Transcript
Page 1: Economy and digital disruption 2017

DIGITAL DISRUPTION

ACADEMIC YEAR 2017 2018

ECONOMY

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digital transformation

• Digital transformation or disruption→ trends

→ drivers

• Modeling

• How should organizations deal with digital transformation?

CONTENT

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A WAKE UP CALL

TRENDS

trends

drivers

models

response

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trends

DO YOU REMEMBER WHAT HAPPENED WITH THESE COMPANIES?

can you give some examples of industries that are• out of business• or are threatened by • disruption• digital transformation

The Great Wave off Kanagawa, Katsushika Hokusai

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trends

PHOTOGRAPHY

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trends

FILM

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trends

NEWSPAPERS

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trends

BOOKSHOPS

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trends

BANK LOAN

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trends

PAYING CASHhttps://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qU8Tn1xvyog

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trends

SHOPPING

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trends

GROCERY

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trends

• generation Z

NEW CUSTOMER

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trends

BUYING LENS

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trends

CAR

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trends

TAXI

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trends

ALIBABA STORY

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trends

• please check this video about Jack Ma

MUST SEE:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6SuFGpYQt0E

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trends

• 95 years

• 685,000 rooms

• 92 countries

• $ 24 billion

• 6 years

• 1 000 000 accomodations

• 190 countries

• $ 13 billion

HILTON GROUP AIRBNB

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trends

ENERGY

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trends

• Do you recognize this building?

• Chrysler Building, Manhattan, NY

• represents power → car companies

→ oil industry

ARCHETYPE ‘OLD’ BUSINESS

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trends

• and this building?

• headquarters Apple, Cupertino

ARCHETYPE ‘NEW’ BUSINESS

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trends

• this is what it really looks like (2017)

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trends

• and this one?

• new headquarters Amazon, Seattle

• these are the new power bases

ANOTHER EXAMPLE

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• what dus FAANG stand for?

FAANG

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trends

• What’s the next business that will be disruptive according to you? ….

GROUP DISCUSSION

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DIGITAL DISRUPTION

DRIVERS

trends

drivers

models

response

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drivers

• What are the underlying causes for thisdisruption?1. …

2. …

3. …

4. …

GROUP DISCUSSION

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drivers

BUILDING BLOCKS

con-nected

peerreviewing

online market place

new technologies

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drivers

WAVES OF DIGITAL DISRUPTION

source: digital transformation, Jo Coudron

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drivers

THE SPEED OF CHANGE

source: digital transformation, Jo Coudron

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drivers

• technological innovation→ social networks

→ user friendly apps

→ mobile devices

→ online review systems

DRIVERS OF TRANSFORMATION (DOT’S)

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drivers

• cost consciousness→ due to financial crisis

→ world wide economic slow down

DRIVERS

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drivers

• value shift→ younger generations think different about concept

→ access > possession (status) *

→ 1 lawn mower for neighborhood

→ Netflix or Spotify sharing with friends..

• sharing economy

DRIVERS

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drivers

• Wie heeft gehoord over LETSEN?

• acroniem→ Local

→ Exchange

→ Trading

→ System

• Hoe heet die lokale munt in → Kortrijk

→ Gent

→ enz…

SHARING ECONOMY

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drivers

• growing concern about the climate

DRIVERS

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drivers

• profit driven

• IP protected

• central management

• impact-driven

• open access, collaboration

• collective management

OLD WAY NEW WAY

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drivers

SCENARIO

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drivers

this is not an era of change, but a change of era (Rotmans, 2014)

PARADIGM SHIFT

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drivers

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drivers

• before: monolithic models→ top down logic

→ only a few people had access to all the information

→ information was controlled & filtered

• now: internet & social media→ 2 way communication customer & stakeholders

→ conversation management

METAPHOR OF TRANSPARENCY

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drivers

• traditional business → combination of different products & services

• traditional newspaper→ bundle of information

→ small price

• digital newspaper→ same offer, but now on pc, tablet, smartphone

→ copy, paste

• but each atomic part has new competitors

METAPHOR OF MONOLITHIC VS. ATOMIC ORGANISATIONS

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drivers

• ‘APPification’

• small companies→ they do only 1 thing/app

→ on a global scale

→ (almost) for fee

IMPACT SMARTPHONE

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drivers

• traditional shop→ more space for products

→ popular

→ profitable

LONG TAIL

• web shop→ if it exists, you can buy it

→ even small group customers

→ but worldwide = profitable

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drivers

• smartphone + app

• anything is on the tip of your fingers→ swipe

→ click

• example→ Uber

INSTANT GRATIFICATION

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drivers

• online banking

• online tax form

• online hotel booking

• online shopping

SELF-SERVICE

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AMAZON GO SHOPPING 2.0

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NrmMk1Myrxc

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drivers

• AWS = amazon web service

• Pinterest, air BnB, Spotify

CLOUD-COMPUTING

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https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XZmGGAbHqa0

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GOOGLE DATA CENTER BELGIE

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GHLIN

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drivers

• before: experts

• now all the intelligence is in your pocket

METAPHOR GATEKEEPER

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drivers

• article in magazine about a city trip?→ sponsored?

• opinion → friends Facebook

→ TripAdvisor

→ Blog *

WHAT DO YOU PREFER?

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drivers

THE NETWORK WINS

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zntukv0MvpI

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drivers

• fear → ‘off the network’

→ no wifi

• at ease when→ full battery

→ five bars

• constantly sharing→ we feed the network

GEN Z = EXTREMELY CONNECTED

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MASLOW

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MASLOW 2.0

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drivers

CROSSMEDIA

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drivers

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drivers

• apps location based→ weather apps

→ traffic apps

→ restaurant apps

→ tinder….

THE FUTURE IS MOBILE

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• we don’t talk so much to each other

• examples→ waiting for a job interview

→ in a (boring) meeting

→ nice & cozy at home

→ with friends on a restaurant

DISADVANTAGES (THE DARK SIDE)

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drivers

CONCEPT : VUCA

source: Peter Hinssen

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drivers

• gamification

• internet of things

• wearables

• 3D printing

• quantified self

• robotics

• drones

• big data

• monitoring

MORE STUFF TO COME

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• add the right product name

• google …..

• Amazon ….

• Apple ….

VIRTUAL ASSISTANTS

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GOOGLE HOMEhttps://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5bYSX2C4aWc

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AMAZON

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• Google pixel earbuds

TRANSLATION

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drivers

3D REVOLUTION

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drivers

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drivers

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drivers

• example Manhattan, NY

BIG DATA

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• possibility to predict consumer behavior

• and tailored advertising

• machine learning & AI

BIG DATA

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• Twitter can predict box office revenues fromfilms, based on user experience

• Google can predict very precisely where andwhen a flue epidemic will occur

• Shazam

BIG DATA: PREDICTIVE ANALYSIS

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drivers

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drivers

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drivers

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=b9nDPWaOK4g

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DIGITAL DISRUPTION

BUSINESS MODELS

trends

drivers

models

response

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business models

• deeleconomie

CONCEPT SHARE ECONOMY

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business models

• so you can bypass an entire business

DEFINITION

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INFOGRAPHIC

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business models

• centralized→ client server model

→ only 1 node

→ you always need to passthe center

• decentralized→ you can bypass the center

→ several nodes

• distributed→ no nodes anymore

• Question: can you applythis model to business models?

NETWORK TERMINOLOGY

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business models

• centralized→ Mc Donalds decides

→ Bpost

• decentralized→ Sapa = aluminum company

→ Colruyt group

→ dreambaby

• distributed (P2P)→ Wikipedia

→ Wikispeed *

→ AirBnB

→ Tapazz (car rental)

BUSINESS TERMINOLOGY

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business models

• reality = hybrid models→ P2P

→ centralized

• AirBNB→ takes a percentage

• Uber→ decides price strategy

REALITY = HYBRID MODEL

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business models

• flagships→ Google

→ Facebook

→ Twitter

→ Instagram

• where do they get the money?→ advertising

• dus indirect betaal je wel een prijs→ wie betaalt finaal die advertising?

→ en wat geef je vrij in ruil voor die google info?

1) FREE MODEL

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²

• there are also some disadvantagesto the system of share economy→ status as self-employed person

→ call centers, chatrooms

→ week-end work

→ evening shifts

• so a much more flexibility is expected…

A CRITICAL NOTE

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business models

BUSINESS MODEL CANVAS GOOGLE

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business models

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business models

• what is the concept of this model→ free

→ premium

• examples?→ …..

2) FREEMIUM MODEL

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business models

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business models

• Music→ you don’t buy CD’s

→ you ‘rent’ streamingmusic

→ Spotify

→ Apple music

→ Deezer

• video’s→ netflix

• data→ drop box

• software→ office 365

3) MEMBERSHIP MODEL

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business models

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business models

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business models

• social selling

• affiliate marketing→ bloggers

4) AFFILIATE MARKETING

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https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=E3HkfhTnvZ8

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business models

MODEL AFFILIATE MARKETING

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business models

• concept shared ledger→ virtual

→ decentralized

→ bookkeeping system

• examples→ bitcoin

→ but in the near future

→ mortgages

→ passports

→ gun licenses

5) BLOCK CHAIN

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https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pLv4toxtBsc&t=13s

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• meerdere modellen→ pure sponsoring

→ iets in return krijgen

• model zoals Wikipedia

6) CROWDFUNDING

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• this is a new business model, but not really inspired by the digital transformation, but anyhow, quite interesting:

7 CIRCULAR ECONOMY

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CASE RENEWI

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DIGITAL DISRUPTION

HOW TO RESPOND?

trends

drivers

models

response

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how to deal with it?

source: Digital transformation, Jo Coudron (book, you tube)

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how to deal with it?

• digital disruption is real

• expect a smack in the face

A SMACK IN THE FACE

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how to deal with it?

• who is going to be your→ uber

→ airbnb

→ Netflix

→ zalando

→ tesla

→ …

A SMACK IN THE FACE

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how to deal with it?

CREATE YOUR OWN DIGITAL TRANSFORMATION VISION

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8wGq0e_n3n4

source: digital transformation, Jo Coudron

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how to deal with it?

CREATE DIGITAL LEADERSHIP

source: digital transformation, Jo Coudron

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how to deal with it?

• score your leadership team on active usage and or understanding of new technologies

• if the majority of leadership is out,the company is out ….

LEADERSHIP ASSESSMENT

CEO sales mkt HR Fin prod. R&D ….

Facebook x x

twitter x x

LinkedIn x x x x x

you tube x x x

snap chat x

Instagram x

you can also apply this to your university

source: digital transformation, Jo Coudron

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• some colleagues are still digital dinosaurs…

DIGITAL DINOSAUR

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how to deal with it?

TRANSFORM ORGANIZATION PHILOSOPHY

source: digital transformation, Jo Coudron

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how to deal with it?

CHANGE OF CULTURE

source: digital transformation, Jo Coudron

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how to deal with it?

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OMNICHANNEL

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• Get rid of the absurdity of the concept ‘opening hours’

• the consumer wants everything → here

→ now

OPENING HOURS?

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how to deal with it?

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how to deal with it?

• rather than thinking about sharing markets, we need to think about creating markets!

SHARING OR CREATING?

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RED SEA & BLUE OCEAN

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how to deal with it?

• traditional structures → procedures

→ rules

→ budgets

• speed?→ slow

• goal→ keep business going

CLASSIC INNOVATION

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how to deal with it?

• project teams→ small

→ dedicated

• speed?→ agility

→ flexibility

• think ‘out of the box’

• can even be threat traditional activities→ possible cannibalization

• example→ Google

NEW INNOVATION

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how to deal with it?

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how to deal with it?

• example : Microsoft employees

• company: between 10h - 14h and at home (skype business + office 365 +…)

NEW WORLD OF WORK

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how to deal with it?

BUILD THE TRANSFORMATION FLEET

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how to deal with it?

• study with humans→ max. of about 150 people

→ if more people

→ more structures

→ more rules (laws)

→ more tools

→ more processes

ROBIN DUNBAR STUDY

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how to deal with it?

• make an educated guess….

DARWIN

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how to deal with it?

• the customer always decides

• all things you do must start from a superior experience

• from now on, you are an agile & flexible company

• you live in a world of constant uncertainty, deal with it

• always play on the offense instead of the defense

• don’t be afraid to cannibalize your own business

• never, ever, disrespect new or small players

CHANGE THE CULTURE

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how to deal with it?

• how can we explain the success of Uber?

THE CUSTOMER ALWAYS DECIDES

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how to deal with it?

ALL THINGS YOU DO MUST START FROM A SUPERIOR EXPERIENCE

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how to deal with it?

• customer centric

FROM NOW ON, YOU ARE AN AGILE & FLEXIBLE COMPANY

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how to deal with it?

• only certainty =….

YOU LIVE IN A WORLD OF CONSTANT UNCERTAINTY

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how to deal with it?

ALWAYS PLAY ON THE OFFENSE INSTEAD OF THE DEFENSE

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how to deal with it?

NEVER EVER DISRESPECT NEW OR SMALL PLAYERS

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how to deal with it?

BALANCE

source: digital transformation, Jo Coudron

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• traditional business, but they are investing in themarket of batteries

• they make money, but Tesla not yet....

EXAMPLE: UMICORE

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how to deal with it?

TAKE HOME MESSAGE

source: digital transformation, Jo Coudron

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QUESTIONS?

THANK YOU FOR LISTENING


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