35
Documentation of a Tornadic Supercell Thunderstorm in the San Joaquin Valley, California Ted B. Schlaepfer Department of Geosciences San Francisco State University

Documentation of a Tornadic Supercell Thunderstorm in the San Joaquin Valley, California

  • Upload
    loyal

  • View
    36

  • Download
    0

Embed Size (px)

DESCRIPTION

Documentation of a Tornadic Supercell Thunderstorm in the San Joaquin Valley, California. Ted B. Schlaepfer Department of Geosciences San Francisco State University. At approximately 1:00 PM. November 22, 1996. Tornado!. Purpose of this study*. Provide complete case study of this storm - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

Citation preview

Page 1: Documentation of a Tornadic Supercell Thunderstorm in the San Joaquin Valley, California

Documentation of a Tornadic Supercell Thunderstorm in the San Joaquin Valley, California

Ted B. SchlaepferDepartment of Geosciences

San Francisco State University

Page 2: Documentation of a Tornadic Supercell Thunderstorm in the San Joaquin Valley, California

At approximately 1:00 PM At approximately 1:00 PM November 22, 1996November 22, 1996

Page 3: Documentation of a Tornadic Supercell Thunderstorm in the San Joaquin Valley, California
Page 4: Documentation of a Tornadic Supercell Thunderstorm in the San Joaquin Valley, California

Purpose of this study* Provide complete case study of this storm Study the evolution of the storm structure

on basis of analyses of satellite & Doppler radar imagery

Compare buoyancy and shear values to those observed for other tornadic supercell storms

Compare the synoptic/subsynoptic pattern to that observed with past Central Valley tornadoes

*Omitted some meteorological details from this presentation for simplicity

Page 5: Documentation of a Tornadic Supercell Thunderstorm in the San Joaquin Valley, California

What is a supercell?

A thunderstorm Persistent (~15 min.) updraft core Rotation through a third of the

depth of the storm Summarized : A Supercell is a

convective storm that possesses a deep, persistent mesocyclone

Page 6: Documentation of a Tornadic Supercell Thunderstorm in the San Joaquin Valley, California

Why is the Lemoore Storm Unique?

First documentation of a right-moving supercell in CA using photographic, satellite and WSR-88D radar information

Tornado occurred in close proximity to WSR-88D radar at Hanford (KHNX)

High-quality low-elevation (0.5 degree) radar imagery of storm

Page 7: Documentation of a Tornadic Supercell Thunderstorm in the San Joaquin Valley, California

• Progressive frontal system• Two post-frontal troughs

November 21, November 21, 1996, 1996, The previous dayThe previous day

• Second trough associated with comma-cloud• Trough along CA coastline at 4 AM November 22

Page 8: Documentation of a Tornadic Supercell Thunderstorm in the San Joaquin Valley, California

• Broad Area of Upward Vertical Motion over CA

• Stronger field of UVM centered over Central CA

Page 9: Documentation of a Tornadic Supercell Thunderstorm in the San Joaquin Valley, California

11 AM November 22

• Meso-low in the Sacramento Valley

• Lee-side trough in Central Valley

• Southeast winds east of the lee-side trough axis

• STRONGER low-level & deep-layer shear east of trough axis

• H20 convergence along trough axis

Page 10: Documentation of a Tornadic Supercell Thunderstorm in the San Joaquin Valley, California

Schematic Showing Pattern Associated w/ Valley Tornadoes

• Nov. 22 pattern had similar synoptic features

• Focus was south in S.J.V. (stronger 0–6-km shear)

Page 11: Documentation of a Tornadic Supercell Thunderstorm in the San Joaquin Valley, California

Visible Satellite Image 12 PM

Cloud-free area

Page 12: Documentation of a Tornadic Supercell Thunderstorm in the San Joaquin Valley, California

Convective Available Potential Energy

• Definition: The maximum energy available to an ascending parcel

• “Bull-eyes” region near Lemoore Naval Air Station

Page 13: Documentation of a Tornadic Supercell Thunderstorm in the San Joaquin Valley, California

• Increased CAPE due to sensible heating and moisture convergence.

Lemoore Naval Air Station Sounding

Page 14: Documentation of a Tornadic Supercell Thunderstorm in the San Joaquin Valley, California

Deep-layer Shear (0–6-km)

• Moderate over entire valley

• Strong over the Central San Joaquin Valley

• “Bulls-eye” between Lemoore and Fresno

Page 15: Documentation of a Tornadic Supercell Thunderstorm in the San Joaquin Valley, California

Focus Area (Shear and CAPE)

• Combined shear and CAPE was strongest over Central San Joaquin Valley

• “Bulls-eye” at Lemoore

Page 16: Documentation of a Tornadic Supercell Thunderstorm in the San Joaquin Valley, California

Lemoore (KNLC) Hodograph

• Long length hodograph• Strong low-level shear

(leads to the development of the low-level mesocyclone and possibly a tornado)

• Created from VAD wind profile from from KHNX at tornado genesis

Page 17: Documentation of a Tornadic Supercell Thunderstorm in the San Joaquin Valley, California

How does the Lemoore Storm Compare?

0–1-km 14

0–2-km 8.6

0–3-km 7.8

0–6-km 4.3

Level

Positive

Shear

Lemoore Storm

• Strong shear in the lowest levels• 0–2-km and 0–3-km pos. shear within F1/F2 shear

category

• Shear at all levels at least F0 strength

Page 18: Documentation of a Tornadic Supercell Thunderstorm in the San Joaquin Valley, California

Visible Satellite Image 12:30 PMVisible Satellite Image 1:00 PM

Page 19: Documentation of a Tornadic Supercell Thunderstorm in the San Joaquin Valley, California

2 PM November 2212 PM November 22

Page 20: Documentation of a Tornadic Supercell Thunderstorm in the San Joaquin Valley, California

• Convergence zone near Lemoore

1 PM November 22

• Expanding outflow in forward and rear flanks

2 PM November 222:30 PM November 223 PM November 22

Page 21: Documentation of a Tornadic Supercell Thunderstorm in the San Joaquin Valley, California

• Supercell structure• Hook Echo• 68 dBZ updraft core• WSR-88D

Mesocyclone algorithm detected rotation

• Weak low-level velocity couplet

• No Rear Flank Downdraft (RFD) yet

1:37 PM November 22

Page 22: Documentation of a Tornadic Supercell Thunderstorm in the San Joaquin Valley, California

• Reformation stage

• New Hook Echo

• New updraft core

• Old Core move into the Rear Flank

• No Rear Flank Downdraft (RFD) yet

2:00 PM November 22

Page 23: Documentation of a Tornadic Supercell Thunderstorm in the San Joaquin Valley, California

• Cross-Section

• 2 areas of strong returns (>65 dBZ)

• Lower region is updraft core

• Upper region is suspended large hail

2:00 PM November 22

• Elevated returns indicate wrap-around flow around hook-echo

Page 24: Documentation of a Tornadic Supercell Thunderstorm in the San Joaquin Valley, California

• New Updraft core

• Mesocyclone indicated by algorithm

2:06 PM November 22

• Bounded Weak Echo Region (BWER)Evident adjacent to updraft

• Large hail falling through updraft

Page 25: Documentation of a Tornadic Supercell Thunderstorm in the San Joaquin Valley, California

• Knob-shaped hook echo of strong returns

• Inbound return in vicinity of hook echo

• Rear Flank Downdraft (RFD) initiated

• Weak low-level velocity couplet

2:23 PM November 22

Page 26: Documentation of a Tornadic Supercell Thunderstorm in the San Joaquin Valley, California

• Inbound velocities increase in vicinity of hook echo

• Simultaneous strengthening of the low-level mesocyclone

• A Tornado Cyclone Signature detected on Relative Velocity Scan

• F0 Tornado on ground

2:29 PM November 22

Page 27: Documentation of a Tornadic Supercell Thunderstorm in the San Joaquin Valley, California

• F0 Tornado dissipating

• Mesocyclone detected by the WSR-88D

• TCS weakened on velocity scan

• New Core Updraft in center of storm

• Very strong returns in hook echo region

2:34 PM November 22

Page 28: Documentation of a Tornadic Supercell Thunderstorm in the San Joaquin Valley, California

• Reflectivities decrease within hook echo

• New RFD initiated (storm-scale occlusion downdraft)

• Inbound velocities increase in hook region

• Weak Echo Region (WER) adjacent to hook echo

2:40 PM November 22

Page 29: Documentation of a Tornadic Supercell Thunderstorm in the San Joaquin Valley, California

• Core updraft moved into rear flank

• BWER develops adjacent to updraft

• Low-level mesocyclone strengthens again

• Mid-level mesocyclone detected by WSR-88D

• Cell developing on right flank of storm

2:46 PM November 22

Page 30: Documentation of a Tornadic Supercell Thunderstorm in the San Joaquin Valley, California

• F1 Tornado in Lemoore Naval Station grounds

• BWER associated with very sharp hook echo

• Strong Low-level mesocyclone

• Mid-level mesocyclone weakened

• Strong TCS detected

2:52 PM November 22

Page 31: Documentation of a Tornadic Supercell Thunderstorm in the San Joaquin Valley, California

• F1 Tornado about to dissipate near Hwy 198

• Low-level mesocyclone weakened

• TCS weakened

• Adjacent cell merged with hook echo region of Lemoore Storm

• Lemoore Storm begins to dissipate

2:58 PM November 22

Page 32: Documentation of a Tornadic Supercell Thunderstorm in the San Joaquin Valley, California

How strong was the storm rotation?Storm Rotation = 2 Vr / D Vr = |Vi| + |Vo| / 2where

F0 11.5 23.2

F1 14.6 51.4

Meso TCSEvent

Lemoore Storm Rotation

F1M

F1T

F0M

F0T

• Mesocyclone rotational shear within range for tornadoes

• F1 TCS in the range of strong/violent mesocyclones outside CA

Page 33: Documentation of a Tornadic Supercell Thunderstorm in the San Joaquin Valley, California

Summary and Conclusions

Buoyancy and Shear were within ranges observed with other tornadic storms in CA and elsewhere

November 22 weather pattern generally fit the synoptic/subsynoptic schematic assoc. with a typical C.V. severe weather outbreak

An example of topographically induced stronger wind shear F1 tornado event

First documentation of a TCS in CA

Page 34: Documentation of a Tornadic Supercell Thunderstorm in the San Joaquin Valley, California

What Can Be Gained from this Study?

Damaging tornadoes do happen in CA Usefulness of WSR-88D in identifying

and analyzing severe storms in CA Heightened awareness of weather

patterns that can lead to severe weather and tornadoes in CA

Page 35: Documentation of a Tornadic Supercell Thunderstorm in the San Joaquin Valley, California

Documentation of a Tornadic Supercell Thunderstorm in the San Joaquin Valley, California

I gratefully acknowledge Steven Mendenhall, MIC and Dan Gudgel, WCM, WFO Hanford for their support and help.

All of the radar plots, photographs of the tornado and parent cumulonimbus, damage track, and official storm reports obtained for this study were provided by Mr. Gudgel.

I also thank SOO Larry Greiss and all of the Lead Forecasters at WFO Hanford for their encouragement and help in this endeavor.