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© 2013 NTT DOCOMO, INC. All rights reserved. Mick Etoh (@mickbean) Feb. 13th, 2014 How Changing Mobile Technology Is Changing The Way We Do Business 1

How Changing Mobile Technology Is Changing The Way We Do Business

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2014 Feb How Changing Mobile Technology Is Changing The Way We Do Business When the first mobile phones came out in sizes such as shoeboxes, people thought it was convenient, but not practical. Car phones came around the same time but weren't quite life changing yet. Then the phones got small enough for pockets and people in all walks of life started using mobile phones in various places. Undoubtedly, mobile phones have changed people lives. In Feb, the C8 CEO Insights luncheon is pleased to welcome Dr. Minoru (Mick) Etoh. Mick is the Managing Director of R&D and strategy in Japan, as well as CEO of Docomo Capital based in Palo Alto, California. He will be sharing with us on how he sees the business and technology landscape is changing due to advances in telecommunications and mobility. How companies are prospering in this next generation, and how some firms are actually missing the boat. This is a wonderful opportunity to hear from one of Japan's leaders from a flagship firm.

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Page 1: How Changing Mobile Technology Is Changing The Way We Do Business

© 2013 NTT DOCOMO, INC. All rights reserved.

Mick Etoh (@mickbean)Feb. 13th, 2014

How Changing Mobile Technology Is Changing The Way We Do

Business

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© 2013 NTT DOCOMO, INC. All rights reserved.

Who am I?• Mick Etoh, SVP, NTT DOCOMO• Role: R&D Strategy • Expertise:

Pattern Recognition & Machine Learning, Signal Processing & Multimedia, Mobile Networks

Fun:

Bike Riding, Fly Fishing, and Wine Tasting2

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© 2013 NTT DOCOMO, INC. All rights reserved.

Who is DOCOMO?

• 61 million subscribers in Japan• $45 billion revenue (2013)

Next to China Mobile, Verizon, and AT&T

• “i-mode” innovator (1999)

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© 2013 NTT DOCOMO, INC. All rights reserved.

Revenue Structure (FY2012)

Device

ServiceCloud

Packet

Voice

Smart Phone

Voice: $13 Billion

Data: $19 Billion

Service $5.5 Billion

Feature Phone EraVoice Stage Data Stage

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© 2013 NTT DOCOMO, INC. All rights reserved.

Payments

Vendor1 Vendor2 Vendor3

Operator-Defined Interface

ServicesCustomers

CSP CRMSystem Integration/Operation

Operator-Own-Everything Model

Payments

Sub Vendor1 Sub Vendor2 Sub Vendor3

Proprietary Vendor InterfaceSolution Vendor

ServicesCustomers

CSP CRM

Communication-Service-Provider & Customer-Relation-Management Model

Two Distinct Operation Structures

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© 2013 NTT DOCOMO, INC. All rights reserved.6

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© 2013 NTT DOCOMO, INC. All rights reserved.

DOCOMO asWireless Carrier, Network Vendor,

and Service Provider

Experiencing a Big Challenge

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© 2013 NTT DOCOMO, INC. All rights reserved.

Unbundling the corporationby John Hagel III and Marc Singer (1999)

•Customer Relationship Management–Battle for Scope: Identify, attract, and build relationships with customers

•Infra Structure Management–Battle for Scale: Build and manage facilities for high-volume, repetitive operation tasks

•Product Innovation–Battle for talent: conceive of attractive new products and services and commercialize them

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© 2013 NTT DOCOMO, INC. All rights reserved.

What is Innovation?

Joseph Schumpeter‘s “neuer Kombinationen” (Theorie der wirtschaftlichen Entwicklung)

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© 2013 NTT DOCOMO, INC. All rights reserved.

Innovation Example

2.5G Internet connectivity, DOCOMO

1998

Micro Browser, Access Co.

1995

i-mode, DOCOMO

1999Serendipity

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© 2013 NTT DOCOMO, INC. All rights reserved.

Wireless Technologies, the EnablersPersonal StorageSNS/Comm. Tools

3.9G LTE:~75Mbps2010

+Big data synchronization

Smartphone Platformas Application Market

3.5G: ~14Mbps 2006+Flat Rate + Cloud

Mobile Multimedia

3G: 64-384Kbps 2001+CODEC

i-mode

2G:9.6KbpsX3 1998 +micro browser

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© 2013 NTT DOCOMO, INC. All rights reserved.

Very Simplified Formula as Our Old Strategy

Wireless Broadband

Innovation X?

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© 2013 NTT DOCOMO, INC. All rights reserved.

Very Simplified Formula with Smartphone

Wireless Broadband Dumb Pipe

Smart Phone

Innovation X?

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© 2013 NTT DOCOMO, INC. All rights reserved.

Control Points, those who have gone...

Feature Phone

Radio Interface

OS

Middleware

AAA

Applications

OperatorPortal

No Operator’s Control Points

Smart Phone

Radio Interface

OS

Middleware

AAA

Applications

OperatorPortal

LINEFacebooki-tunes

Search Engines

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© 2013 NTT DOCOMO, INC. All rights reserved.

Battle for the place where people visit in the cyber space

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© 2013 NTT DOCOMO, INC. All rights reserved.16

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© 2013 NTT DOCOMO, INC. All rights reserved.

Technology Trend 1: Personal Assistant Agent (i.e., very

thin client) with a killer new functionality

Copyright: Microsoft's "Cortana" Personal Assistant App 17

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© 2013 NTT DOCOMO, INC. All rights reserved.

Technology Trend 2:Very Fat & Robust Pipe

and Machine Communication

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© 2013 NTT DOCOMO, INC. All rights reserved.

Those who have gone.19

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© 2013 NTT DOCOMO, INC. All rights reserved.

LTE-Advanced Network (2016?)

Macro Cell Base Station

Small Cell Base Station

Centeraized Radio AccessNetwork

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© 2013 NTT DOCOMO, INC. All rights reserved.

The Next Enablers

Personal StorageSNS/Comm. Tools

3.9G LTE:~75Mbps2010

+Big data synchronization

Smartphone Platformas Application Market

3.5G: ~14Mbps 2006+Flat Rate + Cloud

Mobile Multimedia

3G: 64-384Kbps 2001+CODEC

4G M2M/eSIM

+Large Scale Data Synchronization

Personal Agent new B2B Biz

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© 2013 NTT DOCOMO, INC. All rights reserved.

New Formula as Our Strategy

Machine-ConnectedLarge ScaleWireless Network

Innovation X?

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© 2013 NTT DOCOMO, INC. All rights reserved.

Technology Trend 3:Asset-Oriented (i.e., Core-Biz Focused) and API-Centric

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API as Alternative

© 2013 NTT DOCOMO, INC. All rights reserved.

Application Programing Interface (API)

PA

I

pps

artners

ncome

Adam DuVander,24

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© 2013 NTT DOCOMO, INC. All rights reserved.

APIs mean a lot of exposure for web giants

9,000

8,000

7,000

6,000

5,000

4,000

3,000

2,000

1,000

0

2005 2006 2007 2009 2010 2011 2012

API is a key success driver for these businesses Annual growth in number of APIs: 100%

13B Calls / Day (2011.05)

5B Calls / Day (2010.04)

5B Calls / Day (2009.10)

1.4B Calls / Day (2012.05)

1.1B Calls / Day (2011.04)

1B Calls / Day (2012.05)

1B Calls / Day (2012.03)

1B Calls / Day (2010.01)

API Billionaires Club (Programmable Web) API Growth Rate (Programmable Web)

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© 2013 NTT DOCOMO, INC. All rights reserved.

Why API matters

Disadvantages•Limited user reach•Limited brand awareness

Traditional Web business model APIs help you grow your business

Advantages•Unlock distribution channels•Expand user reach through the

V.S.

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© 2013 NTT DOCOMO, INC. All rights reserved.

APIs enable business to create “ Revenue Ecosystem”

Amazon.comMobile Apps

Affiliate Sites

Supplemental Services Internal Developers

+ API

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© 2013 NTT DOCOMO, INC. All rights reserved.

Change of API Offering Models

Consumer Product

End Users

API API API

Cloud API

Developers

End Users

Developers

Consumer oriented API Offering

(e.g.)

(e.g.)

Cloud oriented API Offering

Cloud APIs provide “Utilities” that can be used to build consumer products

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© 2013 NTT DOCOMO, INC. All rights reserved.

Rise of Cloud API Startups

Location Billing AnalyticsCommunication

Authentication

Banking Shipment Print Healthcare Translation

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© 2013 NTT DOCOMO, INC. All rights reserved.

Whey are they focusing on the APIs ?

ConsumerProduct

User Acquisition

User Data

APIs

3rd PartyIntegration

ConsumerProduct

User Acquisition

User Data

APIs

3rd PartyIntegration

1

2

3

4

5

1

2

3

These processes has become harder & harder for the startups

That’s why API startups only focusing on APIs and data acquisition

Traditional B2C Business Process API oriented business process

These processes has been covered by 3rd parties

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© 2013 NTT DOCOMO, INC. All rights reserved.

Yet Another New Formula

Your Asset Innovation X?APIDesign

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© 2013 NTT DOCOMO, INC. All rights reserved.

Let’s see what will happen soon.32