Thayer Vietnam Political System and Current Issues 2009

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    et am r e

    Professor Carlyle Thayer Professor Carlyle Thayer 1313 thth Delegation of Young Political LeadersDelegation of Young Political Leaders

    Hotel Realm, Canberra Hotel Realm, Canberra December 3, 2009December 3, 2009

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    lin f Pr n i nlin f Pr n i n

    Background urren o ca ruc ure an

    Government Comparison of Vietnamese and

    Australian Political S stems

    Current Issues

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    B k r nB k r n

    13 th most populous-

    45 th GDP (ppp) 2008

    60 th largest GDP(nominal) 2008High economicgrowth rates (7%)

    Success in povertyreduction

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    Still a Developing CountryOrganisation Survey Ranking

    Heritage Foundation/ The Wall

    Street Journal Index of EconomicFreedom 2009 145 out of179

    Report, 2009

    183

    Reporters Without Borders Worldwide Press Freedom 166 out of

    Transparency International Corruption PerceptionsIndex 2009

    120 out of180

    United Nations DevelopmentProgramme

    Human DevelopmentIndex 2009

    116 out of182

    World Economic Forum Global Competitiveness 75 out ofReport 2009/2010 133

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    GovernmentGovernment

    Leninist one-party

    ua ro e e es

    Gradual political liberalisation since 1992No pluralism, multi-parties or opposition

    Market econom with socialist orientations

    Soft-authoritarian

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    Administrative Divisions

    59 rovinces

    5 municipalities

    ano

    HaiphongDa Nang

    Ho Chi Minh City

    Can Tho

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    MonoMono--organisational Socialismorganisational Socialism

    Vietnam Communist PartVietnam Communist Part

    The StateThe State ArmedForcesArmedForces

    MassOrganisations

    MassOrganisations

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    Party StructureParty Structure

    CongressCongress CentralCentral1,176

    delegates1,176

    delegatesCommittee

    160 membersCommittee

    160 members

    15 members

    15 members

    General

    General

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    Nng c Mnh

    10 th National CongressApril 2006

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    n r l mmin r l mmi

    160 full and 21 alternate members, required tomeet in lenar session twice a ear. Threeplenums held in 2008 and 2009.

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    i n m P r lii n m P r li Secretary

    Prime Minister State President

    Chair NationalAssembl

    PermanentSecretar

    StandingCommittee

    PartySecretariat

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    ThTh

    Nguy n Minh Tri t

    Nguy n Th Doan

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    AssemblyAssembly --

    QuQu c Hc Hii

    N u n Ph Tr n -Chair

    500 deputies from 64administrative units

    Bi-annual sessions

    Standing Committee

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    Proceedings broadcast on radio and television,voting results made public, full-time deputies,

    , ,Prime Ministers nominees rejected, confidencevote,

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    PM NguyenTan Dung

    u yMinisters

    Nguyen

    Sinh Hung

    Pham Gia

    Khiem

    Truong

    Vinh Trong

    Nguyen

    Thien Nhan

    Hoang

    Trung Hai

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    Comparison of Vietnamese andComparison of Vietnamese andu yu y

    No separation of power Separation of power

    One-party-

    Multi-party

    Unicameral legislature

    ompu sory vo ng

    Bicameral legislaturePolitically active armedforces Politically neutral armed

    forces

    Mass organisationsstate-controlled Civic organisations are

    inde endentMedia state-controlled

    Media independent

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    rr n Irr n Ia. Recovery from Global Financial Crisis

    b. Bauxite Mining

    c. Catholic Church-State Land Disputes

    d. Buddhism Mainstream and Zen

    e. Political Dissent

    f. Internet Censorship

    th .

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    l l Fin n i l ri il l Fin n i l ri i

    Inflationary crisis 23% (2008) 7% (2009). -

    6.2% (2008) 5.5% (2009) 6.5% (2010)

    Stimulus Package US$8 billion

    ,welfare, poverty reduction and political

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    Bauxite MininControversy

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    AntiAnti--Bauxite CoalitionBauxite Coalition

    EnvironmentalistsEnvironmentalists Some media & bloggersSome media & bloggers Social scientistsSocial scientists

    Retired state &Retired state & Catholic andCatholic andc en s sc en s s military officers

    military officers

    Buddhist leaders

    Buddhist leaders

    EconomistsEconomists Local residentsLocal residents Some NADeputiesSome NADeputies

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    Bauxite Minin ControversBauxite Minin ControversV Nguyn Gip

    (May 7) National Assembly (May 27)

    Deputy Nguy n MinhThuy t, Son La province,

    I hope you pay attention to bauxite

    mining in the Central Highlands

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    Catholic Land IssuesCatholic Land Issues u y nc en a am

    Ta Church, Quang Binhprovince - 11 arrested

    ege po ce ruta ty

    Gangs assault Catholics

    rc estrate campa gn ystate media

    26 July & 2 August

    at o cs stage massprotests in 3 provinces

    8 August 178 parishes inVinh diocese hold protests

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    TamTam TaTa ProtestsProtests

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    B hi mB hi m

    Unified Buddhist Church Zen Buddhism

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    PoliticalDissent

    Hai Phong 16 Aug 08 (above) and Hai

    Hanoi 28 Jul 08

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    H i h n ix n Tri lH i h n ix n Tri l

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    Internet CensorshiInternet CensorshiHuy c, blogged under name Osin, firedfrom Si Gn Ti p Th newspaper

    Bi Thanh Hi u blo ed as N i Bun Gi(Wind Trader) arrested in August

    ,partition, critical of Chinese territorial claims

    Nguy n Ng c Nh Qu nh, blogged under name M Nm (Mother Mushroom)

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    Relations with China An IssueRelations with China An Issue

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    Towards the 11Towards the 11 thth Con ress Januar 2011Con ress Januar 2011

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    n D iln D [email protected]

    Mobile: 0437 376 429

    Thayer Consultancy

    . .

    Jamison Centre, ACT 2614