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John Halliwell EPRI Senior Project Manager
Tennessee Environmental Conference – Energy Workshop EV Panel Discussion
March 13, 2013
Plug-In Electric Vehicle Update
2 © 2013 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.
EPRI’s History…
• Founded by and for the electricity industry in 1973
• Independent, nonprofit center for public interest energy and environmental research
• Collaborative resource for the electricity sector
• Major offices in Palo Alto, CA; Charlotte, NC; Knoxville, TN – Laboratories in Knoxville,
Charlotte and Lenox, MA Chauncey Starr EPRI Founder
3 © 2013 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.
And a “plug” for Plug In…
http://www.plugin2013.com/
4 © 2013 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.
From the Energy Information Administration (EIA) Web Site: Why Worry about Vehicles?
The US consumes about 900
million (that’s 900,000,000) gallons of oil
per day
About 45% of that goes to
transportation
We use about 370 million gallons of
gasoline a day www.eia.gov
5 © 2013 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.
2012 2013 2014
Tesla Roadster since 2008
Mitsubishi I Launch Early 2012
Nissan LEAF since 2010
Ford Focus Electric Launch Early 2012
BMW ActiveE trial begins 2012
Fisker Karma Launch 2011
smart fortwo electric drive Launch 2012
Toyota Plug In Prius Launches Early 2012
Chevrolet Volt since 2010
Tesla Model S Launches Mid-2012
Tesla Model X Launch 2013
Toyota RAV4 EV Launch 2013
Chevrolet Spark Launch 2013
Ford C-MAX Energi Launch Late 2012
Ford Fusion Energi Launch 2013
Cadillac ELR Launch 2014
BYD e6 Launch 2013 CODA Sedan Launch
Early 2012 BYD F3DM Launch 2013
Volvo C30 Electric Launch 2013
Toyota FT-EV Launch 2013
BMW i3 Launch 2013
BMW i8 Launch 2014
Volkswagen E-Golf Launch 2014
Volvo V70 PHEV Launch 2014
Honda Fit EV Launch Late 2012
Volkswagen E-Bugster Launch 2014
Mitsubishi Px-MiEV Launch 2014
Audi A1 E-Tron Launch 2014
Scion iQ Launch Late 2012
Kia Ray Launch 2014
Hyundai BlueOn Launch 2014
Source: EEI
6 © 2013 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.
U.S. Cumulative PEV Sales to Date
-
10,000
20,000
30,000
40,000
50,000
60,000
70,000
80,000
90,000
Dec
-14
Jan-
15
Feb-
15
Mar
-15
Apr
-15
May
-15
Jun-
15
Jul-1
5 A
ug-1
5 S
ep-1
5 O
ct-1
5 N
ov-1
5 D
ec-1
5 Ja
n-16
Fe
b-16
M
ar-1
6 A
pr-1
6 M
ay-1
6 Ju
n-16
Ju
l-16
Aug
-16
Sep
-16
Oct
-16
Nov
-16
Dec
-16
Jan-
17
Feb-
17
Cum
ulat
ive
PEV
Sale
s
LEAF Volt Tesla Prius Plug-in Ford Energi (C-Max & Fusion) Other
J.D. Powers Press Release Indicated that Tennessee is
9th in US PEV Sales as of October 2012
7 © 2013 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.
-
10,000
20,000
30,000
40,000
50,000
60,000
70,000
80,000
90,000
Dec
-03
Jan-
04
Feb-
04
Mar
-04
Apr
-04
May
-04
Jun-
04
Jul-0
4 A
ug-0
4 S
ep-0
4 O
ct-0
4 N
ov-0
4 D
ec-0
4 Ja
n-05
Fe
b-05
M
ar-0
5 A
pr-0
5 M
ay-0
5 Ju
n-05
Ju
l-05
Aug
-05
Sep
-05
Oct
-05
Nov
-05
Dec
-05
Jan-
06
Feb-
06
Cum
ulat
ive
HEV
Sal
es
Insight Prius
Compared to Previous Hybrid Electric Vehicle Sales
8 © 2013 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
18
20
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Cumula&
ve PEV
s (tho
usan
d vehicles)
Low Medium High
Predicted Population of Plug-In Vehicles for Tennessee – EPRI Research Estimate
9 © 2013 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.
Top Ten Tennessee Counties Listed By Expected PEV Population Davidson
Shelby Knox
Hamilton Williamson
Sullivan Rutherford Sumner Blount Washington
Nashville
Nashville area
Nashville area Nashville area
Memphis Knoxville Chattanooga
Bristol/Kingsport
Knoxville area
Johnson City
10 © 2013 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.
Non-Residential Infrastructure Main Objectives:
11 © 2013 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.
300 322
398
76
394
551
733
946
376
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
900
1000
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
Num
ber o
f New
EVS
E In
stal
latio
ns
Workplace Public Cumulative
Estimates of New EVSE Installations to Match Projected PEV Growth
2 per PEV
1.5 per PEV 1 per PEV
12 © 2013 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.
Map Key
13 © 2013 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.
Station Locations Based on Population and Traffic Flows
14 © 2013 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.
West Tennessee
15 © 2013 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.
Central Tennessee
16 © 2013 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.
East Tennessee
17 © 2013 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.
Together…Shaping the Future of Electricity