AAF Dodd-Frank Battleground FINAL

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  • D O D D - F R A N K

    S U R V E Y

    January 18-20, 2016

  • 2METHODOLOGY

    The following survey was conducted by

    OnMessage Inc. in 30 congressional districts.

    Telephone interviews were conducted on

    January 18-20, 2016. This survey consists of

    1200 likely voters and was stratified to reflect

    historic voter trends. The margin of error for this

    survey is +/-2.82%.

  • 3METHODOLOGYThe survey was separated into the following three groupings to gain an understanding of the views of

    different parts of the population.

    Conservative AdvantageCompetitive Conservative Stronghold

    CA-10CA-21CO-6IL-12MN-2NH-1NV-3

    NY-21NY-24VA-2

    CA-25CA-39FL-15IA-4IN-2KY-6

    MT-ALNY-23PA-3

    TX-23

    AL-1AR-2CA-4CO-5FL-11GA-5IL-15OK-4PA-9TX-17

  • 425 129

    125

    28

    34

    I M AG E T E S T SR E P U B L I C A N S I N C O N G R E S S

    53

    Net: -19

    Very FavSomewhat FavSomewhat UnfavVery Unfav

    Never Heard OfNo Opinion

    27 128

    12329

    23 119

    22728

    25 1310

    2725

    COMPETITIVENET: -17

    CONSERVATIVE ADVANTAGENET: -23

    CONSERVATIVE STRONGHOLDNET: -17

    35

    52

    32

    55

    35

    52

  • 521 118

    125

    35

    29

    I M AG E T E S T SD E M O C R AT S I N C O N G R E S S

    60

    Net: -31

    Very FavSomewhat FavSomewhat UnfavVery Unfav

    Never Heard OfNo Opinion

    23 128

    124

    33

    24 107

    226

    31

    17 108

    24

    41

    COMPETITIVENET: -26

    CONSERVATIVE ADVANTAGENET: -26

    CONSERVATIVE STRONGHOLDNET: -40

    31

    57

    31

    57

    25

    65

  • Regulation Series

  • 4050 50

    36 3726

    COMPETITIVE CONSERVATIVE ADVANTAGE CONSERVATIVE STRONGHOLD

    7

    B I G B A N K S V S. B I G G OV E R N M E N T

    4733 21

    Big Government Big Banks DK/Refuse

    Which of the following do you think has had more of a negative impact on your personal financial situation over the last decade big government or big

    Wall Street Banks .

    +14 Big Government over Big Banks

  • 33 3140

    48 5441

    COMPETITIVE CONSERVATIVE ADVANTAGE CONSERVATIVE STRONGHOLD

    8

    M I S G UIDE D P O L I C Y V S. L AC K O F R E G U L AT IO N

    35 4812 3 3

    MisguidedFederal Policy

    Lack ofRegulation

    Both Neither DK/Refused

    Thinking about the financial crisis of 2008, please tell me which of the following comes closest to your opinion.

    Some people say that the financial crisis was caused by misguided federal policies which encouraged

    banks to offer home loans to people who could not afford to pay them back.

    Others say that the financial crisis was caused by a lack of regulation over the financial industry and that Wall Street bankers took advantage of the system by

    offering risky loans for their own personal profit.

  • 33 30 3348 48

    41

    7 13 10

    COMPETITIVE CONSERVATIVE ADVANTAGE GOP STRONGHOLD

    9

    C A U S E O F F I N A N C I A L C R I S I S

    30 4510 10 4

    GovernmentRegulations

    GreedyExecutives

    Natural EconomicCycles

    All of the Above DK/Refused

    Thinking again about financial crisis of 2008, please tell me which of the following was the greatest cause of the crisis

    Government regulations that forced banks to make millions of risky home

    loans.

    Greedy Wall Street executives who gambled on the housing market bubble,

    endangering the financial system.

    Natural economic cycles that all but guaranteed that a recession would

    occur.

    Whos to blame? Wall Street greed trumps

    misguided federal policies by 15 points,

    but hang on.

  • 3514 9

    30

    12

    Agree Disagree DK/Refused

    10

    65

    Please tell me if you agree or disagree with the following statement. Although the Obama Administration claims that lack of regulation caused the

    financial crisis of 2008, the real cause was misguided federal policy that encourage banks to offer loans to people who could not pay them back,

    leading to a nationwide real estate crash.

    M I S G UIDE D P O L I C Y

    Somewhat

    Strongly26

    61 6668

    29 28 23

    COMPETITIVE CONSERVATIVE ADVANTAGE GOP STRONGHOLD

    Agree

    Disagree

  • Dodd-Frank

  • 12

    10 276

    321016

    16

    I M AG E T E S T ST H E D O D D - F R A N K W A L L S T R E E TR E F O R M A C T

    26

    Net: -10

    Very FavSomewhat FavSomewhat UnfavVery Unfav

    Never Heard OfNo Opinion

    10 29630817

    11 267

    3212129 265

    331018

    COMPETITIVENET: -9

    CONSERVATIVE ADVANTAGENET: -6

    CONSERVATIVE STRONGHOLDNET: -14

    16

    25

    18

    24

    14

    28

    59% have no idea what were talking

    about.

  • 3321

    51317

    38

    Liberal Moderate Conservative

    13

    Age/Gender/Race

    I M AG E T E S T ST H E D O D D - F R A N K W A L L S T R E E TR E F O R M A C T

    FavorableUnfavorable

    17 15 19 13 15 182324 27

    3220 27 24 19

    55 & Under Over 55 Male Female White Hispanic Af.American

    Ideology

  • 31 43

    1

    5

    20

    Familiar Unfamiliar DK/Refuse

    14

    36

    How familiar would you say you are with the Dodd-Frank Wall Street Reform Act? Would you say you are

    FA M I L I A R IT Y W I TH D O D D- F R A N K

    Somewhat

    Very

    63

    37 35 37

    62 64 62

    COMPETITIVE CONSERVATIVE ADVANTAGE CONSERVATIVE STRONGHOLD

    Familiar

    Unfamiliar

  • 13 22 2524 17

    Favor Oppose DK/Refused

    15

    37

    As you may know, in 2010 President Obama signed the Dodd-Frank Wall Street Reform Act into law with the goal of increasing federal regulation over

    the financial industry following the financial crisis of 2008. Based on everything you have heard, do you favor or oppose the Dodd-Frank Wall

    Street Reform Act?

    D O D D- F R A N K FAVO R/ O P P O S E

    Somewhat

    Strongly39

    39 4131

    38 37 40

    COMPETITIVE CONSERVATIVE ADVANTAGE CONSERVATIVE STRONGHOLD

    Favor

    Oppose

    The default position is a dead heat with a slight intensity advantage.

  • 73

    49

    151323

    60

    Liberal Moderate Conservative

    16

    Age/Gender/Race

    FavorOppose

    39 36 38 36 35 4251

    37 39 45 32 4041

    22

    55 & Under Over 55 Male Female White Hispanic Af.American

    D O D D- F R A N K FAVO R/ O P P O S E

    Ideology

    Starts 26 points net favorable among Independents.

  • 514

    27 2220

    12

    Helped Harmed No Difference DK/Refused

    17

    25

    Based on everything you have heard, would you say that the Dodd-Frank Wall Street Reforms helped, harmed, or made no difference to the stability of

    our financial industry?

    E F F E C T O F D O D D- F R A N K

    Somewhat

    Strongly

    26

    26 26 2327 22 282731 25

    COMPETITIVE CONSERVATIVE ADVANTAGE CONSERVATIVE STRONGHOLD

    Helped

    Harmed

    No Difference

  • Dodd-Frank Push Series

  • D O D D- F R A N K P U S H S E R I E SC O M P E T I T I V E

    24

    22

    20

    19

    25

    38

    43

    44

    46

    42

    8

    9

    7

    7

    8

    6

    7

    5

    6

    6

    100 80 60 40 20 20 40 60 80 100

    NETLess Likely More Likely

    Somewhat More Likely

    19

    1467

    Much Less Likely Somewhat Less Likely Much More Likely

    -53The Dodd-Frank Act was aimed at big banks, but its crippling legal and administrative costs have caused many small banks to close or

    reduce lending which has harmed local economies and made it increasingly difficult for small businesses and entrepreneurs to thrive.

    1365 -52

    1665 -49

    1264 -52

    Dodd Frank created a new type of bailout fund for big banks called Orderly Liquidation Authority. Instead of requiring big banks to go through the same bankruptcy shutdown procedures as all other

    companies in America, banks are allowed an exception to the rules through OLA.

    Before the Dodd-Frank Act, over 75% of banks offered free checking. However after the Dodd-Frank regulations took affect

    only 39% now offer free checking.

    Many experts say that the Dodd-Frank Act was aimed at Wall Street but hit Main Street.

    Most traditional banks are not willing to make small dollar loans. This leaves many working families with no option to cover unexpected short

    term expenses except for the lifeline of taking out a short term loan.1462 -48

  • D O D D- F R A N K P U S H S E R I E SC O N S E R VAT I V E A D VA N TA G E

    27

    24

    27

    24

    24

    32

    35

    36

    39

    41

    11

    14

    11

    12

    11

    11

    8

    11

    10

    7

    100 80 60 40 20 20 40 60 80 100

    NETLess Likely More Likely

    Somewhat More Likely

    20

    1865

    Much Less Likely Somewhat Less Likely Much More Likely

    -47Before the Dodd-Frank Act, over 75% of banks offered free checking. However after the Dodd-Frank regulations took affect only 39% now

    offer free checking.

    2263 -41

    2259 -37

    2263 -41

    Dodd Frank created a new type of bailout fund for big banks called Orderly Liquidation Authority . Instead of requiring big banks to go

    through the same bankruptcy shutdown procedures as all other companies in America, banks are allowed an exception to the rules

    through OLA.

    Dodd-Frank was supposed to shrink banks that were deemed too big to fail but by driving out smaller banks, the reality is it made big Wall

    Street banks even bigger.

    The Dodd-Frank Act does not end bailouts for too-big-to-fail banks. In fact, it makes those bailouts a requirement of federal law.

    Many experts say that the Dodd-Frank Act was aimed at Wall Street but hit Main Street. 2259 -37

  • D O D D- F R A N K P U S H S E R I E SC O N S E R VAT I V E S T R O N G H O L D

    18

    17

    18

    17

    21

    43

    43

    44

    45

    44

    11

    11

    11

    10

    9

    9

    6

    8

    7

    7

    100 80 60 40 20 20 40 60 80 100

    NETLess Likely More Likely

    Somewhat More Likely

    21

    1665

    Much Less Likely Somewhat Less Likely Much More Likely

    -49Before the Dodd-Frank Act, over 75% of banks offered free checking. However after the Dodd-Frank regulations took affect only 39% now

    offer free checking.

    1762 -45

    1860 -43

    1962 -43

    The Dodd-Frank Act does not end bailouts for too-big-to-fail banks. In fact, it makes those bailouts a requirement of federal law.

    Dodd-Frank was supposed to shrink banks that were deemed too big to fail but by driving out smaller banks, the reality is it made big Wall

    Street banks even bigger.

    Dodd Frank created a new type of bailout fund for big banks called Orderly Liquidation Authority (OLA). Instead of requiring big banks to

    go through the same bankruptcy shutdown procedures as all other companies in America, banks are allowed an exception to the rules

    through OLA.

    The Dodd-Frank Act did nothing to reform government backed mortgage giants Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, which many experts say

    were the root cause of the Financial Crisis of 2008.2061 -41

    Appeals mostly to conservatives.

  • 64213

    16

    23

    Favor Oppose DK/Refused

    22

    22

    Now knowing this, do you favor or oppose the Dodd-Frank Wall Street Reform Act?

    D O D D- F R A N K P O S T P U S H

    Somewhat

    Strongly

    65

    23 26 18

    62 6369

    COMPETITIVE CONSERVATIVE ADVANTAGE CONSERVATIVE STRONGHOLD

    Favor

    Oppose

    Killing Small Banks Special Rules for Big Banks Punishing Consumers Too big to fail (cons)Collapses support of Dodd-Frank

  • 3923

    3862

    Pre-Push Post-Push

    W H O M OV E D?D O D D - F R A N K P U S H S E R I E S

    y

    23

    COMPETITIVE+24 OPPOSE

    4126

    3763

    Pre-Push Post-Push

    CONSERVATIVE ADVANTAGE+26 OPPOSE

    3118

    40

    69

    Pre-Push Post-Push

    CONSERVATIVE ADVANTAGE+29 OPPOSE

    7347

    1336

    Pre-Push Post-Push

    LIBERAL+23 OPPOSE

    493023

    58

    Pre-Push Post-Push

    MODERATE+35 OPPOSE

    15 7

    6083

    Pre-Push Post-Push

    CONSERVATIVE+23 OPPOSE

  • D O D D - F R A N K

    S U R V E Y

    January 18-20, 2016