Upload
others
View
3
Download
0
Embed Size (px)
Citation preview
Temperature Modeling of the Pend Oreille River
Model Calibration
Boundary Hydroelectric ProjectFERC No. 2144
Temperature Modeling of the Temperature Modeling of the Pend Oreille RiverPend Oreille River
Model CalibrationModel Calibration
Boundary Hydroelectric ProjectBoundary Hydroelectric ProjectFERC No. 2144FERC No. 2144Seattle City Light
Tarang Khangaonkar Ph.D., PEManager
PNNL - Water Resources Modeling GroupStephen Breithaupt Ph.D.
Project Modeling LeadPNNL - Water Resources Modeling Group
January 8, 2007
Introduction – Study AreaIntroduction Introduction –– Study AreaStudy Area
Pend Oreille RiverDams
Albeni Falls Dam– RM 90.1Box Canyon Dam – RM 34.5Boundary Dam – RM 17.0Seven Mile Dam – RM 6.0
International Boundary –RM 16.0
Box Canyon Dam
BoundaryDam
Study ObjectivesStudy ObjectivesStudy Objectives
Develop a predictive model of temperatureBox Canyon Dam to International Boundary
Modeling based evaluation Existing Condition
Understanding of physical processesWater and heat balance
Condition without projectAnalysis of alternatives, as needed
Thermal Energy Budget Model Thermal Energy Budget Model Thermal Energy Budget Model
Short-wave and long-wave radiation, evaporation/condensation, conduction
Tributaries andDistributed inflows
Q*T
Q*TQ*T
Boundary ReservoirModel Calibration
Boundary ReservoirBoundary ReservoirModel CalibrationModel Calibration
StepsDevelop model gridPrepare model inputs
FlowsTemperature and meteorological data preparation
Compute flow balanceCompute topographic shadeCalibration to measured temperatures
Time seriesProfiles
BathymetryBattelle’s Data Coverage
BathymetryBathymetryBattelleBattelle’’s Data Coverages Data Coverage
Elevation (ft)
Distance (ft)
Boundary Dam
SullivanCreek
Box CanyonDamSlate
Creek
Model SegmentationModel SegmentationModel Segmentation
Boundary Dam
SullivanCreek
Box CanyonDam
SlateCreek
MetalineFalls STP
MetalineSTP
International Boundary
CE-QUAL-W2 Model ConfigurationCECE--QUALQUAL--W2 Model ConfigurationW2 Model Configuration
Number of model segments: 1174 branches and waterbodies
Segment Length
Average: 870-ft (265 m) Range: 590 to 1,220-ft (180 to 373-m)
WidthAverage: 694-ft (212-m)Range: 227 to 3,061-ft (69 to 933-m)
LayersNumber: 50Thickness: 6.56-ft (2-m)
TributariesSullivan CreekSlate Creek
DischargersMetaline STPMetaline Falls STP (combined with Sullivan Creek)
Boundary Dam release elevationsPowerhouse: 1903-ft (580-m)
FlowsBox Canyon and Boundary Reservoir
FlowsFlowsBox Canyon and Boundary ReservoirBox Canyon and Boundary Reservoir
PlotsReservoir WSEModel WSEInflow & balance flow
Boundary Dam Release
Date1/04 3/04 5/04 7/04 9/04 11/04 1/05 3/05 5/05 7/05 9/05 11/05 1/06
Flow
(kcf
s)
0
20
40
60
80
100
Measured
Box Canyon Release and Balance Flows
Date1/04 3/04 5/04 7/04 9/04 11/04 1/05 3/05 5/05 7/05 9/05 11/05 1/06
Flow
(kcf
s)
-20
0
20
40
60
80
100
USGS 12396500Balance
Average Balance Flow = -2.7 kcfs
FlowsTributariesFlowsFlows
TributariesTributaries
Measured flow only for Sullivan Creek1995-2002 and summer 2004
Estimated flow is 25th-percentile of 1995-2002 dataBased on comparison of average flow for July-September
Assumed Slate Creek flow scaled from Sullivan Creek flow based on watershed areas
Sullivan and Slate Creeks
Date1/04 3/04 5/04 7/04 9/04 11/04 1/05 3/05 5/05 7/05 9/05 11/05 1/06
Flow
(cfs
)
0
200
400
600
800
1000
Measured -Sullivan CrEstimated
Boundary Dam Tailwater Elevations
Date1/04 3/04 5/04 7/04 9/04 11/04 1/05 3/05 5/05 7/05 9/05 11/05 1/06
Wat
er S
urfa
ce E
leva
tion
(ft)
1710
1720
1730
1740
1750MeasuredModel
Boundary Reservoir Water Surface Elevations
Date1/04 3/04 5/04 7/04 9/04 11/04 1/05 3/05 5/05 7/05 9/05 11/05 1/06
Wat
er S
urfa
ce E
leva
tion
(ft)
1960
1970
1980
1990
2000
MeasuredModel
Pend Orielle River at USGS Box Canyon Station
Date1/04 3/04 5/04 7/04 9/04 11/04 1/05 3/05 5/05 7/05 9/05 11/05 1/06
Wat
er S
urfa
ce E
leva
tion
(ft)
1980
1990
2000
2010
2020
MeasuredModel
Pend Oreille River, Boundary Reservoir and Boundary Dam Tailwater
Water Surface Elevations
Pend Oreille River, Boundary Reservoir Pend Oreille River, Boundary Reservoir and Boundary Dam and Boundary Dam TailwaterTailwater
Water Surface ElevationsWater Surface Elevations
Error ME AME
+0.26 1.41 (ft)+0.08 0.43 (m)
Error ME AME
+0.56 1.05 (ft)+0.17 0.32 (m)
Error ME AME
+0.46 0.62 (ft)+0.14 0.19 (m)
Pend Orielle River at USGS Box Canyon Station
Date8/8/04 8/15/04 8/22/04
Wat
er S
urfa
ce E
leva
tion
(ft)
1980
1990
2000
2010
2020
MeasuredModel
Boundary Reservoir Water Surface Elevations
Date8/8/04 8/15/04 8/22/04
Wat
er S
urfa
ce E
leva
tion
(ft)
1960
1970
1980
1990
2000
MeasuredModel
Boundary Dam Tailwater Elevations
Date8/8/04 8/15/04 8/22/04
Wat
er S
urfa
ce E
leva
tion
(ft)
1710
1720
1730
1740
1750MeasuredModel
Inflow TemperaturesBox Canyon Dam Release and Tributaries
Inflow TemperaturesInflow TemperaturesBox Canyon Dam Release and TributariesBox Canyon Dam Release and Tributaries
T3. Sullivan Creek Down
Date1/04 3/04 5/04 7/04 9/04 11/04 1/05 3/05 5/05 7/05 9/05 11/05 1/06
Wat
er T
empe
ratu
re (o C
)
-5
0
5
10
15
20
25
MeasuredEstimated
T5. Slate Creek
Date1/04 3/04 5/04 7/04 9/04 11/04 1/05 3/05 5/05 7/05 9/05 11/05 1/06
Wat
er T
empe
ratu
re (o C
)
-10
0
10
20
30
40
MeasuredRegression to Sullivan Creek
T1. Box Canyon Tailrace
Date1/04 3/04 5/04 7/04 9/04 11/04 1/05 3/05 5/05 7/05 9/05 11/05 1/06
Wat
er T
empe
ratu
re (o C
)
-10
0
10
20
30
40
MeasuredEstimated
Meteorological DataStation Locations
Meteorological DataMeteorological DataStation LocationsStation Locations
Boundary Dam - SCL
Box CanyonDam - SCL
Teepee SeedOrchard - RAWS
Priest Lake - RAWS
Sandpoint - NOAA
Meteorological data station - Source
Wellpinit - RAWS
Meteorological DataAir Temperature
Meteorological DataMeteorological DataAir TemperatureAir Temperature
Sandpoint Airport - Boundary DamAir Temperature Regression
Sandpoint AirportAir Temperature (oC)
-30 -20 -10 0 10 20 30 40
Boun
dary
Dam
Air
Tem
pera
ture
(o C)
-30
-20
-10
0
10
20
30
40
r2 = 0.889Tbound = Tsp*0.998 - 0.616
Sandpoint Airport - Box Canyon DamAir Temperature Regression
Sandpoint AirportAir Temperature (oC)
-30 -20 -10 0 10 20 30 40
Box
Can
yon
Dam
Air
Tem
pera
ture
(o C)
-30
-20
-10
0
10
20
30
40
r2 = 0.948Tbox = Tsp*1.021 - 0.301
Boundary Dam
Date1/04 3/04 5/04 7/04 9/04 11/04 1/05 3/05 5/05 7/05 9/05 11/05 1/06
Air
Tem
pera
ture
(o C)
-20
-10
0
10
20
30
40
Boundary Dam DataRegression to Sandpoint Airport
Box Canyon Dam
Date1/04 3/04 5/04 7/04 9/04 11/04 1/05 3/05 5/05 7/05 9/05 11/05 1/06
Air
Tem
pera
ture
(o C)
-20
-10
0
10
20
30
40
Box Canyon Dam DataRegression to Sandpoint Airport
Box Canyon Dam
Boundary Dam
Regression Input Data
Meteorological DataDew Point Temperature
Meteorological DataMeteorological DataDew Point TemperatureDew Point Temperature
Sandpoint Airport - Box Canyon DamDew Point Temperature Regression
Sandpoint AirportDew Point Temperature (oC)
-30 -20 -10 0 10 20
Box
Can
yon
Dam
Dew
Poi
nt T
empe
ratu
re (o C
)
-30
-20
-10
0
10
20
30
r2 = 0.877Tbox = Tsp*1.014 + 2.290
Sandpoint Airport - Boundary DamDew Point Temperature Regression
Sandpoint AirportDew Point Temperature (oC)
-30 -20 -10 0 10 20
Bou
ndar
y D
amD
ew P
oint
Tem
pera
ture
(o C)
-30
-20
-10
0
10
20
30
r2 = 0.876Tbound = Tsp*0.954 + 2.928
Box Canyon Dam
Boundary Dam
Regression Input Data
Boundary Dam
Date1/04 3/04 5/04 7/04 9/04 11/04 1/05 3/05 5/05 7/05 9/05 11/05 1/06
Dew
Poi
ntTe
mpe
ratu
re (o C
)
-40
-30
-20
-10
0
10
20
30
Boundary Dam DataRegression to Sandpoint Airport
Box Canyon Dam
Date1/04 3/04 5/04 7/04 9/04 11/04 1/05 3/05 5/05 7/05 9/05 11/05 1/06
Dew
Poi
nt T
empe
ratu
re (o C
)
-40
-30
-20
-10
0
10
20
30
Box Canyon Dam DataRegression to Sandpoint Airport
Meteorological DataWind Speed
Meteorological DataMeteorological DataWind SpeedWind Speed
Direct combination of data to fill data gaps
Boundary Dam
Date1/04 3/04 5/04 7/04 9/04 11/04 1/05 3/05 5/05 7/05 9/05 11/05 1/06
Win
d S
peed
(m/s
)
0
2
4
6
8
10
Boundary Dam DataPriest Lake DataTeepee Seed Orchard
Box Canyon Dam
Date1/04 3/04 5/04 7/04 9/04 11/04 1/05 3/05 5/05 7/05 9/05 11/05 1/06
Win
d S
peed
(m/s
)
0
2
4
6
8
10Box Canyon DamBoundary DamPriest LakeTeepee Seed Orchard
Meteorological DataWind Direction
Meteorological DataMeteorological DataWind DirectionWind Direction
Direct combination of data to fill data gapsBox Canyon Dam
Date1/04 3/04 5/04 7/04 9/04 11/04 1/05 3/05 5/05 7/05 9/05 11/05 1/06
Win
d D
irect
ion
(deg
rees
)
80
180
280
380
Box Canyon DamBoundary DamPriest LakeTeepee Seed Orchard
Boundary Dam
Date1/04 3/04 5/04 7/04 9/04 11/04 1/05 3/05 5/05 7/05 9/05 11/05 1/06
Win
d D
irect
ion
(deg
rees
)
80
180
280
380
Boundary Dam DataPriest Lake DataTeepee Seed Orchard
Meteorological DataSolar Radiation
Meteorological DataMeteorological DataSolar RadiationSolar Radiation
Box Canyon Dam
Date1/04 3/04 5/04 7/04 9/04 11/04 1/05 3/05 5/05 7/05 9/05 11/05 1/06
Sol
ar R
adia
tion
(W/m
2 )
180
380
580
780
980
1180Box Canyon DamBoundary DamPriest LakeWellpinitAdjacent Days
Boundary Dam
Date1/04 3/04 5/04 7/04 9/04 11/04 1/05 3/05 5/05 7/05 9/05 11/05 1/06
Sol
ar R
adia
tion
(W/m
2 )
180
380
580
780
980
1180Boundary Dam DataPriest Lake DataWellpinitAdjacent Days
Combination of scaled data to fill data gaps
Meteorological DataCloud Cover
Meteorological DataMeteorological DataCloud CoverCloud Cover
Boundary Dam
Date1/04 3/04 5/04 7/04 9/04 11/04 1/05 3/05 5/05 7/05 9/05 11/05 1/06
Clo
ud C
over
(ten
ths)
0
2
4
6
8
10
Hourly InterpolatedObservations
Shade CalculationShade CalculationShade Calculation
Slices taken from center of grid segment at 20º anglesMaximum angle used in shade simulations
Example Angles
0
10
20
30
40
50
0 5000 10000 15000 20000 25000 30000 35000
Distance (ft)
Angl
e (d
egre
es)
Example Slice
1000
2000
3000
4000
5000
6000
0 5000 10000 15000 20000 25000 30000 35000
Distance (ft)
Elev
atio
n (ft
)
αmax = 44º (0.77 rad)
Example Slice
α
DEM
( )vclf odfS ,,,, ,A ,A vtszo ααθ=•Ao and Az are the solar altitude and azimuth,•θs = segment orientation •αt = topographic angles,•dcl = distance of vegetation from the centerline•ov = opaqueness of the vegetation
Topographic ShadeTopographic ShadeTopographic ShadeTopographic Shade Angles - East, South, and West
Distance Upstream from Boundary Dam (mi)-2 -1 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18
Ang
le (d
egre
es)
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
EastSouthWest
Temperature CalibrationTemperature CalibrationTemperature Calibration
PlotsTime series
T2. Metaline PoolT6. Slate PoolT7. Boundary ReservoirT8. Boundary Tailrace
ProfilesV1. Wolf CreekV2. Metaline OldV3. Pend Oreille MineV4. Slate CreekV5. Everett CreekV6. Boundary Pool
Error analysis
Water Temperature Measurement Locations
Water Temperature Water Temperature Measurement LocationsMeasurement Locations
T2e Metaline Pool - 9.8-m Depth
Date1/04 3/04 5/04 7/04 9/04 11/04 1/05 3/05 5/05 7/05 9/05 11/05 1/06
Wat
er T
empe
ratu
re (o C
)
-10
0
10
20
30
40
ModelMeasured
T2a Metaline Pool - 1-m Depth
Date1/04 3/04 5/04 7/04 9/04 11/04 1/05 3/05 5/05 7/05 9/05 11/05 1/06
Wat
er T
empe
ratu
re (o C
)
-10
0
10
20
30
40
ModelMeasured
T2b Metaline Pool - 3.2-m Depth
Date1/04 3/04 5/04 7/04 9/04 11/04 1/05 3/05 5/05 7/05 9/05 11/05 1/06
Wat
er T
empe
ratu
re (o C
)
-10
0
10
20
30
40
ModelMeasured
T2c Metaline Pool - 5.4-m Depth
Date1/04 3/04 5/04 7/04 9/04 11/04 1/05 3/05 5/05 7/05 9/05 11/05 1/06
Wat
er T
empe
ratu
re (o C
)
-10
0
10
20
30
40
ModelMeasured
T2d Metaline Pool - 7.6-m Depth
Date1/04 3/04 5/04 7/04 9/04 11/04 1/05 3/05 5/05 7/05 9/05 11/05 1/06
Wat
er T
empe
ratu
re (o C
)
-10
0
10
20
30
40
ModelMeasured
Temperature Calibration T2. Metaline Pool Station
Temperature Calibration Temperature Calibration T2. T2. MetalineMetaline Pool StationPool Station
Error (ºC) ME AME RMS
-0.27 0.30 0.37
Error (ºC) ME AME RMS
-0.19 0.24 0.32
Error (ºC) ME AME RMS
-0.25 0.27 0.34
Error (ºC) ME AME RMS
-0.26 0.28 0.34
Error (ºC) ME AME RMS
-0.22 0.26 0.34
T6a Slate Pool - 1-m Depth
Date1/04 3/04 5/04 7/04 9/04 11/04 1/05 3/05 5/05 7/05 9/05 11/05 1/06
Wat
er T
empe
ratu
re (o C
)
-10
0
10
20
30
40
ModelMeasured
T6b Slate Pool - 11-m Depth
Date1/04 3/04 5/04 7/04 9/04 11/04 1/05 3/05 5/05 7/05 9/05 11/05 1/06
Wat
er T
empe
ratu
re (o C
)
-10
0
10
20
30
40
ModelMeasured
T6c Slate Pool - 21-m Depth
Date1/04 3/04 5/04 7/04 9/04 11/04 1/05 3/05 5/05 7/05 9/05 11/05 1/06
Wat
er T
empe
ratu
re (o C
)
-10
0
10
20
30
40
ModelMeasured
T6d Slate Pool - 31-m Depth
Date1/04 3/04 5/04 7/04 9/04 11/04 1/05 3/05 5/05 7/05 9/05 11/05 1/06
Wat
er T
empe
ratu
re (o C
)-10
0
10
20
30
40
ModelMeasured
Temperature Calibration T6. Slate Pool Station
Temperature Calibration Temperature Calibration T6. Slate Pool StationT6. Slate Pool Station
Error (ºC) ME AME RMS
-0.12 0.29 0.38
Error (ºC) ME AME RMS
-0.14 0.28 0.35
Error (ºC) ME AME RMS
-0.15 0.26 0.35
Error (ºC) ME AME RMS
-0.21 0.24 0.31
T7a Boundary Intake - 5-m Depth
Date1/04 3/04 5/04 7/04 9/04 11/04 1/05 3/05 5/05 7/05 9/05 11/05 1/06
Wat
er T
empe
ratu
re (o C
)
-10
0
10
20
30
40
ModelMeasured
T7b Boundary Intake - 11m Depth
Date1/04 3/04 5/04 7/04 9/04 11/04 1/05 3/05 5/05 7/05 9/05 11/05 1/06
Wat
er T
empe
ratu
re (o C
)
-10
0
10
20
30
40
ModelMeasured
T7c Boundary Intake - 17-m Depth
Date1/04 3/04 5/04 7/04 9/04 11/04 1/05 3/05 5/05 7/05 9/05 11/05 1/06
Wat
er T
empe
ratu
re (o C
)
-10
0
10
20
30
40
ModelMeasured
T7d Boundary Intake -23-m Depth
Date1/04 3/04 5/04 7/04 9/04 11/04 1/05 3/05 5/05 7/05 9/05 11/05 1/06
Wat
er T
empe
ratu
re (o C
)
-10
0
10
20
30
40
ModelMeasured
T7e Boundary Intake - 29-m Depth
Date1/04 3/04 5/04 7/04 9/04 11/04 1/05 3/05 5/05 7/05 9/05 11/05 1/06
Wat
er T
empe
ratu
re (o C
)
-10
0
10
20
30
40
ModelMeasured
Temperature Calibration T7. Boundary Intake Station
Temperature Calibration Temperature Calibration T7. Boundary Intake StationT7. Boundary Intake Station
Error (ºC) ME AME RMS
-0.08 0.30 0.37
Error (ºC) ME AME RMS
-0.18 0.29 0.36
Error (ºC) ME AME RMS
-0.08 0.23 0.29
Error (ºC) ME AME RMS
-0.12 0.23 0.30
Error (ºC) ME AME RMS
-0.10 0.17 0.21
T8 Boundary Tailrace
Date1/04 3/04 5/04 7/04 9/04 11/04 1/05 3/05 5/05 7/05 9/05 11/05 1/06
Wat
er T
empe
ratu
re (o C
)
-10
0
10
20
30
40
ModelMeasured
Temperature Calibration T8. Boundary Dam Tailrace
Temperature Calibration Temperature Calibration T8. Boundary Dam TailraceT8. Boundary Dam Tailrace
Error (ºC) ME AME RMS
-0.03 0.43 0.78
Temperature CalibrationProfiles – V1. Wolf Creek
Temperature CalibrationTemperature CalibrationProfiles Profiles –– V1. Wolf CreekV1. Wolf Creek
2004 2005
Wolf Creek8/3/2004
Temperature
10 12 14 16 18 20 22 24
Dep
th
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
MeasuredModel
Wolf Creek8/17/2004
Temperature
10 12 14 16 18 20 22 24
Dep
th
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
Wolf Creek8/31/2004
Temperature
10 12 14 16 18 20 22 24
Dep
th
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
Wolf Creek9/14/2004
Temperature
10 12 14 16 18 20 22 24
Dep
th
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
Wolf Creek9/28/2004
Temperature
10 12 14 16 18 20 22 24
Dep
th
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
Wolf Creek7/12/2005
Temperature
10 12 14 16 18 20 22 24
Dep
th
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
Wolf Creek8/1/2005
Temperature
10 12 14 16 18 20 22 24
Dep
th
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
Wolf Creek8/23/2005
Temperature
10 12 14 16 18 20 22 24
Dep
th
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
Wolf Creek9/20/2005
Temperature
10 12 14 16 18 20 22 24
Dep
th0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
Temperature CalibrationProfiles – V2. Metaline Old
Temperature CalibrationTemperature CalibrationProfiles Profiles –– V2. V2. MetalineMetaline OldOld
2004 2005
Metaline Old8/3/2004
Temperature
10 12 14 16 18 20 22 24
Dep
th
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
MeasuredModel
Metaline Old8/17/2004
Temperature
10 12 14 16 18 20 22 24
Dep
th
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
Metaline Old8/31/2004
Temperature
10 12 14 16 18 20 22 24
Dep
th
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
Metaline Old9/14/2004
Temperature
10 12 14 16 18 20 22 24
Dep
th
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
Metaline Old9/28/2004
Temperature
10 12 14 16 18 20 22 24
Dep
th
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
Metaline Old7/12/2005
Temperature
10 12 14 16 18 20 22 24
Dep
th
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
Metaline Old8/1/2005
Temperature
10 12 14 16 18 20 22 24
Dep
th
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
Metaline Old8/23/2005
Temperature
10 12 14 16 18 20 22 24
Dep
th
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
Metaline Old9/20/2005
Temperature
10 12 14 16 18 20 22 24
Dep
th0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
Temperature CalibrationProfiles – V3. Pend Oreille MineTemperature CalibrationTemperature CalibrationProfiles Profiles –– V3. Pend Oreille MineV3. Pend Oreille Mine
2004 2005
Pend Oreille Mine8/3/2004
Temperature
10 12 14 16 18 20 22 24
Dep
th
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
MeasuredModel
Pend Oreille Mine8/17/2004
Temperature
10 12 14 16 18 20 22 24
Dep
th
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
Pend Oreille Mine8/31/2004
Temperature
10 12 14 16 18 20 22 24
Dep
th
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
Pend Oreille Mine9/14/2004
Temperature
10 12 14 16 18 20 22 24
Dep
th
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
Pend Oreille Mine9/28/2004
Temperature
10 12 14 16 18 20 22 24
Dep
th
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
Pend Oreille Mine7/12/2005
Temperature
10 12 14 16 18 20 22 24
Dep
th
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
Pend Oreille Mine8/12/2005
Temperature
10 12 14 16 18 20 22 24
Dep
th
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
Pend Oreille Mine8/23/2005
Temperature
10 12 14 16 18 20 22 24
Dep
th
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
Pend Oreille Mine9/20/2005
Temperature
10 12 14 16 18 20 22 24
Dep
th0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
Temperature CalibrationProfiles – V4. Slate Creek
Temperature CalibrationTemperature CalibrationProfiles Profiles –– V4. Slate CreekV4. Slate Creek
2004 2005
Slate Pool8/3/2004
Temperature
10 12 14 16 18 20 22 24
Dep
th
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
MeasuredModel
Slate Pool8/17/2004
Temperature
10 12 14 16 18 20 22 24
Dep
th
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
Slate Pool8/31/2004
Temperature
10 12 14 16 18 20 22 24
Dep
th
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
Slate Pool9/14/2004
Temperature
10 12 14 16 18 20 22 24
Dep
th
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
Slate Pool9/28/2004
Temperature
10 12 14 16 18 20 22 24
Dep
th
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
Slate Pool7/12/2005
Temperature
10 12 14 16 18 20 22 24
Dep
th
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
Slate Pool8/1/2005
Temperature
10 12 14 16 18 20 22 24
Dep
th
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
Slate Pool8/23/2005
Temperature
10 12 14 16 18 20 22 24
Dep
th
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
Slate Pool9/20/2005
Temperature
10 12 14 16 18 20 22 24
Dep
th0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
Temperature CalibrationProfiles – V5. Everett Creek
Temperature CalibrationTemperature CalibrationProfiles Profiles –– V5. Everett CreekV5. Everett Creek
2004 2005
Everett Creek8/3/2004
Temperature
10 12 14 16 18 20 22 24
Dep
th
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
MeasuredModel
Everett Creek8/17/2004
Temperature
10 12 14 16 18 20 22 24
Dep
th
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
Everett Creek8/31/2004
Temperature
10 12 14 16 18 20 22 24
Dep
th
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
Everett Creek9/14/2004
Temperature
10 12 14 16 18 20 22 24
Dep
th
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
Everett Creek9/28/2004
Temperature
10 12 14 16 18 20 22 24
Dep
th
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
Everett Creek7/12/2005
Temperature
10 12 14 16 18 20 22 24
Dep
th
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
Everett Creek8/1/2005
Temperature
10 12 14 16 18 20 22 24
Dep
th
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
Everett Creek8/23/2005
Temperature
10 12 14 16 18 20 22 24
Dep
th
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
Everett Creek9/20/2005
Temperature
10 12 14 16 18 20 22 24
Dep
th0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
Temperature CalibrationProfiles – V6. Boundary ReservoirTemperature CalibrationTemperature Calibration
Profiles Profiles –– V6. Boundary ReservoirV6. Boundary Reservoir
2004 2005
8/3/2004
Temperature
10 12 14 16 18 20 22 24
Dep
th
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
MeasuredModel
8/17/2004
Temperature
10 12 14 16 18 20 22 24
Dep
th
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
8/31/2004
Temperature
10 12 14 16 18 20 22 24
Dep
th
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
9/14/2004
Temperature
10 12 14 16 18 20 22 24
Dep
th
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
9/28/2004
Temperature
10 12 14 16 18 20 22 24
Dep
th
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
7/12/2005
Temperature
10 12 14 16 18 20 22 24
Dep
th
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
8/1/2005
Temperature
10 12 14 16 18 20 22 24
Dep
th
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
8/23/2005
Temperature
10 12 14 16 18 20 22 24
Dep
th
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
9/20/2005
Temperature
10 12 14 16 18 20 22 24
Dep
th0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
Temperature CalibrationSummary of Error Analysis
Temperature CalibrationTemperature CalibrationSummary of Error AnalysisSummary of Error Analysis
Time Series (at measured time interval)Station Depth (m) ME (ºC) AME (ºC) RMS (ºC) N
T2. Metaline Pool 1 -0.267 0.298 0.367 14,5373.2 -0.188 0.243 0.317 14,5365.4 -0.257 0.278 0.339 14,5377.6 -0.249 0.272 0.336 14,5389.8 -0.218 0.264 0.344 14,538
T6. Slate Pool 1 -0.124 0.291 0.376 21,08111 -0.143 0.276 0.347 21,08121 -0.146 0.264 0.347 21,08031 -0.212 0.243 0.312 20,931
T7. Boundary Intake 5 -0.080 0.299 0.373 26,71911 -0.180 0.291 0.359 33,86517 -0.080 0.228 0.292 34,62423 -0.115 0.227 0.295 34,62629 -0.101 0.166 0.208 19,071
T8. Boundary Dam Tailwater 10 -0.027 0.425 0.785 32,847
Overall Averages -0.14 0.27 0.40 338,611
Temperature CalibrationSummary of Error Analysis
Temperature CalibrationTemperature CalibrationSummary of Error AnalysisSummary of Error Analysis
Daily MaximumStation Depth (m) ME (ºC) AME (ºC) RMS (ºC) N
T2. Metaline Pool 1 -0.194 0.279 0.337 2033.2 -0.092 0.220 0.274 2035.4 -0.143 0.231 0.280 2037.6 -0.129 0.223 0.272 2039.8 -0.103 0.238 0.292 203
T6. Slate Pool 1 -0.098 0.289 0.377 29511 -0.048 0.252 0.316 29521 -0.063 0.246 0.312 29531 -0.180 0.222 0.282 293
T7. Boundary Intake 5 -0.140 0.335 0.426 42411 0.015 0.309 0.383 20317 -0.061 0.219 0.280 48123 -0.096 0.209 0.277 48129 -0.084 0.145 0.182 265
T8. Boundary Dam Tailwater 10 -0.033 0.441 0.799 461
Overall Averages -0.09 0.26 0.39 4,508
Temperature CalibrationSummary of Error Analysis
Temperature CalibrationTemperature CalibrationSummary of Error AnalysisSummary of Error Analysis
ProfilesDate ME (ºC) AME (ºC) RMS (ºC) N
8/3/04 0.294 0.506 0.584 98/17/04 -0.088 0.431 0.544 98/31/04 -0.180 0.180 0.184 99/14/04 0.044 0.080 0.107 99/28/04 -0.116 0.116 0.116 97/12/05 -0.183 0.243 0.248 98/1/05 -0.214 0.266 0.337 118/23/05 0.040 0.148 0.160 99/20/05 -0.457 0.457 0.475 8Overall -0.094 0.267 0.351 82
V5. Everett Creek
ME (ºC) AME (ºC) RMS (ºC) NOverall Averages -0.096 0.190 0.265 562
Date ME (ºC) AME (ºC) RMS (ºC) N8/3/04 0.029 0.029 0.033 128/17/04 0.025 0.058 0.075 138/31/04 -0.003 0.019 0.041 139/14/04 -0.004 0.006 0.008 89/28/04 0.028 0.051 0.057 127/12/05 -0.013 0.014 0.017 118/1/05 -0.057 0.057 0.059 158/23/05 -0.031 0.031 0.033 119/20/05 -0.377 0.377 0.377 11Overall -0.043 0.071 0.130 106
V1. Wolf CreekDate ME (ºC) AME (ºC) RMS (ºC) N
8/3/04 -0.048 0.048 0.049 128/17/04 -0.123 0.123 0.125 138/31/04 -0.031 0.031 0.032 139/14/04 -0.128 0.128 0.129 119/28/04 0.062 0.062 0.062 127/12/05 -0.082 0.082 0.084 138/1/05 -0.262 0.262 0.264 138/23/05 -0.220 0.220 0.220 129/20/05 -0.434 0.434 0.435 13Overall -0.143 0.156 0.201 112
V2. Metaline OldDate ME (ºC) AME (ºC) RMS (ºC) N
8/3/04 -0.119 0.119 0.132 98/17/04 -0.189 0.189 0.190 98/31/04 -0.118 0.118 0.121 99/14/04 -0.249 0.249 0.249 99/28/04 0.005 0.007 0.009 97/12/05 0.073 0.083 0.113 68/1/05 -0.155 0.155 0.161 68/23/05 -0.214 0.214 0.214 69/20/05 -0.322 0.322 0.324 7Overall -0.144 0.159 0.186 70
V3. Pend Oreille Mine
Date ME (ºC) AME (ºC) RMS (ºC) N8/3/04 -0.140 0.140 0.151 128/17/04 0.171 0.302 0.320 138/31/04 -0.217 0.217 0.220 129/14/04 0.286 0.286 0.286 109/28/04 -0.089 0.089 0.089 127/12/05 -0.038 0.069 0.076 98/1/05 -0.342 0.342 0.343 128/23/05 0.284 0.284 0.320 99/20/05 -0.173 0.173 0.178 9Overall -0.038 0.214 0.243 98
V4. Slate CreekDate ME (ºC) AME (ºC) RMS (ºC) N
8/3/04 0.139 0.282 0.344 118/17/04 0.143 0.295 0.327 128/31/04 0.060 0.172 0.219 99/14/04 -0.343 0.343 0.365 99/28/04 0.024 0.035 0.040 97/12/05 0.007 0.055 0.102 108/1/05 -0.199 0.268 0.308 148/23/05 -0.083 0.251 0.274 109/20/05 -0.914 0.914 0.922 10Overall -0.125 0.293 0.398 94
V6. Boundary Reservoir
Boundary ReservoirSurface Layer Longitudinal Temperature Variation
Boundary ReservoirBoundary ReservoirSurface LayerSurface Layer LongitudinalLongitudinal Temperature VariationTemperature Variation
ConclusionsConclusionsConclusions
Model calibration completeME < 0.2 ºCAME < 1.0 ºCErrors at low end of range seen for other studies
Next StepsNTP
Model setup- Grid modification- Shade – topographic and vegetative- Upstream boundary conditions
Comparison to Existing Condition for evaluation of compliance totemperature standards
Alternatives analysesFinal report
Temperature CalibrationError Statistics for Other CE-QUAL-W2 Applications
Temperature CalibrationTemperature CalibrationError Statistics for Other CEError Statistics for Other CE--QUALQUAL--W2 ApplicationsW2 Applications
Min MaxOverall Averages 0.3 0.9
AME Range (ºC)