Daily Trade Journal - 17.04.2013

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  • 7/28/2019 Daily Trade Journal - 17.04.2013

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    p

    p

    Today's Turnover (LKR mn)

    Annual Average Daily Turnover (LKR mn)

    Volume (mn)

    Annual Average Daily Volume (mn)

    Market Capitalization (LKR bn)

    Net Foreign Inflow / (Outflow) [LKR mn]

    - Foreign Buying (LKR mn)

    - Foreign Selling (LKR mn)

    YTD Net Foreign Inflow / (Outflow) [LKR bn]

    4.0%

    9.0%

    ASPI

    S&P SL 20 Index

    + 15.85

    + 10.42

    5,868.53

    3,361.99

    ASPI

    Wednesday, April 17, 2013

    805.0

    % ChangePoint ChangeToday

    31.9

    610.7

    0.27 %

    0.31 %

    2,248.3

    YTD Performance

    S&P SL 20 Index

    38.4

    43.7

    7.0

    126.1

    82.4

    Level 23, East Tower, World Trade Centre,

    Colombo 01

    Tel: +94 11 727 7000,

    Fax: +94 11 727 7099

    Email: [email protected]

    CSE Diary for 17.04.2013Bourse extends gains on a positive outlook: The

    benchmark index extended its gains today on a

    highly positive sentiment in the early trading session.

    However in the mid trading and late trading the

    market wandered on a consolidation phase while

    retaining its earlier gain reflecting a formation of a

    technically called doji pattern. ASPI gained 16points to close at 5,868.53. Gains recorded on

    Distilleries Company (+2.8%), DFCC Bank (+2.4%)

    and Commercial Leasing and Finance (+2.1%)

    mirrored on the positive performance of the index.John Keells spearheads turnover: John Keells

    Holdings strongly contributed to the daily turnover

    with a single off-board block of 174k shares which

    was crossed off at a price of LKR249.0. The counter

    also demonstrated heavy on board retail

    participation pushing the price towards theLKR250.0 psychological barrier. JKH closed at

    LKR248.60 ending marginally flat. Ceylon Tobacco

    Company and Hayleys highlighted the crossing

    boards with the former recording a single block of

    50k shares at LKR800.0 and the latter also posting a

    single crossing of 100k shares at LKR295.0.BFI sector dominates turnover let by NTB: BFI sector

    continued to attract notable investor interest led by

    Nations Trust Bank. The counter displayed heavy

    on-board interest with notable retail participationand denoting two large on-board blocks of 336k

    shares and 128k shares transacted at prices LKR63.0

    and LKR62.0 respectively. NTB closed at LKR62.90,

    up 3.6%. National Development Bank, and

    Commercial Bank too attracted heavy investor

    interest with intra-day gains of 1.5% and 0.3%.

    Retail activity centered on penny stocks: Retail

    counters witnessed notable small-investor

    participation with counters Blue Diamonds Non-

    voting, FLC Holdings and Muller and Phippsdemonstrating heavy trading.

    Positive momentum w ithturnover centered on JKH andBFI sector

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    Statistical Look Up

    Treasury Bill (%) 12.04.2013

    9.25

    10.25

    11.35

    13.74

    Inflation (%) Mar-13 7.5

    8.8

    All Share Price Index p

    S&P SL20 Index p

    Turnover (LKR mn)

    Turnover (USD mn)Volume (mn shares)

    Traded Entities

    Market Capitalization (LKR bn)

    Foreign Purchases (LKR mn)

    Foreign Sales (LKR mn)

    Net Foreign Inflow (LKR mn)

    Market PER (X)

    Market PBV (X)

    Market Dividend Yield

    SECTOR INDICES

    Banks, Finance & Insurance p

    Beverage, Food & Tobacco p

    Construction & Engineering p

    Diversified p

    Healthcare p

    Hotels & Travels p

    Land & Property p

    Manufacturing p

    Plantation q

    Telecom p

    612.4 609.0 0.56% 589.3 3.93%

    808.8 822.0 -1.60% 812.6 -0.47%

    2,571.8

    3,385.0

    0.25%

    3,402.9

    502.2

    0.83%2,595.2

    3 months

    6 months

    12 months

    YoY Change

    Annual Avg

    AWPLR

    Excess Liquidity (LKR 'bn) as at 17.04.2013

    Today

    -25.75

    171.5

    2.3

    2,616.9

    16,380.4

    2,727.7

    1,924.8

    13,587.8

    Pre Day

    0.00%

    171.5 171.00.00%

    13,328.5

    16,365.1

    1,921.4

    3,387.8

    501.0

    0.45%

    2,679.5

    1,904.0

    0.70%

    0.09%

    0.73%

    0.18%

    2,707.8

    16,240.1

    493.1

    1,333.4

    695.7

    637.6

    Change %

    5,852.7

    3,351.6

    2.3

    0.27% 15.7

    Pre Day

    Week ending

    1.80%

    126.57%

    2.69%

    1.28%

    1.19%

    1.28%

    223

    2,219.8

    5,794.3

    3,322.5

    14.1

    1.28%

    0.00%

    0.31%

    2,248.3

    2.3

    126.1

    -61.35%

    -61.35%-50.67%

    0.88%

    4.931.9

    229

    3,362.0

    1,579.9

    12.6

    227

    610.7

    0.27%

    -90.54%

    -88.16%

    Today

    43.7

    2.2

    82.4

    15.9

    5,868.5

    2,242.2

    64.6

    97.39%

    97.39%

    % WoW

    ChangeLast Week

    309.4

    2.5

    1.95%

    0.86%

    0.27%

    0.29%

    1.09%

    0.53%

    1.85%

    % WoW

    ChangeLast Week

    1.28%

    232.72%

    211.21%

    282.51%

    37.9

    1.75%

    2.1

    26.5

    11.4

    13,493.1

    % Change

    0.27%2.2

    -93.14%

    15.8

    5600

    5650

    5700

    5750

    5800

    5850

    5900

    Index

    ASPI

    3200

    3250

    3300

    3350

    3400

    Index

    S&P SL20

    0.0

    50.0

    100.0

    150.0

    200.0

    0

    500

    1,000

    1,500

    2,000

    2,500

    Volume('mn)

    TurnoverLKR('mn)

    Turnover Volume

    Softlogic Equity Research Page | 2.

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    High Index Calibre USD350 Mn

    Price Gainers Price Losers

    Top 05 Performers for the Day

    JKH

    NATIONS TRUST

    CEYLON TOBACCO

    NAT. DEV. BANK

    HAYLEYS

    Most Active

    3.10 + 0.50 19.23% HAPUGASTENNE 33.40 - 5.00 -13.02%

    -6.90%

    -8.06%

    -9.10%

    -8.70%

    29.00

    4.00

    5.50

    + 3.00

    3.10

    Today Pre Day

    1.60

    2.90

    1.60

    + 0.20

    DISTILLERIES

    101,380

    113,739

    BLUE DIAMONDS[NON VOTING] 1.70

    Company

    2,957

    52,853

    360

    LAXAPANA

    ENVI. RESOURCES [W0003]

    Company Today

    1.5%

    ASIA CAPITAL

    CITRUS LEISURE [W0019]

    211,616

    14,936.59

    54.93

    50,241 40,190.62

    1.4%

    Change

    1.50

    Company% of

    Mkt CapVolume

    807.91

    19.23%

    4.17%

    62.90

    -0.48%

    1.6%

    2.5%

    Change

    - 200.10

    - 0.40

    - 2.00

    - 3.90

    % Change

    219.00

    167.90

    292.90

    793.90

    RADIANT GEMS

    + 0.50

    HARISCHANDRA

    70.00

    147.90

    1,765.40

    114.20

    450.001,770.00

    19,110.76

    493.59

    4.0%

    2.2%

    1.2%

    106

    83,529

    109,373

    793

    4.2%

    170.00

    56.50

    3.4%

    168.00

    55.40

    450.00

    3.5%

    320.58

    1,763.00

    114.50

    95.22

    9.20

    LOLC

    AITKEN SPENCE 120.10

    2.2% 3.94

    1,153.75

    176.00

    1.351,775.58

    0.0114.16

    450.00

    720.00

    9.40

    JOHN KEELLS HOLDINGS 406,998

    SAMPATH BANK

    ASIAN HOTELS & PROPERTIES 208

    1.7%

    31,004

    26,804

    9.5%

    6.6%CEYLON TOBACCO

    CARSON CUMBERBATCHNESTLE LANKA

    SRI LANKA TELECOM

    COMMERCIAL BANK [V]

    3.9%

    3.2%BUKIT DARAH

    DIALOG AXIATA

    HNB [V]

    DFCC BANK

    CARGILLS

    Turnover

    USD ('000)

    2,000.0015.38%

    Intraday

    Low (LKR)

    Turnover

    LKR ('000)

    24,180.70

    2,942.02

    192.88

    0.60

    790.00

    101,287.42

    Intraday

    High (LKR)

    249.00

    0.76

    142.10

    216.00

    120.00

    164.00

    43.10

    9.20

    % Change

    14.56

    152.44

    74.87

    776.85

    23.47

    Today

    11.54%

    Turnover

    (LKR)

    152.50

    6.20

    0.44

    113.50

    55.00

    152.50

    43.00

    24,753.44

    70.00

    217.20

    173.00

    43.00

    705.30

    70.00

    22.80

    52.60

    TodayCompany

    153.00

    KURUWITA TEXTILE

    4.20

    197.44

    0.12

    7,866,440

    2,796,566

    119.14

    CEYLON LEATHER [W0014]

    TAPROBANE

    Pre Day

    0.04%248.50 4.5%0.41

    Volume (mn)% Change

    14.29%

    + 0.70 14.58%

    248.60

    CompanyContribution to

    Total T/O

    149.00

    0.1%

    0.2%

    1.64

    3.02

    2.72

    2.40

    3.62%60.70

    0.05

    0.231.49%

    1.42

    6.25%

    0.00%

    6.25%

    1.8%

    1.3%

    0.3%

    Contribution to

    Total T/O

    3,476,724

    2.56%

    2.60

    RAIGAM SALTERNS 2.50

    790.10

    170.40

    300.40

    MULLERS 1.70

    FREE LANKA 2.90

    % Change

    CITRUS LEISURE[WARRANTS]

    101,287,424

    39,647,211

    29,750,255

    74,567,016

    40,190,625

    1.50

    1.19

    0.10

    0.2% 4,468,049

    5,144,553

    3.3%

    Volume (mn)

    0.2%

    Turnover

    (LKR)

    1.8%

    173.80

    120.00

    705.60

    9.30

    799.80

    Close

    248.60

    790.10

    248.50

    Softlogic Equity Research Page | 3.

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    Currency Board Announcements

    Local - Indicative Rate against LKR Dividends

    Dollar No Announcements

    Yuan 0

    Euro 0

    Rupee 0

    Yen 0

    Ringgit 0

    Rouble 0

    Riyal 0

    Dollar Rights Issues / Scrip Dividend / Sub division / Capitalization

    Franc Company

    Baht No Announcements

    Pound 0

    Dollar 0Source: www.cbsl.gov.lk

    Global Markets

    p

    p

    q

    q

    p

    q

    * Time is as at ET Source: www.bloomberg.com

    Commodit Markets

    Crude Oil (Brent) q

    Crude Oil (WTI) q

    ICE Cotton #2 p

    CBOT Wheat p

    COMEX Gold q

    COMEX Silver q

    COMEX Copper q

    * Time is as at ET Source: www.bloomberg.com

    Australia

    1,373.80 -13.50

    METALS

    ENERGY

    Commodity

    21,569.7

    Units

    0

    -34.8

    Proportion

    00-Jan-00

    00-Jan-00

    0.00

    0.00

    1.08%

    1.43%

    157.6

    Russia

    Saudi Arabia

    Japan

    322.60

    USD/t oz.

    USD/t oz. -0.57

    708.00

    -9.90

    23.10

    Index

    Dow Jones Industrial Average

    S&P 500 Index

    EUROPE

    EURO STOXX 50 Price EUR

    13,382.9

    Value

    14,756.8

    1,574.6

    USD/bbl.

    USd/lb.

    USd/lb.

    AMERICA

    0.50

    22.2

    Change

    0.42%0.41

    0

    -1.02

    Change %

    -2.93%

    Change %

    0.04%

    -2.04%

    -0.86%

    -1.33%

    1.22%

    -0.47%

    -0.81%

    07:45

    07:21

    07:31

    16-Apr

    16-Apr

    07:35

    07:35

    Time*

    14:29

    07:45

    07:26

    -0.77%

    07:25

    Company

    00-Jan-00

    1/0/1900

    1/0/1900

    6,256.7

    Singapore

    Switzerland

    Thailand

    UK

    -0.86

    -102.4

    0

    2,574.3

    135.87

    1/0/1900

    1/0/1900

    4.33

    USA

    02:28

    -46.1

    1/0/1900

    Change

    -1.34%

    161.5

    04:01

    0

    Payment DateDPS (LKR) XD Date

    192.59

    0.00

    0.00 0

    0

    125.37

    0.0033.43

    Malaysia

    4.01

    130.00

    20.30

    2.32

    1.28

    41.38

    India

    Currency

    165.23

    Indicative Rate

    17.04.2013

    China

    0

    USd/bu.

    85.83

    Price

    100.39

    87.71

    USD/bbl.

    101.72

    AGRICULTURE

    Hong Kong Hang Seng Index

    Nikkei 225

    ASIA

    FTSE 100 Index

    EU

    00-Jan-00

    1/0/1900

    1/0/1900

    00-Jan-00

    Description

    0.00

    0.00

    0 1/0/1900

    0

    XR Date

    00-Jan-00

    00-Jan-00

    00-Jan-0000-Jan-00

    Renunciation

    00-Jan-00

    0.00

    Time*

    00-Jan-00

    Softlogic Equity Research Page | 4.

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    Softlogic Equity Research Page | 5

    CSE Announcements

    Dealing by Directors:

    Local News

    Sri Lanka power tariffs raised: Sri Lanka's power regulator has approved a tariff request by state-run CeylonElectricity Board denying a request to reduce tariffs of large domestic users, after earlier cutting of LKR40 bn

    in estimated costs. Under the new tariffs a proposal to charge domestic users by the highest rated block

    instead of differently priced slabs, which ran into stiff opposition at a public hearing had also been approved.

    Low user, domestic users had been the most highly subsidized users along with religions categories, industry

    and government offices. The regulator denied a request by the CEB to reduce the tariff of large domesticusers to LKR32 above 900 units a month and has maintained a rate of 34 plus 40% fuel surcharge. Other

    tariff requests to general purpose, government, religious and industry had been approved. The regulator has

    imposed a series of conditions on the CEB.

    [Source: www.lbo.lk]

    Sri Lanka should be less dependent on foreign borrowings: Central Bank: Sri Lanka should depend less onforeign capital to bridge a savings investment gap, to make the economy more resilient to external shocks,

    the Central Bank has said. Sri Lanka had an investment ratio of 30.6 percent of Gross Domestic Product in

    2012 but domestic savings were only 17%. National savings were higher at 24% mostly due to remittance

    flows. "We should increase domestic savings,"Central Bank Governor Nivard Cabraal said at the release of

    the bank's annual report on the economy for 2012. "By 2016 we hope to generate resources for investmentsdomestically." The Central Bank is projecting investments to rise to 33% of GDP by 2016 and domestic

    savings to 28.4%. National savings which include remittances are projected to rise to 34.2%. "Also, foreign

    capital may be used to partly bridge the savings-investment gap, yet, it may not necessarily constitute a

    perfect substitute for domestic savings, because of the external finance premium attached to it,"the Central

    Bank said. "Hence, over the long term, increasing the economys potential income by improving productivity

    of capital may yield sustainable outcomes. Further, for the corporate sector, financing investments from

    external sources may not be difficult in good times, but the possibility of a reversal in capital inflows could

    create economic vulnerabilities"

    [Source: www.lbo.lk]

    Sri Lanka Treasuries yield steady: Sri Lanka's Treasuries yields eased 01 basis point across maturities atWednesday's auction with the 12-month yield at 11.34% the state debt office said. The 3-month yield was

    down 01 basis point at 9.24% and the six month yield was 10.24% also down 01 basis point. The debt office

    which is a unit of the Central Bank offered LKR8.0 bn of maturing debt for roll-over and sold LKR14.0 bn in

    bills.

    Company Name Relationship Transaction Quantity Price (LKR) Date

    Singalanka Standard Chemicals [SING: LKR65.0] K. G. Plastics (Private) Ltd Common Director Sale 171,720 55.0-58.0 12.04.13

    Singalanka Standard Chemicals [SING: LKR65.0] Best Real Invest Co. Serv ices (Pvt) Ltd Common Director Purchase 275,000 55.0 17.04.13

    Singalanka Standard Chemicals [SING: LKR65.0] Penpals (Pvt) Ltd Common Director Sale 716,168 55.0-55.2 12.04.13

    Singalanka Standard Chemicals [SING: LKR65.0] Photo Kina (Private) Ltd Common Director Sale 129,840 55.0-56.0 12.04.13

    Singalanka Standard Chemicals [SING: LKR65.0] Cinemas (Pvt) Ltd Common Director Sale 162,320 55.0-55.1 12.04.13

    Singalanka Standard Chemicals [SING: LKR65.0] Paper Containers (Private) Ltd Common Director Sale 59,253 55.0 12.04.13Singalanka Standard Chemicals [SING: LKR65.0] Mr. K.C Vignarajah Director Purchase 275,000 55.0 12.04.13

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    Softlogic Equity Research Page | 6

    [Source: www.lbo.lk]

    Global economy to grow 3.3-pct led by US, emerging economies: IMF, The global economy will grow 3.3% in2013 with the United States growing 1.9%, emerging and developing nations growing 5.3% and the Euro area

    contracting 0.3%, the International Monetary Fund has said. "What was until now a two-speed recovery,

    strong in emerging market and developing economies but weaker in advanced economies, is becoming a

    three-speed recovery,"IMF economic counsellor Olivier Blanchard said in the agency's April World Economic

    Outlook. "Emerging market and developing economies are still going strong, but in advanced economies,

    there appears to be a growing bifurcation between the United States on one hand and the euro area on the

    other."

    [Source: www.lbo.lk]

    Sri Lanka central bank may buy gold: CB Governor: Sri Lanka's central bank, an active trader in gold whichcut its holdings last year may buy into gold, now that it is falling, Central Bank Governor Nivard Cabraal has

    said. "Overall, gold prices coming down is giving an opportunity to various central banks across the world to

    improve on their holdings,"Cabraal told Bloomberg television in an interview. "An opportunity that provides

    us with space to purchase a little more quantities and hold in our own reserves would be an interesting one."

    Sri Lanka's central bank which had as much as 16 tonnes of gold by mid 2011 has gradually sold down its

    stock, helping boost returns on its reserve assets and central bank profits. By the end of 2011 its gold stock

    was down to 9.98 tonnes and by end 2012 it was down to 3.6 tonnes, according to World Gold Council data.

    During the last credit bubble that ended in 2008 gold went up to around 1,300 dollars an ounce, fell to 900

    and climbed back to 1,800 dollars an ounce amid quantity easing by the Fed and other central banks. Now

    gold has tumbled to about 1375 dollars an ounce and oil and other commodity prices are also falling.

    [Source: www.lbo.lk]

    Global News

    UK unemployment rises to 2.56 million: UK unemployment rose by 70,000 to 2.56 million betweenDecember and February, the Office for National Statistics (ONS) has said. It meant the unemployment rate

    for the quarter was 7.9%. The number of people claiming Jobseeker's Allowance last month fell by 7,000 to

    1.53 million. Also, the ONS said average regular pay, excluding bonuses, rose 1%, the lowest since records

    began more than a decade ago. The number of people in work fell by 2,000 in the latest quarter to February,

    to just under 30 million, the first time the figure has dipped since autumn 2011.

    [Source: www.cnn.com]

    India Gains as Gold Plunge Boosts Scope for Rate Cuts: The gold rout may narrow Indias record current-account deficit, easing pressure on the rupee, damping inflation and boosting scope for a further reduction

    in interest rates. Gold purchases account for more than two-thirds of the deficit, which reached USD32.6 bn

    in the quarter ended Dec. 31, according to the Reserve Bank of India. The metals 18% plunge in 2013 could

    help cut import costs by almost USD7 bn in the 12 months ending March 2014, Barclays Plc said. Indias

    finance minister is visiting North America to woo investors as a slide in foreign direct investment increases

    reliance on more volatile stock and bond inflows to fund the trade imbalance. The shortfall, along with price

    pressures, has restricted the central bank to a 50 basis-point rate reduction this year even with economic

    expansion at a decade low.

    [Source: www.bloomberg.com]

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    Softlogic Equity Research Page | 7

    Softlogic Equity ResearchDimantha Mathew

    [email protected]

    +94 11 7277030

    Kavindu Ranasinghe

    [email protected]

    +94 11 7277031

    Imalka Hettiarachchi

    [email protected]

    +94 11 7277032

    Softlogic Equity SalesBranches

    Horana

    Madushanka Rathnayaka

    No. 101, 1/1, Aguruwathota Road, Horana

    [email protected]

    +94 34 7451000, +94 77 3566465

    NegamboKrishan Williams

    No. 121, St. Joseph Street Negambo

    [email protected]

    +94 31 2224714-5, +94 77 3569827

    Kurunegala

    Bandula Lansakara

    No.13, Rajapihilla Mawatha, Kurunegala

    [email protected]

    +94 37 2232875, +94 77 3615790

    Matara

    Lalith Rajapaksha

    No.8A, 2nd

    Floor, FN Building, Station Road, Matara

    [email protected]

    +94 41 7451000, +94 77 3031159

    Dihan Dedigama

    [email protected]

    +94 11 7277010, +94 77 7689933

    Chandima Kariyawasam

    [email protected]

    +94 11 7277058, +94 77 7885778

    Sonali Abayasekera

    [email protected]

    +94 11 7277051, +94 77 7736059

    Thanuja De Silva

    [email protected]

    +94 11 7277059, +94 77 3120018

    The report has been prepared by Softlogic Stockbrokers (Pvt) Ltd. The information and opinions contained herein has been compiled or arrived at based upon

    information obtained from sources believed to be reliable and in good faith. Such information has not been independently verified and no guaranty, representation

    or warranty, express or implied is made as to its accuracy, completeness or correctness. All such information and opinions ar e subject to change without notice. This

    document is for information purposes only, descriptions of any company or companies or their securities mentioned herein are not intended to be complete and

    this document is not, and should not be construed as, an offer, or solicitation of an offer, to buy or s ell any securities or other financial instruments.

    Softlogic Stockbrokers (Pvt) Ltd may, to the extent permissible by applicable law or regulation, use the above material, conclusions, research or analysis in which

    they are based before the materialized disseminated to their customeLKRNot all customers will receive the material at the same time. Softlogic Stockbrokers, their

    respective directors, officers, representatives, employees, related persons and/or Softlogic Stockbrokers, may have a long or short position in any of the securities or

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