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the transition development of the china foundry industry peng fan
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The plight and situation of Manufacturing
The changing World # 1---Population Changing
1 ) Quantity increasing rapidly: Global population is 7 Billion in 2011 and will reach 9 billion
in 2050,
and increase by 1 billion every 20 years
2 ) Aging : Currently 893 million populations over 60 years old, cover 12.8% of total
population;
forecast will reach 2.4 billion in 2050 and cover 30% of total population. Aging society is
coming.
The changing World #2---Urbanization
Urbanization: The rural population first time overpass the urban
population in 2007.
Over 50% people living in city in 2012---60% in 2030---67% in 2050
The changing World #3---Climate Changing
World Climate Changing: Compare to 18th Century, The global average surface temperature increased 0.76 centigrade. The most hottest 12 years from meteorological observation, 11 years are in between 1994 and 2005. The emission of greenhouse gases increases rapidly, The imperil to Human is bigger and bigger. The environment and its protection is a common issue for all countries
The changing World #4 ---Globalization
Globalization: Due to the global communication, IT, transportation is more and more
convenient, the “Global village” makes the contact between countries more and more close,
the globe is changing “smaller and smaller” .
1 ) From 1950 to 2004, the global trade volume increased 27.5 times;
2 ) The organization performing the global business increased from 17000 to 70000;
3 ) In the past 40 years, The sea transportation increased from 60 kilo ton.miles to 270 kilo
ton.miles.
The changing China #1—from “ Quantity” to “Quality”
Since opening to the outside world for the last 30 years, China is the most quickest economy increasing country(1979-2009), the average economy increase with the high level of 9.8%, Chinese GDP already exceed Japan and play the number two of global business, lots of index ( car sales, phone user etc.)reach No. one, “Quantity” realized, the pressure of resource, environment and competition increased, so the development must change from “ quantity” to “Quality, targeting the biggest both the strongest.
For the first time, Chinese urbanization is over 50% in 2011, the future urbanization will speed
up growth.
The changing China #2—Urbanization progress
The changing China #3—Cheap labor cost will no longer back again
In the past 30 years from Reform and Open, labor cost increased average 14% annually.
Salary doubles every five years. Comparing with developed countries, the gap of labor
cost reduced from 20 times to 4-6 times
The changing China #4--- Environment and resource pressure increased rapidly
The current volume of 45 main minerals will only remain 24 after 5-10 years, only 6 after
15-20 years, 1/4 people still drink unqualified water, one third of city people breath
polluted air, city rubbish innocuous treatment less than 20%, Industry hazardous wastes
treatment only 32%, the top 10 polluted cities and 5 of them in China.
The changing China #5—Over capacity, intensifying competition
Unbalance growth on investment and consumption
1 ) Average growth rate on fix asset investment was over 20%
in continues four years from 2002-2005, but growth on
consumption(social retail goods)was between 9%-13%, the
former one is about two times quicker than the later
2 ) Typical industry: steel, electrolytic aluminium, car, alloy,
calcium carbide, copper, casting etc. over capacity and
competition more aggressive.
The changing China #6—the power of Times
The progress of the times create the new products and new industry, same time also
speed up the elimination of products and industry.
Times progress, intensifying competition. No continue innovation means to be
eliminated quickly.
China aerospace-manifest the power of technology
The changing China #7– The power of Technology
Future manufacture must integrate the advanced technology:Support technology——IT
Key technology——virtual manufacture, Rapid Prototyping, intelligent manufacture……
Technology innovation and talents
?
Bi-power of innovation: Technology +Talents
KOCEL ”Four” innovation model
Innovative idea : Continue create innovation idea, construct innovation environment;
Innovative plan : Promote the innovation by new scheme, innovation plan;
Innovation regulation and system: Build innovation regulation and matrix research & innovation
system;
Innovation working mode : CSP/6σ—The way we work.
Three management revolution, three ideological emancipation, overcome three crisis
Continues innovation
Set up specific duty leader and staff.
Adapt company transition, flattening organization, cancel section system
Reorganization
Talents Creating: boost ”KOCEL rapid talent creating”
Volume is precondition, stable is the base, quality is indemnity.
Focus on long term structure adjustment
Current demand volume and future development demand volume
Position, age, education background, skill, job title etc. structure.
.
Health, morality, skill
Green manufacturing
The whole life of product from designing. Manufacturing, package, transportation, using until
dumping, the impact (negative affect)to environment is minimum, resource efficiency is
maximum .
Green manufacturing
“Five green”( Green design, Green material, Green technology, Green package, Green treatment)
Green manufacturing mode
Green manufacturing is integrated apply biotechnology, green chemistry, IT technology and
environmental research result make the manufacture process no or less create waste and pollutant or
manufacture system comprehensive integrated ecotype manufacturing technology。Green manufacturing mode is the way to realize manufacturing long term continues development model.
The way to solve the problem
Anything can be done as far as your thought can go to
Research of transition development mode
Manufacturing
Research
Market
Sales
Management……
Manufacturing
Market Research
Service
Feature 1: Pre-Manufacturing( marketing, research) and after Manufacturing( service) will be bigger, manufacturing process will be smaller.
Feature 2: Supply total solution
WanDa Square
Sell stuff→ sell program, sell service, sell stuff etc.
80% employee work on site→ less than 50% employee work on
site
Profit from manufacture→ profit from research and service etc.
Feature 3: Digital company
The symbol of 21 century manufacturing will be the double I ( Intelligent and Integration)
Feature 4”: Win By Speed
Speed will determine the competition capability of manufacture company. Sales
revenue requires double every 3-5 years. Win By Speed.
Feature 5: Advanced technology, Green Manufacturing, Continue innovation.
Rapid develop technologyUse in the company
Web of the things DNC intelligent facility
Cloud computing Private cloud, thin client
IT technology TDM
New material, new technology, biotechnology
Virtual manufacturing, green manufacturing
New system, New process ERP, PDM, MES, RF, Bar code
One year no innovation, development will stop;
Two years no innovation, Company will retrogress;
Three no innovation, face to be eliminated!
Feature 6: High-end products, Boutique, guide consumption, win with the brand
Feature 7: Cooperation and win-win, Share the glory
KOCEL CONNOTATION: WORKING TOGETHER, GROWING TOGETHER, SHARING THE GLORY