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Temu Bisnis FMIPA IPB dalam #30thFMIPA 2012
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COOPERATION BETWEEN UNIVERSITIES AND BUSINESSES
Hand-in-hand Creating a Brighter Future
Prof. Roy Sembel, PhDBogor, 11 Oktober 2012
Twitter: @ProfRoySembel; Facebook: Prof. Roy Sembel
PROF. ROY SEMBELEDUCATION1982-86 IPB, Bogor. FMIPA. Major: Statistics, Minor: Economics; Ir., Best Graduate, Cum
Laude 1988-90 Rotterdam School of Management, Erasmus University Rotterdam and The Wharton
School, University of Pennsylvania PhiladelphiaMBA, Finance/Banking, Best Graduate, With Honours
1991-96 J.M.Katz Graduate School of Business, University of Pittsburgh; Major: Corporate Finance; Minor: Econometrics; PhD; Dissertation: “IPO Anomalies, Truncated Excess Supply, and Heterogeneous Information”
1997-98 Economics & Finance Staff, Office of Dr (HC) Radius Prawiro, Jakarta.2000 ACUCA Lecturer: Japan, South Korea, Taiwan, Hong Kong, The Philippines, Thailand1987-Now Lecturer, Faculty of Economics, Christian University of Indonesia, Jakarta.1997-2001 Visiting Lecturer at IPMI, Institut PPM, Magister Management Program University of Indonesia, University of Sam Ratulangi, Universitas Lampung, Magister Akuntansi & Post Graduate (S2 & S3) Program Faculty of Economics University of Indonesia, Pelita Harapan University. Subjects: Investment Analysis and Risk Management, Corporate Finance, International Finance, Derivative Securities, Managerial Economics, Banks & Capital Markets, eBusiness Management.
WORK EXPERIENCE1984-87 Teaching Assistant, FMIPA, IPB.1990 Internship; ABN Bank, European Treasury Department, Amsterdam.1990-91 Corporate Banking; ABN AMRO Bank Amsterdam1994-96 Teaching Assistant, University of Pittsburgh.1994-2000 Co-founder Indonesian Physics Olympic Team /TOFI Foundation & Indonesian Computer Olympic Foundation TOKI
1998-2001 McKinsey & Co, Jakarta2001-2006 Direktur Program Magister Manajemen Keuangan Universitas Bina Nusantara, Co-founder Indonesia Learning Institute (InLIne), Indonesia School of Life (InSchoOL)2005-2007 Komisaris Independen & Ketua Komite Pemantau Risiko PT Bank Niaga Tbk2005- Professor in Financial Economics;
Charter member Lembaga Komisaris dan Direksi Indonesia2006-2008 Academic Expert Advisor, Universitas Ciputra Surabaya, 2006- Owner/Komisaris (PT. Mobee Indonesia, PT MARS Indonesia)2007- Supervisory Committee Asian Bond Fund Indonesia (TCW Bahana/BI),
Ketua Komite Sertifikasi FPSB Indonesia 2007-2008 Pejabat Dekan FE Universitas Multimedia Nusantara (UMN)
Ketua Umum Partai Barisan Nasional (BARNAS)2008 Board of Advisor UMN2008-2009 Ketua Dewan Pembina Partai Barisan Nasional (BARNAS)2008-2010 Chairman CAPITAL PRICE2009-2010 Dean of Business School and Director of Graduate Program, UPH2010- Direktur PT Bursa Berjangka Jakarta
MISCELLANEOUS Speaker in many seminars in Indonesia, USA, and Europe. Writer of more than 1000 articles in KONTAN, GATRA, Sinar Harapan, SWA, Bisnis Indonesia, KOMPAS, Investor, Investor Daily, Warta Ekonomi, Manajemen & Usahawan Indonesia, InfoBank, Jurnal Pasar Modal, Media Akuntansi, DIA, Bahana, Jurnal Ekonomi UKI, JAKI, JBR, Scripta Economica UPH, Jurnal, Sinergi MMUII, published books, Internet.
Prof. Roy Sembel, Ph.D4
AGENDA
• POTENSI EKONOMI INDONESIA
• POTENSI KERJASAMA PERGURUAN TINGGI DAN PERUSAHAAN
5
GLOBAL ECONOMY:THE YEARS OF LIVING DANGEROUSLY UNPRECEDENTED EVENTS HAPPENED EVERYWHERE…..
ENRON
LEHMAN BROTHERS
GIPSI (GREECE, IRELAND, PORTUGAL, SPAIN, ITALY) CRISIS
SUBPRIME MORTGAGE
CORRUPTION CASES
QSAR
INVESTMENT FRAUD
BERNIE MADOFF
MIDDLE EAST CRISES
DOWNGRADE USA,
EUROPE
6
危 机
7
GOOD NEWS AND BAD NEWSGOOD NEWS:+ GDPGROWTH: Chindonesia+ GDP / CAPITA > US$ 3500+ G 20+ DEMOKRASI DAMAI+ INFLASI TERKENDALI+ NATIONAL HERRITAGE+ PENETRASI PONSEL > 80%+ ALTERNATIVE ENERGY+ IHSG > 4200+ BB+ BBB+ USD ~ Rp 9500+ CADANGAN DEVISA > $ 110 M+ TOTAL EKSPOR ~ $200 M+ TOTAL PONSEL > 200 Jt+ PENDUDUK BERPENGHASILAN $10-20/HARI NAIK 5 X LIPAT DALAM 10 TAHUN
BAD NEWS:- HIGH UNEMPLOYMENT- PERTUMBUHAN TERPUSAT- HDI RANK- CORRUPTION PERCEPTION INDEX RANK- DEFORRESTRATION- INDEKS KEMUDAHAN BERBISNIS- DISTRIBUSI PENDAPATAN- INFRASTRUKTUR- DISTORSI PASAR- FUNDING COST- KETERSEDIAAN ENERGI (LISTRIK, DISTRIBUSI BBM, dll)- LOW PERFORNANCE-BASED CULTURE- LOW DOMESTIC INVESTOR BASE
8
OUTLOOK 2012
.
Indicator 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012BI Rate 9,25% 6,50% 6,50% 6,0% 5,75%
Inflation rate 11% 2,8% 7% 3,8% 5%GDP growth 6,1% 4,5% 6,1% 6,5% 6,3%GDP / capita (USD) 2020 2300 3000 3500 4000USD (Rp/US$) 11500 9450 9000 9000 9500IHSGUnemployment
13558,6%
25347,9%
37007,5%
3823 45006,5% 5,8%
Reserves ($ Bn) 51,7 66,1 93 115 115
* Sources: data base CAPITAL PRICE and Miscellaneous sources
GOOD ECONOMIC GROWTH, LOW INTEREST RATE, BETTER FINANCIAL AND COMMODITY MARKETS
Vol trans JFX (lot) 5,6mn 4,5 mn 5,4 mn 7,6 mn 8 mn
Prof. Roy Sembel, Ph.D9
AGENDA
• POTENSI EKONOMI INDONESIA
• POTENSI KERJASAMA PERGURUAN TINGGI DAN PERUSAHAAN
KRISIS ?
90 % OF PEOPLE
OPERATE AT
10% OF THEIR CAPACITY
90 % OF TIME
FAKTOR SUKSES?
BANYAK TERGANTUNG KEBIASAAN / EQ, SQ, CQ
SEDIKIT TERGANTUNG PENGETAHUAN / IQ
Knowledge without
correct habitscorrect habits is
powerless
TANPA TEAMWORK…. SALING SIKUT !
HASIL:
KRISIS
KERJA KERAS
KERJA CERDAS
KERJA SAMA
“No matter how intelligent and talented you are. You can not do it by yourself alone.”
The man who lives for himself is a failure;
the man who lives for others has achieved true success.
NORMAN VINCENT PEALE
SUMBER REJEKI BARU:ASET INTANGIBLE
IntangiblesProperti intelektualSDM UnggulMerek / Brand NetworkPublic support
BUILD YOUR LIFE NETWORKS
BUILD BRIDGES NOT WALLS
KERJASAMA APA?
1.RISET TERAPAN2.STUDI KASUS PERUSAHAAN3.CORPORATE UNIVERSITY4.MAGANG5.BEASISWA (CSR)6.KULIAH UMUM PRAKTISI7.POJOK BEI, JFX CENTER8.dll
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