939 3 Fashion 1st Lecture

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    FASHION RESEARCH MARKETING

    : a er a o pon

    [email protected]

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    Lessons: wednesda 10.00-13.00 a.m.

    wo m screen ng

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    Readings: Fashion Forecasting (available at

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    Two assessment sessions:

    uest ons case stu y

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    2 Final ro ect: Make our own forecast

    Students

    Group written project for the Certificate

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    Final ro ect is due November the 30th

    :in class

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    Do not show u late in class

    o your omewor

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    Students are re uested to remain in classuntil the end of all the presentations

    Those leaving before will be penalized

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    WEEK 1 Lesson 1

    28/09/2011

    10.00-13.00

    Course resentation + basic information

    Todays fashion scenario: a new paradigm

    The social meaning of fashion: the Zeitgeist

    Marketing vs fashion marketing

    Lesson 2

    05/10/2011

    . - .

    A short story of contemporary fashion, from the 80s to the 2000s

    30 dresses that changed the world

    ey p ayers n o ay s as on wor

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    WEEK 3

    12/10/2011

    10.00-13.00

    Film screening: Valentino, the last emperor

    The diffusion of innovation

    Anatomy of a trend

    The trend forecasters toolbox

    Lesson 4

    19/10/2011 10.00-13.00

    The direction of fashion change

    Consumer segmentation & behaviour

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    WEEK 5

    26/10/2011

    10.00-13.00

    MID-TERM EXAMINATION

    WEEK 6

    Lesson 6

    02/11/2011

    10.00-13.00

    Film screening: The September Issue

    The role of media in setting trend

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    WEEK 7

    09/11/2011

    10.00-13.00

    Presenting a forecast

    The scenario planning

    The trend funnel

    The trend cartogram

    Lesson 8

    16/11/2011 10.00-13.00

    The fashion retail marketplace: formats and concepts

    Emerging countries: from the BRIC to

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    WEEK 9 Lesson 9

    23/11/2011

    10.00-13.00+

    WEEK 10

    30/11/2011

    10.00-13.00

    Forecasting as a career

    Final project delivery

    WEEK 11

    REVISION WEEK

    Final Exam

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    If ou want to work in the fashionindustry, you must be able to forecasttrends and make successful predictions

    Before oin on the market, ou have tofind out what will be HOT and what will

    be NOT

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    In terms of: Colours

    Textiles

    Brands.

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    A WIDE PERSPECTIVE: fashion is somuch more than the catwalks

    FOR EXPLORING THE WORLD OFAESTHETICSCONSUMER BEHAVIOR

    CULTURE

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    want to work in the fashion

    in ustry:

    advantage of the clients

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    ANTICIPATING TRENDS

    WITH CONSUMER PREFERENCES

    FACILITATING THE TIMELY ARRIVAL

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    a ng a orecas s one o e mos

    IMPORTANT, but in the meantimeac v es, espec a y o ay

    as ion usiness as a ways a aVOLATILE nature, but today its facinga more context

    WHY ?

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    The global ECONOMIC RECESSION

    changes the wa eo le buy, choose, shop

    , ,stores, which make quite impossible,

    ,trends

    ,Eastern Countries face economic boom

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    East vs West North vs South

    Women vs men

    oo vs uncoo

    ????????

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    Fashion used tocome from one

    source at a time,

    ,

    the runways, orthe entertainment

    us ness. o ay

    influences come

    from hi h andlow, from

    everywhere, from

    Target Michael Kors

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    meteorologists who

    and behavior of

    They position

    geographic location

    these events

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    ,

    Skills about storm behavior erseverance

    Little luck

    They locate and investigate

    t e p enomenon

    They transmit their findingso o er me ereo og s s aneventually to the public

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    Exactly the same way, forecasters andtren c asers locate the spawningground of trends and use their skill and

    know e ge to identify emerging concepts,

    all have one thing in common:

    AN OPEN MIND

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    They travel a lotI make quarterly trips to London, Paris and

    , ,director at DuPont

    I browse flea markets in London and

    research color in the ScandinavianCountries, Katryin Novakovic, GM CottonIncor orated

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    for designers, advertising agencies,, ,

    retail chains and apparel brands -

    variations on the word forecaster:

    from manager of trend merchandising,,

    backgrounds are varied

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    The importance of thinking

    want to buy in a future selling season:

    the world, including economics, politics,,

    of celebrities, the Red Carpets, the tv

    ow t ese events, peop e an con itionswill affect fashion business?

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    The importance of thinking

    DONT BE POSH

    ATTITUDE AT HOME!!!!

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    allow you to get a correct perspective

    You can end u b forecastin the

    success of products that will remainon the sale racks, causin losses andeven business closures for producers,

    manufacturers and retailers

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    Donatella Versace

    You cant live in an ivory toweran ma e as on, or anyt ng art st c.You have to live in the real world.

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    I want to be informed, know everything, seeeveryt ng, rea a .You mix all that, then forget about it

    .

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    ..

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    for people who immerse themselves in, ,

    useful sources of information, which

    Forecastin is not ma ic racticed b atalented few with a gift of seeing the

    future

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    that can be understood,practiced and applied by

    introduced to the tools

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    Forecasters pluck emerging trends out

    sensitive to

    DIRECTIONAL SIGNALS

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    THE SOCIAL MEANING OF FASHION

    Fashion is what you adopt when you dont know who you are

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    ,attachment or treatment that

    e nes our appearance A Social and ersonal behavior A cultural universe

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    A dress sends messages

    These messages allow others to form an

    idea about you

    To hold certain expectations that can

    i i hi i h h

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    We dress in order to:

    co the cultural ideal/deliberatel oagainst it

    h -

    We increase our sense of belonging to the

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    We usually dress to cloak ourselves in the

    situation

    en ress s appropr a e or a s ua on,individuals tend to feel more confident andcompe en . e reverse s a so rue

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    ersona ity Roles

    Status

    *For a dress to be a language, there must be

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    few seconds, include judgments andassessments of the individual includin

    personality, social roles and status

    Stereotypes: we assume that a group of

    traits automatically go along with oneattr ute

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    Does this guy looklike someone who

    would establishtrends in highfashion?

    Do we expect adifferent clothinbehavior?

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    as on: w e y popu arexpression in apparel,omes, ar , mus c

    How does fashion differfrom style? Style = an items

    characteristics: crew orv neck sweater; it may bein or out of fashion.

    D-Squared

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    times in which it is created

    and worn

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    ZEITGEISTis A German word for THE

    individuals in large numbers choose among

    connect with the spirit of the times

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    This collective selection forms a precious

    industry and the consumer

    BUT THERES A BIG PROBLEM.

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    The problem, in terms of forecasting, is

    that this conce t offers little advancewarning

    Only fast fashion firms those set up,

    of months - are able to capitalize on

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    To work in the haute couture fashionbusiness ou need to understand what

    will be trendy

    TWO YEARS IN ADVANCE

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    FASHION FORECASTING

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    . Study market conditions

    u y ow e

    behaviour is influenced by society,,

    Research sales statitics to establish salesren s

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    2. WATCH

    Evaluate o ular desi ner collections to

    find fashions (colors, silhouettes,fabrications len hts... that su estsnew directions or trends

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    Observe what celebrities are wearing

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    Take notes when you see common people

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    wear ng some ng eren or n eres ng

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    3. LEARN

    Bu and collect fashion ma azines, catalo s anddesign brochures from around the world

    Surf the web constantly

    Keep up with current events: art, design, food,anything that could be a source of inspiration

    Travel, as much as you can

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    FASHION MARKETING

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    Once youve collected all the informations

    ou need on the market and our otentialcustomer, you have to plan how topromote the product you want to launch

    You must coordinate all elements so thatthe prospective consumer is not being sent

    mixed messa es that can cause confusion.

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    the same message?

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    BEFORE

    The 4 Ps of marketing: (Philip Kotler,

    1 Product: what we are selling

    Placement/place: where are we selling thepro uc

    Promotion: pr, advertising, popcommunication

    But also

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    The 5 Ps of marketing

    Price: positioning Placement place: where are we selling the

    product

    Promotion: pr, advertising, popcommunication Personal Selling: all the pre and post

    sale activities we use to su ort thecustomer

    TODAY

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    A new economic an mar eting scenario Do not forget or cancel what we set

    before. Some concepts/ideas are basic:

    Product: it must have a ood ualit bedifferent, satisfy a precise need

    understandable

    available for your actual and potential

    Promotion: integrated forms ofcommun ca on are v a

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    The NEW 4 Ps of marketin : (PhiliKotler, 2003)

    PEOPLE

    PLANS PROJECTS

    PEOPLE

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    The new marketinglooks at the targetby considering

    every person inrelation tosomeone else

    Virtuall or reall

    individual, its

    NIKE

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    Red: project developed

    support the race

    You buy a pair of redaces an you ma e adonation

    You can take a picture,

    ,on the wall, close to

    You show participation

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    Its where ideas, emotions, moments take

    You live an interactive, aesthetic,mu sensory exper ence

    You make a full immersion in the brand

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    PLANS

    o more

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    o morelifestyles

    Focus on

    thinkstyles Try tounderstand

    peoplesdeeconcernings,

    valuesthoughts

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    PROJECTS

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    Set a meaningful relation with the customer :ask his/her opinion, design a CUSTOMIZEDpro uc

    Involve him/her in the project

    Bui wit im a consuming project

    www.threadless.com

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    Design your own t-s r

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    Pro ose it to thecommunity

    700 newproposa s wee

    4/6 new models/week

    Price: 9 to 18$

    2010 turnover: 50 mln$

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    You have to read the bibles of fashion

    But also take a look at which is the most

    renowned magazine in the country you are

    wor ng w

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    FILMS & TV SERIES

    A reat source of ins iration Trend setters: styles, costumes,

    Social phenomenon

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    Sex & The City

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    e y ney or va a ermo

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    ersey ore

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    ersey ore

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    WEBSITES

    Just surf the Netbut dont miss

    www.wgsn.com

    www.fashiontrendsetter.com

    www.fashioninformation.com

    www.theblondesalad.com. .

    http://www.thestylerookie.com/

    . .

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    Trend setters

    y es, cos umes, oca ons

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    The ZEITGEIST FRAMEWORK

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    goo orecaster s ou mon tor somefactors, because there are some precise

    the Spirit of the times

    Those factors, on a second level, guide and

    FASHION

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    eywor :

    as ion is somet ing popular in t e present,

    or a set of trends that have beenacce e y a w e au ence

    .

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    On January the 21st, 2008, 450 bln $were gone on the Stock Exchange

    The United States and consequently therest of the world faced a eavy state o

    recession: Su -prime inancing crisis Unemployment rate Financial scandals Slowness of consum tion

    Bernard Madoff is a formerAmerican stock broker,investment adviser, non-executivechairman of the NASDAQ stock

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    chairman of the NASDAQ stockmar e .

    , ,March 2009 he pleaded guilty to11 federal crimes.

    The amount missing from clientaccoun s, nc u ng a r ca egains, was almost $65 bln.

    On June 29, 2009, he wassentenced to 150 ears inprison, the maximum allowed.

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    Unresolved conflicts

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    Unresolved conflicts

    Emer in (or re-emer in )nationalism

    Lack of freedom

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    .

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    Environmental issues

    uman ar an ssues Freedom and democracy Equality of men and women

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    .

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    ,leadership positions ose w o are v s e o e

    mainstream population Basicly, the trend setters

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    LEADERS/ARTISTS/THINKERS/HEROES

    LEADERS: WAEL GHONIM Over the past few

    Spokesman for a revolutionyears, Wae , 30,

    began workingoutside the box

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    to make his peersunderstand thatonl theirunstoppablepeople power

    change. He quickly

    grasped that,

    notably Facebook,were emerging as

    t e most power ucommunicationtools to mobilizeand develop ideas.

    ARTISTS: LADY GAGA

    She turns pop music into performance art

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    THINKERS: JULIAN ASSANGE

    Secrets will never be safe again

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    For connecting more than half a billion people and,

    new system of exchanging information and for changing

    how we live our lives

    New categories: sports players

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    New categories: sports players (II)

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    .but not only: THE WAGS

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    New categories: politiciansand First Ladies

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    New categories: The Royals.

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    and their relatives

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    New categories: deejays

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    400.000 euros for a private set, 17 millions of singles sold, 21millions fans on Facebook

    New categories: reality show tv stars

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    .

    When the desire for DIFFERENTIATION is the, ,

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    changes are REVOLUTIONARY

    When SOCIAL CONFORMITY and IMITATION isthe dominant attitude, FASHION INNOVATION

    , t e c anges are

    Write down one na e or each cate or and

    tell me WHO according to you is the BEST

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    tell me WHO, according to you, is the BESTINTERPRETER of the ZEITGEIST (The Spirit

    of the times) in:

    Haute couture ashion

    Art Books

    On Wednesday, be ready to motivate youranswers in front of the class