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MEGACHANGE!The world in 2050!
!!Daniel Franklin, The Economist!Innovation: Stimulating economic growth!March 28, 2012 Berkeley, CA!
20 ESSAYS!• Population!• Social Revolution!• Technology!!
!!!
POPULATION!!!
POPULATION!
• The world will be 9 years older (on average) in 2050. !
POPULATION!
• 70% more urban (compared to 50% in 2012)!
POPULATION!
• Approximately 50% of population growth will be based in Africa.!
POPULATION!
SOCIAL REVOLUTION!
!!
SOCIAL REVOLUTION!
SOCIAL REVOLUTION!
TECHNOLOGY!!!
TECHNOLOGY!
TECHNOLOGY!
PREDICTIONS!!!
PREDICTIONS!
Extrapolation vs. Disruption!
PREDICTIONS!
PREDICTIONS! Extrapolation vs. Disruption!
Inequality!
PREDICTIONS!
PREDICTIONS! Inequality!
Inequality!PREDICTIONS!
PREDICTIONS! Inequality!
Role of the State!
PREDICTIONS!
PREDICTIONS! Role of the State!
China’s rise!
PREDICTIONS!
PREDICTIONS! China’s rise!
The year China overtakes America?!
2018!
PREDICTIONS! China’s rise!
PREDICTIONS! China’s rise!
PREDICTIONS! Black Swan!
Black Swan: !Unpredictable, unforeseen events!
PREDICTIONS!
PREDICTIONS! Black Swan!
PREDICTIONS! Black Swan!
More surprises!
PREDICTIONS!
• France growing bigger than Germany!!
PREDICTIONS! More surprises!
• A booming Middle East reaping the economic benefits of a demographic dividend!
PREDICTIONS! More surprises!
• China’s growth slowing to a mere 2.5% a year !
PREDICTIONS! More surprises!
• Nigeria becoming a booming emerging market of 400m!
PREDICTIONS! More surprises!
• The discovery of alien life!
PREDICTIONS! More surprises!
• The rebirth of an extinct species!
PREDICTIONS! More surprises!
Doom or boom:!Innovation is the key!
PREDICTIONS!
PREDICTIONS! Doom or boom!
PREDICTIONS! Doom or boom!
PREDICTIONS! Doom or boom!
Corporations:!What’s on the menu in 2050!
PREDICTIONS!
PREDICTIONS! Corporations: 2050!
PREDICTIONS! Corporations: 2050!
PREDICTIONS! Corporations: 2050!
Holdings
PREDICTIONS! Corporations: 2050!
Shanghai Automotive
PREDICTIONS! Corporations: 2050!
PREDICTIONS! Corporations: 2050!
PREDICTIONS! Corporations: 2050!
Talientiate
PREDICTIONS! Corporations: 2050!
Manuvation
PREDICTIONS! Corporations: 2050!
bollydis
PREDICTIONS! Corporations: 2050!
MEGACHANGE!The world in 2050!
!!Daniel Franklin, The Economist!Innovation: Stimulating economic growth!March 28, 2012 Berkeley, CA!
