Phase II Kick Off Meeting Presentation

Phase II Kick Off Meeting

Steering Committee and

Planning Advisory Committee

June 16, 2009

Planning Process

3 Phase process with an estimated timeline of 4 yearsPhase I – Existing Condition Assessment: Physical and Non-Physical Condition EvaluationPhase II – Future Landscape Exploration: Future Land Use Scenario Development and Assessment (Approximately 22 months: June 2009 – March 2011)Phase III – Building a Clear and Shared Regional Growth Framework

Phase II Work Scope

Develop Future Land Use Themes and ScenariosDevelop initial set of land use themes and scenarios Refine and finalize land use themes and scenarios

Conduct community-based workshops, focus groups, and regional workshops

Conduct Land Use Scenario Impact AssessmentDevelop scenario evaluation criteriaImplement and finalize technical analysis to measure scenario impacts

Phase II Timeline

Urbanization Trends: 1970

Population:606,549

Urbanized Area:185.9 sq miles

Population Density:3,263 pop/sq mi

Urbanization Trends: 2000

Population:723,955

Urbanized Area:327.6 sq miles

Population Density:2,209 pop/sq mi

Planned for Development

Population:686,802

Urbanized Area:477.4 sq miles

Population Density:1,439 pop/sq mi

Projected 2030

Population:685,667

Urbanized Area:531.1 sq miles

Population Density:1,291 pop/sq mi

Business as Usual 2040

Population:679,537

Urbanized Area:440.5 sq miles

Population Density:1,543 pop/sq mi

2040 Socioeconomic Projections and Land Use Demands

Population and Employment Forecast (2000 – 2040)In 2000, the Miami Valley Region had 834,717 people and 436,929 jobsIn 2040, 24,346 more people and 21,455 more jobs (lower estimate) are projected

Land Use Forecast (2007 – 2040)In 2007, a total acreage of developed land was 275,709 acresBy 2040, an additional 7,544 acres of land is estimated to be in demand

2040 Land Use Supply and Demand

275,709

218,509

345,957

275,709

110,903

107,606

345,957

275,709

7,544

210,965

345,957

0

100,000

200,000

300,000

400,000

500,000

600,000

700,000

800,000

900,000

Existing Conditions Compilation of Existing LandUse Plans

Projected 2040

Not Developable DevelopableDemandFully Developed

How do you envision the Region in 2040?

How and Where should the Region develop?

‘Business as Usual’ – Future Trend

Future Land Use Themes Development Process

Staff solicited inputs to the question of “In terms of LAND USE between 2010 and 2040, the Miami Valley should …” (Phase I Wrap Up Meeting on April 15, 2009)

Committee members grouped the inputs into land use themes and name each group (Homework Assignment from the Phase I Wrap Up meeting)

Staff reviewed land use themes identified from the committee members Staff identified initial sets of common land use themes

Common Land Use Themes

Businessas Usual

Development

Infill/ConservationDevelopment

Asset-Based

Development

Radial Corridor

Development

UnrestrictedDevelopment

Common Land Use Theme Definition Business as Usual Development

Future development at the same density and intensity as it has in the past and continues the less concentrated development pattern at the outskirts of existing urban areas

Infill/Conservation DevelopmentEncourages future development in existing urban areas, using existing infrastructure and underutilized land while discouraging development in natural resources areas

Asset-Based DevelopmentEmphasizes existing regional assets and encourages future development around these assets

Radial Corridor DevelopmentEncourages future development along existing transportation corridors, maximizing the use of existing roadways and transit networks

Unrestricted DevelopmentProvides for lower density development in undeveloped areas in the greenfields and exurbs

Scenario Building

How Should We Develop?- Future Land Use Themes

Where Should We Develop?- Future Land Use Scenarios

Overview

Acting as a planner during the next 80 minutes Mind mapping exercise - to solicit input on the principles and characteristics of each theme

Given the projected need for future population and job growth, in what ways should the Region invest the limited available resources?

Dot mapping exercise - to solicit input on the best areas for development for each theme

Given the projected need for future population and job growth, in what parts of the Region should the limited available resources be invested?

Ground Rules for Exercises

Treat each other with courtesy and respectListen to other points of viewFocus on the topic at handDisagree with ideas not with peopleAsk staff for assistance

Be mindful of the time limit!30 minutes for Mind Mapping exercise 50 minutes for Dot Mapping exercise

General Instruction: Mind Mapping Exercise

Designed to solicit input on the principles and characteristics of each themeUsing a template provided, provide your thoughts on the question of“Given the projected need for

future population and job growth, in what ways should the Region invest the limited available resources?”

General Instruction: Dot Mapping Exercise

Designed to solicit input on the best areas for development for each theme Using a map template, Discuss and Distribute dots throughout the Region

90 Population dots Each dot = 250 people90 Employment dots Each dot = 250 jobs

Stay true to the theme to help guide the dot placementDots may be stacked to illustrate a higher densityUse various references provided for additional information to help identify the best area

Dot Mapping Exercise

Resources

Questions?

Review each Theme and Join a Scenario Station that reflects your

Vision

And Have Fun!

Mind Mapping ExerciseGiven the projected need for future population

and job growth, in what ways should the Region invest the limited available resources?

Dot Mapping ExerciseGiven the projected need for future population

and job growth, in what parts of the Region should the limited available resources be

invested?

Homework Assignment

Phase II Stakeholder Engagement Strategy Review

Provide your comments and inputs

Next Meeting

Phase II Joint Meeting: Review of Future Land Use Themes

and Scenarios

Time: 9:00 – 11:00 am Date: Wednesday, September 16, 2009

Location: Center for Regional Cooperation

Thank You!