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Mediengespräch EY Globale Biotechindustrie: Analysen und Prognosen 9. Juni 2016

Mediengespräch EY Globale Biotechindustrie: Analysen und ... · Page 47 Moving from potential to proven Most products have a value gap at launch Novel pricing and financing agreements

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Mediengespräch EY

Globale Biotechindustrie: Analysen und Prognosen 9. Juni 2016

Returning to Earth

EY Beyond borders

biotechnology report 2016

Page 3

Content

The year in review..……………………………...………………………………………..…...…. 4

Financial performance Global………………………………………………………..……....….. 9

Financial performance Europe……………………….……………………………...…………... 15

Financing Global………………………………………………………………………………….. 18

Financing US...........……………………………………….....………………..………………... 24

Financing Europe..……………………………………….....………………..…………………... 27

Deals Global...………….……………...………..………….…………………………………….. 32

Deals Europe.………….……………...………..………….……………………………………... 40

Drug Pricing...………….……………...………..………….……………………………………... 44

Page 4

The year in review

Beyond borders - Biotechnology Report 2016

Page 5

2015: Record results for the biotechnology industry, but…

Beyond borders - Biotechnology Report 2016

R&D spend up 16% to >US$40b

M&A involving biotech >US$100b

Innovation capital exceeds US$41b

Capital raised: US$71b

IPO window: 11 consecutive quarters

The biotech industry market cap: US$1.1t

Revenues reach historic high: US$132.7b

New drug approvals: US: 45 / Europe: 93

Employees up 19% to 203,850

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Slowing growth and a pull back in the public markets suggest a new normal for biotech

Year over year percentage change in key financial indicators (US and Europe)

Market

capitalization Revenues R&D Profitability

-20

-10

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

802013 2014 2015

225

Perc

enta

ge

Source: EY

Beyond borders - Biotechnology Report 2016

Page 7

The US and European biotechnology centers at a glance, 2015 (US$b)

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US FDA product approvals, 1996-2015

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Page 9

Financial performance

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Global

Page 10

Growth in the US and European biotechnology sectors, 2014-15 (US$b)

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Highly concentrated growth in the US US biotechnology at a glance, 2014-15 (US$b)

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European sector growing at slower pace European biotechnology at a glance, 2014-15 (US$b)

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Page 13

EY survival index shows number of years of cash companies have on hand

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Page 14

US and European public company revenues, 2000-15

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Financial performance

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Europe

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European public company revenues, 2000-15

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Top changes in European market capitalizations, 2011-15 (US$m)

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Financing

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Global

Page 19

Innovation capital in the US and Europe surpassed US$40 billion in 2015

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Chart placeholder

Page 20

US and European early-stage venture investment reached unprecedented heights

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More than 30% of all US and EU venture investment came via seed and first rounds

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End of the boom? US and European biotechnology IPO pricing by year

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The window of all windows: US and European biotechnology IPOs by year

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Financing

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US

Page 25

US biotechnology IPOs by year

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US biotechnology IPO pricing by quarter, 2013-15

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Financing

Europe

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European biotechnology financings by year

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European innovation capital by year

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European venture capital by year

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European biotechnology IPOs by year

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Deals

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Global

Page 33

US and European M&As, 2006-15

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US and European strategic alliances based on biobucks, 2006-15

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Big biobucks alliances, 2015

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US and European strategic alliances based on up-front payments, 2006-15

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Alliances with big up-front payments, 2015

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Selected M&As, 2015

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M&As with big earn-outs, 2015

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Deals

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Europe

Page 41

European M&As, 2006-15

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European strategic alliances based on biobucks, 2006-15

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European strategic alliances based on up-front payments, 2006-15

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Drug Pricing

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Page 45

Drug pricing: More questions than answers

Beyond borders - Biotechnology Report 2016

What incentives

support biopharma

innovation and meet

needs of other

stakeholders?

What is needed to

scale new

solutions in the

marketplace?

How should drug

value be defined?

And who should

define drug value?

Defining the problem Identifying solutions Driving adoption

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Drug pricing is a global concern Even in the US, the most “free” market

Top 3 specialty therapy classes accounted for 56.3% of all specialty spend.

Branded Prescription price increased 16% from 2014 to 2015.

Beyond borders - Biotechnology Report 2016

Source: Express Scripts 2016

Page 47

Moving from

potential to proven

► Most products

have a value gap

at launch

► Novel pricing and

financing

agreements are

a way to co-create

data with

stakeholders

► Such data

accelerate the shift

from potential to

proven value

At launch, most products have “potential” not “proven” value to stakeholders

High

Low

Potential value Proven value

Price

Value

Less value to stakeholders

Most value to stakeholders

More value to stakeholders

Least value to biopharma

Outcomes data

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Page 48

Biopharmas must move away from selling pills to partnering around outcomes

Outcomes driven

Patient, provider, payer

pull based on outcomes

Focus on Prevention,

Treatment and Mgmt.

Value driven

Indication Driven

Rep Push Based On

Features

Pill/Treatment focus

Volume and revenue

Limited patient engagement,

low data risk Greater openness and

greater data risk

Pills – now Outcomes – future

Trials data +

Real world evidence Trials data

Operationalizing these partnerships is challenging

Beyond borders - Biotechnology Report 2016

Page 49

Thank you and stay tuned

Download the report:

ey.com/beyondborders

Participate in our blog:

LifeSciencesBlog.ey.com

Follow us on Twitter:

@EY_LifeSciences

Jürg Zürcher Partner, Life Science Sector Leader Switzerland, Biotechnology Sector Leader EMEIA

Ernst & Young AG Rain 41 Telefon: + 41 58 286 23 74 CH-5001 Aarau jürg.zü[email protected]

Beyond borders - Biotechnology Report 2016

Page 50

EY Global Life Sciences Center

Vital Signs

EY’s regular publication in the life sciences sector

www.ey.com/vitalsigns

Pulse of the industry

EY’s annual report on the global medical technology sector

Firepower

EY’s annual reports on M&A in the life sciences sector

www.ey.com/firepower

www.ey.com/lifesciences

Beyond borders - Biotechnology Report 2016

Page 51

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Beyond borders - Biotechnology Report 2016