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Weichert, Princeton Office November Market Update Seminar Offers analysis of the Princeton & Greater Princeton, NJ real estate markets & effective strategies to

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Page 1: November Market Update Seminar

Weichert, Princeton Office November Market Update

Seminar

Offers analysis of the Princeton & Greater

Princeton, NJ real estate markets & effective

strategies to buy and sell.

Page 2: November Market Update Seminar

Presented by:

Joshua D Wilton

Broker/ Sales Rep.

Weichert Realtors

Princeton, NJ

O 609-921-1900

www.facebook.com/weichertprinceton

Page 3: November Market Update Seminar

Presented by:

The presentation will be posted on the

following site immediately after today’s

session to the following site.

Will be available for downloads thru Monday.

www.facebook.com/weichertprinceton

Page 4: November Market Update Seminar

Agenda

1. The Market

2. Strategies for Buying

3. Strategies for Selling

Page 5: November Market Update Seminar

Agenda

1. The Market:

- The National Economy a

Year Ago…

Page 6: November Market Update Seminar

Source: www.imf.org

Page 7: November Market Update Seminar

Source: www.imf.org

Page 8: November Market Update Seminar

Source: www.imf.org

Page 9: November Market Update Seminar

‘TARP…BAILOUTS…

CREDIT CRUCH…“TBTF”

RECESSIONISTA…CREDIT DEFAULT SWAP’

Source: Autodata

We learned a new vocabulary…

Page 10: November Market Update Seminar

Source: yahoo finance

5 Year Picture of the DOW…

Page 11: November Market Update Seminar

‘Congrats! You Just Lived Through the Worst Stock

Market Drop Since the Depression’-about.com

Source: Autodata

We Survived…

Page 12: November Market Update Seminar

WSJ estimates over $8.4 trillion lost in the stock market crash.

Source: wsj

Page 13: November Market Update Seminar

From the end of 2006 through March 31, it says, the total market value of U.S. household real estate

fell from $21.9 trillion to $17.9 trillion. That's about 18%. (The lost

wealth works out at just over $13,000 for every person in the

country.)Source: wsj

Page 14: November Market Update Seminar

http://data.bls.gov/PDQ/servlet/SurveyOutputServlet?data_tool=latest_numbers&series_id=LASST34000003

The consequences…

Page 15: November Market Update Seminar

http://data.bls.gov/PDQ/servlet/SurveyOutputServlet?data_tool=latest_numbers&series_id=LASST34000003

The consequences…

Page 16: November Market Update Seminar
Page 17: November Market Update Seminar

What about the Real Estate Markets….?

Page 18: November Market Update Seminar

A real estate market correction was taking shape the summer

of 2001…Inventory was growing…Rates were edging up…

Contracts were slowing…

Page 19: November Market Update Seminar

Unsold Inventory from the MLS in Weichert Market Areas10/20/2003 thru 9/14/2009

0

5000

10000

15000

20000

25000

17-N

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003

29-D

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9-Feb

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6-Sep

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4-Apr

-200

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8-Aug

-200

5

19-S

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31-O

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17-A

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29-M

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10-J

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2-Oct-

2006

13-N

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25-D

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5-Feb

-200

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19-M

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30-A

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3-Sep

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4-Aug

-200

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8-Dec

-200

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6-Ju

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ASHBY TOTAL DOEPPER TOTAL BIXON TOTAL MCDONALD TOTAL PREVETE TOTAL WATERS TOTAL WILLIAMS TOTAL

9/13/0432,893

9/12/0538,513

9/11/0683,739

9/17/07*91,009

9/15/0891,267

*added Waters & Williams Region to Totals

9/14/0983,431

Listings from the MLS in Weichert Market AreasListings from the MLS in Weichert Market Areas

In our local area (CT/NY/NJ Lehigh Valley, PA), the number of homes for sale (Weichert and non-Weichert listings) has steadily increased over the past four years.

Variance % 2009 from 2008NY (Ashby) -9.26%CT (Doepper) +1.44%Passaic/Hudson/Bergen NJ (Bixon) +.32%Western Central NJ/Lehigh Valley PA (McDonald) +.32%Northern and Central NJ (Prevete) +.28%Eastern Central/Shore Points NJ (Waters) +.08%Southern NJ (Williams) -.03%

Page 20: November Market Update Seminar

123 Any street, Princeton, NJ

• First Time home buyers were priced out of the market

• Financing was too available (ie ‘subprime’)

• Banks made bad bets (ie that home prices would continue to

rise)Lehman, Merril, over 300+ fail• Credit freeze, affects ‘main street’

business…

Page 21: November Market Update Seminar

A long term outlook in Mercer County…

Source: NAR, November 2008 Forecast

Page 22: November Market Update Seminar

Long Term Supply …

Source: NAR, November 2008 Forecast

Richardson Commercial

Page 23: November Market Update Seminar

Long Term Demand in Mercer County …

Source: NAR, November 2008 ForecastSource: https://edis.commerce.state.nc.us/docs/countyProfile/NJ/34021.pdf

(Mercer County) Population & Growth Population Annual Growth Rate2013 Total Population 383,677 0.6%2008 Total Population 371,963 0.7%2000 Total Population 350,761

Page 24: November Market Update Seminar

Long Term Demand in Mercer County …

Source: NAR, November 2008 ForecastSource: https://edis.commerce.state.nc.us/docs/countyProfile/NJ/34021.pdf

Estimated Pop. by Age Pop by Age, % Est.2013 Median Age 392008 Median Age 382000 Median Age 362008 Total Pop 0-19 98,816 26.6%2008 Total Pop 20-29 49,307 13.3%2008 Total Pop 30-39 49,497 13.3%2008 Total Pop 40-49 58,288 15.7%2008 Total Pop 50-59 51,605 13.9%2008 Total Pop 60+ 64,450 17.3%

Page 25: November Market Update Seminar

Fast Forward to today…Have we hit the bottom of the market yet…?!?!?!?

Source: NAR, November 2008 Forecast

Page 26: November Market Update Seminar

Where is the bottom of the market?“The effects (of foreclosures) are continued declining

prices….probably another 5-8%* to the bottom.  As for the effect of foreclosure pricing, all of these problems are

causing home prices to go lower than is necessary from an affordability perspective.

  That’s because everyone is now worrying about job security. 

As a result, the recovery will take place at a faster pace once it gets started.”

– Jeff Otteau (otteau.com- January 2009)

Page 27: November Market Update Seminar

““Everything I am Everything I am seeing tells me we seeing tells me we have arrived at the have arrived at the

bottom of the market, bottom of the market, specifically in the specifically in the

popular and popular and affordable price affordable price

ranges.”ranges.”J. Weichert

6/2009

‘Real Estate is a Bottom up market…’

Page 28: November Market Update Seminar

Weichert, Realtors Weichert, Realtors 2009 Revenue Units % Increase/Decrease by Month2009 Revenue Units % Increase/Decrease by Month

Page 29: November Market Update Seminar

Source: otteau.com

Page 30: November Market Update Seminar

65.4%65.4%Increase in SalesIncrease in Sales$350,000 & Under$350,000 & Under

Recovery Has BegunRecovery Has Begun

September YTD reported internal revenue units

Page 31: November Market Update Seminar

Sales by Price RangeSales by Price Range

Page 32: November Market Update Seminar

Pending Home Sales Up 7 Months in a Row

2001 = 100

Source: NAR

Page 33: November Market Update Seminar

Housing Recovery is Under Way

First-time home buyers purchased 30% of homes in

August.

*NAR Practitioner Survey August 2009

Page 34: November Market Update Seminar

Months Supply of Lower Priced Single Family Homes Falling

Price Category August 2008 August 2009

$99,999 or less 6.8 4.3

$100,000 to 249,999 7.8 4.9

$250,000 to $499,999 10.2 6.4

$500,000 to $749,999 14.0 10.0

$750,000 to $999,999 16.5 10.5

$1,000,000 to $1,999,999 19.8 15.2

$2,000,000 or greater 32.0 31.7

All Single-family 10.0 8.2

Source: NAR (Unpublished data)

Page 35: November Market Update Seminar

Despite this…

*NAR Practitioner Survey August 2009

Source: otteau.com

Page 36: November Market Update Seminar

The Local Inventory Trends.

Economics 101:As supply goes up, prices

go ___.

Source: NAR, November 2008 Forecast

Page 37: November Market Update Seminar

Princeton Boro Inventory Trends: 3 Year Snapshot

Page 38: November Market Update Seminar

Princeton Twp Inventory Trends: 3 Year Snapshot

Page 39: November Market Update Seminar

Lawrence Inventory Trends: 4 year View

Page 40: November Market Update Seminar

Hopewell Inventory Trends: 4 year View

Page 41: November Market Update Seminar

Ewing Inventory Trends: 4 year View

Page 42: November Market Update Seminar

West Windsor Inventory Trends: 4 Year View

Page 43: November Market Update Seminar

Plainsboro Inventory Trends: 4 year View

Page 44: November Market Update Seminar

YTD Closed Homes Snapshot:2007 2008 2009

Princeton Boro

79 71 53

Princeton Twp.

193 155 140

West Windsor

338 279 273

Lawrence 357 266 265

Hopewell 205 179 131

Plainsboro 248 197 209

Page 45: November Market Update Seminar

Plainsboro Inventory Trends: 4 year View

Page 46: November Market Update Seminar

1. Real Estate is Local

Top Five Rules for Understanding the Real

Estate Market:

2. Real Estate is Local

3. Real Estate is Local

4. Real Estate is Local5. Real Estate is Local

Page 47: November Market Update Seminar

1. Understand the Local Market That You are Buying into…

Page 48: November Market Update Seminar

Market Absorption Scale(Absorption Rate in Months)

5-6 months absorption rate indicates a normal market.

Page 49: November Market Update Seminar

111/21/09Towns Active

ListingsPending in Last 30 Days

Absorption Rate in Months

New Listings in 30 Days

Net Gain (Loss) to Market

Listings Reduced in 30 Days

% of Invent. Reduced

Expired Listings

W/drawn Listings

Closed Listings

Princeton Boro:

All Styles 33 7 4.7 5 -2 5 15.2% 2 2 3

Pton -Boro Condo/ Thouses 8 2 4 2 0 1 12.5% 0 1 2

Pton-Boro

Single Family 25 5 5 3 -2 4 16% 2 1 1

Pton Twp: All Styles 107 7 15.3 13 6 18 16.8% 5 8 13

Pton Twp: Condo/ Thouses 21 2 10.5 3 1 6 28.6% 2 0 1

Pton Twp:

Single Family 86 5 17.2 10 5 12 14% 3 8 12

Page 50: November Market Update Seminar

Town by Town Analysis 11/21/09Towns Active

ListingsPending in Last 30 Days

Absorption Rate in Months

New Listings in 30 Days

Net Gain (Loss) to Market

Listings Reduced in 30 Days

% of Invent. Reduced

Expired Listings

W/drawn Listings

Closed Listings

West Windsor:

All Styles88 19 4.6 26 25 28% 6 4 31 88

West Windsor Condo/ T.Houses

13 5 2.6 7 3 23% 2 0 13 13

West Windsor

55+13 - - 1 - - - - - 13

West Windsor

Single Family

75 14 5.4 18 22 29% 4 4 18 75

Lawrence: All Styles

204 27 7.5 58 21 38 19% 13 10 26

Lawrence:

Condo/

THouses

94 9 10.4 24 15 18 19% 8 6 10

Lawrence:

55+25 0 99 - - - - - - -

Lawrence:

Single Family

85 18 4.7 34 16 20 23% 5 4 16

Page 51: November Market Update Seminar

Town by Town Analysis 11/20/09Towns Active

ListingsPending in Last 30 Days

Absorption Rate in Months

New Listings in 30 Days

Net Gain (Loss) to Market

Listings Reduced in 30 Days

% of Invent. Reduced

Expired Listings

W/drawn Listings

Closed Listings

Ewing:

All Styles246 27 9.1 58 31 59 23% 25 11 26

Ewing : Condo/ T.Houses

45 7 6.4 16 9 8 18% 8 2 8

Ewing 55+: 4 0 99 - - - - - - -Ewing:

Single Family

197 20 9.8 42 22 51 26% 17 9 18

East Windsor:

All Styles

172 34 5.0 38 4 25 14% 17 6 32

East Windsor:

Condo/ THouses

99 19 5.2 25 6 15 15% 11 1 15

East Windsor:

55+

18 0 99 - - - - - - -

East Windsor: Single Family

55 15 3.6 13 (2) 10 18% 6 5 17

Page 52: November Market Update Seminar

Market Activity: Town by Town Analysis 11/21/09Towns Active

ListingsPending in Last 30 Days

Absorption Rate in Months

New Listings in 30 Days

Net Gain (Loss) to Market

Listings Reduced in 30 Days

% of Invent. Reduced

Expired Listings

W/drawn Listings

Closed Listings

Robbinsville

All Styles 90 12 8 19 7 20 22% 12 8 17Robbinsville

Condo/ T.Houses 46 6 8 11 5 11 24% 6 5 9Robbinsville

55+ - - - - - - - - - -

-44 6 7 8 2 9 20% 6 3 8

Hightstown Boro: All Styles 51 5 10 8 3 11 22% 4 1 7

Pennington24 1 24 2 1 8 33% 3 0 1

Hopewell Boro:

All Styles 6 3 2 1 (2) 0 0 1 0 1

Page 53: November Market Update Seminar

Market Activity: Town by Town Analysis 11/21/09Towns Active

ListingsPending in Last 30 Days

Absorption Rate in Months

=Ag

New Listings in 30 Days

Net Gain (Loss) to Market

Listings Reduced in 30 Days

% of Invent. Reduced

e

Expired Listings

W/drawn Listings

Closed Listings

Hopewell Twp.

All Styles 147 20 7 22 2 27 18% 10 5 11Hopewell Twp. Condo/ T.Houses 12 2 6 3 1 2 17% 2 2 3Hopewell Twp.:

55+ 2 1 2 - - - - - - -

Hopewell Twp. Single Family 133 17 8 19 2 25 19% 8 3 8

Hamilton: All Styles 506 62 8 95 33 123 24% 53 20 91Hamilton:

Condo/ THouses 101 20 5 27 7 33 33% 14 5 23

Hamilton:

Single Family 364 38 10 68 30 90 25% 39 15 68

Hamilton: 55+41 4 10 - - - - - - -

-

Page 54: November Market Update Seminar

Market Activity: Town by Town Analysis 11/21/09Towns Active

ListingsPending in Last 30 Days

Absorption Rate in Months

New Listings in 30 Days

Net Gain (Loss) to Market

Listings Reduced in 30 Days

% of Invent. Reduced

Expired Listings

W/drawn Listings

Closed Listings

PlainsboroAll Styles

65 7 9.2 17 10 8 12% 10 0 20

Plainsboro

Condo/ THouses

34 5 6.8 8 3 5 14% 6 0 13

Plainsboro

55+12 0 12 2 2 1 8% 1 0 1

Plainsboro

Single Family

19 2 9.5 7 5 2 10% 3 0 6

Cranbury:

All Styles33 0 99 5 5 4 12% 3 0 2

Cranbury:

55+5 0 99 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Cranbury: Single Family

28 0 99 5 5 4 18% 3 0 2

Page 55: November Market Update Seminar

11/21/09Towns Active

ListingsPending in Last 30 Days

Absorption Rate in Months

g

New Listings in 30 Days

Net Gain (Loss) to Market

Listings Reduced in 30 Days

% of Invent. Reduced

Expired Listings

W/drawn Listings

Closed Listings

South

Brunswick

All Styles

169 13 13 37 24 23 14% 21 4 1

South BrunswickCondo/ T.Houses

36 8 4,5 13 5 8 22% 8 0 0

South Brunswick

55+

31 0 0 9 9 4 12% 2 0 0

South Brunswick

Single Family

102 5 20.5 15 10 11 11% 11 4 1

Monroe:

All Styles 428 30 28.8 79 49 65 15% 62 7 5Monroe:

55+ 268 24 12 54 30 44 16% 40 5 2

Monroe:

Single Family 160 6 26.5 25 19 21 13% 22 2 3

Page 56: November Market Update Seminar

Town by Town Analysis 9/21/09Towns Active

ListingsPending in Last 30 Days

Absorption Rate in Months

New Listings in 30 Days

Net Gain (Loss) to Market

Listings Reduced in 30 Days

% of Invent. Reduced

Expired Listings

W/drawn Listings

Closed Listings

South

Brunswick

All Styles

196 21 9 54 3 22 11% 21 18 36

South Brunswick

Condo/ T.Houses

61 10 6 27 17 8 13% 6 8 16

South Brunswick

55+

30 1 30 2 1 3 1% 2 3 3

South Brunswick

Single Family

105 11 9.5 25 14 11 10% 13 7 21

Monroe:

All Styles471 30 16 107 77 57 12% 62 4 57

Monroe:

55+302 27 13 70 43 36 12% 26 3 44

Monroe:

Single Family

168 13 13 37 24 21 13% 36 1 12

Page 57: November Market Update Seminar

11/21/09

Towns Active Listings

Pending in Last 30 Days

Absorption Rate in Months

New Listings in 30 Days

Net Gain (Loss) to Market

Listings Reduced in 30 Days

% of Invent. Reduced

Expired Listings

W/drawn Listings

Closed Listings

Montgom.102 19 5.4 14 -5 19 18.6% 5 12 30

Hillsboro249 36 6.9 42 6 44 17.7% 13 11 44

Rocky Hill3 0 99 0 0 0 0% 0 0 2

Franklin362 58 6.2 73 15 78 21.5% 32 21 77

Page 58: November Market Update Seminar

Market Absorption Scale(Absorption Rate in Months)

5-6 months absorption rate indicates a normal market.

Page 59: November Market Update Seminar

Absorption Rate by Price Range

Weichert has been studying market conditions for more than 3 decades and has found a direct correlation between market

absorption and property values.

As absorption rates increase beyond a normal market level of 5-6 months, property

values depreciate annually.

Page 60: November Market Update Seminar

Sample Market Absorption RateSample Market Absorption Rate

107 current active listings

4 reported sales in last 30 days

=

24.3months absorptionrate

Anytown., NJ

5-6 Months Market Absorption Rate indicates a normal market.

Page 61: November Market Update Seminar

61Market Scale for Supply & Market Scale for Supply & DemandDemand

High Supply/Low Demand Low Supply/High DemandNormal

Ma

rke

t A

bso

rpti

on

in M

on

ths 1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

9

10

11

12

No

rma

l

Weichert has been studying market conditions for more than 3 decades and has found a direct correlation between market absorption and property values.

As absorption rates increase beyond a normal market level of 5-6 months, property values depreciate annually.

Note: This Market Scale is valid only for absorption rates between 1 and 12 months.

Page 62: November Market Update Seminar

Princeton Borough Absorption Rate By Price

Towns Active Listings Pending in Last 30 Days

Absorption Rate in Months

0-$500

9 2 4.5

$500-999k 12 1 12

$1 million - $2 million

12 0 99

$2- $5 million 10 1 10

Page 63: November Market Update Seminar

Princeton Township Absorption Rate By Price

Towns Active Listings Pending in Last 30 Days

Absorption Rate in Months

0-$500

6 3 2

$500-999k 53 2 26

$1 million - $2 million

34 2 17

$2- $4 million 22 0 99

$4 + 2 0 99

Page 64: November Market Update Seminar

West Windsor Absorption Rate By Price

Towns Active Listings Pending in Last 30 Days

Absorption Rate in Months

0-$500

51 11 4.6

$500-750k 29 6 4.8

$750-999 16 0 99

$999 + 8 1 8

Page 65: November Market Update Seminar

Lawrence Absorption Rate By Price

Towns Active Listings Pending in Last 30 Days

Absorption Rate in Months

0-$300

101 12 8.4

$300-500 54 8 6.7

$500-700 26 1 26

$700-999 6 0 999

999+ 13 0 99

Page 66: November Market Update Seminar

Ewing Absorption Rate By Price

Towns Active Listings Pending in Last 30 Days

Absorption Rate in Months

0-$150

36 8 4.5

$150-250 123 13 9.4

$250-450 72 9 8

450+ 4 0 99

Page 67: November Market Update Seminar

Understand the Market That You are Buying/ Selling in…

I want to live/ sell in Princeton…..

Page 68: November Market Update Seminar

Market Absorption Scale(Absorption Rate in Months)

5-6 months absorption rate indicates a normal market.

Page 69: November Market Update Seminar

West Windsor Absorption RateWest Windsor Absorption Rate

43 current active listings

9 reported sales in last 30 days

=

4.8months absorptionrate

5-6 Months Market Absorption Rate indicates a normal market.

0-750k: All Styles0-750k: All Styles

Page 70: November Market Update Seminar

West Windsor Absorption RateWest Windsor Absorption Rate

26 current active listings

1 reported sales in last 30 days

=

26months absorptionrate

5-6 Months Market Absorption Rate indicates a normal market.

$750k – 1.0M$750k – 1.0MAll StylesAll Styles

Page 71: November Market Update Seminar

West Windsor Absorption RateWest Windsor Absorption Rate

26 current active listings

3 reported sales in last 30 days

=

8.7months absorptionrate

5-6 Months Market Absorption Rate indicates a normal market.

1.0 – 1.6 M1.0 – 1.6 MAll StylesAll Styles

Page 72: November Market Update Seminar

West Windsor Absorption RateWest Windsor Absorption Rate

25 current active listings

1 reported sales in last 30 days

=

25months absorptionrate

5-6 Months Market Absorption Rate indicates a normal market.

1.6 – 2.5 M1.6 – 2.5 MAll StylesAll Styles

Page 73: November Market Update Seminar

West Windsor Absorption RateWest Windsor Absorption Rate

20 current active listings

0 reported sales in last 30 days

=

99+months absorptionrate

5-6 Months Market Absorption Rate indicates a normal market.

2.5 M+2.5 M+All StylesAll Styles

Page 74: November Market Update Seminar

2. ‘I am going to time the Market and buy/ sell at the time when

inventory & buyer count is in my favor…’

Source: MLS

Page 75: November Market Update Seminar

Source: MLS0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

180

1/7/2007 4/1/2007 6/24/2007 9/23/2007 12/16/2007

Gross # of Guests 2007

Gross # ofGuests 2007

Weekly Guests Thru the Weichert Princeton Open Houses, 2007

Page 76: November Market Update Seminar

Source: MLS

Inventory Levels, Princeton, New Jersey, 2007

0

50

100

150

200

250

1/8/07 3/5/07 4/30/07 6/24/07 8/20/07 10/16/07 12/11/07

Page 77: November Market Update Seminar

3. ‘I am going to wait until the price comes down further and then make an offer/ if I lower my

price I will get lower bids…

Source: MLS

Page 78: November Market Update Seminar

Source: trend mls

Relationship of Price Reductions to ‘Pending Sales’

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

Princeton Pendings

Princeton Price Reductions

Page 79: November Market Update Seminar

Town by Town Analysis 8/18/09

Page 80: November Market Update Seminar

Town by Town Analysis 9/21/09Towns Active

ListingsPending in Last 30 Days

Absorption Rate in Months

New Listings in 30 Days

Net Gain (Loss) to Market

Listings Reduced in 30 Days

% of Invent. Reduced

Expired Listings

W/drawn Listings

Closed Listings

South

Brunswick

All Styles

196 21 9 54 3 22 11% 21 18 36

South Brunswick

Condo/ T.Houses

61 10 6 27 17 8 13% 6 8 16

South Brunswick

55+

30 1 30 2 1 3 1% 2 3 3

South Brunswick

Single Family

105 11 9.5 25 14 11 10% 13 7 21

Page 81: November Market Update Seminar

Source: trend mls

Relationship of Price Reductions to ‘Pending Sales’

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

Princeton Pendings

Princeton Price Reductions

Page 82: November Market Update Seminar

Source: trend mls

Relationship of Price Reductions to ‘Pending Sales’

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

West Windsor Pendings

West Windsor Reductions

Page 83: November Market Update Seminar

Source: trend mls

Relationship of Price Reductions to ‘Pending Sales’

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

Lawrence Pendings

Lawrence Reductions

Page 84: November Market Update Seminar

Seeing the Opportunity.Seeing the Opportunity.

Page 85: November Market Update Seminar

Seeing the Opportunity.Seeing the Opportunity.

Q. If this were 2005, where would you place the Price and Rate dots?

Prices Rates

High

Mid-Range

Low

A. In 2005, the V would look somewhat like this one, where prices were on the high end of the scale and rates were in the lower range.

Page 86: November Market Update Seminar

Seizing the Opportunity.Seizing the Opportunity.

In recent history, there has never been an opportunity like this, with low prices and low rates. In real estate, this circular area at the bottom of the V is called the “Buying Zone” – it’s an unbelievable time to buy.

Prices Rates

High

Mid-Range

Low

Page 87: November Market Update Seminar

Jeff Smith,

Gold Services Manager/ Loan Officer

Financial Benefits and Financial Benefits and Process of Home-Process of Home-

Ownership.Ownership.

Page 88: November Market Update Seminar

‘I don’t want to buy a house and then watch it drop in value!’

Page 89: November Market Update Seminar

 Purchase Price $329,000 Loan Amount $317400

Down Payment $11,515 Monthly P&I $1802

Appreciation/Depreciation Home Value1st Year -3% $319,1302nd Year 0% $319,1303rd Year 1% $322,3214th Year 3% $331,9905th Year 5% $348,5905 Year Appreciation/Depreciation $19,500

Tax Benefit  Vs Paying Rent @

$1600/mo1st Year $5,000 $19,2002nd Year $5,000 $19,2003rd Year $5,000 $19,2004th Year $5,000 $19,2005th Year $5,000 $19,2005 Year Total $25,000 $96,000

Total Gain $44,200Create Equity

v Pay Rent

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+ The Amortization Schedule on a Loan

Yearly Schedule of Balances and PaymentsYear

Beginning Balance

Payment Principal InterestCumulative

PrincipalCumulative Interest

Ending Balance

2010 $315,646.96 $21,625.92 $4,374.96 $17,250.96 $6,128.00 $24,508.72$311,272.0

0

2011 $311,272.00 $21,625.92 $4,621.30 $17,004.62 $10,749.30 $41,513.34$306,650.7

0

2012 $306,650.70 $21,625.92 $4,881.98 $16,743.94 $15,631.28 $58,257.28$301,768.7

2

2013 $301,768.72 $21,625.92 $5,157.36 $16,468.56 $20,788.64 $74,725.84$296,611.3

6

2014 $296,611.36 $21,625.92 $5,448.28 $16,177.64 $26,236.92 $90,903.48$291,163.0

8

= Total 5 Year Gain: $59,922

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A Great Time to Buy a A Great Time to Buy a HomeHome

First-time homebuyers can receive a tax credit up to $8,000!

NEW TAX CREDITCurrent homeowners may be eligible for a tax credit up to $6,500!

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Tax Credit OverviewTax Credit Overview• In 2008, Congress created a tax credit for first-time

homebuyers.

• The tax credit was extremely successful in generating home sales and stimulating the overall economy.

• Realizing the importance of homeownership for individuals and the greater economy, the government enhanced and extended the homebuyer tax credit.

• On Nov. 6, President Obama signed a bill that extended the existing tax credit for first-time buyers and created a new provision for eligible move-up buyers.

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The The NEWNEW First-Time Buyer Tax First-Time Buyer Tax CreditCreditAmount 10 percent of the cost of the home, not to exceed $8,000

PropertyAny home that will be used as a principal residence including single-family homes, condos, townhomes and co-ops; not to exceed $800,000

Refundable

Reduces income tax liability for the year of purchase

Income Limit

Adjusted gross income of $125,000 for single or $225,000 for joint tax returns INCREASED (Effective Nov. 7, 2009)!

First-Time Must not have owned a principal residence in three years prior to purchase

Limitation If home is sold within three years of purchase, entire amount of credit is recaptured

Effective Date

Purchases with closing/settlement between Nov. 7, 2009, and June 30, 2010 EXTENDED!

DeadlineWritten binding contract on or before April 30, 2010, with closing/settlement by June 30, 2010 EXTENDED!

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The The NEWNEW Current Homeowner Current Homeowner Tax CreditTax Credit

Amount Up to $6,500

Eligibility Must have used the home sold or being sold as a principal residence consecutively for 5 of the previous 8 years

Purchased Home

Any home that will be used as a principal residence including single-family homes, condos, townhomes and co-ops; not to exceed $800,000

Refundable

Reduces income tax liability for the year of purchase

Income Limit

Adjusted gross income of $125,000 for single or $225,000 for joint tax returns

Recapture If home is sold within three years of purchase, entire amount of credit is recaptured

Effective Date

Purchases with closing/settlement between Nov. 7, 2009, and June 30, 2010

Deadline Written binding contract on or before April 30, 2010, with closing/settlement by June 30, 2010

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Tax Credit FAQsTax Credit FAQs

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What Are the Deadlines What Are the Deadlines for Claiming the Credit?for Claiming the Credit?

• A written binding contract to purchase must be in effect no later than April 30, 2010.

• The purchase transaction must close byJune 30, 2010.

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What if You ExceedWhat if You Exceedthe Income Limits?the Income Limits?

• Individuals with adjusted gross income of up to $125,000 and married couples with income up to $225,000 can claim the full credit.

• The amount of the tax credit decreases as incomes reach the maximum limits of $145,000 for singles and $245,000 for couples.

• Singles earning more than $145,000 and couples earning more than $245,000 are not eligible for the credit.

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What Properties are What Properties are Eligible?Eligible?

• To claim the tax credit, the property must be used as a principal residence. This is generally considered to be the home where you spend 50 percent or more of your time. It can be a condo, single-family detached home, co-op, townhouse or something similar.

• The home must be located in the United States.

• Vacation homes and rental properties are not eligible.

• For new construction, the purchase date is the date you occupy the home. As a result, you must move in by June 30, 2010, to claim the credit.

Page 99: November Market Update Seminar

When Can You Claim the When Can You Claim the Credit?Credit?

• Buyers purchasing homes on or before Dec. 31, 2009, may claim the credit on their 2009 tax returns.

• Buyers purchasing in 2010 will have the option to:

– Claim the credit on their 2009 return, even if the purchase is completed after Dec. 31, 2009;

– File an amended return for 2009 if their purchase is completed after April 15, 2010; or,

– Claim the credit on their 2010 tax returns.

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Any Other Any Other Questions?Questions?

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How much house can I really afford?

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• The first step is to meet with me!

Establish Establish YourYour Buying Buying PowerPower

Page 103: November Market Update Seminar

Factors to consider Factors to consider when buying and when buying and

selling…selling…

Source: MLS

1. Inventory(supply and 1. Inventory(supply and demand)demand)

2. Interest Rates2. Interest Rates

Page 104: November Market Update Seminar

Interest Rates Remain Interest Rates Remain LowLowAverage Annual Rate (30-year fixed rate mortgage)

5%

7%

9%

11%

13%

15%

17%

19%

1981 1983 1985 1987 1989 1991 1993 1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007

Year

Percent

Source: Freddie Mac

Page 105: November Market Update Seminar

The Impact of Pricing on the Salability of Your Home..…

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‘Great speech but does it really work?

Page 107: November Market Update Seminar

We know the best way to evaluate pricing

Does this really work?

Page 108: November Market Update Seminar

We know the best way to evaluate pricing

Does this really work?

Page 109: November Market Update Seminar

22. . The Effect of The Effect of StagingStaging on the on the

Value of a HomeValue of a Home..

Page 110: November Market Update Seminar

The process of preparing homes for sale regardless of

Price, Location, or Condition

To achieve the maximum sales price in the minimum marketing time.

The GOAL is to appeal to the broadest range of BUYERS.

Page 111: November Market Update Seminar

The Way You Live In Your Home…

Page 112: November Market Update Seminar

… And The Way We Market And Sell A House Are Two Different

Things.

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“The Investment in Home Staging

is Always Less than Your First Price Reduction!”

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Buyers Only Know What They See …

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… Not The Way It Is Going To Be.

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Based on a StagedHomes.com survey of over 400 homes across Canada & the Continental US prepared for sale by an

Accredited Staging Professional (ASP™) from June 2007 through November 2007.

Page 117: November Market Update Seminar

The average increase in sales price of an ASP Staged vs. non-Staged home is

6.9%.That is an additional

$31,050 on a $450,000 sale.

Page 118: November Market Update Seminar

The average marketing

time of an ASP Staged vs. non-Staged home is 80%

less.

Page 119: November Market Update Seminar

3.3.The Effect of ‘The Effect of ‘Pre-Pre-Inspection’Inspection’ on the Sale of on the Sale of

YourYour Home. Home.

Page 120: November Market Update Seminar

What is

‘Pre-Inspection?’

Page 121: November Market Update Seminar

Home Inspection

WHAT DOES PRE-INSPECTION INCLUDE? The standard home inspector's report will review the condition of the home's heating system, central air

conditioning system (temperature permitting), interior plumbing and electrical systems; the roof, attic, and visible insulation; walls, ceilings, floors, windows and doors; the

foundation, basement, and visible structure.  

Page 122: November Market Update Seminar

PRE-LISTING Home Inspection

DOESN’T THE BUYER DO THE HOME INSPECTION?

Page 123: November Market Update Seminar

All Negotiations, including real estate, are all about negotiation and control.

Who is in control?

Right Price

Right Staging

All Repairs are done in advance.

Offer a Home Warranty to the buyer..

Page 124: November Market Update Seminar

PRE-LISTING Home Inspection

Data on where most sales fall apart: attorney review, home inspection.

Fall Thru Percentage 2007: 26%Fall Thru Percentage 2008: 10.2%.

Page 125: November Market Update Seminar

Home Improvements

I am moving out of the house, I do not want spend too much money to move.

Or

I just spent $$ on a new kitchen, I want $$$$$$ back on that investment when I move.

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Reality of today’s market is that you will see the return on your investment not in an inflated sales price but in retaining the highest percentage of your list price and staying on the market the fewest # of days.

Please consult with your Realtor & staging professional as to which improvements you should finish to make your home the most salable.

Page 129: November Market Update Seminar

Weichert Family of Companies

What will a real estate company

do for me?

Page 130: November Market Update Seminar

Making Your Purchase as Making Your Purchase as Smooth as PossibleSmooth as Possible

Buying a home involves the careful coordination of many people.

Choosing a real estate team you can count on will make the process smoother

and easier.

Page 131: November Market Update Seminar

• Time is money.

The Weichert The Weichert DifferenceDifference

• Stress kills.

• Time is life.

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Educate You.

Negotiate on your behalf.

Offer advice on due diligence.

Manage all aspects of the transaction

process.

What Will a Weichert Agent Do for Me?

Page 133: November Market Update Seminar

We’re Here to HelpWe’re Here to Help

The Entire Process is reviewed by Legal Council.

Page 134: November Market Update Seminar

Become a Fan!

www.facbook.com/weichertprinceton

www.slideshare.net/jdwilton

Presentation available at all 3 sites, download file through Monday.

Page 135: November Market Update Seminar

Resource and website list:

Realtor.org

http://www.facebook.com/pages/

NAR-Research/73888294183#

Remodeling.com

Page 136: November Market Update Seminar

Resource and Website Resource and Website ListList

http://www.realtor.org/research/research/housinginx Remodeling.com

www.Otteau.com

www.Pre-listing-inspection.com

Page 137: November Market Update Seminar

Resource and Website Resource and Website List:List:

www.Housemaster.com

www.Stagingshoppingcenter.com

Page 138: November Market Update Seminar

Resource and website Resource and website list:list:

www.Stagedhomes.com

www.realestatestagingassociation.com

www.foreclosurepoint.com

www.realtytrac.com

Page 139: November Market Update Seminar

Happy Thanksgiving!Happy Thanksgiving!