Upload
ipsos-mori
View
1.654
Download
5
Tags:
Embed Size (px)
Citation preview
Paste co-brand logo
here Paste co-
brand logo here Paste co-
brand logo here Paste co-
brand logo here
Scottish Public Opinion Monitor Scottish Parliament Voting Intention June 2012
2
Version 1 | Public (DELETE CLASSIFICATION) Version 1 | Internal Use Only Version 1 | Confidential Version 1 | Strictly Confidential © Ipsos MORI
Paste co-brand logo
here
Q. If there were elections to the Scottish Parliament tomorrow, how would you use your first vote?
Scottish Labour halve SNP, but the nationalists remain dominant
39%
35%
12%
8% 6% SNP
Labour
Others
45%
32%
12%
6% 5% SNP
Labour
Others
All giving a voting intention (91%)
All who are certain to vote (63%)
Base: All giving a voting intention = 91% (913); all certain to vote = 63% (629). Data collected among 1,003 Scottish adults 18+, 7-13 June 2012
Cons.
Lib Dem
Cons.
Lib Dem
SNP lead over Labour = 4% SNP lead over Labour = 13%
3
Version 1 | Public (DELETE CLASSIFICATION) Version 1 | Internal Use Only Version 1 | Confidential Version 1 | Strictly Confidential © Ipsos MORI
Paste co-brand logo
here
Q. If there were elections to the Scottish Parliament tomorrow, how would you use your first vote?
Support for Labour has increased for the first time in 18 months as support for SNP slips
0
10
20
30
40
50
60 Labour SNP Conservative Liberal Democrats Other
45%
32%
12% 6% 5%
Scottish Parliament Election Result
Scottish Parliament Election Result
Base: All certain to vote. Data collected among c1,000 Scottish adults.
4
Version 1 | Public (DELETE CLASSIFICATION) Version 1 | Internal Use Only Version 1 | Confidential Version 1 | Strictly Confidential © Ipsos MORI
Paste co-brand logo
here
Q. How satisfied or dissatisfied are you with the way … is doing his/her job as First Minister//Prime Minister/Leader of Scottish Labour/the Scottish Liberal Democrats/the Scottish Conservatives?
Base: 1,003 Scottish adults 18+, 7-13 June 2012
Don’t know Net satisfaction Net satisfaction change (Jan
’12)
7% +13% -9%
6% -46% -18%
33% +9% +15%
42% -7% +5%
48% -4% +7%
58% +12% N/A
Alex Salmond remains the most popular party leader though his approval rating has fallen by 9 points
5
Version 1 | Public (DELETE CLASSIFICATION) Version 1 | Internal Use Only Version 1 | Confidential Version 1 | Strictly Confidential © Ipsos MORI
Paste co-brand logo
here
Q. How satisfied or dissatisfied are you with the way … is doing his/her job as First Minister//Prime Minister/Leader of Scottish Labour/the Scottish Liberal Democrats/the Scottish Conservatives/the Scottish Green Party?
Satisfaction with party leaders - trends
53%
38%
26% 24% 24%
Base: Adults (18+) in Scotland. Data collected among c1,000 Scottish adults.
27%
6
Version 1 | Public (DELETE CLASSIFICATION) Version 1 | Internal Use Only Version 1 | Confidential Version 1 | Strictly Confidential © Ipsos MORI
Paste co-brand logo
here Technical details
• This presents the topline results from Scotland
• Results are based on a survey of 1,003 respondents conducted by telephone
• Fieldwork dates: 7th June – 13th June 2012
• Data are weight by: age, sex and working status using census data; tenure using SHS data; and public-private sector employment using Scottish Government Quarterly Public Sector Employment series data
• Where results do not sum to 100%, this may be due to computer rounding, multiple responses, or the exclusion of “don’t know” categories
• Results are based on all respondents (1,003) unless otherwise stated
Paste co-brand logo
here Paste co-
brand logo here Paste co-
brand logo here Paste co-
brand logo here
Thank you [email protected] | 0131 240 3269 [email protected] | 0131 240 3264
18.6.12
This work was carried out in accordance with the requirements of the international quality standard for market research, ISO 20252:2006. © Ipsos MORI
@IpsosMORIScot