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Presented by: Dennis A. Balint, Carl Eidsath, Michelle McNeil/Jennifer Olmstead

Presented by: Dennis A. Balint, Carl Eidsath, Michelle ...cetulare.ucanr.edu/files/161802.pdfDennis A. Balint, Carl Eidsath, Michelle McNeil/Jennifer Olmstead . 1. Position walnuts

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Page 1: Presented by: Dennis A. Balint, Carl Eidsath, Michelle ...cetulare.ucanr.edu/files/161802.pdfDennis A. Balint, Carl Eidsath, Michelle McNeil/Jennifer Olmstead . 1. Position walnuts

Presented by: Dennis A. Balint, Carl Eidsath, Michelle McNeil/Jennifer Olmstead

Page 2: Presented by: Dennis A. Balint, Carl Eidsath, Michelle ...cetulare.ucanr.edu/files/161802.pdfDennis A. Balint, Carl Eidsath, Michelle McNeil/Jennifer Olmstead . 1. Position walnuts

1. Position walnuts as a healthy food

2. Open and develop new markets

3. Improve production practices

The result?

Economic Growth of the California Walnut Industry

Page 3: Presented by: Dennis A. Balint, Carl Eidsath, Michelle ...cetulare.ucanr.edu/files/161802.pdfDennis A. Balint, Carl Eidsath, Michelle McNeil/Jennifer Olmstead . 1. Position walnuts

Production Research Food Safety Grades & Standards Section 18 U.S. Marketing to Build Demand Volume Control USDA Surplus Control Buys (i.e. School Lunch Program)

Page 4: Presented by: Dennis A. Balint, Carl Eidsath, Michelle ...cetulare.ucanr.edu/files/161802.pdfDennis A. Balint, Carl Eidsath, Michelle McNeil/Jennifer Olmstead . 1. Position walnuts

Health Research U.S. & International Market Development Educate government officials Trade Policy (FTA) Regulatory Issues Communication within the Industry Contract Flexibility

Page 5: Presented by: Dennis A. Balint, Carl Eidsath, Michelle ...cetulare.ucanr.edu/files/161802.pdfDennis A. Balint, Carl Eidsath, Michelle McNeil/Jennifer Olmstead . 1. Position walnuts

192

245

100

120

140

160

180

200

220

240

'96 '97 '98 '99 '00 '01 '02 '03 '04 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10 '11 '12

Th

ou

san

d A

cre

s

Bearing Acreage Linear (Bearing Acreage)

Page 6: Presented by: Dennis A. Balint, Carl Eidsath, Michelle ...cetulare.ucanr.edu/files/161802.pdfDennis A. Balint, Carl Eidsath, Michelle McNeil/Jennifer Olmstead . 1. Position walnuts

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

'00 '01 '02 '03 '04 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10 '11 '12

Sho

rt T

on

s (i

n t

ho

usa

nd

s)

Crop Year

Page 7: Presented by: Dennis A. Balint, Carl Eidsath, Michelle ...cetulare.ucanr.edu/files/161802.pdfDennis A. Balint, Carl Eidsath, Michelle McNeil/Jennifer Olmstead . 1. Position walnuts

$0.62 $0.56 $0.59 $0.58

$0.70 $0.79 $0.82

$1.15

$0.64

$0.86

$1.02

$1.46

$-

$0.20

$0.40

$0.60

$0.80

$1.00

$1.20

$1.40

$1.60

'00 '01 '02 '03 '04 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10 '11

Ave

rag

e P

rice

Pe

r P

ou

nd

Crop Year

Page 8: Presented by: Dennis A. Balint, Carl Eidsath, Michelle ...cetulare.ucanr.edu/files/161802.pdfDennis A. Balint, Carl Eidsath, Michelle McNeil/Jennifer Olmstead . 1. Position walnuts

$-

$0.20

$0.40

$0.60

$0.80

$1.00

$1.20

$1.40

$1.60

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

'00 '01 '02 '03 '04 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10 '11

Ave

rag

e P

rice

Pe

r P

ou

nd

To

ns

(in

th

ou

san

ds)

Tons Average Price Linear (Tons) Linear (Average Price)

Page 9: Presented by: Dennis A. Balint, Carl Eidsath, Michelle ...cetulare.ucanr.edu/files/161802.pdfDennis A. Balint, Carl Eidsath, Michelle McNeil/Jennifer Olmstead . 1. Position walnuts

0

100

200

300

400

500

$-

$200,000.00

$400,000.00

$600,000.00

$800,000.00

$1,000,000.00

$1,200,000.00

$1,400,000.00

'99 '00 '01 '02 '03 '04 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10 11

Total Value (in thousands) Production (in thousands of tons) Linear (Total Value (in thousands)) Linear (Production (in thousands of tons))

Source: 2011 California Walnut Acreage Report; USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service

Page 10: Presented by: Dennis A. Balint, Carl Eidsath, Michelle ...cetulare.ucanr.edu/files/161802.pdfDennis A. Balint, Carl Eidsath, Michelle McNeil/Jennifer Olmstead . 1. Position walnuts

0

100,000

200,000

300,000

400,000

500,000

600,000

700,000

2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011

Insh

ell

Eq

uiv

ale

nt

Po

un

ds

(in

th

ou

san

ds)

Domestic Export Linear (Domestic) Linear (Export)

Page 11: Presented by: Dennis A. Balint, Carl Eidsath, Michelle ...cetulare.ucanr.edu/files/161802.pdfDennis A. Balint, Carl Eidsath, Michelle McNeil/Jennifer Olmstead . 1. Position walnuts

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

Po

un

ds

(Mil

lio

ns)

Page 12: Presented by: Dennis A. Balint, Carl Eidsath, Michelle ...cetulare.ucanr.edu/files/161802.pdfDennis A. Balint, Carl Eidsath, Michelle McNeil/Jennifer Olmstead . 1. Position walnuts

0

100

200

300

400

500

Po

un

ds

(Mil

lio

ns)

Page 13: Presented by: Dennis A. Balint, Carl Eidsath, Michelle ...cetulare.ucanr.edu/files/161802.pdfDennis A. Balint, Carl Eidsath, Michelle McNeil/Jennifer Olmstead . 1. Position walnuts

1970’s TODAY

YOUR ASSESSMENT AT WORK: PRODUCTION RESEARCH ACHIEVEMENTS

Page 14: Presented by: Dennis A. Balint, Carl Eidsath, Michelle ...cetulare.ucanr.edu/files/161802.pdfDennis A. Balint, Carl Eidsath, Michelle McNeil/Jennifer Olmstead . 1. Position walnuts
Page 15: Presented by: Dennis A. Balint, Carl Eidsath, Michelle ...cetulare.ucanr.edu/files/161802.pdfDennis A. Balint, Carl Eidsath, Michelle McNeil/Jennifer Olmstead . 1. Position walnuts
Page 16: Presented by: Dennis A. Balint, Carl Eidsath, Michelle ...cetulare.ucanr.edu/files/161802.pdfDennis A. Balint, Carl Eidsath, Michelle McNeil/Jennifer Olmstead . 1. Position walnuts

1971

Ethephon spray for early harvest

Codling moth pheromone

1975

‘Blackline’ virus discovered

1977

Identified 13 species of Phytophthora causing root and crown rot

1979

‘Chandler’ and ‘Howard’ released

95,285 acres Chandler

22,461 acres Howard

Page 17: Presented by: Dennis A. Balint, Carl Eidsath, Michelle ...cetulare.ucanr.edu/files/161802.pdfDennis A. Balint, Carl Eidsath, Michelle McNeil/Jennifer Olmstead . 1. Position walnuts

1980’s

Higher planting densities

Mechanical hedging & pruning

1993

‘Tulare’ released.

Ranked #3 in 2011 plantings

1994

‘Manex’ Section 18 registration for blight control.

20 years (longest on record)

1996

‘Paradox’ Genetic Diversity Study started.

Page 18: Presented by: Dennis A. Balint, Carl Eidsath, Michelle ...cetulare.ucanr.edu/files/161802.pdfDennis A. Balint, Carl Eidsath, Michelle McNeil/Jennifer Olmstead . 1. Position walnuts

2007

Clonal paradox VX211 and RX1 released

Nematode tolerant

2010

Walnut Genome mapped

2012

First application of genomics to walnut breeding

2012

25 years of replant research continues

Regulatory pressure

Page 19: Presented by: Dennis A. Balint, Carl Eidsath, Michelle ...cetulare.ucanr.edu/files/161802.pdfDennis A. Balint, Carl Eidsath, Michelle McNeil/Jennifer Olmstead . 1. Position walnuts

1990’s TODAY

YOUR ASSESSMENT AT WORK: HEALTH RESEARCH ACHIEVEMENTS

Page 20: Presented by: Dennis A. Balint, Carl Eidsath, Michelle ...cetulare.ucanr.edu/files/161802.pdfDennis A. Balint, Carl Eidsath, Michelle McNeil/Jennifer Olmstead . 1. Position walnuts

1987

Research shows 0% like walnuts for health benefits.

US shipments – 93 million pounds

1991

First health study begins at Loma Linda University

1993

Study publishes in New England Journal of Medicine – 244 million impressions

1995

CWC forms Scientific Advisory Council

Page 21: Presented by: Dennis A. Balint, Carl Eidsath, Michelle ...cetulare.ucanr.edu/files/161802.pdfDennis A. Balint, Carl Eidsath, Michelle McNeil/Jennifer Olmstead . 1. Position walnuts

2001

Barcelona Walnut Trial Publishes

268 million PR impressions

2003

PREDIMED Trial Begins in Spain

2004

Walnuts Receive FDA Health Claim

1.4 billion PR impressions

2005

Receive the 1st research grant from American Institute for Cancer Research

Page 22: Presented by: Dennis A. Balint, Carl Eidsath, Michelle ...cetulare.ucanr.edu/files/161802.pdfDennis A. Balint, Carl Eidsath, Michelle McNeil/Jennifer Olmstead . 1. Position walnuts

2011

2nd Breast Cancer Study Receives 738 million impressions

2011

Health is the #1 reason for purchase

86% say walnuts are healthy

2011

AHA Certification of Walnuts

2012

Walnuts Receive 4 Health Claims from European Union (1 specific)

189 million shelled pounds shipped in 2011

Page 23: Presented by: Dennis A. Balint, Carl Eidsath, Michelle ...cetulare.ucanr.edu/files/161802.pdfDennis A. Balint, Carl Eidsath, Michelle McNeil/Jennifer Olmstead . 1. Position walnuts

85 Published Papers to Date Recently Published

UCLA (Robbins) – Male Reproductive Health Harvard (Hu) – Alpha-Linolenic Acid Penn State (Van Den Heuval) – Breast Cancer Tufts University (Carey) – Cognitive Function

In Progress (30)

Cardiovascular Cancer Cognitive Function Diabetes Male Reproductive Health Weight Management

8 in 10 PR impressions health-related

Page 24: Presented by: Dennis A. Balint, Carl Eidsath, Michelle ...cetulare.ucanr.edu/files/161802.pdfDennis A. Balint, Carl Eidsath, Michelle McNeil/Jennifer Olmstead . 1. Position walnuts

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

1993 1996 2000 2004 2008 2009 2011

% of Consumers Using More Walnuts Because They Are Healthy/Good For You/Nutritious

Page 25: Presented by: Dennis A. Balint, Carl Eidsath, Michelle ...cetulare.ucanr.edu/files/161802.pdfDennis A. Balint, Carl Eidsath, Michelle McNeil/Jennifer Olmstead . 1. Position walnuts

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

1993 1996 2000 2004 2008 2009 2011

% of Consumers Using Walnuts For Baking

% Snacking Usage

% Salad Usage

Page 26: Presented by: Dennis A. Balint, Carl Eidsath, Michelle ...cetulare.ucanr.edu/files/161802.pdfDennis A. Balint, Carl Eidsath, Michelle McNeil/Jennifer Olmstead . 1. Position walnuts

1980’s TODAY

YOUR ASSESSMENT AT WORK: MARKET DEVELOPMENT ACHIEVEMENTS

Page 27: Presented by: Dennis A. Balint, Carl Eidsath, Michelle ...cetulare.ucanr.edu/files/161802.pdfDennis A. Balint, Carl Eidsath, Michelle McNeil/Jennifer Olmstead . 1. Position walnuts

1994

Shelled Market Access Granted

2006

Inshell Market Access Granted

2008

U.S. Korea Free Trade Agreement Developed

2012

U.S. Korea Free Trade Agreement Enacted

Page 28: Presented by: Dennis A. Balint, Carl Eidsath, Michelle ...cetulare.ucanr.edu/files/161802.pdfDennis A. Balint, Carl Eidsath, Michelle McNeil/Jennifer Olmstead . 1. Position walnuts

1986

Inshell Market Access Granted

1989

New Product Development Competition Begins

2012

Bakery Sector continues to account for 70+% of total volume shipped

2012

Market Share in 1989 from 40% vs. 96% Today

Page 29: Presented by: Dennis A. Balint, Carl Eidsath, Michelle ...cetulare.ucanr.edu/files/161802.pdfDennis A. Balint, Carl Eidsath, Michelle McNeil/Jennifer Olmstead . 1. Position walnuts

1999

First shipments to China

2008

CWC Program Begins

Reached 27 million lbs. in shipments

2010

First Health Research Study publishes in China

2012

China shipments account for 101 million lbs.

Page 30: Presented by: Dennis A. Balint, Carl Eidsath, Michelle ...cetulare.ucanr.edu/files/161802.pdfDennis A. Balint, Carl Eidsath, Michelle McNeil/Jennifer Olmstead . 1. Position walnuts

Coming Soon - 2013

India Market Access

Protocol Pending

Page 31: Presented by: Dennis A. Balint, Carl Eidsath, Michelle ...cetulare.ucanr.edu/files/161802.pdfDennis A. Balint, Carl Eidsath, Michelle McNeil/Jennifer Olmstead . 1. Position walnuts

Export growth 52M tons 1985 to 263M tons in 2011

406% increase

Page 32: Presented by: Dennis A. Balint, Carl Eidsath, Michelle ...cetulare.ucanr.edu/files/161802.pdfDennis A. Balint, Carl Eidsath, Michelle McNeil/Jennifer Olmstead . 1. Position walnuts
Page 33: Presented by: Dennis A. Balint, Carl Eidsath, Michelle ...cetulare.ucanr.edu/files/161802.pdfDennis A. Balint, Carl Eidsath, Michelle McNeil/Jennifer Olmstead . 1. Position walnuts
Page 34: Presented by: Dennis A. Balint, Carl Eidsath, Michelle ...cetulare.ucanr.edu/files/161802.pdfDennis A. Balint, Carl Eidsath, Michelle McNeil/Jennifer Olmstead . 1. Position walnuts

Better Homes & Gardens Cooking Light Eating Well Health Martha Stewart Living Real Simple Saveur Sunset Women’s Health

$2 million

investment

314 million

impressions

Page 35: Presented by: Dennis A. Balint, Carl Eidsath, Michelle ...cetulare.ucanr.edu/files/161802.pdfDennis A. Balint, Carl Eidsath, Michelle McNeil/Jennifer Olmstead . 1. Position walnuts

Health Related Media Coverage Drives Consumption

60 % of media coverage in Japan & Korea health related

Secret of Healthy Human Life (Korea)

NHK’s Asa-ichi (Japan)

Retail sales increases of up to 600%, post air

Page 36: Presented by: Dennis A. Balint, Carl Eidsath, Michelle ...cetulare.ucanr.edu/files/161802.pdfDennis A. Balint, Carl Eidsath, Michelle McNeil/Jennifer Olmstead . 1. Position walnuts

Korea Retail Sales Competition China Retail Promotions

Page 37: Presented by: Dennis A. Balint, Carl Eidsath, Michelle ...cetulare.ucanr.edu/files/161802.pdfDennis A. Balint, Carl Eidsath, Michelle McNeil/Jennifer Olmstead . 1. Position walnuts
Page 38: Presented by: Dennis A. Balint, Carl Eidsath, Michelle ...cetulare.ucanr.edu/files/161802.pdfDennis A. Balint, Carl Eidsath, Michelle McNeil/Jennifer Olmstead . 1. Position walnuts

YOUR ASSESSMENT AT WORK: IN SUMMARY

Page 39: Presented by: Dennis A. Balint, Carl Eidsath, Michelle ...cetulare.ucanr.edu/files/161802.pdfDennis A. Balint, Carl Eidsath, Michelle McNeil/Jennifer Olmstead . 1. Position walnuts

1. Position walnuts as a healthy food

2. Open and develop new markets

3. Improve production practices

The result?

Economic Growth of the California Walnut Industry

Page 40: Presented by: Dennis A. Balint, Carl Eidsath, Michelle ...cetulare.ucanr.edu/files/161802.pdfDennis A. Balint, Carl Eidsath, Michelle McNeil/Jennifer Olmstead . 1. Position walnuts

California Walnut Commission 101 Parkshore Drive, Suite 250

Folsom, CA 95630 (916) 932-7070

www.walnuts.org