23 21 19 17 40 26 19 20 27 24 40 25

OBAMA JOB Approve 57 54 71 76 81 56 65 65 61 67 65 55 66Disapprove 38 34 25 18 17 40 30 25 34 30 32 40 30

Dont know) 4 11 3 6 2 3 3 7 5 2 3 4 3Refused) 1 1 1 - - - 2 3 - 1 0 1 0

BROWN JOB Approve 49 45 49 39 58 36 57 50 54 62 59 46 59Disapprove 35 30 30 29 28 51 27 26 32 29 30 37 28Dont know) 15 24 20 29 15 13 15 24 14 9 11 16 13Refused) 1 1 1 3 - - 1 - - - - 1 -

REP PRES PRIMARY Romney 42 24 40 18 12 38 53 30 30 32 32 43 27Gingrich 12 15 10 12 28 7 15 15 24 18 20 11 18Paul 10 7 5 12 18 13 11 42 18 13 14 9 18Santorum 23 15 21 10 19 25 12 13 28 22 24 23 21Other) 2 - 5 4 - - 3 - - 3 2 2 2Undecided) 9 15 14 28 23 12 7 - - 2 2 9 6Refused) 0 - - - - - - - - - - 0 -Will not vote) 3 25 6 16 - 5 - - - 9 6 3 8

ROMNEY VOTE Obama 57 66 73 76 79 56 64 74 64 69 67 55 66Romney 36 29 20 14 17 34 26 18 29 25 26 38 26Other) 1 - - 2 - 2 2 - 3 1 2 1 1Undecided) 4 3 3 6 4 5 4 3 3 4 4 4 4Refused) 1 1 3 - - - - 2 - - - 1 -Will not vote) 1 2 1 2 - 3 4 3 2 2 2 1 2

GINGRICH VOTE Obama 62 69 76 75 78 67 67 81 70 75 73 59 73Gingrich 30 23 16 13 14 24 24 12 20 20 20 33 19Other) 1 - - 2 - - 3 1 5 1 2 1 2Undecided) 4 3 6 9 5 2 3 1 1 2 2 4 3Refused) 0 1 1 - 1 - - 2 - - - 1 -Will not vote) 3 4 1 2 2 7 3 4 3 3 3 3 3

SANTORUM VOTE Obama 61 68 76 79 79 68 63 76 67 69 68 59 69Santorum 32 22 16 12 15 24 28 14 21 23 22 35 22Other) 1 1 - 2 - - 3 - 5 - 2 0 2

Undecided) 4 4 5 6 4 2 2 4 2 6 4 3 5Refused) 0 3 1 - - - - 2 1 - 0 0 0Will not vote) 2 2 2 2 2 7 4 4 3 2 3 2 2

PAUL VOTE Obama 59 69 75 72 78 62 65 66 64 68 66 57 67Paul 31 24 14 16 11 29 21 25 22 24 23 33 23Other) 1 - - 2 - - 2 - 3 1 2 1 1Undecided) 5 3 5 6 4 4 5 6 4 4 4 5 4Refused) 1 1 3 2 1 - - 2 - 1 0 1 0Will not vote) 4 4 3 2 6 6 7 1 8 3 5 4 4

age 12


13/475


WHITE UNION LANGUAGE RACE/AGE

Total No TotalResp Resp membrUnion Eng Span Young Older Older Young Older Young Older

Total Publc membr belng hhold lish ish White White Black Latno Latno Mnrty MnrtyVote Summary ...Total answering (1500) (83) (135) (810) (176) (1389) (111) (375) (603) (47) (191) (92) (293) (179)

Total Answering UNWT (1500) (74) (117) (699) (148) (1334) (166) (189) (641) (51) (225) (212) (287) (316)PTYREG Dem 44 58 60 36 56 42 67 39 40 85 47 66 47 64Rep 31 27 22 41 23 33 11 29 43 1 16 16 18 17DTS 20 14 14 18 17 20 21 27 13 10 32 16 26 16Other 5 1 4 5 3 6 1 5 5 3 5 2 8 2

2-3-2 Dem 45 52 50 37 49 43 69 42 39 89 54 66 51 68Ind 25 22 28 25 26 26 12 25 23 9 28 12 31 13Rep 29 26 22 38 25 30 13 33 37 1 15 18 16 17

3-1-3 Dem 54 63 65 44 65 52 76 52 46 93 67 72 64 73Ind 8 5 7 8 5 8 4 8 6 4 8 3 10 3Rep 37 32 28 48 30 39 14 39 47 3 22 21 23 21

OBAMA JOB Approve 57 67 63 50 65 56 71 61 49 95 64 70 64 73Disapprove 38 32 35 46 33 39 22 34 48 3 28 24 28 23

(Dont know) 4 1 2 3 3 4 5 4 3 2 7 4 7 3(Refused) 1 - - 1 - 1 1 1 0 - 0 2 1 1

BROWN JOB Approve 49 62 61 47 61 48 53 51 50 68 44 53 43 56Disapprove 35 31 30 40 28 36 22 29 42 25 31 28 32 28(Dont know) 15 7 9 13 11 15 25 19 9 7 26 18 23 16(Refused) 1 - - 0 - 1 0 1 0 - - 1 1 1

REP PRES PRIMARY Romney 42 30 32 45 29 42 30 41 45 100 29 29 26 38Gingrich 12 23 20 11 19 12 5 10 13 - 8 11 12 17Paul 10 16 18 8 21 10 12 14 6 - 24 3 16 10Santorum 23 21 21 26 21 23 8 21 27 - 17 26 15 17(Other) 2 4 3 2 2 2 9 3 1 - 2 5 1 2(Undecided) 9 3 2 7 6 8 28 7 6 - 15 23 16 13(Refused) 0 - - 0 - 0 - - - - - - - -(Will not vote) 3 3 2 2 2 3 8 4 2 - 4 3 13 3

ROMNEY VOTE Obama 57 65 63 48 62 56 70 59 47 93 68 69 69 73Romney 36 28 31 46 30 38 13 34 48 5 23 21 22 21(Other) 1 1 1 1 1 1 3 0 1 - 1 1 1 1(Undecided) 4 5 4 3 5 3 11 5 2 2 5 6 4 4(Refused) 1 - - 1 - 1 2 1 0 - 1 1 1 1(Will not vote) 1 1 1 1 2 1 1 1 1 - 2 1 2 1

GINGRICH VOTE Obama 62 73 71 53 71 61 73 63 53 93 73 72 74 74Gingrich 30 23 23 40 22 32 11 29 41 5 16 20 17 18(Other) 1 1 3 1 2 1 1 1 1 - 1 0 1 1(Undecided) 4 1 1 3 3 3 9 5 2 2 5 6 4 5(Refused) 0 - - 0 - 0 3 - 0 - 1 1 1 1(Will not vote) 3 1 2 3 2 3 2 1 3 - 4 1 4 2

SANTORUM VOTE Obama 61 66 65 52 66 60 75 65 50 93 71 72 74 74Santorum 32 27 26 42 26 34 9 28 45 3 17 21 17 19(Other) 1 - 2 0 2 1 1 1 0 - 1 - 1 1

(Undecided) 4 6 4 3 5 3 9 5 2 2 5 4 5 3(Refused) 0 - - - - 0 3 - - - 2 1 1 0(Will not vote) 2 1 2 2 1 2 2 1 2 2 3 3 3 3

PAUL VOTE Obama 59 64 62 51 63 58 74 59 52 93 67 73 68 74Paul 31 28 28 40 27 33 10 34 38 2 23 15 22 15(Other) 1 1 2 1 1 1 2 - 1 - 1 1 1 1(Undecided) 5 3 4 4 5 4 10 4 4 2 5 6 5 4(Refused) 1 1 1 0 1 0 3 0 0 - 1 1 1 1(Will not vote) 4 2 5 4 4 4 1 3 5 3 2 3 3 5

Pa


14/475


RACE/GENDER RACE/PTYID

White White Latno Latno Mnrty Mnrty White White White Latno Latno Latno Mnrty Mnrty MnrtyTotal Men Women Men Women Men Women Dem Ind Rep Dem Ind Rep Dem Ind Rep

ote Summary ...

Total answering (1500) (475) (530) (128) (172) (226) (273) (397) (248) (355) (175) (68) (45) (285) (119) (81)

Total Answering UNWT (1500) (403) (456) (213) (258) (303) (345) (330) (201) (324) (282) (95) (75) (381) (136) (111)

PTYREG Dem 44 33 44 50 57 53 56 82 21 3 72 31 20 76 29 16Rep 31 40 36 17 14 17 19 2 27 85 5 14 57 6 15 64DTS 20 21 16 27 26 22 22 13 39 10 20 47 18 16 39 18Other 5 6 4 5 3 8 4 2 14 1 3 7 4 2 17 2

2-3-2 Dem 45 33 46 57 59 55 59 100 - - 100 - - 100 - -nd 25 29 21 21 24 26 22 - 100 - - 100 - - 100 -

Rep 29 38 33 20 12 18 15 - - 100 - - 100 - - 100

3-1-3 Dem 54 41 54 64 71 63 70 100 34 - 100 44 - 100 42 -nd 8 11 5 8 6 10 6 - 30 - - 31 - - 33 -

Rep 37 48 41 25 18 26 20 - 36 100 - 25 100 - 25 100

OBAMA JOB Approve 57 48 57 65 67 65 70 92 47 14 80 47 40 83 51 37Disapprove 38 48 40 29 25 29 24 7 48 81 14 43 56 11 41 59

Dont know) 4 3 3 4 8 4 6 2 5 4 6 9 1 5 8 3Refused) 1 1 0 1 1 2 1 - 0 1 1 - 3 2 - 1

BROWN JOB Approve 49 51 48 51 44 51 44 76 47 22 57 32 34 60 34 28Disapprove 35 40 35 32 28 32 30 11 40 66 21 37 50 21 40 50Dont know) 15 8 16 17 29 17 24 13 14 11 21 31 15 18 26 21Refused) 1 1 0 0 0 0 1 - - 1 - - 1 1 - 1

REP PRES PRIMARY Romney 42 40 47 32 23 38 25 31 36 46 33 28 28 22 33 35Gingrich 12 13 11 9 9 12 14 - 8 13 - 11 12 19 6 15Paul 10 10 8 19 13 17 10 16 19 6 15 27 10 8 17 12Santorum 23 27 23 18 20 16 14 21 23 25 5 12 28 3 16 19Other) 2 1 2 4 5 2 2 - 5 1 8 6 3 4 4 1Undecided) 9 8 6 15 23 13 20 - 7 7 26 10 17 14 19 16Refused) 0 - 1 - - - - - - 0 - - - - - -Will not vote) 3 2 2 2 7 2 14 32 2 1 13 5 2 30 5 1

ROMNEY VOTE Obama 57 48 54 65 70 68 72 91 45 11 87 52 24 91 53 27Romney 36 46 40 24 19 23 20 7 45 82 7 30 67 5 31 66Other) 1 1 1 2 1 1 1 - 2 1 1 4 2 0 3 1Undecided) 4 3 4 6 6 4 5 2 5 4 4 7 8 3 6 6Refused) 1 1 0 1 1 1 1 - 1 1 2 3 - 1 1 -Will not vote) 1 1 1 1 2 3 1 0 2 1 0 5 - 0 7 -

GINGRICH VOTE Obama 62 53 59 71 72 74 73 96 51 15 91 55 29 93 59 31Gingrich 30 41 33 20 14 18 16 3 35 75 3 23 61 3 22 61Other) 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 4 0 - 4 1 0 3 0Undecided) 4 2 5 3 8 2 7 1 5 4 3 9 6 3 7 3Refused) 0 0 0 1 2 1 1 - 0 0 1 3 - 1 1 1Will not vote) 3 2 3 3 3 4 2 1 4 4 1 6 4 0 8 3

SANTORUM VOTE Obama 61 51 58 69 73 72 75 94 51 14 90 53 32 93 58 33Santorum 32 42 36 22 15 19 15 4 38 79 3 27 59 2 25 60Other) 1 1 0 0 2 1 1 - 2 0 1 3 - 1 2 -

Undecided) 4 3 3 4 7 3 6 2 5 4 4 6 3 3 5 3Refused) 0 - - 1 2 1 1 - - - 1 3 2 1 1 1Will not vote) 2 3 2 4 2 4 2 1 3 3 1 8 4 1 8 3

PAUL VOTE Obama 59 49 57 66 71 67 73 93 45 15 88 50 30 91 51 29Paul 31 43 32 25 16 22 16 3 42 72 5 30 61 4 30 57Other) 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 - 1 1 - 3 2 0 2 1Undecided) 5 3 5 6 7 5 5 2 6 5 4 9 6 3 9 5Refused) 1 0 0 1 2 1 2 - 1 0 2 2 - 2 1 1Will not vote) 4 4 4 1 3 4 3 1 5 7 1 6 1 1 6 7

age 14


15/475


RACE/EDUC LANG/PTYID

White Latno Mnrty Eng Eng Eng SpanNon White Non Latno Non Mnrty lish lish lish ish

Total Coll Coll Coll Coll Coll Coll Dem Ind Rep Dem

Vote Summary ...Total answering (1500) (439) (564) (228) (67) (323) (169) (599) (355) (417) (77)

Total Answering UNWT (1500) (386) (471) (356) (105) (439) (197) (583) (323) (408) (119)PTYREG Dem 44 35 42 56 44 56 51 80 22 5 78Rep 31 44 33 15 18 18 18 3 24 83 6DTS 20 16 20 25 33 21 24 14 38 11 14Other 5 5 4 4 5 6 6 2 16 2 2

2-3-2 Dem 45 35 43 61 50 59 54 100 - - 100Ind 25 23 26 19 36 21 31 - 100 - -Rep 29 42 30 16 14 17 15 - - 100 -

3-1-3 Dem 54 42 52 70 64 70 63 100 35 - 100Ind 8 8 7 7 8 6 11 - 31 - -Rep 37 50 40 19 27 20 25 - 34 100 -

OBAMA JOB Approve 57 47 57 68 58 69 66 89 49 16 80Disapprove 38 48 40 25 34 25 28 8 46 79 16

(Dont know) 4 4 2 5 8 5 6 3 5 4 4(Refused) 1 1 0 1 - 2 1 1 0 1 1

BROWN JOB Approve 49 42 55 47 46 47 49 70 43 22 61Disapprove 35 42 34 27 39 28 35 15 41 65 19(Dont know) 15 15 10 26 16 24 15 15 17 12 19(Refused) 1 1 - 0 - 1 1 1 - 1 -

REP PRES PRIMARY Romney 42 41 48 25 32 29 31 28 34 45 30Gingrich 12 14 9 8 11 10 16 16 8 13 -Paul 10 9 9 14 22 10 19 8 20 7 30Santorum 23 25 24 18 25 15 16 10 22 24 9(Other) 2 0 3 5 3 3 1 1 4 1 10(Undecided) 9 8 5 23 7 20 12 9 9 8 11(Refused) 0 1 - - - - - - - 0 -(Will not vote) 3 3 2 6 - 12 6 27 2 1 10

ROMNEY VOTE Obama 57 44 56 69 64 70 71 92 47 14 84Romney 36 50 37 20 27 21 22 6 42 80 6(Other) 1 1 1 1 3 1 2 - 2 1 1(Undecided) 4 3 4 8 1 6 2 2 4 4 7(Refused) 1 1 1 2 1 1 0 0 1 1 2(Will not vote) 1 1 1 1 4 1 4 0 4 1 0

GINGRICH VOTE Obama 62 51 60 74 65 74 74 95 54 17 87Gingrich 30 40 34 15 23 17 16 3 32 74 4(Other) 1 1 1 0 4 0 3 0 3 0 -(Undecided) 4 4 3 7 1 6 2 1 5 4 6(Refused) 0 - 0 2 1 1 1 0 1 0 2(Will not vote) 3 4 2 3 5 2 4 0 5 4 2

SANTORUM VOTE Obama 61 47 62 73 64 74 73 94 54 16 86Santorum 32 46 33 16 26 17 18 3 35 77 4(Other) 1 0 1 0 3 0 2 0 2 0 -

(Undecided) 4 5 2 7 1 5 3 2 5 4 7(Refused) 0 - - 2 1 1 0 0 0 - 2(Will not vote) 2 3 2 2 5 2 4 1 4 3 1

PAUL VOTE Obama 59 47 59 69 67 70 71 92 47 17 87Paul 31 42 33 19 25 19 19 4 40 69 3(Other) 1 1 1 1 3 0 2 0 1 1 -(Undecided) 5 6 3 8 0 7 2 2 6 5 7(Refused) 1 - 1 2 1 2 1 0 1 0 3(Will not vote) 4 4 4 2 3 2 5 1 5 7 1

Pa


16/475


TEA PARTY ROMNEY VOTE GINGRICH VOTE SANTORUM VOTE

NotStrng strng Not DK Total Rom Und Ging Und San Und

Total supp supp supp Ref Supp Obama ney Ref Obamarich Ref Obamatorum Ref

ote Summary ...

Total answering (1500) (145) (227) (1023) (105) (372) (861) (538) (67) (928) (453) (62) (916) (479) (60)

Total Answering UNWT (1500) (160) (222) (996) (122) (382) (846) (548) (69) (910) (469) (63) (890) (503) (61)

PTYREG Dem 44 6 21 55 35 15 65 13 36 62 10 35 62 11 43Rep 31 80 57 18 35 66 9 66 27 11 71 27 11 70 21DTS 20 9 19 21 27 15 21 16 30 22 15 33 22 14 31Other 5 6 3 6 4 4 5 5 7 5 4 6 5 5 5

2-3-2 Dem 45 5 17 58 36 12 71 8 29 69 4 25 69 4 30nd 25 23 26 25 21 25 20 28 32 22 26 35 22 26 32

Rep 29 72 57 16 36 63 7 64 31 8 70 31 8 68 28

3-1-3 Dem 54 6 19 70 40 14 84 11 31 81 5 34 81 6 35nd 8 5 5 8 9 5 7 6 25 7 5 22 7 5 26

Rep 37 88 75 20 45 80 8 83 36 10 90 36 10 88 28


Dont know) 4 - 2 4 16 1 4 3 12 4 1 19 4 2 18Refused) 1 1 0 1 0 1 1 0 7 1 0 7 1 0 8

BROWN JOB Approve 49 12 19 62 31 16 68 20 45 67 16 28 67 17 33Disapprove 35 81 69 23 26 73 15 69 16 16 75 17 16 72 17Dont know) 15 7 12 14 43 10 16 11 33 16 9 49 16 10 44Refused) 1 - 0 1 - 0 0 0 6 0 0 6 0 0 7

REP PRES PRIMARY Romney 42 32 49 44 33 41 25 47 48 38 42 41 45 40 27Gingrich 12 17 16 6 9 17 9 13 6 4 16 - 4 15 -Paul 10 6 12 11 8 9 21 7 - 19 5 - 20 7 -Santorum 23 35 18 19 19 26 16 24 9 16 26 19 6 30 -Other) 2 1 1 2 6 1 5 1 8 4 1 - 4 1 16Undecided) 9 9 3 11 13 6 10 7 29 8 8 37 8 7 53Refused) 0 - - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 -Will not vote) 3 - - 6 10 - 13 1 - 11 1 3 12 0 4

ROMNEY VOTE Obama 57 5 17 76 40 12 100 - - 90 3 10 91 4 10Romney 36 93 77 18 39 83 - 100 - 7 94 23 7 92 20Other) 1 1 1 1 3 1 - - - - 0 4 0 1 5Undecided) 4 1 2 4 15 1 - - 84 2 1 56 1 2 59Refused) 1 0 - 1 - 0 - - 16 1 0 7 1 0 6Will not vote) 1 - 2 1 4 1 - - - - 1 - - 1 -

GINGRICH VOTE Obama 62 5 19 80 51 14 98 12 32 100 - - 96 7 25Gingrich 30 93 72 12 29 80 2 79 10 - 100 - 3 85 15Other) 1 1 1 1 2 1 0 1 - - - - 0 1 2Undecided) 4 1 3 3 13 2 1 3 50 - - 89 1 3 49Refused) 0 - 0 1 1 0 - 0 8 - - 11 - 0 6Will not vote) 3 1 4 3 5 3 - 5 - - - - - 4 2

SANTORUM VOTE Obama 61 5 19 80 45 14 97 12 26 94 6 20 100 - -Santorum 32 93 75 14 33 82 2 82 14 4 90 24 - 100 -Other) 1 - 1 1 - 0 - 1 - - 1 - - - -

Undecided) 4 - 2 3 17 2 1 2 53 2 2 49 - - 92Refused) 0 0 0 0 1 0 - 0 5 0 0 5 - - 8Will not vote) 2 1 2 2 5 2 0 3 2 0 2 2 - - -

PAUL VOTE Obama 59 6 21 76 43 15 93 12 28 91 6 18 91 8 17Paul 31 85 67 16 30 74 5 75 10 7 82 8 7 79 16Other) 1 1 1 1 4 1 0 1 0 0 1 2 0 2 1Undecided) 5 1 4 4 13 3 1 4 52 2 3 60 2 4 57Refused) 1 - 1 1 2 0 0 0 8 0 0 12 0 1 6Will not vote) 4 7 6 2 7 6 0 8 1 0 7 - - 6 4

age 16


17/475


PAUL VOTE SPLITS

WillUnd not

Total ObamaPaul Ref vote A B

Vote Summary ...Total answering (1500) (884) (469) (78) (56) (750) (750)

Total Answering UNWT (1500) (875) (465) (84) (59) (749) (751)PTYREG Dem 44 64 11 38 25 44 44Rep 31 11 65 30 52 31 31DTS 20 20 19 30 11 21 19Other 5 5 6 3 12 4 6

2-3-2 Dem 45 70 6 28 11 46 45Ind 25 20 30 36 33 25 24Rep 29 9 63 29 54 28 29

3-1-3 Dem 54 81 10 35 16 53 55Ind 8 6 7 18 16 9 6Rep 37 10 82 40 66 36 37

OBAMA JOB Approve 57 88 11 37 2 57 57Disapprove 38 8 87 38 83 38 38

(Dont know) 4 3 2 19 13 4 4(Refused) 1 1 0 6 2 1 1

BROWN JOB Approve 49 67 22 30 20 50 48Disapprove 35 16 69 29 62 34 36(Dont know) 15 16 10 36 18 15 16(Refused) 1 0 0 5 - 1 0

REP PRES PRIMARY Romney 42 47 39 38 49 39 44Gingrich 12 4 15 8 9 13 11Paul 10 5 13 - - 10 10Santorum 23 16 25 15 25 24 22(Other) 2 5 1 - - 2 2(Undecided) 9 10 6 32 14 10 8(Refused) 0 - - 5 - 0 -(Will not vote) 3 12 0 2 3 2 4

ROMNEY VOTE Obama 57 90 10 16 2 56 59Romney 36 7 86 30 78 36 35(Other) 1 - 1 3 2 1 1(Undecided) 4 2 1 46 1 4 3(Refused) 1 1 0 6 - 1 0(Will not vote) 1 - 2 - 17 1 2

GINGRICH VOTE Obama 62 95 14 23 2 61 62Gingrich 30 3 80 19 56 30 30(Other) 1 - 2 - 2 1 1(Undecided) 4 1 1 50 - 3 4(Refused) 0 0 - 7 - 1 0(Will not vote) 3 0 3 1 40 3 2

SANTORUM VOTE Obama 61 94 13 23 - 60 62Santorum 32 5 81 28 54 32 32(Other) 1 - 1 - - 1 1

(Undecided) 4 1 2 45 5 5 3(Refused) 0 - 0 3 - 1 0(Will not vote) 2 0 2 1 42 2 2

PAUL VOTE Obama 59 100 - - - 59 59Paul 31 - 100 - - 31 32(Other) 1 - - - - 1 1(Undecided) 5 - - 88 - 5 4(Refused) 1 - - 12 - 1 1(Will not vote) 4 - - - 100 4 4

Pa


18/475




ote Difference ...

Total answering (1500) (660) (465) (295) (80) (676) (368) (431) (1005) (90) (300) (65) (499) (416) (1059)

PTYREG Dem-Rep 13 100 -100 - - 76 0 -76 1 67 38 8 36 19 11

2-3-2 Dem-Rep 16 78 -70 16 11 100 - -100 4 75 43 6 41 15 17

3-1-3 Dem-Rep 17 83 -77 22 3 100 3 -100 4 81 47 7 45 12 19

OBAMA JOB App-Disapp 19 69 -56 30 6 79 3 -61 9 87 39 15 42 18 19

BROWN JOB App-Disapp 13 49 -40 17 16 54 2 -41 12 26 17 3 16 11 14

VOTE Obama-Romney 22 74 -59 32 23 85 7 -66 8 93 46 29 49 19 22

VOTE Obama-Gingrich 32 80 -48 45 39 91 23 -55 20 94 55 40 57 28 32

VOTE Obama-Santorum 29 78 -51 44 35 90 20 -59 16 94 53 46 56 25 30

VOTE Obama-Paul 28 78 -44 30 23 88 9 -51 16 95 49 28 51 20 30

Key Groups ...

Total answering (1500) (660) (465) (295) (80) (676) (368) (431) (1005) (90) (300) (65) (499) (416) (1059)Reg Rep/Not ID Rep 8 - 25 - - 4 23 - 8 8 7 8 8 7 8Reg Dem/Not ID Dem 8 19 - - - - 23 5 7 7 12 13 11 9 8

Q7 Likely to Vote in Nov. ...

Total answering (1500) (660) (465) (295) (80) (676) (368) (431) (1005) (90) (300) (65) (499) (416) (1059)Almost certain 89 90 93 83 76 89 84 92 93 93 76 75 79 88 89Probably vote 6 5 3 9 12 5 7 4 4 5 10 6 8 5 550-50 4 4 2 5 5 4 6 3 1 3 11 13 9 4 4Will not vote 1 0 1 1 7 1 2 1 1 - 2 6 2 2 1DK) 1 1 0 1 - 1 1 1 1 - 2 - 1 1 1

Q9-10 Summary: Job Approval ...

Total Answering (1500) (660) (465) (295) (80) (676) (368) (431) (1005) (90) (300) (65) (499) (416) (1059)

9 Obama Strongly App 30 49 7 26 23 53 18 4 27 69 29 30 36 30 30Smwt App 27 34 13 35 27 35 30 13 26 23 37 23 31 26 28Smwt Disapp 11 7 17 10 21 6 15 17 11 2 13 18 11 13 10Strongly Disapp 27 7 59 21 24 3 31 61 32 4 14 20 15 25 28DK) 4 2 3 9 4 3 6 4 3 1 6 8 5 5 4Ref) 1 1 1 0 - 1 0 1 1 2 1 1 1 1 1

Total App 57 83 20 61 51 88 48 17 53 92 66 53 68 56 58Total Disapp 38 14 76 30 45 9 46 78 44 5 27 38 26 38 38App - Disapp 19 69 -56 30 6 79 3 -61 9 87 39 15 42 18 19

0 Brown Strongly App 17 28 6 11 8 29 11 3 17 29 15 9 17 18 16Smwt App 32 39 19 33 44 40 32 19 33 28 32 30 30 30 33Smwt Disapp 14 11 19 13 14 10 14 22 14 17 15 14 14 14 14

Strongly Disapp 21 8 45 14 23 6 26 42 24 15 14 22 16 22 22DK) 15 14 10 29 11 15 18 13 13 11 24 26 21 17 15Ref) 1 0 1 - - 1 - 1 0 - 0 - 1 0 1

Total App 49 67 25 44 53 69 42 23 49 57 47 39 47 47 49Total Disapp 35 19 64 27 36 15 40 64 38 32 29 36 31 36 35App - Disapp 13 49 -40 17 16 54 2 -41 12 26 17 3 16 11 14

age 18


19/475


INCOME REGION

Less $20K $30K $50K $75K $100K Less $50K South Sacrathan to to to to or than or LA ern Bay mento Coast Cntrl

Total $20K $30K $50K $75K $100K more $50K more Cnty CA Area North Cntrl VallyVote Difference ...Total answering (1500) (144) (101) (211) (212) (182) (305) (456) (699) (378) (422) (312) (153) (98) (137)

PTYREG Dem-Rep 13 21 15 15 17 18 6 17 13 40 -10 33 -11 19 -16

2-3-2 Dem-Rep 16 27 29 18 22 16 11 23 15 43 -9 37 -10 26 -3

3-1-3 Dem-Rep 17 35 37 20 26 18 9 28 16 49 -13 39 -10 27 -8

OBAMA JOB App-Disapp 19 34 5 13 34 28 12 18 23 47 -11 48 -6 18 0

BROWN JOB App-Disapp 13 13 2 15 19 22 17 11 19 26 -15 43 4 31 -4

VOTE Obama-Romney 22 38 28 20 34 22 12 27 21 59 -14 47 -6 18 4

VOTE Obama-Gingrich 32 42 45 31 42 38 24 38 33 65 1 56 4 39 5

VOTE Obama-Santorum 29 44 24 32 37 32 26 34 31 66 -4 55 0 40 -5

VOTE Obama-Paul 28 40 25 27 43 27 18 31 28 63 -5 49 3 27 10

Key Groups ...Total answering (1500) (144) (101) (211) (212) (182) (305) (456) (699) (378) (422) (312) (153) (98) (137)Reg Rep/Not ID Rep 8 8 11 8 6 4 8 9 6 7 9 5 8 9 10Reg Dem/Not ID Dem 8 7 7 7 11 10 4 7 8 11 9 6 7 9 4

Q7 Likely to Vote in Nov. ...Total answering (1500) (144) (101) (211) (212) (182) (305) (456) (699) (378) (422) (312) (153) (98) (137)Almost certain 89 79 82 86 92 94 93 83 93 85 90 89 93 87 91Probably vote 6 10 8 7 3 4 3 8 3 6 5 4 5 9 650-50 4 8 5 4 3 1 1 6 2 6 4 4 2 1 2Will not vote 1 2 2 1 0 - 2 2 1 1 1 2 - 1 -(DK) 1 1 2 1 1 1 0 1 1 1 - 1 0 2 2

Q9-10 Summary: Job Approval ...Total Answering (1500) (144) (101) (211) (212) (182) (305) (456) (699) (378) (422) (312) (153) (98) (137)9 Obama Strongly App 30 32 25 26 40 27 31 28 33 40 22 34 19 35 27Smwt App 27 30 25 29 25 35 23 29 27 31 18 39 27 23 21Smwt Disapp 11 10 18 12 9 9 14 13 11 10 16 8 11 11 7Strongly Disapp 27 19 27 30 22 25 29 26 26 14 36 16 41 28 41(DK) 4 8 5 3 3 3 2 5 3 4 6 1 2 3 3(Ref) 1 1 - - 2 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 0 - 0Total App 57 63 50 55 65 62 55 56 60 71 41 73 46 58 48Total Disapp 38 29 45 42 30 34 43 39 37 24 52 25 52 40 48App - Disapp 19 34 5 13 34 28 12 18 23 47 -11 48 -6 18 0


Strongly Disapp 21 19 14 23 19 19 23 20 21 13 34 10 24 20 30(DK) 15 22 22 18 10 15 10 20 11 15 19 14 14 10 15(Ref) 1 - - - - 0 1 - 0 1 0 0 0 - 0Total App 49 46 40 49 55 53 53 46 54 55 33 64 45 60 40Total Disapp 35 33 38 34 35 31 36 34 35 29 48 21 41 29 45App - Disapp 13 13 2 15 19 22 17 11 19 26 -15 43 4 31 -4

Pa


20/475


LIKELY 2008 VOTE IDEOLOGY PTYID/IDEO GENDER

Lkly Mod LibLkly Rep Mc Lib Mod Consr Lib Cons Mod Cons

Total voter prim ObamaCain eral erate vativ Dem Dem Rep Rep Men Women

ote Difference ...

Total answering (1500) (1331) (389) (713) (401) (410) (540) (485) (358) (423) (199) (337) (705) (795)

PTYREG Dem-Rep 13 12 -100 59 -70 62 18 -35 73 63 -56 -72 7 19

2-3-2 Dem-Rep 16 16 -76 65 -68 69 23 -35 84 84 -76 -79 9 23

3-1-3 Dem-Rep 17 16 -85 75 -85 81 25 -46 100 100 -100 -100 6 26

OBAMA JOB App-Disapp 19 20 -64 75 -78 74 31 -42 84 70 -45 -76 12 26

BROWN JOB App-Disapp 13 14 -45 54 -56 56 22 -34 65 44 -25 -59 13 14

VOTE Obama-Romney 22 21 -68 78 -82 80 32 -45 91 74 -46 -83 16 27

VOTE Obama-Gingrich 32 30 -56 86 -71 85 46 -32 96 85 -29 -72 27 36

VOTE Obama-Santorum 29 27 -63 85 -78 87 44 -39 97 81 -31 -77 24 34

VOTE Obama-Paul 28 26 -53 79 -65 75 40 -30 87 79 -37 -63 19 35

Key Groups ...

Total answering (1500) (1331) (389) (713) (401) (410) (540) (485) (358) (423) (199) (337) (705) (795)Reg Rep/Not ID Rep 8 8 21 4 13 3 9 10 2 7 9 9 8 8Reg Dem/Not ID Dem 8 8 - 9 5 8 9 6 7 5 11 4 8 8


Total answering (1500) (1331) (389) (713) (401) (410) (540) (485) (358) (423) (199) (337) (705) (795)Almost certain 89 100 99 92 95 90 86 91 92 87 84 95 88 89Probably vote 6 - 1 4 3 6 6 4 4 6 8 2 6 550-50 4 - 0 3 2 3 5 4 2 5 6 1 4 4Will not vote 1 - - 1 - 1 1 1 1 1 2 0 1 1DK) 1 - 0 1 0 1 1 0 1 1 1 0 1 1


Total Answering (1500) (1331) (389) (713) (401) (410) (540) (485) (358) (423) (199) (337) (705) (795)

9 Obama Strongly App 30 31 6 50 1 51 29 13 56 44 4 4 26 34Smwt App 27 27 11 36 9 33 34 14 34 39 20 7 28 27Smwt Disapp 11 9 15 6 18 5 14 14 4 9 25 15 12 10Strongly Disapp 27 28 66 5 70 7 18 55 3 4 45 72 30 24DK) 4 3 1 3 1 4 4 2 4 3 4 1 4 4Ref) 1 1 1 0 1 0 0 1 0 1 0 2 1 0

Total App 57 58 17 86 10 85 63 28 90 83 25 10 54 61Total Disapp 38 38 81 11 88 11 32 69 6 13 70 87 42 35App - Disapp 19 20 -64 75 -78 74 31 -42 84 70 -45 -76 12 26

0 Brown Strongly App 17 18 5 27 2 29 18 5 32 24 5 1 17 17Smwt App 32 32 18 43 15 41 34 21 43 39 25 14 34 30Smwt Disapp 14 13 20 10 22 7 15 19 7 12 24 23 13 15

Strongly Disapp 21 22 48 6 50 7 15 41 3 8 32 51 25 18DK) 15 14 8 15 10 16 17 13 15 17 14 10 11 19Ref) 1 0 1 - 0 - 1 1 - 1 - 1 0 1

Total App 49 50 23 70 17 70 52 26 75 63 30 15 51 47Total Disapp 35 36 68 16 72 14 30 60 10 20 56 74 38 33App - Disapp 13 14 -45 54 -56 56 22 -34 65 44 -25 -59 13 14

age 20


21/475


WHT GEND AGE

5018 - 30 - 40 - 50 - Over 18 - and

Total Men Women 29 39 49 64 64 49 over

Vote Difference ...Total answering (1500) (475) (530) (236) (190) (239) (375) (401) (665) (776)

PTYREG Dem-Rep 13 -7 8 19 25 16 18 -1 20 8

2-3-2 Dem-Rep 16 -5 13 28 22 14 22 4 21 13

3-1-3 Dem-Rep 17 -8 14 43 18 15 19 3 26 11

OBAMA JOB App-Disapp 19 1 17 40 31 21 16 6 31 10

BROWN JOB App-Disapp 13 10 13 18 18 18 12 11 18 12

VOTE Obama-Romney 22 1 14 50 34 22 19 3 35 11

VOTE Obama-Gingrich 32 13 26 66 38 30 30 13 45 21

VOTE Obama-Santorum 29 10 22 66 39 32 23 8 46 15

VOTE Obama-Paul 28 7 25 45 30 28 29 17 35 23

Key Groups ...Total answering (1500) (475) (530) (236) (190) (239) (375) (401) (665) (776)Reg Rep/Not ID Rep 8 9 7 7 4 7 8 8 6 8Reg Dem/Not ID Dem 8 6 7 11 9 8 7 6 9 7

Q7 Likely to Vote in Nov. ...Total answering (1500) (475) (530) (236) (190) (239) (375) (401) (665) (776)Almost certain 89 92 94 74 88 87 94 93 83 94Probably vote 6 6 2 13 6 7 3 3 9 350-50 4 1 2 9 5 4 1 3 6 2Will not vote 1 - 1 3 1 2 0 0 2 0(DK) 1 1 1 1 0 - 1 1 1 1

Q9-10 Summary: Job Approval ...Total Answering (1500) (475) (530) (236) (190) (239) (375) (401) (665) (776)9 Obama Strongly App 30 23 31 25 30 27 36 30 27 33Smwt App 27 25 26 39 33 32 20 21 35 21Smwt Disapp 11 13 10 14 13 15 10 8 14 9Strongly Disapp 27 35 30 10 19 23 30 38 17 34(DK) 4 3 3 9 5 2 3 3 5 3(Ref) 1 1 0 2 - 1 1 0 1 1Total App 57 48 57 65 63 59 56 51 62 54Total Disapp 38 48 40 25 32 38 41 46 31 43App - Disapp 19 1 17 40 31 21 16 6 31 10

10 Brown Strongly App 17 16 18 10 13 15 20 22 13 21Smwt App 32 35 31 33 33 40 31 28 36 30Smwt Disapp 14 12 15 13 10 13 16 15 12 16

Strongly Disapp 21 28 20 13 18 24 22 24 18 23(DK) 15 8 16 29 26 8 11 10 21 10(Ref) 1 1 0 2 - 0 0 0 1 0Total App 49 51 48 43 46 55 51 50 48 51Total Disapp 35 40 35 26 28 36 38 39 30 39App - Disapp 13 10 13 18 18 18 12 11 18 12

Pa


22/475


WHITE AGE GENDER/AGE

5018 - 30 - 40 - 50 - Over 18 - and Young Young Older Older

Total 29 39 49 64 64 49 over Women Men Women Men

ote Difference ...

Total answering (1500) (111) (118) (146) (264) (339) (375) (603) (335) (329) (429) (347)

PTYREG Dem-Rep 13 12 13 6 7 -10 10 -3 22 17 18 -4

2-3-2 Dem-Rep 16 15 13 1 10 -4 9 2 28 14 21 3

3-1-3 Dem-Rep 17 28 12 2 6 -6 13 -1 36 15 20 -1

OBAMA JOB App-Disapp 19 36 32 15 4 -2 26 0 38 23 18 1

BROWN JOB App-Disapp 13 23 21 21 8 8 22 8 20 16 12 11

VOTE Obama-Romney 22 38 31 10 5 -5 25 0 40 30 18 2

VOTE Obama-Gingrich 32 59 34 15 21 5 34 12 47 43 28 12

VOTE Obama-Santorum 29 62 39 18 12 -1 38 5 50 42 22 6

VOTE Obama-Paul 28 39 27 12 18 10 25 13 43 26 30 14

Key Groups ...

Total answering (1500) (111) (118) (146) (264) (339) (375) (603) (335) (329) (429) (347)Reg Rep/Not ID Rep 8 2 3 7 10 8 4 9 8 4 7 10Reg Dem/Not ID Dem 8 4 5 9 8 5 6 6 10 8 6 7


Total answering (1500) (111) (118) (146) (264) (339) (375) (603) (335) (329) (429) (347)Almost certain 89 86 92 93 97 94 91 95 82 83 94 93Probably vote 6 10 5 5 2 3 6 2 8 9 2 450-50 4 4 3 - - 2 2 1 6 7 2 2Will not vote 1 - 1 2 - 0 1 0 3 1 0 0DK) 1 - - - 2 1 - 1 1 0 1 1


Total Answering (1500) (111) (118) (146) (264) (339) (375) (603) (335) (329) (429) (347)

9 Obama Strongly App 30 28 25 24 31 27 26 29 31 24 37 28Smwt App 27 34 39 33 19 21 35 20 35 35 21 21Smwt Disapp 11 14 15 16 11 9 15 10 12 16 9 10Strongly Disapp 27 13 17 27 36 41 20 39 16 19 30 38DK) 4 9 4 - 3 2 4 3 6 5 3 2Ref) 1 3 - - 0 0 1 0 0 2 0 1

Total App 57 62 64 57 50 47 61 49 66 58 57 49Total Disapp 38 26 32 43 47 50 34 48 28 35 39 48App - Disapp 19 36 32 15 4 -2 26 0 38 23 18 1

0 Brown Strongly App 17 11 11 14 18 22 12 20 13 12 21 21Smwt App 32 35 36 44 31 28 39 29 33 38 29 31Smwt Disapp 14 7 11 12 18 15 10 16 12 12 18 13

Strongly Disapp 21 16 15 25 24 26 19 25 14 22 20 27DK) 15 27 28 6 9 8 19 9 26 15 13 8Ref) 1 3 - - 0 0 1 0 1 1 0 0

Total App 49 46 47 58 50 50 51 50 47 50 50 52Total Disapp 35 24 25 36 42 42 29 42 26 34 38 40App - Disapp 13 23 21 21 8 8 22 8 20 16 12 11

age 22


23/475


EDUCATION WHITE EDUCATION

4 Non 4 NonHS or Post year Post Coll Coll HS or Post year Post Coll Coll

Total less HS grad grad ege ege less HS grad grad ege ege

Vote Difference ...Total answering (1500) (313) (442) (422) (311) (755) (733) (137) (302) (314) (249) (439) (564)

PTYREG Dem-Rep 13 24 2 17 12 11 15 -3 -12 11 7 -9 9

2-3-2 Dem-Rep 16 30 3 18 19 15 18 5 -12 13 12 -7 12

3-1-3 Dem-Rep 17 33 5 17 19 16 18 2 -12 11 13 -7 12

OBAMA JOB App-Disapp 19 25 11 24 19 17 22 -1 -1 17 17 -1 17

BROWN JOB App-Disapp 13 14 2 17 24 7 20 13 -6 18 25 0 21

VOTE Obama-Romney 22 31 6 28 24 17 26 5 -11 19 19 -6 19

VOTE Obama-Gingrich 32 42 21 34 33 30 33 19 8 25 27 11 26

VOTE Obama-Santorum 29 37 14 34 36 23 35 7 -2 25 32 1 28

VOTE Obama-Paul 28 36 14 34 29 23 32 8 3 27 24 4 26

Key Groups ...Total answering (1500) (313) (442) (422) (311) (755) (733) (137) (302) (314) (249) (439) (564)Reg Rep/Not ID Rep 8 8 8 7 7 8 7 10 7 8 7 8 7Reg Dem/Not ID Dem 8 9 9 8 5 9 7 7 8 7 4 8 6

Q7 Likely to Vote in Nov. ...Total answering (1500) (313) (442) (422) (311) (755) (733) (137) (302) (314) (249) (439) (564)Almost certain 89 81 86 92 96 84 94 89 91 95 97 90 96Probably vote 6 8 7 4 3 8 4 4 6 3 2 5 350-50 4 9 4 3 1 6 2 5 1 1 0 3 1Will not vote 1 1 2 1 - 2 0 1 1 0 - 1 0(DK) 1 1 1 0 0 1 0 1 1 0 1 1 0

Q9-10 Summary: Job Approval ...Total Answering (1500) (313) (442) (422) (311) (755) (733) (137) (302) (314) (249) (439) (564)9 Obama Strongly App 30 31 22 34 36 25 35 20 20 31 35 20 33Smwt App 27 28 32 27 21 30 24 24 28 27 22 27 25Smwt Disapp 11 12 12 9 12 12 10 13 13 9 12 13 10Strongly Disapp 27 21 30 27 27 27 27 32 36 31 29 35 30(DK) 4 7 3 4 2 4 3 10 2 2 2 4 2(Ref) 1 1 1 - 1 1 0 0 2 - 0 1 0Total App 57 59 53 60 58 55 59 44 48 57 57 47 57Total Disapp 38 33 43 36 39 39 37 46 49 40 40 48 40App - Disapp 19 25 11 24 19 17 22 -1 -1 17 17 -1 17

10 Brown Strongly App 17 13 13 18 24 13 21 11 11 18 26 11 22Smwt App 32 32 29 33 34 30 34 36 29 35 33 31 34Smwt Disapp 14 12 15 14 14 14 14 9 17 13 14 14 13

Strongly Disapp 21 19 25 20 21 23 20 24 29 22 20 27 21(DK) 15 23 17 14 7 19 11 20 14 13 7 15 10(Ref) 1 0 1 - 0 1 0 0 1 - - 1 -Total App 49 45 42 51 58 43 54 47 40 53 59 42 55Total Disapp 35 32 40 34 34 37 34 33 45 34 34 42 34App - Disapp 13 14 2 17 24 7 20 13 -6 18 25 0 21

Pa


24/475


GENDER/EDUC AGE/EDUC MARITAL STATUS

Non Non Young Older Live SepColl Coll Coll Coll Non Young Non Older Marr Sep Wid with Div Unmar

Total Men Men WomenWomenColl Coll Coll Coll ied Singl Div owed prtnr Wid ried

ote Difference ...

Total answering (1500) (350) (346) (404) (387) (354) (310) (373) (400) (811) (369) (123) (104) (71) (227) (668)

PTYREG Dem-Rep 13 9 4 13 24 20 19 3 13 5 21 21 12 46 17 22

2-3-2 Dem-Rep 16 9 8 20 27 22 20 7 19 6 28 32 10 56 22 29

3-1-3 Dem-Rep 17 9 4 23 30 29 23 5 16 3 38 30 14 54 22 35

OBAMA JOB App-Disapp 19 14 9 19 33 31 31 5 16 3 41 33 21 58 28 38

BROWN JOB App-Disapp 13 11 14 3 25 13 24 3 20 4 22 27 19 39 23 24

VOTE Obama-Romney 22 15 16 18 35 32 39 3 18 4 45 37 19 63 29 41

VOTE Obama-Gingrich 32 29 25 31 41 46 43 15 27 16 56 40 31 69 36 50

VOTE Obama-Santorum 29 21 26 26 42 43 50 5 25 12 56 44 19 68 32 49

VOTE Obama-Paul 28 20 18 26 44 30 40 18 28 14 46 39 29 53 35 43

Key Groups ...

Total answering (1500) (350) (346) (404) (387) (354) (310) (373) (400) (811) (369) (123) (104) (71) (227) (668)Reg Rep/Not ID Rep 8 7 8 9 6 7 5 8 8 9 6 10 6 2 8 6Reg Dem/Not ID Dem 8 9 7 9 7 11 7 7 7 7 11 3 7 7 5 8


Total answering (1500) (350) (346) (404) (387) (354) (310) (373) (400) (811) (369) (123) (104) (71) (227) (668)Almost certain 89 83 93 84 95 76 90 91 96 91 80 93 91 90 92 85Probably vote 6 8 5 7 3 12 5 4 2 4 9 2 6 9 4 750-50 4 6 2 6 2 9 3 3 1 3 8 3 2 - 2 5Will not vote 1 1 0 2 0 3 1 1 - 1 2 1 - 1 1 1DK) 1 1 0 1 1 1 0 2 1 1 1 2 1 - 1 1


Total Answering (1500) (350) (346) (404) (387) (354) (310) (373) (400) (811) (369) (123) (104) (71) (227) (668)

9 Obama Strongly App 30 21 31 29 39 22 33 29 37 27 31 36 33 38 35 33Smwt App 27 33 22 28 26 40 29 21 20 22 36 28 25 39 27 33Smwt Disapp 11 14 11 11 10 15 13 10 8 12 12 5 12 11 8 10Strongly Disapp 27 27 32 26 22 16 19 35 33 35 14 26 26 8 26 18DK) 4 4 4 5 3 6 5 4 2 3 6 4 3 4 3 5Ref) 1 2 0 1 0 2 0 1 0 1 1 1 1 - 1 1

Total App 57 54 53 57 65 62 63 50 57 50 67 64 59 77 61 66Total Disapp 38 40 43 37 32 31 32 45 41 47 26 31 38 19 34 28App - Disapp 19 14 9 19 33 31 31 5 16 3 41 33 21 58 28 38

0 Brown Strongly App 17 14 19 12 22 10 16 17 25 16 14 27 21 13 24 17Smwt App 32 34 33 27 34 33 38 28 31 30 35 30 32 46 31 35Smwt Disapp 14 12 13 15 15 13 11 15 16 15 13 14 11 12 13 13

Strongly Disapp 21 25 25 20 16 18 19 26 21 27 14 17 23 8 20 15DK) 15 13 10 25 13 25 16 14 8 12 23 13 12 20 12 19Ref) 1 1 - 1 0 2 0 0 - 0 1 - - - - 1

Total App 49 48 52 39 56 43 54 45 56 46 49 57 53 60 55 52Total Disapp 35 37 38 36 31 30 30 41 36 42 26 30 35 21 32 28App - Disapp 13 11 14 3 25 13 24 3 20 4 22 27 19 39 23 24

age 24


25/475


MARITAL GENDER MARITAL/KIDS

SpDiv Marr Unmar Marr UnmarMarr Singl Wid Unmar Marr Unmar Par Par no no

Total WomenWomenWomenWomen Men Men ents ents kids kids

Vote Difference ...Total answering (1500) (416) (172) (160) (368) (394) (300) (316) (99) (494) (569)

PTYREG Dem-Rep 13 12 23 21 25 -3 19 15 32 -2 20

2-3-2 Dem-Rep 16 14 38 24 35 -2 22 9 34 4 28

3-1-3 Dem-Rep 17 14 50 25 41 -9 26 5 34 1 35

OBAMA JOB App-Disapp 19 12 48 29 42 -6 33 11 41 -2 38

BROWN JOB App-Disapp 13 10 12 19 18 -3 33 9 19 1 25

VOTE Obama-Romney 22 13 48 28 41 -5 41 12 42 0 41

VOTE Obama-Gingrich 32 23 57 37 50 8 50 22 49 12 50

VOTE Obama-Santorum 29 20 60 31 49 3 49 17 52 9 49

VOTE Obama-Paul 28 25 52 35 46 4 39 15 39 14 44

Key Groups ...Total answering (1500) (416) (172) (160) (368) (394) (300) (316) (99) (494) (569)Reg Rep/Not ID Rep 8 7 9 8 8 10 4 7 6 10 6Reg Dem/Not ID Dem 8 7 12 6 9 8 8 9 10 6 8

Q7 Likely to Vote in Nov. ...Total answering (1500) (416) (172) (160) (368) (394) (300) (316) (99) (494) (569)Almost certain 89 91 81 94 87 92 83 89 86 93 85Probably vote 6 5 6 2 5 3 10 5 6 3 850-50 4 2 9 3 5 3 5 4 4 2 6Will not vote 1 1 2 1 2 1 1 1 2 0 1(DK) 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 1 1

Q9-10 Summary: Job Approval ...Total Answering (1500) (416) (172) (160) (368) (394) (300) (316) (99) (494) (569)9 Obama Strongly App 30 32 34 35 35 22 30 26 43 28 31Smwt App 27 21 36 28 34 23 33 27 24 19 35Smwt Disapp 11 12 9 8 9 12 12 14 11 11 10Strongly Disapp 27 30 14 26 18 39 17 29 14 38 18(DK) 4 4 7 2 4 2 6 4 6 2 5(Ref) 1 1 - 1 0 0 2 1 2 1 1Total App 57 54 71 63 69 46 63 53 66 48 66Total Disapp 38 42 23 34 27 51 29 42 25 49 28App - Disapp 19 12 48 29 42 -6 33 11 41 -2 38

10 Brown Strongly App 17 17 12 22 16 15 18 17 21 16 17Smwt App 32 31 28 30 30 29 41 30 28 29 36Smwt Disapp 14 17 13 13 13 13 12 15 13 16 12

Strongly Disapp 21 20 15 20 16 33 15 24 16 29 15(DK) 15 15 30 15 23 10 14 15 22 11 19(Ref) 1 0 1 - 1 0 1 0 - 0 1Total App 49 47 41 52 47 44 59 47 49 45 53Total Disapp 35 37 28 33 29 47 26 38 30 44 27App - Disapp 13 10 12 19 18 -3 33 9 19 1 25

Pa


26/475


PARENTS/RACE GENDER/KIDS

White Black Latno Mnrty Women MenWhite Non Non Latno Non Mnrty Non no no

Total Parnt Parnt Parnt Parnt Parnt Parnt Parnt Moms Dads kids kids

ote Difference ...

Total answering (1500) (246) (759) (56) (104) (196) (172) (326) (216) (200) (579) (505)

PTYREG Dem-Rep 13 6 0 68 40 37 39 35 24 14 17 4

2-3-2 Dem-Rep 16 0 6 79 37 47 37 43 22 6 24 10

3-1-3 Dem-Rep 17 -3 6 84 32 55 35 50 23 0 28 9

OBAMA JOB App-Disapp 19 10 9 88 23 47 32 47 25 10 27 12

BROWN JOB App-Disapp 13 14 11 33 12 20 7 21 21 0 11 18

VOTE Obama-Romney 22 3 10 89 36 52 45 52 26 12 27 17

VOTE Obama-Gingrich 32 12 22 90 46 60 52 59 33 23 37 29

VOTE Obama-Santorum 29 10 18 90 40 61 49 60 31 19 35 26

VOTE Obama-Paul 28 4 21 91 36 56 46 54 29 11 37 23

Key Groups ...



Total answering (1500) (246) (759) (56) (104) (196) (172) (326) (216) (200) (579) (505)Almost certain 89 94 93 91 77 75 79 80 86 91 90 87Probably vote 6 3 4 4 9 11 9 8 7 3 4 850-50 4 1 1 4 10 11 9 9 3 4 4 4Will not vote 1 1 0 - 2 2 2 2 2 1 1 0DK) 1 1 1 - 3 1 2 1 1 1 1 1


Total Answering (1500) (246) (759) (56) (104) (196) (172) (326) (216) (200) (579) (505)

9 Obama Strongly App 30 25 28 64 28 30 38 35 35 25 33 27Smwt App 27 28 25 29 29 41 24 35 24 29 28 27Smwt Disapp 11 15 10 3 16 12 12 11 10 16 10 11Strongly Disapp 27 28 33 3 18 11 19 13 24 26 24 31DK) 4 4 3 1 7 6 5 5 6 3 3 4Ref) 1 0 1 - 2 1 2 1 0 1 1 1



Strongly Disapp 21 22 24 11 17 13 21 14 16 28 19 24DK) 15 14 12 11 26 23 20 21 20 14 19 10Ref) 1 0 0 - 1 - 1 1 0 0 1 1


age 26


27/475


RACE/GENDER/KIDS MARITAL/GENDER/AGE

Young Older Young Older Young Older Young OlderWhite White Latno Latno Mnrty Mnrty Marr Marr Unmar Unmar Marr Marr Unmar Unma

Total Moms Dads Moms Dads Moms Dads WomenWomenWomenWomen Men Men Men Men

Vote Difference ...Total answering (1500) (129) (117) (56) (48) (89) (83) (168) (231) (166) (194) (133) (246) (195) (99)

PTYREG Dem-Rep 13 14 -3 42 38 36 41 15 15 28 22 9 -10 22 11

2-3-2 Dem-Rep 16 11 -12 36 37 39 35 13 16 44 28 3 -6 21 23

3-1-3 Dem-Rep 17 11 -19 31 33 39 30 18 13 55 30 -3 -12 26 25

OBAMA JOB App-Disapp 19 21 -3 22 25 32 32 16 11 60 27 5 -11 35 30

BROWN JOB App-Disapp 13 31 -3 6 19 6 9 19 8 21 17 -3 0 28 42

VOTE Obama-Romney 22 17 -13 32 40 41 48 22 9 58 29 9 -12 44 35

VOTE Obama-Gingrich 32 24 -1 45 46 48 55 30 20 63 39 22 2 56 37

VOTE Obama-Santorum 29 23 -3 38 42 46 52 30 15 70 32 22 -6 55 36

VOTE Obama-Paul 28 20 -14 34 38 44 47 29 25 57 37 5 4 39 38


Q7 Likely to Vote in Nov. ...Total answering (1500) (129) (117) (56) (48) (89) (83) (168) (231) (166) (194) (133) (246) (195) (99)Almost certain 89 93 95 75 79 74 84 84 96 80 92 90 93 78 93Probably vote 6 2 4 13 4 15 2 8 2 9 2 4 3 12 650-50 4 1 2 7 14 8 9 4 1 7 3 5 3 8 0Will not vote 1 3 - 2 1 1 3 2 0 3 1 1 0 1 0(DK) 1 1 - 3 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 - 1 0 1

Q9-10 Summary: Job Approval ...Total Answering (1500) (129) (117) (56) (48) (89) (83) (168) (231) (166) (194) (133) (246) (195) (99)9 Obama Strongly App 30 31 18 32 24 42 35 30 35 31 39 15 26 29 34Smwt App 27 27 28 22 37 19 30 25 19 47 23 37 17 34 30Smwt Disapp 11 12 18 13 19 8 15 16 9 9 8 18 10 14 10Strongly Disapp 27 26 31 19 18 21 17 23 34 9 26 28 44 13 24(DK) 4 4 5 13 - 10 - 6 2 5 3 1 3 7 2(Ref) 1 - 0 1 3 1 4 1 0 - 0 - 1 3 -Total App 57 59 46 54 61 61 64 54 54 77 62 52 43 62 64Total Disapp 38 38 49 32 36 29 32 39 43 17 34 47 54 27 34App - Disapp 19 21 -3 22 25 32 32 16 11 60 27 5 -11 35 30


Strongly Disapp 21 15 30 16 18 20 23 16 21 12 18 32 33 16 13(DK) 15 15 13 34 17 26 15 19 11 33 14 12 8 17 7(Ref) 1 - 0 1 1 1 1 1 0 1 - - 0 2 -Total App 49 58 42 36 50 40 47 49 48 43 52 43 45 55 68Total Disapp 35 27 45 30 32 34 38 31 40 22 35 46 46 26 26App - Disapp 13 31 -3 6 19 6 9 19 8 21 17 -3 0 28 42

Pa


28/475


WHITE MAR/GEN/AGE LATINO MAR/GEN/AGE

Young Older Older Older Young Older Young Older Young Older YoungMarr Marr Unmar Marr Unmar Unmar Marr Marr Unmar Marr Unmar

Total WomenWomenWomen Men Men Men WomenWomenWomen Men Men

ote Difference ...

Total answering (1500) (100) (185) (149) (192) (118) (75) (45) (29) (67) (32) (44)

PTYREG Dem-Rep 13 3 4 13 -24 12 2 43 54 31 48 22

2-3-2 Dem-Rep 16 -4 7 20 -21 9 13 41 45 48 55 32

3-1-3 Dem-Rep 17 2 2 22 -26 12 15 47 47 56 54 41

OBAMA JOB App-Disapp 19 13 2 19 -23 32 20 23 30 51 49 32

BROWN JOB App-Disapp 13 17 6 14 -7 30 39 6 24 18 24 18

VOTE Obama-Romney 22 13 -2 21 -25 34 27 43 38 58 55 35

VOTE Obama-Gingrich 32 20 10 34 -9 46 30 57 50 62 53 56

VOTE Obama-Santorum 29 19 5 25 -18 49 24 49 52 66 46 45

VOTE Obama-Paul 28 19 15 31 -8 34 29 44 56 60 60 25

Key Groups ...



Total answering (1500) (100) (185) (149) (192) (118) (75) (45) (29) (67) (32) (44)Almost certain 89 93 98 93 94 87 93 76 80 71 86 54Probably vote 6 4 1 1 3 13 6 13 10 13 2 1750-50 4 - - 3 1 - - 5 9 10 7 27Will not vote 1 4 - 1 - - - 2 2 4 2 -DK) 1 - 1 2 1 - 1 4 - 2 3 2


Total Answering (1500) (100) (185) (149) (192) (118) (75) (45) (29) (67) (32) (44)

9 Obama Strongly App 30 25 32 34 22 26 28 30 35 24 43 24Smwt App 27 30 17 24 15 35 32 25 26 49 28 37Smwt Disapp 11 19 8 8 10 13 12 13 12 14 10 19Strongly Disapp 27 23 39 30 50 16 27 18 19 8 13 10DK) 4 3 2 4 2 8 1 14 6 6 3 8Ref) 1 - 0 1 1 3 - - 2 - 4 1

Total App 57 55 49 57 37 61 59 54 61 73 71 61Total Disapp 38 42 48 38 60 29 39 31 31 21 22 29App - Disapp 19 13 2 19 -23 32 20 23 30 51 49 32


Strongly Disapp 21 17 23 19 37 20 14 14 15 12 17 12DK) 15 15 9 13 6 13 5 30 21 30 16 28Ref) 1 - 0 - 0 3 - - 2 - 1 -

Total App 49 51 48 51 43 57 67 38 51 44 53 45Total Disapp 35 34 43 36 51 27 28 32 27 26 29 27App - Disapp 13 17 6 14 -7 30 39 6 24 18 24 18

age 28


29/475


MINORITY MAR/GEN/AGE UNION

Young Older Young Older Young Older Young Resp Total No TotalMarr Marr Unmar Unmar Marr Marr Unmar Pri Resp Resp membr Union

Total WomenWomenWomenWomen Men Men Men vate Publc membr belng hholdVote Difference ...Total answering (1500) (71) (49) (92) (47) (52) (55) (78) (86) (133) (219) (1187) (273)

PTYREG Dem-Rep 13 27 54 25 53 30 41 33 48 38 42 7 37

2-3-2 Dem-Rep 16 32 54 42 57 18 45 37 37 37 37 12 34

3-1-3 Dem-Rep 17 36 55 54 62 12 39 48 50 39 43 11 42

OBAMA JOB App-Disapp 19 20 45 57 63 16 34 40 27 37 33 15 36

BROWN JOB App-Disapp 13 15 18 11 30 -14 29 24 23 34 29 9 31

VOTE Obama-Romney 22 37 53 62 62 23 38 56 35 44 41 17 40

VOTE Obama-Gingrich 32 46 60 62 63 43 43 69 50 55 53 26 54

VOTE Obama-Santorum 29 46 60 67 64 45 36 62 46 46 46 24 47

VOTE Obama-Paul 28 45 62 56 66 33 44 42 42 45 44 24 44

Key Groups ...Total answering (1500) (71) (49) (92) (47) (52) (55) (78) (86) (133) (219) (1187) (273)Reg Rep/Not ID Rep 8 10 4 18 4 4 5 3 6 5 5 8 6Reg Dem/Not ID Dem 8 7 9 16 6 13 9 12 13 10 11 8 9

Q7 Likely to Vote in Nov. ...Total answering (1500) (71) (49) (92) (47) (52) (55) (78) (86) (133) (219) (1187) (273)Almost certain 89 70 86 75 91 82 86 67 90 93 92 89 91Probably vote 6 16 8 12 4 3 3 11 3 2 2 6 350-50 4 11 5 7 4 12 8 18 3 3 3 4 3Will not vote 1 2 1 5 - 3 1 3 4 1 2 1 2(DK) 1 2 - 1 1 - 2 1 1 1 1 1 1

Q9-10 Summary: Job Approval ...Total Answering (1500) (71) (49) (92) (47) (52) (55) (78) (86) (133) (219) (1187) (273)9 Obama Strongly App 30 36 48 25 59 13 43 32 36 35 35 28 38Smwt App 27 18 23 50 21 43 21 33 25 32 30 27 27Smwt Disapp 11 11 10 11 9 17 8 16 12 8 10 12 10Strongly Disapp 27 23 15 7 9 24 22 9 22 22 22 29 21(DK) 4 11 3 6 2 3 3 7 5 2 3 4 3(Ref) 1 1 1 - - - 2 3 - 1 0 1 0Total App 57 54 71 76 81 56 65 65 61 67 65 55 66Total Disapp 38 34 25 18 17 40 30 25 34 30 32 40 30App - Disapp 19 20 45 57 63 16 34 40 27 37 33 15 36

10 Brown Strongly App 17 21 15 7 27 9 26 12 23 29 27 14 26Smwt App 32 24 34 32 31 28 30 38 31 33 32 32 33Smwt Disapp 14 12 15 16 17 13 9 16 15 14 14 15 12

Strongly Disapp 21 18 15 13 11 38 18 11 17 15 15 23 16(DK) 15 24 20 29 15 13 15 24 14 9 11 16 13(Ref) 1 1 1 3 - - 1 - - - - 1 -Total App 49 45 49 39 58 36 57 50 54 62 59 46 59Total Disapp 35 30 30 29 28 51 27 26 32 29 30 37 28App - Disapp 13 15 18 11 30 -14 29 24 23 34 29 9 31

Pa


30/475


WHITE UNION LANGUAGE RACE/AGE

Total No TotalResp Resp membrUnion Eng Span Young Older Older Young Older Young Older

Total Publc membr belng hhold lish ish White White Black Latno Latno Mnrty Mnrty

ote Difference ...

Total answering (1500) (83) (135) (810) (176) (1389) (111) (375) (603) (47) (191) (92) (293) (179)

PTYREG Dem-Rep 13 31 38 -6 33 10 56 10 -3 84 31 50 29 47

2-3-2 Dem-Rep 16 26 28 -1 25 13 56 9 2 88 40 48 35 51

3-1-3 Dem-Rep 17 31 36 -4 35 13 62 13 -1 90 45 50 41 52

OBAMA JOB App-Disapp 19 35 29 4 32 17 49 26 0 92 36 46 37 49

BROWN JOB App-Disapp 13 31 31 6 33 12 31 22 8 43 13 25 11 28

VOTE Obama-Romney 22 38 32 3 32 19 57 25 0 89 45 48 47 52

VOTE Obama-Gingrich 32 50 48 12 48 29 63 34 12 89 57 51 57 56

VOTE Obama-Santorum 29 40 39 10 40 26 66 38 5 90 54 51 57 55

VOTE Obama-Paul 28 35 34 12 36 25 64 25 13 92 44 58 46 59

Key Groups ...

Total answering (1500) (83) (135) (810) (176) (1389) (111) (375) (603) (47) (191) (92) (293) (179)Reg Rep/Not ID Rep 8 5 6 9 5 8 6 4 9 - 8 4 10 4Reg Dem/Not ID Dem 8 10 12 6 10 8 13 6 6 4 12 11 12 8


Total answering (1500) (83) (135) (810) (176) (1389) (111) (375) (603) (47) (191) (92) (293) (179)Almost certain 89 96 96 93 96 89 86 91 95 96 70 85 73 89Probably vote 6 1 2 4 1 5 7 6 2 2 13 6 11 550-50 4 - 1 2 1 4 6 2 1 2 13 6 12 5Will not vote 1 1 1 0 1 1 1 1 0 - 2 2 3 1DK) 1 1 1 0 1 1 0 - 1 - 2 1 1 1


Total Answering (1500) (83) (135) (810) (176) (1389) (111) (375) (603) (47) (191) (92) (293) (179)

9 Obama Strongly App 30 32 30 25 35 30 32 26 29 81 24 42 28 50Smwt App 27 35 34 25 29 26 39 35 20 14 40 28 36 23Smwt Disapp 11 8 10 12 9 11 14 15 10 - 15 9 13 8Strongly Disapp 27 24 25 34 24 28 8 20 39 3 13 15 14 16DK) 4 1 2 3 3 4 5 4 3 2 7 4 7 3Ref) 1 - - 1 - 1 1 1 0 - 0 2 1 1

Total App 57 67 63 50 65 56 71 61 49 95 64 70 64 73Total Disapp 38 32 35 46 33 39 22 34 48 3 28 24 28 23App - Disapp 19 35 29 4 32 17 49 26 0 92 36 46 37 49

0 Brown Strongly App 17 27 26 15 25 17 17 12 20 36 12 23 13 25Smwt App 32 35 36 32 36 32 36 39 29 32 32 30 31 31Smwt Disapp 14 15 12 15 10 14 13 10 16 13 15 16 14 14

Strongly Disapp 21 16 18 25 18 22 9 19 25 12 16 12 18 14DK) 15 7 9 13 11 15 25 19 9 7 26 18 23 16Ref) 1 - - 0 - 1 0 1 0 - - 1 1 1

Total App 49 62 61 47 61 48 53 51 50 68 44 53 43 56Total Disapp 35 31 30 40 28 36 22 29 42 25 31 28 32 28App - Disapp 13 31 31 6 33 12 31 22 8 43 13 25 11 28

age 30


31/475


RACE/GENDER RACE/PTYID

White White Latno Latno Mnrty Mnrty White White White Latno Latno Latno Mnrty MnrtyTotal Men Women Men Women Men Women Dem Ind Rep Dem Ind Rep Dem Ind


PTYREG Dem-Rep 13 -7 8 33 42 36 37 80 -6 -82 66 17 -37 70 15

2-3-2 Dem-Rep 16 -5 13 37 48 37 44 100 - -100 100 - -100 100 -

3-1-3 Dem-Rep 17 -8 14 39 53 38 51 100 -2 -100 100 18 -100 100 17

OBAMA JOB App-Disapp 19 1 17 36 42 36 46 85 -1 -68 66 4 -15 72 11

BROWN JOB App-Disapp 13 10 13 19 16 19 14 65 7 -44 36 -5 -17 38 -7

VOTE Obama-Romney 22 1 14 41 51 45 53 84 0 -71 80 22 -43 86 22

VOTE Obama-Gingrich 32 13 26 52 58 55 58 93 16 -60 88 32 -32 90 37

VOTE Obama-Santorum 29 10 22 47 58 52 59 91 13 -65 87 26 -27 91 33

VOTE Obama-Paul 28 7 25 41 55 45 56 90 3 -56 83 20 -31 87 20

Key Groups ...Total answering (1500) (475) (530) (128) (172) (226) (273) (397) (248) (355) (175) (68) (45) (285) (119) Reg Rep/Not ID Rep 8 9 7 5 8 5 10 2 27 - 5 14 - 6 15 Reg Dem/Not ID Dem 8 6 7 10 14 11 11 - 21 3 - 31 20 - 29

Q7 Likely to Vote in Nov. ...Total answering (1500) (475) (530) (128) (172) (226) (273) (397) (248) (355) (175) (68) (45) (285) (119) Almost certain 89 92 94 74 77 80 79 93 92 95 78 68 74 84 70 Probably vote 6 6 2 9 11 6 10 4 4 3 10 13 7 7 12 50-50 4 1 2 15 7 11 7 1 3 1 9 12 17 7 11 Will not vote 1 - 1 1 3 2 2 0 0 1 0 4 2 1 5 (DK) 1 1 1 1 2 1 1 1 0 1 2 2 - 1 1

Q9-10 Summary: Job Approval ...Total Answering (1500) (475) (530) (128) (172) (226) (273) (397) (248) (355) (175) (68) (45) (285) (119) 9 Obama Strongly App 30 23 31 27 31 33 39 55 18 3 39 14 16 51 16 Smwt App 27 25 26 38 35 32 31 37 29 11 41 33 24 32 35 Smwt Disapp 11 13 10 14 13 12 11 4 14 17 11 23 12 8 18 Strongly Disapp 27 35 30 15 12 17 13 3 35 64 3 20 44 3 22 (DK) 4 3 3 4 8 4 6 2 5 4 6 9 1 5 8 (Ref) 1 1 0 1 1 2 1 - 0 1 1 - 3 2 - Total App 57 48 57 65 67 65 70 92 47 14 80 47 40 83 51 Total Disapp 38 48 40 29 25 29 24 7 48 81 14 43 56 11 41 App - Disapp 19 1 17 36 42 36 46 85 -1 -68 66 4 -15 72 11

10 Brown Strongly App 17 16 18 17 13 18 15 33 12 2 18 9 12 23 8 Smwt App 32 35 31 33 30 32 29 42 35 20 39 23 21 37 26 Smwt Disapp 14 12 15 15 15 14 15 7 13 22 14 16 22 13 15

Strongly Disapp 21 28 20 17 12 18 15 4 26 44 8 21 29 8 26 (DK) 15 8 16 17 29 17 24 13 14 11 21 31 15 18 26 (Ref) 1 1 0 0 0 0 1 - - 1 - - 1 1 - Total App 49 51 48 51 44 51 44 76 47 22 57 32 34 60 34 Total Disapp 35 40 35 32 28 32 30 11 40 66 21 37 50 21 40 App - Disapp 13 10 13 19 16 19 14 65 7 -44 36 -5 -17 38 -7

Pa


32/475


RACE/EDUC LANG/PTYID

White Latno Mnrty Eng Eng Eng SpanNon White Non Latno Non Mnrty lish lish lish ish

Total Coll Coll Coll Coll Coll Coll Dem Ind Rep Dem

ote Difference ...

Total answering (1500) (439) (564) (228) (67) (323) (169) (599) (355) (417) (77)

PTYREG Dem-Rep 13 -9 9 41 27 38 33 76 -2 -78 72

2-3-2 Dem-Rep 16 -7 12 45 36 43 38 100 - -100 100

3-1-3 Dem-Rep 17 -7 12 50 37 49 38 100 1 -100 100

OBAMA JOB App-Disapp 19 -1 17 43 24 44 37 81 3 -63 64

BROWN JOB App-Disapp 13 0 21 20 7 18 14 55 2 -43 42

VOTE Obama-Romney 22 -6 19 49 36 50 49 85 5 -67 78

VOTE Obama-Gingrich 32 11 26 59 42 56 57 93 22 -56 83

VOTE Obama-Santorum 29 1 28 57 38 57 55 91 18 -61 82

VOTE Obama-Paul 28 4 26 50 42 51 51 88 7 -52 84

Key Groups ...

Total answering (1500) (439) (564) (228) (67) (323) (169) (599) (355) (417) (77)Reg Rep/Not ID Rep 8 8 7 7 7 8 7 3 24 - 6Reg Dem/Not ID Dem 8 8 6 12 12 11 9 - 22 5 -


Total answering (1500) (439) (564) (228) (67) (323) (169) (599) (355) (417) (77)Almost certain 89 90 96 72 86 75 87 89 85 92 87Probably vote 6 5 3 11 8 10 5 5 7 3 650-50 4 3 1 13 3 11 6 3 6 3 5Will not vote 1 1 0 2 2 3 2 1 2 1 1DK) 1 1 0 2 1 1 0 1 1 1 1


Total Answering (1500) (439) (564) (228) (67) (323) (169) (599) (355) (417) (77)

9 Obama Strongly App 30 20 33 31 25 34 41 55 18 4 38Smwt App 27 27 25 38 33 35 24 34 30 12 42Smwt Disapp 11 13 10 14 12 11 11 5 14 17 15Strongly Disapp 27 35 30 12 21 13 17 3 32 62 1DK) 4 4 2 5 8 5 6 3 5 4 4Ref) 1 1 0 1 - 2 1 1 0 1 1

Total App 57 47 57 68 58 69 66 89 49 16 80Total Disapp 38 48 40 25 34 25 28 8 46 79 16App - Disapp 19 -1 17 43 24 44 37 81 3 -63 64

0 Brown Strongly App 17 11 22 15 17 16 19 30 11 3 20Smwt App 32 31 34 32 29 31 30 40 32 19 41Smwt Disapp 14 14 13 15 16 13 17 9 14 22 13

Strongly Disapp 21 27 21 12 22 16 18 6 27 43 7DK) 15 15 10 26 16 24 15 15 17 12 19Ref) 1 1 - 0 - 1 1 1 - 1 -

Total App 49 42 55 47 46 47 49 70 43 22 61Total Disapp 35 42 34 27 39 28 35 15 41 65 19App - Disapp 13 0 21 20 7 18 14 55 2 -43 42

age 32


33/475


TEA PARTY ROMNEY VOTE GINGRICH VOTE SANTORUM VOTE

NotStrng strng Not DK Total Rom Und Ging Und San Und

Total supp supp supp Ref Supp Obama ney Ref Obamarich Ref Obamatorum Ref


PTYREG Dem-Rep 13 -74 -35 37 0 -50 55 -53 9 52 -60 8 52 -59 22

2-3-2 Dem-Rep 16 -67 -40 42 0 -50 64 -56 -2 60 -66 -6 61 -64 2

3-1-3 Dem-Rep 17 -82 -56 50 -5 -66 76 -72 -5 71 -85 -3 71 -82 8

OBAMA JOB App-Disapp 19 -89 -55 53 5 -69 84 -78 25 77 -86 15 78 -82 1

BROWN JOB App-Disapp 13 -69 -50 40 5 -57 53 -49 30 51 -59 11 51 -55 16

VOTE Obama-Romney 22 -88 -60 57 1 -71 100 -100 - 83 -91 -13 84 -87 -10

VOTE Obama-Gingrich 32 -88 -53 69 22 -67 96 -67 22 100 -100 - 93 -77 10

VOTE Obama-Santorum 29 -88 -56 66 12 -69 94 -70 13 91 -84 -3 100 -100 -

VOTE Obama-Paul 28 -79 -46 61 13 -59 87 -62 18 84 -76 10 84 -71 0


Q7 Likely to Vote in Nov. ...Total answering (1500) (145) (227) (1023) (105) (372) (861) (538) (67) (928) (453) (62) (916) (479) (60)Almost certain 89 96 93 88 80 94 89 90 88 88 92 83 88 93 82Probably vote 6 1 3 6 10 2 6 5 5 6 5 7 6 4 550-50 4 1 4 4 5 3 4 4 6 4 3 9 4 2 12Will not vote 1 - - 1 4 - 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 - 1(DK) 1 2 - 1 1 1 1 0 - 1 1 - 1 1 -

Q9-10 Summary: Job Approval ...Total Answering (1500) (145) (227) (1023) (105) (372) (861) (538) (67) (928) (453) (62) (916) (479) (60)9 Obama Strongly App 30 3 9 40 19 7 51 2 7 48 2 5 48 2 6Smwt App 27 2 12 34 26 8 39 8 46 39 5 40 39 7 32Smwt Disapp 11 6 15 10 19 11 5 20 17 7 16 18 6 18 26Strongly Disapp 27 88 62 11 20 72 1 67 11 2 76 11 3 72 11(DK) 4 - 2 4 16 1 4 3 12 4 1 19 4 2 18(Ref) 1 1 0 1 0 1 1 0 7 1 0 7 1 0 8Total App 57 5 21 74 44 15 90 9 53 86 6 45 87 8 38Total Disapp 38 94 76 21 39 83 6 88 28 9 92 29 9 90 37App - Disapp 19 -89 -55 53 5 -69 84 -78 25 77 -86 15 78 -82 1


Strongly Disapp 21 61 45 11 15 51 6 47 9 6 53 8 6 51 8(DK) 15 7 12 14 43 10 16 11 33 16 9 49 16 10 44(Ref) 1 - 0 1 - 0 0 0 6 0 0 6 0 0 7Total App 49 12 19 62 31 16 68 20 45 67 16 28 67 17 33Total Disapp 35 81 69 23 26 73 15 69 16 16 75 17 16 72 17App - Disapp 13 -69 -50 40 5 -57 53 -49 30 51 -59 11 51 -55 16

Pa


34/475


PAUL VOTE SPLITS

WillUnd not

Total ObamaPaul Ref vote A B

ote Difference ...

Total answering (1500) (884) (469) (78) (56) (750) (750)

PTYREG Dem-Rep 13 52 -54 8 -27 13 13

2-3-2 Dem-Rep 16 62 -57 -1 -43 18 15

3-1-3 Dem-Rep 17 71 -72 -5 -50 17 17

OBAMA JOB App-Disapp 19 79 -76 -2 -81 19 19

BROWN JOB App-Disapp 13 51 -47 1 -42 15 11

VOTE Obama-Romney 22 83 -76 -14 -76 20 23

VOTE Obama-Gingrich 32 92 -66 4 -55 31 32

VOTE Obama-Santorum 29 90 -68 -4 -54 28 30

VOTE Obama-Paul 28 100 -100 - - 28 27

Key Groups ...

Total answering (1500) (884) (469) (78) (56) (750) (750)Reg Rep/Not ID Rep 8 6 12 7 4 8 7Reg Dem/Not ID Dem 8 8 7 15 14 8 8


Total answering (1500) (884) (469) (78) (56) (750) (750)Almost certain 89 88 92 84 71 91 87Probably vote 6 6 5 5 7 4 750-50 4 4 2 9 9 3 5Will not vote 1 1 - 1 12 1 1DK) 1 1 0 1 - 1 1


Total Answering (1500) (884) (469) (78) (56) (750) (750)

9 Obama Strongly App 30 50 2 5 - 30 30Smwt App 27 38 9 32 2 27 27Smwt Disapp 11 6 18 19 21 10 12Strongly Disapp 27 2 69 19 62 28 26DK) 4 3 2 19 13 4 4Ref) 1 1 0 6 2 1 1

Total App 57 88 11 37 2 57 57Total Disapp 38 8 87 38 83 38 38App - Disapp 19 79 -76 -2 -81 19 19

0 Brown Strongly App 17 26 3 4 4 17 17Smwt App 32 41 19 26 17 33 31Smwt Disapp 14 10 21 13 11 14 14

Strongly Disapp 21 6 48 16 51 20 23DK) 15 16 10 36 18 15 16Ref) 1 0 0 5 - 1 0

Total App 49 67 22 30 20 50 48Total Disapp 35 16 69 29 62 34 36App - Disapp 13 51 -47 1 -42 15 11

age 34


35/475




Q11-16 Summary: Favorability ...Total Answering (1500) (660) (465) (295) (80) (676) (368) (431) (1005) (90) (300) (65) (499) (416) (1059

11 Obama Very fav 34 55 9 30 26 61 20 5 31 78 35 27 41 33 35Very unfav 25 6 59 17 23 3 26 60 30 1 12 21 14 23 26Total fav 62 87 22 68 58 91 55 20 56 99 73 55 73 62 61Total unfav 36 11 74 29 38 6 43 77 42 1 24 33 23 35 37ID 98 99 98 98 95 98 99 98 99 100 99 88 97 98 99Dont ID 2 1 2

Documents

xx7167_031912_USC_LA_Times_bbk