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HR Analytics
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2009-2012, Smart Wave Education
No part of this presentation shall be copied, reproduced, shared or transmitted without the prior approval of the author
Learn Connect Collaborate Succeed
HR Analytics
Session 1: Introduction
Nurturing leaders of tomorrow
Why are we here?
Your expectations from the program
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"Numbers, their use, which ones, and how to capture them have always fascinated me"
-John Buchanan, Coach of Australian Cricket Team
What does 100% strike rate mean?
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What does 100% strike rate mean?
100% tells us very little. I wish to know out of those 100 balls, how many does he actually use?
Our intention is not to increase a players' run rate, but the number of balls they scored from
So, we discussed what kind of existing shots the players had that he was comfortable with?
Whether they could use those shots to different balls?We looked at periods of the game or bowling types when
there were more balls which he wasn't scoring?Whether he could develop new shots in their repertoire?
Nurturing leaders of tomorrow
What does 100% strike rate mean?How do we take this example to HR issues?
What does 1% increase in EE mean? What is the duration of impact of an EE
initiative? What does 1st division with 5 year
experience mean? Does the incentive scheme affect sales?
How does EE affect Store Performance ? Factors affecting Store Performance ? Factors affecting EE? Is there a relationship? How many types of data required?
Nurturing leaders of tomorrow
List 3 HR metrics used in your firm
For each functional area
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List 3 HR metrics used in your firm
What are the challenges associated with these metrics / implementation?
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The new Finance Director, is spending the morning with two of her most senior team.
She pulls down the current management accounts and her expert eye scans through the figures, taking in the pattern to review trends and spot any anomalies.
She knows that her first Board meeting is on Friday and it is important that she provides an authoritative grasp of the companys financial position.
So every now and again she asks for more information and one of her colleagues at the PC clicks a button to drill down into more detailed analysis by region, by product to interrogate the data and highlight specific issues.
After four hours she congratulates her colleagues on their good work, impressed with the speed and efficiency with which theyve worked.
The HR Director knows that on Friday there is a planned Management Review.
Although there is no great pressure he still wants to make a strong impression.
By Monday afternoon, however he is worried. The trouble is there is no data!
There is no financial equivalent of the succession plan. Instead his PA has pulled out a few charts dated from last year. Glancing at it he sees that the structure is hopelessly out of date and that many of the candidates named as potential successors have either left or been moved sideways.
Could we pull down the data for the top 100 execs? he asks. She disappears to return 30 minutes later, holding armfuls of folders.
This is mainly CV stuff, but I do know that the execs went through an individual assessment exercise. The trouble is I dont know where the reports ended up.
Monday - A tale of 2 Directors
Nurturing leaders of tomorrow
Why are we here?
To get familiar with key developments in following areas of HR:
Evidence based HR
How HR can emerge as TALENT DECISION SCIENCE
Enable HR to emerge as a strategic partner
Nurturing leaders of tomorrow
Program Outline Fundamental HR Metrics
Criteria for Metrics selection linking metrics to business goalsAssessment of Metrics based on business alignmentAssessing Metrics based on quality and feasibilityMetrics PrioritizationSelecting : Key Strategic Measures , Key Functional Measures and Impact metrics, HR DashboardsTypes of HR dashboards,Crafting the HR Dashboard for your business environmentImplementing new HR dashboards in your organizationCase studies HR Data Analysis in MS ExcelData Handling, Sampling, Collection and Presentation,Questionnaires, surveys and Interviewsusing graphical and numerical techniques like statistical and probability theory, hypothesis testing, variance analysis, Predictive ModelingUse of Analytical Tools for determination of cause-effect relationship, regression, multiple regressions, cluster analysis, factor analysis,Computer aided Research in HR
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New Methods
Big Data
Predictive Analytics
Collaborative BI
Moores Law of Information?
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MIT Study: The New Intelligent Enterprise, 2010
Users of Predictive Analytics
Top 5 Industries
Insurance
Healthcare
IT/ITES
Financial Services
Retail
Top 5 Functions
Finance
Strategy
Operations
Marketing
R&D
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MIT Study: The New Intelligent Enterprise, 2010
Use of Predictive Analytics
Nurturing leaders of tomorrow
Teams score on average once every 180 possession of the ball; this is near constant for any division of English football
and the World Cup
Two-thirds goal comes from possessions gained in the other half of the field
- Neil Lanham, Soccernomics
Predictive Analytics
Nurturing leaders of tomorrow
HR CHALLENGES
Cost of absenteeism
Cost of employee separations (turnover)
Employee health, wellness, and welfare
Employee attitudes and engagement
Financial effects of work-life programs
Staffing utility
Economic value of job performance
Payoff of enhanced selection
Costs and benefits of HR development programs
Talent-investment analysis
Cascio & Boudreau have developed an excellent and comprehensive list of ways to use analytics to address and improve these talent-related issues
Cascio, Wayne & Boudreau, John, Investing in People: Financial Impact of Human Resource Initiatives
2009-2012, Smart Wave Education
No part of this presentation shall be copied, reproduced, shared or transmitted without the prior approval of the author
Learn Connect Collaborate Succeed
HR Analytics
Session 2: Evidence based HRM
Nurturing leaders of tomorrow
How the role of HR is changing
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Forces that are changing the workplace
FROMLocal markets, operations
Manufacturing, clerical work
Hierarchy
Intermediaries; face-to-face
Obedience to formal authority
Stability, efficiency, control
Full time job
Customer service
Work done by employees
Fixed work location
Management prerogative
Loyal service
White, male workforce
Financial performance
TOGlobal markets, operations
Service, knowledge work
Networks
Direct access/virtual relationship
Questioning of formal authority
Change, creativity, flexibility, order
Part-time and project work
Shareholder, stakeholder value
Work done by many contributors
Diverse work locations
Social license
Marketable knowledge, skills
Diverse workforce
Triple bottom line
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Welfare Officers
Personnel Officers
HR OfficerBusiness Partner
???
Paternalistic
Caring for injured/sick
Protection of disadvantaged
Manage absenteeism
Training
Productivity
Trade Union
Line Manager
Efficiency & Effectiveness
Compliances
Expert
New Technology
Compliances
How the role of HR is changing
Today, there is a movement to find the critical human levers for improving business results
Nurturing leaders of tomorrow
Some thoughts
To be a true strategic partner HR needs to evolve into a bimodal structure (similar to Finance and Accounting or Marketing and Sales)
- Boudreau and Ramstads in their book Beyond HR (2007)
Talentship:A term coined by Boudreau and Ramstad which envisionsHRM as Talent Decision Science
We do much order-taking and mistaking talk for action
- Jim Moore, Director HR, Sun Microsystems
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How does HR become a strategic partner
Focus on Strategy
Strategy may be defined as how the company creates value for its stakeholders (Kaplan and Norton)
Part of any strategy are Goals. Measurement of these goals is through Key Performance Indicators
KPIs must beAligned with the strategyQuantifiable and measurableRecognized through the Firm
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Sabermetric
Using Statistical Analysis to find hidden dimensions of success and acquire talent accordingly
Finding the right metric
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Which major league baseball team holds the record for the longest consecutive winning streak?
Boston Red Sox
Los Angeles Dodgers
New York Yankees
Oakland Athletics
St. Louis Cardinals
Philadelphia Rangers
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WINNING
So, how did the As manage such success with 1/3 the resources of their biggest competitor?
2nd lowest payroll in MLB
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MONEYBALL PREMISE
Theory - One could construct a better team using better & different methods of selection
Opportunity - All baseball teams were using outdated methods of player selection
Approach - Rigorous statistical analysis identified undervalued players who manufactured cheaper runs, resulting in more, less expensive wins
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If somebody is right 30% of the time using gut feel
and you can find a way to increase it to 35%,
you create 5% winning arbitrage"
- Billy Beane, Oakland A
Analytics
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Key Questions for us .
source talent differently?
manage compensation/benefits differently?
prepare for the oncoming baby boomer worker gap?
schedule my workforce differently?
decide which countries are most profitable to operate in?
manage my high potentials differently?
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Quality of data is the key to analysis
Causal relationship must fulfill three criteria:
1. Strong relationship exists between the 2 factors2. Cause factor occurs before the effect factor3. Analysis must account for other possible influences
Data must be collected in a timely manner
Evidence based management can be a powerful toolbut only if were clear about what constitutes
valid evidence. Unless we can distinguish hard facts from
questionable data, we may not get very far, no matter how good our intentions may be
- Prof. Rosenzweig
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Identify 3 causal relationships
1. ..
2. .
3.
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3 relationships which are not causal
1. ..
2. .
3.
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How BMW used analytics
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People analytics @ Google
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Do Managers Matter?
X-Y Plot Performance Review Employee Satisfaction Score
Top v. Bottom Performance QuartileTeam productivityEmployee satisfactionEmployee retention
Great v. Struggling ManagersBehavioral indicators
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In order of importance1. Is a great COACH
2. Empowers; does not micromanage
3. Is concerned about team members personal success and well-being
4. Is result oriented
5. Is a Good Communicator
6. Helps with Career Development
7. Has VISION for the Team
8. Is technically good
8 behaviors of Great Managers
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In order of importance1. Undergoing a TRANSITION
2. Lack of consistent focus / vision
3. Not concerned with Career Development
4. Spends too little time in Communicating
5. Less focus on 1 to 1 meeting
Behaviours of Struggling Managers
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Which staff category has maximum impact on customer experience at Disneyland?
Beyond HR: the New Science of Human Capital John Boudreau & Peter Ramstad
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Disneyland : Mickey or Sweepers?
Sweepers at Disney make a huge difference to the customer experience
While they keep its parks clean, they interact with customers frequently. helping them navigate through the park pointing them to catering and merchandisingcoping with the unexpected problems
Sweepers are front line customer representatives with brooms in their hands.
Investment in the recruitment, induction and training of its sweepers have more business impact than directing resource to its costumed characters
Beyond HR: the New Science of Human Capital John Boudreau & Peter Ramstad
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AmEx
Measurement in central to HR Activities1. All measurements are metric focussed
2. PeopleSoft as the backbone for data quality and consistency
3. Rolled out across 83 countries
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CapOne and Nextel
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Cost of replacing an employee
1. ..
2. .
3.
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Cost of replacing an employee
2009-2012, Smart Wave Education
No part of this presentation shall be copied, reproduced, shared or transmitted without the prior approval of the author
Learn Connect Collaborate Succeed
HR Analytics
Selecting HR Metrics
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What gets measured, gets done
Attrition Analytics @ Convergys
We used consumer marketing technique, conjoint analysis. When used with employees, it helped figure out the mix of benefits most likely to encourage people to staywith the organization.
Using this tool, we learned, that employees weremore likely to stay with the company if they got half their annual pay raises every six months instead of the entireamount only once per year.
Nurturing leaders of tomorrow
Key Questions from HR PerspectiveWHY measure?
WHAT to measure?
HOW to be measured?
How frequently to be measured ?
What gets measured, gets done
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What gets measured, gets doneThe challenges lie in being first able to measure it effectively especially across the multiple service lines, for example, a high-end consultants productivity may need to be measured through a combination of billing rate and utilization, while a developer may need to be measured using the effort needed to code either a certain number of lines or a function point.
- Nandita Gujar, SVP, Infosys
If you put it all under one larger metric, it can camouflage some of the more critical issues
- Prabir Jha, SVP, Tata Motors
At Fortis, we track four essential areas: customer satisfactiondeveloping people
developing processes financial impact
Nurturing leaders of tomorrow
Metrics to measure employee productivity
At Infosys, employee utilization is measured as person hours deployed on billable engagement
person hours available for billable engagement
Productivity is measured as- revenue per person - operating margin per person
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Metrics that predict organizational performance
Some metrics consistently predict organizational performance
leadership
employee engagement
access to knowledge
workforce optimization
organizational learning capacity
and some metrics do not
turnover rate
time to fill
total hours training
Bassi and McMurrer (2007)
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Efficiency Metric v. Effectiveness Metric
Efficiency =
Effectiveness =
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Teams measure goalkeepers on what % of goals they stopped, This favored gatekeepers from big teams
because of tighter defence;
However, analysis of % of goals stopped from within the penalty area gives entirely different result
- Daniele Tognaccini, AC Milan
Analytics
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Leading Metric v. Lagging Metric
Leading Metric =
Lagging Metric =
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Leading Metric v. Lagging Metric
Turnover
Cost to hire / time to hire
Absenteeism
% of PRs completed
% of DPs in place
Disciplinary activity
% internal movement :
external hiring
Revenue/employee
% of new hire retention
Avg tenure : average PR measure
Avg L&D spend/employee : avg PR
Rating
% of succession plans in place
against critical roles
% of ready nows for critical roles
Engagement
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Valero - Talent Supply Chain
Grew from 2,000 (Yr. 2000) to 22,000 (2007) employees and Revenue - $118 million (2000); $75 billion (2007)
The challenge recruiting operations were entirely paper-based start-up of a new refining complex in USA Outsourced engineers in Canada Programmers in India Manufacturing workers in China
Launches world-class staffing program in 2002
In 2002, it took us 41 pieces of paper to hire, more than 120 days to fill an open
position and cost us $12000 per hire
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Valero Recruitment Metrics and Dashboard
Talent needs communicated to the best sources Started maintaining suppliers record
efficiency (cost, time) effectiveness (quality of hire, reliability)
Continuously monitors adverts placed on Internet Portals (one source) to assess the cost, speed, quality and dependability of the supplier
Captures data on the quality of talent to rate Suppliers job performance, Fitment with organization and its culture Retention
Dashboard shows Green = suppliers performance is good Yellow = Okay Red = Problems identified
In 2007, it is all automates, takes 41 days to fill a position and cost is $2300 per hire
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Efficiency Metric v. Effectiveness Metric
Efficiency and Effectiveness Metric for
Recruitment
Training
Retention
.
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Human Capital Metric
HC ROI = Human capital return on investment measures the return on each dollar invested in human capital after adjusting for the cost of financial capital = (Profit Financial Capital Costs) Human Capital Costs
HC Productivity = Amount of revenue generated for each dollar invested in human capital, after adjusting for the costs of materials and financial capital = (Revenue Material Costs) (Human Capital Costs + Financial Capital Costs)
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The status
Gates study of 104 HC Execs71% have some form of HC measures
Only 7% have metrics capturing information on efficiency, effectiveness, and impact (on business process and strategic outcomes)
Luketic survey of 307 HR Professionals79% using some form of HC metrics
Only 11% are strategically focused
Stephen Gates, Strategic Human Capital Measures, The Conference Board (2008)
Helen Luketic, Human Capital Metrics Trends 2008 Survey Report, ResearchVOICE (2008)
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A US manufacturer of cars and trucks
400,000+ employees
Sales $200B +
Profit $ 5B+
Situation
To quantify HR support towards business objectives Identify metrics clearly aligned with business objectives Metrics to provide the highest quality information
Metrics should be feasible to collect
Metrics that have maximum impact on the business
Case of a global automobile maker
As the HR function transitioned from transactional to strategic, it was critical
to improve the process of identifying and prioritizing metrics.
VP of HR
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Business Objectives of the firm
Focus on Brand
Grow Market Share
Increase Profits
Business Objectives HR Objectives
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HR Objectives of the firm
Focus on Brand
Grow Market Share
Increase Profits
Top Company to Work Leverage global network to provide
unmatched career opportunity Hire Right Person at the first
instance
Appreciate Diversity and Culture Increase People Return on
Investment
Increase PROI Build firms capability for higher
targets, goals, competition To achieve targets:
Ensure people have right skills Increase people motivation
Business Objectives HR Objectives
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What CRITERIA should be used
for selecting
the
METRICS
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Screen the Metrics for
Alignment Quality Feasibility
Ch
arac
teri
stic
s
Nurturing leaders of tomorrow
Screen the Metrics for
Alignment Quality Feasibility
Ch
arac
teri
stic
s Linked to achievement of Business Objectives
Measures how well is the firm using human capital
Depicts quality of HR performance in supporting business objectives
The Red Flags, to show decline in performance
Ease of data collection
Resources required in implementation
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Step 2: Identify potential metrics to support business Objectives
Metrics like level of attrition, recruitment mix, and bench strength have a direct bearing on cost and organizational performance.
Other key focus areas include optimal resource utilization, and impact on top line and bottom line.
Finally, continuous competency enhancement including leadership pipeline affects delivery excellence and hence, has a positive effect on organizational performance.
These are all people metrics and we look very closely at all of them.
-Dr. Ritu Anand, VP, Global HR, TCS
Internal Sources Input from Line Managers Input from Line-Based HRPrevious HR Metrics
External Sources Best Practices Case studies
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Step 3: Select Metrics based on Alignment
Direct Metrics Supporting Metrics
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Step 3: Select Metrics based on Alignment
Direct Metrics Supporting Metrics
These indicate actual performance which impacts the achievement of business objective.
Example: Employee productivity (vehicles per employee) has a direct impact on the ability to achieve the objective Build firms capability for higher targets, goals, competition
Positive performance on these indicators contributes favorably to the achievement of business objective.
Example:Competitive compensation package contributes to, but does not directly impact the ability to achieve the objective Having the Right People at the Right Time.
Our approach is to categorize talent and focus on retaining the essential
- Intercontinental Hotels
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Step 4: Select Metrics based on Quality
Better quality means greater business impactQualityCategory
Category Description Ratings
Subjective Metric cannot be communicated as a number. Subjective terms are used to indicate performance (e.g., employee morale).
0
Quantifiable Metric can be communicated as a number. A numeric goal can be established, or trend goal visually apparent (e.g., hours of training).
1
Results Positive performance will directly impact company financial performance (e.g., gap between current and required workforce skills).
1
Qualitative Metric reflects the quality of performance (e.g., utilization of training). 3
Predictive Metric will raise the red flag when performance begins to decline, allowing management an opportunity to put in place immediate countermeasures designed to reverse poor performance. Metric is conducive to problem solving and process improvement. Best-practice performance can be isolated, globalization of practice implemented, and financial impact forecasted e.g., strength of employment brand
6
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Step 5: Ease of Implementation
QualityCategory
Category Description Ratings
Easy to Measure
Metric exists already or data to support metric iscurrently available (low cost and low resource utilization).
1
Moderately Difficultto Measure
Metric does not currently exist. Data may currently existbut is not readily available (moderate cost and resourceutilization).
-1
Difficult to Measure
Metric does not currently exist. Data may not currentlyexist (cost and resource intensive).
-2
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Step 6: Prioritize MetricsMetric Hire Right
Person at
the first
instance
Ensure
people
have right
skills and
people
motivation
Build
firms capability
for higher
targets
Top
Company
to Work
Increase
PROI
Appreciate
Diversity
Quality
Score
Implement
ation
Score
Overall
Score
HR:FTE Ratio
Competitivenes
s of
Compensation
Package
New Hire
Turnover
Turnover by
Employee
Segment
Gap Between
Current and
Required
Workforce Skills
Employee
Productivity
(Vehicles/Empl
oyee)
Inter-region
executive
transfer
Nurturing leaders of tomorrow
With the recruitment of Carlos Tavez, David Silva, Adam Johnson and Yaya Toure our pass rate in the final third has
gone up by 7.7%"
- Gavin Fleig, Head of Performance Analytics, Manchester City
Talent Metric
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Step 7: Select high Impact Metrics
After individually evaluating potential metrics, the HR team meets as a group to select the metrics they believe will have the highest impact on HRs contribution to business objectives.
The team discusses the quality and implementation ratings assigned to the metrics by each team member and ultimately comes to consensus on the final rating for each metric.
Finally, the team selects the two or three metrics with the highest ratings for each objective
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Step 8: Final HR Dashboard
Focus on Highest-Value Metrics: Dashboard includes only the highest-value metrics based on the HR planning teams assessment of alignment, quality, and ease of implementation
Concise Collection of Measures: Each objective is mapped to no more than two to three metrics
Organized by Business Objective: The dashboard is organized by business objective to clearly indicate HR performance in supporting these objectives
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Step 9: Select high Impact Metrics
Parameter Measure
Focus on Quality Organizational Excellence
HR Accelerated Leadership Program
No of workshops
Employee Engagement Plan Conformance to Plan
Global functional alignment Linkage Matrix
Transform HR Service Performance to Plan
Grow Mkt. Share Critical Capabilities
PMS Implementation % Population
Increase Profit
HR Budget Performance $M
People Cost $M
Perf. To Cadence Hire Plan Performance to Plan
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Metric Assignment: Strategy of firm
2009-2012, Smart Wave Education
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HR Analytics
Recap
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I. Create your Firms Business Plan-Define your business objectives
II. Map your HR objectives which will support this business plan
III. Identify potential Metrics that can be used to support each HR objective
IV. Score each potential metric in terms of Quality and Feasibility
V. Hold a consensus meeting to agree on a final score for each metric
VI. select highest impact Metrics-One or two for each metric
VII. Ask for HR feedback
VIII. Freeze the Final HR Dashboard
THE PRIORITIZATION PROCESS
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Analytics at Sysco thru' ESS Three gross measures
work climate and employee satisfaction
Productivity,
Retention
Across seven dimensions such as supervisors effectiveness, diversity, quality of life etc.
Results: Units with highly satisfied employees have higher revs, lower
costs, better retention and customer loyalty
Identified management actions with greatest impact
Tracks each units ESS
Increased retention rates of delivery agents from 65% to 85%
$50M savings in hiring and training costs
Davenport, Harris, Shapiro, Competing on Talent Analytics, Harvard Business Review, 2010
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What area might offer the greatest financial benefit for your company if addressed?
Improving quality of hires
Reducing absenteeism or turnover
Improving employee engagement
Increasing effectiveness in job
Optimized labor allocation/scheduling
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THE METHODOLOGY
Four steps to help you leverage analytics
1. Identify the right things to measure (i.e. KPIs)
2. Select the best analytic method to apply to your project
3. Effectively communicate the results
4. Build a follow-through strategy
Bassi, Laurie HR Analytics Handbook, 2010
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Analytics Value Chain
Opinion Data Metrics Analysis Insights Actions
A Gut Feel
I think so
Based on experience
Basically Raw
Difficult to make sense
Could be structured
Ratios
Trends
Too many metrics become confusing
Identify relationships
trends
Influences decision
Leads to action
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Background Fortune Best Company Strong culture, low turnover by industry comparison Experienced Senior Management Team
Challenge Large training investment 240 hours in year 1 alone Discovered that majority of WF was leaving within 1-2 years
Question Can we do a better job of identifying those who will stay
versus those who will leave?
Case Study
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Collected 20 years of employment history data (26,000 employees & 50+ attributes per employee)
Employment duration made known for half of employees(training the model)
Model identified variables best at predicting outcome(5 attributes retained from 50+)
Outcome was hidden when model applied to other half (testing the model 85% accurate)
Model applied to current employees, giving them a score(applying the model)
STEPS INVOLVED
2009-2012, Smart Wave Education
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HR Analytics
Session 5 & 6 : Data Analysis
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Truths, half truths and statistics
Raw data is:
Voluminous
Difficult to handle
Decision makers hate it, hence, often prefer to take decisions without data
Nurturing leaders of tomorrow
First 100 weeks of
15 148 142 10 14359 6 96 0 1398 17 6 42 8
41 114 43 7 2335 5 11 18 1557 0 34 2 1480 11 85 61 13
24 111 179 36 488 1 54 15 1555 6 40 4 79
10 0 10 169 17727 73 4 9 3168 50 0 35 34
119 9 52 9 721 165 2 7 4711 78 24 15 11316 62 122 88 677 28 31 92 0
15 104 177 4 13640 71 74 83 6
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How would SHE be doing in the next 10 weeks
15 148 142 10 14359 6 96 0 1398 17 6 42 8
41 114 43 7 2335 5 11 18 1557 0 34 2 1480 11 85 61 13
24 111 179 36 488 1 54 15 1555 6 40 4 79
10 0 10 169 17727 73 4 9 3168 50 0 35 34
119 9 52 9 721 165 2 7 4711 78 24 15 11316 62 122 88 677 28 31 92 0
15 104 177 4 13640 71 74 83 6
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5 number summary
Min
Q1
Median
Q3
Max
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Outliers : Unusual observations
It affects analysisNeeds to be IDENTIFIED
Analyzed separately
May not necessarily be BAD data
How to identify OUTLIERS?
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How to identify OUTLIERS
IQR Test, IQR (inter-quartile range) = Q1 Q3
If data is Q3 +1.5 IQR
Q1 - 1.5 IQR
How to deal the OUTLIERS?
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2 Critical Aspects
Central tendency
Spread
How to does OUTLIERS affect centrality and spread?
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CTC of TLs
Given below is a sample of monthly CTC (Rs.K) for 70 Team Leaders in BPOs based in Gurgaon.
The data are presented in ascending order.
425 430 430 435 435 435 435 435 440 440
440 440 440 445 445 445 445 445 450 450
450 450 450 450 450 460 460 460 465 465
465 470 470 472 475 475 475 480 480 480
480 485 490 490 490 500 500 500 500 510
510 515 525 525 525 535 549 550 570 570
575 575 580 590 600 600 600 600 615 615
Nurturing leaders of tomorrow
Mean
n
xx
i
N
xi
The mean of a data set is the average of all the data values.
If the data are from a sample, the mean is denoted by x-bar
.
If the data are from a population, the mean is denoted by mu
Nurturing leaders of tomorrow
80.49070
356,34
n
xx
i
425 430 430 435 435 435 435 435 440 440
440 440 440 445 445 445 445 445 450 450
450 450 450 450 450 460 460 460 465 465
465 470 470 472 475 475 475 480 480 480
480 485 490 490 490 500 500 500 500 510
510 515 525 525 525 535 549 550 570 570
575 575 580 590 600 600 600 600 615 615
CTC of TLs
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Median
The median is the measure of location most often reported for annual income and property value data
A few extremely large incomes or property values can inflate the mean
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The median of a data set is the value in the middle when the data items are arranged in ascending order.
For an odd number of observations, the median is the middle value.
For an even number of observations, the median is the average of the two middle values.
Median
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Median = 50th percentile
i = (p/100)n = (50/100)70 = 35.5
Averaging the 35th and 36th data values:
Median = (475 + 475)/2 = 475
CTC of TLs
425 430 430 435 435 435 435 435 440 440
440 440 440 445 445 445 445 445 450 450
450 450 450 450 450 460 460 460 465 465
465 470 470 472 475 475 475 480 480 480480 485 490 490 490 500 500 500 500 510
510 515 525 525 525 535 549 550 570 570
575 575 580 590 600 600 600 600 615 615
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Mode is the most frequently occurring data
The greatest frequency can occur at two or more different values
If the data have exactly two modes, the data are bimodal
If the data have more than two modes, the data are multimodal
Mode
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450 occurred most frequently (7 times)
Mode = 450
CTC of TLs
425 430 430 435 435 435 435 435 440 440
440 440 440 445 445 445 445 445 450 450450 450 450 450 450 460 460 460 465 465465 470 470 472 475 475 475 480 480 480
480 485 490 490 490 500 500 500 500 510
510 515 525 525 525 535 549 550 570 570
575 575 580 590 600 600 600 600 615 615
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Percentiles
A percentile provides information about how the data are spread over the interval from the smallest value to the largest value.
Admission test scores for colleges and universities are frequently reported in terms of percentiles.
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Percentiles
COMPA RATIO??
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The p-th percentile of a data set is a value such that at least ppercent of the items take on this value or less and at least (100 - p) percent of the items take on this value or more. Arrange the data in ascending order.
Compute index i, the position of the pth percentile.
i = (p/100)n
If i is not an integer, round up. The pth percentile is the value in the ith position.
If i is an integer, the pth percentile is the average of the values in positions i and i+1.
Percentiles
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90th Percentile
i = (p/100)n = (90/100)70 = 63
Averaging the 63rd and 64th data values:90th Percentile = (580 + 590)/2 = 585
425 430 430 435 435 435 435 435 440 440
440 440 440 445 445 445 445 445 450 450
450 450 450 450 450 460 460 460 465 465
465 470 470 472 475 475 475 480 480 480
480 485 490 490 490 500 500 500 500 510
510 515 525 525 525 535 549 550 570 570
575 575 580 590 600 600 600 600 615 615
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Compa Ratio
= actual pay / midpoint of the grade ( or mkt)
Range penetration
= (Salary Range Min)/ (Range Max-Range Min)
Group Compa Ratio??
Compa Ratio & Range Penetration
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Quartiles
Quartiles are specific percentilesFirst Quartile = 25th Percentile
Second Quartile = 50th Percentile = Median
Third Quartile = 75th Percentile
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Third Quartile
Third quartile = 75th percentile
i = (p/100)n = (75/100)70 = 52.5 = 53
Third quartile = 525
425 430 430 435 435 435 435 435 440 440
440 440 440 445 445 445 445 445 450 450
450 450 450 450 450 460 460 460 465 465
465 470 470 472 475 475 475 480 480 480
480 485 490 490 490 500 500 500 500 510
510 515 525 525 525 535 549 550 570 570
575 575 580 590 600 600 600 600 615 615
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Frequency Distribution
Used for large data set
Divide large data into smaller groups / classes with number of occurrence for each class
Class Frequency Percentage
425-449 18 25.7%
450-474 16 22.9%
475-499 11 15.7%
500-524 7 10.0%
525-549 5 7.1%
550-574 3 4.3%
575-599 4 5.7%
600-625 6 8.6%
70
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Frequency Distribution
0.0%
2.0%
4.0%
6.0%
8.0%
10.0%
12.0%
14.0%
16.0%
400 450 500 550 600 650
0.0%
5.0%
10.0%
15.0%
20.0%
25.0%
30.0%
400 450 500 550 600 650
STURGEs RULE for Number of Classes: 2k-3
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Measures of Variability
It is often desirable to consider measures of variability (dispersion), as well as measures of location.
For example, in choosing Recruitment Consultant A or B we might consider not only the average delivery time for each, but also the variability in delivery time for each.
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Range
Interquartile Range
Variance
Standard Deviation
Coefficient of Variation
Measures of Variability
Range
The range of a data set is the difference between the largest and smallest data values.
It is the simplest measure of variability.
It is very sensitive to the smallest and largest data values.
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The range of a data set is the difference between the largest and smallest data values
It is the simplest measure of variability
It is very sensitive to the smallest and largest data values
Range
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Range = largest value - smallest value
Range = 615 - 425 = 190
425 430 430 435 435 435 435 435 440 440440 440 440 445 445 445 445 445 450 450
450 450 450 450 450 460 460 460 465 465
465 470 470 472 475 475 475 480 480 480
480 485 490 490 490 500 500 500 500 510
510 515 525 525 525 535 549 550 570 570
575 575 580 590 600 600 600 600 615 615
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The inter-quartile range of a data set is the difference between the third quartile and the first quartile
It is the range for the middle 50% of the data
It overcomes the sensitivity to extreme data values
IQR = Inter Quartile Range
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Inter-quartile Range3rd Quartile (Q3) = 525
1st Quartile (Q1) = 445
Inter-quartile Range = Q3 - Q1 = 525 - 445 = 80
425 430 430 435 435 435 435 435 440 440440 440 440 445 445 445 445 445 450 450450 450 450 450 450 460 460 460 465 465
465 470 470 472 475 475 475 480 480 480
480 485 490 490 490 500 500 500 500 510
510 515 525 525 525 535 549 550 570 570575 575 580 590 600 600 600 600 615 615
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Variance
The variance is a measure of variability that utilizes all the data points
It is based on the difference between the value of each observation (xi) and the mean (x for a sample, for a population).
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Variance
The variance is the average of the squared differencesbetween each data value and the mean.
If the data set is a sample, the variance is denoted by s2.
If the data set is a population, the variance is denoted by 2.
sxi x
n
22
1
( )
22( )x
Ni
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Standard Deviation
The standard deviation of a data set is the positive square root of the variance.
It is measured in the same units as the data, making it more easily comparable, than the variance, to the mean.
If the data set is a sample, the standard deviation is denoted s.
If the data set is a population, the standard deviation is denoted (sigma).
s s2
2
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Coefficient of Variation
The coefficient of variation indicates how large the standard deviation is in relation to the mean.
If the data set is a sample, the coefficient of variation is computed as follows:
If the data set is a population, the coefficient of variation is computed as follows:
s
x( )100
( )100
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Variance
Standard Deviation
Coefficient of Variation
sxi x
n
22
12 996 16
( ), .
s s2 2996 47 54 74. .
s
x100
54 74
490 80100 1115
.
..
CTC of TL
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Mean, Median and Mode
ApplicationCompensation Benchmarking
Time to fill
Training days
Attrition
..
.
119
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2-Sigma
120
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4-Sigma
121
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6 Sigma
122
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Impact of varying mean and standard deviation
123
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124
Market CTC Data
Level Median 75P
7 8441 9921
6 4811 5367
5 2699 3079
4 1817 2032
3 1249 1445
2 841 885
1 479 523
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125
Interpret this for Your Company
Level Median 75P YourCo
7 8441 9921 11000
6 4811 5367 3800
5 2699 3079 3576
4 1817 2032 1900
3 1249 1445 1440
2 841 885 980
1 479 523 471
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126
Interpret this for YourCo
0
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12000
1 2 3 4 5 6 7
Median 75P YourCo
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127
Right visual matters for right decision
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Median 75P YourCo
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Employee Engagement Surveys
Metrics Unit Top Box Score Ratio of Engaged to Actively Disengaged
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Employee Engagement Surveys
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Plotting the Bell Curve
130
Ratings% of Rated Employees
1 2 3 4 5
Your Co 0% 3% 50% 42% 5%
Best Practice 10% 20% 40% 20% 10%
Well Performing Co 5% 15% 40% 25% 15%
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Plotting the Bell Curve
131
-10%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
Series1 Series2 Series3
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Time to Fill
132
Position Time to fill (in days)1 342 453 924 555 126 247 358 479 52
10 2111 7812 4513 6714 11015 2816 3117 6218 4019 2620 8521 1522 5323 4424 3525 3926 4927 5828 3129 3730 4031 7132 1933 6234 2235 5636 2637 3338 3839 4140 80
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Regression Analysis
1. Statically identify historical predictor of workforce size
Example: FTEs = a + b1 sales + b2 new customers
2. Only use equations with predictors found to be
statistically significant
3. Predict future HR requirements, using equation
Example: (a) FTEs = 7 + .0004 sales + .02 new
customers
(b) Projected sales = 1,000,000
Projected new customers = 300
(c) HR requirements = 7 + 400 + 6 = 413
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Measuring relationships
Does sales increase with number of sales force?
How much waiters are required if seats increase?
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Predictive Analysis
135
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Hotel rooms and attendantsRooms Attendants
200 240150 210150 150120 140125 150220 225180 200240 240250 255180 230280 260300 260305 275325 275350 420400 470425 450440 500450 475500 450500 520520 490550 525600 620620 600660 640700 660800 900
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1st Analysis
Rooms Attendants R/A
Total Population 10540 10830 1.03
Average 376 386 1.05
St Dev 191.4 191.8 0.13
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1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28
Number of Attendants
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Another Graphical Representation
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Another Graphical Representation
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Hotel Staffing
Dependent and Independent variables ???
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Size of Hotel and Attendants - Relationship
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Size of Hotel and Attendants - Relationship
A = 0.979*R + 17.91R = 0.956
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Size of Hotel and Attendants - Relationship
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0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 900
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Analyze relevant cluster
300
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300 350 400 450 500 550 600 650 700 750
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Analyze relevant cluster
A = 0.704*R + 160.4R = 0.876
300
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300 350 400 450 500 550 600 650 700 750
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t-statistic
146
Likelihood of = 0
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Regression Standard Error
147
How much are the points scattered?
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Manpower Planning using Monte Carlo Simulation
Case Study of a Loan Processing Unit of a Bank
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Manpower Planning at Starbucks
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Manpower Planning at Starbucks
No of Staff No of Days
5 4
6 10
7 16
8 50
9 62
10 38
11 12
12 8