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1 South Dakota Department of Public Safety 2014 Spring Flood Outlook

Spring 2014 Flood Outlook

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Factors being weighed in determining the risk of flood this spring in South Dakota.

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Page 2: Spring 2014 Flood Outlook

2South Dakota Department of Public Safety

Plains Snow Water Equivalent Comparison2014 SWE

Page 3: Spring 2014 Flood Outlook

3South Dakota Department of Public Safety

Plains Snow Water Equivalent Comparison2011 SWE

Page 4: Spring 2014 Flood Outlook

4South Dakota Department of Public Safety

Mountain Snow Water Equivalent Comparison2014 SWE

Page 5: Spring 2014 Flood Outlook

5South Dakota Department of Public Safety

Mountain Snow Water Equivalent Comparison2011 SWE

Page 8: Spring 2014 Flood Outlook

8South Dakota Department of Public Safety

Temperature and PrecipitationOutlook

• 30, 60, 90-day outlook

• Above – normal chances for cooler temperatures• Equal chances of normal, above-normal, or below-normal precipitation

Page 9: Spring 2014 Flood Outlook

9South Dakota Department of Public Safety

Probability of major flooding onSouth Dakota rivers

Page 10: Spring 2014 Flood Outlook

10South Dakota Department of Public Safety

Flooding Factor – mountain SWE

Page 11: Spring 2014 Flood Outlook

11South Dakota Department of Public Safety

Flooding Factor – soil moisture/frost

Page 12: Spring 2014 Flood Outlook

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Fort Peck Garrison Oahe Reservoir System0

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End Feb 2011Current (3-5-14)Storage

South Dakota Department of Public Safety

Flooding Factor – reservoir storage

Storage End Feb 2011 Current (3-5-14) Storage

Fort Peck 15.2 12.5 18.7

Garrison 18.4 16 23.8

Oahe 18.9 17.2 23.1

Reservoir System 57.6 50.6 72.4

Page 13: Spring 2014 Flood Outlook

13South Dakota Department of Public Safety

Flood Fight Preparations

• Conducted a risk assessment on SD rivers.• Staged flood resources across the state.• Participated in USACE and NWS briefings• Engaged DENR as a gut check for USACE• Communicating with Missouri River

communities• Reviewing community infrastructure and

concerns spreadsheets• Reviewed current sandbag contract