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Public Lecture Presentation Slide (9.27.2012)

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Daniel P. Aldrich: Building Resilience Book Launch

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Page 1: Public Lecture Presentation Slide (9.27.2012)
Page 2: Public Lecture Presentation Slide (9.27.2012)
Page 3: Public Lecture Presentation Slide (9.27.2012)

Disaster Deaths Cost of Damage

Urban / rural Level of Analysis

1923 Tokyo Earthquake

105,000 $1 billion Highly populated urban area

39 neighborhoods in Tokyo from 1922 to 1933

1995 Kobe Earthquake

6,800 $100 billion

Highly populated urban area

9 wards in Kobe from 1991 to 2006

2004 Indian Ocean Tsunami

130,000 (in India alone)

$4.5 billion

Primarily rural, coastal fishing villages

41 villages, 1,600 respondents in state of Tamil Nadu

2005 Hurricane Katrina

1,800 $150 billion

Mixed urban area

114 zip codes in New Orleans

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Social infrastructure - not wealth, governance, pop. density, etc. - is most critical in recovery

New theoretical and empirical approach to studying disaster

Suggests new policy approaches for decision makers and NGOs

Page 11: Public Lecture Presentation Slide (9.27.2012)

-.05

0.0

5.1

.15

Po

pula

tion

Gro

wth

Rat

e (P

erce

ntag

e)

Low levels of social capital High levels of social capital

Chi-squared value: .001

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-.02

0.0

2.0

4.0

6P

redic

ted P

op

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n G

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ate

50 60 70 80Voter Turn Out (Percentage)

Page 14: Public Lecture Presentation Slide (9.27.2012)

Data from Katsuji 2001: 231

Nagata A Before Fukushima B before

Population 191 180

Average age 51.1 50.6

# Households 73 64

Household age 62.4 59.2

Average Household Income

442 man 402.8 man

Number of Years in the Community

32.3 43.4

% born in the community

9.2 71.9

% Renting 34.7 15.9

% Working 64.6 69.8

Page 15: Public Lecture Presentation Slide (9.27.2012)

100000

105000

110000

115000

120000

160000

180000

200000

220000

100000

110000

120000

130000

200000

210000

220000

230000

240000

90000

100000

110000

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100000

120000

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150000

200000

250000

170000

175000

180000

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190000

220000

225000

230000

235000

240000

1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010

Chuo-ku Higashinada-ku Hyogo-ku

Kita-ku Nada-ku Nagata-ku

Nishi-ku Suma-ku Tarumi-ku

Pop

ula

tion

Year

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0.0

1.0

2.0

3P

redic

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0 .0001 .0002 .0003Lagged Number of NPOs Created per Capita