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predict [pree- dict] –verb The best predictor of future behavior is… Behavior is shaped by… The best way to influence future behavior is to….

Power of unintended consequences 0812

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predict [pree-dict] –verb

• The best predictor of future behavior is…• Behavior is shaped by…• The best way to influence future behavior

is to….

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CHANGE, INNOVATION & THE POWER OF UNINTENDED CONSEQUENCES

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1984

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“A structured approach to shifting individuals, teams, and

organizations from a current state to a desired future state.”

1984

Change Management Law #1:

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1984

“A structured approach to shifting individuals, teams, and

organizations from a current state to a desired future state.”

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“For change to be effective it needs to be embedded

in the culture of the organization.”

1984

Change Management Law #2:

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1984

“For change to be effective it needs to be embedded

in the culture of the organization.”

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“Recognize that not everyone will successfully make the transition.”

1984

Change Management Law #3:

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1984

“Recognize that not everyone will successfully make the transition.”

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OptimismUnderstanding

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TODAY

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^CHANGE

LEARN^

Look for technologies that are likely to

create major inflection points—breaks in a

trend, things that are going to accelerate.

– Peter Schwartz

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‘Technology’ is the word we use for something that

doesn’t work yet.- Douglas Adams

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CHANGEIS SOCIAL

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Continuous Partial Attention:Be a live Node on the Network

- Linda Stone

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Data Mining Moves to Human ResourcesMarch 12, 2009, 5:00PM EST

And the others?

"On a relative scale, THEY don't add

a hell of a lot," - Elizabeth Charnock, Cataphora

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Real CHANGEstarts at the

FRINGEThe first thing I do is go where other

people aren’t. – Esther Dyson“Exactly who are THEY?

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[Chemistry] problem is almost never solved by another chemist.  Instead it’s

solved by a molecular biologist, by a biophysicist, by someone who knows

enough to understand the terms of the question but doesn't know so much that they run into the exact same stumbling blocks – Jonah Lehrer on InnoCentive

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The power isn’t IN the SOCIAL NETWORK…

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The power IS TheSOCIAL NETWORK!

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If somehow the facts here set forth do not rely upon telepathy

but upon some unconscious hypnotic influence from person

to person, this also would be of high

psychological interest.

- Albert Einstein, - Preface to Upton Sinclair’s

Mental Radio

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The future…I believe in serendipity, and in the strength of weak ties. I connect with people from different fields and different places and always use pattern recognition and peripheral vision to spot opportunities in unlikely places.

- Joi Ito

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CHANGEIS SOCIAL

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Robert M. Yerkes and John D. Dodson, 1908

Stress

Pe

rfo

rma

nc

e

Eustress Distress

Excitement Overwhelm

Boredom Depression

The opposite of depression is not happiness, but vitality – Andrew Solomon

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TOMMORROW

Stop trying to manage change andkeep your head above water…

Get a boat!

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promote [pruh-moht] –verb

- adapted from dictionary.com

1. to help or encourage to exist or flourish.

2. to advance in rank, dignity, position, etc.

3. to put ahead to the next higher stage.

4. to encourage  sales, acceptance, etc., especially through advertising or publicity.

5. to obtain by cunning or trickery; wangle.

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promote [pruh-moht] –verb

• Your team.• Yourself.• Great ideas.• Resume-worthy projects.

• Change!

EVERY DAY!

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promote

OptimismUnderstanding

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patternhunter.com

twitter.com: patternhunter

google+: patternhunter

gmail: [email protected]

pretty much anything: patternhunter

The future…is already here; it’s just not evenly distributed.

- William Gibson

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Bio: Sean Kearney is the owner of Patternhunter Inc., a Colorado-based consulting firm specializing in innovative approaches to human performance technologies, social networks, predictive analytics and cooperation science.

Sean's work has been featured in The New York Times, Wall Street Journal, Rocky Mountain News and Computer World and clients include AT&T, Best Buy, IBM, Time Warner Cable, and the US Army.

An avid blogger since 2000, Sean edits Node Magazine which University College London professor / Guardian literary critic John Sutherland calls “the future of literary criticism” and scifi legend William Gibson describes as “cheap A.I.”