5
10/14/12 Asia: Crony tigers, divided dragons | The Economist 1/5 www.economist.com/node/21564408 Digital & mobile Events Topics AZ Newsletters Jobs Search Monday October 15th 2012 6kfuLwGqH... Subscribe World politics Business & finance Economics Science & technology Culture Blogs Debate The World in 2012 Multimedia Print edition In this special report For richer, for poorer As you were Like a piece of string Like father, not like son The rich and the rest Makers and takers » Crony tigers, divided dragons Lessons from Palanpur Gini back in the bottle The new model Oct 13th 2012 | from the print edition Special report: Asia Crony tigers, divided dragons Why Asia, too, is becoming increasingly unequal THE SUMMIT OF Songshan mountain, some 60 miles (100km) from China’s capital, marks the boundary between Beijing municipality and the neighbouring province of Hebei. It is also a study in contrasts. On the Beijing side the mountain road is wide, freshly surfaced and flanked by a solid safety wall. A Lycraclad cyclist sweats his way up on a fancy mountain bike. A large car park is under construction for visitors to hot springs in the nearby village of Bangongqu. Enterprising local families can make 100,000 yuan ($16,000) a year catering to Beijing tourists, not far off the city’s average whitecollar wage. The Beijing provincial government provides pensions and other social benefits. Hebei is a much poorer province. On its side of the mountain the road narrows and the tarmac deteriorates. Half a mile from the summit is the village of Yanjiaping, where some 50 families scrape a living growing cabbages. No one has a car, no one gets a pension, and the nearest primary school is 12 miles away. Farmers are barred from grazing cows on the mountainside so that trees can grow to stem sand storms from Inner Mongolia. Shen Zhiyun, a gnarled man in fake US army fatigues, says a village family makes 4,0005,000 yuan a year, nowhere near Indian levels of poverty, but a far cry from the living standards only a few miles away. “We live in a different country,” he says. The transformation of China’s economy over the past 30 years is the most spectacular growth story in history. Less noticed, China has also seen the world’s biggest and fastest rise in inequality. China has not officially published a Gini coefficient since 2000, but a study by the China Development Research Foundation suggests that it has surged from less than 0.3 in 1978 to more than 0.48. In little more than a generation Mao’s egalitarian dystopia has become a country with an income distribution more skewed than America’s. Asia’s two other giants, India and Indonesia, have also seen disparities rise sharply, though less dramatically than China. Indonesia’s Gini is up by an eighth, to 0.34. Part of this rise was both inevitable and welcome, a natural consequence of the end of Maoist communism in China and The world economy Like 18 Tweet Tweet 6 Recommended Commented Advertisement Most popular Comment (1) Print Email Reprints & permissions Recent Activity Lones Smith recommended So, Mitt, what do you really believe? · about 2 months ago Guys 186 people recommended this. It ain’t necessarily so 579 people recommended this. Body politic 977 people recommended this. Free exchange 6 people recommended this. Facebook social plugin Inequality and the world economy True Progressivism Chinese telecoms firms in America: Putting Huawei on hold The next crisis: Sponging boomers Textbooks round the world: It ain’t necessarily so 1 2 3 4

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Page 1: Crony tigers, divided dragons - SSCC - Home

101412 Asia Crony tigers divided dragons | The Economist

15wwweconomistcomnode21564408

Digital amp mobile Events Topics AshyZ Newsletters Jobs

SearchMonday October 15th 2012

6kfuLwGqH Subscribe

World politics Business amp finance Economics Science amp technology Culture Blogs Debate The World in 2012 Multimedia Print edition

In this special report

For richer for poorer

As you were

Like a piece of string

Like father not like son

The rich and the rest

Makers and takers

raquoCrony tigers divideddragons

Lessons from Palanpur

Gini back in the bottle

The new model

Oct 13th 2012 | from the print edition

Special report

Asia

Crony tigers divided dragonsWhy Asia too is becoming increasingly unequal

THE SUMMIT OF Songshan mountain some60 miles (100km) from Chinarsquos capitalmarks the boundary between Beijingmunicipality and the neighbouring provinceof Hebei It is also a study in contrasts Onthe Beijing side the mountain road is widefreshly surfaced and flanked by a solidsafety wall A Lycrashyclad cyclist sweats hisway up on a fancy mountain bike A largecar park is under construction for visitorsto hot springs in the nearby village ofBangongqu Enterprising local families canmake 100000 yuan ($16000) a yearcatering to Beijing tourists not far off thecityrsquos average whiteshycollar wage TheBeijing provincial government providespensions and other social benefits

Hebei is a much poorer province On itsside of the mountain the road narrows andthe tarmac deteriorates Half a mile fromthe summit is the village of Yanjiapingwhere some 50 families scrape a livinggrowing cabbages No one has a car noone gets a pension and the nearest primary school is 12 miles away Farmers arebarred from grazing cows on the mountainside so that trees can grow to stem sandstorms from Inner Mongolia Shen Zhiyun a gnarled man in fake US army fatiguessays a village family makes 4000shy5000 yuan a year nowhere near Indian levels ofpoverty but a far cry from the living standards only a few miles away ldquoWe live in adifferent countryrdquo he says

The transformation of Chinarsquos economy over the past 30years is the most spectacular growth story in history Lessnoticed China has also seen the worldrsquos biggest and fastestrise in inequality China has not officially published a Ginicoefficient since 2000 but a study by the China DevelopmentResearch Foundation suggests that it has surged from lessthan 03 in 1978 to more than 048 In little more than ageneration Maorsquos egalitarian dystopia has become a countrywith an income distribution more skewed than AmericarsquosAsiarsquos two other giants India and Indonesia have also seendisparities rise sharply though less dramatically than ChinaIndonesiarsquos Gini is up by an eighth to 034

Part of this rise was both inevitable and welcome a naturalconsequence of the end of Maoist communism in China and

The world economy

Like 18 TweetTweet 6

Recommended Commented

Advertisement

Most popular

Comment (1) Print

Eshymail Reprints amp permissions

Recent Activity

Lones Smith recommended So Mitt what do youreally believe middot about 2 months ago

Guys186 people recommended this

It ainrsquot necessarily so579 people recommended this

Body politic977 people recommended this

Free exchange6 people recommended this

Facebook social plugin

Inequality and theworld economyTrue Progressivism

Chinese telecoms firms in America PuttingHuawei on hold

The next crisis Sponging boomers

Textbooks round the world It ainrsquotnecessarily so

1

2

34

101412 Asia Crony tigers divided dragons | The Economist

25wwweconomistcomnode21564408

Having your cake

A True Progressivism

Sources amp acknowledgements

Reprints

Related topics

United States

Beijing

Asia

China

Business

Fabian socialism in India The three economies particularlyChinarsquos are far richer and more dynamic than they were 30years ago Just as Kuznets suggested urbanisation andindustrialisation have brought widening gaps As people haveleft subsistence agriculture for more productive work incities inequality has risen along with prosperity

But that cannot be the whole explanation if only because theexperience of todayrsquos Asian tigers is in striking contrast tothat of an earlier pack In Japan Hong Kong South Koreaand Taiwan growth rates soared in the 1960s and 1970s andprosperity increased rapidly but income gaps shrank JapanrsquosGini coefficient fell from 045 in the early 1960s to 034 in1982 Taiwanrsquos from 05 in 1961 to below 03 by the midshy1970s That experience launched the idea of an ldquoAsiangrowth modelrdquo one that combined prosperity with equity

Education again

Todayrsquos Asian growth model does the opposite One explanation is that the big forcesdriving modern economiesmdashtechnological innovation and globalisationmdashbenefit theskilled and educated in emerging markets much as they do in the rich world NarayanaMurthy the billionaire coshyfounder of Infosys an Indian software giant or Robin Li thecreator of Baidu Chinarsquos most popular search engine have harnessed technology muchlike Bill Gates has done Senior lawyers and bankers in Mumbai or Shanghai are part ofa global winnershytakesshyall market able to command salaries similar to those of theircolleagues in New York or London And as Ravi Kanbur of Cornell University points outthe offshoring of tasks that has hit midshylevel workers in America and Europe oftenbenefits people higher up the skills ladder in recipient countries Call centres inBangalore are manned by wellshyeducated Indians

As in the rich world these fundamental economic forces are not the only drivers ofincome distribution Government policy has also played a big role One problem iscronyism As in the Gilded Age in America capitalism in todayrsquos emerging marketsinvolves close links between politicians and plutocrats India is a case in point Fromspectrum licences to coal deposits large assets have been transferred from the state tofavoured insiders in the past few years Many politicians have business empires of onekind or another Rich businessmen often become politicians particularly at the statelevel Raghuram Rajan an Indianshyborn economist at the University of Chicago whorecently became chief economic adviser to Indiarsquos government has pointed out thatIndia has the secondshylargest number of billionaires relative to the size of its economyafter Russia mainly thanks to insider access to land natural resources and governmentcontracts He worries that India could be becoming ldquoan unequal oligarchy or worserdquo

In China cronyism is even more ingrained The state still has huge control overresources whether directly through stateshyowned enterprises monopoly control ofindustries from railways to mining or the distorted financial system where interestrates are artificially depressed and access to credit is influenced by politics Theimportance of the state means that the beneficiaries tend to be close to state power

Advertisement

Latest blog posts shy All times are GMT

Remembering Arlen Specter The deathof a moderateDemocracy in America shy 2 hours 21 mins ago

The week ahead 50 years after theCuban missile crisisNewsbook shy Oct 14th 1801

Argentinas sovereign debt A matter oftimeAmericas view shy Oct 14th 0713

Charting the US election The data andthe hustingsGraphic detail shy Oct 13th 1633

Russian politics Yevgenia ChirikovaEastern approaches shy Oct 13th 1223

Coshyworking Childish occupationsBabbage shy Oct 13th 0922

US election 2012 States of playGraphic detail shy Oct 13th 0830

More from our blogs raquo

Products amp events

China and Japan Could Asia really go towar over these

US election 2012 States of play

Japans nuclear disaster Meet theFukushima 50 No you canrsquot

Mitt Romneys foreign policy Wishfulthinking

Live chart GOP smacked

The Nobel prize for physiology ormedicine Good eggs

5

67

8

910

101412 Asia Crony tigers divided dragons | The Economist

35wwweconomistcomnode21564408

Across emerging Asiapolitical concerns aboutrising inequality areprompting reform

Moreover inequality in China could be higher than the official statistics suggest becauserich people often understate their income and hide it from the taxman A lot of moneyis invested in property where soaring prices have reinforced inequality Wang Xiaoluof the China Reform Foundation caused a stir a couple of years ago with a study thattried to measure this ldquogreyrdquo income His results suggest that the income of the richest10 of urban Chinese is some 23 times that of the poorest 10 Official statistics saythe multiple is nine

Cronyism is the most obvious way in which Asian governments make inequality worsebut it is not the only one Broader government strategies have distorted countriesrsquogrowth paths in a manner that increased income gaps In India a big problem is the lackof job creation Unlike China where the surge in factories assembling goods for exportbrought millions of migrant workers into the formal urban labour force Indiarsquos formalworkforce has barely grown since 1991 More than 90 of Indians are still employed inthe informal sector Even in manufacturing most people toil in oneshyroom workshopsrather than big factories Productivity is lower workers find it hard to improve theirskills and their incomes rise more slowly

Indiarsquos failure to become a powerhouse of labourshyintensive manufacturing owes much toits appalling infrastructure Justshyinshytime delivery is hard to achieve when powersupplies are so precarious Another reason is the countryrsquos rigid labour laws whichdiscourage the formation of big firms Between the federal government and the statesIndia has around 200 different laws all setting detailed rules and making it virtuallyimpossible to fire people That deters employers from hiring workers and widens thegap between the lucky educated few and the rest

We know where you live

In China the regulations that contribute most to inequality are the remnants of thecountryrsquos hukou system of household registration This hails from Maorsquos era whenChinarsquos rural sector was punitively taxed to finance the development of heavy industryTo ensure a stable supply of workers in agriculture despite the appalling conditionspeople were barred from leaving their province of origin The restrictions on mobilitywere dismantled in the 1980s permitting millions to become migrant workers But theystill retain the rural hukou of their birth as do their children From housing toschooling this puts them at a big disadvantage compared with holders of urban hukou

Migrantsrsquo children must take the gaokao (the allshyimportant state collegeshyentrance exam)in their place of origin not where they and their parents might be living at the time solots of migrants send their children home for schooling Since education is financedlargely by local governments these schools tend to be less wellshyfunded and of lowerquality Hebei has far worse schools than Beijing In Shanghai municipality spendingper student in rural areas is only 50shy60 that of urban areas As a result the educationsystem reinforces income disparities rather than mitigating them

Along with disparities in infrastructure the hukou system is a big reason for Chinarsquosvast urbanshyrural gaps which explain about 45 of the countryrsquos overall inequalityOther Asian economies do not suffer from a hukou problem but there too governmentsocial policies have often made inequality worse because most social spending frompublic housing to health insurance has traditionally been confined to the formal urbanworkforce Moreover many Asian governments spend a lot on universal subsidiesespecially for energy These are highly regressive Indonesia for instance lavished34 of GDP on fuel and electricity subsidies last year more than it spent oninfrastructure According to the Asian Development Bank 40 of that largesse flowedto the richest 10 of Indonesian households and as much as 84 to the top half

Things are beginning to change Across emergingAsia political concerns about rising inequality areprompting reform often in ways that echo thechanges of the Progressive Era a century ago InChina the ldquoGreat Western Development Strategyrdquohas poured vast sums into infrastructure in thewestern provinces More recently the government has made a big effort to improverural social services Almost 100 of Chinarsquos rural population now have basic healthinsurance (including the villagers of Yianjiaping) and a majority have basic pensionsInequality between urban and rural areas has recently stabilised and that betweenregions has begun to fall slightly but from an extraordinarily high level

Stay informed today and every day

Get eshymail newslettersSubscribe to The Economists free eshymailnewsletters and alerts

Follow The Economist on TwitterSubscribe to The Economists latest articlepostings on Twitter

Follow The Economist on FacebookSee a selection of The Economists articlesevents topical videos and debates on Facebook

Advertisement

101412 Asia Crony tigers divided dragons | The Economist

45wwweconomistcomnode21564408

Various positions

Jobseconomistcom

Executive Director

Jobseconomistcom

Lord MayorrsquosPrivate Secretary

Jobseconomistcom

UndergraduateTeaching andLearninghellip

Jobseconomistcom

About The Economist Media directory Advertising info Staff books Career opportunities Subscribe Contact us Site index [+] Site Feedback

Classified ads

from the print edition | Special report

Recommend 15Submit toreddit

View all comments (1) Add your comment

More related topics

In the past couple of years several Asian economies from Thailand to Vietnam haveintroduced or expanded the reach of minimum wages Chinarsquos minimum wage whichis set at the provincial level rose by an average of 17 last year Some countries haveintroduced publicshywork schemes for the poorest Indiarsquos NREGA scheme for instanceguarantees 100 daysrsquo work a year to the countryrsquos rural households and now covers41m people Others have experimented with targeted subsidies to the very poorest thathave helped reduce inequality in Latin America (see article)

By introducing a more efficient and progressive social safety net Asiarsquos governmentswill go some way towards mitigating their growing income gaps But there will be nobig breakthroughs until the bigger problems of informality (in India) discriminationagainst migrants (China) and cronyism (everywhere) are dealt with And the longer thattakes the greater the danger that todayrsquos disparities will become entrenched

Thanks to remarkable economic growth almost all Asians are rapidly becoming betteroff In India old caste rigidities are being broken down (see article) But wideningincome gaps threaten to harm future social mobility Using a methodology developed atthe World Bank a study by Zhang Yingqiang and Tor Eriksson found that the rise inChinarsquos income inequality is mirrored by a rise in its inequality of opportunity Parentsrsquoincome and their type of employer explain about twoshythirds of Chinarsquos inequality ofopportunity a much bigger share than is explained by parental education

The stakes are high Yu Jiantuo of the China Development Research Foundation arguesthat Chinarsquos inequality is now hurting its growth prospects Sustained cronyism couldturn Asiarsquos big economies into entrenched oligarchies rather than dynamicmeritocracies Ironically in that sense they might become more like Latin America justas that continent appears to be moving in the opposite direction

Related items

Business India Economics

TweetTweet 6 ShareShare

TOPIC United States raquo

US election 2012 States of play

Productivity The importance of being urban

Frank Lloyd Wright and Japanese art Heavencloser to earth

TOPIC Beijing raquo

Chinese motorways The toll factor

Party congress Happening

Protests real and fake Of useful idiots and truebelievers

TOPIC Asia raquo

Letters On Chile productivity Vietnamsavings parenting cancer Barack Obama

Inequality and the world economy TrueProgressivism

Making peace in the Philippines Jam to Moros

TOPIC China raquo

Chinese literature Do Nobels oblige

Business this week

Policy prescriptions A True Progressivism

Like 18

101412 Asia Crony tigers divided dragons | The Economist

55wwweconomistcomnode21564408

Copyright copy The Economist Newspaper Limited 2012 All rights reserved Accessibility Privacy policy Cookies info Terms of use Help

Page 2: Crony tigers, divided dragons - SSCC - Home

101412 Asia Crony tigers divided dragons | The Economist

25wwweconomistcomnode21564408

Having your cake

A True Progressivism

Sources amp acknowledgements

Reprints

Related topics

United States

Beijing

Asia

China

Business

Fabian socialism in India The three economies particularlyChinarsquos are far richer and more dynamic than they were 30years ago Just as Kuznets suggested urbanisation andindustrialisation have brought widening gaps As people haveleft subsistence agriculture for more productive work incities inequality has risen along with prosperity

But that cannot be the whole explanation if only because theexperience of todayrsquos Asian tigers is in striking contrast tothat of an earlier pack In Japan Hong Kong South Koreaand Taiwan growth rates soared in the 1960s and 1970s andprosperity increased rapidly but income gaps shrank JapanrsquosGini coefficient fell from 045 in the early 1960s to 034 in1982 Taiwanrsquos from 05 in 1961 to below 03 by the midshy1970s That experience launched the idea of an ldquoAsiangrowth modelrdquo one that combined prosperity with equity

Education again

Todayrsquos Asian growth model does the opposite One explanation is that the big forcesdriving modern economiesmdashtechnological innovation and globalisationmdashbenefit theskilled and educated in emerging markets much as they do in the rich world NarayanaMurthy the billionaire coshyfounder of Infosys an Indian software giant or Robin Li thecreator of Baidu Chinarsquos most popular search engine have harnessed technology muchlike Bill Gates has done Senior lawyers and bankers in Mumbai or Shanghai are part ofa global winnershytakesshyall market able to command salaries similar to those of theircolleagues in New York or London And as Ravi Kanbur of Cornell University points outthe offshoring of tasks that has hit midshylevel workers in America and Europe oftenbenefits people higher up the skills ladder in recipient countries Call centres inBangalore are manned by wellshyeducated Indians

As in the rich world these fundamental economic forces are not the only drivers ofincome distribution Government policy has also played a big role One problem iscronyism As in the Gilded Age in America capitalism in todayrsquos emerging marketsinvolves close links between politicians and plutocrats India is a case in point Fromspectrum licences to coal deposits large assets have been transferred from the state tofavoured insiders in the past few years Many politicians have business empires of onekind or another Rich businessmen often become politicians particularly at the statelevel Raghuram Rajan an Indianshyborn economist at the University of Chicago whorecently became chief economic adviser to Indiarsquos government has pointed out thatIndia has the secondshylargest number of billionaires relative to the size of its economyafter Russia mainly thanks to insider access to land natural resources and governmentcontracts He worries that India could be becoming ldquoan unequal oligarchy or worserdquo

In China cronyism is even more ingrained The state still has huge control overresources whether directly through stateshyowned enterprises monopoly control ofindustries from railways to mining or the distorted financial system where interestrates are artificially depressed and access to credit is influenced by politics Theimportance of the state means that the beneficiaries tend to be close to state power

Advertisement

Latest blog posts shy All times are GMT

Remembering Arlen Specter The deathof a moderateDemocracy in America shy 2 hours 21 mins ago

The week ahead 50 years after theCuban missile crisisNewsbook shy Oct 14th 1801

Argentinas sovereign debt A matter oftimeAmericas view shy Oct 14th 0713

Charting the US election The data andthe hustingsGraphic detail shy Oct 13th 1633

Russian politics Yevgenia ChirikovaEastern approaches shy Oct 13th 1223

Coshyworking Childish occupationsBabbage shy Oct 13th 0922

US election 2012 States of playGraphic detail shy Oct 13th 0830

More from our blogs raquo

Products amp events

China and Japan Could Asia really go towar over these

US election 2012 States of play

Japans nuclear disaster Meet theFukushima 50 No you canrsquot

Mitt Romneys foreign policy Wishfulthinking

Live chart GOP smacked

The Nobel prize for physiology ormedicine Good eggs

5

67

8

910

101412 Asia Crony tigers divided dragons | The Economist

35wwweconomistcomnode21564408

Across emerging Asiapolitical concerns aboutrising inequality areprompting reform

Moreover inequality in China could be higher than the official statistics suggest becauserich people often understate their income and hide it from the taxman A lot of moneyis invested in property where soaring prices have reinforced inequality Wang Xiaoluof the China Reform Foundation caused a stir a couple of years ago with a study thattried to measure this ldquogreyrdquo income His results suggest that the income of the richest10 of urban Chinese is some 23 times that of the poorest 10 Official statistics saythe multiple is nine

Cronyism is the most obvious way in which Asian governments make inequality worsebut it is not the only one Broader government strategies have distorted countriesrsquogrowth paths in a manner that increased income gaps In India a big problem is the lackof job creation Unlike China where the surge in factories assembling goods for exportbrought millions of migrant workers into the formal urban labour force Indiarsquos formalworkforce has barely grown since 1991 More than 90 of Indians are still employed inthe informal sector Even in manufacturing most people toil in oneshyroom workshopsrather than big factories Productivity is lower workers find it hard to improve theirskills and their incomes rise more slowly

Indiarsquos failure to become a powerhouse of labourshyintensive manufacturing owes much toits appalling infrastructure Justshyinshytime delivery is hard to achieve when powersupplies are so precarious Another reason is the countryrsquos rigid labour laws whichdiscourage the formation of big firms Between the federal government and the statesIndia has around 200 different laws all setting detailed rules and making it virtuallyimpossible to fire people That deters employers from hiring workers and widens thegap between the lucky educated few and the rest

We know where you live

In China the regulations that contribute most to inequality are the remnants of thecountryrsquos hukou system of household registration This hails from Maorsquos era whenChinarsquos rural sector was punitively taxed to finance the development of heavy industryTo ensure a stable supply of workers in agriculture despite the appalling conditionspeople were barred from leaving their province of origin The restrictions on mobilitywere dismantled in the 1980s permitting millions to become migrant workers But theystill retain the rural hukou of their birth as do their children From housing toschooling this puts them at a big disadvantage compared with holders of urban hukou

Migrantsrsquo children must take the gaokao (the allshyimportant state collegeshyentrance exam)in their place of origin not where they and their parents might be living at the time solots of migrants send their children home for schooling Since education is financedlargely by local governments these schools tend to be less wellshyfunded and of lowerquality Hebei has far worse schools than Beijing In Shanghai municipality spendingper student in rural areas is only 50shy60 that of urban areas As a result the educationsystem reinforces income disparities rather than mitigating them

Along with disparities in infrastructure the hukou system is a big reason for Chinarsquosvast urbanshyrural gaps which explain about 45 of the countryrsquos overall inequalityOther Asian economies do not suffer from a hukou problem but there too governmentsocial policies have often made inequality worse because most social spending frompublic housing to health insurance has traditionally been confined to the formal urbanworkforce Moreover many Asian governments spend a lot on universal subsidiesespecially for energy These are highly regressive Indonesia for instance lavished34 of GDP on fuel and electricity subsidies last year more than it spent oninfrastructure According to the Asian Development Bank 40 of that largesse flowedto the richest 10 of Indonesian households and as much as 84 to the top half

Things are beginning to change Across emergingAsia political concerns about rising inequality areprompting reform often in ways that echo thechanges of the Progressive Era a century ago InChina the ldquoGreat Western Development Strategyrdquohas poured vast sums into infrastructure in thewestern provinces More recently the government has made a big effort to improverural social services Almost 100 of Chinarsquos rural population now have basic healthinsurance (including the villagers of Yianjiaping) and a majority have basic pensionsInequality between urban and rural areas has recently stabilised and that betweenregions has begun to fall slightly but from an extraordinarily high level

Stay informed today and every day

Get eshymail newslettersSubscribe to The Economists free eshymailnewsletters and alerts

Follow The Economist on TwitterSubscribe to The Economists latest articlepostings on Twitter

Follow The Economist on FacebookSee a selection of The Economists articlesevents topical videos and debates on Facebook

Advertisement

101412 Asia Crony tigers divided dragons | The Economist

45wwweconomistcomnode21564408

Various positions

Jobseconomistcom

Executive Director

Jobseconomistcom

Lord MayorrsquosPrivate Secretary

Jobseconomistcom

UndergraduateTeaching andLearninghellip

Jobseconomistcom

About The Economist Media directory Advertising info Staff books Career opportunities Subscribe Contact us Site index [+] Site Feedback

Classified ads

from the print edition | Special report

Recommend 15Submit toreddit

View all comments (1) Add your comment

More related topics

In the past couple of years several Asian economies from Thailand to Vietnam haveintroduced or expanded the reach of minimum wages Chinarsquos minimum wage whichis set at the provincial level rose by an average of 17 last year Some countries haveintroduced publicshywork schemes for the poorest Indiarsquos NREGA scheme for instanceguarantees 100 daysrsquo work a year to the countryrsquos rural households and now covers41m people Others have experimented with targeted subsidies to the very poorest thathave helped reduce inequality in Latin America (see article)

By introducing a more efficient and progressive social safety net Asiarsquos governmentswill go some way towards mitigating their growing income gaps But there will be nobig breakthroughs until the bigger problems of informality (in India) discriminationagainst migrants (China) and cronyism (everywhere) are dealt with And the longer thattakes the greater the danger that todayrsquos disparities will become entrenched

Thanks to remarkable economic growth almost all Asians are rapidly becoming betteroff In India old caste rigidities are being broken down (see article) But wideningincome gaps threaten to harm future social mobility Using a methodology developed atthe World Bank a study by Zhang Yingqiang and Tor Eriksson found that the rise inChinarsquos income inequality is mirrored by a rise in its inequality of opportunity Parentsrsquoincome and their type of employer explain about twoshythirds of Chinarsquos inequality ofopportunity a much bigger share than is explained by parental education

The stakes are high Yu Jiantuo of the China Development Research Foundation arguesthat Chinarsquos inequality is now hurting its growth prospects Sustained cronyism couldturn Asiarsquos big economies into entrenched oligarchies rather than dynamicmeritocracies Ironically in that sense they might become more like Latin America justas that continent appears to be moving in the opposite direction

Related items

Business India Economics

TweetTweet 6 ShareShare

TOPIC United States raquo

US election 2012 States of play

Productivity The importance of being urban

Frank Lloyd Wright and Japanese art Heavencloser to earth

TOPIC Beijing raquo

Chinese motorways The toll factor

Party congress Happening

Protests real and fake Of useful idiots and truebelievers

TOPIC Asia raquo

Letters On Chile productivity Vietnamsavings parenting cancer Barack Obama

Inequality and the world economy TrueProgressivism

Making peace in the Philippines Jam to Moros

TOPIC China raquo

Chinese literature Do Nobels oblige

Business this week

Policy prescriptions A True Progressivism

Like 18

101412 Asia Crony tigers divided dragons | The Economist

55wwweconomistcomnode21564408

Copyright copy The Economist Newspaper Limited 2012 All rights reserved Accessibility Privacy policy Cookies info Terms of use Help

Page 3: Crony tigers, divided dragons - SSCC - Home

101412 Asia Crony tigers divided dragons | The Economist

35wwweconomistcomnode21564408

Across emerging Asiapolitical concerns aboutrising inequality areprompting reform

Moreover inequality in China could be higher than the official statistics suggest becauserich people often understate their income and hide it from the taxman A lot of moneyis invested in property where soaring prices have reinforced inequality Wang Xiaoluof the China Reform Foundation caused a stir a couple of years ago with a study thattried to measure this ldquogreyrdquo income His results suggest that the income of the richest10 of urban Chinese is some 23 times that of the poorest 10 Official statistics saythe multiple is nine

Cronyism is the most obvious way in which Asian governments make inequality worsebut it is not the only one Broader government strategies have distorted countriesrsquogrowth paths in a manner that increased income gaps In India a big problem is the lackof job creation Unlike China where the surge in factories assembling goods for exportbrought millions of migrant workers into the formal urban labour force Indiarsquos formalworkforce has barely grown since 1991 More than 90 of Indians are still employed inthe informal sector Even in manufacturing most people toil in oneshyroom workshopsrather than big factories Productivity is lower workers find it hard to improve theirskills and their incomes rise more slowly

Indiarsquos failure to become a powerhouse of labourshyintensive manufacturing owes much toits appalling infrastructure Justshyinshytime delivery is hard to achieve when powersupplies are so precarious Another reason is the countryrsquos rigid labour laws whichdiscourage the formation of big firms Between the federal government and the statesIndia has around 200 different laws all setting detailed rules and making it virtuallyimpossible to fire people That deters employers from hiring workers and widens thegap between the lucky educated few and the rest

We know where you live

In China the regulations that contribute most to inequality are the remnants of thecountryrsquos hukou system of household registration This hails from Maorsquos era whenChinarsquos rural sector was punitively taxed to finance the development of heavy industryTo ensure a stable supply of workers in agriculture despite the appalling conditionspeople were barred from leaving their province of origin The restrictions on mobilitywere dismantled in the 1980s permitting millions to become migrant workers But theystill retain the rural hukou of their birth as do their children From housing toschooling this puts them at a big disadvantage compared with holders of urban hukou

Migrantsrsquo children must take the gaokao (the allshyimportant state collegeshyentrance exam)in their place of origin not where they and their parents might be living at the time solots of migrants send their children home for schooling Since education is financedlargely by local governments these schools tend to be less wellshyfunded and of lowerquality Hebei has far worse schools than Beijing In Shanghai municipality spendingper student in rural areas is only 50shy60 that of urban areas As a result the educationsystem reinforces income disparities rather than mitigating them

Along with disparities in infrastructure the hukou system is a big reason for Chinarsquosvast urbanshyrural gaps which explain about 45 of the countryrsquos overall inequalityOther Asian economies do not suffer from a hukou problem but there too governmentsocial policies have often made inequality worse because most social spending frompublic housing to health insurance has traditionally been confined to the formal urbanworkforce Moreover many Asian governments spend a lot on universal subsidiesespecially for energy These are highly regressive Indonesia for instance lavished34 of GDP on fuel and electricity subsidies last year more than it spent oninfrastructure According to the Asian Development Bank 40 of that largesse flowedto the richest 10 of Indonesian households and as much as 84 to the top half

Things are beginning to change Across emergingAsia political concerns about rising inequality areprompting reform often in ways that echo thechanges of the Progressive Era a century ago InChina the ldquoGreat Western Development Strategyrdquohas poured vast sums into infrastructure in thewestern provinces More recently the government has made a big effort to improverural social services Almost 100 of Chinarsquos rural population now have basic healthinsurance (including the villagers of Yianjiaping) and a majority have basic pensionsInequality between urban and rural areas has recently stabilised and that betweenregions has begun to fall slightly but from an extraordinarily high level

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101412 Asia Crony tigers divided dragons | The Economist

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In the past couple of years several Asian economies from Thailand to Vietnam haveintroduced or expanded the reach of minimum wages Chinarsquos minimum wage whichis set at the provincial level rose by an average of 17 last year Some countries haveintroduced publicshywork schemes for the poorest Indiarsquos NREGA scheme for instanceguarantees 100 daysrsquo work a year to the countryrsquos rural households and now covers41m people Others have experimented with targeted subsidies to the very poorest thathave helped reduce inequality in Latin America (see article)

By introducing a more efficient and progressive social safety net Asiarsquos governmentswill go some way towards mitigating their growing income gaps But there will be nobig breakthroughs until the bigger problems of informality (in India) discriminationagainst migrants (China) and cronyism (everywhere) are dealt with And the longer thattakes the greater the danger that todayrsquos disparities will become entrenched

Thanks to remarkable economic growth almost all Asians are rapidly becoming betteroff In India old caste rigidities are being broken down (see article) But wideningincome gaps threaten to harm future social mobility Using a methodology developed atthe World Bank a study by Zhang Yingqiang and Tor Eriksson found that the rise inChinarsquos income inequality is mirrored by a rise in its inequality of opportunity Parentsrsquoincome and their type of employer explain about twoshythirds of Chinarsquos inequality ofopportunity a much bigger share than is explained by parental education

The stakes are high Yu Jiantuo of the China Development Research Foundation arguesthat Chinarsquos inequality is now hurting its growth prospects Sustained cronyism couldturn Asiarsquos big economies into entrenched oligarchies rather than dynamicmeritocracies Ironically in that sense they might become more like Latin America justas that continent appears to be moving in the opposite direction

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101412 Asia Crony tigers divided dragons | The Economist

55wwweconomistcomnode21564408

Copyright copy The Economist Newspaper Limited 2012 All rights reserved Accessibility Privacy policy Cookies info Terms of use Help

Page 4: Crony tigers, divided dragons - SSCC - Home

101412 Asia Crony tigers divided dragons | The Economist

45wwweconomistcomnode21564408

Various positions

Jobseconomistcom

Executive Director

Jobseconomistcom

Lord MayorrsquosPrivate Secretary

Jobseconomistcom

UndergraduateTeaching andLearninghellip

Jobseconomistcom

About The Economist Media directory Advertising info Staff books Career opportunities Subscribe Contact us Site index [+] Site Feedback

Classified ads

from the print edition | Special report

Recommend 15Submit toreddit

View all comments (1) Add your comment

More related topics

In the past couple of years several Asian economies from Thailand to Vietnam haveintroduced or expanded the reach of minimum wages Chinarsquos minimum wage whichis set at the provincial level rose by an average of 17 last year Some countries haveintroduced publicshywork schemes for the poorest Indiarsquos NREGA scheme for instanceguarantees 100 daysrsquo work a year to the countryrsquos rural households and now covers41m people Others have experimented with targeted subsidies to the very poorest thathave helped reduce inequality in Latin America (see article)

By introducing a more efficient and progressive social safety net Asiarsquos governmentswill go some way towards mitigating their growing income gaps But there will be nobig breakthroughs until the bigger problems of informality (in India) discriminationagainst migrants (China) and cronyism (everywhere) are dealt with And the longer thattakes the greater the danger that todayrsquos disparities will become entrenched

Thanks to remarkable economic growth almost all Asians are rapidly becoming betteroff In India old caste rigidities are being broken down (see article) But wideningincome gaps threaten to harm future social mobility Using a methodology developed atthe World Bank a study by Zhang Yingqiang and Tor Eriksson found that the rise inChinarsquos income inequality is mirrored by a rise in its inequality of opportunity Parentsrsquoincome and their type of employer explain about twoshythirds of Chinarsquos inequality ofopportunity a much bigger share than is explained by parental education

The stakes are high Yu Jiantuo of the China Development Research Foundation arguesthat Chinarsquos inequality is now hurting its growth prospects Sustained cronyism couldturn Asiarsquos big economies into entrenched oligarchies rather than dynamicmeritocracies Ironically in that sense they might become more like Latin America justas that continent appears to be moving in the opposite direction

Related items

Business India Economics

TweetTweet 6 ShareShare

TOPIC United States raquo

US election 2012 States of play

Productivity The importance of being urban

Frank Lloyd Wright and Japanese art Heavencloser to earth

TOPIC Beijing raquo

Chinese motorways The toll factor

Party congress Happening

Protests real and fake Of useful idiots and truebelievers

TOPIC Asia raquo

Letters On Chile productivity Vietnamsavings parenting cancer Barack Obama

Inequality and the world economy TrueProgressivism

Making peace in the Philippines Jam to Moros

TOPIC China raquo

Chinese literature Do Nobels oblige

Business this week

Policy prescriptions A True Progressivism

Like 18

101412 Asia Crony tigers divided dragons | The Economist

55wwweconomistcomnode21564408

Copyright copy The Economist Newspaper Limited 2012 All rights reserved Accessibility Privacy policy Cookies info Terms of use Help

Page 5: Crony tigers, divided dragons - SSCC - Home

101412 Asia Crony tigers divided dragons | The Economist

55wwweconomistcomnode21564408

Copyright copy The Economist Newspaper Limited 2012 All rights reserved Accessibility Privacy policy Cookies info Terms of use Help