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Temperature Modeling of the Pend Oreille River Model Calibration Boundary Hydroelectric Project FERC No. 2144 Temperature Modeling of the Temperature Modeling of the Pend Oreille River Pend Oreille River Model Calibration Model Calibration Boundary Hydroelectric Project Boundary Hydroelectric Project FERC No. 2144 FERC No. 2144 Seattle City Light Tarang Khangaonkar Ph.D., PE Manager PNNL - Water Resources Modeling Group Stephen Breithaupt Ph.D. Project Modeling Lead PNNL - Water Resources Modeling Group January 8, 2007

Temperature Modeling of the Pend Oreille River · 08/01/2007  · Pend Orielle River at USGS Box Canyon Station Date 1/04 3/04 5/04 7/04 9/04 11/04 1/05 3/05 5/05 7/05 9/05 11/05

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Page 1: Temperature Modeling of the Pend Oreille River · 08/01/2007  · Pend Orielle River at USGS Box Canyon Station Date 1/04 3/04 5/04 7/04 9/04 11/04 1/05 3/05 5/05 7/05 9/05 11/05

Temperature Modeling of the Pend Oreille River

Model Calibration

Boundary Hydroelectric ProjectFERC No. 2144

Temperature Modeling of the Temperature Modeling of the Pend Oreille RiverPend Oreille River

Model CalibrationModel Calibration

Boundary Hydroelectric ProjectBoundary Hydroelectric ProjectFERC No. 2144FERC No. 2144Seattle City Light

Tarang Khangaonkar Ph.D., PEManager

PNNL - Water Resources Modeling GroupStephen Breithaupt Ph.D.

Project Modeling LeadPNNL - Water Resources Modeling Group

January 8, 2007

Page 2: Temperature Modeling of the Pend Oreille River · 08/01/2007  · Pend Orielle River at USGS Box Canyon Station Date 1/04 3/04 5/04 7/04 9/04 11/04 1/05 3/05 5/05 7/05 9/05 11/05

Introduction – Study AreaIntroduction Introduction –– Study AreaStudy Area

Pend Oreille RiverDams

Albeni Falls Dam– RM 90.1Box Canyon Dam – RM 34.5Boundary Dam – RM 17.0Seven Mile Dam – RM 6.0

International Boundary –RM 16.0

Box Canyon Dam

BoundaryDam

Page 3: Temperature Modeling of the Pend Oreille River · 08/01/2007  · Pend Orielle River at USGS Box Canyon Station Date 1/04 3/04 5/04 7/04 9/04 11/04 1/05 3/05 5/05 7/05 9/05 11/05

Study ObjectivesStudy ObjectivesStudy Objectives

Develop a predictive model of temperatureBox Canyon Dam to International Boundary

Modeling based evaluation Existing Condition

Understanding of physical processesWater and heat balance

Condition without projectAnalysis of alternatives, as needed

Page 4: Temperature Modeling of the Pend Oreille River · 08/01/2007  · Pend Orielle River at USGS Box Canyon Station Date 1/04 3/04 5/04 7/04 9/04 11/04 1/05 3/05 5/05 7/05 9/05 11/05

Thermal Energy Budget Model Thermal Energy Budget Model Thermal Energy Budget Model

Short-wave and long-wave radiation, evaporation/condensation, conduction

Tributaries andDistributed inflows

Q*T

Q*TQ*T

Page 5: Temperature Modeling of the Pend Oreille River · 08/01/2007  · Pend Orielle River at USGS Box Canyon Station Date 1/04 3/04 5/04 7/04 9/04 11/04 1/05 3/05 5/05 7/05 9/05 11/05

Boundary ReservoirModel Calibration

Boundary ReservoirBoundary ReservoirModel CalibrationModel Calibration

StepsDevelop model gridPrepare model inputs

FlowsTemperature and meteorological data preparation

Compute flow balanceCompute topographic shadeCalibration to measured temperatures

Time seriesProfiles

Page 6: Temperature Modeling of the Pend Oreille River · 08/01/2007  · Pend Orielle River at USGS Box Canyon Station Date 1/04 3/04 5/04 7/04 9/04 11/04 1/05 3/05 5/05 7/05 9/05 11/05

BathymetryBattelle’s Data Coverage

BathymetryBathymetryBattelleBattelle’’s Data Coverages Data Coverage

Elevation (ft)

Distance (ft)

Boundary Dam

SullivanCreek

Box CanyonDamSlate

Creek

Page 7: Temperature Modeling of the Pend Oreille River · 08/01/2007  · Pend Orielle River at USGS Box Canyon Station Date 1/04 3/04 5/04 7/04 9/04 11/04 1/05 3/05 5/05 7/05 9/05 11/05

Model SegmentationModel SegmentationModel Segmentation

Boundary Dam

SullivanCreek

Box CanyonDam

SlateCreek

MetalineFalls STP

MetalineSTP

International Boundary

Page 8: Temperature Modeling of the Pend Oreille River · 08/01/2007  · Pend Orielle River at USGS Box Canyon Station Date 1/04 3/04 5/04 7/04 9/04 11/04 1/05 3/05 5/05 7/05 9/05 11/05

CE-QUAL-W2 Model ConfigurationCECE--QUALQUAL--W2 Model ConfigurationW2 Model Configuration

Number of model segments: 1174 branches and waterbodies

Segment Length

Average: 870-ft (265 m) Range: 590 to 1,220-ft (180 to 373-m)

WidthAverage: 694-ft (212-m)Range: 227 to 3,061-ft (69 to 933-m)

LayersNumber: 50Thickness: 6.56-ft (2-m)

TributariesSullivan CreekSlate Creek

DischargersMetaline STPMetaline Falls STP (combined with Sullivan Creek)

Boundary Dam release elevationsPowerhouse: 1903-ft (580-m)

Page 9: Temperature Modeling of the Pend Oreille River · 08/01/2007  · Pend Orielle River at USGS Box Canyon Station Date 1/04 3/04 5/04 7/04 9/04 11/04 1/05 3/05 5/05 7/05 9/05 11/05

FlowsBox Canyon and Boundary Reservoir

FlowsFlowsBox Canyon and Boundary ReservoirBox Canyon and Boundary Reservoir

PlotsReservoir WSEModel WSEInflow & balance flow

Boundary Dam Release

Date1/04 3/04 5/04 7/04 9/04 11/04 1/05 3/05 5/05 7/05 9/05 11/05 1/06

Flow

(kcf

s)

0

20

40

60

80

100

Measured

Box Canyon Release and Balance Flows

Date1/04 3/04 5/04 7/04 9/04 11/04 1/05 3/05 5/05 7/05 9/05 11/05 1/06

Flow

(kcf

s)

-20

0

20

40

60

80

100

USGS 12396500Balance

Average Balance Flow = -2.7 kcfs

Page 10: Temperature Modeling of the Pend Oreille River · 08/01/2007  · Pend Orielle River at USGS Box Canyon Station Date 1/04 3/04 5/04 7/04 9/04 11/04 1/05 3/05 5/05 7/05 9/05 11/05

FlowsTributariesFlowsFlows

TributariesTributaries

Measured flow only for Sullivan Creek1995-2002 and summer 2004

Estimated flow is 25th-percentile of 1995-2002 dataBased on comparison of average flow for July-September

Assumed Slate Creek flow scaled from Sullivan Creek flow based on watershed areas

Sullivan and Slate Creeks

Date1/04 3/04 5/04 7/04 9/04 11/04 1/05 3/05 5/05 7/05 9/05 11/05 1/06

Flow

(cfs

)

0

200

400

600

800

1000

Measured -Sullivan CrEstimated

Page 11: Temperature Modeling of the Pend Oreille River · 08/01/2007  · Pend Orielle River at USGS Box Canyon Station Date 1/04 3/04 5/04 7/04 9/04 11/04 1/05 3/05 5/05 7/05 9/05 11/05

Boundary Dam Tailwater Elevations

Date1/04 3/04 5/04 7/04 9/04 11/04 1/05 3/05 5/05 7/05 9/05 11/05 1/06

Wat

er S

urfa

ce E

leva

tion

(ft)

1710

1720

1730

1740

1750MeasuredModel

Boundary Reservoir Water Surface Elevations

Date1/04 3/04 5/04 7/04 9/04 11/04 1/05 3/05 5/05 7/05 9/05 11/05 1/06

Wat

er S

urfa

ce E

leva

tion

(ft)

1960

1970

1980

1990

2000

MeasuredModel

Pend Orielle River at USGS Box Canyon Station

Date1/04 3/04 5/04 7/04 9/04 11/04 1/05 3/05 5/05 7/05 9/05 11/05 1/06

Wat

er S

urfa

ce E

leva

tion

(ft)

1980

1990

2000

2010

2020

MeasuredModel

Pend Oreille River, Boundary Reservoir and Boundary Dam Tailwater

Water Surface Elevations

Pend Oreille River, Boundary Reservoir Pend Oreille River, Boundary Reservoir and Boundary Dam and Boundary Dam TailwaterTailwater

Water Surface ElevationsWater Surface Elevations

Error ME AME

+0.26 1.41 (ft)+0.08 0.43 (m)

Error ME AME

+0.56 1.05 (ft)+0.17 0.32 (m)

Error ME AME

+0.46 0.62 (ft)+0.14 0.19 (m)

Pend Orielle River at USGS Box Canyon Station

Date8/8/04 8/15/04 8/22/04

Wat

er S

urfa

ce E

leva

tion

(ft)

1980

1990

2000

2010

2020

MeasuredModel

Boundary Reservoir Water Surface Elevations

Date8/8/04 8/15/04 8/22/04

Wat

er S

urfa

ce E

leva

tion

(ft)

1960

1970

1980

1990

2000

MeasuredModel

Boundary Dam Tailwater Elevations

Date8/8/04 8/15/04 8/22/04

Wat

er S

urfa

ce E

leva

tion

(ft)

1710

1720

1730

1740

1750MeasuredModel

Page 12: Temperature Modeling of the Pend Oreille River · 08/01/2007  · Pend Orielle River at USGS Box Canyon Station Date 1/04 3/04 5/04 7/04 9/04 11/04 1/05 3/05 5/05 7/05 9/05 11/05

Inflow TemperaturesBox Canyon Dam Release and Tributaries

Inflow TemperaturesInflow TemperaturesBox Canyon Dam Release and TributariesBox Canyon Dam Release and Tributaries

T3. Sullivan Creek Down

Date1/04 3/04 5/04 7/04 9/04 11/04 1/05 3/05 5/05 7/05 9/05 11/05 1/06

Wat

er T

empe

ratu

re (o C

)

-5

0

5

10

15

20

25

MeasuredEstimated

T5. Slate Creek

Date1/04 3/04 5/04 7/04 9/04 11/04 1/05 3/05 5/05 7/05 9/05 11/05 1/06

Wat

er T

empe

ratu

re (o C

)

-10

0

10

20

30

40

MeasuredRegression to Sullivan Creek

T1. Box Canyon Tailrace

Date1/04 3/04 5/04 7/04 9/04 11/04 1/05 3/05 5/05 7/05 9/05 11/05 1/06

Wat

er T

empe

ratu

re (o C

)

-10

0

10

20

30

40

MeasuredEstimated

Page 13: Temperature Modeling of the Pend Oreille River · 08/01/2007  · Pend Orielle River at USGS Box Canyon Station Date 1/04 3/04 5/04 7/04 9/04 11/04 1/05 3/05 5/05 7/05 9/05 11/05

Meteorological DataStation Locations

Meteorological DataMeteorological DataStation LocationsStation Locations

Boundary Dam - SCL

Box CanyonDam - SCL

Teepee SeedOrchard - RAWS

Priest Lake - RAWS

Sandpoint - NOAA

Meteorological data station - Source

Wellpinit - RAWS

Page 14: Temperature Modeling of the Pend Oreille River · 08/01/2007  · Pend Orielle River at USGS Box Canyon Station Date 1/04 3/04 5/04 7/04 9/04 11/04 1/05 3/05 5/05 7/05 9/05 11/05

Meteorological DataAir Temperature

Meteorological DataMeteorological DataAir TemperatureAir Temperature

Sandpoint Airport - Boundary DamAir Temperature Regression

Sandpoint AirportAir Temperature (oC)

-30 -20 -10 0 10 20 30 40

Boun

dary

Dam

Air

Tem

pera

ture

(o C)

-30

-20

-10

0

10

20

30

40

r2 = 0.889Tbound = Tsp*0.998 - 0.616

Sandpoint Airport - Box Canyon DamAir Temperature Regression

Sandpoint AirportAir Temperature (oC)

-30 -20 -10 0 10 20 30 40

Box

Can

yon

Dam

Air

Tem

pera

ture

(o C)

-30

-20

-10

0

10

20

30

40

r2 = 0.948Tbox = Tsp*1.021 - 0.301

Boundary Dam

Date1/04 3/04 5/04 7/04 9/04 11/04 1/05 3/05 5/05 7/05 9/05 11/05 1/06

Air

Tem

pera

ture

(o C)

-20

-10

0

10

20

30

40

Boundary Dam DataRegression to Sandpoint Airport

Box Canyon Dam

Date1/04 3/04 5/04 7/04 9/04 11/04 1/05 3/05 5/05 7/05 9/05 11/05 1/06

Air

Tem

pera

ture

(o C)

-20

-10

0

10

20

30

40

Box Canyon Dam DataRegression to Sandpoint Airport

Box Canyon Dam

Boundary Dam

Regression Input Data

Page 15: Temperature Modeling of the Pend Oreille River · 08/01/2007  · Pend Orielle River at USGS Box Canyon Station Date 1/04 3/04 5/04 7/04 9/04 11/04 1/05 3/05 5/05 7/05 9/05 11/05

Meteorological DataDew Point Temperature

Meteorological DataMeteorological DataDew Point TemperatureDew Point Temperature

Sandpoint Airport - Box Canyon DamDew Point Temperature Regression

Sandpoint AirportDew Point Temperature (oC)

-30 -20 -10 0 10 20

Box

Can

yon

Dam

Dew

Poi

nt T

empe

ratu

re (o C

)

-30

-20

-10

0

10

20

30

r2 = 0.877Tbox = Tsp*1.014 + 2.290

Sandpoint Airport - Boundary DamDew Point Temperature Regression

Sandpoint AirportDew Point Temperature (oC)

-30 -20 -10 0 10 20

Bou

ndar

y D

amD

ew P

oint

Tem

pera

ture

(o C)

-30

-20

-10

0

10

20

30

r2 = 0.876Tbound = Tsp*0.954 + 2.928

Box Canyon Dam

Boundary Dam

Regression Input Data

Boundary Dam

Date1/04 3/04 5/04 7/04 9/04 11/04 1/05 3/05 5/05 7/05 9/05 11/05 1/06

Dew

Poi

ntTe

mpe

ratu

re (o C

)

-40

-30

-20

-10

0

10

20

30

Boundary Dam DataRegression to Sandpoint Airport

Box Canyon Dam

Date1/04 3/04 5/04 7/04 9/04 11/04 1/05 3/05 5/05 7/05 9/05 11/05 1/06

Dew

Poi

nt T

empe

ratu

re (o C

)

-40

-30

-20

-10

0

10

20

30

Box Canyon Dam DataRegression to Sandpoint Airport

Page 16: Temperature Modeling of the Pend Oreille River · 08/01/2007  · Pend Orielle River at USGS Box Canyon Station Date 1/04 3/04 5/04 7/04 9/04 11/04 1/05 3/05 5/05 7/05 9/05 11/05

Meteorological DataWind Speed

Meteorological DataMeteorological DataWind SpeedWind Speed

Direct combination of data to fill data gaps

Boundary Dam

Date1/04 3/04 5/04 7/04 9/04 11/04 1/05 3/05 5/05 7/05 9/05 11/05 1/06

Win

d S

peed

(m/s

)

0

2

4

6

8

10

Boundary Dam DataPriest Lake DataTeepee Seed Orchard

Box Canyon Dam

Date1/04 3/04 5/04 7/04 9/04 11/04 1/05 3/05 5/05 7/05 9/05 11/05 1/06

Win

d S

peed

(m/s

)

0

2

4

6

8

10Box Canyon DamBoundary DamPriest LakeTeepee Seed Orchard

Page 17: Temperature Modeling of the Pend Oreille River · 08/01/2007  · Pend Orielle River at USGS Box Canyon Station Date 1/04 3/04 5/04 7/04 9/04 11/04 1/05 3/05 5/05 7/05 9/05 11/05

Meteorological DataWind Direction

Meteorological DataMeteorological DataWind DirectionWind Direction

Direct combination of data to fill data gapsBox Canyon Dam

Date1/04 3/04 5/04 7/04 9/04 11/04 1/05 3/05 5/05 7/05 9/05 11/05 1/06

Win

d D

irect

ion

(deg

rees

)

80

180

280

380

Box Canyon DamBoundary DamPriest LakeTeepee Seed Orchard

Boundary Dam

Date1/04 3/04 5/04 7/04 9/04 11/04 1/05 3/05 5/05 7/05 9/05 11/05 1/06

Win

d D

irect

ion

(deg

rees

)

80

180

280

380

Boundary Dam DataPriest Lake DataTeepee Seed Orchard

Page 18: Temperature Modeling of the Pend Oreille River · 08/01/2007  · Pend Orielle River at USGS Box Canyon Station Date 1/04 3/04 5/04 7/04 9/04 11/04 1/05 3/05 5/05 7/05 9/05 11/05

Meteorological DataSolar Radiation

Meteorological DataMeteorological DataSolar RadiationSolar Radiation

Box Canyon Dam

Date1/04 3/04 5/04 7/04 9/04 11/04 1/05 3/05 5/05 7/05 9/05 11/05 1/06

Sol

ar R

adia

tion

(W/m

2 )

180

380

580

780

980

1180Box Canyon DamBoundary DamPriest LakeWellpinitAdjacent Days

Boundary Dam

Date1/04 3/04 5/04 7/04 9/04 11/04 1/05 3/05 5/05 7/05 9/05 11/05 1/06

Sol

ar R

adia

tion

(W/m

2 )

180

380

580

780

980

1180Boundary Dam DataPriest Lake DataWellpinitAdjacent Days

Combination of scaled data to fill data gaps

Page 19: Temperature Modeling of the Pend Oreille River · 08/01/2007  · Pend Orielle River at USGS Box Canyon Station Date 1/04 3/04 5/04 7/04 9/04 11/04 1/05 3/05 5/05 7/05 9/05 11/05

Meteorological DataCloud Cover

Meteorological DataMeteorological DataCloud CoverCloud Cover

Boundary Dam

Date1/04 3/04 5/04 7/04 9/04 11/04 1/05 3/05 5/05 7/05 9/05 11/05 1/06

Clo

ud C

over

(ten

ths)

0

2

4

6

8

10

Hourly InterpolatedObservations

Page 20: Temperature Modeling of the Pend Oreille River · 08/01/2007  · Pend Orielle River at USGS Box Canyon Station Date 1/04 3/04 5/04 7/04 9/04 11/04 1/05 3/05 5/05 7/05 9/05 11/05

Shade CalculationShade CalculationShade Calculation

Slices taken from center of grid segment at 20º anglesMaximum angle used in shade simulations

Example Angles

0

10

20

30

40

50

0 5000 10000 15000 20000 25000 30000 35000

Distance (ft)

Angl

e (d

egre

es)

Example Slice

1000

2000

3000

4000

5000

6000

0 5000 10000 15000 20000 25000 30000 35000

Distance (ft)

Elev

atio

n (ft

)

αmax = 44º (0.77 rad)

Example Slice

α

DEM

( )vclf odfS ,,,, ,A ,A vtszo ααθ=•Ao and Az are the solar altitude and azimuth,•θs = segment orientation •αt = topographic angles,•dcl = distance of vegetation from the centerline•ov = opaqueness of the vegetation

Page 21: Temperature Modeling of the Pend Oreille River · 08/01/2007  · Pend Orielle River at USGS Box Canyon Station Date 1/04 3/04 5/04 7/04 9/04 11/04 1/05 3/05 5/05 7/05 9/05 11/05

Topographic ShadeTopographic ShadeTopographic ShadeTopographic Shade Angles - East, South, and West

Distance Upstream from Boundary Dam (mi)-2 -1 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18

Ang

le (d

egre

es)

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

EastSouthWest

Page 22: Temperature Modeling of the Pend Oreille River · 08/01/2007  · Pend Orielle River at USGS Box Canyon Station Date 1/04 3/04 5/04 7/04 9/04 11/04 1/05 3/05 5/05 7/05 9/05 11/05

Temperature CalibrationTemperature CalibrationTemperature Calibration

PlotsTime series

T2. Metaline PoolT6. Slate PoolT7. Boundary ReservoirT8. Boundary Tailrace

ProfilesV1. Wolf CreekV2. Metaline OldV3. Pend Oreille MineV4. Slate CreekV5. Everett CreekV6. Boundary Pool

Error analysis

Page 23: Temperature Modeling of the Pend Oreille River · 08/01/2007  · Pend Orielle River at USGS Box Canyon Station Date 1/04 3/04 5/04 7/04 9/04 11/04 1/05 3/05 5/05 7/05 9/05 11/05

Water Temperature Measurement Locations

Water Temperature Water Temperature Measurement LocationsMeasurement Locations

Page 24: Temperature Modeling of the Pend Oreille River · 08/01/2007  · Pend Orielle River at USGS Box Canyon Station Date 1/04 3/04 5/04 7/04 9/04 11/04 1/05 3/05 5/05 7/05 9/05 11/05

T2e Metaline Pool - 9.8-m Depth

Date1/04 3/04 5/04 7/04 9/04 11/04 1/05 3/05 5/05 7/05 9/05 11/05 1/06

Wat

er T

empe

ratu

re (o C

)

-10

0

10

20

30

40

ModelMeasured

T2a Metaline Pool - 1-m Depth

Date1/04 3/04 5/04 7/04 9/04 11/04 1/05 3/05 5/05 7/05 9/05 11/05 1/06

Wat

er T

empe

ratu

re (o C

)

-10

0

10

20

30

40

ModelMeasured

T2b Metaline Pool - 3.2-m Depth

Date1/04 3/04 5/04 7/04 9/04 11/04 1/05 3/05 5/05 7/05 9/05 11/05 1/06

Wat

er T

empe

ratu

re (o C

)

-10

0

10

20

30

40

ModelMeasured

T2c Metaline Pool - 5.4-m Depth

Date1/04 3/04 5/04 7/04 9/04 11/04 1/05 3/05 5/05 7/05 9/05 11/05 1/06

Wat

er T

empe

ratu

re (o C

)

-10

0

10

20

30

40

ModelMeasured

T2d Metaline Pool - 7.6-m Depth

Date1/04 3/04 5/04 7/04 9/04 11/04 1/05 3/05 5/05 7/05 9/05 11/05 1/06

Wat

er T

empe

ratu

re (o C

)

-10

0

10

20

30

40

ModelMeasured

Temperature Calibration T2. Metaline Pool Station

Temperature Calibration Temperature Calibration T2. T2. MetalineMetaline Pool StationPool Station

Error (ºC) ME AME RMS

-0.27 0.30 0.37

Error (ºC) ME AME RMS

-0.19 0.24 0.32

Error (ºC) ME AME RMS

-0.25 0.27 0.34

Error (ºC) ME AME RMS

-0.26 0.28 0.34

Error (ºC) ME AME RMS

-0.22 0.26 0.34

Page 25: Temperature Modeling of the Pend Oreille River · 08/01/2007  · Pend Orielle River at USGS Box Canyon Station Date 1/04 3/04 5/04 7/04 9/04 11/04 1/05 3/05 5/05 7/05 9/05 11/05

T6a Slate Pool - 1-m Depth

Date1/04 3/04 5/04 7/04 9/04 11/04 1/05 3/05 5/05 7/05 9/05 11/05 1/06

Wat

er T

empe

ratu

re (o C

)

-10

0

10

20

30

40

ModelMeasured

T6b Slate Pool - 11-m Depth

Date1/04 3/04 5/04 7/04 9/04 11/04 1/05 3/05 5/05 7/05 9/05 11/05 1/06

Wat

er T

empe

ratu

re (o C

)

-10

0

10

20

30

40

ModelMeasured

T6c Slate Pool - 21-m Depth

Date1/04 3/04 5/04 7/04 9/04 11/04 1/05 3/05 5/05 7/05 9/05 11/05 1/06

Wat

er T

empe

ratu

re (o C

)

-10

0

10

20

30

40

ModelMeasured

T6d Slate Pool - 31-m Depth

Date1/04 3/04 5/04 7/04 9/04 11/04 1/05 3/05 5/05 7/05 9/05 11/05 1/06

Wat

er T

empe

ratu

re (o C

)-10

0

10

20

30

40

ModelMeasured

Temperature Calibration T6. Slate Pool Station

Temperature Calibration Temperature Calibration T6. Slate Pool StationT6. Slate Pool Station

Error (ºC) ME AME RMS

-0.12 0.29 0.38

Error (ºC) ME AME RMS

-0.14 0.28 0.35

Error (ºC) ME AME RMS

-0.15 0.26 0.35

Error (ºC) ME AME RMS

-0.21 0.24 0.31

Page 26: Temperature Modeling of the Pend Oreille River · 08/01/2007  · Pend Orielle River at USGS Box Canyon Station Date 1/04 3/04 5/04 7/04 9/04 11/04 1/05 3/05 5/05 7/05 9/05 11/05

T7a Boundary Intake - 5-m Depth

Date1/04 3/04 5/04 7/04 9/04 11/04 1/05 3/05 5/05 7/05 9/05 11/05 1/06

Wat

er T

empe

ratu

re (o C

)

-10

0

10

20

30

40

ModelMeasured

T7b Boundary Intake - 11m Depth

Date1/04 3/04 5/04 7/04 9/04 11/04 1/05 3/05 5/05 7/05 9/05 11/05 1/06

Wat

er T

empe

ratu

re (o C

)

-10

0

10

20

30

40

ModelMeasured

T7c Boundary Intake - 17-m Depth

Date1/04 3/04 5/04 7/04 9/04 11/04 1/05 3/05 5/05 7/05 9/05 11/05 1/06

Wat

er T

empe

ratu

re (o C

)

-10

0

10

20

30

40

ModelMeasured

T7d Boundary Intake -23-m Depth

Date1/04 3/04 5/04 7/04 9/04 11/04 1/05 3/05 5/05 7/05 9/05 11/05 1/06

Wat

er T

empe

ratu

re (o C

)

-10

0

10

20

30

40

ModelMeasured

T7e Boundary Intake - 29-m Depth

Date1/04 3/04 5/04 7/04 9/04 11/04 1/05 3/05 5/05 7/05 9/05 11/05 1/06

Wat

er T

empe

ratu

re (o C

)

-10

0

10

20

30

40

ModelMeasured

Temperature Calibration T7. Boundary Intake Station

Temperature Calibration Temperature Calibration T7. Boundary Intake StationT7. Boundary Intake Station

Error (ºC) ME AME RMS

-0.08 0.30 0.37

Error (ºC) ME AME RMS

-0.18 0.29 0.36

Error (ºC) ME AME RMS

-0.08 0.23 0.29

Error (ºC) ME AME RMS

-0.12 0.23 0.30

Error (ºC) ME AME RMS

-0.10 0.17 0.21

Page 27: Temperature Modeling of the Pend Oreille River · 08/01/2007  · Pend Orielle River at USGS Box Canyon Station Date 1/04 3/04 5/04 7/04 9/04 11/04 1/05 3/05 5/05 7/05 9/05 11/05

T8 Boundary Tailrace

Date1/04 3/04 5/04 7/04 9/04 11/04 1/05 3/05 5/05 7/05 9/05 11/05 1/06

Wat

er T

empe

ratu

re (o C

)

-10

0

10

20

30

40

ModelMeasured

Temperature Calibration T8. Boundary Dam Tailrace

Temperature Calibration Temperature Calibration T8. Boundary Dam TailraceT8. Boundary Dam Tailrace

Error (ºC) ME AME RMS

-0.03 0.43 0.78

Page 28: Temperature Modeling of the Pend Oreille River · 08/01/2007  · Pend Orielle River at USGS Box Canyon Station Date 1/04 3/04 5/04 7/04 9/04 11/04 1/05 3/05 5/05 7/05 9/05 11/05

Temperature CalibrationProfiles – V1. Wolf Creek

Temperature CalibrationTemperature CalibrationProfiles Profiles –– V1. Wolf CreekV1. Wolf Creek

2004 2005

Wolf Creek8/3/2004

Temperature

10 12 14 16 18 20 22 24

Dep

th

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

MeasuredModel

Wolf Creek8/17/2004

Temperature

10 12 14 16 18 20 22 24

Dep

th

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

Wolf Creek8/31/2004

Temperature

10 12 14 16 18 20 22 24

Dep

th

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

Wolf Creek9/14/2004

Temperature

10 12 14 16 18 20 22 24

Dep

th

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

Wolf Creek9/28/2004

Temperature

10 12 14 16 18 20 22 24

Dep

th

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

Wolf Creek7/12/2005

Temperature

10 12 14 16 18 20 22 24

Dep

th

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

Wolf Creek8/1/2005

Temperature

10 12 14 16 18 20 22 24

Dep

th

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

Wolf Creek8/23/2005

Temperature

10 12 14 16 18 20 22 24

Dep

th

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

Wolf Creek9/20/2005

Temperature

10 12 14 16 18 20 22 24

Dep

th0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

Page 29: Temperature Modeling of the Pend Oreille River · 08/01/2007  · Pend Orielle River at USGS Box Canyon Station Date 1/04 3/04 5/04 7/04 9/04 11/04 1/05 3/05 5/05 7/05 9/05 11/05

Temperature CalibrationProfiles – V2. Metaline Old

Temperature CalibrationTemperature CalibrationProfiles Profiles –– V2. V2. MetalineMetaline OldOld

2004 2005

Metaline Old8/3/2004

Temperature

10 12 14 16 18 20 22 24

Dep

th

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

MeasuredModel

Metaline Old8/17/2004

Temperature

10 12 14 16 18 20 22 24

Dep

th

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

Metaline Old8/31/2004

Temperature

10 12 14 16 18 20 22 24

Dep

th

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

Metaline Old9/14/2004

Temperature

10 12 14 16 18 20 22 24

Dep

th

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

Metaline Old9/28/2004

Temperature

10 12 14 16 18 20 22 24

Dep

th

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

Metaline Old7/12/2005

Temperature

10 12 14 16 18 20 22 24

Dep

th

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

Metaline Old8/1/2005

Temperature

10 12 14 16 18 20 22 24

Dep

th

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

Metaline Old8/23/2005

Temperature

10 12 14 16 18 20 22 24

Dep

th

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

Metaline Old9/20/2005

Temperature

10 12 14 16 18 20 22 24

Dep

th0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

Page 30: Temperature Modeling of the Pend Oreille River · 08/01/2007  · Pend Orielle River at USGS Box Canyon Station Date 1/04 3/04 5/04 7/04 9/04 11/04 1/05 3/05 5/05 7/05 9/05 11/05

Temperature CalibrationProfiles – V3. Pend Oreille MineTemperature CalibrationTemperature CalibrationProfiles Profiles –– V3. Pend Oreille MineV3. Pend Oreille Mine

2004 2005

Pend Oreille Mine8/3/2004

Temperature

10 12 14 16 18 20 22 24

Dep

th

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

MeasuredModel

Pend Oreille Mine8/17/2004

Temperature

10 12 14 16 18 20 22 24

Dep

th

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

Pend Oreille Mine8/31/2004

Temperature

10 12 14 16 18 20 22 24

Dep

th

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

Pend Oreille Mine9/14/2004

Temperature

10 12 14 16 18 20 22 24

Dep

th

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

Pend Oreille Mine9/28/2004

Temperature

10 12 14 16 18 20 22 24

Dep

th

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

Pend Oreille Mine7/12/2005

Temperature

10 12 14 16 18 20 22 24

Dep

th

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

Pend Oreille Mine8/12/2005

Temperature

10 12 14 16 18 20 22 24

Dep

th

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

Pend Oreille Mine8/23/2005

Temperature

10 12 14 16 18 20 22 24

Dep

th

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

Pend Oreille Mine9/20/2005

Temperature

10 12 14 16 18 20 22 24

Dep

th0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

Page 31: Temperature Modeling of the Pend Oreille River · 08/01/2007  · Pend Orielle River at USGS Box Canyon Station Date 1/04 3/04 5/04 7/04 9/04 11/04 1/05 3/05 5/05 7/05 9/05 11/05

Temperature CalibrationProfiles – V4. Slate Creek

Temperature CalibrationTemperature CalibrationProfiles Profiles –– V4. Slate CreekV4. Slate Creek

2004 2005

Slate Pool8/3/2004

Temperature

10 12 14 16 18 20 22 24

Dep

th

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

MeasuredModel

Slate Pool8/17/2004

Temperature

10 12 14 16 18 20 22 24

Dep

th

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

Slate Pool8/31/2004

Temperature

10 12 14 16 18 20 22 24

Dep

th

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

Slate Pool9/14/2004

Temperature

10 12 14 16 18 20 22 24

Dep

th

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

Slate Pool9/28/2004

Temperature

10 12 14 16 18 20 22 24

Dep

th

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

Slate Pool7/12/2005

Temperature

10 12 14 16 18 20 22 24

Dep

th

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

Slate Pool8/1/2005

Temperature

10 12 14 16 18 20 22 24

Dep

th

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

Slate Pool8/23/2005

Temperature

10 12 14 16 18 20 22 24

Dep

th

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

Slate Pool9/20/2005

Temperature

10 12 14 16 18 20 22 24

Dep

th0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

Page 32: Temperature Modeling of the Pend Oreille River · 08/01/2007  · Pend Orielle River at USGS Box Canyon Station Date 1/04 3/04 5/04 7/04 9/04 11/04 1/05 3/05 5/05 7/05 9/05 11/05

Temperature CalibrationProfiles – V5. Everett Creek

Temperature CalibrationTemperature CalibrationProfiles Profiles –– V5. Everett CreekV5. Everett Creek

2004 2005

Everett Creek8/3/2004

Temperature

10 12 14 16 18 20 22 24

Dep

th

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

MeasuredModel

Everett Creek8/17/2004

Temperature

10 12 14 16 18 20 22 24

Dep

th

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

Everett Creek8/31/2004

Temperature

10 12 14 16 18 20 22 24

Dep

th

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

Everett Creek9/14/2004

Temperature

10 12 14 16 18 20 22 24

Dep

th

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

Everett Creek9/28/2004

Temperature

10 12 14 16 18 20 22 24

Dep

th

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

Everett Creek7/12/2005

Temperature

10 12 14 16 18 20 22 24

Dep

th

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

Everett Creek8/1/2005

Temperature

10 12 14 16 18 20 22 24

Dep

th

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

Everett Creek8/23/2005

Temperature

10 12 14 16 18 20 22 24

Dep

th

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

Everett Creek9/20/2005

Temperature

10 12 14 16 18 20 22 24

Dep

th0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

Page 33: Temperature Modeling of the Pend Oreille River · 08/01/2007  · Pend Orielle River at USGS Box Canyon Station Date 1/04 3/04 5/04 7/04 9/04 11/04 1/05 3/05 5/05 7/05 9/05 11/05

Temperature CalibrationProfiles – V6. Boundary ReservoirTemperature CalibrationTemperature Calibration

Profiles Profiles –– V6. Boundary ReservoirV6. Boundary Reservoir

2004 2005

8/3/2004

Temperature

10 12 14 16 18 20 22 24

Dep

th

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

MeasuredModel

8/17/2004

Temperature

10 12 14 16 18 20 22 24

Dep

th

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

8/31/2004

Temperature

10 12 14 16 18 20 22 24

Dep

th

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

9/14/2004

Temperature

10 12 14 16 18 20 22 24

Dep

th

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

9/28/2004

Temperature

10 12 14 16 18 20 22 24

Dep

th

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

7/12/2005

Temperature

10 12 14 16 18 20 22 24

Dep

th

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

8/1/2005

Temperature

10 12 14 16 18 20 22 24

Dep

th

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

8/23/2005

Temperature

10 12 14 16 18 20 22 24

Dep

th

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

9/20/2005

Temperature

10 12 14 16 18 20 22 24

Dep

th0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

Page 34: Temperature Modeling of the Pend Oreille River · 08/01/2007  · Pend Orielle River at USGS Box Canyon Station Date 1/04 3/04 5/04 7/04 9/04 11/04 1/05 3/05 5/05 7/05 9/05 11/05

Temperature CalibrationSummary of Error Analysis

Temperature CalibrationTemperature CalibrationSummary of Error AnalysisSummary of Error Analysis

Time Series (at measured time interval)Station Depth (m) ME (ºC) AME (ºC) RMS (ºC) N

T2. Metaline Pool 1 -0.267 0.298 0.367 14,5373.2 -0.188 0.243 0.317 14,5365.4 -0.257 0.278 0.339 14,5377.6 -0.249 0.272 0.336 14,5389.8 -0.218 0.264 0.344 14,538

T6. Slate Pool 1 -0.124 0.291 0.376 21,08111 -0.143 0.276 0.347 21,08121 -0.146 0.264 0.347 21,08031 -0.212 0.243 0.312 20,931

T7. Boundary Intake 5 -0.080 0.299 0.373 26,71911 -0.180 0.291 0.359 33,86517 -0.080 0.228 0.292 34,62423 -0.115 0.227 0.295 34,62629 -0.101 0.166 0.208 19,071

T8. Boundary Dam Tailwater 10 -0.027 0.425 0.785 32,847

Overall Averages -0.14 0.27 0.40 338,611

Page 35: Temperature Modeling of the Pend Oreille River · 08/01/2007  · Pend Orielle River at USGS Box Canyon Station Date 1/04 3/04 5/04 7/04 9/04 11/04 1/05 3/05 5/05 7/05 9/05 11/05

Temperature CalibrationSummary of Error Analysis

Temperature CalibrationTemperature CalibrationSummary of Error AnalysisSummary of Error Analysis

Daily MaximumStation Depth (m) ME (ºC) AME (ºC) RMS (ºC) N

T2. Metaline Pool 1 -0.194 0.279 0.337 2033.2 -0.092 0.220 0.274 2035.4 -0.143 0.231 0.280 2037.6 -0.129 0.223 0.272 2039.8 -0.103 0.238 0.292 203

T6. Slate Pool 1 -0.098 0.289 0.377 29511 -0.048 0.252 0.316 29521 -0.063 0.246 0.312 29531 -0.180 0.222 0.282 293

T7. Boundary Intake 5 -0.140 0.335 0.426 42411 0.015 0.309 0.383 20317 -0.061 0.219 0.280 48123 -0.096 0.209 0.277 48129 -0.084 0.145 0.182 265

T8. Boundary Dam Tailwater 10 -0.033 0.441 0.799 461

Overall Averages -0.09 0.26 0.39 4,508

Page 36: Temperature Modeling of the Pend Oreille River · 08/01/2007  · Pend Orielle River at USGS Box Canyon Station Date 1/04 3/04 5/04 7/04 9/04 11/04 1/05 3/05 5/05 7/05 9/05 11/05

Temperature CalibrationSummary of Error Analysis

Temperature CalibrationTemperature CalibrationSummary of Error AnalysisSummary of Error Analysis

ProfilesDate ME (ºC) AME (ºC) RMS (ºC) N

8/3/04 0.294 0.506 0.584 98/17/04 -0.088 0.431 0.544 98/31/04 -0.180 0.180 0.184 99/14/04 0.044 0.080 0.107 99/28/04 -0.116 0.116 0.116 97/12/05 -0.183 0.243 0.248 98/1/05 -0.214 0.266 0.337 118/23/05 0.040 0.148 0.160 99/20/05 -0.457 0.457 0.475 8Overall -0.094 0.267 0.351 82

V5. Everett Creek

ME (ºC) AME (ºC) RMS (ºC) NOverall Averages -0.096 0.190 0.265 562

Date ME (ºC) AME (ºC) RMS (ºC) N8/3/04 0.029 0.029 0.033 128/17/04 0.025 0.058 0.075 138/31/04 -0.003 0.019 0.041 139/14/04 -0.004 0.006 0.008 89/28/04 0.028 0.051 0.057 127/12/05 -0.013 0.014 0.017 118/1/05 -0.057 0.057 0.059 158/23/05 -0.031 0.031 0.033 119/20/05 -0.377 0.377 0.377 11Overall -0.043 0.071 0.130 106

V1. Wolf CreekDate ME (ºC) AME (ºC) RMS (ºC) N

8/3/04 -0.048 0.048 0.049 128/17/04 -0.123 0.123 0.125 138/31/04 -0.031 0.031 0.032 139/14/04 -0.128 0.128 0.129 119/28/04 0.062 0.062 0.062 127/12/05 -0.082 0.082 0.084 138/1/05 -0.262 0.262 0.264 138/23/05 -0.220 0.220 0.220 129/20/05 -0.434 0.434 0.435 13Overall -0.143 0.156 0.201 112

V2. Metaline OldDate ME (ºC) AME (ºC) RMS (ºC) N

8/3/04 -0.119 0.119 0.132 98/17/04 -0.189 0.189 0.190 98/31/04 -0.118 0.118 0.121 99/14/04 -0.249 0.249 0.249 99/28/04 0.005 0.007 0.009 97/12/05 0.073 0.083 0.113 68/1/05 -0.155 0.155 0.161 68/23/05 -0.214 0.214 0.214 69/20/05 -0.322 0.322 0.324 7Overall -0.144 0.159 0.186 70

V3. Pend Oreille Mine

Date ME (ºC) AME (ºC) RMS (ºC) N8/3/04 -0.140 0.140 0.151 128/17/04 0.171 0.302 0.320 138/31/04 -0.217 0.217 0.220 129/14/04 0.286 0.286 0.286 109/28/04 -0.089 0.089 0.089 127/12/05 -0.038 0.069 0.076 98/1/05 -0.342 0.342 0.343 128/23/05 0.284 0.284 0.320 99/20/05 -0.173 0.173 0.178 9Overall -0.038 0.214 0.243 98

V4. Slate CreekDate ME (ºC) AME (ºC) RMS (ºC) N

8/3/04 0.139 0.282 0.344 118/17/04 0.143 0.295 0.327 128/31/04 0.060 0.172 0.219 99/14/04 -0.343 0.343 0.365 99/28/04 0.024 0.035 0.040 97/12/05 0.007 0.055 0.102 108/1/05 -0.199 0.268 0.308 148/23/05 -0.083 0.251 0.274 109/20/05 -0.914 0.914 0.922 10Overall -0.125 0.293 0.398 94

V6. Boundary Reservoir

Page 37: Temperature Modeling of the Pend Oreille River · 08/01/2007  · Pend Orielle River at USGS Box Canyon Station Date 1/04 3/04 5/04 7/04 9/04 11/04 1/05 3/05 5/05 7/05 9/05 11/05

Boundary ReservoirSurface Layer Longitudinal Temperature Variation

Boundary ReservoirBoundary ReservoirSurface LayerSurface Layer LongitudinalLongitudinal Temperature VariationTemperature Variation

Page 38: Temperature Modeling of the Pend Oreille River · 08/01/2007  · Pend Orielle River at USGS Box Canyon Station Date 1/04 3/04 5/04 7/04 9/04 11/04 1/05 3/05 5/05 7/05 9/05 11/05

ConclusionsConclusionsConclusions

Model calibration completeME < 0.2 ºCAME < 1.0 ºCErrors at low end of range seen for other studies

Next StepsNTP

Model setup- Grid modification- Shade – topographic and vegetative- Upstream boundary conditions

Comparison to Existing Condition for evaluation of compliance totemperature standards

Alternatives analysesFinal report

Page 39: Temperature Modeling of the Pend Oreille River · 08/01/2007  · Pend Orielle River at USGS Box Canyon Station Date 1/04 3/04 5/04 7/04 9/04 11/04 1/05 3/05 5/05 7/05 9/05 11/05

Temperature CalibrationError Statistics for Other CE-QUAL-W2 Applications

Temperature CalibrationTemperature CalibrationError Statistics for Other CEError Statistics for Other CE--QUALQUAL--W2 ApplicationsW2 Applications

Min MaxOverall Averages 0.3 0.9

AME Range (ºC)