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Leadership Atlanta December 2, 2010 1Examine the Data for Education in Georgia 2Economic Impact of Georgia Non-Graduates 3Strengthening the Birth to Work

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Leadership Atlanta

December 2, 2010

1 Examine the Data for Education in Georgia

2 Economic Impact of Georgia Non-Graduates

3 Strengthening the Birth to Work Pipeline

4 What Can We Do?

Examine the Data for Education in Georgia

Academic Achievement Milestones

School Readiness

Literacy by 3rd Grade

Numeracy by 8th Grade

High School Graduation

Workforce and/or College Ready

Percent of Children Age 3-5 Enrolled in Early Education, 2008

Source: The Annie E. Casey Foundation, KIDS COUNT Data Center.

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

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Georgia63%

UnitedStates61%

NAEP 2009 4th Grade Reading At or Above Basic

Source: National Center for Education Statistics

0

20

40

60

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100

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Georgia63%

UnitedStates65%

NAEP 2009 8th Grade Math At or Above Basic

Source: National Center for Education Statistics

0

20

40

60

80

100

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DC

UnitedStates71%

Georgia67%

SAT 2009 Scores – All States

Source: College Board, 2009 College-Bound Seniors, State and National Reports.

0

500

1000

1500

2000

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UnitedStates1509

Georgia1460

SAT 2009 Scores – States with Participation Rate At or Above 25%

Source: College Board, 2009 College-Bound Seniors, State and National Reports.

0

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UnitedStates1509

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SAT 2009 Scores – States with Participation Rate At or Above 60%

Source: College Board, 2009 College-Bound Seniors, State and National Reports.

0

500

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UnitedStates1509

Georgia1460

Source: NCES (2010). Public School Graduates and Dropouts: School Year 2007-08.

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UnitedStates74.9% Georgia

65.4%

High School Graduation Rates: State-by-State Rankings

Georgia High School Graduation Rates

Source: The Governor’s Office of Student Achievement, State Report Cards.

YearHigh School

Graduation RateNumber of High

School Non-Grads

2007 72% 28,883

2008 75% 27,248

2009 79% 23,567

2010 81% 21,803

Total 101,501

Economic Impact ofGeorgia Non-Graduates

Education Pays

Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics. Earnings & unemployment for full-time workers age 25 & older, not seasonally adjusted. Data given are 1st quarter 2010 averages.

EDUCATIONAL ATTAINMENT & EMPLOYMENT

Unemployment Rate April 2010Median Wkly Earnings

(& approx. annual)

15% 10% 5% 0% 0 200 600 1000

4.4Bachelor’s

Degree & Higher$1,140 ($59,280)

8.1Some college/

Associate Degree$738 ($38,376)

10.5HS Graduates,

No College$624 ($32,448)

14.5Less than a High School Diploma

$448 ($23,296)

Unemployment Rates by Education Level

Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, February 2010.

Unemployment Rates by County, Feb. 2010

Source: Georgia Department of Labor

State Service Delivery Regions

Economic Impact of High School Non-Completion

How much could YOUR region benefit from this additional income currently being foregone?

Source: Isley, P. & Hill, J. “Updated Economic Impact of High School Non-Completion in Georgia: 2005 Estimate,” Georgia Southern University. April 2007. *According to GSU study, totals may not add due to rounding.

Region 1 $2.2 billion

Region 2 $1.2 billion

Region 3 $4.2 billion

Region 4 $1.1 billion

Region 5 $1.1 billion

Region 6 $1.0 billion

Region 7 $1.1 billion

Region 8 $0.9 billion

Region 9 $0.9 billion

Region 10 $2.0 billion

Region 11 $1.0 billion

Region 12 $1.1 billion

TOTAL $18 billion*

Compounded Impacts of High School Non-Completion

Source: Levin, H., et al., (2007). The Costs and Benefits of an Excellent Education for All of America’s Children.

INDIVIDUALS THE COMMUNITY

Lower Lifetime Earnings Reduced buying power & tax revenues; less economic growth

Decreased health status; Higher mortality rates; More criminal activity

Higher health care & criminal justice costs

Higher teen pregnancy rates; Single motherhood

Higher public services costs

Less voting; Less volunteeringLow rate of community involvement

Strengthening the Birth to Work Pipeline

Strengthening the Birth to Work Pipeline

KEY ISSUE

#1Early Life Experiences

KEY ISSUE

#2Academic Achievement K-12

KEY ISSUE

#3Transitions to Work or College

Family Income Affects School Readiness

Source: National Center for Education Statistics. (2004). Early Longitudinal Study, Kindergarten Class of 1998-99.

Achievement Gap as Children Enter Kindergarten

0

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

9 12 15 18 21 24 27 30 33 36

Age of child in months

Voc

abu

lary

Siz

eDisparities in Early Vocabulary Growth

Source: Hart, B. and Risley, T. R. (2003). “The Early Catastrophe: The 30 Million Word Gap by Age 3.”

Professional Families 1,116 words

Working Class Families 749 words

Welfare Families 525 words

Economic Benefits of Early Education:Perry Preschool Study

41%

36%

29%

20%

13%

7%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50%

Never onwelfare as adult

Own home

Earn $2,000+monthly

Program group No-Program group

Source: Schweinhart, L.J., et al. (2005). Lifetime effects: The High/Scope Perry Preschool study through age 40.

66%

15%

45%

34%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70%

Graduated HSon Time

ReceivedSpecial

Education

Program group No-program group

Economic Benefits of Early Education:Perry Preschool Study

Source: Schweinhart, L.J., et al. (2005). Lifetime effects: The High/Scope Perry Preschool study through age 40.

Strengthening the Birth to Work Pipeline

KEY KEY ISSUE ISSUE

#1#1Early Life ExperiencesEarly Life Experiences

KEY ISSUE

#2Academic Achievement K-12

KEY KEY ISSUE ISSUE

#3#3Transitions to Work or CollegeTransitions to Work or College

6th Grade Outcomes Can Predict Failure to Graduate High School

Source: Balfanz, R. (2007). Preventing Student Disengagement and Keeping Students on the Graduation Path in Urban Middle-Grades Schools: Early Identification and Effective Intervetions.

Flag in Sixth Grade

Percent with this flag who…

Attended ≤ 80%

Failed Math

Course

Failed English Course

Suspended Out of School

Un-satisfactory

Behavior

Graduated on time 13 13 12 16 24

Did not graduate 83 81 82 80 71

Cost of Student Retention in Georgia (2009)

61,642 X $8,909 =More than $549

million

Georgia students retained in 2009

Average annual cost of education

per student

Total cost of student retention in 2009 for

Georgia

Source: Georgia Department of Education; Partnership Calculation

Example for Fulton County School System:

2,824 X $9,594 = $27,093,456

Essential Building Blocks of High Performing States

Higher Standards

Rigorous Curriculum

Clear Accountability System

Statewide Student Information System

Leadership Training

3rd Grade Reading Achievement in Georgia:Closing the Gaps

70%

80%

90%

100%

2007 2008 2009 2010

All Students Black Hispanic White

Source: Georgia Department of Education.

% of Students Meeting or Exceeding Standards

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

2007 2008 2009 2010

All Students Black Hispanic White

8th Grade Math Achievement in Georgia:Closing the Gaps

Source: Georgia Department of Education.

% of Students Meeting or Exceeding Standards

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010

All Students Black Hispanic White

High School Graduation Rates in Georgia:Closing the Gaps

Source: Georgia Department of Education.

Strengthening the Birth to Work Pipeline

KEY KEY ISSUE ISSUE

#1#1Early Life ExperiencesEarly Life Experiences

KEY KEY ISSUE ISSUE

#2#2Academic Achievement K-12Academic Achievement K-12

KEY ISSUE

#3Transitions to Work or College

Source: U.S. Department of Labor. Bureau of Labor Statistics. 2009.

The Demands of America’s New Economy

The number of jobs for workers with a bachelor’s degree or higher will increase from 38 million in 2006 to 43 million by 2016 – a growth rate of nearly 15 percent.

12 of the 20 fastest growing occupations require an associate degree or higher.

Are They College Ready?

Source: Nat’l Center for Education Statistics. “The Condition of Education: Student Effort & Educational Progress.” 2004

Educational Attainment of Remedial Coursetakers

Source: College Board, “The 6th Annual A.P. Report to the Nation: Georgia Supplement,” 2010.

Participation & Performance in AP Courses

What Can We Do?

Look at the Data for your Community

KIDS COUNT Data

Georgia Family Connection Partnership

www.gafcp.org

School and System Comparisons

Georgia School Council Institute

www.georgiaeducation.org

2009 CRCT Comparisons: 3rd Grade ReadingDunwoody Springs Charter School

Source: Georgia School Council Institute

2009 CRCT Comparisons: 8th Grade MathSandy Springs Middle School

Source: Georgia School Council Institute

2009 SAT Comparisons: Average Total ScoreRiverwood High School

Source: Georgia School Council Institute

Improving the Pipeline:Low Birth Weight in 2008

GOAL: Reduce the number of low birth weight babies by 10 percent in Fulton County.

Fulton County Georgia

Total # of births 13,712 146,464

# of low weight births 1,510 14,014

low birth weight rate 11.0% 9.6%

RESULT: 151 healthier babies!Source: Georgia Department of Community Health

1,359

9.9%

Improving the Pipeline:High School Graduation in 2010

GOAL: Improve the number of graduates by 10 percent in Fulton County.

Fulton County Georgia

Total # of Graduates 5,425 91,561

Graduation Rate 85.3% 80.8%

RESULT: 543 more high school graduates!

Source: Georgia Department of Education

5,968

93.8%

Aligning Educational Strategies

Aligned Acts of Improvement

Random Acts of Improvement

GOALS

GOALS

Insulating the Birth to Work Pipeline

LEARNING & SOCIAL SUPPORTS

Childcare Providers

Afterschool Programs

Academic Supports

Job Training

Civic Opportunities

Early Childhood

K – 12 SystemPost Secondary

Work & Career

ESSENTIAL COMMUNITY SERVICES

Transportation Health Housing Financial

Source: The Forum for Youth Investment

The Georgia Partnership is grateful to Georgia Natural Gas for its funding support.

Visit our website at www.gpee.org.