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  • 8/10/2019 Phatra Wealth Daily 20141118 Rc

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    Private Wealth Management Research18 November 2014

    Issued by Phatra Securities Public Company Limited ("Phatra"). Phatra does and seeks to do business with companies covered or mentioned in its

    research reports. As a result, investors should be aware that Phatra may have a conflict of interest that could affect the objectivity of this report.

    Investors should consider this report as only a single factor in making their investment decision. Refer to important disclosures on page 16.

    A member of the Kiatnakin Phatra Financial Group

    Phatra Wealth Daily NoteGlobal Markets: Draghi QE, Japan recession

    n

    U.S. stocks were little changed, with the S&P500 Index at an

    all-time high.

    n

    Draghi explicitly cited govt-bond buying as a policy tool

    officials could use to stimulate the economy should the

    outlook worsen.

    n

    Japan considers a stimulus package as the economy

    unexpectedly sank into a recession. Nikkei fell 3% yesterday,

    but is rebounding today.

    Local Markets: Commerce minister promises an

    investment-friendly FBA, Prasarn on new inflation

    target, WHA to buy HEMRAJ for Bt43.7bn

    n

    Commerce Minister Gen Chatchai reassured foreign investors

    that the FBA amendment would create an investment-friendly

    atmosphere.

    n

    BoT Gov Prasarn said oil prices alone will not drive monetary

    policy after switching inflation targets to headline from core.

    n

    WHA reached an agreement to buy 22.53% of Hemaraj at 4.50

    baht per share from major shareholders.

    n

    Local Market Wrap:SET 1,569.07 -6.81pts -0.43% Value

    US$1,233mn. A dull start to the week, with volume still

    dominated by retail stocks.

    Phatra Research Highlights

    n

    Thailand's 3Q GDP grew 0.6%YoY, below expectations. We cut

    our GDP forecast to 0.8% for 2014 and 3.7% for 2015.

    Investment Ideas

    n TUF (Buy/12m PO Bt97): Operation is back on track after a

    difficult 2013 and its gross profit margin is rebounding even

    faster than previously expected, and thus we are raising our

    net profit forecasts by 3% in 2014, 16% in 2015, and 13% in

    2016. Our estimates are now above consensus (14%/20% in

    2015/16). Our 12m PO is raised to Bt97 from Bt80. We also

    see further upside risks from weakening THB given its high

    foreign currency exposure and continued profit margin

    expansion.

    n

    CPN (Buy/12m PO Bt60)posted net income of Bt1.9bn, up

    33% YoY and 5% QoQ. The results were in line with our

    expectation. With expected higher rental income from long-

    term lease contract conversion into short-term leases in 3Q14,

    we should continue to see better cost management next year.

    n

    BEC (Underperform/12m PO Bt42):We have trimmed our

    earnings estimates by 3% in 2014 and 6% in 2015 and

    lowered our 12m PO to Bt42 from Bt45. While the 3Q14

    result is only slightly below our estimate, we think market

    expectation is too high and our 2014 and 2015 revised

    estimates are 8% and 19% below consensus respectively. We

    believe that competition from digital TV and loss contribution

    from its digital TV operation will cause earnings to slide

    further in 2015/2016.

    Phatra Macro Research Team &

    Phatra PWM Research Analysts

    Pipat Luengnaruemitchai

    [email protected]

    Porntip Tantasuwan

    [email protected]

    Flemming Clausen

    [email protected]

    Taweesak Paopanlop

    [email protected]

    KeyGlobal Index Last %Chg %YTD

    US Dow Jones 17,647.8 0.1% 6.5%

    US S&P 500 2,041.3 0.1% 10.4%US Nasdaq 4,671.0 -0.4% 11.8%

    UK FTSE 100 6,672.0 0.3% -1.1%

    EU STOXX600 115.1 0.5% 2.6%

    JP Nikkei 16,973.8 -3.0% 4.2%

    HK Hang Seng 23,797.1 -1.2% 2.1%

    MSCI ACWI 419.6 -0.2% 2.7%

    MSCI WORLD 1,715.0 -0.1% 3.2%

    MSCI Europe 115.1 0.5% 2.6%

    MSCI EM 985.9 -0.5% -1.7%

    MSCI AsiaPac ex Japan 477.1 -0.7% 1.9%

    SET Index

    Last %Chg %YTD

    SET Index 1,569.1 -0.4% 20.8%SET100 Index 2,313.0 -0.5% 19.7%

    SET50 Index 1,046.3 -0.5% 18.4%

    Cumulative Net Buy

    Last 1M YTD

    Foreigners (304) (3,095) (15,242)

    Local institutions (760) 14,114 51,706

    Retail investors 896 (19,552) (51,776)

    Proprietary 168 8,532 15,313

    Exchange Rate

    Last %Chg %YTD

    EURUSD 1.2450 -0.6% -9.4%

    USDJPY 116.65 0.3% 10.8%

    USDCNY 6.1270 0.0% 1.2%USDTHB 32.80 0.0% 0.3%

    Commodities

    Last %Chg %YTD

    WTI (USD/bl) 75.6 -0.2% -23.1%

    Brent (USD/bl) 79.3 -0.1% -25.1%

    Gold (USD/tr oz) 1,186.6 -0.2% -1.3%

    mailto:[email protected]:[email protected]:[email protected]:[email protected]:[email protected]:[email protected]:[email protected]:[email protected]:[email protected]
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    A member of the Kiatnakin Phatra Financial Group

    Global Market Highlights

    US stocks had little changed, European shares

    up on Draghi (Bloomberg, Reuters)

    U.S. stocks were little changed, rising only 0.1% with S&P 500Index at an all-time high. A slump in small-cap shares and

    concern over Japans recession offset corporate deals.

    European shares closed higher after Draghi reiterated that he

    was willing to do more to stimulate the euro zone economy if

    necessaryincluding purchase sovereign bonds. Stoxx Europe

    600 rose 0.5%

    Asian stocks rose as investors await a decision by Japanese

    Prime Minister Shinzo Abe to put off a sales-tax increase, add

    stimulus and call an election, after data yesterday showed the

    economy entered recession.

    US economic data: mixed (Reuters)

    US factory production rose 0.2% in Oct and September's

    output was revised down to 0.2% (from 0.5%). Total industrial

    production unexpectedly dropped 0.1% (vs cons +0.2%),

    reflecting the vehicle pullback and less demand at utilities,

    mining companies.

    Empire State general business conditions index rose to 10.16

    in Nov from a reading of 6.17 in Oct. New orders rebounded

    strongly, but factory employment gauges dropped, taking

    some shine off the report. Businesses, however, remain

    upbeat about the future. An index for future business hit its

    highest level since January 2012 and a measure of capital

    expenditure posted its highest reading in more than twoyears.

    Draghi Says ECB Measures Could Include

    Buying Government Bonds (Bloomberg)

    Draghi has explicitly cited govt-bond buying as a policy tool

    officials could use to stimulate the economy should the

    outlook worsen. Unconventional measures might entail the

    purchase of a variety of assets, one of which is sovereign

    bonds, the ECB president said in Brussels yesterday in

    answer to a question during his quarterly testimony to

    lawmakers at the European Parliament.

    His latest comments come less than three weeks before the

    institutions critical December meeting, when it will publishnew forecasts that are likely to show a weaker outlook for

    growth and inflation.

    Data released yesterday showed that officials accelerated

    covered-bond buying last week, with the total settled rising

    by more than 3bn euros -- up from 2.6bn euros the week

    before -- to 10.5bn euros.

    ECB Executive Board member Yves Mersch said yesterday

    that purchases of ABS will start this week. He also said that

    the central bank could theoretically buy sovereign debt,

    gold, exchange-traded funds, and even real estate to counter a

    longer period of low inflation, while warning against rushing

    in.

    Japan Seeks to Strengthen 2015 Growth After

    Recession Hit (Bloomberg)

    With Japans slump into its fourth recession since 2008

    threatening the failure of the Abenomics reflation program,

    Prime Minister Shinzo Abes administration is taking steps to

    shore up growth for the coming year.

    Economy Minister Akira Amari told reporters yesterday in

    Tokyo theres a high chance of a stimulus package. Etsuro

    Honda, an adviser to Abe, said a 3 trillion yen ($26 billion)

    program was appropriate and should go toward measures that

    directly help households, such as child care support.

    Abe, who holds a news conference later today, is also

    considering a postponement of an October sales-tax increase

    until 2017 -- a move that would add 0.3 percentage point to

    growth in the coming fiscal year, according to the median

    estimate of economists. At stake for the prime minister is

    assuring re-election in a likely snap vote next month that may

    serve as a referendum on his policies. BoJ starts a two-day

    meeting today.

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    Local Market Wrap

    SET 1,569.07 -6.81pts -0.43% Value US 1,233mn

    Net Buy/Sell Frgn-US 9mn Inst-US 23mn Prop+US 5mn

    Ret+US 27mn

    A dull start to the week, with volume still dominated by

    retail stocks.

    ENERG-0.64%, TELECO-0.60%, and BANK-0.57% all edged

    lower as buying appetite slows down driven by

    disappointing growth.

    3Q14 GDP released yesterday gave little optimism with 3Q

    GDP grew +0.6% YoY versus consensus at +1.0%YoY.

    Despite better private consumption, government

    consumption and public investment was poor.

    As a result of slower domestic demand and delays in public

    spending we have cut our GDP growth to 0.8% for 2014 and3.7% for 2015 (consensus is at 4.3%).

    Earnings are done and out of the way, with majority of

    stocks under our coverage reporting in line or below

    estimate.

    No surprises to the market, as investors were expecting

    poor sentiment for 3Q14 earnings.

    The disappointing results mainly came from TRANS-0.47%,

    ENERG-0.64%, and COMM-0.36%.

    Chart: SET Intraday movement

    1,565

    1,570

    1,575

    1,580

    10:02

    10:32

    11:02

    11:32

    12:02

    14:01

    14:31

    15:01

    15:31

    16:01

    16:31

    1568.7

    Day Low

    Previous Close

    1575.88

    1577.63

    Day High

    Close

    1569.07

    Source: Bloomberg

    Top Gainers Last %Chg %YTD

    BMCL 1.80 +3.4% +78.2%

    RS 9.05 +2.8% +27.5%

    NYT 14.90 +2.1% -12.4%

    EGCO 174.00 +2.1% +42.0%

    TICON 19.80 +1.5% +27.7%

    Top Losers Last %Chg %YTD

    MEGA 17.00 -4.5% -15.0%

    BJCHI 35.00 -4.1% +0.7%

    MAJOR 24.80 -3.7% +41.7%

    KCE 38.50 -3.1% +63.8%

    SVI 4.00 -2.9% -3.4%

    Most Active Last %Chg %YTD

    PTT 384.00 -1.0% +34.3%ITD 6.40 +0.8% +64.9%

    TRUE 11.30 -0.9% +70.4%

    PTTEP 142.00 -1.0% -14.7%

    ADVANC 235.00 -0.8% +17.8%

    Sectoral performance Last %Chg %YTD

    SET Index 1,569.1 -0.4% 20.8%

    SET Energy & Utilities 21,641.7 -0.6% 13.0%

    SET Banks 612.4 -0.6% 34.1%

    SET ICT 224.4 -0.6% 17.6%

    SET Commerce 29,433.5 -0.4% 11.7%

    SET Food & Bev 12,202.2 -1.2% 11.7%

    SET Property 320.6 0.1% 37.1%

    SET Constr Mat 12,044.4 0.9% 19.4%

    SET Petrochem 868.9 -0.8% -11.6%

    SET Health Care 4,223.0 -0.2% 53.9%

    SET Transportation 212.0 -0.5% 30.9%

    SET Property Fund 159.0 0.0% 1.2%

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    Todays news

    Economy: FBA: 'no retroactive impact' (Nation)

    Commerce Minister Gen Chatchai reassured concerned foreign

    investors overseas that the plan to amend the ForeignBusiness Act (FBA) will focus on "relaxation, reducing

    procedures facilitating investment, and not deal retroactively

    with existing firms", which would create an investment-

    friendly atmosphere with a positive impact on investors. He

    said the ministry had not yet come out with a draft

    amendment, but was so far only studying how to amend the

    law.

    The Business Promotion Dept is conducting a study and a

    public hearing and is expected to be finalized in Dec before

    approval is sought from the minister and Cabinet for

    amendments to the draft law. Under the plan to amend the

    draft law, the definition of "foreigners" will be amended to

    one based on international principles. It would also adjustsome qualifications for foreign investors to facilitate more

    investment, review business lists under Annex III to be more

    flexible, consider exemption for initial capital investment

    limits in accordance with international agreements, increase

    efficiency for foreign investors to get approval, and adjust

    some penalties for nominees.

    Economy: BoT: Oil price 'not the only factor for

    policy rate' (Nation)

    BoT Gov Prasarn said oil prices alone will not drive monetary

    policy after switching inflation targets to headline from core.

    This counters Moody's suggestion that the inflation-target

    switch should open up room for a cut in the policy interest

    rate, since energy prices must be included in its decision-

    making in the future. Prasarn said: "The core inflation target is

    concentrated on demand, and it has been successful for the

    past 10-12 years. Headline inflation would also consider the

    supply side ... which would be easier to communicate the

    inflation target to the people, but headline target would

    swing more than the core target.

    He said that the comment that the target switch would

    immediately mean that the MPC would have more room to

    lower the benchmark interest rate since the global oil price is

    low is a false idea. The MPC has to take into consideration

    many factors, including the prices of other products if the

    global oil price falls it does not mean that the interest rate

    will automatically fall also."

    Property: WHA to buy Hemaraj for Bt43.7bn

    (Bangkok Post)

    WHA Corp, Thailands biggest publicly traded developer of

    factories and warehouses, plans to acquire Hemaraj Land &

    Development Plc for 43.7 billion baht (US$1.3 billion). WHA

    reached an agreement to buy 22.53% of Hemaraj at 4.50 baht

    per share from major shareholders, according to a regulatory

    filing to the stock exchange. The company will offer to

    purchase Hemarajs remaining shares at the same price, it

    said. That would be 1.4% higher than the stocks closing price

    of 4.44 baht on Nov 14. The acquisition of Thailands biggest

    developer of industrial land by market value will allow WHA

    to expand into land development in the Southeast Asian

    nation, where Toyota Motor Corp, Ford Motor Co and General

    Motors Co are boosting investments in manufacturing centers.

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    Stock Comments

    BEC The storm is on the horizon

    (Underperform/12-month PO Bt42.00)

    Downgrade to Underperform from Neutral

    Following BEC's 3Q14 result we have trimmed our earnings

    estimates by 3% in 2014 and 6% in 2015 and lowered our PO

    to Bt42 from Bt45. While the 3Q14 result is only slightly

    below our estimate, we think market expectation is too high

    and our 2014 and 2015 revised estimates are 8% and 19%

    below consensus respectively. While the consensus

    anticipates earnings growth in 2015, we believe that

    competition from digital TV and loss contribution from BEC's

    digital TV operation will cause earnings to slide further in

    2015/2016. We believe earnings downgrades will continue

    and will pressure the share price.

    Market underestimates digital TV competition

    Our main concern is competition from digital TV which will

    likely limit BEC's top-line growth despite an expected rebound

    in advertising expenditure in 2015 (in line with GDP growth

    forecast). The entry of ITV (the free to air TV) several years

    ago demonstrated the potential impact of new entrants on

    BEC. While BEC's top-line growth during 2004/2005 declined

    by only single digits, earnings dropped 19% in 2004 and 19%

    in 2005 as BEC has low operating leverage. This time around,

    we think BEC is facing competition from not only one, but 24

    digital TV channels.

    BEC is losing audience share to digital TV

    According to Nielsen, audience shares of 24 digital TV stations

    doubled to 15.5% in September from 7.3% in April while BEC's

    audience share dropped to 30.1% from 37.6%. We believe that

    BEC's 1Q14-3Q14 advertising revenue still outgrew the

    industry despite the audience share loss because digital TV

    advertising rate is still at a deep discount to that of analogue

    TV (and hence digital TV market share in dollar terms is much

    lower than their audience share). But if digital TV could keep

    growing their audience share in 2015 the discount would

    naturally narrow, making the impact on BEC's top line more

    severe, in our view.

    TUF Back on track; Maintain Buy (Buy/12-month

    PO Bt97.00)

    Increasing forecasts after strong 9M performance

    TUF's operation is back on track after a difficult 2013. Its

    margin is rebounding even faster than previously expected

    with 9M14 GPM already surpassing 16% versus our previous

    forecast of only 15%. As such, we are raising our forecasts for

    the company. Our net profit forecasts have been increased by

    3% in 2014, 16% in 2015, and 13% in 2016. Our estimates are

    now above consensus (14%/20% in 2015/16). While margin

    could fluctuate, TUF's scale and increasing contribution from

    branded products allows the company to better manage raw

    material price volatility. Our PO, based on our new forecasts,

    has also been increased by Bt97/share from Bt80/share and

    we reiterate our Buy rating on the stock.

    Consolidating global seafood

    TUF recently acquired two small seafood firms in Europe

    which will add at least US$300mn in annual revenue to the

    company, and we expect there could be more in the near

    future. After a difficult year, many small and medium-sized

    seafood companies are finding it more difficult to survive as

    stand-alone entities, leaving the industry ripe for further

    consolidation. TUF's management expects to be able to

    conclude at least one or more acquisitions in the next few

    months. We have not factored this into our current forecasts.

    Several upside risks

    We also see further upside risks from weakening THB and

    continued margin expansion. Given TUF's high exposure to

    foreign currency, weaker THB will have a positive impact on

    its earnings. Every Bt1/USD change translates into ~6-8%

    change in its bottom line and PO. While we assume that

    margin will only remain stable in 2015-2016, TUF's GPM

    could further expand as a result of higher share of branded

    business. Every 1ppt increase in GPM can translate into a

    ~15-17% increase in TUF's bottom line and our price objective

    for the company.

    TRUE - 3Q14 result better than expected

    (Underperform/12-month PO Bt9.00)

    Loss narrows faster than expected

    After stripping out exceptional items (including network

    amortization acceleration) 3Q14 pre-exceptional loss declined

    YoY. Although the loss expanded QoQ, nine-month loss makes

    up only 33% of our full-year loss forecast. The main reason

    for the positive surprise is the lower-than-expected SG&A and

    on-going tax refund (since 4Q13). TRUE has completed the

    recapitalization in 3Q14 and net gearing dropped to 41% from

    1,458% in 2Q14. With expected interest-saving, TRUE could

    move close to or reach breakeven point in 4Q14 at the pre-

    exceptional level.

    Cellular phone revenue outgrows peers but cost also rises

    True Move service revenue increased 7.2% YoY (while

    ADVANC/DTAC reported revenue declines). Although pre-

    exceptional loss dropped YoY, it expanded QoQ due to

    reversal of regulatory fee recorded in 2Q14 and higher

    network OPEX/SG&A. Despite an aggressive handset

    promotion, handset margin remains positive at 2%

    (ADVANC/DTAC reported negative handset margin).

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    Online profit soars on lower cost

    Online pre-exceptional profit surged both YoY and QoQ

    helped primarily to lower SG&A while service revenue was

    soft, dropping YoY and flat QoQ (due to soft fixed-line

    telephone revenue and the spinoff of eight non-corecompanies). The division recorded Bt1bn of gross profit from

    sales (which is larger than usual) and we have yet to find out

    whether this item is on-going.

    Pay TV loss declined

    True Vision pre-exceptional loss declined both YoY and QoQ

    due to lower SG&A and higher advertising revenue (which

    doubled QoQ despite weak overall advertising expenditure) as

    redesigned advertising package attracts advertiser budgets.

    CK - 3Q14 result review

    (Neutral/12-month POBt28.60)

    Core profit increased QoQ and YoY

    CK reported net profit of Bt1.2bn, up 285% QoQ and 28% YoY.

    Excluding extra gain from BMCL divestment, pre-ex net profit

    came in at Bt346mn, up 11%QoQ and 42%YoY. 9M14 pre ex

    net profit was Bt1bn, representing 80% of our full-year

    forecast and 72% of full-year consensus estimate. Despite

    lower construction revenue and lower gross margin, pre-ex

    net profit increased due to higher dividend income and lower

    equity loss from associates.

    Lower revenue and gross margin

    3Q14 construction revenue was reported at Bt7.9bn, down

    11%QoQ and 8%YoY. This is due to slower construction

    progress as some projects, e.g. Purple line C1 is close to

    completion. 9M14 revenue came in at Bt25.4bn and accounts

    for 74% of our full-year forecast and 73% of full-year

    consensus estimate. 3Q14 gross margin was 9.1%, which is

    lower than 9.7% in 2Q14 due to change in project mix.

    Higher dividend income and lower equity loss from

    associates

    In 3Q14, CK received dividend income of Bt330mn from both

    BECL and TTW. This is significantly higher than dividend

    income of Bt115mn in 2Q14 from BECL. This is due to

    difference in timing of dividend payment. 3Q14 equity loss

    was Bt13mn, improving from loss of Bt116mn in 3Q13 as CK

    has capitalized key expenses of Xayaburi Power (XPCL).

    PTTGC - To merge or not to merge (Buy/12-month

    PO Bt79.63)

    New CEO = new thinking?

    The Bangkok Post cited PTTGC's newly appointed CEO as

    saying that the planned feasibility of the potential merger

    between PTTGC and IRPC will be delayed and may not be

    finalized as planned. He said "we really need a while to settle

    ourselves (each firm is busy with many planned expansions)

    before proceeding seriously with a feasibility study as to

    whether the merger is viable."

    Background

    Previously, IRPC's president stated that the merger feasibility

    study (including the potential synergy from the merger) would

    be conducted in 2H15 after IRPC's UHV project (which is

    deemed to be one of the key parts of synergy creation and

    IRPC's value) is completed. The study was to be completed in

    2016 at the earliest. IRPC also mentioned that the potential

    merger would have to be justified by the synergy to be

    created from the merger (which would be scrapped if it is not

    commercially feasible).

    Potential merger in limbo?

    We have previously stated that this transaction is unlikely to

    be consummated in the near term and is still not certain. We

    attribute this to IRPC's uncompetitive cost structure, weak

    financial position and high valuation, which in our view could

    dilute PTTGC's cost advantage among petrochemical

    companies in Asia and its solid financial stance. PTTGC has

    committed to its own investment path in Indonesia and is now

    under a study to invest in a US ethane-based cracker (via a

    joint-venture) in the long term. In this regard, PTTGC will have

    a few large projects to execute well (against its poor historical

    track record) and it might need to maintain financial resources

    for its own investments. We think the potential merger could

    now be in limbo.

    PTTGC - Challenging time ahead (Buy/12-month PO

    Bt79.63)

    Petrochemical and refinery outlook

    PTTGC expects the ethylene and polyethylene market to

    remain tight in 2015E with the global operating rates of 88%

    and 85% to slightly increase or stay at high levels. But the

    lower oil price should put pressure on HDPE price (which is

    expected to fall from US$1,557/ton in 2014 to US$1,421/ton

    in 2015). HDPE Naphtha spread is also conservatively

    forecast to fall from US$671/ton to US$625/ton. In contrast,

    refinery glut will likely worsen with new supply (1.9mn bbl/d)

    exceeding demand (1.13mn bbl/d). Diesel/Gasoline crack

    spreads will weaken. Aromatics will likely continue to see

    another difficult period in 2015 with an excess supply of

    1.5mn tons (3.1mn tons in 2014). PX spread should stay at

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    US$361/ton (an equilibrium spread level). Benzene is the only

    bright spot with spread expected to stay flat at US$365/ton.

    Higher ethane feed comes to the rescue?

    Despite a cautious outlook, PTTGC expects higher olefins

    volume from higher run rate from 91% to 94-95% to be an

    offsetting factor. Since three new projects will be completed

    from 3Q15 onward, we expect only some impact. PTTGC

    stated that the key NPAT driver for olefins is higher ethane

    feed. Its ethane has increased from 221 tons/hour in 3Q13 to

    272 tons/hour in October. This would rise by another 30

    tons/hour when PTTs ethane recovery project complete in

    1H15 while its off-gas upgrading project will add six

    tons/hour from mid-2015. PTTGC believes a higher portion of

    cheaper ethane feed should support olefins EBITDA margin at

    between 28-30%.

    US cracker if you cant beat them, join them

    In addition to Formosa, Lotte Chem, and IVL, PTTGC is

    studying a US cracker joint venture investment. The final

    decision will be made in 2H15. In the long term, PTTGC is also

    studying the possibility of importing around 0.5-1.0mn tons

    of ethane from the US to both replace declining domestic

    ethane and expand the business. PTTGC believes the shale

    revolution will put pressure on long-term ethane prices.

    CPN - Results in line (Buy/12-month PO Bt60.00)

    3Q results grew YoY and QoQ

    CPN posted a good set of results with net income of Bt1.9bn,

    up 33% YoY and 5% QoQ. The results were in line with our

    expectation. 9M14 net income was Bt5.5bn, up 21% YoY and

    this accounted for 73% of our 2014E.

    Higher rental income from new malls, higher rates and

    amortized gains

    The YoY and QoQ growth was driven by higher rental income,

    which grew 19% YoY and 5% QoQ. The growth should be

    driven by new malls opening and higher same-store rental

    rate. CPN booked the amortized gain from the sales of

    CentralPlaza Chiengmai Airport project into CPNRF as a part

    of rental income, not as other income as we previously

    expected. Note that the amortized gain was Bt149mn in

    3Q14, of which Bt62mn was the amortized gain carried from

    2Q14. Stripping out the amortized gain, rental income still

    grew by 15% YoY and 2% QoQ.

    Same-store rental rate up 4% YoY

    CPN revealed an average rental rate of Bt1,526 per square

    meter (sqm) per month in 3Q14, up 1% YoY but down 1% QoQ.

    The QoQ decline should be due to the addition of a new mall,

    CentralPlaza Salaya, in August, which generated lower-than-

    average rental rate of less than Bt1,400 per sqm per month.

    However, CPN confirmed that the same-store rental rate in

    3Q14 still grew by 4% YoY.

    Continued cost control

    CPN continued to show good cost control with operating costs

    to sales ratio declining to 13.9% of total revenue in 3Q14

    compared with 15% in 2Q14 and 3Q13. With expected higher

    rental income from long-term lease contract conversion into

    short-term leases in 3Q14, we should continue to see better

    cost management next year.

    TTCL - 3Q14 result review (Underperform/12-month

    PO Bt25.40)

    Net profit increased QoQ

    TTCL reported net profit of Bt119mn, up 34% QoQ but down

    25%YoY. Excluding forex loss, pre-ex net profit came in at

    Bt183mn, up 106%QoQ and up 7% YoY. 9M14 net profit came

    in at Bt419mn, representing 78% of our full-year forecast and

    54% of full-year consensus estimate. The key reason for

    better net profit QoQ was higher gross margin.

    Improving gross margin

    3Q14 gross margin came in at 9.4%, significantly improved

    from 4.2% in 2Q14. This is due to (1) lower contribution from

    Qatars low-margin desalination project, (2) slight upward

    margin revision of the Qatar project, and (3) contribution from

    high-margin small EPCM work. 3Q14 revenue was reported at

    Bt4.1bn, down 31% QoQ and down 8%YoY. This is due to

    project cycle as key projects are close to completion and

    contribution from newly awarded petrochemical projects is

    still low. 9M14 revenue was Bt15bn and accounts for 88% of

    our full-year forecast and 79% of full-year consensus

    estimate.

    Potential new projects in Qatar and Vietnam

    In the year to date, TTCL has already secured a new

    petrochemical project in Malaysia worth Bt15bn. Potential

    new contracts that could reach conclusion by late 2014 or

    early 2015 include Qatars desalination project Phase II and

    petrochemical projects in Vietnam worth US$200mn each.

    Update on coal-fired power plant in Myanmar

    Management expects to reach a conclusion on this US$2.5bn

    coal-fired power project in Myanmar in 2015. Key reasons for

    the projects delay are (1) a change in project location from

    Thilawa to Mon State for better coal transportation, and (2)

    unclear process of project proposal and approval in Myanmar.

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    SIRI - Results beat expectation (Neutral/12-month

    PO Bt2.18)

    Strong 3Q results

    SIRI reported pre-ex net income of Bt791mn in 3Q14, up 80%

    YoY and 47% QoQ. The results were 10% above our

    expectation due to lower-than-expected operating expenses

    and higher-than-expected other income. 9M14 pre-ex net

    income was Bt1.3bn, up 55% YoY and this made up 58% of our

    2014 estimates.

    Higher revenue and better operating margin was key

    Housing revenue was Bt7bn, up 3% YoY and 19% QoQ and this

    was in line with expectation. Condo revenue should account

    for 40% of total revenue in 3Q, compared with 41% in 2Q and

    59% in 3Q14. Gross picked up by 30bp QoQ to 33.7% while

    operating expenses to sales ratio continued to decline to

    18.4% in 3Q14 compared with 20.5% in 2Q due to no launches

    in 3Q14. SIRIs net gearing declined to 1.9x at end-3Q14

    compared with 2.2x at end-2Q14.

    Operations update

    SIRI achieved presales of Bt2.5bn in 3Q14, bringing total

    presales to Bt6.7bn in 9M14 (down 82% YoY). 9M14 presales

    accounted for 56% of its Bt12bn revised presales target. The

    weak presales should be mainly attributed to the delay of

    condo launches to next year while landed property presales

    remained weak with more than a 20% YoY decline in 9M14.

    Note that SIRI recently cut its presales target to Bt12bn from

    Bt30bn. The company also lowered its housing revenue target

    to Bt27bn versus our estimate of Bt28.2bn revenue target to

    Bt29bn to reflect weaker presales and a weaker launch plan.

    Look for stronger 4Q14 earnings

    We expect 4Q14 to pick up QoQ, mainly due to more condo

    transfers. With a higher revenue base, we should see

    continued improvement in operating margin in 4Q14. Despite

    the risk on housing revenue, the risk on 2014E should be

    mitigated by lower-than-expected operating costs to sales

    ratio from no launches, and its cost control plan.

    Operations bottomed out; recovery in provincial market is

    key

    We reiterate our Neutral recommendation on SIRI with price

    target of Bt2.18. With its successful cash call, we believe that

    the operations and cash flow have bottomed out. Our key

    concern is on its increasing exposure in condo revenue

    upcountry in 2015 while the economy in the provincial

    market has not yet fully recovered. This implies some r isks on

    revenue and cash flow on any delay of transfer. We also need

    to monitor its spending on operating expenses when the

    launch activities return back to normal.

    BJC - 3Q14 results weaker than expected

    (Underperform/12-month PO Bt36.00)

    3Q14 result weaker than expected

    3Q14 pre-exceptional profit dropped 50% YoY and nine-

    month earnings make up 66% of our full-year forecast and

    51% of Bloomberg consensus. Gross margin did not improve

    as expected as raw material prices remain high and sales of

    healthcare product are softer than expected, although public

    hospitals have resumed procurement programs after the May

    coup. Our Underperform rating is maintained.

    Packaging net profit drops 30% YoY

    Packaging sales increased 5% YoY, improved from flat sales

    YoY in 1H14 thanks to higher aluminum can sales and glass

    packaging sales in Malaysia and Vietnam. This is while sales of

    glass packaging in Thailand remain weak (following

    spirits/beer excise tax hike in September 2013). Net profit

    margin remains low at 5.8% in 3Q14 versus 6.6% in 1H14 and

    9.0% in 2013 because of Bt128mn employee compensation

    from Rajburana plant shutdown and higher energy cost.

    Consumer product profit plunged 83% YoY

    YoY sales growth decelerated to 5.0% YoY from 12% YoY

    growth in 1H14 and net profit margin remains low at 0.4%

    (versus 3.5% in 2013 and 1.7% in 1H14) due to continuously

    high raw material prices (palm and coconut oil in particular)

    and intense price competition (which prevents BJC from

    passing on higher cost to customers).

    Healthcare and technical profit dropped 19% YoY

    Although public hospitals have resumed procurement

    programs after the May coup, sales growth remains mild

    increasing 4% YoY (similar to 1H14 YoY growth). Cost of

    training courses and events arranged for clients also

    pressured 3Q14 profit according to BJC.

    THBEV - Core operation in line in 3Q14 (Buy/12-

    month PO S$0.76)

    Core operation in line despite soft bottom line

    3Q14 net profit dropped 9% YoY. But if we strip out asset

    impairment/other exceptional items at Fraser&Neave and

    Fraser Centerpoint (FNN and FCL; THBEV holds 29% stakes in

    both firms), 3Q14 pre-exceptional profit increased 14% YoY.

    Nine-month pre-exceptional profit made up 69% of our full-

    year forecast (thus core operation is in line given 4Q is

    usually the peak season).

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    Beer turnaround and lower funding cost main drivers

    The main growth driver is beer turnaround and lower funding

    cost. Beer division has turned profitable since 4Q13 and beer

    3Q14 net profit was Bt28mn versus Bt246mn of loss in 2Q14.

    Beer sales volume increased 6% YoY, the first positive growthsince 4Q12 (as impact of price hike in 3Q13 following excise

    tax hike is waning). Interest expense halved YoY as THBEV

    has gradually paid down debt and net gearing dropped to 58%

    from 73% in 3Q13.

    Spirits profit declined due to high base effect

    Spirits sales volume dropped 11% YoY and spirits net profit

    declined 2% YoY (versus 19% YoY profit growth in 2Q14) due

    to inventory buildup among distributors ahead of the

    September 2013 excise tax hike (i.e. the high base effect).Non-alcoholic division remains in loss and food division

    plunged into loss due to a sharp drop in gross margin. If we

    add back the exceptional items, FNN/FCL contribution is flat

    YoY.

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    Phatra Research Highlights

    Thailand Economic Watch: 3Q GDP growth

    disappointed (Phatra Securities)

    Announced: 3Q14 GDP growth

    Actual:+0.6% YoY Previous: +0.4%YoY

    Consensus (Bloomberg):+1.0% YoY BofAML: +1.0% YoY

    3Q growth lower than expected; 2014/2015 GDP forecast

    cut

    Thailand's 3Q GDP grew 0.6%YoY vs growth of 0.4% in 2Q.

    Seasonally adjusted, GDP expanded 1.1%QoQ, after a rebound

    of 0.9% in 2Q. The pace of recovery disappointed because of

    delays in public spending and flat exports. Net exports

    subtracted 2.4ppt from GDP while government added only

    0.1ppt to GDP. Accordingly, we have revised down our GDPgrowth forecasts to 0.8% (from 1.8%) in 2014 and to 3.7%

    (from 4%) in 2015.

    Private sector was better than expected; govt disappoints

    Domestic demand was boosted by private spending. Private

    consumption grew 2.2%YoY from increases in consumption of

    non-durable goods and services. Durable goods consumption

    fell 25.9%, the same pace as 2Q. Private investment rose

    3.9%YoY driven by a rise in machinery and equipment

    investment while construction still contracted. Government

    consumption grew only 0.4% and public investment fell 0.8%.

    By sector, hotel and construction was the worst, falling

    4.6%YoY and 2.7%YoY respectively. Manufactures also fell

    0.7%, slightly better than a 1.6% fall in 2Q. Sectors that

    expanded modestly were financials, transportation, public

    administration and electricity. Wholesale and retail trade

    expanded only 0.6%.

    NESDB cut GDP growth forecast

    NESDB cut its 2014 GDP growth forecast to 1% from 1.5-2.0%.

    It revised up private investment from -2.9% to -1.0% while

    revising down public investment (from +1% to -5.0%). Export

    growth was also revised down from 2% to 0% in 2014.

    NESDB sees a moderate recovery in 2015, forecasting GDP

    growth of 3.5-4.5% vs consensus of 4.3%. NESDB is less

    optimistic about private expenditure, expecting private

    investment to rise only 4.8% and consumption to grow 2.6%.

    Meanwhile it forecasts public investment to increase asubstantial 9.8% and government consumption to grow 5.6%.

    Export is forecasted to grow 4% and current account surplus is

    expected at 2.2% of GDP.

    We are less optimistic on 2015

    The slower pace of domestic demand recovery and delays in

    public spending have also led us to cut our GDP growth to

    0.8% for 2014 and 3.7% for 2015. Consensus forecast for

    2015 is 4.3%. We are less optimistic on public spending and

    export recovery but expect private investment and

    consumption to rise by 6% and 3% respectively. We expect the

    BoT to raise the policy rate by 25bps at the end of 2015. Butif GDP grows less than 2.5% in 1Q, we believe the BoT would

    seriously consider a cut in the policy rate.

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    Market Summary

    Global IndicesLast 1D 1W

    % Change

    1M 3M YTD 1Y

    Dow Jones 17,647.8 0.1% 0.2% 7.7% 4.3% 6.5% 10.6%

    S&P 500 2,041.3 0.1% 0.2% 8.2% 3.0% 10.4% 13.5%

    Nasdaq 4,671.0 -0.4% 0.4% 9.7% 3.2% 11.8% 17.2%

    FTSE 100 6,672.0 0.3% 0.9% 5.7% -1.6% -1.1% -0.3%

    STOXX600 115.1 0.5% -0.2% 5.7% 0.4% 2.6% 4.2%

    Nikkei 16,973.8 -3.0% 1.2% 16.8% 9.9% 4.2% 11.9%

    Hang Seng 23,797.1 -1.2% 0.2% 3.4% -5.3% 2.1% 3.3%

    MSCI ACWI 419.6 -0.2% -0.1% 5.7% -2.0% 2.7% 4.9%

    MSCI World 1,715.0 -0.1% 0.0% 6.3% -1.1% 3.2% 5.8%

    MSCI Europe 115.1 0.5% -0.2% 5.7% 0.4% 2.6% 4.2%

    MSCI EM 985.9 -0.5% -1.2% 0.9% -9.1% -1.7% -1.9%

    MSCI AsiaPac ex Japan 477.1 -0.7% -0.7% 3.0% -6.9% 1.9% 1.3%

    SET Last 1D 1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y

    SET Index 1,569.1 -0.4% 0.1% 2.6% 1.7% 20.8% 10.4%

    SET100 Index 2,313.0 -0.5% 0.3% 2.7% 1.0% 19.7% 8.3%

    SET50 Index 1,046.3 -0.5% 0.3% 3.1% 1.0% 18.4% 7.8%

    SET Energy & Utilities 21,641.7 -0.6% -0.2% 3.5% 2.1% 13.0% 7.2%

    SET Banks 612.4 -0.6% 0.2% 4.2% 0.0% 34.1% 14.0%

    SET ICT 224.4 -0.6% 1.1% 2.7% 7.9% 17.6% 2.4%

    SET Commerce 29,433.5 -0.4% 0.6% -0.5% -5.7% 11.7% 5.3%

    SET Food & Beverages 12,202.2 -1.2% 0.9% -1.3% -0.7% 11.7% 16.5%

    SET Property 320.6 0.1% 0.9% 3.3% 3.7% 37.1% 15.8%

    SET Constr Mat 12,044.4 0.9% 2.1% 4.1% 5.5% 19.4% 12.7%

    SET Petrochem 868.9 -0.8% -0.7% 5.8% -6.5% -11.6% -14.9%

    SET Health Care 4,223.0 -0.2% -1.0% 0.9% 1.6% 53.9% 44.4%

    SET Transportation 212.0 -0.5% 0.4% 3.8% 3.7% 30.9% 9.8%

    SET Property Fund 159.0 0.0% -0.6% 0.1% -2.7% 1.2% -0.3%

    Currency Last 1D 1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y

    EURUSD 1.2450 -0.6% 0.2% -2.4% -6.5% -9.4% -7.8%

    USDJPY 116.65 0.3% 1.6% 9.1% 13.3% 10.8% 16.4%

    USDCNY 6.1270 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% -0.2% 1.2% 0.6%USDTHB 32.80 0.0% -0.1% 1.2% 2.8% 0.3% 3.8%

    Commodities

    Last 1D 1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y

    WTI (USD/bl) 75.64 -0.2% -2.3% -8.6% -19.9% -23.1% -19.4%

    Brent (USD/bl) 79.31 -0.1% -4.4% -8.4% -23.2% -25.1% -23.4%

    Gold (USD/tr oz) 1,186.57 -0.2% 3.0% -4.2% -8.4% -1.3% -8.0%

    Treasury Yield

    Change in bps

    Last 1D 1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y

    US 2Y Yield 0.51 -0 -3 +14 +8 +13 +22

    US 5Y Yield 1.63 +2 -2 +21 +5 -12 +28

    US 10Y Yield 2.34 +2 -2 +15 -6 -69 -36

    TH 2Y Yield 2.15 -1 -4 -12 -24 -47 -68

    TH 5Y Yield 2.49 -4 -9 -23 -56 -92 -110

    TH 10Y Yield 3.01 -3 -8 -22 -53 -97 -105

    Cumulative Net Buy (THBmn)

    1D 1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y

    Foreigners (304) 159 (3,095) 12,382 (14,647) (83,079)Local institutions (760) (97) 14,114 14,648 47,096 65,478

    Retail investors 896 (1,422) (19,552) (29,145) (45,130) 5,575

    Proprietary 168 1,360 8,532 2,116 12,681 12,026

    Cumulative Foreign Flows (US mn)

    1D 1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y

    Thailand (9) 5 (97) 387 (425) (2,558)

    Indonesia 36 281 465 (605) 4,247 3,800

    Korea (43) (67) (235) (1,940) 5,789 4,714

    Taiwan (186) 111 2,663 1,522 12,625 14,034

    Philippines 5 30 (221) (232) 793 615

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    Top 20 Short Sale as of 17 November 2014

    Securities Volume (Shares) Turnover (Baht)

    %Short Sale Volume

    Comparing with Auto

    Matching

    Closing Price

    (Baht)

    Average Price

    of Short Sale

    (Baht)

    ADVANC 273,200 64,217,000.00 9.06% 235.00 235.05PTT 152,700 58,988,100.00 3.91% 384.00 386.30

    KBANK 224,800 53,439,600.00 9.04% 238.00 237.72

    ITD 3,863,500 25,005,505.00 1.93% 6.40 6.47

    SCB 71,200 12,994,000.00 1.99% 183.00 182.50

    BBL 36,000 7,178,500.00 1.87% 198.50 199.40

    CPF 223,600 6,652,100.00 1.84% 29.50 29.75

    PTTEP 40,200 5,748,600.00 0.77% 142.00 143.00

    DTAC 57,500 5,738,125.00 1.94% 99.75 99.79

    KTB 200,000 4,620,000.00 1.35% 23.00 23.10

    BEC 85,100 4,313,600.00 5.79% 50.25 50.69

    INTUCH 36,800 2,703,800.00 0.94% 73.00 73.47

    LH 245,500 2,411,290.00 1.13% 9.85 9.82

    TMB 742,900 2,283,292.00 0.91% 3.06 3.07

    AAV 500,000 2,100,000.00 6.67% 4.16 4.20

    PS 66,700 2,070,200.00 2.63% 31.00 31.04

    CENTEL 54,000 1,876,000.00 1.68% 34.25 34.74SAMART 57,300 1,837,125.00 1.16% 31.75 32.06

    BJCHI 51,000 1,747,250.00 2.10% 35.00 34.26

    GLOBAL 132,600 1,643,060.00 4.18% 12.30 12.39

    Source: SET

    *Remark - Excluding a short sale by a member that is a participating dealer or market maker of the ETF investment units for the company's account, for

    the purpose of realizing a profit from a price spread (arbitrage), or for the purpose of stabilizing liquidity, as the case may be.

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    Nov 2014

    Monday Tuesday Wednesday Thursday Friday

    3 4 5 6 7

    DTAC XD Bt1.57 ERWPF XD Bt0.0852 CPNCG XD Bt0.196

    PPF

    XD Bt0.1997 CPNRF XD Bt0.323

    SIRIP

    XD Bt0.15 QHPF XD Bt0.182

    SPWPF XD Bt0.2188 ROJNA XR 4:1

    TGROWTH XD Bt0.2357 @Bt7.0

    TRUEIF XD Bt0.2603

    10 11 12 13 14

    CRYSTAL

    XD

    Bt0.192

    DCC XD Bt0.67

    UOB8TF

    XD Bt0.111

    OHTL XD Bt4.00

    17 18 19 20 21

    UPOIC XD Bt0.15 CHG XD Bt0.10 MILL XR 2:1

    SPF XD Bt0.325 @Bt1.2

    TFUND XD Bt0.17

    TLOGIS XD Bt0.20

    24 25 26 27 28

    LHK XD Bt0.11 AMATA XD Bt0.20 BKI XD Bt2.75 FORTH XD Bt0.15

    BKKCP XD Bt0.1522 EARTH XD Bt0.05

    BLAND XD Bt0.04 TASCO XD Bt1.00

    BTSGIF XD Bt0.156 TWZ XR 26:3

    CPTGF XD Bt0.1983 @Bt0.55

    DSGT XD Bt0.06

    FUTUREPF XD Bt0.326

    HANA XD Bt1.00

    KAMART XD Bt0.06

    TIF1 XD Bt0.11

    TTLPF XD Bt0.33

    Source: SET

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    List of management who submitted the changes in securities holding report

    Company Name of Management Relationship Types

    Transaction

    Date

    Amount

    Outstanding

    %

    Avg.

    Price (Bt)

    The

    methods

    BJCHI KYUYOUNG LEE Reporter C 14/11/2014 20,000 0.01 36.50 Buy

    BTNC PANITARN PAVAROLARVIDYA Reporter C 14/11/2014 500 0.00 24.98 Buy

    EPCO YUTH CHINSUPAKUL Reporter C 13/11/2014 550,000 0.07 7.55 Buy

    IVL RATHIAN SRIMONGKOL Reporter C 13/11/2014 10,000 0.00 22.30 Buy

    KSL PRAPAS CHUTIMAVORAPHAND Reporter C 14/11/2014 50,000 0.00 12.93 Buy

    KSL PRAPAS CHUTIMAVORAPHAND Reporter C 13/11/2014 55,300 0.00 12.89 Buy

    L&E-W3 PAKORN BORIMASPORN Reporter W 13/11/2014 1,055,553 1.06 4.79 Buy

    RS SURACHAI CHETCHOTISAK Reporter C 12/11/2014 2,300,000 0.22 8.85 Buy

    SAMART WATCHAI VILAILUCK Reporter C 13/11/2014 772,700 0.08 29.75 Buy

    SVI PHICHET KANOGSIRIMA Reporter C 12/11/2014 500,000 0.02 4.24 Buy

    BLAND-W4 ANANT KANJANAPAS Reporter W 13/11/2014 10,000,000 0.14 0.67 Sell

    BLA PRAPAIVAN LIMSONG Reporter C 12/11/2014 10,000 0.00 56.25 Sell

    BTS-W3 KEEREE KANJANAPAS Reporter W 13/11/2014 20,000,000 0.51 1.63 Sell

    BTS-W3 KEEREE KANJANAPAS Reporter W 12/11/2014 27,232,318 0.69 1.62 SellEPCO YUTH CHINSUPAKUL Reporter C 14/11/2014 350,000 0.05 7.85 Sell

    FIRE PRACHA PHROMPHORNCHAI Reporter C 13/11/2014 2,100,000 0.60 6.10 Sell

    FIRE VARINKAN TERAUMRANON Reporter C 13/11/2014 100,000 0.03 5.70 Sell

    L&E PUNYAMON SRIRATANAMONGKOL Reporter C 13/11/2014 30,000 0.01 7.20 Sell

    L&E-W3 PUNYAMON SRIRATANAMONGKOL Reporter W 13/11/2014 30,000 0.03 4.94 Sell

    NMG SERMSIN SAMALAPA Reporter C 14/11/2014 10,000,000 0.30 1.52 Sell

    PL ALONGKORN THANGSUPANICH Reporter C 14/11/2014 95,600 0.02 4.20 Sell

    PYLON BORDIN SANGARAYAKUL Reporter C 14/11/2014 2,375,000 0.84 8.10 Sell

    PYLON CHANET SANGARAYAKUL Reporter C 14/11/2014 6,675,000 2.37 8.10 Sell

    PYLON VONGCHAI SANGARAYAKUL Reporter C 14/11/2014 1,375,000 0.49 8.10 Sell

    SMT PEERAPOL WILAIWONGSTIEN Reporter C 14/11/2014 100,000 0.02 5.80 Sell

    SVI MANOON NOONATE Reporter C 12/11/2014 2,835,700 0.13 4.40 Sell

    SVI PHICHET KANOGSIRIMA Reporter C 12/11/2014 700,000 0.03 4.60 Sell

    TIES SUCHAI STAPORNCHAIYASIT Reporter C 13/11/2014 17,000,000 3.81 1.85 SellTIES SUCHAI STAPORNCHAIYASIT Reporter C 14/11/2014 17,000,000 3.81 2.40 Sell

    TIES SUCHAI STAPORNCHAIYASIT Spouse C 14/11/2014 20,000,000 4.48 2.40 Sell

    TRT TAI CHONG YIH Reporter C 12/11/2014 200,000 0.06 6.35 Sell

    TRT TAI CHONG YIH Reporter C 12/11/2014 158,100 0.05 6.40 Sell

    Source: SET

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  • 8/10/2019 Phatra Wealth Daily 20141118 Rc

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    Private Wealth Management Research

    18 November 2014

    17

    A member of the Kiatnakin Phatra Financial Group

    Corporate Governance Report of Thai Listed Companies 2013Disclaimer

    The disclosure of the survey result of the Thai Institute of Directors Association (IOD) regarding corporate governance is

    made pursuant to the policy of the Office of the Securities and Exchange Commission. The survey of the IOD is based on the

    information of a company listed on the Stock Exchange of Thailand and the Market of Alternative Investment disclosed to the public

    and able to be accessed by a general public investor. The result, therefore, is from the perspective of a third party. It is not an

    evaluation of operation and is not based on inside information.

    The survey result is as of the data appearing in the Corporate Governance Report of Thai Listed Companies. As a result, the

    survey result may be changed after that date. Phatra Securities Public Company Limited ("Phatra") does not confirm nor certify the

    accuracy of such survey result. In addition, the list only includes companies under Phatras coverage except those specified.

    Companies with Excellent CG Scoring by alphabetical order under Phatras Coverage

    Advanced Info Service Airports of Thailand Banpu Bangkok Bank Bangchak Petroleum

    BTS Group Holdings LPN Property

    Development

    Charoen Pokphand Foods Hemaraj Land and

    Development

    Total Access

    Communication

    Electricity Generating The Erawan Group Central Pattana INTUCH IRPC

    Indorama Ventures Kasikornbank Krung Thai Bank Ch. Karnchang MCOT

    Minor International Preuksa Real Estate PTT PTT Exploration PTT Global Chemical

    Quality Houses Ratchaburi Electricity

    Generating

    Robinson Department

    Store

    Thai Airways

    International

    Siam Cement

    Supalai Thanachart Capital Siam Commercial Bank Thaicom Tisco Bank

    Thai Military Bank Thai Oil True Corporation Thai Vegetable Oil

    Companies with Very Good CG Scoring by alphabetical order under Phatras Coverage

    Amata Corporation BEC World Bumrungrad Hospital Big C Supercenter Berli Jucker

    Central Plaza Hotel CP All ESSO (Thailand) GFPT Glow Energy

    Home Product Center Land & Houses Major Cineplex Group Siam City Cement Sansiri

    Asian Property

    Development

    Sino Thai Engineering

    and Construction

    Ticon Industrial

    Connection

    Thai Union Frozen

    Product

    Companies with Good CG Scoring by alphabetical order under Phatras Coverage

    Asia Aviation Bangkok Chain Hospital Siam Global House

    N/A

    Companies without survey result available by alphabetical order under Phatras Coverage

    MK Restaurant Thai Beverage Bangkok Dusit Medical

    Services

    Tesco Lotus Retail

    Growth Property Fund

    BTS Growth Infrastructure

    Fund

    Nok Airlines