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© 2009-2012, Smart Wave Education No part of this presentation shall be copied, reproduced, shared or transmitted without the prior approval of the author Learn Connect Collaborate Succeed HR Analytics Session 1: Introduction

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  • 2009-2012, Smart Wave Education

    No part of this presentation shall be copied, reproduced, shared or transmitted without the prior approval of the author

    Learn Connect Collaborate Succeed

    HR Analytics

    Session 1: Introduction

  • Nurturing leaders of tomorrow

    Why are we here?

    Your expectations from the program

  • Nurturing leaders of tomorrow

    "Numbers, their use, which ones, and how to capture them have always fascinated me"

    -John Buchanan, Coach of Australian Cricket Team

    What does 100% strike rate mean?

  • Nurturing leaders of tomorrow

    What does 100% strike rate mean?

    100% tells us very little. I wish to know out of those 100 balls, how many does he actually use?

    Our intention is not to increase a players' run rate, but the number of balls they scored from

    So, we discussed what kind of existing shots the players had that he was comfortable with?

    Whether they could use those shots to different balls?We looked at periods of the game or bowling types when

    there were more balls which he wasn't scoring?Whether he could develop new shots in their repertoire?

  • Nurturing leaders of tomorrow

    What does 100% strike rate mean?How do we take this example to HR issues?

    What does 1% increase in EE mean? What is the duration of impact of an EE

    initiative? What does 1st division with 5 year

    experience mean? Does the incentive scheme affect sales?

    How does EE affect Store Performance ? Factors affecting Store Performance ? Factors affecting EE? Is there a relationship? How many types of data required?

  • Nurturing leaders of tomorrow

    List 3 HR metrics used in your firm

    For each functional area

  • Nurturing leaders of tomorrow

    List 3 HR metrics used in your firm

    What are the challenges associated with these metrics / implementation?

  • Nurturing leaders of tomorrow

    The new Finance Director, is spending the morning with two of her most senior team.

    She pulls down the current management accounts and her expert eye scans through the figures, taking in the pattern to review trends and spot any anomalies.

    She knows that her first Board meeting is on Friday and it is important that she provides an authoritative grasp of the companys financial position.

    So every now and again she asks for more information and one of her colleagues at the PC clicks a button to drill down into more detailed analysis by region, by product to interrogate the data and highlight specific issues.

    After four hours she congratulates her colleagues on their good work, impressed with the speed and efficiency with which theyve worked.

    The HR Director knows that on Friday there is a planned Management Review.

    Although there is no great pressure he still wants to make a strong impression.

    By Monday afternoon, however he is worried. The trouble is there is no data!

    There is no financial equivalent of the succession plan. Instead his PA has pulled out a few charts dated from last year. Glancing at it he sees that the structure is hopelessly out of date and that many of the candidates named as potential successors have either left or been moved sideways.

    Could we pull down the data for the top 100 execs? he asks. She disappears to return 30 minutes later, holding armfuls of folders.

    This is mainly CV stuff, but I do know that the execs went through an individual assessment exercise. The trouble is I dont know where the reports ended up.

    Monday - A tale of 2 Directors

  • Nurturing leaders of tomorrow

    Why are we here?

    To get familiar with key developments in following areas of HR:

    Evidence based HR

    How HR can emerge as TALENT DECISION SCIENCE

    Enable HR to emerge as a strategic partner

  • Nurturing leaders of tomorrow

    Program Outline Fundamental HR Metrics

    Criteria for Metrics selection linking metrics to business goalsAssessment of Metrics based on business alignmentAssessing Metrics based on quality and feasibilityMetrics PrioritizationSelecting : Key Strategic Measures , Key Functional Measures and Impact metrics, HR DashboardsTypes of HR dashboards,Crafting the HR Dashboard for your business environmentImplementing new HR dashboards in your organizationCase studies HR Data Analysis in MS ExcelData Handling, Sampling, Collection and Presentation,Questionnaires, surveys and Interviewsusing graphical and numerical techniques like statistical and probability theory, hypothesis testing, variance analysis, Predictive ModelingUse of Analytical Tools for determination of cause-effect relationship, regression, multiple regressions, cluster analysis, factor analysis,Computer aided Research in HR

  • Nurturing leaders of tomorrow

    New Methods

    Big Data

    Predictive Analytics

    Collaborative BI

    Moores Law of Information?

  • Nurturing leaders of tomorrow

    MIT Study: The New Intelligent Enterprise, 2010

    Users of Predictive Analytics

    Top 5 Industries

    Insurance

    Healthcare

    IT/ITES

    Financial Services

    Retail

    Top 5 Functions

    Finance

    Strategy

    Operations

    Marketing

    R&D

  • Nurturing leaders of tomorrow

    MIT Study: The New Intelligent Enterprise, 2010

    Use of Predictive Analytics

  • Nurturing leaders of tomorrow

    Teams score on average once every 180 possession of the ball; this is near constant for any division of English football

    and the World Cup

    Two-thirds goal comes from possessions gained in the other half of the field

    - Neil Lanham, Soccernomics

    Predictive Analytics

  • Nurturing leaders of tomorrow

    HR CHALLENGES

    Cost of absenteeism

    Cost of employee separations (turnover)

    Employee health, wellness, and welfare

    Employee attitudes and engagement

    Financial effects of work-life programs

    Staffing utility

    Economic value of job performance

    Payoff of enhanced selection

    Costs and benefits of HR development programs

    Talent-investment analysis

    Cascio & Boudreau have developed an excellent and comprehensive list of ways to use analytics to address and improve these talent-related issues

    Cascio, Wayne & Boudreau, John, Investing in People: Financial Impact of Human Resource Initiatives

  • 2009-2012, Smart Wave Education

    No part of this presentation shall be copied, reproduced, shared or transmitted without the prior approval of the author

    Learn Connect Collaborate Succeed

    HR Analytics

    Session 2: Evidence based HRM

  • Nurturing leaders of tomorrow

    How the role of HR is changing

  • Nurturing leaders of tomorrow

    Forces that are changing the workplace

    FROMLocal markets, operations

    Manufacturing, clerical work

    Hierarchy

    Intermediaries; face-to-face

    Obedience to formal authority

    Stability, efficiency, control

    Full time job

    Customer service

    Work done by employees

    Fixed work location

    Management prerogative

    Loyal service

    White, male workforce

    Financial performance

    TOGlobal markets, operations

    Service, knowledge work

    Networks

    Direct access/virtual relationship

    Questioning of formal authority

    Change, creativity, flexibility, order

    Part-time and project work

    Shareholder, stakeholder value

    Work done by many contributors

    Diverse work locations

    Social license

    Marketable knowledge, skills

    Diverse workforce

    Triple bottom line

  • Nurturing leaders of tomorrow

    Welfare Officers

    Personnel Officers

    HR OfficerBusiness Partner

    ???

    Paternalistic

    Caring for injured/sick

    Protection of disadvantaged

    Manage absenteeism

    Training

    Productivity

    Trade Union

    Line Manager

    Efficiency & Effectiveness

    Compliances

    Expert

    New Technology

    Compliances

    How the role of HR is changing

    Today, there is a movement to find the critical human levers for improving business results

  • Nurturing leaders of tomorrow

    Some thoughts

    To be a true strategic partner HR needs to evolve into a bimodal structure (similar to Finance and Accounting or Marketing and Sales)

    - Boudreau and Ramstads in their book Beyond HR (2007)

    Talentship:A term coined by Boudreau and Ramstad which envisionsHRM as Talent Decision Science

    We do much order-taking and mistaking talk for action

    - Jim Moore, Director HR, Sun Microsystems

  • Nurturing leaders of tomorrow

    How does HR become a strategic partner

    Focus on Strategy

    Strategy may be defined as how the company creates value for its stakeholders (Kaplan and Norton)

    Part of any strategy are Goals. Measurement of these goals is through Key Performance Indicators

    KPIs must beAligned with the strategyQuantifiable and measurableRecognized through the Firm

  • Nurturing leaders of tomorrow

    Sabermetric

    Using Statistical Analysis to find hidden dimensions of success and acquire talent accordingly

    Finding the right metric

  • Nurturing leaders of tomorrow

    Which major league baseball team holds the record for the longest consecutive winning streak?

    Boston Red Sox

    Los Angeles Dodgers

    New York Yankees

    Oakland Athletics

    St. Louis Cardinals

    Philadelphia Rangers

  • Nurturing leaders of tomorrow

    WINNING

    So, how did the As manage such success with 1/3 the resources of their biggest competitor?

    2nd lowest payroll in MLB

  • Nurturing leaders of tomorrow

    MONEYBALL PREMISE

    Theory - One could construct a better team using better & different methods of selection

    Opportunity - All baseball teams were using outdated methods of player selection

    Approach - Rigorous statistical analysis identified undervalued players who manufactured cheaper runs, resulting in more, less expensive wins

  • Nurturing leaders of tomorrow

    If somebody is right 30% of the time using gut feel

    and you can find a way to increase it to 35%,

    you create 5% winning arbitrage"

    - Billy Beane, Oakland A

    Analytics

  • Nurturing leaders of tomorrow

    Key Questions for us .

    source talent differently?

    manage compensation/benefits differently?

    prepare for the oncoming baby boomer worker gap?

    schedule my workforce differently?

    decide which countries are most profitable to operate in?

    manage my high potentials differently?

  • Nurturing leaders of tomorrow

    Quality of data is the key to analysis

    Causal relationship must fulfill three criteria:

    1. Strong relationship exists between the 2 factors2. Cause factor occurs before the effect factor3. Analysis must account for other possible influences

    Data must be collected in a timely manner

    Evidence based management can be a powerful toolbut only if were clear about what constitutes

    valid evidence. Unless we can distinguish hard facts from

    questionable data, we may not get very far, no matter how good our intentions may be

    - Prof. Rosenzweig

  • Nurturing leaders of tomorrow

    Identify 3 causal relationships

    1. ..

    2. .

    3.

  • Nurturing leaders of tomorrow

    3 relationships which are not causal

    1. ..

    2. .

    3.

  • Nurturing leaders of tomorrow

    How BMW used analytics

  • Nurturing leaders of tomorrow

    People analytics @ Google

  • Nurturing leaders of tomorrow

    Do Managers Matter?

    X-Y Plot Performance Review Employee Satisfaction Score

    Top v. Bottom Performance QuartileTeam productivityEmployee satisfactionEmployee retention

    Great v. Struggling ManagersBehavioral indicators

  • Nurturing leaders of tomorrow

    In order of importance1. Is a great COACH

    2. Empowers; does not micromanage

    3. Is concerned about team members personal success and well-being

    4. Is result oriented

    5. Is a Good Communicator

    6. Helps with Career Development

    7. Has VISION for the Team

    8. Is technically good

    8 behaviors of Great Managers

  • Nurturing leaders of tomorrow

    In order of importance1. Undergoing a TRANSITION

    2. Lack of consistent focus / vision

    3. Not concerned with Career Development

    4. Spends too little time in Communicating

    5. Less focus on 1 to 1 meeting

    Behaviours of Struggling Managers

  • Nurturing leaders of tomorrow

    Which staff category has maximum impact on customer experience at Disneyland?

    Beyond HR: the New Science of Human Capital John Boudreau & Peter Ramstad

  • Nurturing leaders of tomorrow

    Disneyland : Mickey or Sweepers?

    Sweepers at Disney make a huge difference to the customer experience

    While they keep its parks clean, they interact with customers frequently. helping them navigate through the park pointing them to catering and merchandisingcoping with the unexpected problems

    Sweepers are front line customer representatives with brooms in their hands.

    Investment in the recruitment, induction and training of its sweepers have more business impact than directing resource to its costumed characters

    Beyond HR: the New Science of Human Capital John Boudreau & Peter Ramstad

  • Nurturing leaders of tomorrow

    AmEx

    Measurement in central to HR Activities1. All measurements are metric focussed

    2. PeopleSoft as the backbone for data quality and consistency

    3. Rolled out across 83 countries

  • Nurturing leaders of tomorrow

    CapOne and Nextel

  • Nurturing leaders of tomorrow

    Cost of replacing an employee

    1. ..

    2. .

    3.

  • Nurturing leaders of tomorrow

    Cost of replacing an employee

  • 2009-2012, Smart Wave Education

    No part of this presentation shall be copied, reproduced, shared or transmitted without the prior approval of the author

    Learn Connect Collaborate Succeed

    HR Analytics

    Selecting HR Metrics

  • Nurturing leaders of tomorrow

    What gets measured, gets done

    Attrition Analytics @ Convergys

    We used consumer marketing technique, conjoint analysis. When used with employees, it helped figure out the mix of benefits most likely to encourage people to staywith the organization.

    Using this tool, we learned, that employees weremore likely to stay with the company if they got half their annual pay raises every six months instead of the entireamount only once per year.

  • Nurturing leaders of tomorrow

    Key Questions from HR PerspectiveWHY measure?

    WHAT to measure?

    HOW to be measured?

    How frequently to be measured ?

    What gets measured, gets done

  • Nurturing leaders of tomorrow

    What gets measured, gets doneThe challenges lie in being first able to measure it effectively especially across the multiple service lines, for example, a high-end consultants productivity may need to be measured through a combination of billing rate and utilization, while a developer may need to be measured using the effort needed to code either a certain number of lines or a function point.

    - Nandita Gujar, SVP, Infosys

    If you put it all under one larger metric, it can camouflage some of the more critical issues

    - Prabir Jha, SVP, Tata Motors

    At Fortis, we track four essential areas: customer satisfactiondeveloping people

    developing processes financial impact

  • Nurturing leaders of tomorrow

    Metrics to measure employee productivity

    At Infosys, employee utilization is measured as person hours deployed on billable engagement

    person hours available for billable engagement

    Productivity is measured as- revenue per person - operating margin per person

  • Nurturing leaders of tomorrow

    Metrics that predict organizational performance

    Some metrics consistently predict organizational performance

    leadership

    employee engagement

    access to knowledge

    workforce optimization

    organizational learning capacity

    and some metrics do not

    turnover rate

    time to fill

    total hours training

    Bassi and McMurrer (2007)

  • Nurturing leaders of tomorrow

    Efficiency Metric v. Effectiveness Metric

    Efficiency =

    Effectiveness =

  • Nurturing leaders of tomorrow

    Teams measure goalkeepers on what % of goals they stopped, This favored gatekeepers from big teams

    because of tighter defence;

    However, analysis of % of goals stopped from within the penalty area gives entirely different result

    - Daniele Tognaccini, AC Milan

    Analytics

  • Nurturing leaders of tomorrow

    Leading Metric v. Lagging Metric

    Leading Metric =

    Lagging Metric =

  • Nurturing leaders of tomorrow

    Leading Metric v. Lagging Metric

    Turnover

    Cost to hire / time to hire

    Absenteeism

    % of PRs completed

    % of DPs in place

    Disciplinary activity

    % internal movement :

    external hiring

    Revenue/employee

    % of new hire retention

    Avg tenure : average PR measure

    Avg L&D spend/employee : avg PR

    Rating

    % of succession plans in place

    against critical roles

    % of ready nows for critical roles

    Engagement

  • Nurturing leaders of tomorrow

    Valero - Talent Supply Chain

    Grew from 2,000 (Yr. 2000) to 22,000 (2007) employees and Revenue - $118 million (2000); $75 billion (2007)

    The challenge recruiting operations were entirely paper-based start-up of a new refining complex in USA Outsourced engineers in Canada Programmers in India Manufacturing workers in China

    Launches world-class staffing program in 2002

    In 2002, it took us 41 pieces of paper to hire, more than 120 days to fill an open

    position and cost us $12000 per hire

  • Nurturing leaders of tomorrow

    Valero Recruitment Metrics and Dashboard

    Talent needs communicated to the best sources Started maintaining suppliers record

    efficiency (cost, time) effectiveness (quality of hire, reliability)

    Continuously monitors adverts placed on Internet Portals (one source) to assess the cost, speed, quality and dependability of the supplier

    Captures data on the quality of talent to rate Suppliers job performance, Fitment with organization and its culture Retention

    Dashboard shows Green = suppliers performance is good Yellow = Okay Red = Problems identified

    In 2007, it is all automates, takes 41 days to fill a position and cost is $2300 per hire

  • Nurturing leaders of tomorrow

    Efficiency Metric v. Effectiveness Metric

    Efficiency and Effectiveness Metric for

    Recruitment

    Training

    Retention

    .

  • Nurturing leaders of tomorrow

    Human Capital Metric

    HC ROI = Human capital return on investment measures the return on each dollar invested in human capital after adjusting for the cost of financial capital = (Profit Financial Capital Costs) Human Capital Costs

    HC Productivity = Amount of revenue generated for each dollar invested in human capital, after adjusting for the costs of materials and financial capital = (Revenue Material Costs) (Human Capital Costs + Financial Capital Costs)

  • Nurturing leaders of tomorrow

    The status

    Gates study of 104 HC Execs71% have some form of HC measures

    Only 7% have metrics capturing information on efficiency, effectiveness, and impact (on business process and strategic outcomes)

    Luketic survey of 307 HR Professionals79% using some form of HC metrics

    Only 11% are strategically focused

    Stephen Gates, Strategic Human Capital Measures, The Conference Board (2008)

    Helen Luketic, Human Capital Metrics Trends 2008 Survey Report, ResearchVOICE (2008)

  • Nurturing leaders of tomorrow

    A US manufacturer of cars and trucks

    400,000+ employees

    Sales $200B +

    Profit $ 5B+

    Situation

    To quantify HR support towards business objectives Identify metrics clearly aligned with business objectives Metrics to provide the highest quality information

    Metrics should be feasible to collect

    Metrics that have maximum impact on the business

    Case of a global automobile maker

    As the HR function transitioned from transactional to strategic, it was critical

    to improve the process of identifying and prioritizing metrics.

    VP of HR

  • Nurturing leaders of tomorrow

    Business Objectives of the firm

    Focus on Brand

    Grow Market Share

    Increase Profits

    Business Objectives HR Objectives

  • Nurturing leaders of tomorrow

    HR Objectives of the firm

    Focus on Brand

    Grow Market Share

    Increase Profits

    Top Company to Work Leverage global network to provide

    unmatched career opportunity Hire Right Person at the first

    instance

    Appreciate Diversity and Culture Increase People Return on

    Investment

    Increase PROI Build firms capability for higher

    targets, goals, competition To achieve targets:

    Ensure people have right skills Increase people motivation

    Business Objectives HR Objectives

  • Nurturing leaders of tomorrow

    What CRITERIA should be used

    for selecting

    the

    METRICS

  • Nurturing leaders of tomorrow

    Screen the Metrics for

    Alignment Quality Feasibility

    Ch

    arac

    teri

    stic

    s

  • Nurturing leaders of tomorrow

    Screen the Metrics for

    Alignment Quality Feasibility

    Ch

    arac

    teri

    stic

    s Linked to achievement of Business Objectives

    Measures how well is the firm using human capital

    Depicts quality of HR performance in supporting business objectives

    The Red Flags, to show decline in performance

    Ease of data collection

    Resources required in implementation

  • Nurturing leaders of tomorrow

    Step 2: Identify potential metrics to support business Objectives

    Metrics like level of attrition, recruitment mix, and bench strength have a direct bearing on cost and organizational performance.

    Other key focus areas include optimal resource utilization, and impact on top line and bottom line.

    Finally, continuous competency enhancement including leadership pipeline affects delivery excellence and hence, has a positive effect on organizational performance.

    These are all people metrics and we look very closely at all of them.

    -Dr. Ritu Anand, VP, Global HR, TCS

    Internal Sources Input from Line Managers Input from Line-Based HRPrevious HR Metrics

    External Sources Best Practices Case studies

  • Nurturing leaders of tomorrow

    Step 3: Select Metrics based on Alignment

    Direct Metrics Supporting Metrics

  • Nurturing leaders of tomorrow

    Step 3: Select Metrics based on Alignment

    Direct Metrics Supporting Metrics

    These indicate actual performance which impacts the achievement of business objective.

    Example: Employee productivity (vehicles per employee) has a direct impact on the ability to achieve the objective Build firms capability for higher targets, goals, competition

    Positive performance on these indicators contributes favorably to the achievement of business objective.

    Example:Competitive compensation package contributes to, but does not directly impact the ability to achieve the objective Having the Right People at the Right Time.

    Our approach is to categorize talent and focus on retaining the essential

    - Intercontinental Hotels

  • Nurturing leaders of tomorrow

    Step 4: Select Metrics based on Quality

    Better quality means greater business impactQualityCategory

    Category Description Ratings

    Subjective Metric cannot be communicated as a number. Subjective terms are used to indicate performance (e.g., employee morale).

    0

    Quantifiable Metric can be communicated as a number. A numeric goal can be established, or trend goal visually apparent (e.g., hours of training).

    1

    Results Positive performance will directly impact company financial performance (e.g., gap between current and required workforce skills).

    1

    Qualitative Metric reflects the quality of performance (e.g., utilization of training). 3

    Predictive Metric will raise the red flag when performance begins to decline, allowing management an opportunity to put in place immediate countermeasures designed to reverse poor performance. Metric is conducive to problem solving and process improvement. Best-practice performance can be isolated, globalization of practice implemented, and financial impact forecasted e.g., strength of employment brand

    6

  • Nurturing leaders of tomorrow

    Step 5: Ease of Implementation

    QualityCategory

    Category Description Ratings

    Easy to Measure

    Metric exists already or data to support metric iscurrently available (low cost and low resource utilization).

    1

    Moderately Difficultto Measure

    Metric does not currently exist. Data may currently existbut is not readily available (moderate cost and resourceutilization).

    -1

    Difficult to Measure

    Metric does not currently exist. Data may not currentlyexist (cost and resource intensive).

    -2

  • Nurturing leaders of tomorrow

    Step 6: Prioritize MetricsMetric Hire Right

    Person at

    the first

    instance

    Ensure

    people

    have right

    skills and

    people

    motivation

    Build

    firms capability

    for higher

    targets

    Top

    Company

    to Work

    Increase

    PROI

    Appreciate

    Diversity

    Quality

    Score

    Implement

    ation

    Score

    Overall

    Score

    HR:FTE Ratio

    Competitivenes

    s of

    Compensation

    Package

    New Hire

    Turnover

    Turnover by

    Employee

    Segment

    Gap Between

    Current and

    Required

    Workforce Skills

    Employee

    Productivity

    (Vehicles/Empl

    oyee)

    Inter-region

    executive

    transfer

  • Nurturing leaders of tomorrow

    With the recruitment of Carlos Tavez, David Silva, Adam Johnson and Yaya Toure our pass rate in the final third has

    gone up by 7.7%"

    - Gavin Fleig, Head of Performance Analytics, Manchester City

    Talent Metric

  • Nurturing leaders of tomorrow

    Step 7: Select high Impact Metrics

    After individually evaluating potential metrics, the HR team meets as a group to select the metrics they believe will have the highest impact on HRs contribution to business objectives.

    The team discusses the quality and implementation ratings assigned to the metrics by each team member and ultimately comes to consensus on the final rating for each metric.

    Finally, the team selects the two or three metrics with the highest ratings for each objective

  • Nurturing leaders of tomorrow

    Step 8: Final HR Dashboard

    Focus on Highest-Value Metrics: Dashboard includes only the highest-value metrics based on the HR planning teams assessment of alignment, quality, and ease of implementation

    Concise Collection of Measures: Each objective is mapped to no more than two to three metrics

    Organized by Business Objective: The dashboard is organized by business objective to clearly indicate HR performance in supporting these objectives

  • Nurturing leaders of tomorrow

    Step 9: Select high Impact Metrics

    Parameter Measure

    Focus on Quality Organizational Excellence

    HR Accelerated Leadership Program

    No of workshops

    Employee Engagement Plan Conformance to Plan

    Global functional alignment Linkage Matrix

    Transform HR Service Performance to Plan

    Grow Mkt. Share Critical Capabilities

    PMS Implementation % Population

    Increase Profit

    HR Budget Performance $M

    People Cost $M

    Perf. To Cadence Hire Plan Performance to Plan

  • Nurturing leaders of tomorrow

    Metric Assignment: Strategy of firm

  • 2009-2012, Smart Wave Education

    No part of this presentation shall be copied, reproduced, shared or transmitted without the prior approval of the author

    Learn Connect Collaborate Succeed

    HR Analytics

    Recap

  • Nurturing leaders of tomorrow

    I. Create your Firms Business Plan-Define your business objectives

    II. Map your HR objectives which will support this business plan

    III. Identify potential Metrics that can be used to support each HR objective

    IV. Score each potential metric in terms of Quality and Feasibility

    V. Hold a consensus meeting to agree on a final score for each metric

    VI. select highest impact Metrics-One or two for each metric

    VII. Ask for HR feedback

    VIII. Freeze the Final HR Dashboard

    THE PRIORITIZATION PROCESS

  • Nurturing leaders of tomorrow

    Analytics at Sysco thru' ESS Three gross measures

    work climate and employee satisfaction

    Productivity,

    Retention

    Across seven dimensions such as supervisors effectiveness, diversity, quality of life etc.

    Results: Units with highly satisfied employees have higher revs, lower

    costs, better retention and customer loyalty

    Identified management actions with greatest impact

    Tracks each units ESS

    Increased retention rates of delivery agents from 65% to 85%

    $50M savings in hiring and training costs

    Davenport, Harris, Shapiro, Competing on Talent Analytics, Harvard Business Review, 2010

  • Nurturing leaders of tomorrow

    What area might offer the greatest financial benefit for your company if addressed?

    Improving quality of hires

    Reducing absenteeism or turnover

    Improving employee engagement

    Increasing effectiveness in job

    Optimized labor allocation/scheduling

  • Nurturing leaders of tomorrow

    THE METHODOLOGY

    Four steps to help you leverage analytics

    1. Identify the right things to measure (i.e. KPIs)

    2. Select the best analytic method to apply to your project

    3. Effectively communicate the results

    4. Build a follow-through strategy

    Bassi, Laurie HR Analytics Handbook, 2010

  • Nurturing leaders of tomorrow

    Analytics Value Chain

    Opinion Data Metrics Analysis Insights Actions

    A Gut Feel

    I think so

    Based on experience

    Basically Raw

    Difficult to make sense

    Could be structured

    Ratios

    Trends

    Too many metrics become confusing

    Identify relationships

    trends

    Influences decision

    Leads to action

  • Nurturing leaders of tomorrow

    Background Fortune Best Company Strong culture, low turnover by industry comparison Experienced Senior Management Team

    Challenge Large training investment 240 hours in year 1 alone Discovered that majority of WF was leaving within 1-2 years

    Question Can we do a better job of identifying those who will stay

    versus those who will leave?

    Case Study

  • Nurturing leaders of tomorrow

    Collected 20 years of employment history data (26,000 employees & 50+ attributes per employee)

    Employment duration made known for half of employees(training the model)

    Model identified variables best at predicting outcome(5 attributes retained from 50+)

    Outcome was hidden when model applied to other half (testing the model 85% accurate)

    Model applied to current employees, giving them a score(applying the model)

    STEPS INVOLVED

  • 2009-2012, Smart Wave Education

    No part of this presentation shall be copied, reproduced, shared or transmitted without the prior approval of the author

    Learn Connect Collaborate Succeed

    HR Analytics

    Session 5 & 6 : Data Analysis

  • Nurturing leaders of tomorrow

    Truths, half truths and statistics

    Raw data is:

    Voluminous

    Difficult to handle

    Decision makers hate it, hence, often prefer to take decisions without data

  • Nurturing leaders of tomorrow

    First 100 weeks of

    15 148 142 10 14359 6 96 0 1398 17 6 42 8

    41 114 43 7 2335 5 11 18 1557 0 34 2 1480 11 85 61 13

    24 111 179 36 488 1 54 15 1555 6 40 4 79

    10 0 10 169 17727 73 4 9 3168 50 0 35 34

    119 9 52 9 721 165 2 7 4711 78 24 15 11316 62 122 88 677 28 31 92 0

    15 104 177 4 13640 71 74 83 6

  • Nurturing leaders of tomorrow

    How would SHE be doing in the next 10 weeks

    15 148 142 10 14359 6 96 0 1398 17 6 42 8

    41 114 43 7 2335 5 11 18 1557 0 34 2 1480 11 85 61 13

    24 111 179 36 488 1 54 15 1555 6 40 4 79

    10 0 10 169 17727 73 4 9 3168 50 0 35 34

    119 9 52 9 721 165 2 7 4711 78 24 15 11316 62 122 88 677 28 31 92 0

    15 104 177 4 13640 71 74 83 6

  • Nurturing leaders of tomorrow

    5 number summary

    Min

    Q1

    Median

    Q3

    Max

  • Nurturing leaders of tomorrow

    Outliers : Unusual observations

    It affects analysisNeeds to be IDENTIFIED

    Analyzed separately

    May not necessarily be BAD data

    How to identify OUTLIERS?

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    How to identify OUTLIERS

    IQR Test, IQR (inter-quartile range) = Q1 Q3

    If data is Q3 +1.5 IQR

    Q1 - 1.5 IQR

    How to deal the OUTLIERS?

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    2 Critical Aspects

    Central tendency

    Spread

    How to does OUTLIERS affect centrality and spread?

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    CTC of TLs

    Given below is a sample of monthly CTC (Rs.K) for 70 Team Leaders in BPOs based in Gurgaon.

    The data are presented in ascending order.

    425 430 430 435 435 435 435 435 440 440

    440 440 440 445 445 445 445 445 450 450

    450 450 450 450 450 460 460 460 465 465

    465 470 470 472 475 475 475 480 480 480

    480 485 490 490 490 500 500 500 500 510

    510 515 525 525 525 535 549 550 570 570

    575 575 580 590 600 600 600 600 615 615

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    Mean

    n

    xx

    i

    N

    xi

    The mean of a data set is the average of all the data values.

    If the data are from a sample, the mean is denoted by x-bar

    .

    If the data are from a population, the mean is denoted by mu

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    80.49070

    356,34

    n

    xx

    i

    425 430 430 435 435 435 435 435 440 440

    440 440 440 445 445 445 445 445 450 450

    450 450 450 450 450 460 460 460 465 465

    465 470 470 472 475 475 475 480 480 480

    480 485 490 490 490 500 500 500 500 510

    510 515 525 525 525 535 549 550 570 570

    575 575 580 590 600 600 600 600 615 615

    CTC of TLs

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    Median

    The median is the measure of location most often reported for annual income and property value data

    A few extremely large incomes or property values can inflate the mean

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    The median of a data set is the value in the middle when the data items are arranged in ascending order.

    For an odd number of observations, the median is the middle value.

    For an even number of observations, the median is the average of the two middle values.

    Median

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    Median = 50th percentile

    i = (p/100)n = (50/100)70 = 35.5

    Averaging the 35th and 36th data values:

    Median = (475 + 475)/2 = 475

    CTC of TLs

    425 430 430 435 435 435 435 435 440 440

    440 440 440 445 445 445 445 445 450 450

    450 450 450 450 450 460 460 460 465 465

    465 470 470 472 475 475 475 480 480 480480 485 490 490 490 500 500 500 500 510

    510 515 525 525 525 535 549 550 570 570

    575 575 580 590 600 600 600 600 615 615

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    Mode is the most frequently occurring data

    The greatest frequency can occur at two or more different values

    If the data have exactly two modes, the data are bimodal

    If the data have more than two modes, the data are multimodal

    Mode

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    450 occurred most frequently (7 times)

    Mode = 450

    CTC of TLs

    425 430 430 435 435 435 435 435 440 440

    440 440 440 445 445 445 445 445 450 450450 450 450 450 450 460 460 460 465 465465 470 470 472 475 475 475 480 480 480

    480 485 490 490 490 500 500 500 500 510

    510 515 525 525 525 535 549 550 570 570

    575 575 580 590 600 600 600 600 615 615

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    Percentiles

    A percentile provides information about how the data are spread over the interval from the smallest value to the largest value.

    Admission test scores for colleges and universities are frequently reported in terms of percentiles.

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    Percentiles

    COMPA RATIO??

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    The p-th percentile of a data set is a value such that at least ppercent of the items take on this value or less and at least (100 - p) percent of the items take on this value or more. Arrange the data in ascending order.

    Compute index i, the position of the pth percentile.

    i = (p/100)n

    If i is not an integer, round up. The pth percentile is the value in the ith position.

    If i is an integer, the pth percentile is the average of the values in positions i and i+1.

    Percentiles

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    90th Percentile

    i = (p/100)n = (90/100)70 = 63

    Averaging the 63rd and 64th data values:90th Percentile = (580 + 590)/2 = 585

    425 430 430 435 435 435 435 435 440 440

    440 440 440 445 445 445 445 445 450 450

    450 450 450 450 450 460 460 460 465 465

    465 470 470 472 475 475 475 480 480 480

    480 485 490 490 490 500 500 500 500 510

    510 515 525 525 525 535 549 550 570 570

    575 575 580 590 600 600 600 600 615 615

    CTC of TLs

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    Compa Ratio

    = actual pay / midpoint of the grade ( or mkt)

    Range penetration

    = (Salary Range Min)/ (Range Max-Range Min)

    Group Compa Ratio??

    Compa Ratio & Range Penetration

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    Quartiles

    Quartiles are specific percentilesFirst Quartile = 25th Percentile

    Second Quartile = 50th Percentile = Median

    Third Quartile = 75th Percentile

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    Third Quartile

    Third quartile = 75th percentile

    i = (p/100)n = (75/100)70 = 52.5 = 53

    Third quartile = 525

    425 430 430 435 435 435 435 435 440 440

    440 440 440 445 445 445 445 445 450 450

    450 450 450 450 450 460 460 460 465 465

    465 470 470 472 475 475 475 480 480 480

    480 485 490 490 490 500 500 500 500 510

    510 515 525 525 525 535 549 550 570 570

    575 575 580 590 600 600 600 600 615 615

    CTC of TLs

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    Frequency Distribution

    Used for large data set

    Divide large data into smaller groups / classes with number of occurrence for each class

    Class Frequency Percentage

    425-449 18 25.7%

    450-474 16 22.9%

    475-499 11 15.7%

    500-524 7 10.0%

    525-549 5 7.1%

    550-574 3 4.3%

    575-599 4 5.7%

    600-625 6 8.6%

    70

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    Frequency Distribution

    0.0%

    2.0%

    4.0%

    6.0%

    8.0%

    10.0%

    12.0%

    14.0%

    16.0%

    400 450 500 550 600 650

    0.0%

    5.0%

    10.0%

    15.0%

    20.0%

    25.0%

    30.0%

    400 450 500 550 600 650

    STURGEs RULE for Number of Classes: 2k-3

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    Measures of Variability

    It is often desirable to consider measures of variability (dispersion), as well as measures of location.

    For example, in choosing Recruitment Consultant A or B we might consider not only the average delivery time for each, but also the variability in delivery time for each.

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    Range

    Interquartile Range

    Variance

    Standard Deviation

    Coefficient of Variation

    Measures of Variability

  • Range

    The range of a data set is the difference between the largest and smallest data values.

    It is the simplest measure of variability.

    It is very sensitive to the smallest and largest data values.

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    The range of a data set is the difference between the largest and smallest data values

    It is the simplest measure of variability

    It is very sensitive to the smallest and largest data values

    Range

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    Range = largest value - smallest value

    Range = 615 - 425 = 190

    425 430 430 435 435 435 435 435 440 440440 440 440 445 445 445 445 445 450 450

    450 450 450 450 450 460 460 460 465 465

    465 470 470 472 475 475 475 480 480 480

    480 485 490 490 490 500 500 500 500 510

    510 515 525 525 525 535 549 550 570 570

    575 575 580 590 600 600 600 600 615 615

    CTC of TLs

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    The inter-quartile range of a data set is the difference between the third quartile and the first quartile

    It is the range for the middle 50% of the data

    It overcomes the sensitivity to extreme data values

    IQR = Inter Quartile Range

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    Inter-quartile Range3rd Quartile (Q3) = 525

    1st Quartile (Q1) = 445

    Inter-quartile Range = Q3 - Q1 = 525 - 445 = 80

    425 430 430 435 435 435 435 435 440 440440 440 440 445 445 445 445 445 450 450450 450 450 450 450 460 460 460 465 465

    465 470 470 472 475 475 475 480 480 480

    480 485 490 490 490 500 500 500 500 510

    510 515 525 525 525 535 549 550 570 570575 575 580 590 600 600 600 600 615 615

    CTC of TLs

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    Variance

    The variance is a measure of variability that utilizes all the data points

    It is based on the difference between the value of each observation (xi) and the mean (x for a sample, for a population).

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    Variance

    The variance is the average of the squared differencesbetween each data value and the mean.

    If the data set is a sample, the variance is denoted by s2.

    If the data set is a population, the variance is denoted by 2.

    sxi x

    n

    22

    1

    ( )

    22( )x

    Ni

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    Standard Deviation

    The standard deviation of a data set is the positive square root of the variance.

    It is measured in the same units as the data, making it more easily comparable, than the variance, to the mean.

    If the data set is a sample, the standard deviation is denoted s.

    If the data set is a population, the standard deviation is denoted (sigma).

    s s2

    2

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    Coefficient of Variation

    The coefficient of variation indicates how large the standard deviation is in relation to the mean.

    If the data set is a sample, the coefficient of variation is computed as follows:

    If the data set is a population, the coefficient of variation is computed as follows:

    s

    x( )100

    ( )100

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    Variance

    Standard Deviation

    Coefficient of Variation

    sxi x

    n

    22

    12 996 16

    ( ), .

    s s2 2996 47 54 74. .

    s

    x100

    54 74

    490 80100 1115

    .

    ..

    CTC of TL

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    Mean, Median and Mode

    ApplicationCompensation Benchmarking

    Time to fill

    Training days

    Attrition

    ..

    .

    119

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    2-Sigma

    120

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    4-Sigma

    121

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    6 Sigma

    122

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    Impact of varying mean and standard deviation

    123

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    124

    Market CTC Data

    Level Median 75P

    7 8441 9921

    6 4811 5367

    5 2699 3079

    4 1817 2032

    3 1249 1445

    2 841 885

    1 479 523

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    125

    Interpret this for Your Company

    Level Median 75P YourCo

    7 8441 9921 11000

    6 4811 5367 3800

    5 2699 3079 3576

    4 1817 2032 1900

    3 1249 1445 1440

    2 841 885 980

    1 479 523 471

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    126

    Interpret this for YourCo

    0

    2000

    4000

    6000

    8000

    10000

    12000

    1 2 3 4 5 6 7

    Median 75P YourCo

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    127

    Right visual matters for right decision

    0

    2000

    4000

    6000

    8000

    10000

    12000

    1 2 3 4 5 6 7

    Median 75P YourCo

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    Employee Engagement Surveys

    Metrics Unit Top Box Score Ratio of Engaged to Actively Disengaged

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    Employee Engagement Surveys

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    Plotting the Bell Curve

    130

    Ratings% of Rated Employees

    1 2 3 4 5

    Your Co 0% 3% 50% 42% 5%

    Best Practice 10% 20% 40% 20% 10%

    Well Performing Co 5% 15% 40% 25% 15%

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    Plotting the Bell Curve

    131

    -10%

    0%

    10%

    20%

    30%

    40%

    50%

    60%

    0 1 2 3 4 5 6

    Series1 Series2 Series3

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    Time to Fill

    132

    Position Time to fill (in days)1 342 453 924 555 126 247 358 479 52

    10 2111 7812 4513 6714 11015 2816 3117 6218 4019 2620 8521 1522 5323 4424 3525 3926 4927 5828 3129 3730 4031 7132 1933 6234 2235 5636 2637 3338 3839 4140 80

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    Regression Analysis

    1. Statically identify historical predictor of workforce size

    Example: FTEs = a + b1 sales + b2 new customers

    2. Only use equations with predictors found to be

    statistically significant

    3. Predict future HR requirements, using equation

    Example: (a) FTEs = 7 + .0004 sales + .02 new

    customers

    (b) Projected sales = 1,000,000

    Projected new customers = 300

    (c) HR requirements = 7 + 400 + 6 = 413

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    Measuring relationships

    Does sales increase with number of sales force?

    How much waiters are required if seats increase?

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    Predictive Analysis

    135

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    Hotel rooms and attendantsRooms Attendants

    200 240150 210150 150120 140125 150220 225180 200240 240250 255180 230280 260300 260305 275325 275350 420400 470425 450440 500450 475500 450500 520520 490550 525600 620620 600660 640700 660800 900

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    1st Analysis

    Rooms Attendants R/A

    Total Population 10540 10830 1.03

    Average 376 386 1.05

    St Dev 191.4 191.8 0.13

    0

    100

    200

    300

    400

    500

    600

    700

    800

    900

    1000

    1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28

    Number of Attendants

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    Another Graphical Representation

    0

    100

    200

    300

    400

    500

    600

    700

    800

    900

    1000

    1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28

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    Another Graphical Representation

    0

    100

    200

    300

    400

    500

    600

    700

    800

    900

    1000

    1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28

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    Hotel Staffing

    Dependent and Independent variables ???

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    Size of Hotel and Attendants - Relationship

    0

    100

    200

    300

    400

    500

    600

    700

    800

    900

    1000

    0 200 400 600 800 1000

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    Size of Hotel and Attendants - Relationship

    A = 0.979*R + 17.91R = 0.956

    0

    100

    200

    300

    400

    500

    600

    700

    800

    900

    1000

    0 200 400 600 800 1000

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    Size of Hotel and Attendants - Relationship

    0

    100

    200

    300

    400

    500

    600

    700

    800

    900

    1000

    0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 900

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    Analyze relevant cluster

    300

    350

    400

    450

    500

    550

    600

    650

    700

    300 350 400 450 500 550 600 650 700 750

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    Analyze relevant cluster

    A = 0.704*R + 160.4R = 0.876

    300

    350

    400

    450

    500

    550

    600

    650

    700

    300 350 400 450 500 550 600 650 700 750

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    t-statistic

    146

    Likelihood of = 0

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    Regression Standard Error

    147

    How much are the points scattered?

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    Manpower Planning using Monte Carlo Simulation

    Case Study of a Loan Processing Unit of a Bank

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    Manpower Planning at Starbucks

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    Manpower Planning at Starbucks

    No of Staff No of Days

    5 4

    6 10

    7 16

    8 50

    9 62

    10 38

    11 12

    12 8