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As the Chancellor delivers his Autumn Statement, new research released today finds just 15% of Britons believing their economy to be in “good” shape, with only 10% expecting to see an improvement over the next 6 months.
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Global @dvisor
A Global @dvisory – November 2012 – G@38 The Economic Pulse
The Economic Pulse of the World Citizens in 24 Countries Assess the Current State of their Country’s Economy for a Total Global Perspective
2 A Global @dvisory – November 2012 – G@38 The Economic Pulse
SURVEY METHOD
• The survey instrument is conducted monthly in 24 countries around the world via the Ipsos Online Panel system.
COUNTRIES
• The countries reporting herein are Argentina, Australia, Belgium, Brazil, Canada, China, France, Germany, Great Britain, Hungary, India, Indonesia, Italy, Japan, Mexico, Poland, Russia, Saudi Arabia, South Africa, South Korea, Spain, Sweden, Turkey and the United States of America.
SAMPLE
• For the results of the survey presented herein, an international sample of 18,713 adults age 18-64 in the US and Canada, and age 16-64 in all other countries, were interviewed. Approximately 1000+ individuals participated on a country by country basis via the Ipsos Online Panel with the exception of Argentina, Belgium, Hungary Indonesia, Mexico, Poland, Russia, Saudi Arabia, South Africa, South Korea, Sweden and Turkey, where each have a sample approximately 500+. In this wave (G@33), 500+ individuals in Denmark also participated in the survey and 1000+ individuals in Kenya participated in a similar survey.
WEIGHTING
• Weighting was then employed to balance demographics and ensure that the sample's composition reflects that of the adult population according to the most recent country Census data, and to provide results intended to approximate the sample universe. The precision of Ipsos online polls are calculated using a credibility interval. In this case, a poll of 1,000 is accurate to +/- 3.5 percentage points and one of 500 is accurate to +/- 5.0 percentage points in their respective general populations. All sample surveys and polls may be subject to other sources of error, including, but not limited to coverage error, and measurement error. For more information on credibility intervals, please visit the Ipsos website.
These are the findings of the Global @dvisor Wave 38 (G@38), an Ipsos survey conducted between October 2nd and October 16th, 2012.
3 A Global @dvisory – November 2012 – G@38 The Economic Pulse
Analytic Components… There are three analytic components that make up the findings of this monthly Economic Pulse report.
Each question is tracked and analyzed from questions dealing with:
• Thinking about our economic situation, how would you describe the current economic situation in [insert country]? Is it very good, somewhat good, somewhat bad or very bad?
The currently perceived macroeconomic state of the respondent’s country:
• Rate the current state of the economy in your local area using a scale from 1 to 7, where 7 means a very strong economy today and 1 means a very weak economy.
The currently perceived state of the local economy:
• Looking ahead six months from now, do you expect the economy in your local area to be much stronger, somewhat stronger, about the same, somewhat weaker, or much weaker than it is now?
A six month outlook for the local economy:
4 A Global @dvisory – November 2012 – G@38 The Economic Pulse
THE WORLD at a GLANCE
THE WORLD at a GLANCE
5 A Global @dvisory – November 2012 – G@38 The Economic Pulse
The Top Line Summary
Global @dvisor
6 A Global @dvisory – November 2012 – G@38 The Economic Pulse
Global Average of National Economic Assessment (36%) Down One Point, Lowest Since 08/09 Crash
As 2012 comes to a close, global economic sentiment reflects a sense of impending trouble. The assessment line, which has been regularly teetering up and down by a scale of one or two points, has reached a three-year low as 36% of global citizens agree their current national economic situation is “good”. The assessment rating has reached its lowest point since the 2008/2009 crash.
In fact, nearly all geographic regions studied reflect a negative change in aggregate sentiment since last sounding. The Middle East and Africa (50%) fell four points overall, while Latin America (41%), Asia-Pacific (40%) and Europe (24%) all fell one point. North America (46%) is the only exception as it remains unchanged, however, this is due to the cancelling out of a two point improvement in Canada (68%) and a two point decline in the United States (24%).
Saudi Arabia (79%), Sweden (72%), Canada (68%), China (63%) and Australia
(61%) lead the global pack as the countries with the highest proportions of respondents assessing their national economies as “good” while Spain (3%), Hungary (4%), Italy (6%), France (6%) and Japan (9%) sit at the bottom.
Countries with the greatest improvements in this wave: Sweden (+7pts to 72%), Indonesia (+6pts to 46%), China (+5pts to 63%), Canada (+2pts to 68%), Poland (+2pts to 21%)
Countries with the greatest declines: Belgium (-8pts to 28%), South Korea (-8pts to 16%),
Germany (-8pts to 60%), Turkey (-6pts to 44%), South Africa (-5pts to 26%).
7 A Global @dvisory – November 2012 – G@38 The Economic Pulse
Global Average of Local Economic Assessment (27%) Unchanged
The global average of local economic assessment among the core 24 countries remains unchanged with three in ten (27%) global citizens who agree the state of the current economy in their local area is ‘good’.
The poll finds assessments of local economies to be strongest in Saudi Arabia (53%), Sweden (52%), China (47%), Canada (44%), Australia (42%) and Brazil (42%).
Spain (6%), Japan (6%), Hungary (8%), Italy (8%) and France (10%) sit at the bottom
of the global ranking for this metric.
Countries with the greatest improvements in local economic assessment: Indonesia (+10pts to 36%), Sweden (+8pts to 52%), Saudi Arabia (+6pts to 53%), Brazil (+6pts to 42%) and Russia (+3pts to 20%).
Countries with the greatest declines in local economic assessment: Germany (-8pts to 39%), Belgium (-4pts to 18%), China (-4pts to 47%), Turkey (-3pts to 32%), South Korea (-3pts to 14%) and France (-3pts to 10%).
8 A Global @dvisory – November 2012 – G@38 The Economic Pulse
Global Average of Future Outlook for Local Economy Down One Point: 22%
Currently, a global average of 22% believe their local economy will be stronger six months from now, a figure that is one point lower than last wave.
Brazil holds on to its number one spot on this measure (74%), leading India (44%), Saudi Arabia (44%), Indonesia (41%), Argentina (40%) and Mexico (40%).
A very small minority of those in France (3%) and Japan (5%) express they believe their local economy will be stronger in half a year’s time. They are joined at the end of the ranking by Hungary (7%), Belgium (8%) and Italy (9%).
Countries with the greatest improvements: Indonesia (+10pts to 41%), Brazil (+4pts
to 74%), China (+3pts to 35%), Canada (+3pts to 21%), Sweden (+3pts to 19%) and South Africa (+3pts to 14%).
Countries with the greatest declines: United States (-5pts to 25%), Turkey (-4pts to 23%), Italy (-4pts to 9%), India (-4pts to 44%), Germany (-3pts to 11%), Russia (-3pts to 14%), South Korea (-3pts to 13%) and Mexico (-3pts to 40%).
9 A Global @dvisory – November 2012 – G@38 The Economic Pulse
Those Countries Where the National Area Economic Assessment…
is HIGHEST
this month
has experienced an IMPROVEMENT
since last sounding
has experienced a DECLINE since last sounding
is LOWEST
this month
Saudi Arabia 79% Sweden 7 Germany 8 Spain 3%
Sweden 72% Indonesia 6 Belgium 8 Hungary 4%
Canada 68% China 5 South Korea 8 France 6%
China 63% Canada 2 Turkey 6 Italy 6%
Australia 61% Poland 2 South Africa 5 Japan 9%
Germany 60% Brazil 1 Russia 4 Great Britain 15%
India 58% Great Britain 1 Mexico 2 South Korea 16%
Brazil 57% United States 2 Poland 21%
Japan 2
Saudi Arabia 1
Australia 1
Spain 1
Thinking about our economic situation, how would you describe the current economic situation in [insert country]? Is it very good, somewhat good, somewhat bad or very bad?
1. National Economic Assessments: Countries at a Glance Compared to the Last Wave…
10 A Global @dvisory – November 2012 – G@38 The Economic Pulse
1. National Economic Assessment: Regions at a Glance Compared to the Last Wave…
REGION (in descending order by NET)
NET ‘Good’
CHANGE (since last sounding)
BRIC 51% N/A Middle East/Africa 50% 4%
North America 46% N/A LATAM 41% 1%
APAC 40% 1% G-8 Countries 27% 1%
Europe 24% 1%
Thinking about our economic situation, how would you describe the current economic situation in [insert country]? Is it very good, somewhat good, somewhat bad or very bad?
11 A Global @dvisory – November 2012 – G@38 The Economic Pulse
2. Local Economic Assessment: Countries at a Glance Compared to the Last Wave…
Those Countries Where the Local Area Economic Assessment…
is HIGHEST
this month
has experienced an IMPROVEMENT
since last sounding
has experienced a DECLINE since last sounding
is LOWEST
this month
Saudi Arabia 53% Indonesia 10 Germany 8 Japan 6%
Sweden 52% Sweden 8 China 4 Spain 6%
China 47% Saudi Arabia 6 Belgium 4 Hungary 8%
Canada 44% Brazil 6 Turkey 3 Italy 8%
Australia 42% Russia 3 South Korea 3 France 10%
Brazil 42% Poland 2 France 3 South Korea 14%
Australia 1 Canada 2 South Africa 1 India 2
Hungary 1 Mexico 2 Japan 2
Argentina 1 Great Britain 1
Italy 1 Spain 1
Rate the current state of the economy in your local area using a scale from 1 to 7, where 7 means a very strong economy today and 1 means a very weak economy
12 A Global @dvisory – November 2012 – G@38 The Economic Pulse
REGION (in descending order by NET)
NET ‘Strong’
Top 3 Box (5-6-7)
CHANGE (since last sounding)
BRIC 37% N/C Middle East/Africa 36% 1%
North America 34% N/C APAC 29% N/C
LATAM 28% 1% G-8 Countries 20% 2%
Europe 19% 1%
2. Local Economic Assessment: Regions at a Glance Compared to the Last Wave…
Rate the current state of the economy in your local area using a scale from 1 to 7, where 7 means a very strong economy today and 1 means a very weak economy
13 A Global @dvisory – November 2012 – G@38 The Economic Pulse
Countries where the Assessment of the Local Economic Strengthening …
is HIGHEST
this month
has experienced an IMPROVEMENT
since last sounding
has experienced a DECLINE
since last sounding
is LOWEST
this month
Brazil 74% Indonesia 10 United States 5 France 3% India 44% Brazil 4 India 4 Japan 5%
Saudi Arabia 44% China 3 Turkey 4 Hungary 7% Indonesia 41% Canada 3 Italy 4 Belgium 8% Argentina 40% Sweden 3 Mexico 3 Italy 9%
Mexico 40% South Africa 3 Russia 3 Great Britain 10% China 35% Poland 2 South Korea 3 Poland 10%
Hungary 2 Germany 3 Germany 11% Australia 1 Saudi Arabia 2 Spain 11%
Great Britain 1 Belgium 2 Japan 2
Looking ahead six months from now, do you expect the economy in your local area to be much stronger, somewhat stronger, about the same, somewhat weaker, or much weaker than it is now?
3. Six Month Outlook on the Local Economy: Countries at a Glance Compared to the Last Wave…
14 A Global @dvisory – November 2012 – G@38 The Economic Pulse
3. Six Month Outlook on Local Economy: Regions at a Glance Compared to Last Wave…
Looking ahead six months from now, do you expect the economy in your local area to be much stronger, somewhat stronger, about the same, somewhat weaker, or much weaker than it is now?
REGION (in descending order by NET)
NET ‘Stronger’
CHANGE (since last sounding)
LATAM 52% 1%
BRIC 42% N/C
Middle East/Africa 27% 1%
North America 23% 1%
APAC 24% N/C
G-8 Countries 12% 2%
Europe 10% N/C
15 A Global @dvisory – November 2012 – G@38 The Economic Pulse
DETAILED FINDINGS
16 A Global @dvisory – November 2012 – G@38 The Economic Pulse
Assessing The Current Economic Situation …
Detailed Tables B.3
…in Their Country
17 A Global @dvisory – November 2012 – G@38 The Economic Pulse
Now thinking about our economic situation, how would you describe the current economic situation in [insert country]? Is it very good, somewhat good, somewhat bad or very bad?
Global Citizens Assess the Current Economic Situation in their Country as “Good”
36% 79%
72% 68%
63% 61%
60% 58%
57% 46%
44% 36%
32% 28%
27% 26%
24% 21%
16% 15%
9% 6% 6%
4% 3%
Total Saudi Arabia
Sweden Canada
China Australia Germany
India Brazil
Indonesia Turkey
Argentina Mexico
Belgium Russia
South Africa United States
Poland South Korea Great Britain
Japan France
Italy Hungary
Spain
‘Very Good / Somewhat Good’
18 A Global @dvisory – November 2012 – G@38 The Economic Pulse
Global Average Tracked - Global Citizens Assess the Current Economic Situation in their Country as “Good”:…
Now thinking about our economic situation, how would you describe the current economic situation in [insert country]? Is it very good, somewhat good, somewhat bad or very bad?
56% 55%
45%
32%
29%
38% 38% 39% 39% 40% 41% 40% 42% 41% 41% 40% 41% 38% 40% 41% 40% 40% 38% 39% 38% 39% 38% 39% 39% 39% 38% 37% 37% 38% 38% 37% 36%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
Apr/0
7 O
ct/0
7 Ap
r/08
Nov
/08
Apr/0
9 N
ov/J
an/1
0 Ap
r/10
May
/10
Jun/
10
Jul/1
0 Au
g/10
Se
p/10
O
ct/1
0 N
ov/1
0 D
ec/1
0 Ja
n/11
Fe
b/11
M
ar/1
1 Ap
r/11
May
/11
Jun/
11
Jul/1
1 Au
g/11
Se
p/11
O
ct/1
1 N
ov/1
1 D
ec/1
1 Ja
n/12
Fe
b/12
M
ar/1
2 Ap
r/12
May
/12
Jun/
12
Jul/1
2 Au
g/12
Se
p/12
O
ct-1
2
Total Good
1
19 A Global @dvisory – November 2012 – G@38 The Economic Pulse
Sep ‘10
Oct ‘10
Nov ‘10
Dec ‘10
Jan ‘11
Feb ‘11
Mar ‘11
Apr ‘11
May ‘11
Jun ‘11
Jul ‘11
Aug ‘11
Sep ‘11
Oct ‘11
Nov ‘11
Dec ‘11
Jan ‘12
Feb ‘12
Mar ‘12
Apr ‘12
May ‘12
Jun ‘12
Jul ’12
Aug ’12
Sep ’12
Oct ‘12
Argentina 38% 35% 42% 39% 45% 41% 43% 46% 46% 47% 50% 50% 59% 54% 55% 52% 55% 47% 51% 38% 45% 34% 37% 34% 36% 36%
Australia 77% 78% 74% 75% 78% 72% 70% 70% 73% 66% 64% 56% 61% 62% 67% 68% 70% 66% 62% 64% 61% 61% 58% 59% 62% 61%
Belgium 36% 29% 28% 31% 34% 39% 36% 41% 40% 42% 41% 37% 31% 25% 24% 19% 22% 16% 24% 21% 28% 29% 34% 35% 36% 28%
Brazil 58% 66% 64% 62% 56% 61% 53% 52% 51% 51% 53% 52% 55% 55% 59% 56% 62% 63% 54% 59% 49% 52% 58% 51% 56% 57%
Canada 68% 63% 63% 62% 68% 68% 64% 68% 69% 69% 72% 73% 66% 66% 62% 63% 65% 65% 64% 62% 62% 62% 63% 65% 66% 68%
China 75% 79% 74% 72% 74% 73% 67% 75% 68% 68% 66% 61% 65% 65% 62% 55% 64% 72% 71% 62% 63% 60% 67% 53% 58% 63%
France 10% 10% 12% 12% 11% 10% 10% 8% 11% 12% 8% 12% 7% 6% 7% 5% 6% 7% 9% 9% 9% 9% 8% 9% 6% 6%
Germany 56% 64% 67% 63% 64% 64% 62% 67% 68% 68% 71% 66% 63% 64% 64% 61% 70% 71% 68% 68% 69% 66% 68% 69% 68% 60%
Great Britain 16% 12% 16% 13% 15% 12% 8% 10% 15% 13% 10% 11% 17% 11% 10% 8% 13% 10% 14% 12% 10% 12% 11% 14% 14% 15%
Hungary 7% 13% 7% 6% 3% 5% 3% 6% 5% 6% 5% 4% 4% 2% 3% 2% 2% 3% 4% 4% 3% 4% 3% 5% 4% 4%
India 82% 88% 88% 87% 76% 77% 73% 76% 73% 71% 62% 69% 69% 75% 69% 68% 65% 74% 79% 72% 70% 58% 60% 68% 58% 58%
Indonesia 49% 54% 45% 48% 37% 38% 40% 46% 47% 40% 41% 36% 42% 35% 50% 46% 45% 40% 35% 36% 40% 41% 40% 46% 40% 46%
Italy 14% 16% 11% 14% 11% 14% 12% 10% 14% 10% 10% 8% 8% 8% 6% 5% 5% 6% 6% 5% 3% 3% 4% 5% 6% 6%
Japan 7% 8% 6% 9% 6% 8% 8% 7% 9% 8% 8% 6% 8% 6% 7% 8% 8% 9% 9% 8% 9% 9% 7% 11% 11% 9%
Mexico 23% 25% 20% 25% 25% 33% 22% 25% 27% 29% 34% 33% 25% 28% 32% 30% 24% 29% 31% 33% 28% 28% 32% 29% 34% 32%
Poland 33% 29% 30% 28% 23% 29% 19% 23% 22% 20% 24% 28% 27% 30% 28% 27% 27% 21% 27% 25% 25% 28% 33% 22% 19% 21%
Russia 27% 28% 29% 27% 26% 25% 26% 26% 26% 29% 25% 26% 27% 23% 25% 30% 30% 28% 33% 33% 36% 33% 29% 28% 31% 27%
Saudi Arabia 78% 76% 81% 81% 80% 81% 85% 87% 89% 89% 87% 88% 89% 83% 89% 86% 86% 90% 89% 88% 88% 83% 85% 84% 80% 79%
South Africa 41% 46% 41% 51% 45% 45% 40% 41% 43% 42% 38% 39% 34% 39% 32% 32% 42% 40% 36% 35% 33% 38% 39% 38% 31% 26%
South Korea 35% 32% 37% 39% 34% 38% 22% 25% 29% 27% 27% 18% 21% 18% 26% 21% 17% 17% 20% 22% 20% 21% 18% 17% 24% 16%
Spain 9% 10% 7% 7% 4% 6% 6% 8% 6% 6% 7% 6% 3% 5% 3% 4% 4% 4% 4% 3% 3% 3% 3% 4% 4% 3%
Sweden 72% 77% 75% 75% 82% 80% 71% 78% 76% 76% 77% 70% 74% 69% 73% 74% 72% 73% 70% 71% 64% 75% 71% 81% 65% 72%
Turkey 39% 43% 41% 41% 46% 47% 43% 49% 50% 51% 57% 48% 61% 59% 54% 58% 55% 58% 58% 51% 49% 51% 51% 56% 50% 44%
United States 15% 18% 20% 19% 20% 20% 19% 17% 23% 19% 19% 14% 15% 14% 19% 21% 21% 19% 22% 27% 23% 26% 25% 28% 26% 24%
For All Countries Tracked: Citizens Assess the Current Economic Situation in their Country as “Good”
Now thinking about our economic situation, how would you describe the current economic situation in [insert country]? Is it very good, somewhat good, somewhat bad or very bad?
20 A Global @dvisory – November 2012 – G@38 The Economic Pulse
36% 72%
46% 63%
68% 21%
57% 15%
58% 36%
6% 6%
4% 79%
61% 3%
32% 24%
9% 27%
26% 44%
60% 28%
16%
Total (-1) Sweden (+7)
Indonesia (+6) China (+5)
Canada (+2) Poland (+2)
Brazil (+1) Great Britain (+1)
India (N/C) Argentina (N/C)
France (N/C) Italy (N/C)
Hungary (N/C) Saudi Arabia (-1)
Australia (-1) Spain (-1)
Mexico (-2) United States (-2)
Japan (-2) Russia (-4)
South Africa (-5) Turkey (-6)
Germany (-8) Belgium (-8)
South Korea (-8)
Countries Ranked and Marked By Change In Assessment From Last Month (Left Column) Thinking about our economic situation, how would you describe the current economic situation in [insert
country]? Is it very good, somewhat good, somewhat bad or very bad?
% Very Good / Somewhat Good
Green marks countries experiencing improvement; Blue marks countries with no change from last month; Red marks countries experiencing a decline…
21 A Global @dvisory – November 2012 – G@38 The Economic Pulse
7% 6%
5% 2% 2%
1% 1%
0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
-1% -1% -1%
-2% -2% -2%
-4% -5%
-6% -8% -8% -8%
-15% -10% -5% 0% 5% 10% 15%
Countries Ranked by Net Improvement, Decline or No Change Compared to Last Month: Thinking about our economic situation, how would you describe the current economic situation in [insert country]? Is it very good, somewhat good, somewhat bad or very bad?
Sweden (+7) Indonesia (+6)
China (+5) Canada (+2) Poland (+2)
Brazil (+1) Great Britain (+1)
India (N/C) Argentina (N/C)
France (N/C) Italy (N/C)
Hungary (N/C) Saudi Arabia (-1) Australia (-1) Spain (-1) Mexico (-2) United States (-2) Japan (-2) Russia (-4) South Africa (-5) Turkey (-6) Germany (-8) Belgium (-8) South Korea (-8)
22 A Global @dvisory – November 2012 – G@38 The Economic Pulse
Now thinking about our economic situation, how would you describe the current economic situation in [insert country]? Is it very good, somewhat good, somewhat bad or very bad?
Assessing the Current Economic Situation by All Regions:
64%
46% 45% 41%
24%
61%
40%
51%
27%
71%
51% 50%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
Ap
r 20
07
Oct
200
7 Ap
r 20
08
Nov
200
8 Ap
r 20
09
Nov
/Jan
/10
Mar
201
0 Ap
r 20
10
May
201
0 Ju
n 20
10
Jul 2
010
Aug
2010
Se
p 20
10
Oct
201
0 N
ov 2
010
Dec
201
0 Ja
n 20
11
Feb
2011
M
ar 2
011
Apr
2011
M
ay 2
011
Jun
2011
Ju
l 201
1 Au
g 20
11
Sep
2011
O
ct 2
011
Nov
201
1 D
ec 2
011
Jan
2012
Fe
b 20
12
Mar
201
2 Ap
r 20
12
May
201
2 Ju
n 20
12
Jul 2
012
Aug
2012
Se
p 20
12
Oct
201
2
North America (Can/US) LATAM Europe APAC G8 BRIC Middle East/Africa
Very Good / Somewhat Good
23 A Global @dvisory – November 2012 – G@38 The Economic Pulse
North American (Canada/US) Countries Assessing the Current Economic Situation
Now thinking about our economic situation, how would you describe the current economic situation in [insert country]? Is it very good, somewhat good, somewhat bad or very bad?
N/C
47%
24%
80%
68%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
Apr
2007
O
ct 2
007
Apr
2008
N
ov 2
008
Apr
2009
N
ov/J
an 2
010
Mar
201
0 Ap
r 20
10
May
201
0 Ju
n 20
10
Jul 2
010
Aug
2010
Se
pt 2
010
Oct
201
0 N
ov 2
010
Dec
201
0 Ja
n 20
11
Feb
2011
M
ar/1
1 Ap
r/11
May
/11
Jun/
11
Jul/1
1 Au
g/11
Se
pt/1
1 O
ct/1
1 N
ov/1
1 D
ec/1
1 Ja
n/12
Fe
b/12
M
ar/1
2 Ap
r/12
May
/12
Jun/
12
Jul/1
2 Au
g/12
Se
p/12
O
ct/1
2
United States Canada
Very Good / Somewhat Good
24 A Global @dvisory – November 2012 – G@38 The Economic Pulse
LATAM Countries Assessing the Current Economic Situation
Now thinking about our economic situation, how would you describe the current economic situation in [insert country]? Is it very good, somewhat good, somewhat bad or very bad?
57%
50%
36%
42%
32%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
Ap
r-07
O
ct-0
7 Ap
r-08
N
ov-0
8 Ap
r-09
N
ov-0
9/Ja
n-10
M
ar-1
0 Ap
r-10
M
ay-1
0 Ju
n-10
Ju
l-10
Aug-
10
Sept
-10
Oct
-10
Nov
-10
Dec
-10
Jan-
11
Feb-
11
Mar
-11
Apr-
11
May
-11
Jun-
11
Jul-1
1 Au
g-11
Se
pt-1
1 O
ct-1
1 N
ov-1
1 D
ec-1
1 Ja
n-12
Fe
b-12
M
ar-1
2 Ap
r-12
M
ay-1
2 Ju
n-12
Ju
l-12
Aug-
12
Sep-
12
Oct
-12
Brazil Argentina Mexico
1 Very Good / Somewhat Good
25 A Global @dvisory – November 2012 – G@38 The Economic Pulse
European Countries Assessing the Current Economic Situation
Now thinking about our economic situation, how would you describe the current economic situation in [insert country]? Is it very good, somewhat good, somewhat bad or very bad?
1
59% 60%
27%
3%
64%
72%
55%
15%
28%
6% 4%
50%
21%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
Ap
r-07
O
ct-0
7 Ap
r-08
N
ov-0
8 Ap
r-09
N
ov/J
an 2
010
Mar
-10
Apr-
10
May
-10
Jun-
10
Jul-1
0 Au
g-10
Se
p-10
O
ct-1
0 N
ov-1
0 D
ec-1
0 Ja
n-11
Fe
b-11
M
ar-1
1 Ap
r-11
M
ay-1
1 Ju
n-11
Ju
l-11
Aug-
11
Sept
-11
Oct
-11
Nov
-11
Dec
-11
Jan-
12
Feb-
12
Mar
-12
Apr-
12
May
-12
Jun-
12
Jul-1
2 Au
g-12
Se
p-12
O
ct-1
2
Germany France Spain Sweden Great Britain Belgium Italy Hungary Poland
Very Good / Somewhat Good
26 A Global @dvisory – November 2012 – G@38 The Economic Pulse
APAC Countries Assessing the Current Economic Situation
Now thinking about our economic situation, how would you describe the current economic situation in [insert country]? Is it very good, somewhat good, somewhat bad or very bad?
78%
61%
90%
63%
58%
9%
65%
27%
16% 16%
46%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
Ap
r-07
O
ct-0
7 Ap
r-08
N
ov-0
8 Ap
r-09
N
ov-0
9/Ja
n-10
M
ar-1
0 Ap
r-10
M
ay-1
0 Ju
n-10
Ju
l-10
Aug-
10
Sep-
10
Oct
-10
Nov
-10
Dec
-10
Jan-
11
Feb-
11
Mar
-11
Apr-
11
May
-11
Jun-
11
Jul-1
1 Au
g-11
Se
pt-1
1 O
ct-1
1 N
ov-1
1 D
ec-1
1 Ja
n-12
Fe
b-12
M
ar-1
2 Ap
r-12
M
ay-1
2 Ju
n-12
Ju
l-12
Aug-
12
Sep-
12
Oct
-12
Australia China India Japan Russia South Korea Indonesia
Very Good / Somewhat Good
1
27 A Global @dvisory – November 2012 – G@38 The Economic Pulse
G8 Countries Assessing the Current Economic Situation
Now thinking about our economic situation, how would you describe the current economic situation in [insert country]? Is it very good, somewhat good, somewhat bad or very bad?
15%
80%
68%
27%
59% 60%
6% 9%
65%
27%
47%
24%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
Apr-
07
Oct
-07
Apr-
08
Nov
-08
Apr-
09
Nov
-09/
Jan-
10
Mar
-10
Apr-
10
May
-10
Jun-
10
Jul-1
0 Au
g-10
Se
pt-1
0 O
ct-1
0 N
ov-1
0 D
ec-1
0 Ja
n-11
Fe
b-11
M
ar-1
1 Ap
r-11
M
ay-1
1 Ju
n-11
Ju
l-11
Aug-
11
Sept
-11
Oct
-11
Nov
-11
Dec
-11
Jan-
12
Feb-
12
Mar
-12
Apr-
12
May
-12
Jun-
12
Jul-1
2 Au
g-12
Se
p-12
O
ct-1
2
Great Britain Canada France Germany Italy Japan Russia United States
Very Good / Somewhat Good
1
28 A Global @dvisory – November 2012 – G@38 The Economic Pulse
BRIC Countries Assessing the Current Economic Situation
Now thinking about our economic situation, how would you describe the current economic situation in [insert country]? Is it very good, somewhat good, somewhat bad or very bad?
42%
57%
65%
27%
88%
58% 63%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
Ap
r-07
O
ct-0
7 Ap
r-08
N
ov-0
8 Ap
r-09
N
ov 0
9/Ja
n 10
M
ar-1
0 Ap
r-10
M
ay-1
0 Ju
n-10
Ju
l-10
Aug-
10
Sept
-10
Oct
-10
Nov
-10
Dec
-10
Jan-
11
Feb-
11
Mar
-11
Apr-
11
May
-11
Jun-
11
Jul-1
1 Au
g-11
Se
pt-1
1 O
ct-1
1 N
ov-1
1 D
ec-1
1 Ja
n-12
Fe
b-12
M
ar-1
2 Ap
r-12
M
ay-1
2 Ju
n-12
Ju
l-12
Aug-
12
Sep-
12
Oct
-12
Brazil Russia India China
Very Good / Somewhat Good
N/C
29 A Global @dvisory – November 2012 – G@38 The Economic Pulse
Middle East/African Countries Assessing the Current Economic Situation
Now thinking about our economic situation, how would you describe the current economic situation in [insert country]? Is it very good, somewhat good, somewhat bad or very bad?
51%
44%
73% 79%
38%
26%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
N09
/J10
Mar
-10
Apr-
10
May
-10
Jun-
10
Jul-1
0
Aug-
10
Sep-
10
Oct
-10
Nov
-10
Dec
-10
Jan-
11
Feb-
11
Mar
-11
Apr-
11
May
-11
Jun-
11
Jul-1
1
Aug-
11
Sept
-11
Oct
-11
Nov
-11
Dec
-11
Jan-
12
Feb-
12
Mar
-12
Apr-
12
May
-12
Jun-
12
Jul-1
2
Aug-
12
Sep-
12
Oct
-12
Turkey Saudi Arabia South Africa
Very Good / Somewhat Good
4
30 A Global @dvisory – November 2012 – G@38 The Economic Pulse
Assessing The Economy…
Detailed Tables B.6
…In Their Local Area
31 A Global @dvisory – November 2012 – G@38 The Economic Pulse
Rate the current state of the economy in your local area using a scale from 1 to 7, where 7 means a very strong economy today and 1 means a very weak economy
Citizen Consumers Who Say The Economy In Their Local Area is Strong…
27% 53%
52% 47%
44% 42% 42%
41% 39%
36% 32%
24% 23%
22% 21%
20% 18% 18%
15% 14%
10% 8% 8%
6% 6%
Total Saudi Arabia
Sweden China
Canada Australia
Brazil India
Germany Indonesia
Turkey South Africa
United States Mexico
Argentina Russia
Belgium Poland
Great Britain South Korea
France Hungary
Italy Japan Spain
% Strong (Top 3: 5-6-7)
32 A Global @dvisory – November 2012 – G@38 The Economic Pulse
Citizen Consumers Who Say The Economy In Their Local Area is Strong
Rate the current state of the economy in your local area using a scale from 1 to 7, where 7 means a very strong economy today and 1 means a very weak economy.
N/C
28% 30% 29% 29% 29% 30% 30% 30% 31% 30% 30% 31%
29% 30% 30% 30% 31% 29% 30% 29% 29% 29% 29% 29% 30% 29% 29% 28% 29%
27% 27% 27%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
Mar
/10
Apr/1
0
May
/10
Jun/
10
Jul/1
0
Aug/
10
Sept
/10
Oct
/10
Nov
/10
Dec
/10
Jan/
11
Feb/
11
Mra
/11
Apr/1
1
May
/11
Jun/
11
Jul/1
1
Aug/
11
Sept
/11
Oct
/11
Nov
/11
Dec
/11
Jan/
12
Feb/
12
Mar
/12
Apr/1
2
May
/12
Jun/
12
Jul/1
2
Aug/
12
Sep/
12
Oct
/12
Total - % Strong (Top 3: 5-6-7)
33 A Global @dvisory – November 2012 – G@38 The Economic Pulse
Aug ‘10
Sep ‘10
Oct ‘10
Nov ‘10
Dec ‘10
Jan ‘11
Feb ‘11
Mar ‘11
Apr ‘11
May ‘11
Jun ‘11
Jul ‘11
Aug ‘11
Sep ‘11
Oct ‘11
Nov ‘11
Dec ‘11
Jan ‘12
Feb ‘12
Mar ‘12
Apr ‘12
May ‘12
Jun ‘12
Jul ’12
Aug ’12
Sep ’12
Oct ‘12
Total 30% 30% 30% 31% 30% 30% 31% 29% 30% 30% 30% 31% 29% 30% 29% 29% 29% 29% 29% 30% 29% 29% 28% 29% 27% 27% 27% Argentina 25% 26% 21% 28% 28% 30% 28% 26% 30% 28% 31% 30% 29% 36% 35% 36% 34% 35% 29% 30% 23% 27% 17% 24% 22% 22% 21% Australia 52% 53% 57% 53% 55% 60% 54% 53% 51% 50% 46% 46% 42% 43% 49% 46% 47% 47% 46% 43% 42% 39% 43% 41% 38% 41% 42% Belgium 20% 19% 17% 21% 16% 20% 30% 23% 27% 26% 25% 24% 19% 21% 18% 16% 14% 15% 11% 16% 14% 19% 19% 20% 19% 22% 18%
Brazil 46% 45% 50% 47% 51% 42% 47% 41% 39% 42% 41% 43% 46% 39% 44% 49% 46% 50% 44% 41% 41% 41% 39% 51% 41% 36% 42% Canada 46% 48% 43% 46% 42% 49% 49% 46% 49% 49% 51% 49% 51% 48% 48% 44% 45% 45% 46% 44% 44% 45% 46% 48% 44% 46% 44%
China 59% 59% 63% 59% 55% 56% 57% 56% 56% 51% 49% 47% 45% 53% 48% 48% 48% 52% 49% 59% 53% 46% 44% 50% 50% 51% 47% France 15% 13% 14% 14% 12% 14% 15% 16% 14% 16% 16% 14% 18% 12% 15% 12% 12% 12% 13% 15% 13% 15% 14% 14% 15% 13% 10%
Germany 33% 35% 39% 43% 43% 40% 43% 38% 46% 46% 47% 47% 45% 43% 41% 43% 41% 45% 48% 47% 47% 47% 48% 45% 48% 47% 39% Great Britain 15% 15% 13% 16% 15% 15% 14% 12% 14% 17% 17% 12% 12% 17% 13% 13% 13% 16% 15% 18% 13% 13% 15% 14% 14% 16% 15%
Hungary 14% 11% 15% 11% 9% 12% 10% 9% 12% 10% 12% 11% 9% 9% 8% 8% 7% 8% 6% 7% 7% 8% 7% 7% 8% 7% 8% India 56% 61% 61% 67% 60% 51% 55% 52% 52% 47% 50% 42% 49% 47% 47% 48% 48% 47% 51% 56% 54% 50% 39% 46% 48% 43% 41%
Indonesia 26% 29% 33% 31% 32% 25% 23% 30% 27% 33% 27% 29% 24% 31% 26% 34% 33% 31% 26% 25% 28% 27% 28% 29% 29% 26% 36% Italy 19% 18% 17% 15% 18% 14% 18% 16% 16% 18% 17% 16% 14% 13% 12% 10% 10% 10% 12% 12% 9% 8% 7% 8% 9% 9% 8%
Japan 5% 5% 5% 5% 6% 4% 5% 5% 5% 7% 6% 7% 5% 5% 7% 6% 5% 7% 6% 6% 7% 7% 8% 6% 8% 8% 6% Mexico 18% 18% 18% 15% 17% 22% 21% 17% 18% 18% 19% 25% 24% 21% 21% 23% 22% 22% 28% 25% 27% 22% 20% 19% 19% 24% 22% Poland 31% 29% 21% 25% 22% 19% 21% 19% 23% 17% 21% 21% 23% 24% 24% 19% 21% 24% 18% 22% 20% 23% 20% 24% 18% 16% 18% Russia 30% 24% 26% 24% 19% 20% 16% 17% 21% 18% 18% 19% 17% 18% 23% 18% 19% 21% 21% 23% 18% 22% 19% 16% 17% 17% 20%
Saudi Arabia 58% 57% 47% 50% 58% 57% 55% 62% 63% 61% 63% 66% 69% 64% 58% 67% 64% 69% 65% 69% 65% 64% 67% 71% 48% 47% 53% South Africa 28% 26% 27% 26% 30% 34% 29% 22% 23% 28% 34% 34% 27% 26% 26% 25% 23% 26% 26% 29% 26% 30% 27% 29% 26% 23% 24% South Korea 22% 22% 23% 26% 28% 23% 25% 16% 19% 21% 18% 21% 16% 16% 16% 18% 17% 12% 15% 16% 17% 16% 19% 14% 13% 17% 14%
Spain 10% 10% 10% 11% 10% 9% 9% 9% 10% 9% 8% 11% 8% 6% 8% 8% 6% 6% 7% 6% 5% 4% 6% 6% 5% 7% 6% Sweden 53% 54% 54% 58% 55% 53% 57% 51% 54% 47% 52% 59% 57% 52% 55% 43% 48% 49% 45% 46% 53% 51% 54% 48% 55% 44% 52%
Turkey 25% 29% 34% 27% 30% 32% 33% 33% 33% 35% 38% 46% 32% 45% 42% 44% 45% 35% 41% 37% 41% 40% 40% 38% 37% 35% 32% United States 17% 16% 19% 20% 20% 19% 24% 18% 18% 19% 18% 22% 17% 18% 16% 19% 23% 22% 24% 23% 20% 23% 22% 28% 28% 23% 23%
Citizen Consumers Who Say The Economy In Their Local Area is Strong
% Strong (Top 3 5-6-7)
Rate the current state of the economy in your local area using a scale from 1 to 7, where 7 means a very strong economy today and 1 means a very weak economy.
34 A Global @dvisory – November 2012 – G@38 The Economic Pulse
27% 36%
52% 53%
42% 20%
18% 42%
24% 8%
23% 21%
15% 8%
6% 44%
41% 22%
6% 32%
14% 10%
47% 18%
39%
Total (N/C) Indonesia (+10)
Sweden (+8) Saudi Arabia (+6)
Brazil (+6) Russia (+3) Poland (+2)
Australia (+1) South Africa (+1)
Hungary (+1) United States (N/C)
Argentina (-1) Great Britain (-1)
Italy (-1) Spain (-1)
Canada (-2) India (-2)
Mexico (-2) Japan (-2)
Turkey (-3) South Korea (-3)
France (-3) China (-4)
Belgium (-4) Germany (-8)
Countries Ranked and Marked By Change In Assessment From Last Month (Left Column):
Green marks countries experiencing improvement; Blue marks countries with no change from last month; Red marks countries experiencing a decline.
Rate the current state of the economy in your local area using a scale from 1 to 7, where 7 means a very strong economy today and 1 means a very weak economy…
35 A Global @dvisory – November 2012 – G@38 The Economic Pulse
10% 8%
6% 6%
3% 2%
1% 1% 1%
0% -1% -1% -1% -1%
-2% -2% -2% -2%
-3% -3% -3%
-4% -4%
-8%
-25% -20% -15% -10% -5% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25%
Countries Ranked by Net Improvement, Decline or No Change Compared to Last Month:
Indonesia (+10) Sweden (+8)
Saudi Arabia (+6) Brazil (+6)
Russia (+3) Poland (+2)
Australia (+1) South Africa (+1)
Hungary (+1)
Argentina (-1) Great Britain (-1) Italy (-1) Spain (-1) Canada (-2) India (-2) Mexico (-2) Japan (-2) Turkey (-3) South Korea (-3) France (-3) China (-4) Belgium (-4) Germany (-8)
Rate the current state of the economy in your local area using a scale from 1 to 7, where 7 means a very strong economy today and 1 means a very weak economy…
36 A Global @dvisory – November 2012 – G@38 The Economic Pulse
All Regions Assess the Strength of Their Local Economy
Rate the current state of the economy in your local area using a scale from 1 to 7, where 7 means a very strong economy today and 1 means a very weak economy.
32% 34%
25%
28%
19%
37%
29%
21% 20%
46%
37%
35% 36%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
45%
50%
55%
Mar
201
0
Apr
2010
May
201
0
Jun
2010
Jul 2
010
Aug
2010
Sept
201
0
Oct
201
0
Nov
201
0
Dec
201
0
Jan
2011
Feb
2011
Mar
201
1
Apr
2011
May
201
1
Jun
2011
Jul 2
011
Aug
2011
Sept
201
1
Oct
201
1
Nov
201
1
Dec
201
1
Jan
2012
Feb
2012
Mar
201
2
Apr
2012
May
201
2
Jun
2012
Jul 2
012
Aug
2012
Sep
2012
Oct
201
2
North America LATAM Europe APAC G-8 Countries BRIC Middle East/Africa
% Strong (Top 3 5-6-7)
37 A Global @dvisory – November 2012 – G@38 The Economic Pulse
North American Countries Assess the Strength of Their Local Economy
Rate the current state of the economy in your local area using a scale from 1 to 7, where 7 means a very strong economy today and 1 means a very weak economy.
% Strong (Top 3 5-6-7)
N/C
23%
44% 44%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
45%
50%
55%
Mar
201
0
Apr
2010
May
201
0
Jun
2010
Jul 2
010
Aug
2010
Sept
201
0
Oct
201
0
Nov
201
0
Dec
201
0
Jan
2011
Feb
2011
Mar
201
1
Apr
2011
May
201
1
Jun
2011
Jul 2
011
Aug
2011
Sept
201
1
Oct
201
1
Nov
201
1
Dec
201
1
Jan
2012
Feb
2012
2
Mar
201
2
Apr
2012
May
201
2
Jun
2012
Jul 2
012
Aug
2012
Sep
2012
Oct
201
2
United States Canada
38 A Global @dvisory – November 2012 – G@38 The Economic Pulse
LATAM Countries Assess the Strength of Their Local Economy
Rate the current state of the economy in your local area using a scale from 1 to 7, where 7 means a very strong economy today and 1 means a very weak economy.
38%
42%
21% 22%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
45%
50%
55%
Mar
201
0
Apr
2010
May
201
0
Jun
2010
Jul 2
010
Aug
2010
Sep
2010
Oct
201
0
Nov
201
0
Dec
201
0
Jan
2011
Feb
2011
Mar
201
1
Apr
2011
May
201
1
Jun
2011
Jul 2
011
Aug
2011
Sept
201
1
Oct
201
1
Nov
201
1
Dec
201
1
Jan
2012
Feb
2012
Mar
201
2
Apr
2012
May
201
2
Jun
2012
Jul 2
012
Aug
2012
Sep
2012
Oct
201
2
Brazil Argentina Mexico
% Strong (Top 3 5-6-7)
1
39 A Global @dvisory – November 2012 – G@38 The Economic Pulse
European Countries Assess the Strength of Their Local Economy
Rate the current state of the economy in your local area using a scale from 1 to 7, where 7 means a very strong economy today and 1 means a very weak economy.
27%
39%
10% 13%
6%
44%
52%
15% 15% 18%
11% 8%
29%
18%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
Mar
-10
Apr-
10
May
-10
Jun-
10
Jul-1
0
Aug-
10
Sept
-10
Oct
-10
Nov
-10
Dec
-10
Jan-
11
Feb-
11
Mar
-11
Apr-
11
May
-11
Jun-
11
Jul-1
1
Aug-
11
Sept
-11
Oct
-11
Nov
-11
Dec
-11
Jan-
12
Feb-
12
Mar
-12
Apr-
12
May
-12
Jun-
12
Jul-1
2
Aug-
12
Sep-
12
Oct
-12
Germany France Spain Sweden Great Britain Belgium Italy Hungary Poland
% Strong (Top 3 5-6-7)
1
40 A Global @dvisory – November 2012 – G@38 The Economic Pulse
APAC Countries Assess the Strength of Their Local Economy
Rate the current state of the economy in your local area using a scale from 1 to 7, where 7 means a very strong economy today and 1 means a very weak economy.
56%
42%
61%
47%
41%
4% 6%
23% 20%
16% 14%
29% 32%
37% 36%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
Mar
201
0
Apr
2010
May
201
0
Jun
2010
Jul 2
010
Aug
2010
Sept
201
0
Oct
201
0
Nov
201
0
Dec
201
0
Jan
2011
Feb
2011
Mar
201
1
Apr
2011
May
201
1
Jun
2011
Jul 2
011
Aug
2011
Sept
201
1
Oct
201
1
Nov
201
1
Dec
201
1
Jan
2012
Feb
2012
Mar
201
2
Apr
2012
May
201
2
Jun
2012
Jul 2
012
Aug
2012
Sep
2012
Oct
201
2
Australia China India Japan Russia South Korea Turkey Indonesia
% Strong (Top 3 5-6-7)
N/C
41 A Global @dvisory – November 2012 – G@38 The Economic Pulse
G8 Countries Assess the Strength of Their Local Economy
Rate the current state of the economy in your local area using a scale from 1 to 7, where 7 means a very strong economy today and 1 means a very weak economy.
% Strong (Top 3 5-6-7)
16% 15%
44% 44%
14%
10%
27%
39%
18%
8% 4% 6%
23% 20% 20% 23%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
Mar
201
0
Apr
2010
May
201
0
Jun
2010
Jul 2
010
Aug
2010
Sept
201
0
Oct
201
0
Nov
201
0
Dec
201
0
Jan
2011
Feb
2011
Mar
201
1
Apr
2011
May
201
1
Jun
2011
Jul 2
011
Aug
2011
Sept
201
1
Oct
201
1
Nov
201
1
Dec
201
1
Jan
2012
Feb
2012
Mar
201
2
Apr
2012
May
201
2
Jun
2012
Jul 2
012
Aug
2012
Sep
2012
Oct
201
2
Great Britain Canada France Germany Italy Japan Russia United States
2
42 A Global @dvisory – November 2012 – G@38 The Economic Pulse
BRIC Countries Assess the Strength of Their Local Economy
Rate the current state of the economy in your local area using a scale from 1 to 7, where 7 means a very strong economy today and 1 means a very weak economy.
% Strong (Top 3 5-6-7)
38% 42%
20%
41%
61%
47%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
Mar
201
0
Apr
2010
May
201
0
Jun
2010
Jul 2
010
Aug
2010
Sept
201
0
Oct
201
0
Nov
201
0
Dec
201
0
Jan
2011
Feb
2011
Mar
201
1
Apr
2011
May
201
1
Jun
2011
Jul 2
011
Aug
2011
Sept
201
1
Oct
201
1
Nov
201
1
Dec
201
1
Jan
2012
Feb
2012
Mar
201
2
Apr
2012
May
201
2
Jun
2012
Jul 2
012
Aug
2012
Sep
2012
Oct
201
2
Brazil Russia India China
N/C
43 A Global @dvisory – November 2012 – G@38 The Economic Pulse
Middle East/ African Countries Assess the Strength of Their Local Economy
Rate the current state of the economy in your local area using a scale from 1 to 7, where 7 means a very strong economy today and 1 means a very weak economy.
29% 32%
49% 53%
26% 24%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
Mar
201
0
Apr
2010
May
201
0
Jun
2010
Julo
201
0
Aug
2010
Sept
201
0
Oct
201
0
Nov
201
0
Dec
201
0
Jan
2011
Feb
2011
Mar
201
1
Apr
2011
May
201
1
Jun
2011
Jul 2
011
Aug
2011
Sept
201
1
Oct
201
1
Nov
201
1
Dec
201
1
Jan
2012
Feb
2012
Mar
201
2
Apr
2012
May
201
2
Jun
2012
Jul 2
012
Aug
2012
Sep
2012
Oct
201
2
Turkey Saudi Arabia South Africa
% Strong (Top 3 5-6-7)
1
44 A Global @dvisory – November 2012 – G@38 The Economic Pulse
Assessing the Strength of The Local Economy…
Detailed Tables B.7
…Six Months From Now
45 A Global @dvisory – November 2012 – G@38 The Economic Pulse
Citizen Consumers Who Say The Economy in the Local Area to be Stronger in The Next Six Months…
Looking ahead 6 months from now, do you expect the economy in your local area to be much stronger, somewhat stronger, about the same, somewhat weaker, or much weaker than it is now?
22% 74%
44% 44%
41% 40% 40%
35% 25%
23% 21%
19% 17%
14% 14%
13% 11% 11%
10% 10%
9% 8%
7% 5%
3%
Total Brazil India
Saudi Arabia Indonesia Argentina
Mexico China
United States Turkey
Canada Sweden
Australia Russia
South Africa South Korea
Germany Spain
Great Britain Poland
Italy Belgium Hungary
Japan France
% Much Stronger / Somewhat Stronger
46 A Global @dvisory – November 2012 – G@38 The Economic Pulse
31% 30% 30% 29% 28% 28% 28% 29% 27% 27% 28%
26% 27% 27% 26% 25% 24% 24% 24% 24% 24% 25% 24% 26%
24% 24% 23% 23% 23% 23% 22%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
Apr
2010
May
201
0
Jun
2010
Jul 2
010
Aug
2010
Sept
201
0
Oct
201
0
Nov
201
0
Dec
201
0
Jan
2011
Feb
2011
Mar
201
1
Apr
2011
May
201
1
Jun
2011
Jul 2
011
Aug
2011
Sept
201
1
Oct
201
1
Nov
201
1
Dec
201
1
Jan
2012
Feb
2012
Mar
201
2
Apr
2012
May
201
2
Jun
2012
Jul 2
012
Aug
2012
Sep
2012
Oct
201
2
Citizen Consumers Who Say The Economy in the Local Area to be Stronger in The Next Six Months
Looking ahead six months from now, do you expect the economy in your local area to be much stronger, somewhat stronger, about the same, somewhat weaker, or much weaker than it is now?
1 Global Total
% Much Stronger / Somewhat Stronger
47 A Global @dvisory – November 2012 – G@38 The Economic Pulse
Sep ‘10
Oct ‘10
Nov ‘10
Dec ‘10
Jan ‘11
Feb ‘11
Mar ‘11
Apr ‘11
May ‘11
Jun ‘11
Jul ‘11
Aug ‘11
Sep ‘11
Oct ‘11
Nov ‘11
Dec ‘11
Jan ‘12
Feb ‘12
Mar ‘12
Apr ‘12
May ‘12
Jun ‘12
Jul ’12
Aug ’12
Sep ’12
Oct ‘12
Total 28% 28% 29% 27% 27% 28% 26% 27% 27% 26% 25% 24% 24% 24% 24% 24% 25% 24% 26% 24% 24% 23% 23% 23% 23% 22% Argentina 42% 39% 44% 43% 42% 44% 44% 42% 45% 47% 47% 52% 52% 50% 47% 45% 42% 43% 47% 44% 44% 38% 39% 40% 41% 40% Australia 27% 29% 27% 24% 23% 24% 22% 23% 20% 19% 19% 16% 16% 16% 18% 16% 19% 16% 16% 16% 14% 16% 15% 16% 16% 17% Belgium 15% 13% 12% 12% 13% 13% 14% 15% 11% 14% 10% 6% 8% 8% 4% 5% 6% 5% 7% 6% 8% 8% 8% 8% 10% 8%
Brazil 75% 78% 76% 78% 73% 73% 67% 72% 71% 64% 71% 71% 65% 74% 72% 71% 74% 69% 71% 75% 67% 69% 66% 65% 70% 74% Canada 27% 26% 27% 27% 31% 29% 28% 28% 26% 25% 24% 18% 15% 19% 19% 19% 21% 20% 22% 20% 21% 18% 19% 17% 18% 21%
China 50% 50% 48% 44% 49% 49% 40% 42% 44% 39% 36% 35% 44% 39% 42% 32% 39% 34% 42% 36% 39% 34% 38% 36% 32% 35% France 5% 3% 4% 4% 5% 4% 4% 4% 4% 5% 3% 4% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 4% 6% 5% 9% 6% 5% 4% 4% 3%
Germany 26% 31% 35% 27% 30% 28% 26% 24% 26% 22% 22% 18% 16% 12% 15% 13% 18% 20% 17% 17% 20% 14% 13% 16% 14% 11% Great Britain 13% 12% 13% 12% 13% 11% 8% 10% 12% 14% 9% 9% 10% 8% 9% 7% 10% 9% 12% 10% 9% 9% 9% 9% 9% 10%
Hungary 18% 23% 13% 10% 12% 15% 10% 11% 7% 8% 10% 8% 6% 5% 6% 3% 5% 6% 8% 7% 7% 6% 7% 6% 5% 7% India 64% 65% 65% 61% 55% 61% 55% 55% 50% 52% 43% 52% 54% 56% 50% 50% 50% 56% 57% 55% 54% 50% 53% 53% 48% 44%
Indonesia 35% 35% 34% 30% 26% 26% 29% 28% 32% 29% 29% 28% 29% 28% 32% 37% 32% 28% 26% 26% 31% 31% 32% 32% 31% 41% Italy 16% 17% 16% 15% 18% 16% 17% 15% 15% 15% 13% 14% 10% 11% 21% 12% 15% 19% 19% 14% 12% 10% 12% 12% 13% 9%
Japan 6% 6% 8% 8% 8% 9% 8% 9% 10% 9% 10% 7% 7% 10% 6% 7% 8% 8% 12% 9% 7% 7% 8% 7% 7% 5% Mexico 35% 38% 30% 36% 33% 37% 43% 38% 41% 37% 39% 36% 34% 36% 39% 39% 36% 42% 46% 43% 39% 39% 37% 41% 43% 40% Poland 19% 19% 19% 21% 12% 19% 14% 17% 13% 15% 16% 18% 19% 15% 13% 16% 16% 12% 15% 12% 16% 15% 13% 11% 8% 10% Russia 21% 13% 24% 16% 16% 18% 18% 18% 16% 16% 13% 16% 15% 20% 17% 15% 17% 15% 20% 14% 18% 14% 11% 13% 17% 14%
Saudi Arabia 46% 48% 45% 47% 45% 52% 56% 60% 59% 60% 62% 64% 57% 53% 54% 60% 63% 57% 59% 57% 57% 52% 59% 47% 46% 44% South Africa 25% 21% 27% 27% 28% 22% 16% 16% 21% 23% 17% 10% 15% 16% 20% 16% 16% 21% 16% 15% 15% 13% 20% 22% 11% 14% South Korea 22% 20% 22% 25% 22% 25% 19% 14% 17% 12% 15% 13% 15% 14% 14% 12% 11% 14% 11% 14% 15% 14% 13% 15% 16% 13%
Spain 22% 20% 21% 20% 20% 21% 21% 23% 22% 20% 18% 18% 15% 23% 17% 21% 18% 15% 18% 16% 14% 18% 13% 12% 12% 11% Sweden 19% 21% 19% 20% 16% 21% 17% 18% 17% 16% 15% 14% 14% 11% 16% 12% 16% 12% 17% 15% 10% 15% 10% 14% 16% 19%
Turkey 29% 28% 27% 23% 30% 32% 28% 32% 34% 36% 38% 25% 40% 35% 28% 35% 31% 34% 39% 34% 25% 30% 29% 26% 27% 23% United States 22% 24% 29% 25% 27% 27% 21% 24% 25% 22% 22% 17% 17% 16% 20% 23% 26% 26% 26% 25% 25% 24% 28% 28% 30% 25%
Citizen Consumers Who Say The Economy in the Local Area to be Stronger in The Next Six Months…
% Much Stronger/Somewhat Stronger
Looking ahead six months from now, do you expect the economy in your local area to be much stronger, somewhat stronger, about the same, somewhat weaker, or much weaker than it is now?
48 A Global @dvisory – November 2012 – G@38 The Economic Pulse
22% 41%
74% 35%
21% 19%
14% 10%
7% 17%
10% 40%
11% 3%
44% 8%
5% 40%
14% 13%
11% 44%
23% 9%
25%
Total (-1) Indonesia (+10)
Brazil (+4) China (+3)
Canada (+3) Sweden (+3)
South Africa (+3) Poland (+2)
Hungary (+2) Australia (+1)
Great Britain (+1) Argentina (-1)
Spain (-1) France (-1)
Saudi Arabia (-2) Belgium (-2)
Japan (-2) Mexico (-3) Russia (-3)
South Korea (-3) Germany (-3)
India (-4) Turkey (-4)
Italy (-4) United States (-5)
Countries Ranked and Marked By Change In Assessment From Last Month (Left Column):
Green marks countries experiencing improvement; Blue marks countries with no change from last month; Red marks countries experiencing a decline.
Looking ahead six months from now, do you expect the economy in your local area to be much stronger, somewhat stronger, about the same, somewhat weaker, or much weaker than it is now?
49 A Global @dvisory – November 2012 – G@38 The Economic Pulse
10% 4%
3% 3% 3% 3%
2% 2%
1% 1%
-1% -1% -1%
-2% -2% -2%
-3% -3% -3% -3%
-4% -4% -4%
-5%
-20% -15% -10% -5% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20%
Countries Ranked by Net Improvement, Decline or No Change Compared to Last Month:
Argentina (-1) Spain (-1) France (-1) Saudi Arabia (-2) Belgium (-2)
Indonesia (+10) Brazil (+4) China (+3)
Canada (+3) Sweden (+3)
South Africa (+3) Poland (+2)
Hungary (+2) Australia (+1)
Great Britain (+1)
Japan (-2) Mexico (-3) Russia (-3) South Korea (-3) Germany (-3) India (-4) Turkey (-4) Italy (-4) United States (-5)
Looking ahead six months from now, do you expect the economy in your local area to be much stronger, somewhat stronger, about the same, somewhat weaker, or much weaker than it is now?
50 A Global @dvisory – November 2012 – G@38 The Economic Pulse
All Regions - Citizen Consumers Who Say The Economy in the Local Area to be Stronger in The Next Six Months
Looking ahead six months from now, do you expect the economy in your local area to be much stronger, somewhat stronger, about the same, somewhat weaker, or much weaker than it is now?
34%
23%
48% 52%
19%
10%
24% 20%
12%
55%
42% 38%
27%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
Mar
201
0
Apr
2010
May
201
0
Jun
2010
Jul 2
010
Aug
2010
Sept
201
0
Oct
201
0
Nov
201
0
Dec
201
0
Jan
2011
Feb
2011
Mar
201
1
Apr
2011
May
201
1
Jun
2011
Jul 2
011
Aug
2011
Sept
201
1
Oct
201
1
Nov
201
1
Dec
201
1
Jan
2012
Feb
2012
Mar
201
2
Apr
2012
May
201
2
Jun
2012
Jul 2
012
Aug
2012
Sep
2012
Oct
201
2
North America LATAM Europe APAC G-8 Countries BRIC Middle East/Africa
% Much Stronger/Somewhat Stronger
51 A Global @dvisory – November 2012 – G@38 The Economic Pulse
North American Countries - Citizen Consumers Who Say The Economy in the Local Area to be Stronger in The Next Six Months
Looking ahead six months from now, do you expect the economy in your local area to be much stronger, somewhat stronger, about the same, somewhat weaker, or much weaker than it is now?
31%
25%
38%
21%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
45%
50%
Mar
201
0
Apr
2010
May
201
0
Jun
2010
Jul 2
010
Aug
2010
Sept
201
0
Oct
201
0
Nov
201
0
Dec
201
0
Jan
2011
Feb
2011
Mar
201
1
Apr
2011
May
201
1
Jun
2011
Jul 2
011
Aug
2011
Sept
201
1
Oct
201
1
Nov
201
1
Dec
201
1
Jan
2012
Feb
2012
Mar
201
2
Apr
2012
May
201
2
Jun
2012
Jul 2
012
Aug
2012
Sep
2012
Oct
201
2
United States Canada
% Much Stronger/Somewhat Stronger
1
52 A Global @dvisory – November 2012 – G@38 The Economic Pulse
LATAM Countries - Citizen Consumers Who Say The Economy in the Local Area to be Stronger in The Next Six Months
Looking ahead six months from now, do you expect the economy in your local area to be much stronger, somewhat stronger, about the same, somewhat weaker, or much weaker than it is now?
74%
32% 34%
40%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
Mar
201
0
Apr
2010
May
201
0
Jun
2010
Jul 2
010
Aug
2010
Sept
201
0
Oct
201
0
Nov
201
0
Dec
201
0
Jan
2011
Feb
2011
Mar
201
1
Apr
2011
May
201
1
Jun
2011
Jul 2
011
Aug
2011
Sept
201
1
Oct
201
1
Nov
201
1
Dec
201
1
Jan
2012
Feb
2012
Mar
201
2
Apr
2012
May
201
2
Jun
2012
Jul 2
012
Aug
2012
Sep
2012
Oct
201
2
Brazil Argentina Mexico
% Much Stronger/Somewhat Stronger
1
53 A Global @dvisory – November 2012 – G@38 The Economic Pulse
European Countries - Citizen Consumers Who Say The Economy in the Local Area to be Stronger in The Next Six Months
Looking ahead six months from now, do you expect the economy in your local area to be much stronger, somewhat stronger, about the same, somewhat weaker, or much weaker than it is now?
% Much Stronger/Somewhat Stronger
5% 3%
28%
11%
19% 19% 18%
8%
20%
9%
22%
7%
23%
10%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
Mar
201
0
Apr
2010
May
201
0
Jun
2010
Jul 2
010
Aug
2010
Sept
201
0
Oct
201
0
Nov
201
0
Dec
201
0
Jan
2011
Feb
2011
Mar
201
1
Apr
2011
May
201
1
Jun
2011
Jul 2
011
Aug
2011
Sept
201
1
Oct
201
1
Nov
201
1
Dec
201
1
Jan
2012
Feb
2012
Mar
201
2
Apr
2012
May
201
2
Jun
2012
Jul 2
012
Aug
2012
Sep
2012
Oct
201
2
Germany France Spain Sweden Great Britain Belgium Italy Hungary Poland
N/C
54 A Global @dvisory – November 2012 – G@38 The Economic Pulse
APAC Countries - Citizen Consumers Who Say The Economy in the Local Area to be Stronger in The Next Six Months
Looking ahead six months from now, do you expect the economy in your local area to be much stronger, somewhat stronger, about the same, somewhat weaker, or much weaker than it is now?
36%
17%
57%
35%
66%
44%
11%
5%
17% 14%
21%
13%
32%
23%
31%
41%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
Mar
201
0
Apr
2010
May
201
0
Jun
2010
Jul 2
010
Aug
2010
Sept
201
0
Oct
201
0
Nov
201
0
Dec
201
0
Jan
2011
Feb
2011
Mar
201
1
Apr
2011
May
201
1
Jun
2011
Jul 2
011
Aug
2011
Sep
2011
Oct
201
1
Nov
201
1
Dec
201
1
Jan
2012
Feb
2012
Mar
201
2
Apr
2012
May
201
2
Jun
2012
Jul 2
012
Aug
2012
Sep
2012
Oct
201
2
Australia China India Japan Russia South Korea Turkey Indonesia
% Much Stronger/Somewhat Stronger
N/C
55 A Global @dvisory – November 2012 – G@38 The Economic Pulse
G8 Countries - Citizen Consumers Who Say The Economy in the Local Area to be Stronger in The Next Six Months
Looking ahead six months from now, do you expect the economy in your local area to be much stronger, somewhat stronger, about the same, somewhat weaker, or much weaker than it is now?
% Much Stronger/Somewhat Stronger
18%
10%
38%
21%
5% 3%
23%
11% 11%
5%
20%
9%
17% 14%
25%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
Mar
201
0
Apr
2010
May
201
0
Jun
2010
Jul 2
010
Aug
2010
Sept
201
0
Oct
201
0
Nov
201
0
Dec
201
0
Jan
2011
Feb
2011
Mar
201
1
Apr
2011
May
201
1
Jun
2011
Jul 2
011
Aug
2011
Sept
201
1
Oct
201
1
Nov
201
1
Dec
201
1
Jan
2012
Feb
2012
Mar
201
2
Apr
2012
May
201
2
Jun
2012
Jul 2
012
Aug
2012
Sep
2012
Oct
201
2
Great Britain Canada France Germany Japan Italy Russia United States
2
56 A Global @dvisory – November 2012 – G@38 The Economic Pulse
BRIC Countries - Citizen Consumers Who Say The Economy in the Local Area to be Stronger in The Next Six Months
Looking ahead six months from now, do you expect the economy in your local area to be much stronger, somewhat stronger, about the same, somewhat weaker, or much weaker than it is now?
79% 74%
17% 14%
66%
44%
35%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
Mar
201
0
Apr
2010
May
201
0
Jun
2010
Jul 2
010
Aug
2010
Sept
201
0
Oct
201
0
Nov
201
0
Dec
201
0
Jan
2011
Feb
2011
Mar
201
1
Apr
2011
May
201
1
Jun
2011
Jul 2
011
Aug
2011
Sept
201
1
Oct
201
1
Nov
201
1
Dec
201
1
Jan
2012
Feb
2012
Mar
201
2
Apr
2012
May
201
2
Jun
2012
Jul 2
012
Aug
2012
Sep
2012
Oct
201
2
Brazil Russia India China
% Much Stronger/Somewhat Stronger
N/C
57 A Global @dvisory – November 2012 – G@38 The Economic Pulse
Middle East/African Countries - Citizen Consumers Who Say The Economy in the Local Area to be Stronger in The Next Six Months
Looking ahead six months from now, do you expect the economy in your local area to be much stronger, somewhat stronger, about the same, somewhat weaker, or much weaker than it is now?
32%
23%
44% 44%
38%
14%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
Mar
201
0
Apr
2010
May
201
0
Jun
2010
Jul 2
010
Aug
2010
Sept
201
0
Oct
201
0
Nov
201
0
Dec
201
0
Jan
2011
Feb
2011
Mar
201
1
Apr
2011
May
201
1
Jun
2011
Jul 2
011
Aug
2011
Sept
201
1
Oct
201
1
Nov
201
1
Dec
201
1
Jan
2012
Feb
2012
Mar
201
2
Apr
2012
May
201
2
Jun
2012
Jul 2
012
Aug
2012
Sep
2012
Oct
201
2
Turkey Saudi Arabia South Africa
% Much Stronger/Somewhat Stronger
1
58 A Global @dvisory – November 2012 – G@38 The Economic Pulse
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59 A Global @dvisory – November 2012 – G@38 The Economic Pulse
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