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A new set of Mainstreet/Postmedia riding polls finds the Conservatives leading in Regina Lewvan, the Liberals ahead in Saint Boniface-Saint Vital & the NDP out front in Saskatoon West. The Mainstreet/Postmedia Polls have a margin of error of 3.83%-3.85%, 19 times out of 20.
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Mainstreet surveyed a random sample of 639 Regina Lewvan residents, 651 Saint Boniface - Saint Vital residents & 658 Saskatoon West residents by Smart IVR on September 21, 2015. Mainstreet surveyed a
mixture of landlines and cell phones. Regina Lewvan margin of error: +/- 3.85%; Saint Boniface - Saint Vital margin of error: +/- 3.83%, Saskatoon West margin of error: +/- 3.83%, 19 times out of
20. Results were weighed by age & gender based on the 2011 Canadian Census.
REGINA LEWVAN, SAINT BONIFACE & SASKATOON WEST
September 25, 2015 (Toronto, ON) A new set of Mainstreet/Postmedia riding polls finds the Conservatives leading in Regina Lewvan, the Liberals ahead in Saint Boniface-Saint Vital & the NDP out front in Saskatoon West. The Mainstreet Postmedia Polls have a margin of error of 3.83%-3.85%, 19 times out of 20.
REGINA LEWVANIn Regina, we see a lead by the Conservative candidate with 34% a 6 point lead over the NDP. This race may yet tighten up with more than 3 weeks to go, but right now, it looks like Trent Fraser may have enough to win - 80% of his supporters say they wont switch, said Quito Maggi, President of Mainstreet Research.
SAINT BONIFACE - SAINT VITALIn Saint Boniface, the Liberals have a lead with 33% and 37% among decided and leaning voters. This looks to be a chance for Liberal candidate Vandal to add to the Liberal seat count in Manitoba. We are expecting a dicult climate for the Conservatives in the province particularly in the city of Winnipeg.
SASKATOON WESTSaskatoon West will be one of those rare three way races that we don't often see in federal or provincial elections in Canada. Although the NDPs Benson leads over Conservative Randy Donaur by 6%, the third place Liberals are not far o with 22%. It's still anybody's to win, with three weeks to go, this will be a fun finish to watch though Benson is favoured, finished Maggi.
ABOUT MAINSTREETMainstreet is a national public research firm. With 20 years of political experience at all three levels of government, President and CEO Quito Maggi is a respected commentator on Canadian public aairs.
Dierentiated by its large sample sizes, Mainstreet has provided accurate snapshots of public opinion, having predicted a majority NDP government in Alberta (2015), a majority Liberal government in British Columbia, and a majority Liberal government in Ontario. Most recently, Mainstreet was the most accurate pollster of Novembers Toronto mayoral election.
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Available for phone interview: Quito Maggi, President - [email protected]
"Exclusive Mainstreet/Postmedia polls are protected by copyright. The information and/or data may only be rebroadcast or republished with full and proper credit and attribution to Mainstreet/Postmedia.
A2
Who would you vote for if a federal election were held today?
A3
Fraser Weir Browne UndecidedFriesen
ReginaLewvan
TRENT FRASER (CPC)ERIN WEIR (NDP)LOUIS BROWNE (LPC)TAMELA FRIESEN (GPC)UNDECIDED
Certain35%29%29%4%15%
Likely29%28%18%2%
22%
Unlikely38%9%3%4%47%
Might23%28%10%0%39%
TRENT FRASER (CPC)ERIN WEIR (NDP)LOUIS BROWNE (LPC)TAMELA FRIESEN (GPC)UNDECIDEDSAMPLE
18-3429%32%24%2%13%97
35-4938%27%16%3%17%137
50-6432%28%12%5%
22%175
65+40%26%13%5%16%230
Female34%29%13%5%19%385
Male34%28%21%3%15%254
All Voters Decided & Leaning
34%
17%
28%
4% 17%
40% 1%234%
5%
Do you consider yourself to be a strong supporter of this party, or is there a chance you will change your mind before the next election?
And, which party are you leaning toward voting for?
A4
ReginaLewvan
STRONG SUPPORTERMIGHT CHANGE MINDDONT KNOW
CPC80%17%3%
NDP59%29%12%
LPC54%30%17%
Fraser Weir Browne UndecidedFriesen
10%
9%
11%
2%
68%
Who would you vote for if a federal election were held today?
A5
Catellier Selby Vandal UndecidedZaretski
Saint BonifaceSaint Vital
All Voters Decided & Leaning
28%
21%
33%
4% 14%
33%
25%
37%
5%
FRANCOIS CATELLIER (CPC)ERIN SELBY (NDP)DAN VANDAL (LPC)GLENN ZARETSKI (GPC)UNDECIDED
Certain28%23%34%3%12%
Likely25%14%38%3%
20%
Unlikely28%5%10%33%24%
Might13%14%23%0%
50%
FRANCOIS CATELLIER (CPC)ERIN SELBY (NDP)DAN VANDAL (LPC)GLENN ZARETSKI (GPC)UNDECIDEDSAMPLE
18-3429%17%36%4%13%89
35-4925%24%29%5%18%175
50-6428%23%34%3%12%225
65+34%22%32%3%10%162
Female23%23%37%3%13%390
Male33%19%28%5%15%261
Do you consider yourself to be a strong supporter of this party, or is there a chance you will change your mind before the next election?
And, which party are you leaning toward voting for?
A6
Saint BonifaceSaint Vital
STRONG SUPPORTERMIGHT CHANGE MINDDONT KNOW
CPC81%17%2%
NDP48%48%4%
LPC53%39%8%
19%
12%
5%
4%
60%
Catellier Selby Vandal UndecidedZaretski
Who would you vote for if a federal election were held today?
A7
RANDY DONAUER (CPC)SHERI BENSON (NDP)LISA ABBOTT (LPC)GLENDON TOEWS (GPC)UNDECIDEDSAMPLE
18-3417%38%21%14%10%86
35-4926%27%31%3%13%123
50-6434%22%16%8%
20%208
65+26%27%19%6%22%241
Female26%31%22%7%14%335
Male25%32%22%9%12%323
RANDY DONAUER (CPC)SHERI BENSON (NDP)LISA ABBOTT (LPC)GLENDON TOEWS (GPC)UNDECIDED
Certain26%31%23%8%13%
Likely29%39%18%2%13%
Unlikely15%42%13%10%20%
Might30%32%23%0%15%
Saskatoon West
Donauer Benson Abbott UndecidedToews
All Voters Decided & Leaning
26%
32%
22%
8% 13%
31%
36%
25%
9%
Do you consider yourself to be a strong supporter of this party, or is there a chance you will change your mind before the next election?
STRONG SUPPORTERMIGHT CHANGE MINDDONT KNOW
And, which party are you leaning toward voting for?
A8
Saskatoon West
Donauer Benson Abbott UndecidedToews
23%
11%
13%
2%
51%
CPC81%17%2%
NDP48%48%4%
LPC53%39%8%
How likely are you to vote in the upcoming Federal election?CertainLikelyMight
Unlikely
Who would you vote for if a federal election were held today? Trent Fraser of the Conservative Party led by Stephen Harper
Erin Weir of the NDP led by Tom MulcairLouis Browne of the Liberal Party led by Justin Trudeau
Tamela Friesen of the Green Party led Elizabeth MayUndecided
And, which party are you leaning toward voting for? [UD ONLY]Trent Fraser of the Conservative Party led by Stephen Harper
Erin Weir of the NDP led by Tom MulcairLouis Browne of the Liberal Party led by Justin Trudeau
Tamela Friesen of the Green Party led Elizabeth MayUndecided
Do you consider yourself to be a strong supporter of this party, or is there a chance you will change your mind before the next election? [DECIDED ONLY]
Strong supporterMight change your mind
Dont know
REGINA LEWVAN SCRIPT
A9
How likely are you to vote in the upcoming Federal election?CertainLikelyMight
Unlikely
Who would you vote for if a federal election were held today? Francois Catellier of the Conservative Party led by Stephen Harper
Erin Selby of the NDP led by Tom MulcairDan Vandal of the Liberal Party led by Justin TrudeauGlenn Zaretski of the Green Party led Elizabeth May
Undecided
And, which party are you leaning toward voting for? [UD ONLY]Francois Catellier of the Conservative Party led by Stephen Harper
Erin Selby of the NDP led by Tom MulcairDan Vandal of the Liberal Party led by Justin TrudeauGlenn Zaretski of the Green Party led Elizabeth May
Undecided
Do you consider yourself to be a strong supporter of this party, or is there a chance you will change your mind before the next election? [DECIDED ONLY]
Strong supporterMight change your mind
Dont know
SAINT BONIFACE-SAINT VITAL SCRIPT
A10
How likely are you to vote in the upcoming Federal election?CertainLikelyMight
Unlikely
Who would you vote for if a federal election were held today? Randy Donauer of the Conservative Party led by Stephen Harper Sheri Benson of the NDP led by Tom Mulcair Lisa Abbott of the Liberal Party led by Justin Trudeau Glendon Toews of the Green Party led Elizabeth May
Undecided
And, which party are you leaning toward voting for? [UD ONLY]Randy Donauer of the Conservative Party led by Stephen Harper
Sheri Benson of the NDP led by Tom Mulcair Lisa Abbott of the Liberal Party led by Justin Trudeau Glendon Toews of the Green Party led Elizabeth May
Undecided
Do you consider yourself to be a strong supporter of this party, or is there a chance you will change your mind before the next election? [DECIDED ONLY]
Strong supporterMight change your mind
Dont know
SASKATOON WEST SCRIPT
A11
2015 Mainstreet Research. All rights reserved
Mainstreet is a national public research firm. With 20 years of political experience at all three levels of government, President and CEO Quito Maggi is a respected commentator on Canadian public aairs.
Dierentiated by its large sample sizes, Mainstreet has provided accurate snapshots of public opinion, having predicted a majority NDP government in Alberta (2015), a majority Liberal government in British Columbia, and a majority Liberal government in Ontario. Most recently, Mainstreet was the most accurate pollster of Novembers Toronto mayoral election.